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Padres @ Braves [ -120 / 7.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

May 20, 2024, 12:20 pm
Padres | 97-71 (57.7%), Dylan Cease (R) | 14-11 (56%)
Braves | 89-75 (54.3%), Reynaldo Lopez (L) | 8-5 (61.54%)

Last updated: June 3, 2024 11:12 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Padres
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Braves
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Padres Situational Notes
Off a double header
Double-header Game 1
Double-header Game 2

Braves Situational Notes
Home stand (7th consecutive game at home or more)
Off a double header
Double-header Game 1
Double-header Game 2

Padres Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/21CINAndrew Abbott (L)SDP -122
CIN +104		9.5SDPJoe Musgrove (R)
5/20ATLReynaldo Lopez (L)SDP +102
ATL -120		7.5SDPDylan Cease (R)
5/20ATLChris Sale (R)SDP +198
ATL -240		8.5SDPRandy Vasquez (R)
5/19ATL [ 1 ]Bryce Elder (R)SDP +102
ATL -120		9SDP [ 9 ]Yu Darvish (R)
5/17ATL [ 1 ]Max Fried (L)SDP +180
ATL -215		8SDP [ 3 ]Matt Waldron (R)
5/15SDP [ 0 ]Michael King (R)SDP -250
COL +205		7.5COL [ 8 ]Austin Gomber (L)
5/14SDP [ 3 ]Dylan Cease (R)SDP -295
COL +240		7COL [ 6 ]Cal Quantrill (R)
5/13SDP [ 4 ]Randy Vasquez (R)SDP -220
COL +184		8COL [ 5 ]Dakota Hudson (R)
5/12SDP [ 4 ]Yu Darvish (R)SDP -112
LAD -104		7.5LAD [ 0 ]Walker Buehler (R)
5/11SDP [ 0 ]Matt Waldron (R)SDP +120
LAD -142		9.5LAD [ 5 ]James Paxton (L)

Braves Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/21CHCJavier Assad (R)ATL -126
CHC +108		11.5ATLCharlie Morton (R)
5/20ATLReynaldo Lopez (L)ATL -120
SDP +102		7.5SDPDylan Cease (R)
5/20ATLChris Sale (R)ATL -240
SDP +198		8.5SDPRandy Vasquez (R)
5/19ATL [ 1 ]Bryce Elder (R)ATL -120
SDP +102		9SDP [ 9 ]Yu Darvish (R)
5/17ATL [ 1 ]Max Fried (L)ATL -215
SDP +180		8SDP [ 3 ]Matt Waldron (R)
5/15ATL [ 1 ]Charlie Morton (R)ATL -184
CHC +154		8.5CHC [ 7 ]Javier Assad (R)
5/14ATL [ 7 ]Chris Sale (L)ATL -198
CHC +166		7.5CHC [ 0 ]Jameson Taillon (R)
5/13ATL [ 2 ]Reynaldo Lopez (R)ATL -138
CHC +118		8CHC [ 0 ]Shota Imanaga (L)
5/12NYM [ 4 ]Luis Severino (R)ATL -106
NYM -110		7.5ATL [ 3 ]Bryce Elder (R)
5/11NYM [ 1 ]Christian Scott (R)ATL -162
NYM +136		7ATL [ 4 ]Max Fried (L)

Dylan Cease Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/14SDP [ 3 ]COL [ 6 ]-29575.67815133Cal Quantrill (R)
5/8CHC [ 0 ]SDP [ 3 ]-1347.571221000Hayden Wesneski (R)
5/3ARI [ 1 ]SDP [ 7 ]-11696.67803011Slade Cecconi (R)
4/27SDP [ 1 ]PHI [ 5 ]-1167.56536155Ranger Suarez (L)
4/22COL [ 1 ]SDP [ 3 ]-17610.57801011Austin Gomber (L)
6.478.21.23.20.422

Reynaldo Lopez Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/13ATL [ 2 ]CHC [ 0 ]-13885422000Shota Imanaga (L)
5/7ATL [ 4 ]BOS [ 2 ]-1848.55.33546012Kutter Crawford (R)
4/30SEA [ 3 ]ATL [ 2 ]-1246.55726133Luis Castillo (R)
4/24ATL [ 4 ]MIA [ 3 ]-27097623111Sixto Sanchez (R)
4/16HOU [ 2 ]ATL [ 6 ]-1129.56714000Hunter Brown (R)
5.675.82.24.20.411.2


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

PadresBraves
162TG162
4.7R/G4.3
190HR213
0.263AVG0.243
120SB69
28CS20
PadresBraves
0.157ISO0.172
0.295BABIP0.291
0.324OBP0.309
0.42SLG0.415
0.324wOBA0.315
111wRC+100
PadresBraves
7.5BB%8
17.6K%24
0.43BB/K0.33
7.1Barrel%10
38.4HardHit%42.5
26.6WAR18.4

Pitching Matchup

Dylan CeaseReynaldo Lopez
33G26
33GS25
189.1IP135.2
5.7IP/G5.2
14W8
11L5
69.4LOB%87
Dylan CeaseReynaldo Lopez
10.65K/99.82
3.09BB/92.79
20.9K/BB%19.5
39.8GB%39.4
42.4FB%38.2
0.86HR/90.66
9.1HR/FB%7.5
Dylan CeaseReynaldo Lopez
0.263BABIP0.287
3.47ERA1.99
3.32xERA3.88
3.1FIP2.92
3.44xFIP3.44
1.07WHIP1.11
3.46SIERA3.58
4.8WAR3.5

Bullpen Matchup

PadresBraves
3.33BPU/G2.97
3.5IP/G3.3
39W33
19L27
44SV40
23BS22
72.7LOB%75.3
PadresBraves
9.38K/99.92
2.91BB/92.87
17.1K/BB%18.9
44.3GB%42.7
36.5FB%38.1
0.98HR/90.95
10.8HR/FB%10.5
PadresBraves
0.296BABIP0.294
3.78ERA3.32
3.6FIP3.41
3.71xFIP3.56
1.23WHIP1.18
3.44SIERA3.27
5.5WAR6.1

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Dylan Cease F55-4-1 (55.6%)1-3-0 (25%)3-0-1 (100%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)
Dylan Cease6-4 (60%)1-3 (25%)4-0 (100%)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)
Reynaldo Lopez F55-1-2 (83.3%)4-0-1 (100%)1-1-1 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Reynaldo Lopez5-3 (62.5%)4-1 (80%)1-2 (33.3%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Dylan Cease F55-5-0 (50%)2-2-0 (50%)2-2-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)
Dylan Cease5-5-0 (50%)3-1-0 (75%)1-3-0 (25%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)
Reynaldo Lopez F51-6-0 (14.3%)1-3-0 (25%)0-3-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Reynaldo Lopez2-6-0 (25%)2-3-0 (40%)0-3-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Padres vs. LHP F54-8-2 (33.3%)1-4-0 (20%)2-0-1 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)1-3-1 (25%)
Padres vs. LHP8-6 (57.1%)1-4 (20%)3-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)4-1 (80%)
Braves vs. RHP F515-12-4 (55.6%)9-6-2 (60%)6-4-1 (60%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-1 (0%)
Braves vs. RHP18-13 (58.1%)10-7 (58.8%)8-3 (72.7%)0-0 (-)0-3 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Padres vs. LHP F56-8-0 (42.9%)4-1-0 (80%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-1-0 (0%)1-4-0 (20%)
Padres vs. LHP6-8-0 (42.9%)2-3-0 (40%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-1-0 (0%)3-2-0 (60%)
Braves vs. RHP F512-13-3 (48%)8-6-2 (57.1%)3-5-1 (37.5%)0-0-0 (-)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Braves vs. RHP9-19-3 (32.1%)6-11-0 (35.3%)2-6-3 (25%)0-0-0 (-)1-2-0 (33.3%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Dylan Cease7-3 (70%)1-3 (25%)4-0 (100%)0-0 (-)2-0 (100%)
Padres26-23 (53.1%)6-14 (30%)5-3 (62.5%)2-3 (40%)12-2 (85.7%)
Reynaldo Lopez3-5 (37.5%)2-3 (40%)1-2 (33.3%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Braves23-21 (52.3%)11-13 (45.8%)10-7 (58.8%)0-0 (-)2-1 (66.7%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Dylan Cease5-5 (50%)1-3 (25%)2-2 (50%)0-0 (-)2-0 (100%)
Padres30-20 (60%)10-10 (50%)6-2 (75%)3-2 (60%)9-5 (64.3%)
Reynaldo Lopez3-5 (37.5%)3-2 (60%)0-3 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Braves23-21 (52.3%)15-9 (62.5%)7-10 (41.2%)0-0 (-)1-2 (33.3%)