Marlins @ Guardians [ Guardians -126 / 7.5 ]

Marlins | 57-62 (47.9%) Eury Perez (R) | 4-3 | WHIP: 1.01 | ERA: 3.25
Guardians | 62-55 (53%) Gavin Williams (R) | 7-4 | WHIP: 1.30 | ERA: 3.17

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Marlins
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:3
Est. fair odds: -142 to -162
Implied win prob: 58.68% to 61.83%
Guardians
Starting Pitcher:
0/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:-3
Est. fair odds: +142 to +162
Implied win prob: 38.17% to 41.32%
Marlins Situational Notes

Guardians Situational Notes

Marlins Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/14CLE [ 0 ]Tanner Bibee (R)MIA -
CLE -		-MIA [ 0 ]Edward Cabrera (R)
8/13CLE [ 0 ]Gavin Williams (R)MIA +108
CLE -126		7.5MIA [ 0 ]Eury Perez (R)
8/12CLE [ 4 ]Logan Allen (L)MIA +116
CLE -136		8.5MIA [ 3 ]Janson Junk (R)
8/10ATL [ 7 ]Joey Wentz (L)MIA +112
ATL -132		8.5MIA [ 1 ]Cal Quantrill (R)
8/9ATL [ 7 ]Hurston Waldrep (R)MIA +104
ATL -122		8.5MIA [ 1 ]Ryan Gusto (R)
8/9ATL [ 8 ]Erick Fedde (R)MIA -106
ATL -110		8.5MIA [ 6 ]Sandy Alcantara (R)
8/8ATL [ 1 ]Bryce Elder (R)MIA -126
ATL +108		8MIA [ 5 ]Edward Cabrera (R)
8/7ATL [ 8 ]Carlos Carrasco (R)MIA -118
ATL +118		8MIA [ 6 ]Eury Perez (R)
8/6MIA [ 6 ]Janson Junk (R)MIA -106
HOU -102		8.5HOU [ 4 ]Spencer Arrighetti (R)
8/5MIA [ 3 ]Cal Quantrill (R)MIA -110
HOU -116		8.5HOU [ 7 ]Steven Okert (L)
Guardians Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/14CLE [ 0 ]Tanner Bibee (R)CLE -
MIA -		-MIA [ 0 ]Edward Cabrera (R)
8/13CLE [ 0 ]Gavin Williams (R)CLE -126
MIA +108		7.5MIA [ 0 ]Eury Perez (R)
8/12CLE [ 4 ]Logan Allen (L)CLE -136
MIA +116		8.5MIA [ 3 ]Janson Junk (R)
8/10CHW [ 6 ]Davis Martin (R)CLE -138
CHW +108		8.5CLE [ 4 ]Slade Cecconi (R)
8/9CHW [ 1 ]Sean Burke (R)CLE -132
CHW +112		8.5CLE [ 3 ]Joey Cantillo (L)
8/8CHW [ 5 ]Aaron Civale (R)CLE -130
CHW +110		8CLE [ 9 ]Tanner Bibee (R)
8/6NYM [ 1 ]David Peterson (L)CLE +142
NYM -178		7.5CLE [ 4 ]Gavin Williams (R)
8/5NYM [ 2 ]Clay Holmes (R)CLE +158
NYM -162		8.5CLE [ 3 ]Logan Allen (L)
8/4NYM [ 6 ]Sean Manaea (L)CLE +150
NYM -205		8CLE [ 7 ]Slade Cecconi (R)
8/3CLE [ 4 ]Joey Cantillo (L)CLE -168
MIN +140		8.5MIN [ 5 ]Jose Urena (R)

Eury Perez Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/7ATL [ 8 ]MIA [ 6 ]-11885.33127355Carlos Carrasco (R)
8/2MIA [ 2 ]NYY [ 0 ]-10086532000Cam Schlittler (R)
7/27MIL [ 3 ]MIA [ 2 ]1287.55622011Brandon Woodruff (R)
7/21MIA [ 1 ]SDP [ 2 ]-1308.50000000Randy Vasquez (R)
7/13BAL [ 1 ]MIA [ 11 ]000000000Brandon Young (R)
3.272.41.42.20.61.21.2
Gavin Williams Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/6NYM [ 1 ]CLE [ 4 ]1427.58.67641111David Peterson (L)
8/1CLE [ 3 ]MIN [ 2 ]-12076824000Joe Ryan (R)
7/26KCR [ 5 ]CLE [ 3 ]-10296325122Michael Wacha (L)
7/25KCR [ 0 ]CLE [ 0 ]-1028.50000000Michael Wacha (R)
7/20CLE [ 8 ]ATH [ 2 ]-1107.50000000Jeffrey Springs (L)
4.133.41.620.40.60.6
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Eury Perez F57-3-1 (70%)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)1-1-0 (50%)4-1-1 (80%)
Eury Perez6-5 (54.5%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)4-2 (66.7%)
Gavin Williams F510-8-4 (55.6%)4-1-1 (80%)0-1-1 (0%)2-2-1 (50%)3-4-1 (42.9%)
Gavin Williams10-12 (45.5%)4-2 (66.7%)1-1 (50%)2-3 (40%)2-6 (25%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Eury Perez F55-6-0 (45.5%)0-2-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)0-2-0 (0%)4-2-0 (66.7%)
Eury Perez5-6-0 (45.5%)0-2-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)0-2-0 (0%)4-2-0 (66.7%)
Gavin Williams F510-10-1 (50%)2-3-0 (40%)2-0-0 (100%)2-2-1 (50%)3-5-0 (37.5%)
Gavin Williams13-9-0 (59.1%)3-3-0 (50%)2-0-0 (100%)4-1-0 (80%)3-5-0 (37.5%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Marlins vs. RHP F537-37-14 (50%)4-4-2 (50%)2-1-1 (66.7%)14-12-5 (53.8%)17-19-6 (47.2%)
Marlins vs. RHP43-45 (48.9%)5-5 (50%)1-3 (25%)16-15 (51.6%)20-22 (47.6%)
Guardians vs. RHP F533-31-18 (51.6%)11-8-7 (57.9%)5-5-5 (50%)4-9-2 (30.8%)13-8-4 (61.9%)
Guardians vs. RHP48-34 (58.5%)17-9 (65.4%)10-5 (66.7%)6-9 (40%)14-11 (56%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Marlins vs. RHP F540-39-5 (50.6%)5-5-0 (50%)2-2-0 (50%)11-14-3 (44%)22-17-2 (56.4%)
Marlins vs. RHP38-49-1 (43.7%)5-5-0 (50%)2-2-0 (50%)10-21-0 (32.3%)21-20-1 (51.2%)
Guardians vs. RHP F534-41-3 (45.3%)10-12-2 (45.5%)10-5-0 (66.7%)6-8-1 (42.9%)8-15-0 (34.8%)
Guardians vs. RHP40-40-2 (50%)13-13-0 (50%)10-5-0 (66.7%)7-8-0 (46.7%)9-14-2 (39.1%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Eury Perez7-4 (63.6%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)5-1 (83.3%)
Marlins68-49 (58.1%)3-9 (25%)1-3 (25%)29-18 (61.7%)35-19 (64.8%)
Gavin Williams9-12 (42.9%)2-4 (33.3%)1-1 (50%)2-3 (40%)4-4 (50%)
Guardians58-58 (50%)12-19 (38.7%)9-10 (47.4%)11-14 (44%)26-15 (63.4%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Eury Perez7-4 (63.6%)1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)2-0 (100%)3-3 (50%)
Marlins58-61 (48.7%)6-6 (50%)2-2 (50%)25-22 (53.2%)23-31 (42.6%)
Gavin Williams9-13 (40.9%)4-2 (66.7%)2-0 (100%)1-4 (20%)1-7 (12.5%)
Guardians50-68 (42.4%)15-16 (48.4%)11-8 (57.9%)10-15 (40%)13-28 (31.7%)


Batting Matchup
MarlinsGuardians
119TG118
4.3R/G4
113HR126
0.251AVG0.228
97SB90
32CS28
MarlinsGuardians
0.142ISO0.15
0.298BABIP0.268
0.315OBP0.301
0.393SLG0.379
0.309wOBA0.297
96wRC+89
MarlinsGuardians
8.1BB%8.6
20.9K%22.1
0.39BB/K0.39
7.9Barrel%6.7
40.3HardHit%35.5
11.8WAR10.1

Pitching Matchup
Eury PerezGavin Williams
11G23
11GS23
55.1IP125
5IP/G5.4
4W7
3L4
74.5LOB%81.2
Eury PerezGavin Williams
8.46K/98.86
3.25BB/94.75
14.6K/BB%10.9
30.3GB%44.3
51.7FB%35.8
0.81HR/91.15
6.7HR/FB%13.4
Eury PerezGavin Williams
0.221BABIP0.252
3.25ERA3.17
3.07xERA4.08
3.59FIP4.43
4.47xFIP4.21
1.01WHIP1.3
4.26SIERA4.52
1.1WAR1

Bullpen Matchup
MarlinsGuardians
3.09BPU/G3.34
3.9IP/G3.5
28W28
19L15
29SV35
18BS16
71.9LOB%73.1
MarlinsGuardians
8.27K/98.98
3.44BB/93.49
12.5K/BB%14.4
42.9GB%37.7
37.7FB%40.7
1.06HR/90.8
10.7HR/FB%8
MarlinsGuardians
0.293BABIP0.291
4.18ERA3.47
4.1FIP3.6
4.22xFIP4.13
1.33WHIP1.26
3.92SIERA3.74
1.6WAR4.4