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Mariners @ Pirates [ +138 / 8.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

August 17, 2024, 1:05 pm
Mariners | 77-75 (50.7%), Luis Castillo (R) | 11-12 (47.83%)
Pirates | 71-82 (46.4%), Bailey Falter (L) | 8-8 (50%)

Last updated: August 19, 2024 1:18 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Mariners
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Pirates
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Bullpen:
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Matchup:
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Mariners Situational Notes

Pirates Situational Notes

Mariners Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/18PITJake Woodford (R)SEA -154
PIT +144		8SEAGeorge Kirby (R)
8/17PITBailey Falter (L)SEA -164
PIT +126		8.5SEALuis Castillo (R)
8/16PIT [ 5 ]Paul Skenes (R)SEA +108
PIT -120		7SEA [ 3 ]Logan Gilbert (R)
8/15DET [ 2 ]Alex Faedo (R)SEA -136
DET +116		8.5SEA [ 1 ]Bryce Miller (R)
8/14DET [ 3 ]Beau Brieske (R)SEA -144
DET +122		8SEA [ 2 ]Bryan Woo (R)
8/13DET [ 15 ]Tarik Skubal (L)SEA -108
DET -124		7SEA [ 1 ]George Kirby (R)
8/11SEA [ 12 ]Luis Castillo (R)SEA -120
NYM +102		7.5NYM [ 1 ]Luis Severino (R)
8/10SEA [ 4 ]Logan Gilbert (R)SEA -130
NYM +110		7.5NYM [ 0 ]Sean Manaea (L)
8/9SEA [ 6 ]Bryce Miller (R)SEA -134
NYM +116		8.5NYM [ 0 ]Jose Quintana (L)
8/8SEA [ 4 ]Bryan Woo (R)SEA -205
DET +172		7.5DET [ 3 ]Brenan Hanifee (R)

Pirates Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/18PITJake Woodford (R)PIT +130
SEA -172		8SEAGeorge Kirby (R)
8/17PITBailey Falter (L)PIT +138
SEA -148		8.5SEALuis Castillo (R)
8/16PIT [ 5 ]Paul Skenes (R)PIT -126
SEA +102		7SEA [ 3 ]Logan Gilbert (R)
8/14SDP [ 8 ]Martin Perez (L)PIT +120
SDP -142		8.5PIT [ 2 ]Mitch Keller (R)
8/13SDP [ 3 ]Michael King (R)PIT +205
SDP -250		7.5PIT [ 0 ]Luis Ortiz (R)
8/12SDP [ 2 ]Joe Musgrove (R)PIT +176
SDP -210		8.5PIT [ 1 ]Jake Woodford (R)
8/11LAD [ 6 ]Tyler Glasnow (R)PIT +230
LAD -310		8.5PIT [ 5 ]Bailey Falter (L)
8/10LAD [ 4 ]River Ryan (R)PIT -104
LAD -112		8PIT [ 1 ]Paul Skenes (R)
8/9LAD [ 9 ]Jack Flaherty (R)PIT +184
LAD -220		7.5PIT [ 5 ]Mitch Keller (R)
8/8PIT [ 6 ]Luis Ortiz (R)PIT -110
SDP -112		8.5SDP [ 7 ]Randy Vasquez (R)

Luis Castillo Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/11SEA [ 12 ]NYM [ 1 ]-1207.56924111Luis Severino (R)
8/6SEA [ 2 ]DET [ 4 ]-2057.56908033Keider Montero (R)
7/30BOS [ 6 ]SEA [ 10 ]-11810.56416133James Paxton (L)
7/24SEA [ 1 ]LAA [ 2 ]-1667.56725000Griffin Canning (R)
7/19SEA [ 0 ]HOU [ 3 ]-11577316033Hunter Brown (R)
6.26.41.25.80.422

Bailey Falter Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/11LAD [ 6 ]PIT [ 5 ]2308.54237044Tyler Glasnow (R)
8/6PIT [ 0 ]SDP [ 6 ]1407.52102000Dylan Cease (R)
7/30HOU [ 2 ]PIT [ 6 ]1648.55.33306112Hunter Brown (R)
7/6PIT [ 2 ]NYM [ 5 ]1129.52225033David Peterson (L)
6/30ATL [ 2 ]PIT [ 4 ]16095542011Spencer Schwellenbach (R)
3.672.61.84.40.21.82


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

MarinersPirates
152TG152
4.1R/G4.2
172HR146
0.221AVG0.236
130SB101
27CS17
MarinersPirates
0.151ISO0.135
0.282BABIP0.294
0.309OBP0.302
0.373SLG0.371
0.301wOBA0.295
102wRC+86
MarinersPirates
9.5BB%7.9
27.1K%24.6
0.35BB/K0.32
9Barrel%8.2
40.1HardHit%39.8
18.4WAR5.9

Pitching Matchup

Luis CastilloBailey Falter
30G26
30GS26
175.1IP134.1
5.8IP/G5.2
11W8
12L8
78.3LOB%71.8
Luis CastilloBailey Falter
8.98K/96.16
2.41BB/92.75
17.8K/BB%9.2
39.3GB%35.1
42FB%42.7
1.28HR/91.07
12.3HR/FB%9.1
Luis CastilloBailey Falter
0.285BABIP0.28
3.64ERA4.15
3.95xERA4.88
3.92FIP4.26
3.83xFIP4.69
1.17WHIP1.27
3.79SIERA4.88
2.4WAR1.7

Bullpen Matchup

MarinersPirates
3.2BPU/G3.13
3IP/G3.6
25W30
26L32
32SV38
20BS27
72LOB%67
MarinersPirates
9.63K/99.07
3.42BB/93.95
16.7K/BB%12.9
39.6GB%41.6
40.3FB%38
1.14HR/90.9
12.1HR/FB%9.2
MarinersPirates
0.262BABIP0.311
3.73ERA4.67
3.97FIP4.02
3.91xFIP4.37
1.16WHIP1.41
3.55SIERA3.98
1.2WAR2.5

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Luis Castillo F511-15-1 (42.3%)6-7-0 (46.2%)4-4-1 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)0-3-0 (0%)
Luis Castillo12-15 (44.4%)6-7 (46.2%)4-5 (44.4%)1-1 (50%)1-2 (33.3%)
Bailey Falter F57-12-1 (36.8%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)4-5-0 (44.4%)3-5-1 (37.5%)
Bailey Falter9-11 (45%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)4-5 (44.4%)4-5 (44.4%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Luis Castillo F511-11-4 (50%)3-7-3 (30%)7-1-1 (87.5%)1-1-0 (50%)0-2-0 (0%)
Luis Castillo10-16-1 (38.5%)3-9-1 (25%)6-3-0 (66.7%)1-1-0 (50%)0-3-0 (0%)
Bailey Falter F58-8-3 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)3-4-2 (42.9%)4-3-1 (57.1%)
Bailey Falter9-10-1 (47.4%)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)4-4-1 (50%)4-5-0 (44.4%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Mariners vs. LHP F518-13-4 (58.1%)7-5-1 (58.3%)7-3-1 (70%)1-2-1 (33.3%)3-3-1 (50%)
Mariners vs. LHP18-17 (51.4%)7-6 (53.8%)5-6 (45.5%)2-2 (50%)4-3 (57.1%)
Pirates vs. RHP F532-39-17 (45.1%)11-6-6 (64.7%)4-4-4 (50%)7-13-2 (35%)10-16-5 (38.5%)
Pirates vs. RHP41-47 (46.6%)11-12 (47.8%)8-4 (66.7%)10-12 (45.5%)12-19 (38.7%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Mariners vs. LHP F516-17-2 (48.5%)5-8-0 (38.5%)7-2-2 (77.8%)2-2-0 (50%)2-5-0 (28.6%)
Mariners vs. LHP15-19-1 (44.1%)4-9-0 (30.8%)7-4-0 (63.6%)0-3-1 (0%)4-3-0 (57.1%)
Pirates vs. RHP F538-42-7 (47.5%)11-10-1 (52.4%)5-7-0 (41.7%)9-12-1 (42.9%)13-13-5 (50%)
Pirates vs. RHP40-46-2 (46.5%)11-11-1 (50%)3-9-0 (25%)10-11-1 (47.6%)16-15-0 (51.6%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Luis Castillo9-18 (33.3%)4-9 (30.8%)3-6 (33.3%)1-1 (50%)1-2 (33.3%)
Mariners51-69 (42.5%)20-31 (39.2%)12-20 (37.5%)6-5 (54.5%)13-13 (50%)
Bailey Falter13-7 (65%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)6-3 (66.7%)6-3 (66.7%)
Pirates70-54 (56.5%)10-20 (33.3%)8-9 (47.1%)22-8 (73.3%)30-17 (63.8%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Luis Castillo12-15 (44.4%)4-9 (30.8%)7-2 (77.8%)1-1 (50%)0-3 (0%)
Mariners51-75 (40.5%)15-36 (29.4%)21-11 (65.6%)4-7 (36.4%)10-16 (38.5%)
Bailey Falter8-12 (40%)0-1 (0%)1-0 (100%)5-4 (55.6%)2-7 (22.2%)
Pirates46-79 (36.8%)13-17 (43.3%)7-10 (41.2%)11-19 (36.7%)15-32 (31.9%)