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Blue Jays @ Orioles [ -164 / 8.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

July 29, 2024, 3:05 pm
Blue Jays | 71-80 (47%), Yariel Rodriguez (R) | 1-6 (14.29%)
Orioles | 84-68 (55.3%), Zach Eflin (L) | 10-9 (52.63%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Blue Jays
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Orioles
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Bullpen:
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Blue Jays Situational Notes

Orioles Situational Notes

Blue Jays Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/30BALCorbin Burnes (R)TOR +180
BAL -215		8.5TORChris Bassitt (R)
7/29BALCade Povich (R)TOR +128
BAL -152		9.5TORBowden Francis (R)
7/29BALZach Eflin (L)TOR +138
BAL -164		8.5TORYariel Rodriguez (R)
7/28TOR [ 7 ]Jose Berrios (R)TOR +114
TEX -134		8.5TEX [ 3 ]Jon Gray (R)
7/27TOR [ 7 ]Kevin Gausman (R)TOR -132
TEX +112		8.5TEX [ 3 ]Michael Lorenzen (R)
7/26TOR [ 6 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)TOR -132
TEX +104		8.5TEX [ 5 ]Andrew Heaney (L)
7/25TOR [ 0 ]Chris Bassitt (R)TOR -116
TBR -102		8TBR [ 13 ]Taj Bradley (R)
7/24TOR [ 6 ]Yariel Rodriguez (R)TOR +102
TBR -120		8TBR [ 3 ]Zach Eflin (R)
7/23TOR [ 2 ]Jose Berrios (R)TOR -130
TBR +110		8.5TBR [ 4 ]Shawn Armstrong (R)
7/21TOR [ 5 ]Kevin Gausman (R)TOR -168
DET +142		8DET [ 4 ]Keider Montero (R)

Orioles Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/30BALCorbin Burnes (R)BAL -215
TOR +180		8.5TORChris Bassitt (R)
7/29BALCade Povich (R)BAL -152
TOR +128		9.5TORBowden Francis (R)
7/29BALZach Eflin (L)BAL -164
TOR +138		8.5TORYariel Rodriguez (R)
7/28BAL [ 8 ]Albert Suarez (R)BAL -138
SDP +118		9SDP [ 6 ]Randy Vasquez (R)
7/27BAL [ 4 ]Dean Kremer (R)BAL -110
SDP -106		8.5SDP [ 9 ]Michael King (R)
7/26BAL [ 4 ]Grayson Rodriguez (R)BAL -198
SDP +166		9SDP [ 6 ]Adam Mazur (R)
7/25MIA [ 6 ]Roddery Munoz (R)BAL -210
MIA +176		8BAL [ 7 ]Corbin Burnes (R)
7/24MIA [ 6 ]Edward Cabrera (R)BAL -138
MIA +118		8BAL [ 3 ]Chayce McDermott (R)
7/23MIA [ 6 ]Kyle Tyler (R)BAL -174
MIA +146		8.5BAL [ 3 ]Albert Suarez (R)
7/21TEX [ 3 ]Andrew Heaney (L)BAL +108
TEX -126		9BAL [ 2 ]Dean Kremer (R)

Yariel Rodriguez Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/24TOR [ 6 ]TBR [ 3 ]10285.67612022Zach Eflin (R)
7/12ARI [ 5 ]TOR [ 4 ]1048.54734022Ryne Nelson (R)
7/6SEA [ 4 ]TOR [ 5 ]-1088.56621000Emerson Hancock (R)
7/1TOR [ 1 ]HOU [ 3 ]1108.56.67622111Hunter Brown (R)
6/26BOS [ 0 ]TOR [ 0 ]1289.50000000Kutter Crawford (R)
4.4751.61.80.211

Zach Eflin Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
0000000


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

Blue JaysOrioles
152TG152
4.2R/G4.8
151HR218
0.242AVG0.247
67SB92
14CS24
Blue JaysOrioles
0.152ISO0.186
0.283BABIP0.284
0.314OBP0.314
0.394SLG0.434
0.309wOBA0.323
103wRC+113
Blue JaysOrioles
8.3BB%8
20.3K%21.9
0.41BB/K0.36
7.4Barrel%9
36.8HardHit%42.1
21.9WAR26.4

Pitching Matchup

Yariel RodriguezZach Eflin
19G26
19GS26
77.2IP154.2
4.1IP/G5.9
1W10
6L9
71.1LOB%74.5
Yariel RodriguezZach Eflin
8.92K/97.45
4.06BB/91.05
12.8K/BB%17.2
36.8GB%43
41FB%37.8
1.16HR/91.16
11.5HR/FB%10.9
Yariel RodriguezZach Eflin
0.275BABIP0.29
4.29ERA3.55
4.12xERA3.4
4.33FIP3.6
4.35xFIP3.71
1.3WHIP1.13
4.4SIERA3.85
0.9WAR2.9

Bullpen Matchup

Blue JaysOrioles
3.36BPU/G3.31
3.4IP/G3.4
23W26
25L21
36SV44
21BS20
69.4LOB%68.1
Blue JaysOrioles
7.99K/99.24
3.73BB/93.3
10.9K/BB%15.7
42.1GB%44.3
38FB%38.1
1.51HR/91.04
15HR/FB%11.1
Blue JaysOrioles
0.271BABIP0.275
4.83ERA4.14
4.96FIP3.87
4.47xFIP3.94
1.34WHIP1.2
4.2SIERA3.62
-2.9WAR3.4

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yariel Rodriguez F55-5-0 (50%)2-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)1-3-0 (25%)
Yariel Rodriguez5-5 (50%)2-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)1-3 (25%)
Zach Eflin F59-9-2 (50%)5-2-1 (71.4%)2-3-0 (40%)0-0-0 (-)2-3-1 (40%)
Zach Eflin11-9 (55%)5-3 (62.5%)2-3 (40%)0-0 (-)4-2 (66.7%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yariel Rodriguez F55-5-0 (50%)2-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)0-2-0 (0%)3-1-0 (75%)
Yariel Rodriguez5-5-0 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)2-2-0 (50%)
Zach Eflin F510-9-1 (52.6%)2-5-1 (28.6%)3-2-0 (60%)0-0-0 (-)5-1-0 (83.3%)
Zach Eflin9-11-0 (45%)3-5-0 (37.5%)4-1-0 (80%)0-0-0 (-)2-4-0 (33.3%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Blue Jays vs. LHP F57-11-2 (38.9%)3-5-1 (37.5%)1-1-1 (50%)2-1-0 (66.7%)1-4-0 (20%)
Blue Jays vs. LHP8-12 (40%)5-4 (55.6%)0-3 (0%)2-1 (66.7%)1-4 (20%)
Orioles vs. RHP F545-25-9 (64.3%)24-11-4 (68.6%)14-10-2 (58.3%)0-2-0 (0%)5-2-2 (71.4%)
Orioles vs. RHP47-32 (59.5%)24-15 (61.5%)14-12 (53.8%)0-2 (0%)7-2 (77.8%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Blue Jays vs. LHP F56-14-0 (30%)1-8-0 (11.1%)0-3-0 (0%)2-1-0 (66.7%)3-2-0 (60%)
Blue Jays vs. LHP9-10-1 (47.4%)3-6-0 (33.3%)1-2-0 (33.3%)2-0-1 (100%)3-2-0 (60%)
Orioles vs. RHP F541-33-4 (55.4%)20-17-1 (54.1%)14-11-1 (56%)1-1-0 (50%)6-2-1 (75%)
Orioles vs. RHP45-27-7 (62.5%)22-15-2 (59.5%)16-5-5 (76.2%)1-1-0 (50%)6-3-0 (66.7%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yariel Rodriguez4-5 (44.4%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)2-2 (50%)
Blue Jays48-56 (46.2%)12-26 (31.6%)10-7 (58.8%)5-10 (33.3%)21-13 (61.8%)
Zach Eflin12-7 (63.2%)5-3 (62.5%)2-3 (40%)0-0 (-)5-1 (83.3%)
Orioles54-50 (51.9%)24-27 (47.1%)15-18 (45.5%)3-2 (60%)12-3 (80%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Yariel Rodriguez6-4 (60%)2-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)2-2 (50%)
Blue Jays45-62 (42.1%)13-25 (34.2%)6-11 (35.3%)10-5 (66.7%)16-18 (47.1%)
Zach Eflin9-11 (45%)2-6 (25%)4-1 (80%)0-0 (-)3-3 (50%)
Orioles44-64 (40.7%)27-24 (52.9%)12-21 (36.4%)0-5 (0%)4-11 (26.7%)