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Reds @ Rays [ -100 / 7.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

July 28, 2024, 11:35 am
Reds | 74-78 (48.7%), Hunter Greene (R) | 9-4 (69.23%)
Rays | 74-77 (49%), Shawn Armstrong (R) | 3-3 (50%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Reds
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Rays
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Reds Situational Notes

Rays Situational Notes

Reds Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/29CINCarson Spiers (R)CIN -104
CHC -112		9CHCJameson Taillon (R)
7/28TBRShawn Armstrong (R)CIN -118
TBR -100		7.5CINHunter Greene (R)
7/27TBR [ 4 ]Zack Littell (R)CIN +106
TBR -124		8CIN [ 0 ]Andrew Abbott (L)
7/26TBR [ 2 ]Shane Baz (R)CIN -110
TBR -106		7.5CIN [ 3 ]Nick Lodolo (L)
7/24ATL [ 4 ]Allan Winans (R)CIN +110
ATL -130		8.5CIN [ 9 ]Frankie Montas (R)
7/23ATL [ 0 ]Chris Sale (L)CIN +146
ATL -174		7.5CIN [ 0 ]Nick Martinez (R)
7/22ATL [ 1 ]Reynaldo Lopez (R)CIN +120
ATL -142		7.5CIN [ 4 ]Hunter Greene (R)
7/21WSN [ 5 ]Jake Irvin (R)CIN -104
WSN -112		9CIN [ 2 ]Andrew Abbott (L)
7/20WSN [ 5 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)CIN -118
WSN -100		8CIN [ 4 ]Nick Lodolo (L)
7/19WSN [ 8 ]Patrick Corbin (L)CIN -130
WSN +110		9.5CIN [ 5 ]Frankie Montas (R)

Rays Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/30TBRJeffrey Springs (L)TBR -174
MIA +146		7MIAEdward Cabrera (R)
7/28TBRShawn Armstrong (R)TBR -100
CIN -118		7.5CINHunter Greene (R)
7/27TBR [ 4 ]Zack Littell (R)TBR -124
CIN +106		8CIN [ 0 ]Andrew Abbott (L)
7/26TBR [ 2 ]Shane Baz (R)TBR -106
CIN -110		7.5CIN [ 3 ]Nick Lodolo (L)
7/25TOR [ 0 ]Chris Bassitt (R)TBR -102
TOR -116		8TBR [ 13 ]Taj Bradley (R)
7/24TOR [ 6 ]Yariel Rodriguez (R)TBR -120
TOR +102		8TBR [ 3 ]Zach Eflin (R)
7/23TOR [ 2 ]Jose Berrios (R)TBR +110
TOR -130		8.5TBR [ 4 ]Shawn Armstrong (R)
7/22NYY [ 9 ]Carlos Rodon (L)TBR +142
NYY -168		8.5TBR [ 1 ]Zack Littell (R)
7/21NYY [ 4 ]Marcus Stroman (R)TBR +126
NYY -148		9TBR [ 6 ]Shane Baz (R)
7/20NYY [ 1 ]Nestor Cortes (L)TBR +140
NYY -166		8.5TBR [ 9 ]Taj Bradley (R)

Hunter Greene Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/22ATL [ 1 ]CIN [ 4 ]1207.57732000Reynaldo Lopez (R)
7/11CIN [ 8 ]COL [ 1 ]-2008.561022111Austin Gomber (L)
7/6CIN [ 3 ]DET [ 5 ]-16297723000Alex Faedo (R)
6/30STL [ 2 ]CIN [ 0 ]1027.54.67624011Lance Lynn (R)
6/25CIN [ 5 ]PIT [ 9 ]-13094527166Mitch Keller (R)
5.7372.23.60.41.61.6

Shawn Armstrong Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/23TOR [ 2 ]TBR [ 4 ]1108.52411000Jose Berrios (R)
5/30TBR [ 6 ]OAK [ 5 ]-1628.52102000Hogan Harris (L)
5/24TBR [ 1 ]KCR [ 8 ]-10082300000Seth Lugo (R)
4/24TBR [ 7 ]DET [ 5 ]-10481211011Jack Flaherty (R)
4/14TBR [ 9 ]SFG [ 4 ]-10682502011Blake Snell (L)
1.830.41.200.40.4


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

RedsRays
152TG151
4.4R/G3.8
169HR140
0.233AVG0.231
200SB172
43CS49
RedsRays
0.161ISO0.139
0.285BABIP0.29
0.307OBP0.304
0.395SLG0.37
0.306wOBA0.297
90wRC+96
RedsRays
8.3BB%8.4
24.6K%24.7
0.34BB/K0.34
7.1Barrel%7.5
35.9HardHit%36.8
9.8WAR15.7

Pitching Matchup

Hunter GreeneShawn Armstrong
24G56
24GS7
143.1IP66
6IP/G1.2
9W3
4L3
79.5LOB%70.2
Hunter GreeneShawn Armstrong
10.17K/99
3.33BB/93.41
18.7K/BB%14.1
34.7GB%36
48FB%40.1
0.69HR/90.82
6.6HR/FB%7.6
Hunter GreeneShawn Armstrong
0.243BABIP0.354
2.83ERA4.64
2.98xERA4.99
3.42FIP3.58
4.17xFIP4.21
1.02WHIP1.5
3.76SIERA3.93
3.7WAR0.7

Bullpen Matchup

RedsRays
3.3BPU/G3.36
3.7IP/G3.9
26W40
34L30
35SV46
15BS19
73.5LOB%74
RedsRays
9.31K/98.7
3.1BB/93.2
16.3K/BB%14.6
38.1GB%41.7
42.2FB%41.4
1.11HR/91.23
10.6HR/FB%11.9
RedsRays
0.292BABIP0.262
3.93ERA3.74
3.92FIP4.25
4.08xFIP4.22
1.25WHIP1.19
3.61SIERA3.78
5.5WAR1.2

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Hunter Greene F510-6-5 (62.5%)4-2-3 (66.7%)1-0-0 (100%)1-1-0 (50%)4-3-2 (57.1%)
Hunter Greene7-14 (33.3%)2-7 (22.2%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)4-5 (44.4%)
Shawn Armstrong F53-4-0 (42.9%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)2-3-0 (40%)1-0-0 (100%)
Shawn Armstrong5-2 (71.4%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)3-2 (60%)1-0 (100%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Hunter Greene F56-11-4 (35.3%)3-4-2 (42.9%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-1 (0%)3-5-1 (37.5%)
Hunter Greene8-12-1 (40%)5-3-1 (62.5%)0-1-0 (0%)0-2-0 (0%)3-6-0 (33.3%)
Shawn Armstrong F55-2-0 (71.4%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)4-1-0 (80%)0-1-0 (0%)
Shawn Armstrong5-2-0 (71.4%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)4-1-0 (80%)0-1-0 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Reds vs. RHP F533-30-10 (52.4%)9-12-3 (42.9%)4-2-1 (66.7%)5-4-0 (55.6%)15-12-6 (55.6%)
Reds vs. RHP37-36 (50.7%)13-11 (54.2%)5-2 (71.4%)4-5 (44.4%)15-18 (45.5%)
Rays vs. RHP F524-39-15 (38.1%)9-10-5 (47.4%)4-5-0 (44.4%)1-8-2 (11.1%)8-12-5 (40%)
Rays vs. RHP36-42 (46.2%)10-14 (41.7%)5-4 (55.6%)3-8 (27.3%)13-12 (52%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Reds vs. RHP F533-34-6 (49.3%)10-11-3 (47.6%)5-1-1 (83.3%)3-5-1 (37.5%)15-17-1 (46.9%)
Reds vs. RHP31-39-3 (44.3%)12-10-2 (54.5%)4-3-0 (57.1%)2-7-0 (22.2%)13-19-1 (40.6%)
Rays vs. RHP F526-44-6 (37.1%)5-16-2 (23.8%)3-5-0 (37.5%)5-4-2 (55.6%)11-13-1 (45.8%)
Rays vs. RHP34-42-2 (44.7%)8-15-1 (34.8%)6-3-0 (66.7%)6-4-1 (60%)11-14-0 (44%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Hunter Greene9-12 (42.9%)2-7 (22.2%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)6-3 (66.7%)
Reds55-50 (52.4%)16-22 (42.1%)6-6 (50%)7-8 (46.7%)26-14 (65%)
Shawn Armstrong4-3 (57.1%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)3-2 (60%)1-0 (100%)
Rays50-47 (51.5%)14-22 (38.9%)7-7 (50%)8-8 (50%)21-10 (67.7%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Hunter Greene6-15 (28.6%)4-5 (44.4%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)1-8 (11.1%)
Reds44-61 (41.9%)12-26 (31.6%)7-5 (58.3%)9-6 (60%)16-24 (40%)
Shawn Armstrong5-2 (71.4%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)4-1 (80%)0-1 (0%)
Rays49-57 (46.2%)10-26 (27.8%)9-5 (64.3%)10-6 (62.5%)17-14 (54.8%)