Rays @ Athletics [ Athletics +112 / 9.5 ]

Rays | 58-63 (47.9%) Drew Rasmussen (R) | 9-5 | WHIP: 1.00 | ERA: 2.66
Athletics | 54-64 (45.8%) JT Ginn (R) | 2-4 | WHIP: 1.24 | ERA: 4.39

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Rays
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup:-2
Est. fair odds: +125 to +141
Implied win prob: 41.49% to 44.44%
Athletics
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
3/3
Matchup:2
Est. fair odds: -125 to -141
Implied win prob: 55.56% to 58.51%
Rays Situational Notes
Baller Systems
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Athletics Situational Notes

Rays Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/15SFG [ 0 ]Landen Roupp (R)TBR -
SFG -		-TBR [ 0 ]TBD (-)
8/13ATH [ 0 ]JT Ginn (R)TBR -132
ATH +112		9.5TBR [ 0 ]Drew Rasmussen (R)
8/12ATH [ 6 ]Jacob Lopez (L)TBR -104
ATH -110		10TBR [ 0 ]Shane Baz (R)
8/11ATH [ 4 ]Jeffrey Springs (L)TBR -106
ATH -110		10TBR [ 7 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)
8/10SEA [ 6 ]Bryan Woo (R)TBR +160
SEA -180		7.5TBR [ 3 ]Adrian Houser (R)
8/9SEA [ 7 ]Logan Evans (R)TBR +120
SEA -142		7.5TBR [ 4 ]Joe Boyle (R)
8/8SEA [ 3 ]Luis Castillo (R)TBR +110
SEA -130		7TBR [ 2 ]Drew Rasmussen (R)
8/6LAA [ 4 ]Tyler Anderson (L)TBR -122
LAA +102		9TBR [ 5 ]Shane Baz (R)
8/5LAA [ 3 ]Jose Soriano (R)TBR +108
LAA -126		8TBR [ 7 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)
8/4LAA [ 5 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)TBR +110
LAA -120		8.5TBR [ 1 ]Adrian Houser (R)
Athletics Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/15ATH [ 0 ]TBD (-)ATH -
LAA -		-LAA [ 0 ]TBD (-)
8/13ATH [ 0 ]JT Ginn (R)ATH +112
TBR -132		9.5TBR [ 0 ]Drew Rasmussen (R)
8/12ATH [ 6 ]Jacob Lopez (L)ATH -112
TBR -106		10TBR [ 0 ]Shane Baz (R)
8/11ATH [ 4 ]Jeffrey Springs (L)ATH -110
TBR -106		10TBR [ 7 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)
8/10BAL [ 2 ]Cade Povich (L)ATH +112
BAL -120		9.5ATH [ 3 ]Luis Morales (R)
8/9BAL [ 3 ]Brandon Young (R)ATH -102
BAL -116		9.5ATH [ 11 ]Jack Perkins (R)
8/8BAL [ 3 ]Tomoyuki Sugano (R)ATH -100
BAL -118		9.5ATH [ 2 ]JT Ginn (R)
8/7WSN [ 0 ]Mitchell Parker (L)ATH -134
WSN +126		9ATH [ 6 ]Jacob Lopez (L)
8/6WSN [ 2 ]Cade Cavalli (R)ATH -130
WSN +122		9ATH [ 1 ]Jeffrey Springs (L)
8/5WSN [ 7 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)ATH +110
WSN -134		8.5ATH [ 16 ]Luis Severino (R)

Drew Rasmussen Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/8SEA [ 3 ]TBR [ 2 ]11076404000Luis Castillo (R)
8/2TBR [ 4 ]LAD [ 0 ]1028.55.33604000Blake Snell (L)
7/28NYY [ 2 ]TBR [ 4 ]1108.55524022Cam Schlittler (R)
7/22TBR [ 4 ]CHW [ 3 ]-2358.50000000Davis Martin (R)
7/11BOS [ 5 ]TBR [ 4 ]-10692113011Hunter Dobbins (R)
3.673.20.6300.60.6
JT Ginn Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/8BAL [ 3 ]ATH [ 2 ]-1009.55923233Tomoyuki Sugano (R)
8/2ATH [ 2 ]ARI [ 7 ]-112104.33254144Zac Gallen (R)
7/27HOU [ 1 ]ATH [ 7 ]11886403000Colton Gordon (L)
7/22TEX [ 6 ]ATH [ 2 ]1987.50000000Jacob deGrom (R)
5/19ATH [ 3 ]LAA [ 4 ]-1409.54706244Jose Soriano (R)
3.874.41.43.212.22.2
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Drew Rasmussen F514-5-4 (73.7%)6-2-3 (75%)2-0-1 (100%)1-2-0 (33.3%)5-1-0 (83.3%)
Drew Rasmussen13-10 (56.5%)6-5 (54.5%)2-1 (66.7%)1-2 (33.3%)4-2 (66.7%)
JT Ginn F51-5-1 (16.7%)0-2-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)1-2-1 (33.3%)
JT Ginn2-5 (28.6%)0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)1-3 (25%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Drew Rasmussen F57-13-3 (35%)2-7-2 (22.2%)0-2-1 (0%)1-2-0 (33.3%)4-2-0 (66.7%)
Drew Rasmussen6-16-1 (27.3%)2-9-0 (18.2%)0-3-0 (0%)1-2-0 (33.3%)3-2-1 (60%)
JT Ginn F53-4-0 (42.9%)2-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)0-4-0 (0%)
JT Ginn1-4-2 (20%)0-2-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-2 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Rays vs. RHP F542-36-9 (53.8%)18-12-3 (60%)4-4-1 (50%)1-4-1 (20%)18-14-2 (56.3%)
Rays vs. RHP43-44 (49.4%)22-11 (66.7%)4-5 (44.4%)1-5 (16.7%)15-19 (44.1%)
Athletics vs. RHP F539-41-19 (48.8%)4-8-1 (33.3%)3-1-3 (75%)13-15-6 (46.4%)19-15-9 (55.9%)
Athletics vs. RHP43-56 (43.4%)4-9 (30.8%)6-1 (85.7%)16-18 (47.1%)16-27 (37.2%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Rays vs. RHP F535-39-8 (47.3%)12-15-3 (44.4%)4-4-1 (50%)2-3-0 (40%)16-13-4 (55.2%)
Rays vs. RHP38-44-5 (46.3%)15-16-2 (48.4%)3-6-0 (33.3%)2-4-0 (33.3%)16-16-2 (50%)
Athletics vs. RHP F547-45-3 (51.1%)8-4-1 (66.7%)2-5-0 (28.6%)19-11-1 (63.3%)17-24-1 (41.5%)
Athletics vs. RHP46-48-5 (48.9%)5-8-0 (38.5%)1-4-2 (20%)15-18-1 (45.5%)23-18-2 (56.1%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Drew Rasmussen14-9 (60.9%)4-7 (36.4%)2-1 (66.7%)2-1 (66.7%)6-0 (100%)
Rays57-59 (49.1%)17-29 (37%)4-6 (40%)6-8 (42.9%)30-16 (65.2%)
JT Ginn3-4 (42.9%)0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)2-2 (50%)
Athletics65-56 (53.7%)4-15 (21.1%)6-2 (75%)25-17 (59.5%)30-22 (57.7%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Drew Rasmussen11-12 (47.8%)5-6 (45.5%)0-3 (0%)1-2 (33.3%)5-1 (83.3%)
Rays62-59 (51.2%)27-19 (58.7%)3-7 (30%)8-6 (57.1%)22-24 (47.8%)
JT Ginn5-2 (71.4%)2-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-1 (0%)3-1 (75%)
Athletics58-66 (46.8%)11-8 (57.9%)3-5 (37.5%)22-20 (52.4%)21-31 (40.4%)


Batting Matchup
RaysAthletics
121TG122
4.4R/G4.4
134HR165
0.251AVG0.254
151SB65
40CS20
RaysAthletics
0.149ISO0.178
0.301BABIP0.298
0.314OBP0.319
0.4SLG0.432
0.311wOBA0.326
98wRC+105
RaysAthletics
7.9BB%8.3
22.8K%22.5
0.34BB/K0.37
7.6Barrel%8.3
40.1HardHit%39.3
11.5WAR16.3

Pitching Matchup
Drew RasmussenJT Ginn
23G15
23GS8
111.2IP53.1
4.8IP/G3.5
9W2
5L4
81.4LOB%82.4
Drew RasmussenJT Ginn
7.82K/99.79
2.01BB/92.87
16.7K/BB%18.4
50.3GB%53.8
31.9FB%31.7
0.81HR/92.03
10.3HR/FB%26.1
Drew RasmussenJT Ginn
0.26BABIP0.278
2.66ERA4.39
3.47xERA3.6
3.31FIP4.98
3.46xFIP3.36
1WHIP1.24
3.64SIERA3.34
2.6WAR0.2

Bullpen Matchup
RaysAthletics
3.1BPU/G3.1
3.4IP/G3.8
18W18
22L17
26SV25
20BS17
75.2LOB%67.6
RaysAthletics
9.47K/99.12
3.15BB/94.35
16.7K/BB%11.9
41.5GB%40
39.4FB%40.5
1.17HR/91.19
12HR/FB%11.4
RaysAthletics
0.288BABIP0.31
3.72ERA5.11
3.88FIP4.42
3.82xFIP4.45
1.24WHIP1.47
3.46SIERA4.04
3.7WAR1.3