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Mets @ Cubs [ -156 / 8 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

June 21, 2024, 1:20 pm
Mets | 92-75 (55.1%), Jose Quintana (L) | 10-10 (50%)
Cubs | 83-79 (51.2%), Shota Imanaga (L) | 15-3 (83.33%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Mets
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Cubs
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Mets Situational Notes

Cubs Situational Notes
Home stand (7th consecutive game at home or more)

Baller Systems
• Back home fav on a homestand off a win

Mets Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/22CHCJameson Taillon (R)NYM -120
CHC +102		11NYMTylor Megill (R)
6/21CHCShota Imanaga (L)NYM +132
CHC -156		8NYMJose Quintana (L)
6/19TEX [ 5 ]Andrew Heaney (L)NYM -112
TEX -104		8.5NYM [ 3 ]Sean Manaea (L)
6/18TEX [ 6 ]Michael Lorenzen (R)NYM -126
TEX +108		8.5NYM [ 7 ]Luis Severino (R)
6/17TEX [ 2 ]Jon Gray (R)NYM +114
TEX -134		8.5NYM [ 14 ]David Peterson (L)
6/16NYM [ 11 ]Tylor Megill (R)NYM +120
SDP -142		7SDP [ 6 ]Dylan Cease (R)
6/15NYM [ 5 ]Jose Quintana (L)NYM -136
SDP +116		8.5SDP [ 1 ]Adam Mazur (R)
6/14NYM [ 2 ]Sean Manaea (L)NYM -116
SDP -102		7.5SDP [ 1 ]Matt Waldron (R)
6/13NYM [ 3 ]Luis Severino (R)NYM -200
MIA +168		8.5MIA [ 2 ]Roddery Munoz (R)
6/12NYM [ 10 ]David Peterson (L)NYM -154
MIA +130		7.5MIA [ 4 ]Braxton Garrett (L)

Cubs Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/22CHCJameson Taillon (R)CHC +102
NYM -120		11NYMTylor Megill (R)
6/21CHCShota Imanaga (L)CHC -156
NYM +132		8NYMJose Quintana (L)
6/19CHC [ 6 ]Kyle Hendricks (R)CHC -110
SFG -106		11SFG [ 5 ]Erik Miller (L)
6/18CHC [ 5 ]Justin Steele (L)CHC -118
SFG -108		9.5SFG [ 2 ]Logan Webb (R)
6/17CHC [ 6 ]Javier Assad (R)CHC -116
SFG -102		10.5SFG [ 7 ]Jordan Hicks (R)
6/16CHC [ 1 ]Jameson Taillon (R)CHC -130
STL +110		10.5STL [ 2 ]Miles Mikolas (R)
6/15CHC [ 5 ]Shota Imanaga (L)CHC -184
STL +154		8.5STL [ 1 ]Andre Pallante (R)
6/14CHC [ 0 ]Jordan Wicks (L)CHC -122
STL +104		7.5STL [ 3 ]Kyle Gibson (R)
6/13TBR [ 3 ]Taj Bradley (R)CHC -112
TBR -104		7.5CHC [ 2 ]Justin Steele (L)
6/12TBR [ 3 ]Aaron Civale (R)CHC -102
TBR -116		8CHC [ 4 ]Javier Assad (R)

Jose Quintana Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/15NYM [ 5 ]SDP [ 1 ]-1368.56622111Adam Mazur (R)
6/9PHI [ 5 ]NYM [ 6 ]12411.53.67126033Taijuan Walker (R)
6/2NYM [ 4 ]ARI [ 5 ]-10684434233Brandon Pfaadt (R)
5/28NYM [ 0 ]LAD [ 3 ]10686308233Gavin Stone (R)
5/22CLE [ 6 ]NYM [ 3 ]-11096404133Triston McKenzie (R)
5.133.61.44.81.22.62.6

Shota Imanaga Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/15CHC [ 5 ]STL [ 1 ]-1848.57604011Andre Pallante (R)
6/9CIN [ 2 ]CHC [ 4 ]-13296.67715122Frankie Montas (R)
6/4CHC [ 7 ]CHW [ 6 ]-3009.54.33607115Chris Flexen (R)
5/29MIL [ 10 ]CHC [ 6 ]-1467.54.33118277Bryse Wilson (R)
5/18CHC [ 1 ]PIT [ 0 ]-2058.57714000Bailey Falter (L)
5.875.40.65.60.82.23


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

MetsCubs
162TG162
4.7R/G4.5
207HR170
0.246AVG0.242
106SB143
22CS30
MetsCubs
0.169ISO0.151
0.291BABIP0.291
0.319OBP0.317
0.415SLG0.393
0.32wOBA0.311
109wRC+101
MetsCubs
8.3BB%8.9
22.4K%22.3
0.37BB/K0.4
8.8Barrel%7.8
41HardHit%38.1
25.8WAR22.5

Pitching Matchup

Jose QuintanaShota Imanaga
31G29
31GS29
170.1IP173.1
5.5IP/G6
10W15
10L3
78.2LOB%80.2
Jose QuintanaShota Imanaga
7.13K/99.03
3.33BB/91.45
10K/BB%21
47.4GB%37.2
35FB%45.5
1.16HR/91.4
12.6HR/FB%12.2
Jose QuintanaShota Imanaga
0.263BABIP0.264
3.75ERA2.91
4.49xERA3.46
4.56FIP3.72
4.44xFIP3.62
1.25WHIP1.02
4.58SIERA3.5
1WAR3

Bullpen Matchup

MetsCubs
3.18BPU/G3.06
3.4IP/G3.5
39W37
28L35
39SV38
25BS26
69.9LOB%73.5
MetsCubs
10.61K/99.25
4.11BB/93.76
17K/BB%14.4
44.7GB%42.4
36.9FB%38.4
1.02HR/90.99
12.1HR/FB%10.6
MetsCubs
0.291BABIP0.288
4.03ERA3.81
3.86FIP3.94
3.81xFIP4.09
1.28WHIP1.29
3.51SIERA3.8
3.8WAR2.9

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jose Quintana F56-8-1 (42.9%)1-3-0 (25%)1-0-0 (100%)1-2-0 (33.3%)3-3-1 (50%)
Jose Quintana8-7 (53.3%)3-1 (75%)0-1 (0%)0-3 (0%)5-2 (71.4%)
Shota Imanaga F57-4-3 (63.6%)2-3-2 (40%)4-1-0 (80%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-1 (-)
Shota Imanaga11-3 (78.6%)6-1 (85.7%)4-1 (80%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jose Quintana F55-8-1 (38.5%)0-3-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-1 (50%)4-3-0 (57.1%)
Jose Quintana5-9-1 (35.7%)0-4-0 (0%)0-0-1 (-)1-2-0 (33.3%)4-3-0 (57.1%)
Shota Imanaga F56-6-0 (50%)2-3-0 (40%)3-2-0 (60%)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)
Shota Imanaga5-9-0 (35.7%)2-5-0 (28.6%)2-3-0 (40%)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Mets vs. LHP F511-7-4 (61.1%)5-2-2 (71.4%)4-1-1 (80%)0-3-1 (0%)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Mets vs. LHP10-12 (45.5%)5-4 (55.6%)3-3 (50%)0-4 (0%)2-1 (66.7%)
Cubs vs. LHP F55-8-3 (38.5%)4-2-1 (66.7%)1-0-1 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)0-5-1 (0%)
Cubs vs. LHP5-11 (31.3%)4-3 (57.1%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)0-6 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Mets vs. LHP F513-8-1 (61.9%)6-3-0 (66.7%)2-3-1 (40%)2-2-0 (50%)3-0-0 (100%)
Mets vs. LHP14-7-1 (66.7%)7-2-0 (77.8%)3-2-1 (60%)1-3-0 (25%)3-0-0 (100%)
Cubs vs. LHP F58-7-0 (53.3%)4-2-0 (66.7%)0-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)4-2-0 (66.7%)
Cubs vs. LHP6-7-3 (46.2%)3-2-2 (60%)0-1-1 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)2-4-0 (33.3%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jose Quintana9-6 (60%)3-1 (75%)0-1 (0%)1-2 (33.3%)5-2 (71.4%)
Mets32-40 (44.4%)8-20 (28.6%)5-5 (50%)5-8 (38.5%)14-7 (66.7%)
Shota Imanaga7-7 (50%)3-4 (42.9%)3-2 (60%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)
Cubs35-41 (46.1%)7-21 (25%)3-7 (30%)7-4 (63.6%)18-9 (66.7%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jose Quintana8-7 (53.3%)0-4 (0%)1-0 (100%)2-1 (66.7%)5-2 (71.4%)
Mets32-42 (43.2%)8-20 (28.6%)5-5 (50%)5-8 (38.5%)12-9 (57.1%)
Shota Imanaga5-9 (35.7%)2-5 (28.6%)2-3 (40%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)
Cubs28-49 (36.4%)7-21 (25%)4-6 (40%)6-5 (54.5%)11-16 (40.7%)