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Twins @ Astros [ -148 / 8 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

June 2, 2024, 12:05 pm
Twins | 82-80 (50.6%), Simeon Woods Richardson (R) | 5-5 (50%)
Astros | 88-75 (54%), Hunter Brown (R) | 11-9 (55%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Twins
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Astros
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Twins Situational Notes

Astros Situational Notes

Twins Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/4NYYLuis Gil (R)MIN +152
NYY -180		7.5MINBailey Ober (R)
6/2HOUHunter Brown (R)MIN +126
HOU -148		8MINSimeon Woods Richardson (R)
6/1HOU [ 5 ]Framber Valdez (L)MIN +104
HOU -122		7.5MIN [ 2 ]Joe Ryan (R)
5/31HOU [ 1 ]Ronel Blanco (R)MIN -104
HOU -112		8MIN [ 6 ]Pablo Lopez (R)
5/30MIN [ 7 ]Chris Paddack (R)MIN -162
KCR +136		8.5KCR [ 6 ]Daniel Lynch IV (L)
5/29MIN [ 1 ]Bailey Ober (R)MIN -130
KCR +110		7.5KCR [ 6 ]Seth Lugo (R)
5/28MIN [ 4 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)MIN +112
KCR -132		7.5KCR [ 2 ]Cole Ragans (L)
5/27MIN [ 6 ]Joe Ryan (R)MIN -172
KCR +144		7.5KCR [ 5 ]Alec Marsh (R)
5/26MIN [ 2 ]Pablo Lopez (R)MIN -168
TEX +142		8TEX [ 6 ]Gerson Garabito (R)
5/25MIN [ 5 ]Chris Paddack (R)MIN -148
TEX +126		8.5TEX [ 3 ]Michael Lorenzen (R)

Astros Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/3HOUJustin Verlander (R)HOU -180
STL +152		8STLKyle Gibson (R)
6/2HOUHunter Brown (R)HOU -148
MIN +126		8MINSimeon Woods Richardson (R)
6/1HOU [ 5 ]Framber Valdez (L)HOU -122
MIN +104		7.5MIN [ 2 ]Joe Ryan (R)
5/31HOU [ 1 ]Ronel Blanco (R)HOU -112
MIN -104		8MIN [ 6 ]Pablo Lopez (R)
5/30SEA [ 0 ]Logan Gilbert (R)HOU +112
SEA -132		7HOU [ 4 ]Spencer Arrighetti (R)
5/29SEA [ 2 ]George Kirby (R)HOU -108
SEA -108		7HOU [ 1 ]Justin Verlander (R)
5/28SEA [ 4 ]Luis Castillo (R)HOU +110
SEA -130		7.5HOU [ 2 ]Hunter Brown (R)
5/27SEA [ 3 ]Bryce Miller (R)HOU -126
SEA +108		7.5HOU [ 2 ]Framber Valdez (L)
5/26OAK [ 2 ]Aaron Brooks (R)HOU -168
OAK +142		8.5HOU [ 5 ]Ronel Blanco (R)
5/25OAK [ 3 ]JP Sears (L)HOU -154
OAK +130		8.5HOU [ 1 ]Spencer Arrighetti (R)

Simeon Woods Richardson Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/28MIN [ 4 ]KCR [ 2 ]1127.55423022Cole Ragans (L)
5/22WSN [ 2 ]MIN [ 3 ]-1249.54.67113000Jake Irvin (R)
5/17CLE [ 3 ]MIN [ 2 ]1088.55.33204011Triston McKenzie (R)
5/11TOR [ 10 ]MIN [ 8 ]1267.54.33218255Kevin Gausman (R)
5/6MIN [ 3 ]SEA [ 1 ]10686811000Luis Castillo (R)
5.073.413.80.41.61.6

Hunter Brown Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/28SEA [ 4 ]HOU [ 2 ]1107.56904011Luis Castillo (R)
5/22HOU [ 1 ]LAA [ 2 ]-20096332122Tyler Anderson (L)
5/17HOU [ 5 ]MIL [ 4 ]-1047.55534244Freddy Peralta (R)
5/5HOU [ 4 ]SEA [ 5 ]-1328.54.33545022Bryce Miller (R)
4/30HOU [ 10 ]CLE [ 9 ]-17295.33725266Carlos Carrasco (R)
5.335.82.44133


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

TwinsAstros
162TG161
4.6R/G4.6
183HR190
0.246AVG0.262
65SB93
23CS24
TwinsAstros
0.165ISO0.157
0.289BABIP0.299
0.315OBP0.322
0.411SLG0.418
0.316wOBA0.321
107wRC+111
TwinsAstros
7.7BB%7.3
21.3K%19.3
0.36BB/K0.38
7.7Barrel%7.5
38.1HardHit%38.7
23WAR26.1

Pitching Matchup

Simeon Woods RichardsonHunter Brown
28G31
28GS30
133.2IP170
4.8IP/G5.5
5W11
5L9
73.6LOB%76.6
Simeon Woods RichardsonHunter Brown
7.88K/99.48
3.23BB/93.18
12.1K/BB%16.7
35.3GB%48.9
44.3FB%30.5
1.08HR/90.95
9.1HR/FB%12.7
Simeon Woods RichardsonHunter Brown
0.283BABIP0.307
4.17ERA3.49
4.08xERA3.27
4.12FIP3.58
4.55xFIP3.47
1.29WHIP1.27
4.51SIERA3.74
1.8WAR3.1

Bullpen Matchup

TwinsAstros
3.3BPU/G3.17
3.6IP/G3.4
35W29
31L26
43SV43
19BS26
68.7LOB%75.7
TwinsAstros
9.6K/99.66
3.26BB/93.56
16.5K/BB%16.1
43.8GB%41.5
36.8FB%38.7
0.92HR/91.18
10.1HR/FB%12.7
TwinsAstros
0.296BABIP0.281
4.12ERA3.66
3.65FIP4.08
3.84xFIP3.94
1.26WHIP1.25
3.52SIERA3.6
5.9WAR2.1

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Simeon Woods Richardson F56-3-0 (66.7%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)2-0-0 (100%)3-1-0 (75%)
Simeon Woods Richardson7-2 (77.8%)1-0 (100%)2-0 (100%)2-0 (100%)2-2 (50%)
Hunter Brown F55-6-0 (45.5%)3-2-0 (60%)0-3-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)
Hunter Brown2-9 (18.2%)1-4 (20%)0-3 (0%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Simeon Woods Richardson F54-4-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Simeon Woods Richardson3-6-0 (33.3%)1-0-0 (100%)1-1-0 (50%)0-2-0 (0%)1-3-0 (25%)
Hunter Brown F56-5-0 (54.5%)2-3-0 (40%)3-0-0 (100%)1-1-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)
Hunter Brown5-6-0 (45.5%)2-3-0 (40%)2-1-0 (66.7%)1-1-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Twins vs. RHP F517-22-3 (43.6%)7-12-0 (36.8%)1-4-3 (20%)2-1-0 (66.7%)6-5-0 (54.5%)
Twins vs. RHP23-19 (54.8%)9-10 (47.4%)7-1 (87.5%)2-1 (66.7%)4-7 (36.4%)
Astros vs. RHP F521-18-3 (53.8%)12-9-0 (57.1%)4-6-0 (40%)1-2-0 (33.3%)3-1-1 (75%)
Astros vs. RHP20-22 (47.6%)11-10 (52.4%)4-6 (40%)1-2 (33.3%)3-2 (60%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Twins vs. RHP F520-17-2 (54.1%)9-7-2 (56.3%)3-4-0 (42.9%)2-1-0 (66.7%)5-5-0 (50%)
Twins vs. RHP17-24-1 (41.5%)7-11-1 (38.9%)5-3-0 (62.5%)1-2-0 (33.3%)3-8-0 (27.3%)
Astros vs. RHP F520-21-0 (48.8%)11-9-0 (55%)6-4-0 (60%)1-2-0 (33.3%)2-3-0 (40%)
Astros vs. RHP14-27-1 (34.1%)8-12-1 (40%)3-7-0 (30%)1-2-0 (33.3%)2-3-0 (40%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Simeon Woods Richardson6-3 (66.7%)1-0 (100%)0-2 (0%)2-0 (100%)3-1 (75%)
Twins26-31 (45.6%)7-15 (31.8%)7-6 (53.8%)3-3 (50%)9-7 (56.3%)
Hunter Brown1-10 (9.1%)0-5 (0%)0-3 (0%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)
Astros23-34 (40.4%)11-17 (39.3%)6-11 (35.3%)2-2 (50%)4-4 (50%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Simeon Woods Richardson4-5 (44.4%)0-1 (0%)0-2 (0%)1-1 (50%)3-1 (75%)
Twins33-26 (55.9%)12-10 (54.5%)6-7 (46.2%)4-2 (66.7%)10-6 (62.5%)
Hunter Brown5-6 (45.5%)2-3 (40%)2-1 (66.7%)0-2 (0%)1-0 (100%)
Astros32-28 (53.3%)13-15 (46.4%)12-5 (70.6%)2-2 (50%)5-3 (62.5%)