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Diamondbacks @ Cubs [ -156 / 8 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

July 19, 2024, 1:20 pm
Diamondbacks | 84-68 (55.3%), Ryne Nelson (R) | 10-6 (62.5%)
Cubs | 77-75 (50.7%), Justin Steele (L) | 5-5 (50%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Diamondbacks
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Cubs
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Matchup:
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Diamondbacks Situational Notes

Cubs Situational Notes

Diamondbacks Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/20CHCKyle Hendricks (R)ARI -134
CHC +114		8.5ARIZac Gallen (R)
7/19CHCJustin Steele (L)ARI +132
CHC -156		8ARIRyne Nelson (R)
7/14ARI [ 7 ]Zac Gallen (R)ARI -156
TOR +132		8TOR [ 8 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)
7/13ARI [ 12 ]Yilber Diaz (R)ARI -138
TOR +118		8.5TOR [ 1 ]Jose Berrios (R)
7/12ARI [ 5 ]Ryne Nelson (R)ARI -122
TOR +104		8.5TOR [ 4 ]Yariel Rodriguez (R)
7/11ARI [ 1 ]Brandon Pfaadt (R)ARI -100
ATL -118		8ATL [ 0 ]Max Fried (L)
7/10ARI [ 7 ]Slade Cecconi (R)ARI -116
ATL -102		8.5ATL [ 5 ]Charlie Morton (R)
7/9ARI [ 2 ]Zac Gallen (R)ARI +102
ATL -120		7.5ATL [ 6 ]Chris Sale (L)
7/8ARI [ 4 ]Yilber Diaz (R)ARI -100
ATL -118		9ATL [ 5 ]Bryce Elder (R)
7/7SDP [ 1 ]Dylan Cease (R)ARI +146
SDP -174		8.5ARI [ 9 ]Ryne Nelson (R)

Cubs Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/20CHCKyle Hendricks (R)CHC +114
ARI -134		8.5ARIZac Gallen (R)
7/19CHCJustin Steele (L)CHC -156
ARI +132		8ARIRyne Nelson (R)
7/14STL [ 3 ]Miles Mikolas (R)CHC +108
STL -126		8.5CHC [ 8 ]Jameson Taillon (R)
7/13STL [ 5 ]Kyle Gibson (R)CHC +122
STL -144		8.5CHC [ 4 ]Javier Assad (R)
7/13STL [ 11 ]Lance Lynn (R)CHC +116
STL -136		8.5CHC [ 3 ]Hayden Wesneski (R)
7/12STL [ 1 ]Sonny Gray (R)CHC +164
STL -196		8.5CHC [ 5 ]Kyle Hendricks (R)
7/11BAL [ 0 ]Albert Suarez (R)CHC +114
BAL -134		8.5CHC [ 8 ]Justin Steele (L)
7/10BAL [ 0 ]Corbin Burnes (R)CHC +150
BAL -178		8.5CHC [ 4 ]Shota Imanaga (L)
7/9BAL [ 2 ]Dean Kremer (R)CHC +150
BAL -178		9CHC [ 9 ]Jameson Taillon (R)
7/7CHC [ 5 ]Hayden Wesneski (R)CHC -154
LAA +130		9.5LAA [ 0 ]Jose Soriano (R)

Ryne Nelson Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/12ARI [ 5 ]TOR [ 4 ]-1228.57505033Yariel Rodriguez (R)
7/7SDP [ 1 ]ARI [ 9 ]1468.56.67513111Dylan Cease (R)
6/26ARI [ 3 ]MIN [ 8 ]10493.673010066Simeon Woods Richardson (R)
6/20WSN [ 2 ]ARI [ 5 ]11897203222MacKenzie Gore (L)
6/14ARI [ 7 ]CHW [ 1 ]-19696816011Chris Flexen (R)
6.074.60.45.40.62.62.6

Justin Steele Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/11BAL [ 0 ]CHC [ 8 ]1148.57403000Albert Suarez (R)
7/5CHC [ 5 ]LAA [ 1 ]-1849.59722011Griffin Canning (R)
6/29MIL [ 3 ]CHC [ 5 ]-10286507033Tobias Myers (R)
6/24SFG [ 5 ]CHC [ 4 ]-1207.57.33916222Erik Miller (L)
6/18CHC [ 5 ]SFG [ 2 ]-1189.56.67824022Logan Webb (R)
7.26.614.40.41.61.6


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

DiamondbacksCubs
152TG152
5.5R/G4.6
197HR162
0.264AVG0.243
107SB137
28CS27
DiamondbacksCubs
0.177ISO0.153
0.303BABIP0.292
0.337OBP0.318
0.441SLG0.396
0.337wOBA0.312
115wRC+102
DiamondbacksCubs
9BB%8.9
20K%22.5
0.45BB/K0.4
7.8Barrel%7.9
38.9HardHit%38.2
32WAR21.5

Pitching Matchup

Ryne NelsonJustin Steele
27G23
25GS23
147.2IP130.2
5.5IP/G5.7
10W5
6L5
70.9LOB%72.4
Ryne NelsonJustin Steele
7.62K/99.09
2.07BB/92.55
14.7K/BB%17.6
41GB%44.7
37.1FB%37.1
1.04HR/90.76
10.1HR/FB%8.3
Ryne NelsonJustin Steele
0.311BABIP0.27
4.33ERA3.03
4.15xERA2.8
3.77FIP3.19
4xFIP3.62
1.27WHIP1.1
4.1SIERA3.75
2.1WAR2.9

Bullpen Matchup

DiamondbacksCubs
3.3BPU/G3.06
3.8IP/G3.5
35W34
28L33
36SV34
24BS25
70.7LOB%73.1
DiamondbacksCubs
8.14K/99.28
3.52BB/93.84
11.8K/BB%14.2
44.5GB%42.2
34.1FB%38.6
1.07HR/90.96
11.8HR/FB%10.2
DiamondbacksCubs
0.302BABIP0.285
4.44ERA3.81
4.23FIP3.92
4.21xFIP4.12
1.38WHIP1.28
4.03SIERA3.82
2.1WAR2.7

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Ryne Nelson F58-7-3 (53.3%)3-0-1 (100%)0-0-0 (-)1-3-0 (25%)4-4-2 (50%)
Ryne Nelson9-9 (50%)4-0 (100%)0-0 (-)1-3 (25%)4-6 (40%)
Justin Steele F54-5-6 (44.4%)1-2-3 (33.3%)2-1-1 (66.7%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-2 (50%)
Justin Steele5-10 (33.3%)3-3 (50%)0-4 (0%)0-1 (0%)2-2 (50%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Ryne Nelson F58-8-1 (50%)1-3-0 (25%)0-0-0 (-)3-0-0 (100%)4-5-1 (44.4%)
Ryne Nelson8-10-0 (44.4%)1-3-0 (25%)0-0-0 (-)3-1-0 (75%)4-6-0 (40%)
Justin Steele F56-8-1 (42.9%)3-2-1 (60%)2-2-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)1-3-0 (25%)
Justin Steele6-8-1 (42.9%)3-3-0 (50%)2-2-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)0-3-1 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Diamondbacks vs. LHP F516-12-6 (57.1%)6-3-5 (66.7%)2-3-0 (40%)1-3-1 (25%)7-3-0 (70%)
Diamondbacks vs. LHP15-19 (44.1%)7-7 (50%)2-3 (40%)1-4 (20%)5-5 (50%)
Cubs vs. RHP F534-34-13 (50%)7-13-6 (35%)6-3-0 (66.7%)7-5-0 (58.3%)13-13-7 (50%)
Cubs vs. RHP41-40 (50.6%)12-14 (46.2%)5-4 (55.6%)8-4 (66.7%)16-17 (48.5%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Diamondbacks vs. LHP F518-13-3 (58.1%)6-7-1 (46.2%)3-2-0 (60%)2-3-0 (40%)7-1-2 (87.5%)
Diamondbacks vs. LHP19-15-0 (55.9%)7-7-0 (50%)3-2-0 (60%)4-1-0 (80%)5-5-0 (50%)
Cubs vs. RHP F536-40-3 (47.4%)9-13-2 (40.9%)5-4-0 (55.6%)6-6-0 (50%)15-17-1 (46.9%)
Cubs vs. RHP34-46-1 (42.5%)11-15-0 (42.3%)5-4-0 (55.6%)4-8-0 (33.3%)13-19-1 (40.6%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Ryne Nelson10-8 (55.6%)3-1 (75%)0-0 (-)1-3 (25%)6-4 (60%)
Diamondbacks51-48 (51.5%)17-18 (48.6%)2-8 (20%)6-9 (40%)26-13 (66.7%)
Justin Steele7-8 (46.7%)3-3 (50%)0-4 (0%)0-1 (0%)4-0 (100%)
Cubs48-51 (48.5%)9-25 (26.5%)4-8 (33.3%)9-5 (64.3%)26-13 (66.7%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Ryne Nelson4-14 (22.2%)1-3 (25%)0-0 (-)1-3 (25%)2-8 (20%)
Diamondbacks46-53 (46.5%)17-18 (48.6%)7-3 (70%)5-10 (33.3%)17-22 (43.6%)
Justin Steele3-12 (20%)2-4 (33.3%)0-4 (0%)0-1 (0%)1-3 (25%)
Cubs37-63 (37%)9-25 (26.5%)4-8 (33.3%)8-6 (57.1%)16-23 (41%)