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Guardians @ Tigers [ +118 / 8 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

July 30, 2024, 1:10 pm
Guardians | 88-65 (57.5%), Gavin Williams (R) | 3-10 (23.08%)
Tigers | 80-73 (52.3%), Tyler Holton (L) | 7-1 (87.5%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Guardians
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Tigers
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Guardians Situational Notes

Tigers Situational Notes

Guardians Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/1CLEBen Lively (R)CLE -112
BAL -104		9BALTrevor Rogers (L)
7/30DETTyler Holton (L)CLE -138
DET +118		8CLEGavin Williams (R)
7/29DET [ 4 ]Beau Brieske (R)CLE -164
DET +138		7.5CLE [ 8 ]Tanner Bibee (R)
7/28PHI [ 3 ]Kolby Allard (L)CLE +110
PHI -130		9CLE [ 4 ]Joey Cantillo (L)
7/27PHI [ 8 ]Tyler Phillips (R)CLE +130
PHI -154		9.5CLE [ 0 ]Carlos Carrasco (R)
7/26PHI [ 1 ]Cristopher Sanchez (L)CLE +160
PHI -190		8CLE [ 3 ]Ben Lively (R)
7/25CLE [ 0 ]Gavin Williams (R)CLE -148
DET +126		7.5DET [ 3 ]Tyler Holton (L)
7/24CLE [ 2 ]Tanner Bibee (R)CLE -142
DET +120		7DET [ 1 ]Jack Flaherty (R)
7/23CLE [ 5 ]Xzavion Curry (R)CLE -132
DET +112		8.5DET [ 4 ]Tyler Holton (L)
7/22CLE [ 2 ]Carlos Carrasco (R)CLE +114
DET -134		7DET [ 8 ]Tarik Skubal (L)

Tigers Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/1DETKeider Montero (R)DET +136
KCR -162		8.5KCRSeth Lugo (R)
7/30DETTyler Holton (L)DET +118
CLE -138		8CLEGavin Williams (R)
7/29DET [ 4 ]Beau Brieske (R)DET +138
CLE -164		7.5CLE [ 8 ]Tanner Bibee (R)
7/28DET [ 0 ]Alex Faedo (R)DET +124
MIN -146		7.5MIN [ 5 ]Bailey Ober (R)
7/27DET [ 7 ]Tarik Skubal (L)DET -102
MIN -116		6.5MIN [ 2 ]Joe Ryan (R)
7/26DET [ 3 ]Keider Montero (R)DET +156
MIN -186		7.5MIN [ 9 ]Pablo Lopez (R)
7/25CLE [ 0 ]Gavin Williams (R)DET +126
CLE -148		7.5DET [ 3 ]Tyler Holton (L)
7/24CLE [ 2 ]Tanner Bibee (R)DET +120
CLE -142		7DET [ 1 ]Jack Flaherty (R)
7/23CLE [ 5 ]Xzavion Curry (R)DET +112
CLE -132		8.5DET [ 4 ]Tyler Holton (L)
7/22CLE [ 2 ]Carlos Carrasco (R)DET -134
CLE +114		7DET [ 8 ]Tarik Skubal (L)

Gavin Williams Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/25CLE [ 0 ]DET [ 3 ]-1487.56926133Tyler Holton (L)
7/20CLE [ 0 ]SDP [ 7 ]-1167.53.67526033Dylan Cease (R)
7/13TBR [ 2 ]CLE [ 4 ]-1107.55233012Zack Littell (R)
7/8DET [ 1 ]CLE [ 0 ]-1468.55.33514000Keider Montero (R)
7/3CLE [ 2 ]CHW [ 8 ]-2158.54227055Erick Fedde (R)
4.84.625.20.22.42.6

Tyler Holton Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/25CLE [ 0 ]DET [ 3 ]1267.52202000Gavin Williams (R)
7/23CLE [ 5 ]DET [ 4 ]1128.51.67211000Xzavion Curry (R)
6/26DET [ 2 ]PHI [ 6 ]14291.67114011Spencer Turnbull (R)
1.781.670.672.3300.330.33


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

GuardiansTigers
153TG153
4.4R/G4.2
174HR156
0.238AVG0.235
143SB76
42CS23
GuardiansTigers
0.156ISO0.153
0.272BABIP0.287
0.308OBP0.299
0.394SLG0.387
0.306wOBA0.299
100wRC+95
GuardiansTigers
7.9BB%7.7
20.1K%24.1
0.39BB/K0.32
5.7Barrel%7.6
33.7HardHit%37.5
20.5WAR17.4

Pitching Matchup

Gavin WilliamsTyler Holton
15G62
15GS7
70.1IP89
4.7IP/G1.4
3W7
10L1
65.8LOB%77.7
Gavin WilliamsTyler Holton
9.73K/97.08
3.84BB/91.52
14.8K/BB%16.5
39.5GB%46.1
38FB%36.6
0.9HR/90.61
9.2HR/FB%6.7
Gavin WilliamsTyler Holton
0.314BABIP0.205
5.12ERA2.12
4.32xERA2.82
3.71FIP3.11
4.05xFIP3.75
1.39WHIP0.79
4.12SIERA3.55
1.1WAR1.4

Bullpen Matchup

GuardiansTigers
3.67BPU/G3.1
3.8IP/G4.2
40W41
11L36
51SV41
15BS24
77.9LOB%71.2
GuardiansTigers
9.42K/98.13
2.93BB/92.74
18K/BB%14.5
42.5GB%43.6
37.5FB%37.3
0.75HR/90.95
8.7HR/FB%10
GuardiansTigers
0.256BABIP0.265
2.67ERA3.56
3.28FIP3.81
3.66xFIP4.03
1.05WHIP1.14
3.37SIERA3.75
7.6WAR3.8

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Gavin Williams F51-3-2 (25%)0-3-0 (0%)1-0-2 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Gavin Williams2-4 (33.3%)0-3 (0%)2-1 (66.7%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Tyler Holton F50-3-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)
Tyler Holton0-3 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)0-1 (0%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Gavin Williams F51-4-1 (20%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-2-1 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Gavin Williams1-5-0 (16.7%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-3-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Tyler Holton F52-1-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)
Tyler Holton1-2-0 (33.3%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Guardians vs. LHP F519-8-5 (70.4%)9-2-0 (81.8%)6-2-2 (75%)0-2-1 (0%)4-2-1 (66.7%)
Guardians vs. LHP24-8 (75%)9-2 (81.8%)8-2 (80%)2-1 (66.7%)4-3 (57.1%)
Tigers vs. RHP F532-41-15 (43.8%)9-11-3 (45%)5-3-1 (62.5%)5-10-3 (33.3%)13-16-8 (44.8%)
Tigers vs. RHP41-47 (46.6%)12-11 (52.2%)5-4 (55.6%)8-10 (44.4%)16-21 (43.2%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Guardians vs. LHP F518-11-3 (62.1%)7-3-1 (70%)6-3-1 (66.7%)2-1-0 (66.7%)3-4-0 (42.9%)
Guardians vs. LHP17-12-3 (58.6%)6-4-1 (60%)7-2-1 (77.8%)2-0-1 (100%)2-5-0 (28.6%)
Tigers vs. RHP F542-39-3 (51.9%)11-10-1 (52.4%)6-3-0 (66.7%)10-7-0 (58.8%)15-18-2 (45.5%)
Tigers vs. RHP51-36-1 (58.6%)15-8-0 (65.2%)5-4-0 (55.6%)10-8-0 (55.6%)20-16-1 (55.6%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Gavin Williams2-4 (33.3%)0-3 (0%)2-1 (66.7%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Guardians51-52 (49.5%)17-24 (41.5%)12-14 (46.2%)5-1 (83.3%)17-13 (56.7%)
Tyler Holton1-2 (33.3%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)1-0 (100%)
Tigers56-53 (51.4%)9-22 (29%)3-8 (27.3%)13-9 (59.1%)31-14 (68.9%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Gavin Williams1-5 (16.7%)1-2 (33.3%)0-3 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Guardians50-57 (46.7%)20-21 (48.8%)13-13 (50%)4-2 (66.7%)11-19 (36.7%)
Tyler Holton1-2 (33.3%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)
Tigers55-55 (50%)16-15 (51.6%)4-7 (36.4%)13-9 (59.1%)22-23 (48.9%)