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Tigers @ Braves [ -140 / 7.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

June 19, 2024, 12:20 pm
Tigers | 88-77 (53.3%), Tarik Skubal (L) | 18-4 (81.82%)
Braves | 89-75 (54.3%), Reynaldo Lopez (R) | 8-5 (61.54%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Tigers
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Braves
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Bullpen:
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Tigers Situational Notes

Braves Situational Notes

Tigers Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/21DETJack Flaherty (R)DET -180
CHW +152		7.5CHWErick Fedde (R)
6/19ATLReynaldo Lopez (R)DET +110
ATL -140		7.5DETTarik Skubal (L)
6/18ATL [ 2 ]Spencer Schwellenbach (R)DET +136
ATL -162		9DET [ 1 ]Casey Mize (R)
6/17ATL [ 2 ]Max Fried (L)DET +180
ATL -215		8DET [ 1 ]Reese Olson (R)
6/16HOU [ 4 ]Ronel Blanco (R)DET +140
HOU -166		8DET [ 1 ]Kenta Maeda (R)
6/15HOU [ 5 ]Spencer Arrighetti (R)DET -102
HOU -116		7.5DET [ 13 ]Jack Flaherty (R)
6/14HOU [ 4 ]Hunter Brown (R)DET -100
HOU -118		7DET [ 0 ]Tarik Skubal (L)
6/13DET [ 7 ]Casey Mize (R)DET -156
WSN +132		9.5WSN [ 2 ]Patrick Corbin (L)
6/12DET [ 5 ]Reese Olson (R)DET -124
WSN +106		7.5WSN [ 7 ]Jake Irvin (R)
6/11DET [ 4 ]Kenta Maeda (R)DET -116
WSN -102		8WSN [ 5 ]Mitchell Parker (L)

Braves Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/21NYYCarlos Rodon (L)ATL -112
NYY -112		7.5ATLChris Sale (L)
6/19ATLReynaldo Lopez (R)ATL -140
DET +110		7.5DETTarik Skubal (L)
6/18ATL [ 2 ]Spencer Schwellenbach (R)ATL -162
DET +136		9DET [ 1 ]Casey Mize (R)
6/17ATL [ 2 ]Max Fried (L)ATL -215
DET +180		8DET [ 1 ]Reese Olson (R)
6/16ATL [ 6 ]Hurston Waldrep (R)ATL -122
TBR +104		9TBR [ 8 ]Zach Eflin (R)
6/15ATL [ 9 ]Charlie Morton (R)ATL -130
TBR +110		8.5TBR [ 2 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)
6/14ATL [ 7 ]Chris Sale (L)ATL -220
TBR +184		8.5TBR [ 3 ]Zack Littell (R)
6/13BAL [ 3 ]Cole Irvin (L)ATL -104
BAL -112		9ATL [ 6 ]Reynaldo Lopez (R)
6/12BAL [ 4 ]Cade Povich (L)ATL -100
BAL -118		8.5ATL [ 2 ]Spencer Schwellenbach (R)
6/11BAL [ 4 ]Albert Suarez (R)ATL -142
BAL +120		7.5ATL [ 0 ]Max Fried (L)

Tarik Skubal Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/14HOU [ 4 ]DET [ 0 ]-10076.33216144Hunter Brown (R)
6/9DET [ 10 ]MIL [ 2 ]-17286.671025011Bryse Wilson (R)
6/3TEX [ 1 ]DET [ 2 ]-10276627111Nathan Eovaldi (R)
5/29DET [ 8 ]PIT [ 0 ]1147.57813000Jared Jones (R)
5/22KCR [ 8 ]DET [ 3 ]-11675626144Cole Ragans (L)
6.26.41.65.40.622

Reynaldo Lopez Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/13BAL [ 3 ]ATL [ 6 ]-10496812000Cole Irvin (L)
6/6WSN [ 2 ]ATL [ 5 ]-1648.56716222Mitchell Parker (L)
5/31ATL [ 4 ]OAK [ 2 ]-2308.56824011JP Sears (L)
5/25PIT [ 4 ]ATL [ 1 ]-1548.54.67315023Mitch Keller (R)
5/20ATL [ 5 ]SDP [ 6 ]-1207.56.33415022Dylan Cease (R)
5.861.24.40.41.41.6


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

TigersBraves
162TG162
4.2R/G4.3
162HR213
0.234AVG0.243
76SB69
24CS20
TigersBraves
0.151ISO0.172
0.288BABIP0.291
0.3OBP0.309
0.385SLG0.415
0.299wOBA0.315
95wRC+100
TigersBraves
7.9BB%8
24.3K%24
0.33BB/K0.33
7.5Barrel%10
37.5HardHit%42.5
19.2WAR18.4

Pitching Matchup

Tarik SkubalReynaldo Lopez
31G26
31GS25
192IP135.2
6.2IP/G5.2
18W8
4L5
80LOB%87
Tarik SkubalReynaldo Lopez
10.69K/99.82
1.64BB/92.79
25.6K/BB%19.5
45.7GB%39.4
35.8FB%38.2
0.7HR/90.66
8.8HR/FB%7.5
Tarik SkubalReynaldo Lopez
0.273BABIP0.287
2.39ERA1.99
2.7xERA3.88
2.49FIP2.92
2.83xFIP3.44
0.92WHIP1.11
2.89SIERA3.58
5.9WAR3.5

Bullpen Matchup

TigersBraves
3.11BPU/G2.97
4.3IP/G3.3
46W33
36L27
45SV40
26BS22
71.6LOB%75.3
TigersBraves
8.09K/99.92
2.72BB/92.87
14.5K/BB%18.9
43.5GB%42.7
37.5FB%38.1
0.99HR/90.95
10.3HR/FB%10.5
TigersBraves
0.262BABIP0.294
3.55ERA3.32
3.84FIP3.41
4.03xFIP3.56
1.14WHIP1.18
3.75SIERA3.27
3.6WAR6.1

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Tarik Skubal F58-3-3 (72.7%)5-0-1 (100%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)1-2-2 (33.3%)
Tarik Skubal9-5 (64.3%)5-1 (83.3%)2-1 (66.7%)0-0 (-)2-3 (40%)
Reynaldo Lopez F58-3-3 (72.7%)6-1-1 (85.7%)1-2-2 (33.3%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)
Reynaldo Lopez9-5 (64.3%)6-2 (75%)2-3 (40%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Tarik Skubal F57-6-1 (53.8%)3-2-1 (60%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)2-3-0 (40%)
Tarik Skubal9-5-0 (64.3%)5-1-0 (83.3%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)2-3-0 (40%)
Reynaldo Lopez F52-11-0 (15.4%)2-5-0 (28.6%)0-5-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)
Reynaldo Lopez2-11-1 (15.4%)2-6-0 (25%)0-5-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-1 (-)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Tigers vs. RHP F521-27-10 (43.8%)6-10-3 (37.5%)2-2-0 (50%)4-1-2 (80%)9-13-5 (40.9%)
Tigers vs. RHP27-31 (46.6%)9-10 (47.4%)3-1 (75%)4-3 (57.1%)11-16 (40.7%)
Braves vs. LHP F513-9-3 (59.1%)6-4-1 (60%)6-4-2 (60%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)
Braves vs. LHP15-10 (60%)8-3 (72.7%)6-6 (50%)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Tigers vs. RHP F525-26-3 (49%)9-8-1 (52.9%)3-1-0 (75%)4-2-0 (66.7%)9-14-2 (39.1%)
Tigers vs. RHP35-23-0 (60.3%)13-6-0 (68.4%)3-1-0 (75%)4-3-0 (57.1%)14-13-0 (51.9%)
Braves vs. LHP F510-13-1 (43.5%)5-6-0 (45.5%)5-5-1 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)
Braves vs. LHP13-11-1 (54.2%)5-6-0 (45.5%)8-4-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)0-1-1 (0%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Tarik Skubal7-7 (50%)4-2 (66.7%)1-2 (33.3%)0-0 (-)2-3 (40%)
Tigers35-39 (47.3%)7-19 (26.9%)1-5 (16.7%)6-3 (66.7%)21-12 (63.6%)
Reynaldo Lopez7-7 (50%)4-4 (50%)2-3 (40%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)
Braves36-37 (49.3%)17-20 (45.9%)14-14 (50%)0-0 (-)5-3 (62.5%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Tarik Skubal7-7 (50%)4-2 (66.7%)0-3 (0%)0-0 (-)3-2 (60%)
Tigers37-38 (49.3%)13-13 (50%)2-4 (33.3%)4-5 (44.4%)18-15 (54.5%)
Reynaldo Lopez5-9 (35.7%)4-4 (50%)0-5 (0%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)
Braves34-39 (46.6%)23-14 (62.2%)9-19 (32.1%)0-0 (-)2-6 (25%)