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Rangers @ Blue Jays [ -132 / 8.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

July 27, 2024, 3:07 pm
Rangers | 70-79 (47%), Michael Lorenzen (R) | 7-6 (53.85%)
Blue Jays | 71-78 (47.7%), Kevin Gausman (R) | 12-11 (52.17%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Rangers
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Blue Jays
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Rangers Situational Notes
Game off giving up a walk-off win

Blue Jays Situational Notes
Game off a walk-off win
Home stand (7th consecutive game at home or more)

Rangers Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/28TORJose Berrios (R)TEX -134
TOR +114		8.5TEXJon Gray (R)
7/27TORKevin Gausman (R)TEX +112
TOR -132		8.5TEXMichael Lorenzen (R)
7/26TOR [ 6 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)TEX +104
TOR -132		8.5TEX [ 5 ]Andrew Heaney (L)
7/25TEX [ 2 ]Max Scherzer (R)TEX -255
CHW +210		8CHW [ 1 ]Jonathan Cannon (R)
7/24TEX [ 10 ]Nathan Eovaldi (R)TEX -290
CHW +235		8CHW [ 2 ]Chris Flexen (R)
7/23TEX [ 3 ]Jon Gray (R)TEX -130
CHW +110		7CHW [ 2 ]Garrett Crochet (L)
7/22TEX [ 4 ]Michael Lorenzen (R)TEX -172
CHW +144		8.5CHW [ 3 ]Erick Fedde (R)
7/21TEX [ 3 ]Andrew Heaney (L)TEX -126
BAL +108		9BAL [ 2 ]Dean Kremer (R)
7/20TEX [ 4 ]Max Scherzer (R)TEX -110
BAL -106		8BAL [ 8 ]Grayson Rodriguez (R)
7/19TEX [ 1 ]Nathan Eovaldi (R)TEX -104
BAL -112		7.5BAL [ 9 ]Corbin Burnes (R)

Blue Jays Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/28TORJose Berrios (R)TOR +114
TEX -134		8.5TEXJon Gray (R)
7/27TORKevin Gausman (R)TOR -132
TEX +112		8.5TEXMichael Lorenzen (R)
7/26TOR [ 6 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)TOR -132
TEX +104		8.5TEX [ 5 ]Andrew Heaney (L)
7/25TOR [ 0 ]Chris Bassitt (R)TOR -116
TBR -102		8TBR [ 13 ]Taj Bradley (R)
7/24TOR [ 6 ]Yariel Rodriguez (R)TOR +102
TBR -120		8TBR [ 3 ]Zach Eflin (R)
7/23TOR [ 2 ]Jose Berrios (R)TOR -130
TBR +110		8.5TBR [ 4 ]Shawn Armstrong (R)
7/21TOR [ 5 ]Kevin Gausman (R)TOR -168
DET +142		8DET [ 4 ]Keider Montero (R)
7/20TOR [ 3 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)TOR -120
DET +102		8DET [ 7 ]Reese Olson (R)
7/19TOR [ 4 ]Chris Bassitt (R)TOR -132
DET +112		7.5DET [ 5 ]Jack Flaherty (R)
7/14ARI [ 7 ]Zac Gallen (R)TOR +132
ARI -156		8TOR [ 8 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)

Michael Lorenzen Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/22TEX [ 4 ]CHW [ 3 ]-1728.55826122Erick Fedde (R)
7/10LAA [ 7 ]TEX [ 2 ]-13095345155Griffin Canning (R)
7/5TEX [ 3 ]TBR [ 0 ]-1088.55451000Shane Baz (R)
6/29BAL [ 6 ]TEX [ 5 ]1389.55344255Cade Povich (L)
6/24MIL [ 6 ]TEX [ 3 ]15085515022Freddy Peralta (R)
54.63.24.20.82.82.8

Kevin Gausman Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/21TOR [ 5 ]DET [ 4 ]-16886.67535144Keider Montero (R)
7/11SFG [ 3 ]TOR [ 5 ]1067.57306122Jordan Hicks (R)
7/5SEA [ 2 ]TOR [ 1 ]1167.561026022Luis Castillo (R)
6/30TOR [ 1 ]NYY [ 8 ]-10084.33757177Gerrit Cole (R)
6/25BOS [ 4 ]TOR [ 9 ]1109.56515234Brayan Bello (R)
662.25.813.63.8


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

RangersBlue Jays
150TG150
4.2R/G4.2
158HR150
0.237AVG0.242
85SB67
25CS14
RangersBlue Jays
0.139ISO0.152
0.278BABIP0.283
0.304OBP0.314
0.376SLG0.395
0.298wOBA0.309
93wRC+102
RangersBlue Jays
8.1BB%8.4
21.1K%20.3
0.38BB/K0.41
7.2Barrel%7.4
38.6HardHit%36.9
14.1WAR21.4

Pitching Matchup

Michael LorenzenKevin Gausman
24G29
23GS29
126IP170
5.3IP/G5.9
7W12
6L11
82.7LOB%69.5
Michael LorenzenKevin Gausman
6.57K/98.1
4.14BB/92.75
6.6K/BB%14.1
41.3GB%38.2
40.5FB%41.8
1.21HR/91.06
11.6HR/FB%9.5
Michael LorenzenKevin Gausman
0.24BABIP0.289
3.43ERA4.02
4.64xERA4.99
4.99FIP3.85
5xFIP4.2
1.25WHIP1.25
5.13SIERA4.23
0.6WAR2.6

Bullpen Matchup

RangersBlue Jays
2.97BPU/G3.35
3.7IP/G3.4
33W23
21L24
35SV36
19BS21
73LOB%69.4
RangersBlue Jays
9.36K/97.89
4.18BB/93.67
13.2K/BB%10.9
42.1GB%42.1
38.5FB%38
1.22HR/91.49
12.8HR/FB%14.8
RangersBlue Jays
0.296BABIP0.271
4.51ERA4.78
4.43FIP4.94
4.27xFIP4.48
1.38WHIP1.34
3.95SIERA4.2
1.8WAR-2.8

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Michael Lorenzen F59-5-4 (64.3%)1-1-1 (50%)0-2-0 (0%)1-0-1 (100%)6-2-1 (75%)
Michael Lorenzen6-12 (33.3%)1-2 (33.3%)0-2 (0%)0-2 (0%)4-5 (44.4%)
Kevin Gausman F511-9-1 (55%)4-4-1 (50%)4-1-0 (80%)0-2-0 (0%)2-2-0 (50%)
Kevin Gausman11-10 (52.4%)4-5 (44.4%)4-1 (80%)0-2 (0%)2-2 (50%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Michael Lorenzen F56-11-1 (35.3%)0-3-0 (0%)2-0-0 (100%)1-0-1 (100%)3-6-0 (33.3%)
Michael Lorenzen7-10-1 (41.2%)1-2-0 (33.3%)1-0-1 (100%)1-1-0 (50%)4-5-0 (44.4%)
Kevin Gausman F514-5-2 (73.7%)6-3-0 (66.7%)3-0-2 (100%)2-0-0 (100%)3-1-0 (75%)
Kevin Gausman16-5-0 (76.2%)7-2-0 (77.8%)3-2-0 (60%)2-0-0 (100%)3-1-0 (75%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Rangers vs. RHP F539-30-11 (56.5%)18-10-2 (64.3%)5-2-3 (71.4%)3-3-1 (50%)11-13-3 (45.8%)
Rangers vs. RHP40-40 (50%)19-11 (63.3%)6-4 (60%)2-5 (28.6%)10-17 (37%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP F536-38-11 (48.6%)15-11-3 (57.7%)10-4-0 (71.4%)3-6-2 (33.3%)5-17-6 (22.7%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP40-45 (47.1%)16-13 (55.2%)10-4 (71.4%)1-10 (9.1%)10-18 (35.7%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Rangers vs. RHP F535-40-4 (46.7%)10-20-0 (33.3%)7-3-0 (70%)5-1-1 (83.3%)12-11-3 (52.2%)
Rangers vs. RHP33-45-2 (42.3%)11-19-0 (36.7%)7-2-1 (77.8%)3-4-0 (42.9%)11-15-1 (42.3%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP F539-40-4 (49.4%)16-12-0 (57.1%)5-6-3 (45.5%)4-6-1 (40%)13-14-0 (48.1%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP47-35-3 (57.3%)18-11-0 (62.1%)5-9-0 (35.7%)7-4-0 (63.6%)15-11-2 (57.7%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Michael Lorenzen6-10 (37.5%)0-3 (0%)0-2 (0%)1-1 (50%)5-4 (55.6%)
Rangers44-59 (42.7%)16-26 (38.1%)5-12 (29.4%)5-3 (62.5%)18-18 (50%)
Kevin Gausman11-9 (55%)3-6 (33.3%)4-1 (80%)0-2 (0%)4-0 (100%)
Blue Jays46-55 (45.5%)12-26 (31.6%)10-7 (58.8%)4-10 (28.6%)20-12 (62.5%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Michael Lorenzen7-11 (38.9%)1-2 (33.3%)1-1 (50%)0-2 (0%)5-4 (55.6%)
Rangers54-55 (49.5%)16-26 (38.1%)9-8 (52.9%)5-3 (62.5%)22-14 (61.1%)
Kevin Gausman10-11 (47.6%)4-5 (44.4%)3-2 (60%)1-1 (50%)2-2 (50%)
Blue Jays42-62 (40.4%)13-25 (34.2%)6-11 (35.3%)9-5 (64.3%)14-18 (43.8%)