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Mariners @ Astros [ +130 / 7 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

September 25, 2024, 1:10 pm
Mariners | 85-77 (52.5%), George Kirby (R) | 14-11 (56%)
Astros | 88-74 (54.3%), Yusei Kikuchi (L) | 9-10 (47.37%)

Last updated: September 27, 2024 2:03 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Mariners
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Astros
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Mariners Situational Notes

Astros Situational Notes
Home stand (7th consecutive game at home or more)

Mariners Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/27SEABryan Woo (R)SEA -172
OAK +144		7.5OAKJP Sears (L)
9/25HOUYusei Kikuchi (L)SEA -154
HOU +130		7SEAGeorge Kirby (R)
9/24HOU [ 4 ]Framber Valdez (L)SEA +110
HOU -130		7SEA [ 3 ]Logan Gilbert (R)
9/23HOU [ 1 ]Hunter Brown (R)SEA +112
HOU -132		7.5SEA [ 6 ]Bryce Miller (R)
9/22TEX [ 6 ]Andrew Heaney (L)SEA -142
TEX +120		7.5SEA [ 5 ]Bryan Woo (R)
9/21TEX [ 4 ]Dane Dunning (R)SEA -110
TEX -106		9SEA [ 8 ]Emerson Hancock (R)
9/20TEX [ 2 ]Jacob deGrom (R)SEA +106
TEX -124		7SEA [ 8 ]George Kirby (R)
9/19SEA [ 3 ]Logan Gilbert (R)SEA -120
NYY +102		7.5NYY [ 2 ]Clarke Schmidt (R)
9/18SEA [ 1 ]Bryce Miller (R)SEA +102
NYY -120		7.5NYY [ 2 ]Nestor Cortes (L)
9/17SEA [ 2 ]Bryan Woo (R)SEA -104
NYY -112		7NYY [ 11 ]Luis Gil (R)

Astros Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/27CLEJoey Cantillo (L)HOU +102
CLE -120		8HOURonel Blanco (R)
9/25HOUYusei Kikuchi (L)HOU +130
SEA -154		7SEAGeorge Kirby (R)
9/24HOU [ 4 ]Framber Valdez (L)HOU -130
SEA +110		7SEA [ 3 ]Logan Gilbert (R)
9/23HOU [ 1 ]Hunter Brown (R)HOU -132
SEA +112		7.5SEA [ 6 ]Bryce Miller (R)
9/22HOU [ 8 ]Spencer Arrighetti (R)HOU -275
LAA +225		8LAA [ 9 ]Griffin Canning (R)
9/21HOU [ 10 ]Ronel Blanco (R)HOU -230
LAA +190		7.5LAA [ 4 ]Reid Detmers (L)
9/20HOU [ 9 ]Justin Verlander (R)HOU -255
LAA +210		8LAA [ 7 ]Tyler Anderson (L)
9/19HOU [ 3 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)HOU -290
LAA +235		8LAA [ 1 ]Jose Suarez (L)
9/18SDP [ 4 ]Dylan Cease (R)HOU -106
SDP -110		6.5HOU [ 0 ]Framber Valdez (L)
9/17SDP [ 3 ]Michael King (R)HOU -100
SDP -118		7.5HOU [ 4 ]Hunter Brown (R)

George Kirby Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
9/20TEX [ 2 ]SEA [ 8 ]10676405022Jacob deGrom (R)
9/15SEA [ 7 ]TEX [ 0 ]-1626.57301000Andrew Heaney (L)
9/10SEA [ 3 ]SDP [ 7 ]-12675417255Yu Darvish (R)
9/4OAK [ 3 ]SEA [ 16 ]-1427.56906022JP Sears (L)
8/30LAA [ 5 ]SEA [ 9 ]-1868.55.67215355Samuel Aldegheri (L)
5.934.40.44.812.82.8

Yusei Kikuchi Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
9/19HOU [ 3 ]LAA [ 1 ]-29086915111Jose Suarez (L)
9/13LAA [ 3 ]HOU [ 5 ]-2158.57623133Samuel Aldegheri (L)
9/7HOU [ 11 ]ARI [ 5 ]-15686607244Eduardo Rodriguez (L)
8/31HOU [ 5 ]KCR [ 2 ]-1307.571205011Cole Ragans (L)
8/25BAL [ 3 ]HOU [ 6 ]-10685.67432133Dean Kremer (R)
6.337.41.24.412.42.4


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

MarinersAstros
162TG161
4.2R/G4.6
185HR190
0.224AVG0.262
140SB93
28CS24
MarinersAstros
0.152ISO0.157
0.284BABIP0.299
0.311OBP0.322
0.376SLG0.418
0.303wOBA0.321
104wRC+111
MarinersAstros
9.4BB%7.3
26.8K%19.3
0.35BB/K0.38
8.9Barrel%7.5
40.3HardHit%38.7
21.3WAR26.1

Pitching Matchup

George KirbyYusei Kikuchi
33G32
33GS32
191IP175.2
5.8IP/G5.5
14W9
11L10
71.6LOB%71.9
George KirbyYusei Kikuchi
8.43K/910.55
1.08BB/92.25
20.1K/BB%22
41.3GB%42.6
40.7FB%38.6
1.04HR/91.28
9.6HR/FB%13.5
George KirbyYusei Kikuchi
0.291BABIP0.309
3.53ERA4.05
3.39xERA3.75
3.26FIP3.46
3.58xFIP3.2
1.07WHIP1.2
3.56SIERA3.3
4.2WAR3.5

Bullpen Matchup

MarinersAstros
3.23BPU/G3.17
3IP/G3.4
26W29
27L26
34SV43
22BS26
72.5LOB%75.7
MarinersAstros
9.67K/99.66
3.38BB/93.56
16.9K/BB%16.1
39.8GB%41.5
39.9FB%38.7
1.12HR/91.18
11.9HR/FB%12.7
MarinersAstros
0.265BABIP0.281
3.71ERA3.66
3.91FIP4.08
3.87xFIP3.94
1.17WHIP1.25
3.52SIERA3.6
1.7WAR2.1

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
George Kirby F515-14-4 (51.7%)6-5-1 (54.5%)7-3-1 (70%)0-0-0 (-)2-3-1 (40%)
George Kirby16-17 (48.5%)6-6 (50%)6-5 (54.5%)0-0 (-)3-3 (50%)
Yusei Kikuchi F512-13-8 (48%)3-7-4 (30%)6-1-0 (85.7%)2-1-1 (66.7%)1-4-3 (20%)
Yusei Kikuchi16-17 (48.5%)8-6 (57.1%)5-2 (71.4%)0-4 (0%)3-5 (37.5%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
George Kirby F518-13-1 (58.1%)8-4-0 (66.7%)5-4-1 (55.6%)0-0-0 (-)3-3-0 (50%)
George Kirby19-12-2 (61.3%)9-3-0 (75%)5-6-0 (45.5%)0-0-0 (-)4-1-1 (80%)
Yusei Kikuchi F510-21-2 (32.3%)4-9-1 (30.8%)2-5-0 (28.6%)0-3-1 (0%)4-4-0 (50%)
Yusei Kikuchi18-15-0 (54.5%)8-6-0 (57.1%)3-4-0 (42.9%)3-1-0 (75%)4-4-0 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Mariners vs. LHP F523-18-6 (56.1%)8-6-3 (57.1%)11-5-1 (68.8%)1-3-1 (25%)3-4-1 (42.9%)
Mariners vs. LHP24-23 (51.1%)9-8 (52.9%)9-8 (52.9%)2-3 (40%)4-4 (50%)
Astros vs. RHP F558-43-13 (57.4%)28-20-3 (58.3%)13-11-2 (54.2%)5-2-1 (71.4%)11-10-5 (52.4%)
Astros vs. RHP62-52 (54.4%)29-22 (56.9%)15-11 (57.7%)3-5 (37.5%)14-12 (53.8%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Mariners vs. LHP F522-23-2 (48.9%)7-10-0 (41.2%)10-5-2 (66.7%)2-3-0 (40%)3-5-0 (37.5%)
Mariners vs. LHP23-21-3 (52.3%)6-10-1 (37.5%)13-4-0 (76.5%)0-4-1 (0%)4-3-1 (57.1%)
Astros vs. RHP F548-61-4 (44%)24-24-2 (50%)13-13-0 (50%)3-5-0 (37.5%)8-16-2 (33.3%)
Astros vs. RHP46-64-4 (41.8%)24-25-2 (49%)7-17-2 (29.2%)4-4-0 (50%)11-15-0 (42.3%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
George Kirby13-16 (44.8%)5-7 (41.7%)5-6 (45.5%)0-0 (-)3-3 (50%)
Mariners68-87 (43.9%)23-39 (37.1%)21-26 (44.7%)8-6 (57.1%)16-16 (50%)
Yusei Kikuchi13-20 (39.4%)3-11 (21.4%)4-3 (57.1%)0-4 (0%)6-2 (75%)
Astros80-77 (51%)33-40 (45.2%)22-22 (50%)5-4 (55.6%)20-11 (64.5%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
George Kirby19-14 (57.6%)7-5 (58.3%)8-3 (72.7%)0-0 (-)3-3 (50%)
Mariners70-92 (43.2%)21-41 (33.9%)30-17 (63.8%)6-8 (42.9%)12-20 (37.5%)
Yusei Kikuchi14-19 (42.4%)7-7 (50%)1-6 (14.3%)3-1 (75%)3-5 (37.5%)
Astros73-87 (45.6%)33-40 (45.2%)24-20 (54.5%)4-5 (44.4%)12-19 (38.7%)