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Reds @ Cardinals [ -152 / 7.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

September 12, 2024, 12:15 pm
Reds | 74-79 (48.4%), Jakob Junis (R) | 4-0 (100%)
Cardinals | 77-75 (50.7%), Sonny Gray (R) | 13-9 (59.09%)

Last updated: September 14, 2024 8:40 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Reds
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Cardinals
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Reds Situational Notes
Game off giving up a walk-off win

Cardinals Situational Notes
Game off a walk-off win

Reds Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/13MINBailey Ober (R)CIN +190
MIN -230		8.5CINJulian Aguiar (R)
9/12STLSonny Gray (R)CIN +128
STL -152		7.5CINJakob Junis (R)
9/11STL [ 2 ]Lance Lynn (R)CIN +124
STL -146		8CIN [ 1 ]Brandon Williamson (L)
9/10STL [ 0 ]Andre Pallante (R)CIN +114
STL -134		8.5CIN [ 3 ]Rhett Lowder (R)
9/9ATL [ 0 ]Charlie Morton (R)CIN +132
ATL -156		8.5CIN [ 1 ]Nick Martinez (R)
9/8NYM [ 1 ]Luis Severino (R)CIN -
NYM -210		-CIN [ 3 ]Julian Aguiar (R)
9/7NYM [ 4 ]Jose Quintana (L)CIN +128
NYM -152		8.5CIN [ 0 ]Jakob Junis (R)
9/6NYM [ 6 ]Sean Manaea (L)CIN +146
NYM -172		8CIN [ 4 ]Fernando Cruz (R)
9/5CIN [ 1 ]Rhett Lowder (R)CIN +136
HOU -162		9HOU [ 0 ]Hunter Brown (R)
9/4CIN [ 12 ]Nick Martinez (R)CIN +114
HOU -138		9HOU [ 5 ]Spencer Arrighetti (R)

Cardinals Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/13TORKevin Gausman (R)STL +110
TOR -132		8STLErick Fedde (R)
9/12STLSonny Gray (R)STL -152
CIN +128		7.5CINJakob Junis (R)
9/11STL [ 2 ]Lance Lynn (R)STL -146
CIN +124		8CIN [ 1 ]Brandon Williamson (L)
9/10STL [ 0 ]Andre Pallante (R)STL -134
CIN +114		8.5CIN [ 3 ]Rhett Lowder (R)
9/8STL [ 4 ]Miles Mikolas (R)STL +112
SEA -132		7.5SEA [ 10 ]Luis Castillo (R)
9/7STL [ 2 ]Kyle Gibson (R)STL +110
SEA -130		7.5SEA [ 0 ]Logan Gilbert (R)
9/6STL [ 1 ]Erick Fedde (R)STL -104
SEA -112		7.5SEA [ 6 ]Bryce Miller (R)
9/4MIL [ 2 ]Colin Rea (R)STL +102
MIL -120		7.5STL [ 3 ]Sonny Gray (R)
9/3MIL [ 4 ]Aaron Civale (R)STL +130
MIL -154		8STL [ 7 ]Steven Matz (L)
9/2MIL [ 9 ]Freddy Peralta (R)STL +136
MIL -162		7.5STL [ 3 ]Andre Pallante (R)

Jakob Junis Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
9/7NYM [ 4 ]CIN [ 0 ]1288.55511000Jose Quintana (L)
8/27CIN [ 4 ]OAK [ 5 ]-134104300000Mitch Spence (R)
4.540.50.5000

Sonny Gray Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
9/4MIL [ 2 ]STL [ 3 ]1027.57714011Colin Rea (R)
8/29STL [ 4 ]SDP [ 1 ]-1167.56403111Michael King (R)
8/24MIN [ 6 ]STL [ 0 ]1187.56727255Pablo Lopez (R)
8/18STL [ 1 ]LAD [ 2 ]-1127.55637122Clayton Kershaw (L)
8/12CIN [ 6 ]STL [ 1 ]-1428.55925366Andrew Abbott (L)
5.86.61.65.21.433


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

RedsCardinals
153TG152
4.4R/G4.1
169HR156
0.233AVG0.246
200SB89
43CS26
RedsCardinals
0.161ISO0.143
0.285BABIP0.292
0.306OBP0.31
0.394SLG0.389
0.306wOBA0.305
90wRC+97
RedsCardinals
8.3BB%7.7
24.6K%21.6
0.34BB/K0.36
7.1Barrel%6.8
35.9HardHit%37.5
9.6WAR15.6

Pitching Matchup

Jakob JunisSonny Gray
23G28
5GS28
62IP166.1
2.7IP/G5.9
4W13
0L9
77.4LOB%67.9
Jakob JunisSonny Gray
6.97K/910.98
1.02BB/92.11
17.4K/BB%24.4
37.3GB%42.3
40.7FB%35.1
1.02HR/91.14
9.7HR/FB%14.4
Jakob JunisSonny Gray
0.224BABIP0.299
2.61ERA3.84
3.81xERA3.71
3.57FIP3.13
3.86xFIP2.82
0.84WHIP1.09
3.68SIERA3.03
0.9WAR3.8

Bullpen Matchup

RedsCardinals
3.3BPU/G3.14
3.7IP/G3.5
26W30
35L25
35SV51
15BS26
73.2LOB%73.2
RedsCardinals
9.32K/98.35
3.1BB/93.01
16.3K/BB%14.2
38.1GB%46.9
42.3FB%34.7
1.14HR/90.93
10.8HR/FB%10.4
RedsCardinals
0.294BABIP0.286
3.99ERA3.6
3.95FIP3.75
4.08xFIP3.91
1.26WHIP1.23
3.61SIERA3.73
5.2WAR3.9

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jakob Junis F51-1-1 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-1-1 (0%)
Jakob Junis1-2 (33.3%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)
Sonny Gray F515-9-3 (62.5%)9-4-1 (69.2%)4-3-1 (57.1%)1-0-0 (100%)1-2-1 (33.3%)
Sonny Gray16-11 (59.3%)8-6 (57.1%)6-2 (75%)1-0 (100%)1-3 (25%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jakob Junis F50-3-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)
Jakob Junis0-3-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)
Sonny Gray F514-13-0 (51.9%)6-8-0 (42.9%)6-2-0 (75%)0-1-0 (0%)2-2-0 (50%)
Sonny Gray11-16-0 (40.7%)4-10-0 (28.6%)6-2-0 (75%)0-1-0 (0%)1-3-0 (25%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Reds vs. RHP F546-44-17 (51.1%)11-19-3 (36.7%)7-3-2 (70%)10-5-2 (66.7%)17-16-10 (51.5%)
Reds vs. RHP55-52 (51.4%)15-18 (45.5%)9-3 (75%)11-6 (64.7%)19-24 (44.2%)
Cardinals vs. RHP F542-44-17 (48.8%)14-15-2 (48.3%)4-7-1 (36.4%)8-5-7 (61.5%)15-16-7 (48.4%)
Cardinals vs. RHP51-52 (49.5%)14-17 (45.2%)4-8 (33.3%)11-9 (55%)20-18 (52.6%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Reds vs. RHP F552-49-6 (51.5%)13-17-3 (43.3%)10-1-1 (90.9%)10-6-1 (62.5%)18-24-1 (42.9%)
Reds vs. RHP48-54-5 (47.1%)17-13-3 (56.7%)9-3-0 (75%)5-12-0 (29.4%)16-25-2 (39%)
Cardinals vs. RHP F550-46-6 (52.1%)15-16-0 (48.4%)7-5-0 (58.3%)10-8-2 (55.6%)16-17-4 (48.5%)
Cardinals vs. RHP51-50-2 (50.5%)17-14-0 (54.8%)9-3-0 (75%)8-12-0 (40%)15-21-2 (41.7%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jakob Junis0-3 (0%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)
Reds78-67 (53.8%)18-31 (36.7%)10-7 (58.8%)16-9 (64%)34-20 (63%)
Sonny Gray12-15 (44.4%)6-8 (42.9%)3-5 (37.5%)1-0 (100%)2-2 (50%)
Cardinals72-72 (50%)17-30 (36.2%)5-15 (25%)19-6 (76%)31-21 (59.6%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jakob Junis0-3 (0%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)
Reds62-85 (42.2%)16-33 (32.7%)11-6 (64.7%)12-13 (48%)21-33 (38.9%)
Sonny Gray11-16 (40.7%)3-11 (21.4%)5-3 (62.5%)0-1 (0%)3-1 (75%)
Cardinals59-88 (40.1%)20-27 (42.6%)8-12 (40%)8-17 (32%)22-30 (42.3%)