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Rays @ Yankees [ -168 / 8.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

July 22, 2024, 1:05 pm
Rays | 74-78 (48.7%), Zack Littell (R) | 7-9 (43.75%)
Yankees | 89-63 (58.6%), Carlos Rodon (L) | 15-9 (62.5%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Rays
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Yankees
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Rays Situational Notes

Yankees Situational Notes
Baller Systems
• Medium road fave with in-series revenge

Rays Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/23TORJose Berrios (R)TBR +110
TOR -130		8.5TBRShawn Armstrong (R)
7/22NYYCarlos Rodon (L)TBR +142
NYY -168		8.5TBRZack Littell (R)
7/21NYY [ 4 ]Marcus Stroman (R)TBR +126
NYY -148		9TBR [ 6 ]Shane Baz (R)
7/20NYY [ 1 ]Nestor Cortes (L)TBR +140
NYY -166		8.5TBR [ 9 ]Taj Bradley (R)
7/19NYY [ 6 ]Gerrit Cole (R)TBR +140
NYY -166		8TBR [ 1 ]Zach Eflin (R)
7/14TBR [ 2 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)TBR -130
CLE +110		7.5CLE [ 0 ]Ben Lively (R)
7/13TBR [ 2 ]Zack Littell (R)TBR -106
CLE -110		7.5CLE [ 4 ]Gavin Williams (R)
7/12TBR [ 2 ]Taj Bradley (R)TBR -136
CLE +116		7.5CLE [ 0 ]Carlos Carrasco (R)
7/11TBR [ 5 ]Shane Baz (R)TBR -100
NYY -118		8NYY [ 4 ]Nestor Cortes (L)
7/10TBR [ 1 ]Zach Eflin (R)TBR -120
NYY +102		8NYY [ 2 ]Marcus Stroman (R)

Yankees Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/23NYYLuis Gil (R)NYY -156
NYM +132		9NYMJose Quintana (L)
7/22NYYCarlos Rodon (L)NYY -168
TBR +142		8.5TBRZack Littell (R)
7/21NYY [ 4 ]Marcus Stroman (R)NYY -148
TBR +126		9TBR [ 6 ]Shane Baz (R)
7/20NYY [ 1 ]Nestor Cortes (L)NYY -166
TBR +140		8.5TBR [ 9 ]Taj Bradley (R)
7/19NYY [ 6 ]Gerrit Cole (R)NYY -166
TBR +140		8TBR [ 1 ]Zach Eflin (R)
7/14BAL [ 6 ]Dean Kremer (R)NYY -118
BAL -100		9NYY [ 5 ]Carlos Rodon (L)
7/13BAL [ 1 ]Grayson Rodriguez (R)NYY +120
BAL -142		8.5NYY [ 6 ]Luis Gil (R)
7/12BAL [ 1 ]Cade Povich (L)NYY -130
BAL +110		9NYY [ 4 ]Gerrit Cole (R)
7/11TBR [ 5 ]Shane Baz (R)NYY -118
TBR -100		8NYY [ 4 ]Nestor Cortes (L)
7/10TBR [ 1 ]Zach Eflin (R)NYY +102
TBR -120		8NYY [ 2 ]Marcus Stroman (R)

Zack Littell Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/13TBR [ 2 ]CLE [ 4 ]-1067.56326112Gavin Williams (R)
7/7TEX [ 13 ]TBR [ 2 ]1147.54519177Nathan Eovaldi (R)
7/2KCR [ 1 ]TBR [ 5 ]-1029.55404000Brady Singer (R)
6/25TBR [ 11 ]SEA [ 3 ]1107.55614122Luis Castillo (R)
6/20MIN [ 6 ]TBR [ 7 ]11085525122Simeon Woods Richardson (R)
54.61.25.60.82.42.6

Carlos Rodon Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/14BAL [ 6 ]NYY [ 5 ]-11894734122Dean Kremer (R)
7/9TBR [ 5 ]NYY [ 3 ]-1187.54525144Ryan Pepiot (R)
7/3NYY [ 2 ]CIN [ 3 ]-1848.55.33823233Andrew Abbott (L)
6/27TOR [ 9 ]NYY [ 2 ]-1348.558110288Jose Berrios (R)
6/21NYY [ 1 ]ATL [ 8 ]-1127.53.673211378Chris Sale (L)
4.46.226.61.84.85


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

RaysYankees
152TG152
3.8R/G5
140HR222
0.231AVG0.249
175SB76
49CS24
RaysYankees
0.138ISO0.181
0.29BABIP0.283
0.304OBP0.332
0.37SLG0.43
0.296wOBA0.33
96wRC+116
RaysYankees
8.3BB%10.7
24.7K%21.1
0.34BB/K0.5
7.5Barrel%10.4
36.6HardHit%42.1
16WAR31

Pitching Matchup

Zack LittellCarlos Rodon
27G30
27GS30
144.2IP163.2
5.3IP/G5.4
7W15
9L9
78.1LOB%77.3
Zack LittellCarlos Rodon
7.9K/910.23
1.93BB/92.86
15.7K/BB%19.3
34.9GB%33.3
41.8FB%49.7
1.31HR/91.59
11.2HR/FB%13.2
Zack LittellCarlos Rodon
0.315BABIP0.286
3.73ERA4.12
4.35xERA4.06
4.05FIP4.34
4.12xFIP4.06
1.29WHIP1.22
4.11SIERA3.72
1.8WAR1.7

Bullpen Matchup

RaysYankees
3.36BPU/G3.22
3.9IP/G3.6
40W28
31L19
46SV42
19BS21
74LOB%72.2
RaysYankees
8.69K/99
3.2BB/93.5
14.6K/BB%14.3
41.7GB%47.6
41.3FB%34.2
1.22HR/91
11.9HR/FB%11.8
RaysYankees
0.264BABIP0.276
3.74ERA3.67
4.25FIP4.01
4.21xFIP3.99
1.19WHIP1.24
3.78SIERA3.72
1.1WAR2.8

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Zack Littell F57-8-5 (46.7%)3-2-1 (60%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-1-2 (0%)1-4-1 (20%)
Zack Littell9-11 (45%)2-4 (33.3%)1-2 (33.3%)1-2 (33.3%)3-3 (50%)
Carlos Rodon F510-8-2 (55.6%)5-1-1 (83.3%)5-3-1 (62.5%)0-0-0 (-)0-3-0 (0%)
Carlos Rodon12-8 (60%)5-2 (71.4%)6-3 (66.7%)0-0 (-)1-2 (33.3%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Zack Littell F56-10-3 (37.5%)2-4-0 (33.3%)0-2-0 (0%)0-1-2 (0%)3-2-1 (60%)
Zack Littell11-9-0 (55%)3-3-0 (50%)1-2-0 (33.3%)2-1-0 (66.7%)4-2-0 (66.7%)
Carlos Rodon F511-7-1 (61.1%)4-2-0 (66.7%)5-3-1 (62.5%)0-0-0 (-)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Carlos Rodon13-6-1 (68.4%)4-3-0 (57.1%)7-2-0 (77.8%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-1 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Rays vs. LHP F515-10-1 (60%)7-4-0 (63.6%)4-1-0 (80%)3-1-0 (75%)1-4-1 (20%)
Rays vs. LHP17-9 (65.4%)7-4 (63.6%)3-2 (60%)4-0 (100%)3-3 (50%)
Yankees vs. RHP F547-24-8 (66.2%)23-7-3 (76.7%)15-9-3 (62.5%)0-0-2 (-)9-8-0 (52.9%)
Yankees vs. RHP50-29 (63.3%)22-11 (66.7%)15-12 (55.6%)1-1 (50%)12-5 (70.6%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Rays vs. LHP F516-10-0 (61.5%)6-5-0 (54.5%)4-1-0 (80%)3-1-0 (75%)3-3-0 (50%)
Rays vs. LHP17-9-0 (65.4%)7-4-0 (63.6%)4-1-0 (80%)3-1-0 (75%)3-3-0 (50%)
Yankees vs. RHP F538-29-9 (56.7%)20-11-2 (64.5%)14-6-5 (70%)0-1-1 (0%)4-11-1 (26.7%)
Yankees vs. RHP43-34-2 (55.8%)21-11-1 (65.6%)17-10-0 (63%)1-1-0 (50%)4-12-1 (25%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Zack Littell7-11 (38.9%)2-4 (33.3%)1-2 (33.3%)1-2 (33.3%)3-3 (50%)
Rays45-46 (49.5%)13-22 (37.1%)7-6 (53.8%)6-8 (42.9%)19-10 (65.5%)
Carlos Rodon11-8 (57.9%)4-3 (57.1%)5-4 (55.6%)0-0 (-)2-1 (66.7%)
Yankees55-47 (53.9%)21-24 (46.7%)18-18 (50%)2-0 (100%)14-5 (73.7%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Zack Littell11-9 (55%)4-2 (66.7%)2-1 (66.7%)1-2 (33.3%)3-3 (50%)
Rays46-54 (46%)10-25 (28.6%)8-5 (61.5%)9-5 (64.3%)16-13 (55.2%)
Carlos Rodon10-10 (50%)2-5 (28.6%)6-3 (66.7%)0-0 (-)1-2 (33.3%)
Yankees53-50 (51.5%)20-25 (44.4%)21-15 (58.3%)0-2 (0%)11-8 (57.9%)