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Blue Jays @ Cubs [ -130 / 9.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

August 16, 2024, 1:20 pm
Blue Jays | 71-80 (47%), Yariel Rodriguez (R) | 1-6 (14.29%)
Cubs | 77-75 (50.7%), Kyle Hendricks (R) | 4-11 (26.67%)

Last updated: August 18, 2024 9:03 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Blue Jays
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Cubs
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Bullpen:
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Blue Jays Situational Notes
Baller Systems
• First game of a road, non-divisional series, on at least a two game winning streak
• Fade team off cross-country travel (2+ time zones)

Cubs Situational Notes

Blue Jays Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/17CHCJustin Steele (L)TOR +140
CHC -166		8TORChris Bassitt (R)
8/16CHCKyle Hendricks (R)TOR +110
CHC -130		9.5TORYariel Rodriguez (R)
8/14LAA [ 2 ]Tyler Anderson (L)TOR -104
LAA -112		8.5TOR [ 9 ]Jose Berrios (R)
8/13LAA [ 1 ]Carson Fulmer (R)TOR -118
LAA -100		8.5TOR [ 6 ]Kevin Gausman (R)
8/12LAA [ 2 ]Davis Daniel (R)TOR -110
LAA -106		9TOR [ 4 ]Bowden Francis (R)
8/11TOR [ 4 ]Chris Bassitt (R)TOR -156
OAK +132		8.5OAK [ 8 ]JP Sears (L)
8/10TOR [ 0 ]Yariel Rodriguez (R)TOR -146
OAK +116		9OAK [ 1 ]Osvaldo Bido (R)
8/9TOR [ 3 ]Jose Berrios (R)TOR -146
OAK +130		8.5OAK [ 1 ]Mitch Spence (R)
8/8TOR [ 7 ]Kevin Gausman (R)TOR -105
BAL -108		8.5BAL [ 6 ]Dean Kremer (R)
8/7TOR [ 3 ]Bowden Francis (R)TOR +120
BAL -136		9.5BAL [ 7 ]Trevor Rogers (L)

Cubs Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/17CHCJustin Steele (L)CHC -166
TOR +140		8TORChris Bassitt (R)
8/16CHCKyle Hendricks (R)CHC -130
TOR +110		9.5TORYariel Rodriguez (R)
8/14CLE [ 6 ]Alex Cobb (R)CHC +112
CLE -132		8CHC [ 1 ]Jameson Taillon (R)
8/13CLE [ 2 ]Matthew Boyd (L)CHC +104
CLE -154		8.5CHC [ 1 ]Javier Assad (R)
8/12CLE [ 9 ]Ben Lively (R)CHC -122
CLE +104		8CHC [ 8 ]Shota Imanaga (L)
8/10CHW [ 1 ]Chris Flexen (R)CHC -230
CHW +190		9CHC [ 3 ]Justin Steele (L)
8/9CHW [ 6 ]Garrett Crochet (L)CHC -148
CHW +126		8.5CHC [ 7 ]Jameson Taillon (R)
8/7CHC [ 8 ]Javier Assad (R)CHC +120
MIN -142		7.5MIN [ 2 ]Joe Ryan (R)
8/6CHC [ 7 ]Shota Imanaga (L)CHC -110
MIN -106		6MIN [ 3 ]Pablo Lopez (R)
8/5CHC [ 0 ]Kyle Hendricks (R)CHC +104
MIN -122		7.5MIN [ 3 ]David Festa (R)

Yariel Rodriguez Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/10TOR [ 0 ]OAK [ 1 ]-14695.67515111Osvaldo Bido (R)
8/4NYY [ 4 ]TOR [ 3 ]2459.54.67414000Gerrit Cole (R)
7/29BAL [ 11 ]TOR [ 5 ]1388.50.67141034Zach Eflin (L)
7/24TOR [ 6 ]TBR [ 3 ]10285.67612022Zach Eflin (R)
7/12ARI [ 5 ]TOR [ 4 ]1048.54734022Ryne Nelson (R)
4.144.623.20.21.61.8

Kyle Hendricks Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/5CHC [ 0 ]MIN [ 3 ]1047.56515122David Festa (R)
7/31CIN [ 4 ]CHC [ 13 ]1309.55424133Nick Lodolo (L)
7/26KCR [ 6 ]CHC [ 0 ]12895408166Brady Singer (R)
7/20CHC [ 0 ]ARI [ 3 ]1148.55233233Zac Gallen (R)
7/12STL [ 1 ]CHC [ 5 ]1648.57315000Sonny Gray (R)
5.63.61.4512.82.8


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

Blue JaysCubs
152TG152
4.2R/G4.6
151HR162
0.242AVG0.243
67SB137
14CS27
Blue JaysCubs
0.152ISO0.153
0.283BABIP0.292
0.314OBP0.318
0.394SLG0.396
0.309wOBA0.312
103wRC+102
Blue JaysCubs
8.3BB%8.9
20.3K%22.5
0.41BB/K0.4
7.4Barrel%7.9
36.8HardHit%38.2
21.9WAR21.5

Pitching Matchup

Yariel RodriguezKyle Hendricks
19G27
19GS22
77.2IP118
4.1IP/G4.4
1W4
6L11
71.1LOB%63.5
Yariel RodriguezKyle Hendricks
8.92K/96.33
4.06BB/93.05
12.8K/BB%8.3
36.8GB%44.5
41FB%32.9
1.16HR/91.6
11.5HR/FB%16.4
Yariel RodriguezKyle Hendricks
0.275BABIP0.311
4.29ERA6.25
4.12xERA5.02
4.33FIP5.17
4.35xFIP4.5
1.3WHIP1.49
4.4SIERA4.74
0.9WAR0.1

Bullpen Matchup

Blue JaysCubs
3.36BPU/G3.06
3.4IP/G3.5
23W34
25L33
36SV34
21BS25
69.4LOB%73.1
Blue JaysCubs
7.99K/99.28
3.73BB/93.84
10.9K/BB%14.2
42.1GB%42.2
38FB%38.6
1.51HR/90.96
15HR/FB%10.2
Blue JaysCubs
0.271BABIP0.285
4.83ERA3.81
4.96FIP3.92
4.47xFIP4.12
1.34WHIP1.28
4.2SIERA3.82
-2.9WAR2.7

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yariel Rodriguez F56-6-1 (50%)2-0-1 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)2-4-0 (33.3%)
Yariel Rodriguez5-8 (38.5%)2-1 (66.7%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)1-5 (16.7%)
Kyle Hendricks F56-11-0 (35.3%)2-2-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)1-3-0 (25%)2-6-0 (25%)
Kyle Hendricks6-11 (35.3%)2-2 (50%)1-0 (100%)1-3 (25%)2-6 (25%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yariel Rodriguez F56-7-0 (46.2%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-1-0 (0%)0-2-0 (0%)4-2-0 (66.7%)
Yariel Rodriguez6-7-0 (46.2%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)3-3-0 (50%)
Kyle Hendricks F511-6-0 (64.7%)3-1-0 (75%)0-1-0 (0%)2-2-0 (50%)6-2-0 (75%)
Kyle Hendricks9-6-2 (60%)2-1-1 (66.7%)0-0-1 (-)2-2-0 (50%)5-3-0 (62.5%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Blue Jays vs. RHP F543-41-14 (51.2%)15-11-5 (57.7%)12-4-0 (75%)4-6-3 (40%)8-20-6 (28.6%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP48-50 (49%)17-14 (54.8%)12-4 (75%)3-10 (23.1%)12-22 (35.3%)
Cubs vs. RHP F542-41-17 (50.6%)11-13-9 (45.8%)6-6-1 (50%)10-7-0 (58.8%)14-15-7 (48.3%)
Cubs vs. RHP51-49 (51%)17-16 (51.5%)6-7 (46.2%)11-6 (64.7%)17-19 (47.2%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Blue Jays vs. RHP F547-44-5 (51.6%)16-14-0 (53.3%)6-6-4 (50%)5-7-1 (41.7%)18-15-0 (54.5%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP53-42-3 (55.8%)18-13-0 (58.1%)5-11-0 (31.3%)8-5-0 (61.5%)19-13-2 (59.4%)
Cubs vs. RHP F546-47-5 (49.5%)13-16-2 (44.8%)7-5-1 (58.3%)8-9-0 (47.1%)17-17-2 (50%)
Cubs vs. RHP42-57-1 (42.4%)15-18-0 (45.5%)6-7-0 (46.2%)6-11-0 (35.3%)14-21-1 (40%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yariel Rodriguez6-6 (50%)1-2 (33.3%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)4-2 (66.7%)
Blue Jays56-62 (47.5%)13-28 (31.7%)12-7 (63.2%)6-11 (35.3%)25-16 (61%)
Kyle Hendricks4-13 (23.5%)0-4 (0%)0-1 (0%)1-3 (25%)3-5 (37.5%)
Cubs58-65 (47.2%)11-31 (26.2%)5-12 (29.4%)12-7 (63.2%)30-15 (66.7%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yariel Rodriguez7-6 (53.8%)2-1 (66.7%)1-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)3-3 (50%)
Blue Jays55-67 (45.1%)15-26 (36.6%)7-12 (36.8%)11-6 (64.7%)21-20 (51.2%)
Kyle Hendricks5-12 (29.4%)2-2 (50%)1-0 (100%)1-3 (25%)1-7 (12.5%)
Cubs47-77 (37.9%)14-28 (33.3%)6-11 (35.3%)9-10 (47.4%)18-27 (40%)