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Brewers @ Twins [ -164 / 7.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

July 21, 2024, 12:05 pm
Brewers | 88-64 (57.9%), Aaron Civale (R) | 7-8 (46.67%)
Twins | 80-72 (52.6%), Joe Ryan (R) | 7-7 (50%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Brewers
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Twins
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Brewers Situational Notes
Game off extra innings

Twins Situational Notes
Game off extra innings

Brewers Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/22CHCJavier Assad (R)MIL -120
CHC +102		8.5MILTobias Myers (R)
7/21MINJoe Ryan (R)MIL +138
MIN -164		7.5MILAaron Civale (R)
7/20MIN [ 4 ]Pablo Lopez (R)MIL +106
MIN -124		7.5MIL [ 8 ]Freddy Peralta (R)
7/14MIL [ 9 ]Rob Zastryzny (L)MIL -148
WSN +126		9WSN [ 3 ]Jake Irvin (R)
7/13MIL [ 5 ]Dallas Keuchel (L)MIL -142
WSN +120		9WSN [ 6 ]Mitchell Parker (L)
7/12MIL [ 2 ]Freddy Peralta (R)MIL -275
WSN +225		8.5WSN [ 5 ]Jackson Rutledge (R)
7/11MIL [ 0 ]Aaron Civale (R)MIL +102
PIT -120		7.5PIT [ 1 ]Paul Skenes (R)
7/10MIL [ 9 ]Tobias Myers (R)MIL -162
PIT +136		8.5PIT [ 0 ]Martin Perez (L)
7/9MIL [ 2 ]Colin Rea (R)MIL -162
PIT +136		8.5PIT [ 12 ]Josh Fleming (L)
7/7LAD [ 2 ]Justin Wrobleski (L)MIL +150
LAD -178		9.5MIL [ 9 ]Dallas Keuchel (L)

Twins Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/22MINBailey Ober (R)MIN -102
PHI -116		8PHIRanger Suarez (L)
7/21MINJoe Ryan (R)MIN -164
MIL +138		7.5MILAaron Civale (R)
7/20MIN [ 4 ]Pablo Lopez (R)MIN -124
MIL +106		7.5MIL [ 8 ]Freddy Peralta (R)
7/14SFG [ 3 ]Blake Snell (L)MIN +136
SFG -162		7.5MIN [ 2 ]Chris Paddack (R)
7/13SFG [ 2 ]Hayden Birdsong (R)MIN +114
SFG -134		8MIN [ 4 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)
7/12SFG [ 7 ]Kyle Harrison (L)MIN -144
SFG +122		7.5MIN [ 1 ]Joe Ryan (R)
7/10CHW [ 2 ]Drew Thorpe (R)MIN -220
CHW +184		8.5MIN [ 3 ]Pablo Lopez (R)
7/10CHW [ 3 ]Erick Fedde (R)MIN -162
CHW +136		8.5MIN [ 1 ]Bailey Ober (R)
7/9CHW [ 0 ]Erick Fedde (R)MIN -158
CHW +134		8MIN [ 0 ]Bailey Ober (R)
7/8CHW [ 6 ]Chris Flexen (R)MIN -200
CHW +168		9MIN [ 8 ]Chris Paddack (R)

Aaron Civale Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/11MIL [ 0 ]PIT [ 1 ]1027.56.33626011Paul Skenes (R)
7/5LAD [ 8 ]MIL [ 5 ]1807.55835344Tyler Glasnow (R)
5.6672.55.51.52.52.5

Joe Ryan Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/12SFG [ 7 ]MIN [ 1 ]-1447.55.33636055Kyle Harrison (L)
7/6MIN [ 9 ]HOU [ 3 ]-1387.55.67815133Hunter Brown (R)
6/30SEA [ 3 ]MIN [ 5 ]-1126.55.671006012Luis Castillo (R)
6/25ARI [ 5 ]MIN [ 4 ]-1307.56506144Brandon Pfaadt (R)
6/19MIN [ 2 ]TBR [ 3 ]-1687.56516111Taj Bradley (R)
5.736.815.80.62.83


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

BrewersTwins
152TG152
4.8R/G4.7
170HR178
0.249AVG0.249
197SB64
42CS22
BrewersTwins
0.157ISO0.17
0.304BABIP0.292
0.328OBP0.318
0.407SLG0.419
0.321wOBA0.32
106wRC+109
BrewersTwins
9.8BB%7.7
23.2K%21.5
0.42BB/K0.36
7.3Barrel%7.9
38.5HardHit%38.3
26.8WAR23.3

Pitching Matchup

Aaron CivaleJoe Ryan
29G23
29GS23
150.2IP135
5.2IP/G5.9
7W7
8L7
75.4LOB%70.9
Aaron CivaleJoe Ryan
8.48K/99.8
2.87BB/91.53
14.6K/BB%23
35.2GB%35.7
43FB%45.4
1.61HR/91.27
14.1HR/FB%11.7
Aaron CivaleJoe Ryan
0.295BABIP0.265
4.48ERA3.6
4.06xERA2.91
4.67FIP3.44
4.27xFIP3.44
1.33WHIP0.99
4.21SIERA3.28
1WAR3.1

Bullpen Matchup

BrewersTwins
3.16BPU/G3.2
4IP/G3.5
47W33
27L28
50SV42
19BS19
77.8LOB%68.2
BrewersTwins
8.73K/99.37
3.05BB/93.18
15.3K/BB%16.2
42GB%43.5
37.9FB%37
1.01HR/90.93
10.8HR/FB%10.1
BrewersTwins
0.269BABIP0.291
3.17ERA4.14
3.83FIP3.69
3.93xFIP3.89
1.17WHIP1.24
3.68SIERA3.56
5.3WAR5.1

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Aaron Civale F56-9-5 (40%)3-4-1 (42.9%)1-1-0 (50%)0-0-1 (-)2-4-2 (33.3%)
Aaron Civale6-14 (30%)3-5 (37.5%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)2-6 (25%)
Joe Ryan F59-8-3 (52.9%)6-4-0 (60%)2-3-3 (40%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)
Joe Ryan10-10 (50%)4-6 (40%)5-3 (62.5%)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Aaron Civale F59-9-2 (50%)3-4-1 (42.9%)2-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)4-4-0 (50%)
Aaron Civale12-8-0 (60%)5-3-0 (62.5%)2-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)4-4-0 (50%)
Joe Ryan F511-7-1 (61.1%)6-4-0 (60%)4-2-1 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)
Joe Ryan11-9-0 (55%)6-4-0 (60%)5-3-0 (62.5%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Brewers vs. RHP F533-31-9 (51.6%)12-11-1 (52.2%)4-8-0 (33.3%)2-2-3 (50%)14-9-5 (60.9%)
Brewers vs. RHP44-29 (60.3%)17-7 (70.8%)7-5 (58.3%)3-4 (42.9%)16-12 (57.1%)
Twins vs. RHP F528-34-10 (45.2%)15-15-4 (50%)4-9-5 (30.8%)2-1-0 (66.7%)6-9-1 (40%)
Twins vs. RHP38-34 (52.8%)17-17 (50%)12-6 (66.7%)2-1 (66.7%)6-10 (37.5%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Brewers vs. RHP F539-32-2 (54.9%)10-13-1 (43.5%)5-6-1 (45.5%)5-2-0 (71.4%)18-10-0 (64.3%)
Brewers vs. RHP43-28-2 (60.6%)13-10-1 (56.5%)5-6-1 (45.5%)6-1-0 (85.7%)18-10-0 (64.3%)
Twins vs. RHP F533-32-4 (50.8%)16-13-4 (55.2%)7-10-0 (41.2%)2-1-0 (66.7%)7-8-0 (46.7%)
Twins vs. RHP34-37-1 (47.9%)17-16-1 (51.5%)10-8-0 (55.6%)1-2-0 (33.3%)5-11-0 (31.3%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Aaron Civale9-10 (47.4%)2-6 (25%)1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)5-3 (62.5%)
Brewers50-48 (51%)15-17 (46.9%)6-14 (30%)6-6 (50%)23-11 (67.6%)
Joe Ryan8-12 (40%)3-7 (30%)4-4 (50%)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)
Twins44-52 (45.8%)14-26 (35%)14-13 (51.9%)3-3 (50%)13-10 (56.5%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Aaron Civale7-13 (35%)1-7 (12.5%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)5-3 (62.5%)
Brewers48-54 (47.1%)15-17 (46.9%)10-10 (50%)6-6 (50%)14-20 (41.2%)
Joe Ryan11-9 (55%)4-6 (40%)5-3 (62.5%)0-0 (-)2-0 (100%)
Twins49-49 (50%)19-21 (47.5%)12-15 (44.4%)4-2 (66.7%)13-10 (56.5%)