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Marlins @ Mets [ -198 / 8.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

August 18, 2024, 12:05 pm
Marlins | 56-96 (36.8%), Valente Bellozo (R) | 2-4 (33.33%)
Mets | 84-68 (55.3%), Paul Blackburn (R) | 5-4 (55.56%)

Last updated: August 20, 2024 11:37 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Marlins
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Mets
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Marlins Situational Notes

Mets Situational Notes

Marlins Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/19MIAAdam Oller (R)MIA +168
ARI -215		8.5ARIBrandon Pfaadt (R)
8/18NYMPaul Blackburn (R)MIA +166
NYM -198		8.5MIAValente Bellozo (R)
8/17NYM [ 4 ]Luis Severino (R)MIA +166
NYM -196		8.5MIA [ 0 ]Max Meyer (R)
8/16NYM [ 7 ]Sean Manaea (L)MIA +188
NYM -270		8.5MIA [ 3 ]Roddery Munoz (R)
8/14PHI [ 9 ]Tyler Phillips (R)MIA +142
PHI -168		8.5MIA [ 5 ]Edward Cabrera (R)
8/13PHI [ 0 ]Taijuan Walker (R)MIA +144
PHI -205		9MIA [ 5 ]Valente Bellozo (R)
8/11MIA [ 7 ]Max Meyer (R)MIA +180
SDP -198		7.5SDP [ 6 ]Dylan Cease (R)
8/10MIA [ 8 ]Roddery Munoz (R)MIA +152
SDP -198		8.5SDP [ 9 ]Matt Waldron (R)
8/9MIA [ 2 ]Edward Cabrera (R)MIA +108
SDP -132		8SDP [ 6 ]Martin Perez (L)
8/8MIA [ 4 ]Kyle Tyler (R)MIA +150
CIN -188		7.5CIN [ 10 ]Hunter Greene (R)

Mets Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/19NYMDavid Peterson (L)NYM -134
BAL +116		8.5BALTrevor Rogers (L)
8/18NYMPaul Blackburn (R)NYM -198
MIA +166		8.5MIAValente Bellozo (R)
8/17NYM [ 4 ]Luis Severino (R)NYM -198
MIA +164		8.5MIA [ 0 ]Max Meyer (R)
8/16NYM [ 7 ]Sean Manaea (L)NYM -225
MIA +220		8.5MIA [ 3 ]Roddery Munoz (R)
8/15NYM [ 6 ]Jose Quintana (L)NYM -184
OAK +154		8.5OAK [ 7 ]Mitch Spence (R)
8/14NYM [ 9 ]David Peterson (L)NYM -225
OAK +188		8.5OAK [ 1 ]Joey Estes (R)
8/13NYM [ 4 ]Paul Blackburn (R)NYM -166
OAK +164		8OAK [ 9 ]Joe Boyle (R)
8/11SEA [ 12 ]Luis Castillo (R)NYM +102
SEA -120		7.5NYM [ 1 ]Luis Severino (R)
8/10SEA [ 4 ]Logan Gilbert (R)NYM +110
SEA -130		7.5NYM [ 0 ]Sean Manaea (L)
8/9SEA [ 6 ]Bryce Miller (R)NYM +116
SEA -134		8.5NYM [ 0 ]Jose Quintana (L)

Valente Bellozo Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/13PHI [ 0 ]MIA [ 5 ]14497414000Taijuan Walker (R)
8/7MIA [ 6 ]CIN [ 4 ]1268.55.67425000Andrew Abbott (L)
8/2ATL [ 5 ]MIA [ 3 ]20595522122Spencer Schwellenbach (R)
7/2MIA [ 3 ]BOS [ 8 ]13885817155Kutter Crawford (R)
6/26KCR [ 5 ]MIA [ 1 ]17295202000Brady Singer (R)
5.534.61.240.41.41.4

Paul Blackburn Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/13NYM [ 4 ]OAK [ 9 ]-16684426167Joe Boyle (R)
8/7COL [ 3 ]NYM [ 5 ]-154116625112Ryan Feltner (R)
8/2LAA [ 1 ]NYM [ 5 ]-1389.56626011Tyler Anderson (L)
5.335.3325.670.672.673.33


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

MarlinsMets
152TG152
3.8R/G4.8
137HR194
0.241AVG0.248
119SB100
39CS21
MarlinsMets
0.131ISO0.169
0.295BABIP0.293
0.297OBP0.32
0.372SLG0.418
0.292wOBA0.321
84wRC+110
MarlinsMets
6.5BB%8.3
23K%22.3
0.28BB/K0.37
7.1Barrel%9
36.7HardHit%41.1
5.3WAR25.1

Pitching Matchup

Valente BellozoPaul Blackburn
11G14
11GS14
58.1IP75.1
5.3IP/G5.4
2W5
4L4
83.1LOB%70.9
Valente BellozoPaul Blackburn
6.02K/97.05
2.93BB/92.51
8K/BB%12
29.6GB%45.7
51.9FB%34.1
1.85HR/91.43
12.2HR/FB%15.2
Valente BellozoPaul Blackburn
0.247BABIP0.29
3.7ERA4.66
5.08xERA4.57
5.59FIP4.63
5.46xFIP4.15
1.29WHIP1.29
5.29SIERA4.34
0WAR0.4

Bullpen Matchup

MarlinsMets
3.41BPU/G3.16
4IP/G3.4
34W37
30L28
28SV37
25BS24
67.4LOB%70.6
MarlinsMets
9.21K/910.52
3.24BB/94.11
15.6K/BB%16.8
44.6GB%44.7
36.1FB%37
0.77HR/91.01
8.5HR/FB%12.1
MarlinsMets
0.296BABIP0.289
4.09ERA3.91
3.49FIP3.88
3.9xFIP3.83
1.25WHIP1.27
3.61SIERA3.54
7WAR3.4

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Valente Bellozo F54-1-1 (80%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)3-0-1 (100%)
Valente Bellozo3-3 (50%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)2-2 (50%)
Paul Blackburn F56-5-2 (54.5%)2-1-1 (66.7%)1-0-1 (100%)2-0-0 (100%)1-4-0 (20%)
Paul Blackburn9-4 (69.2%)2-2 (50%)2-0 (100%)2-0 (100%)3-2 (60%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Valente Bellozo F52-4-0 (33.3%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)2-0-0 (100%)0-4-0 (0%)
Valente Bellozo2-4-0 (33.3%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)2-0-0 (100%)0-4-0 (0%)
Paul Blackburn F57-6-0 (53.8%)2-2-0 (50%)0-2-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)4-1-0 (80%)
Paul Blackburn5-8-0 (38.5%)2-2-0 (50%)0-2-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)2-3-0 (40%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Marlins vs. RHP F530-42-10 (41.7%)3-5-1 (37.5%)0-0-0 (-)12-17-2 (41.4%)14-19-7 (42.4%)
Marlins vs. RHP37-45 (45.1%)4-5 (44.4%)0-0 (-)14-17 (45.2%)19-21 (47.5%)
Mets vs. RHP F537-38-15 (49.3%)15-13-7 (53.6%)5-5-3 (50%)5-7-0 (41.7%)9-13-4 (40.9%)
Mets vs. RHP46-44 (51.1%)19-16 (54.3%)7-6 (53.8%)5-7 (41.7%)13-13 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Marlins vs. RHP F541-37-1 (52.6%)2-6-0 (25%)0-0-0 (-)18-12-1 (60%)20-19-0 (51.3%)
Marlins vs. RHP48-32-2 (60%)5-4-0 (55.6%)0-0-0 (-)24-6-1 (80%)17-22-1 (43.6%)
Mets vs. RHP F538-42-5 (47.5%)13-17-1 (43.3%)6-6-1 (50%)6-5-1 (54.5%)12-12-1 (50%)
Mets vs. RHP46-42-2 (52.3%)18-17-0 (51.4%)5-6-2 (45.5%)6-6-0 (50%)16-10-0 (61.5%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Valente Bellozo3-3 (50%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)2-2 (50%)
Marlins58-64 (47.5%)2-13 (13.3%)0-0 (-)26-20 (56.5%)30-31 (49.2%)
Paul Blackburn9-4 (69.2%)1-3 (25%)2-0 (100%)2-0 (100%)4-1 (80%)
Mets55-65 (45.8%)18-29 (38.3%)12-15 (44.4%)8-9 (47.1%)17-12 (58.6%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Valente Bellozo4-2 (66.7%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)2-0 (100%)2-2 (50%)
Marlins66-58 (53.2%)6-9 (40%)0-0 (-)27-19 (58.7%)32-29 (52.5%)
Paul Blackburn6-7 (46.2%)1-3 (25%)1-1 (50%)1-1 (50%)3-2 (60%)
Mets46-78 (37.1%)15-32 (31.9%)9-18 (33.3%)6-11 (35.3%)14-15 (48.3%)