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Rays @ Yankees [ -166 / 8.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

July 20, 2024, 1:05 pm
Rays | 74-78 (48.7%), Taj Bradley (R) | 6-11 (35.29%)
Yankees | 89-63 (58.6%), Nestor Cortes (L) | 9-10 (47.37%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Rays
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Yankees
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Rays Situational Notes

Yankees Situational Notes

Rays Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/21NYYMarcus Stroman (R)TBR +126
NYY -148		9TBRShane Baz (R)
7/20NYYNestor Cortes (L)TBR +140
NYY -166		8.5TBRTaj Bradley (R)
7/19NYY [ 6 ]Gerrit Cole (R)TBR +140
NYY -166		8TBR [ 1 ]Zach Eflin (R)
7/14TBR [ 2 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)TBR -130
CLE +110		7.5CLE [ 0 ]Ben Lively (R)
7/13TBR [ 2 ]Zack Littell (R)TBR -106
CLE -110		7.5CLE [ 4 ]Gavin Williams (R)
7/12TBR [ 2 ]Taj Bradley (R)TBR -136
CLE +116		7.5CLE [ 0 ]Carlos Carrasco (R)
7/11TBR [ 5 ]Shane Baz (R)TBR -100
NYY -118		8NYY [ 4 ]Nestor Cortes (L)
7/10TBR [ 1 ]Zach Eflin (R)TBR -120
NYY +102		8NYY [ 2 ]Marcus Stroman (R)
7/9TBR [ 5 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)TBR -100
NYY -118		7.5NYY [ 3 ]Carlos Rodon (L)
7/7TEX [ 13 ]Nathan Eovaldi (R)TBR +114
TEX -134		7.5TBR [ 2 ]Zack Littell (R)

Yankees Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/21NYYMarcus Stroman (R)NYY -148
TBR +126		9TBRShane Baz (R)
7/20NYYNestor Cortes (L)NYY -166
TBR +140		8.5TBRTaj Bradley (R)
7/19NYY [ 6 ]Gerrit Cole (R)NYY -166
TBR +140		8TBR [ 1 ]Zach Eflin (R)
7/14BAL [ 6 ]Dean Kremer (R)NYY -118
BAL -100		9NYY [ 5 ]Carlos Rodon (L)
7/13BAL [ 1 ]Grayson Rodriguez (R)NYY +120
BAL -142		8.5NYY [ 6 ]Luis Gil (R)
7/12BAL [ 1 ]Cade Povich (L)NYY -130
BAL +110		9NYY [ 4 ]Gerrit Cole (R)
7/11TBR [ 5 ]Shane Baz (R)NYY -118
TBR -100		8NYY [ 4 ]Nestor Cortes (L)
7/10TBR [ 1 ]Zach Eflin (R)NYY +102
TBR -120		8NYY [ 2 ]Marcus Stroman (R)
7/9TBR [ 5 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)NYY -118
TBR -100		7.5NYY [ 3 ]Carlos Rodon (L)
7/7NYY [ 0 ]Luis Gil (R)NYY -134
BOS +106		8.5BOS [ 3 ]Kutter Crawford (R)

Taj Bradley Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/12TBR [ 2 ]CLE [ 0 ]-1367.57825000Carlos Carrasco (R)
7/6TEX [ 4 ]TBR [ 3 ]-1067.56525012Andrew Heaney (L)
6/30TBR [ 5 ]WSN [ 0 ]-18885.671123000Patrick Corbin (L)
6/24TBR [ 4 ]SEA [ 3 ]-1087.55.33842111Bryan Woo (R)
6/19MIN [ 2 ]TBR [ 3 ]1427.56327122Joe Ryan (R)
672.44.40.40.81

Nestor Cortes Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/11TBR [ 5 ]NYY [ 4 ]-11884.33427155Shane Baz (R)
7/5NYY [ 3 ]BOS [ 5 ]-14486813111Tanner Houck (R)
6/29TOR [ 9 ]NYY [ 3 ]-12484.33517133Chris Bassitt (R)
6/23NYY [ 1 ]ATL [ 3 ]-1188.57705133Max Fried (L)
6/18NYY [ 4 ]BAL [ 2 ]-1448.56605000Albert Suarez (R)
5.5360.85.40.82.42.4


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

RaysYankees
152TG152
3.8R/G5
140HR222
0.231AVG0.249
175SB76
49CS24
RaysYankees
0.138ISO0.181
0.29BABIP0.283
0.304OBP0.332
0.37SLG0.43
0.296wOBA0.33
96wRC+116
RaysYankees
8.3BB%10.7
24.7K%21.1
0.34BB/K0.5
7.5Barrel%10.4
36.6HardHit%42.1
16WAR31

Pitching Matchup

Taj BradleyNestor Cortes
23G31
23GS30
127IP174.1
5.5IP/G5.6
6W9
11L10
71.8LOB%76.4
Taj BradleyNestor Cortes
10.13K/98.36
3.12BB/92.01
18.6K/BB%17.3
41GB%31.1
41FB%48.9
1.56HR/91.24
15.8HR/FB%9.8
Taj BradleyNestor Cortes
0.283BABIP0.287
4.39ERA3.77
4.24xERA3.65
4.26FIP3.84
3.66xFIP4.17
1.24WHIP1.15
3.7SIERA4.02
1.2WAR3.2

Bullpen Matchup

RaysYankees
3.36BPU/G3.22
3.9IP/G3.6
40W28
31L19
46SV42
19BS21
74LOB%72.2
RaysYankees
8.69K/99
3.2BB/93.5
14.6K/BB%14.3
41.7GB%47.6
41.3FB%34.2
1.22HR/91
11.9HR/FB%11.8
RaysYankees
0.264BABIP0.276
3.74ERA3.67
4.25FIP4.01
4.21xFIP3.99
1.19WHIP1.24
3.78SIERA3.72
1.1WAR2.8

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Taj Bradley F53-8-2 (27.3%)2-1-1 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)0-3-0 (0%)1-4-0 (20%)
Taj Bradley8-5 (61.5%)3-1 (75%)0-0 (-)1-2 (33.3%)3-2 (60%)
Nestor Cortes F57-11-3 (38.9%)6-4-1 (60%)1-4-2 (20%)0-0-0 (-)0-3-0 (0%)
Nestor Cortes7-14 (33.3%)5-6 (45.5%)1-6 (14.3%)0-0 (-)1-2 (33.3%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Taj Bradley F53-10-0 (23.1%)1-3-0 (25%)0-0-0 (-)0-3-0 (0%)2-3-0 (40%)
Taj Bradley2-11-0 (15.4%)0-4-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-3-0 (0%)2-3-0 (40%)
Nestor Cortes F59-10-2 (47.4%)3-7-1 (30%)4-2-1 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Nestor Cortes9-10-2 (47.4%)4-6-1 (40%)4-3-0 (57.1%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-1 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Rays vs. LHP F515-9-1 (62.5%)7-4-0 (63.6%)4-1-0 (80%)3-1-0 (75%)1-3-1 (25%)
Rays vs. LHP17-8 (68%)7-4 (63.6%)3-2 (60%)4-0 (100%)3-2 (60%)
Yankees vs. RHP F546-23-8 (66.7%)22-6-3 (78.6%)15-9-3 (62.5%)0-0-2 (-)9-8-0 (52.9%)
Yankees vs. RHP49-28 (63.6%)21-10 (67.7%)15-12 (55.6%)1-1 (50%)12-5 (70.6%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Rays vs. LHP F515-10-0 (60%)6-5-0 (54.5%)4-1-0 (80%)3-1-0 (75%)2-3-0 (40%)
Rays vs. LHP16-9-0 (64%)7-4-0 (63.6%)4-1-0 (80%)3-1-0 (75%)2-3-0 (40%)
Yankees vs. RHP F537-28-9 (56.9%)19-10-2 (65.5%)14-6-5 (70%)0-1-1 (0%)4-11-1 (26.7%)
Yankees vs. RHP41-34-2 (54.7%)19-11-1 (63.3%)17-10-0 (63%)1-1-0 (50%)4-12-1 (25%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Taj Bradley8-4 (66.7%)3-1 (75%)0-0 (-)1-2 (33.3%)4-1 (80%)
Rays44-45 (49.4%)13-22 (37.1%)7-6 (53.8%)6-8 (42.9%)18-9 (66.7%)
Nestor Cortes7-14 (33.3%)5-6 (45.5%)1-6 (14.3%)0-0 (-)1-2 (33.3%)
Yankees54-46 (54%)20-23 (46.5%)18-18 (50%)2-0 (100%)14-5 (73.7%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Taj Bradley2-11 (15.4%)0-4 (0%)0-0 (-)0-3 (0%)2-3 (40%)
Rays45-53 (45.9%)10-25 (28.6%)8-5 (61.5%)9-5 (64.3%)15-12 (55.6%)
Nestor Cortes10-11 (47.6%)3-8 (27.3%)4-3 (57.1%)0-0 (-)3-0 (100%)
Yankees52-49 (51.5%)19-24 (44.2%)21-15 (58.3%)0-2 (0%)11-8 (57.9%)