Cubs @ Blue Jays [ Blue Jays -132 / 8.5 ]

Cubs | 63-48 (56.8%) Cade Horton (R) | 6-3 | WHIP: 1.22 | ERA: 3.18
Blue Jays | 70-49 (58.8%) Kevin Gausman (R) | 8-8 | WHIP: 1.08 | ERA: 3.85

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Cubs
Starting Pitcher:
0/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup:-6
Est. fair odds: +215 to +246
Implied win prob: 28.90% to 31.75%
Blue Jays
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
3/3
Matchup:6
Est. fair odds: -215 to -246
Implied win prob: 68.25% to 71.10%
Cubs Situational Notes

Blue Jays Situational Notes

Cubs Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/14TOR [ 0 ]Max Scherzer (R)CHC -
TOR -		-CHC [ 0 ]Matthew Boyd (L)
8/13TOR [ 0 ]Kevin Gausman (R)CHC +112
TOR -132		8.5CHC [ 0 ]Cade Horton (R)
8/12TOR [ 5 ]Jose Berrios (R)CHC +102
TOR -126		9CHC [ 1 ]Javier Assad (R)
8/10STL [ 3 ]Sonny Gray (R)CHC -120
STL +108		8CHC [ 2 ]Shota Imanaga (L)
8/9STL [ 1 ]Andre Pallante (R)CHC -122
STL +104		9CHC [ 9 ]Colin Rea (R)
8/8STL [ 5 ]Michael McGreevy (R)CHC -172
STL +144		8.5CHC [ 0 ]Matthew Boyd (L)
8/6CHC [ 6 ]Cade Horton (R)CHC -142
CIN +116		7.5CIN [ 1 ]Andrew Abbott (L)
8/5CHC [ 1 ]Shota Imanaga (L)CHC -178
CIN +154		8CIN [ 5 ]Zack Littell (R)
8/4CHC [ 2 ]Michael Soroka (R)CHC -138
CIN +114		8CIN [ 3 ]Nick Lodolo (L)
8/3CHC [ 5 ]Colin Rea (R)CHC -180
BAL +154		8BAL [ 3 ]Brandon Young (R)
Blue Jays Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/14TOR [ 0 ]Max Scherzer (R)TOR -
CHC -		-CHC [ 0 ]Matthew Boyd (L)
8/13TOR [ 0 ]Kevin Gausman (R)TOR -132
CHC +112		8.5CHC [ 0 ]Cade Horton (R)
8/12TOR [ 5 ]Jose Berrios (R)TOR -120
CHC +108		9CHC [ 1 ]Javier Assad (R)
8/10LAD [ 4 ]Tyler Glasnow (R)TOR +154
LAD -188		8.5TOR [ 5 ]Eric Lauer (L)
8/9LAD [ 9 ]Blake Snell (L)TOR +136
LAD -162		8.5TOR [ 1 ]Chris Bassitt (R)
8/8LAD [ 5 ]Clayton Kershaw (L)TOR +116
LAD -136		9TOR [ 1 ]Max Scherzer (R)
8/6COL [ 1 ]Kyle Freeland (L)TOR -210
COL +205		11.5TOR [ 20 ]Kevin Gausman (R)
8/5COL [ 4 ]Anthony Molina (R)TOR -240
COL +190		11.5TOR [ 10 ]Jose Berrios (R)
8/4COL [ 1 ]Tanner Gordon (R)TOR -205
COL +176		11.5TOR [ 15 ]Eric Lauer (L)
8/3TOR [ 4 ]Chris Bassitt (R)TOR -142
KCR +122		8KCR [ 7 ]Seth Lugo (R)

Cade Horton Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/6CHC [ 6 ]CIN [ 1 ]-1427.55.67602000Andrew Abbott (L)
8/1CHC [ 1 ]BAL [ 0 ]-1467.55332000Trevor Rogers (L)
7/26CHW [ 1 ]CHC [ 6 ]-1889.56.33314000Aaron Civale (R)
7/20CHC [ 1 ]BOS [ 6 ]11670000000Garrett Crochet (L)
7/9MIN [ 4 ]CHC [ 2 ]-1049.54.67526144David Festa (R)
4.333.41.22.80.20.80.8
Kevin Gausman Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/6COL [ 1 ]TOR [ 20 ]-21011.57823011Kyle Freeland (L)
8/1TOR [ 3 ]KCR [ 9 ]-15886506255Michael Wacha (R)
7/26DET [ 1 ]TOR [ 6 ]158761011000Tarik Skubal (L)
7/21TOR [ 4 ]NYY [ 1 ]-10280000000Carlos Rodon (L)
7/12ATH [ 4 ]TOR [ 3 ]-142105225134Jacob Lopez (L)
4.85130.61.82
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cade Horton F57-3-4 (70%)5-0-2 (100%)1-0-2 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)0-3-0 (0%)
Cade Horton9-5 (64.3%)6-1 (85.7%)3-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)0-3 (0%)
Kevin Gausman F510-8-4 (55.6%)3-3-1 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)3-0-0 (100%)3-3-3 (50%)
Kevin Gausman14-8 (63.6%)4-3 (57.1%)1-1 (50%)3-0 (100%)6-3 (66.7%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cade Horton F55-9-0 (35.7%)2-5-0 (28.6%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-1-0 (0%)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Cade Horton5-8-1 (38.5%)2-4-1 (33.3%)1-2-0 (33.3%)1-0-0 (100%)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Kevin Gausman F510-8-3 (55.6%)3-3-0 (50%)2-0-0 (100%)3-0-0 (100%)2-5-2 (28.6%)
Kevin Gausman12-8-2 (60%)6-1-0 (85.7%)1-1-0 (50%)2-1-0 (66.7%)3-5-1 (37.5%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cubs vs. RHP F544-25-16 (63.8%)23-4-9 (85.2%)11-9-4 (55%)2-1-0 (66.7%)8-8-3 (50%)
Cubs vs. RHP52-33 (61.2%)26-10 (72.2%)15-9 (62.5%)2-1 (66.7%)9-10 (47.4%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP F537-40-11 (48.1%)13-11-3 (54.2%)5-5-1 (50%)5-8-1 (38.5%)12-16-6 (42.9%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP50-38 (56.8%)15-12 (55.6%)6-5 (54.5%)9-5 (64.3%)18-16 (52.9%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cubs vs. RHP F544-31-5 (58.7%)17-10-4 (63%)14-10-0 (58.3%)2-1-0 (66.7%)9-9-1 (50%)
Cubs vs. RHP43-36-6 (54.4%)18-15-3 (54.5%)12-11-1 (52.2%)3-0-0 (100%)9-8-2 (52.9%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP F537-45-4 (45.1%)10-16-0 (38.5%)6-4-1 (60%)7-6-1 (53.8%)13-18-2 (41.9%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP49-37-2 (57%)12-14-1 (46.2%)7-4-0 (63.6%)11-3-0 (78.6%)19-14-1 (57.6%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cade Horton5-9 (35.7%)3-4 (42.9%)2-1 (66.7%)0-1 (0%)0-3 (0%)
Cubs54-62 (46.6%)24-27 (47.1%)16-16 (50%)2-3 (40%)12-14 (46.2%)
Kevin Gausman13-8 (61.9%)3-4 (42.9%)1-1 (50%)3-0 (100%)6-3 (66.7%)
Blue Jays68-48 (58.6%)17-18 (48.6%)7-10 (41.2%)16-5 (76.2%)28-15 (65.1%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cade Horton6-8 (42.9%)2-5 (28.6%)2-1 (66.7%)0-1 (0%)2-1 (66.7%)
Cubs60-59 (50.4%)24-27 (47.1%)20-12 (62.5%)2-3 (40%)12-14 (46.2%)
Kevin Gausman13-9 (59.1%)4-3 (57.1%)1-1 (50%)2-1 (66.7%)6-3 (66.7%)
Blue Jays62-58 (51.7%)19-16 (54.3%)8-9 (47.1%)10-11 (47.6%)22-21 (51.2%)


Batting Matchup
CubsBlue Jays
118TG120
5.1R/G4.9
167HR139
0.253AVG0.27
125SB56
23CS18
CubsBlue Jays
0.183ISO0.159
0.285BABIP0.303
0.322OBP0.34
0.435SLG0.429
0.328wOBA0.334
113wRC+114
CubsBlue Jays
8.8BB%8.6
20.3K%17.3
0.43BB/K0.5
9.8Barrel%8.2
39.5HardHit%41.2
24WAR25.2

Pitching Matchup
Cade HortonKevin Gausman
15G23
14GS23
79.1IP135.2
5.3IP/G5.9
6W8
3L8
74.8LOB%71.1
Cade HortonKevin Gausman
6.69K/98.96
2.84BB/92.59
10.4K/BB%17.5
47GB%33.5
36.9FB%45.8
0.79HR/91.13
8HR/FB%10.1
Cade HortonKevin Gausman
0.281BABIP0.254
3.18ERA3.85
4.28xERA3.62
3.9FIP3.67
4.41xFIP3.91
1.22WHIP1.08
4.46SIERA3.83
1.1WAR2.4

Bullpen Matchup
CubsBlue Jays
3.27BPU/G3.43
3.6IP/G3.7
20W31
19L16
26SV34
13BS19
73.2LOB%70.7
CubsBlue Jays
7.7K/99.85
3.1BB/93.78
12.2K/BB%15.9
42.7GB%40.1
38.2FB%40.4
1.08HR/91.08
10.7HR/FB%11.2
CubsBlue Jays
0.282BABIP0.281
3.86ERA4.04
4.11FIP3.94
4.24xFIP3.99
1.27WHIP1.25
3.96SIERA3.57
1.4WAR2.7