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Rays @ Twins [ -130 / 8 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

June 20, 2024, 12:10 pm
Rays | 80-82 (49.4%), Zack Littell (R) | 8-10 (44.44%)
Twins | 82-80 (50.6%), Simeon Woods Richardson (R) | 5-5 (50%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Rays
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Twins
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Bullpen:
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Matchup:
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Rays Situational Notes

Twins Situational Notes
Home stand (7th consecutive game at home or more)

Rays Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/21PITCarmen Mlodzinski (R)TBR -134
PIT +114		8.5TBRRyan Pepiot (R)
6/20MINSimeon Woods Richardson (R)TBR +110
MIN -130		8TBRZack Littell (R)
6/19MIN [ 2 ]Joe Ryan (R)TBR +142
MIN -168		7.5TBR [ 3 ]Taj Bradley (R)
6/18MIN [ 7 ]Pablo Lopez (R)TBR +158
MIN -188		8.5TBR [ 6 ]Aaron Civale (R)
6/16ATL [ 6 ]Hurston Waldrep (R)TBR +104
ATL -122		9TBR [ 8 ]Zach Eflin (R)
6/15ATL [ 9 ]Charlie Morton (R)TBR +110
ATL -130		8.5TBR [ 2 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)
6/14ATL [ 7 ]Chris Sale (L)TBR +184
ATL -220		8.5TBR [ 3 ]Zack Littell (R)
6/13TBR [ 3 ]Taj Bradley (R)TBR -104
CHC -112		7.5CHC [ 2 ]Justin Steele (L)
6/12TBR [ 3 ]Aaron Civale (R)TBR -116
CHC -102		8CHC [ 4 ]Javier Assad (R)
6/11TBR [ 5 ]Zach Eflin (R)TBR -136
CHC +116		7.5CHC [ 2 ]Jameson Taillon (R)

Twins Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/21OAKJoey Estes (R)MIN -158
OAK +134		8MINChris Paddack (R)
6/20MINSimeon Woods Richardson (R)MIN -130
TBR +110		8TBRZack Littell (R)
6/19MIN [ 2 ]Joe Ryan (R)MIN -168
TBR +142		7.5TBR [ 3 ]Taj Bradley (R)
6/18MIN [ 7 ]Pablo Lopez (R)MIN -188
TBR +158		8.5TBR [ 6 ]Aaron Civale (R)
6/16MIN [ 8 ]Chris Paddack (R)MIN -210
OAK +176		8.5OAK [ 7 ]Joey Estes (L)
6/16MIN [ 6 ]Bailey Ober (R)MIN -205
OAK +172		9OAK [ 2 ]JP Sears (R)
6/15MIN [ 0 ]Bailey Ober (R)MIN -215
OAK +180		8OAK [ 0 ]Joey Estes (R)
6/14MIN [ 6 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)MIN -184
OAK +154		8.5OAK [ 5 ]Mitch Spence (R)
6/13MIN [ 6 ]Joe Ryan (R)MIN -245
OAK +200		8.5OAK [ 2 ]Luis Medina (R)
6/12MIN [ 17 ]Pablo Lopez (R)MIN -250
COL +205		7.5COL [ 9 ]Austin Gomber (L)

Zack Littell Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/14ATL [ 7 ]TBR [ 3 ]1848.52218267Chris Sale (L)
6/9TBR [ 2 ]BAL [ 9 ]1247.56317133Grayson Rodriguez (R)
6/2BAL [ 3 ]TBR [ 4 ]110962111133Cole Irvin (L)
5/28TBR [ 0 ]OAK [ 3 ]-1787.57916133Mitch Spence (R)
5/21TBR [ 2 ]BOS [ 5 ]-1388.55.67713122Cooper Criswell (R)
5.334.6171.23.43.6

Simeon Woods Richardson Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/14MIN [ 6 ]OAK [ 5 ]-1848.54444144Mitch Spence (R)
6/8PIT [ 4 ]MIN [ 0 ]-13296.33606111Carmen Mlodzinski (R)
6/2HOU [ 3 ]MIN [ 4 ]12684.33623233Hunter Brown (R)
5/28MIN [ 4 ]KCR [ 2 ]1127.55423022Cole Ragans (L)
5/22WSN [ 2 ]MIN [ 3 ]-1249.54.67113000Jake Irvin (R)
4.874.21.83.80.822


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

RaysTwins
162TG162
3.7R/G4.6
147HR183
0.23AVG0.246
178SB65
53CS23
RaysTwins
0.136ISO0.165
0.289BABIP0.289
0.302OBP0.315
0.366SLG0.411
0.294wOBA0.316
95wRC+107
RaysTwins
8.2BB%7.7
24.7K%21.3
0.33BB/K0.36
7.4Barrel%7.7
36.5HardHit%38.1
16.1WAR23

Pitching Matchup

Zack LittellSimeon Woods Richardson
29G28
29GS28
156.1IP133.2
5.4IP/G4.8
8W5
10L5
78LOB%73.6
Zack LittellSimeon Woods Richardson
8.12K/97.88
1.78BB/93.23
16.8K/BB%12.1
34GB%35.3
42.4FB%44.3
1.27HR/91.08
10.9HR/FB%9.1
Zack LittellSimeon Woods Richardson
0.311BABIP0.283
3.63ERA4.17
4.31xERA4.08
3.88FIP4.12
4.01xFIP4.55
1.25WHIP1.29
3.99SIERA4.51
2.3WAR1.8

Bullpen Matchup

RaysTwins
3.35BPU/G3.3
3.9IP/G3.6
42W35
32L31
51SV43
21BS19
73.7LOB%68.7
RaysTwins
8.85K/99.6
3.13BB/93.26
15.2K/BB%16.5
42.1GB%43.8
40.9FB%36.8
1.17HR/90.92
11.5HR/FB%10.1
RaysTwins
0.268BABIP0.296
3.73ERA4.12
4.1FIP3.65
4.12xFIP3.84
1.19WHIP1.26
3.7SIERA3.52
2.2WAR5.9

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Zack Littell F56-6-3 (50%)3-2-1 (60%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-1-0 (0%)0-2-1 (0%)
Zack Littell7-8 (46.7%)2-4 (33.3%)1-2 (33.3%)0-1 (0%)2-1 (66.7%)
Simeon Woods Richardson F56-4-2 (60%)0-2-1 (0%)1-1-1 (50%)2-0-0 (100%)3-1-0 (75%)
Simeon Woods Richardson8-4 (66.7%)2-1 (66.7%)2-1 (66.7%)2-0 (100%)2-2 (50%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Zack Littell F54-9-1 (30.8%)2-4-0 (33.3%)0-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-1 (50%)
Zack Littell8-7-0 (53.3%)3-3-0 (50%)1-2-0 (33.3%)1-0-0 (100%)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Simeon Woods Richardson F54-5-2 (44.4%)0-1-2 (0%)1-2-0 (33.3%)1-1-0 (50%)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Simeon Woods Richardson5-7-0 (41.7%)3-0-0 (100%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-2-0 (0%)1-3-0 (25%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Rays vs. RHP F515-30-11 (33.3%)6-8-5 (42.9%)2-4-0 (33.3%)1-7-0 (12.5%)4-9-4 (30.8%)
Rays vs. RHP24-32 (42.9%)8-11 (42.1%)3-3 (50%)1-7 (12.5%)8-9 (47.1%)
Twins vs. RHP F521-27-7 (43.8%)11-13-3 (45.8%)1-5-4 (16.7%)2-1-0 (66.7%)6-8-0 (42.9%)
Twins vs. RHP29-26 (52.7%)14-13 (51.9%)7-3 (70%)2-1 (66.7%)5-9 (35.7%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Rays vs. RHP F521-29-4 (42%)5-11-2 (31.3%)1-4-0 (20%)5-3-0 (62.5%)8-8-1 (50%)
Rays vs. RHP26-29-1 (47.3%)7-12-0 (36.8%)3-3-0 (50%)5-2-1 (71.4%)8-9-0 (47.1%)
Twins vs. RHP F524-24-4 (50%)11-11-4 (50%)3-6-0 (33.3%)2-1-0 (66.7%)7-6-0 (53.8%)
Twins vs. RHP23-31-1 (42.6%)11-15-1 (42.3%)5-5-0 (50%)1-2-0 (33.3%)5-9-0 (35.7%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Zack Littell5-8 (38.5%)2-4 (33.3%)1-2 (33.3%)0-1 (0%)2-1 (66.7%)
Rays30-39 (43.5%)9-19 (32.1%)5-6 (45.5%)3-7 (30%)13-7 (65%)
Simeon Woods Richardson6-6 (50%)1-2 (33.3%)0-3 (0%)2-0 (100%)3-1 (75%)
Twins31-42 (42.5%)11-21 (34.4%)7-8 (46.7%)3-3 (50%)10-10 (50%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Zack Littell9-6 (60%)4-2 (66.7%)2-1 (66.7%)0-1 (0%)2-1 (66.7%)
Rays36-39 (48%)9-19 (32.1%)7-4 (63.6%)6-4 (60%)12-8 (60%)
Simeon Woods Richardson5-7 (41.7%)1-2 (33.3%)0-3 (0%)1-1 (50%)3-1 (75%)
Twins41-34 (54.7%)17-15 (53.1%)6-9 (40%)4-2 (66.7%)13-7 (65%)