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Marlins @ Pirates [ -180 / 8.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

September 11, 2024, 12:35 pm
Marlins | 56-96 (36.8%), Jonathan Bermudez (L) | 0-1 (0%)
Pirates | 71-82 (46.4%), Bailey Falter (L) | 8-8 (50%)

Last updated: September 13, 2024 9:42 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Marlins
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Pirates
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Marlins Situational Notes

Pirates Situational Notes
Baller Systems
• Back team off a win when they used a lot of pitchers

Marlins Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/12WSNMitchell Parker (L)MIA +144
WSN -184		9MIADarren McCaughan (R)
9/11PITBailey Falter (L)MIA +152
PIT -152		8.5MIAJonathan Bermudez (L)
9/10PIT [ 6 ]Carmen Mlodzinski (R)MIA +126
PIT -164		9MIA [ 4 ]Adam Oller (R)
9/9PIT [ 3 ]Paul Skenes (R)MIA +215
PIT -275		7.5MIA [ 2 ]Valente Bellozo (R)
9/8MIA [ 10 ]Edward Cabrera (R)MIA +114
PHI -130		8.5PHI [ 1 ]Seth Johnson (R)
9/7MIA [ 9 ]Darren McCaughan (R)MIA +215
PHI -260		8PHI [ 5 ]Aaron Nola (R)
9/6MIA [ 2 ]Austin Kitchen (L)MIA +198
PHI -290		7.5PHI [ 16 ]Zack Wheeler (R)
9/5MIA [ 2 ]Adam Oller (R)MIA +194
PHI -235		8PHI [ 5 ]Ranger Suarez (L)
9/4MIA [ 4 ]Valente Bellozo (R)MIA +118
WSN -148		8WSN [ 3 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)
9/3MIA [ 2 ]Max Meyer (R)MIA -120
WSN -102		8.5WSN [ 6 ]Patrick Corbin (L)

Pirates Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
9/13PITLuis Ortiz (R)PIT -122
KCR -104		8.5KCRAlec Marsh (R)
9/11PITBailey Falter (L)PIT -180
MIA +128		8.5MIAJonathan Bermudez (L)
9/10PIT [ 6 ]Carmen Mlodzinski (R)PIT -148
MIA +138		9MIA [ 4 ]Adam Oller (R)
9/9PIT [ 3 ]Paul Skenes (R)PIT -260
MIA +225		7.5MIA [ 2 ]Valente Bellozo (R)
9/8PIT [ 7 ]Jared Jones (R)PIT -164
WSN +136		8.5WSN [ 3 ]Patrick Corbin (L)
9/7WSN [ 8 ]0 (0)PIT -
WSN -		-PIT [ 6 ]0 (0)
9/7PIT [ 3 ]Luis Ortiz (0)PIT -116
WSN -102		8.5WSN [ 5 ]DJ Herz (0)
9/7PIT [ 6 ]Mitch Keller (0)PIT -144
WSN +122		7.5WSN [ 8 ]Mitchell Parker (0)
9/6PIT [ 0 ]Luis L Ortiz (R)PIT -120
WSN -102		8.5WSN [ 0 ]DJ Herz (L)
9/5PIT [ 9 ]Bailey Falter (L)PIT -118
WSN +102		8WSN [ 4 ]Jake Irvin (R)

Jonathan Bermudez Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
0000000

Bailey Falter Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
9/5PIT [ 9 ]WSN [ 4 ]-11885327133Jake Irvin (R)
8/30CLE [ 10 ]PIT [ 8 ]1268.54217044Ben Lively (R)
8/23PIT [ 6 ]CIN [ 5 ]-1128.55426155Buck Farmer (R)
8/17PIT [ 7 ]SEA [ 2 ]1388.55.67808022Luis Castillo (R)
8/11LAD [ 6 ]PIT [ 5 ]2308.54237044Tyler Glasnow (R)
4.733.81.670.43.63.6


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

MarlinsPirates
152TG152
3.8R/G4.2
137HR146
0.241AVG0.236
119SB101
39CS17
MarlinsPirates
0.131ISO0.135
0.295BABIP0.294
0.297OBP0.302
0.372SLG0.371
0.292wOBA0.295
84wRC+86
MarlinsPirates
6.5BB%7.9
23K%24.6
0.28BB/K0.32
7.1Barrel%8.2
36.7HardHit%39.8
5.3WAR5.9

Pitching Matchup

Jonathan BermudezBailey Falter
3G26
1GS26
6.2IP134.1
2.1IP/G5.2
0W8
1L8
73.8LOB%71.8
Jonathan BermudezBailey Falter
5.4K/96.16
2.7BB/92.75
6.1K/BB%9.2
40GB%35.1
48FB%42.7
2.7HR/91.07
16.7HR/FB%9.1
Jonathan BermudezBailey Falter
0.391BABIP0.28
8.1ERA4.15
5.32xERA4.88
7.67FIP4.26
6.5xFIP4.69
1.95WHIP1.27
5.09SIERA4.88
-0.2WAR1.7

Bullpen Matchup

MarlinsPirates
3.41BPU/G3.13
4IP/G3.6
34W30
30L32
28SV38
25BS27
67.4LOB%67
MarlinsPirates
9.21K/99.07
3.24BB/93.95
15.6K/BB%12.9
44.6GB%41.6
36.1FB%38
0.77HR/90.9
8.5HR/FB%9.2
MarlinsPirates
0.296BABIP0.311
4.09ERA4.67
3.49FIP4.02
3.9xFIP4.37
1.25WHIP1.41
3.61SIERA3.98
7WAR2.5

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jonathan Bermudez F5-- (-)-- (-)-- (-)-- (-)-- (-)
Jonathan Bermudez- (-)- (-)- (-)- (-)- (-)
Bailey Falter F59-14-1 (39.1%)2-2-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)4-5-0 (44.4%)3-6-1 (33.3%)
Bailey Falter12-12 (50%)4-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)4-5 (44.4%)4-6 (40%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jonathan Bermudez F5-- (-)-- (-)-- (-)-- (-)-- (-)
Jonathan Bermudez-- (-)-- (-)-- (-)-- (-)-- (-)
Bailey Falter F511-9-3 (55%)2-2-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)3-4-2 (42.9%)5-3-1 (62.5%)
Bailey Falter12-11-1 (52.2%)3-1-0 (75%)0-1-0 (0%)4-4-1 (50%)5-5-0 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Marlins vs. LHP F512-34-5 (26.1%)1-6-0 (14.3%)0-0-0 (-)6-11-3 (35.3%)5-17-2 (22.7%)
Marlins vs. LHP10-41 (19.6%)0-7 (0%)0-0 (-)7-13 (35%)3-21 (12.5%)
Pirates vs. LHP F524-14-7 (63.2%)7-1-2 (87.5%)2-3-0 (40%)3-4-2 (42.9%)11-6-3 (64.7%)
Pirates vs. LHP24-21 (53.3%)7-3 (70%)2-3 (40%)4-5 (44.4%)10-10 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Marlins vs. LHP F526-21-1 (55.3%)6-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)11-8-1 (57.9%)9-13-0 (40.9%)
Marlins vs. LHP22-26-3 (45.8%)5-1-1 (83.3%)0-0-0 (-)10-8-2 (55.6%)7-17-0 (29.2%)
Pirates vs. LHP F523-15-3 (60.5%)6-3-1 (66.7%)4-0-0 (100%)4-3-2 (57.1%)8-9-0 (47.1%)
Pirates vs. LHP23-21-1 (52.3%)5-4-1 (55.6%)4-1-0 (80%)4-5-0 (44.4%)9-11-0 (45%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jonathan Bermudez0-0 (-)- (-)- (-)- (-)- (-)
Marlins68-76 (47.2%)2-14 (12.5%)0-0 (-)30-27 (52.6%)36-35 (50.7%)
Bailey Falter15-9 (62.5%)3-1 (75%)0-1 (0%)6-3 (66.7%)6-4 (60%)
Pirates81-65 (55.5%)15-26 (36.6%)9-9 (50%)22-10 (68.8%)35-20 (63.6%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jonathan Bermudez- (-)- (-)- (-)- (-)- (-)
Marlins79-67 (54.1%)6-10 (37.5%)0-0 (-)35-22 (61.4%)37-34 (52.1%)
Bailey Falter12-12 (50%)3-1 (75%)1-0 (100%)5-4 (55.6%)3-7 (30%)
Pirates63-87 (42%)21-20 (51.2%)7-11 (38.9%)13-19 (40.6%)19-36 (34.5%)