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Astros @ Angels [ +180 / 8.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

September 13, 2024, 6:38 pm
Astros | 82-70 (53.9%), Yusei Kikuchi (L) | 9-9 (50%)
Angels | 62-90 (40.8%), Samuel Aldegheri (L) | 1-2 (33.33%)

Last updated: September 15, 2024 11:45 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Astros
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Angels
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Astros Situational Notes
Baller Systems
• Fade home dog off long road trip

Angels Situational Notes
Rest Advantage

Astros Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/14LAATyler Anderson (L)HOU -158
LAA +134		8.5HOUJustin Verlander (R)
9/13LAASamuel Aldegheri (L)HOU -215
LAA +180		8.5HOUYusei Kikuchi (L)
9/12HOU [ 6 ]Framber Valdez (L)HOU -270
OAK +220		8OAK [ 3 ]Mitch Spence (R)
9/11HOU [ 4 ]Hunter Brown (R)HOU -235
OAK +194		8.5OAK [ 5 ]Joey Estes (R)
9/10HOU [ 3 ]Spencer Arrighetti (R)HOU -190
OAK +160		8.5OAK [ 4 ]JP Sears (L)
9/8HOU [ 6 ]Justin Verlander (R)HOU -138
ARI +118		8.5ARI [ 12 ]Ryne Nelson (R)
9/7HOU [ 11 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)HOU -156
ARI +132		8ARI [ 5 ]Eduardo Rodriguez (L)
9/6HOU [ 8 ]Framber Valdez (L)HOU -162
ARI +136		7.5ARI [ 0 ]Brandon Pfaadt (R)
9/5CIN [ 1 ]Rhett Lowder (R)HOU -162
CIN +136		9HOU [ 0 ]Hunter Brown (R)
9/4CIN [ 12 ]Nick Martinez (R)HOU -134
CIN +118		9HOU [ 5 ]Spencer Arrighetti (R)

Angels Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/14LAATyler Anderson (L)LAA +134
HOU -158		8.5HOUJustin Verlander (R)
9/13LAASamuel Aldegheri (L)LAA +180
HOU -215		8.5HOUYusei Kikuchi (L)
9/11MIN [ 6 ]Zebby Matthews (R)LAA +180
MIN -215		9LAA [ 4 ]Jack Kochanowicz (R)
9/10MIN [ 10 ]Pablo Lopez (R)LAA +215
MIN -260		8LAA [ 5 ]Griffin Canning (R)
9/9MIN [ 2 ]David Festa (R)LAA +144
MIN -172		8LAA [ 6 ]Reid Detmers (L)
9/8TEX [ 7 ]Andrew Heaney (L)LAA +144
TEX -172		8.5LAA [ 4 ]Caden Dana (R)
9/7TEX [ 6 ]Jack Leiter (R)LAA +118
TEX -138		8.5LAA [ 4 ]Tyler Anderson (L)
9/6TEX [ 1 ]Gerson Garabito (R)LAA +134
TEX -158		9LAA [ 5 ]Samuel Aldegheri (L)
9/5TEX [ 3 ]Cody Bradford (L)LAA +166
TEX -198		8.5LAA [ 1 ]Jack Kochanowicz (R)
9/4LAA [ 10 ]Griffin Canning (R)LAA +172
LAD -205		10LAD [ 1 ]Bobby Miller (R)

Yusei Kikuchi Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
9/7HOU [ 11 ]ARI [ 5 ]-15686607244Eduardo Rodriguez (L)
8/31HOU [ 5 ]KCR [ 2 ]-1307.571205011Cole Ragans (L)
8/25BAL [ 3 ]HOU [ 6 ]-10685.67432133Dean Kremer (R)
8/19HOU [ 5 ]BOS [ 4 ]-13885.67716113Tanner Houck (R)
8/13TBR [ 2 ]HOU [ 3 ]-13685.67503011Shane Baz (R)
66.80.84.60.822.4

Samuel Aldegheri Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
9/6TEX [ 1 ]LAA [ 5 ]13496733011Gerson Garabito (R)
8/30LAA [ 5 ]SEA [ 9 ]1568.55326127George Kirby (R)
5.552.54.50.51.54


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

AstrosAngels
152TG152
4.6R/G3.9
176HR157
0.26AVG0.228
89SB124
23CS46
AstrosAngels
0.154ISO0.141
0.298BABIP0.276
0.32OBP0.301
0.415SLG0.37
0.318wOBA0.295
109wRC+89
AstrosAngels
7.2BB%8.1
19.3K%23.4
0.37BB/K0.35
7.5Barrel%7.2
38.6HardHit%36.6
23.2WAR5.8

Pitching Matchup

Yusei KikuchiSamuel Aldegheri
30G3
30GS3
163.2IP13
5.4IP/G4.3
9W1
9L2
71.3LOB%62
Yusei KikuchiSamuel Aldegheri
10.39K/96.92
2.31BB/96.92
21.4K/BB%0
42.2GB%22.2
38FB%57.8
1.32HR/91.38
14HR/FB%7.7
Yusei KikuchiSamuel Aldegheri
0.311BABIP0.302
4.29ERA4.85
3.92xERA4.36
3.57FIP6.4
3.25xFIP7.43
1.22WHIP1.92
3.37SIERA6.54
3.1WAR-0.1

Bullpen Matchup

AstrosAngels
3.16BPU/G3.16
3.4IP/G3.7
27W28
25L19
39SV34
24BS16
77.1LOB%72.2
AstrosAngels
9.52K/98.44
3.62BB/94.04
15.6K/BB%11.7
41.6GB%40.6
38.7FB%41.1
1.17HR/91.05
12.7HR/FB%10.5
AstrosAngels
0.275BABIP0.253
3.52ERA3.83
4.13FIP4.35
3.99xFIP4.52
1.23WHIP1.23
3.66SIERA4.15
1.9WAR1.9

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yusei Kikuchi F511-13-7 (45.8%)3-7-3 (30%)6-1-0 (85.7%)1-1-1 (50%)1-4-3 (20%)
Yusei Kikuchi15-16 (48.4%)7-6 (53.8%)5-2 (71.4%)0-3 (0%)3-5 (37.5%)
Samuel Aldegheri F51-2-0 (33.3%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)
Samuel Aldegheri1-2 (33.3%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)1-0 (100%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yusei Kikuchi F510-19-2 (34.5%)4-8-1 (33.3%)2-5-0 (28.6%)0-2-1 (0%)4-4-0 (50%)
Yusei Kikuchi17-14-0 (54.8%)8-5-0 (61.5%)3-4-0 (42.9%)2-1-0 (66.7%)4-4-0 (50%)
Samuel Aldegheri F52-1-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)2-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)
Samuel Aldegheri1-2-0 (33.3%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Astros vs. LHP F518-15-9 (54.5%)8-7-4 (53.3%)8-6-3 (57.1%)1-0-0 (100%)1-2-2 (33.3%)
Astros vs. LHP21-21 (50%)12-7 (63.2%)8-9 (47.1%)0-1 (0%)1-4 (20%)
Angels vs. LHP F512-15-4 (44.4%)0-0-1 (-)1-0-0 (100%)4-6-1 (40%)6-9-2 (40%)
Angels vs. LHP13-18 (41.9%)0-1 (0%)0-1 (0%)5-6 (45.5%)8-9 (47.1%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Astros vs. LHP F517-24-1 (41.5%)5-14-0 (26.3%)9-8-0 (52.9%)0-0-1 (-)3-2-0 (60%)
Astros vs. LHP17-22-3 (43.6%)7-11-1 (38.9%)6-10-1 (37.5%)0-0-1 (-)4-1-0 (80%)
Angels vs. LHP F516-10-4 (61.5%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)6-4-1 (60%)9-4-3 (69.2%)
Angels vs. LHP16-12-3 (57.1%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)6-4-1 (60%)10-6-1 (62.5%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yusei Kikuchi12-19 (38.7%)2-11 (15.4%)4-3 (57.1%)0-3 (0%)6-2 (75%)
Astros74-71 (51%)30-37 (44.8%)20-22 (47.6%)5-3 (62.5%)19-9 (67.9%)
Samuel Aldegheri1-2 (33.3%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)1-0 (100%)
Angels75-67 (52.8%)6-10 (37.5%)0-3 (0%)31-23 (57.4%)38-31 (55.1%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yusei Kikuchi13-18 (41.9%)6-7 (46.2%)1-6 (14.3%)3-0 (100%)3-5 (37.5%)
Astros68-80 (45.9%)30-37 (44.8%)23-19 (54.8%)4-4 (50%)11-17 (39.3%)
Samuel Aldegheri1-2 (33.3%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)
Angels68-80 (45.9%)7-9 (43.8%)2-1 (66.7%)27-27 (50%)30-39 (43.5%)