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Royals @ Pirates [ -116 / 8 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

September 14, 2024, 1:05 pm
Royals | 82-71 (53.6%), Michael Wacha (R) | 13-7 (65%)
Pirates | 71-82 (46.4%), Mitch Keller (R) | 11-10 (52.38%)

Last updated: September 16, 2024 9:07 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Royals
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Pirates
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Royals Situational Notes

Pirates Situational Notes
Home stand (7th consecutive game at home or more)

Royals Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/15PITJared Jones (R)KCR -102
PIT -116		7.5KCRBrady Singer (R)
9/14PITMitch Keller (R)KCR -102
PIT -104		8KCRMichael Wacha (R)
9/13PIT [ 3 ]Luis Ortiz (R)KCR +104
PIT -112		8.5KCR [ 8 ]Alec Marsh (R)
9/11NYY [ 4 ]Luis Gil (R)KCR +128
NYY -148		8KCR [ 3 ]Cole Ragans (L)
9/10NYY [ 0 ]Marcus Stroman (R)KCR +126
NYY -144		8.5KCR [ 5 ]Seth Lugo (R)
9/9NYY [ 10 ]Carlos Rodon (L)KCR +150
NYY -184		8.5KCR [ 4 ]Brady Singer (R)
9/8KCR [ 2 ]Michael Wacha (R)KCR -120
MIN +102		8.5MIN [ 0 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)
9/7KCR [ 4 ]Alec Marsh (R)KCR +118
MIN -138		8MIN [ 2 ]Bailey Ober (R)
9/6KCR [ 5 ]Cole Ragans (L)KCR -142
MIN +120		7.5MIN [ 0 ]Zebby Matthews (R)
9/4KCR [ 4 ]Seth Lugo (R)KCR -132
CLE +112		8.5CLE [ 1 ]Ben Lively (R)

Pirates Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/15PITJared Jones (R)PIT -116
KCR -102		7.5KCRBrady Singer (R)
9/14PITMitch Keller (R)PIT -116
KCR -112		8KCRMichael Wacha (R)
9/13PIT [ 3 ]Luis Ortiz (R)PIT -122
KCR -104		8.5KCR [ 8 ]Alec Marsh (R)
9/11PIT [ 3 ]Bailey Falter (L)PIT -180
MIA +128		8.5MIA [ 1 ]Jonathan Bermudez (L)
9/10PIT [ 6 ]Carmen Mlodzinski (R)PIT -148
MIA +138		9MIA [ 4 ]Adam Oller (R)
9/9PIT [ 3 ]Paul Skenes (R)PIT -260
MIA +225		7.5MIA [ 2 ]Valente Bellozo (R)
9/8PIT [ 7 ]Jared Jones (R)PIT -164
WSN +136		8.5WSN [ 3 ]Patrick Corbin (L)
9/7WSN [ 8 ]0 (0)PIT -
WSN -		-PIT [ 6 ]0 (0)
9/7PIT [ 6 ]Mitch Keller (0)PIT -144
WSN +122		7.5WSN [ 8 ]Mitchell Parker (0)
9/7PIT [ 3 ]Luis Ortiz (0)PIT -116
WSN -102		8.5WSN [ 5 ]DJ Herz (0)

Michael Wacha Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
9/8KCR [ 2 ]MIN [ 0 ]-1208.57714000Simeon Woods Richardson (R)
9/2KCR [ 2 ]CLE [ 4 ]-11685315122Gavin Williams (R)
8/28CLE [ 7 ]KCR [ 5 ]11886709155Tanner Bibee (R)
8/23KCR [ 7 ]PHI [ 4 ]-1349.56506022Taijuan Walker (R)
8/17CIN [ 1 ]KCR [ 13 ]1089.56914000Nick Lodolo (L)
66.20.65.60.41.81.8

Mitch Keller Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
9/7PIT [ 6 ]WSN [ 8 ]-1447.56807022Mitchell Parker (0)
9/1CLE [ 6 ]PIT [ 1 ]1267.55.337011334Alex Cobb (R)
8/26PIT [ 8 ]CHC [ 18 ]-1128.54427033Jameson Taillon (R)
8/20TEX [ 0 ]PIT [ 4 ]12087903000Cody Bradford (L)
8/14SDP [ 8 ]PIT [ 2 ]1208.55228288Martin Perez (L)
5.4760.87.213.23.4


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

RoyalsPirates
153TG152
4.7R/G4.2
167HR146
0.252AVG0.236
128SB101
30CS17
RoyalsPirates
0.161ISO0.135
0.286BABIP0.294
0.31OBP0.302
0.414SLG0.371
0.312wOBA0.295
99wRC+86
RoyalsPirates
7.1BB%7.9
19K%24.6
0.37BB/K0.32
7.6Barrel%8.2
40.5HardHit%39.8
21.3WAR5.9

Pitching Matchup

Michael WachaMitch Keller
27G29
27GS29
156IP169.2
5.8IP/G5.8
13W11
7L10
78.3LOB%74.9
Michael WachaMitch Keller
7.96K/98.43
2.48BB/92.28
14.8K/BB%15.9
38.2GB%40.1
41.5FB%37.3
0.92HR/91.11
8.6HR/FB%11.1
Michael WachaMitch Keller
0.29BABIP0.301
3.29ERA3.87
4.12xERA4.03
3.66FIP3.93
4.13xFIP4.02
1.19WHIP1.25
4.15SIERA3.98
3.1WAR2.4

Bullpen Matchup

RoyalsPirates
3.12BPU/G3.13
3.1IP/G3.6
23W30
25L32
37SV38
23BS27
69.3LOB%67
RoyalsPirates
7.9K/99.07
3.48BB/93.95
11.3K/BB%12.9
45.1GB%41.6
36.6FB%38
0.88HR/90.9
8.9HR/FB%9.2
RoyalsPirates
0.302BABIP0.311
4.36ERA4.67
4FIP4.02
4.38xFIP4.37
1.37WHIP1.41
4.11SIERA3.98
2.8WAR2.5

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Michael Wacha F512-11-4 (52.2%)5-2-1 (71.4%)2-3-0 (40%)1-1-1 (50%)3-4-2 (42.9%)
Michael Wacha16-11 (59.3%)6-2 (75%)4-1 (80%)2-1 (66.7%)3-6 (33.3%)
Mitch Keller F513-12-4 (52%)4-3-3 (57.1%)1-2-1 (33.3%)3-1-0 (75%)5-6-0 (45.5%)
Mitch Keller17-12 (58.6%)6-4 (60%)1-3 (25%)2-2 (50%)8-3 (72.7%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Michael Wacha F510-14-1 (41.7%)3-5-0 (37.5%)1-3-0 (25%)1-2-0 (33.3%)4-3-1 (57.1%)
Michael Wacha11-16-0 (40.7%)4-4-0 (50%)1-4-0 (20%)1-2-0 (33.3%)4-5-0 (44.4%)
Mitch Keller F512-13-2 (48%)3-5-1 (37.5%)4-0-0 (100%)1-3-0 (25%)4-5-1 (44.4%)
Mitch Keller15-14-0 (51.7%)5-5-0 (50%)1-3-0 (25%)1-3-0 (25%)8-3-0 (72.7%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Royals vs. RHP F559-41-19 (59%)23-6-7 (79.3%)9-7-1 (56.3%)9-10-3 (47.4%)16-17-7 (48.5%)
Royals vs. RHP69-50 (58%)26-10 (72.2%)14-3 (82.4%)12-10 (54.5%)14-26 (35%)
Pirates vs. RHP F538-49-17 (43.7%)15-9-6 (62.5%)5-4-4 (55.6%)7-15-2 (31.8%)10-20-5 (33.3%)
Pirates vs. RHP48-56 (46.2%)15-15 (50%)9-4 (69.2%)10-14 (41.7%)13-22 (37.1%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Royals vs. RHP F549-62-5 (44.1%)13-21-2 (38.2%)4-11-0 (26.7%)12-10-0 (54.5%)18-19-2 (48.6%)
Royals vs. RHP54-63-2 (46.2%)15-21-0 (41.7%)4-13-0 (23.5%)12-9-1 (57.1%)20-19-1 (51.3%)
Pirates vs. RHP F548-48-7 (50%)17-11-1 (60.7%)5-8-0 (38.5%)10-13-1 (43.5%)15-15-5 (50%)
Pirates vs. RHP50-52-2 (49%)17-12-1 (58.6%)3-10-0 (23.1%)11-12-1 (47.8%)18-17-0 (51.4%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Michael Wacha13-12 (52%)6-2 (75%)2-3 (40%)2-1 (66.7%)3-6 (33.3%)
Royals83-61 (57.6%)26-18 (59.1%)11-13 (45.8%)15-11 (57.7%)31-19 (62%)
Mitch Keller15-14 (51.7%)4-6 (40%)1-3 (25%)2-2 (50%)8-3 (72.7%)
Pirates81-67 (54.7%)15-27 (35.7%)9-9 (50%)22-11 (66.7%)35-20 (63.6%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Michael Wacha9-18 (33.3%)2-6 (25%)2-3 (40%)0-3 (0%)3-6 (33.3%)
Royals63-87 (42%)19-25 (43.2%)11-13 (45.8%)14-12 (53.8%)16-34 (32%)
Mitch Keller13-16 (44.8%)3-7 (30%)2-2 (50%)2-2 (50%)6-5 (54.5%)
Pirates64-88 (42.1%)21-21 (50%)7-11 (38.9%)14-19 (42.4%)19-36 (34.5%)