Already a baller? You're in the right place -- you just need to log in. Not a baller yet, but want access to the world's best dashboard for breaking down a game? Awesome. We have a big blue button for that, too:


Pirates @ Blue Jays [ -148 / 7.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

June 1, 2024, 3:07 pm
Pirates | 76-87 (46.6%), Mitch Keller (R) | 11-12 (47.83%)
Blue Jays | 73-88 (45.3%), Yusei Kikuchi (L) | 9-10 (47.37%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Pirates
Starting Pitcher:
Unlock with Baller Access
Bullpen:
Unlock with Baller Access
Team Batting:
Unlock with Baller Access
Matchup:
Unlock with Baller Access
Blue Jays
Starting Pitcher:
Unlock with Baller Access
Bullpen:
Unlock with Baller Access
Team Batting:
Unlock with Baller Access
Matchup:
Unlock with Baller Access
Pirates Situational Notes
Game off extra innings
Game off giving up a walk-off win

Baller Systems
• Unders on lower totals after a game that went into extra innings

Blue Jays Situational Notes
Game off a walk-off win
Game off extra innings

Baller Systems
• Unders on lower totals after a game that went into extra innings

Pirates Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/2TORChris Bassitt (R)PIT +150
TOR -178		8PITQuinn Priester (R)
6/1TORYusei Kikuchi (L)PIT +126
TOR -148		7.5PITMitch Keller (R)
5/31TOR [ 5 ]Jose Berrios (R)PIT +152
TOR -180		8.5PIT [ 3 ]Bailey Falter (L)
5/29DET [ 8 ]Tarik Skubal (L)PIT -134
DET +114		7.5PIT [ 0 ]Jared Jones (R)
5/29DET [ 2 ]Keider Montero (R)PIT +124
DET -146		6.5PIT [ 10 ]Paul Skenes (R)
5/26PIT [ 1 ]Martin Perez (L)PIT +190
ATL -230		8ATL [ 8 ]Chris Sale (L)
5/25PIT [ 4 ]Mitch Keller (R)PIT +130
ATL -154		8.5ATL [ 1 ]Reynaldo Lopez (R)
5/24PIT [ 11 ]Bailey Falter (L)PIT +152
ATL -180		9ATL [ 5 ]Ray Kerr (L)
5/23PIT [ 6 ]Paul Skenes (R)PIT -184
SFG +154		8SFG [ 7 ]Erik Miller (L)
5/22PIT [ 5 ]Jared Jones (R)PIT -120
SFG +102		7.5SFG [ 9 ]Blake Snell (L)

Blue Jays Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/2TORChris Bassitt (R)TOR -178
PIT +150		8PITQuinn Priester (R)
6/1TORYusei Kikuchi (L)TOR -148
PIT +126		7.5PITMitch Keller (R)
5/31TOR [ 5 ]Jose Berrios (R)TOR -180
PIT +152		8.5PIT [ 3 ]Bailey Falter (L)
5/29CHW [ 1 ]Chris Flexen (R)TOR -198
CHW +166		8TOR [ 3 ]Alek Manoah (R)
5/28CHW [ 2 ]Jake Woodford (R)TOR -220
CHW +184		7.5TOR [ 7 ]Kevin Gausman (R)
5/27CHW [ 1 ]Nick Nastrini (R)TOR -200
CHW +168		9TOR [ 5 ]Chris Bassitt (R)
5/26DET [ 14 ]Casey Mize (R)TOR -132
DET +112		8TOR [ 11 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)
5/25DET [ 2 ]Reese Olson (R)TOR -102
DET -116		8.5TOR [ 1 ]Jose Berrios (R)
5/24DET [ 6 ]Kenta Maeda (R)TOR -112
DET -104		8.5TOR [ 2 ]Alek Manoah (R)
5/23DET [ 1 ]Jack Flaherty (R)TOR -108
DET -108		7.5TOR [ 9 ]Kevin Gausman (R)

Mitch Keller Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/25PIT [ 4 ]ATL [ 1 ]1308.56.67406011Reynaldo Lopez (R)
5/19CHC [ 2 ]PIT [ 3 ]11086332022Jameson Taillon (R)
5/13MIL [ 6 ]PIT [ 8 ]1208.56708000Colin Rea (R)
5/6PIT [ 4 ]LAA [ 1 ]-16489515111Tyler Anderson (L)
4/30OAK [ 5 ]PIT [ 2 ]-1367.55725133Alex Wood (L)
6.535.21.25.20.41.41.4

Yusei Kikuchi Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/26DET [ 14 ]TOR [ 11 ]-13283008155Casey Mize (R)
5/21TOR [ 0 ]CHW [ 5 ]-19676635023Garrett Crochet (L)
5/15BAL [ 3 ]TOR [ 2 ]11674.33916111Kyle Bradish (R)
5/10TOR [ 2 ]MIN [ 3 ]-1167.58304122Joe Ryan (R)
5/3WSN [ 9 ]TOR [ 3 ]-2008.56716011Patrick Corbin (L)
5.47515.80.62.22.4


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

PiratesBlue Jays
162TG162
4.1R/G4.1
160HR156
0.234AVG0.241
106SB72
19CS16
PiratesBlue Jays
0.137ISO0.148
0.291BABIP0.283
0.301OBP0.313
0.371SLG0.389
0.295wOBA0.307
86wRC+101
PiratesBlue Jays
8BB%8.4
24.7K%20.3
0.32BB/K0.41
8.2Barrel%7.2
39.9HardHit%36.5
6.9WAR22.8

Pitching Matchup

Mitch KellerYusei Kikuchi
31G32
31GS32
178IP175.2
5.7IP/G5.5
11W9
12L10
73.1LOB%71.9
Mitch KellerYusei Kikuchi
8.39K/910.55
2.53BB/92.25
15K/BB%22
39.4GB%42.6
36.8FB%38.6
1.16HR/91.28
11.6HR/FB%13.5
Mitch KellerYusei Kikuchi
0.306BABIP0.309
4.25ERA4.05
4.31xERA3.75
4.08FIP3.46
4.08xFIP3.2
1.3WHIP1.2
4.08SIERA3.3
2.2WAR3.5

Bullpen Matchup

PiratesBlue Jays
3.17BPU/G3.39
3.6IP/G3.5
33W23
33L27
43SV36
27BS23
67.6LOB%69
PiratesBlue Jays
9.06K/97.99
3.97BB/93.63
12.9K/BB%11.3
41.4GB%42.4
38.7FB%37.5
0.85HR/91.46
8.6HR/FB%14.8
PiratesBlue Jays
0.305BABIP0.276
4.49ERA4.82
3.95FIP4.84
4.38xFIP4.39
1.38WHIP1.34
3.98SIERA4.14
3.4WAR-2.6

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Mitch Keller F57-5-0 (58.3%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-2-0 (0%)2-0-0 (100%)3-2-0 (60%)
Mitch Keller8-4 (66.7%)2-1 (66.7%)0-2 (0%)1-1 (50%)5-0 (100%)
Yusei Kikuchi F54-7-1 (36.4%)1-4-0 (20%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-1 (50%)
Yusei Kikuchi3-9 (25%)1-4 (20%)1-2 (33.3%)0-1 (0%)1-2 (33.3%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Mitch Keller F55-4-2 (55.6%)1-1-1 (50%)2-0-0 (100%)1-1-0 (50%)1-2-1 (33.3%)
Mitch Keller6-6-0 (50%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-2-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)4-1-0 (80%)
Yusei Kikuchi F52-9-1 (18.2%)1-4-0 (20%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-0-1 (-)0-3-0 (0%)
Yusei Kikuchi4-8-0 (33.3%)2-3-0 (40%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-1-0 (0%)0-3-0 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Pirates vs. LHP F512-8-3 (60%)3-1-1 (75%)1-2-0 (33.3%)2-1-0 (66.7%)5-4-2 (55.6%)
Pirates vs. LHP12-11 (52.2%)2-3 (40%)1-2 (33.3%)2-1 (66.7%)6-5 (54.5%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP F521-19-6 (52.5%)10-5-1 (66.7%)7-4-0 (63.6%)0-2-1 (0%)2-8-4 (20%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP23-23 (50%)9-7 (56.3%)7-4 (63.6%)0-3 (0%)5-9 (35.7%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Pirates vs. LHP F514-4-1 (77.8%)3-1-1 (75%)2-0-0 (100%)3-0-0 (100%)5-3-0 (62.5%)
Pirates vs. LHP15-8-0 (65.2%)3-2-0 (60%)2-1-0 (66.7%)3-0-0 (100%)6-5-0 (54.5%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP F518-22-4 (45%)8-7-0 (53.3%)4-4-3 (50%)1-1-1 (50%)4-9-0 (30.8%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP20-25-1 (44.4%)8-8-0 (50%)4-7-0 (36.4%)1-2-0 (33.3%)6-8-0 (42.9%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Mitch Keller8-4 (66.7%)2-1 (66.7%)0-2 (0%)1-1 (50%)5-0 (100%)
Pirates31-27 (53.4%)4-11 (26.7%)3-5 (37.5%)9-3 (75%)15-8 (65.2%)
Yusei Kikuchi3-9 (25%)0-5 (0%)1-2 (33.3%)0-1 (0%)2-1 (66.7%)
Blue Jays26-29 (47.3%)10-12 (45.5%)7-6 (53.8%)0-3 (0%)9-8 (52.9%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Mitch Keller6-6 (50%)2-1 (66.7%)1-1 (50%)1-1 (50%)2-3 (40%)
Pirates23-36 (39%)8-7 (53.3%)4-4 (50%)5-7 (41.7%)6-17 (26.1%)
Yusei Kikuchi4-8 (33.3%)2-3 (40%)0-3 (0%)1-0 (100%)1-2 (33.3%)
Blue Jays23-34 (40.4%)7-15 (31.8%)5-8 (38.5%)2-1 (66.7%)9-8 (52.9%)