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Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.
Red Sox | |
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Starting Pitcher: | |
Bullpen: | |
Team Batting: | |
Matchup: |
Cardinals | |
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Starting Pitcher: | |
Bullpen: | |
Team Batting: | |
Matchup: |
Home | Starter | Line | Total | Away | Starter | |
5/20 | TBR | Taj Bradley (R) | BOS +104 TBR -122 | 7.5 | BOS | Tanner Houck (R) |
5/19 | STL | Matthew Liberatore (L) | BOS -130 STL +110 | 8.5 | BOS | Nick Pivetta (R) |
5/18 | STL [ 7 ] | Miles Mikolas (R) | BOS -118 STL -100 | 8.5 | BOS [ 2 ] | Kutter Crawford (R) |
5/17 | STL [ 10 ] | Kyle Gibson (R) | BOS -108 STL -108 | 8 | BOS [ 6 ] | Brayan Bello (R) |
5/16 | BOS [ 5 ] | Cooper Criswell (R) | BOS -108 TBR -108 | 7.5 | TBR [ 7 ] | Zack Littell (R) |
5/15 | BOS [ 3 ] | Tanner Houck (R) | BOS -130 TBR +110 | 8.5 | TBR [ 4 ] | Taj Bradley (R) |
5/14 | BOS [ 5 ] | Nick Pivetta (R) | BOS -120 TBR +102 | 9.5 | TBR [ 4 ] | Aaron Civale (R) |
5/13 | BOS [ 3 ] | Kutter Crawford (R) | BOS -116 TBR -102 | 8.5 | TBR [ 5 ] | Zach Eflin (R) |
5/12 | BOS [ 3 ] | Brayan Bello (R) | BOS -138 WSN +118 | 7.5 | WSN [ 2 ] | MacKenzie Gore (L) |
5/11 | BOS [ 4 ] | Cooper Criswell (R) | BOS -158 WSN +134 | 8.5 | WSN [ 2 ] | Jake Irvin (R) |
Home | Starter | Line | Total | Away | Starter | |
5/20 | STL | Sonny Gray (R) | STL -120 BAL +102 | 8 | BAL | Dean Kremer (R) |
5/19 | STL | Matthew Liberatore (L) | STL +110 BOS -130 | 8.5 | BOS | Nick Pivetta (R) |
5/18 | STL [ 7 ] | Miles Mikolas (R) | STL -100 BOS -118 | 8.5 | BOS [ 2 ] | Kutter Crawford (R) |
5/17 | STL [ 10 ] | Kyle Gibson (R) | STL -108 BOS -108 | 8 | BOS [ 6 ] | Brayan Bello (R) |
5/15 | LAA [ 7 ] | Griffin Canning (R) | STL -124 LAA +106 | 8.5 | STL [ 2 ] | Lance Lynn (R) |
5/14 | LAA [ 6 ] | Reid Detmers (L) | STL -148 LAA +126 | 7.5 | STL [ 7 ] | Sonny Gray (R) |
5/13 | LAA [ 5 ] | Jose Soriano (R) | STL -112 LAA -104 | 8.5 | STL [ 10 ] | Matthew Liberatore (L) |
5/12 | MIL [ 3 ] | Bryse Wilson (R) | STL +130 MIL -154 | 9 | STL [ 4 ] | Miles Mikolas (R) |
5/11 | MIL [ 5 ] | Freddy Peralta (R) | STL +148 MIL -190 | 7.5 | STL [ 3 ] | Kyle Gibson (R) |
5/10 | MIL [ 11 ] | Robert Gasser (L) | STL +108 MIL -126 | 8.5 | STL [ 2 ] | Lance Lynn (R) |
H | A | Line | Total | IP | K | BB | Hits | HR | ER | Runs | Opp Starter | |
5/14 | BOS [ 5 ] | TBR [ 4 ] | -120 | 9.5 | 5.67 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | Aaron Civale (R) |
5/8 | ATL [ 5 ] | BOS [ 0 ] | 180 | 8.5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | Chris Sale (L) |
4/3 | OAK [ 0 ] | BOS [ 1 ] | -168 | 7.5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Ross Stripling (R) |
3/29 | SEA [ 1 ] | BOS [ 0 ] | 136 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | George Kirby (R) |
5.17 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 4.75 | 1.5 | 2 | 2 |
H | A | Line | Total | IP | K | BB | Hits | HR | ER | Runs | Opp Starter | |
5/13 | LAA [ 5 ] | STL [ 10 ] | -112 | 8.5 | 3.33 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | Jose Soriano (R) |
5/5 | STL [ 1 ] | CHW [ 5 ] | -162 | 7.5 | 3.67 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Garrett Crochet (L) |
3.5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
Red Sox | Cardinals | |
162 | TG | 162 |
4.6 | R/G | 4.1 |
194 | HR | 165 |
0.252 | AVG | 0.248 |
144 | SB | 91 |
44 | CS | 29 |
Red Sox | Cardinals | |
0.171 | ISO | 0.144 |
0.314 | BABIP | 0.294 |
0.319 | OBP | 0.312 |
0.423 | SLG | 0.392 |
0.321 | wOBA | 0.307 |
104 | wRC+ | 98 |
Red Sox | Cardinals | |
8 | BB% | 7.8 |
25.4 | K% | 21.6 |
0.31 | BB/K | 0.36 |
8.9 | Barrel% | 6.7 |
40.8 | HardHit% | 37.8 |
20.3 | WAR | 16.9 |
Nick Pivetta | Matthew Liberatore | |
27 | G | 60 |
26 | GS | 6 |
145.2 | IP | 86 |
5.4 | IP/G | 1.4 |
6 | W | 3 |
12 | L | 4 |
75.5 | LOB% | 70.1 |
Nick Pivetta | Matthew Liberatore | |
10.63 | K/9 | 7.95 |
2.22 | BB/9 | 2.93 |
22.9 | K/BB% | 13.4 |
33.5 | GB% | 42.2 |
48.3 | FB% | 40.2 |
1.73 | HR/9 | 1.15 |
15.1 | HR/FB% | 11.2 |
Nick Pivetta | Matthew Liberatore | |
0.279 | BABIP | 0.29 |
4.14 | ERA | 4.4 |
3.59 | xERA | 4.11 |
4.07 | FIP | 4.11 |
3.5 | xFIP | 4.17 |
1.13 | WHIP | 1.27 |
3.31 | SIERA | 4 |
2 | WAR | 0.4 |
Red Sox | Cardinals | |
3.3 | BPU/G | 3.14 |
3.8 | IP/G | 3.5 |
34 | W | 31 |
30 | L | 28 |
40 | SV | 55 |
27 | BS | 28 |
66.8 | LOB% | 73.5 |
Red Sox | Cardinals | |
8.54 | K/9 | 8.29 |
3.05 | BB/9 | 3.02 |
14.1 | K/BB% | 14 |
42.2 | GB% | 47 |
37.7 | FB% | 34.5 |
1.17 | HR/9 | 0.94 |
11.6 | HR/FB% | 10.6 |
Red Sox | Cardinals | |
0.305 | BABIP | 0.29 |
4.39 | ERA | 3.64 |
4.11 | FIP | 3.78 |
4.11 | xFIP | 3.91 |
1.34 | WHIP | 1.25 |
3.81 | SIERA | 3.74 |
3.6 | WAR | 3.9 |
Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
Nick Pivetta F5 | 3-1-1 (75%) | 1-0-0 (100%) | 2-0-0 (100%) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-1-1 (0%) |
Nick Pivetta | 3-2 (60%) | 1-0 (100%) | 2-0 (100%) | 0-0 (-) | 0-2 (0%) |
Matthew Liberatore F5 | 0-2-1 (0%) | 0-0-1 (-) | 0-1-0 (0%) | 0-1-0 (0%) | 0-0-0 (-) |
Matthew Liberatore | 1-2 (33.3%) | 0-1 (0%) | 1-0 (100%) | 0-1 (0%) | 0-0 (-) |
Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
Nick Pivetta F5 | 2-3-0 (40%) | 0-1-0 (0%) | 1-1-0 (50%) | 0-0-0 (-) | 1-1-0 (50%) |
Nick Pivetta | 1-4-0 (20%) | 0-1-0 (0%) | 1-1-0 (50%) | 0-0-0 (-) | 0-2-0 (0%) |
Matthew Liberatore F5 | 1-2-0 (33.3%) | 0-1-0 (0%) | 0-1-0 (0%) | 1-0-0 (100%) | 0-0-0 (-) |
Matthew Liberatore | 2-1-0 (66.7%) | 0-1-0 (0%) | 1-0-0 (100%) | 1-0-0 (100%) | 0-0-0 (-) |
Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
Red Sox vs. LHP F5 | 7-5-1 (58.3%) | 4-2-1 (66.7%) | 1-1-0 (50%) | 0-1-0 (0%) | 2-1-0 (66.7%) |
Red Sox vs. LHP | 6-7 (46.2%) | 3-4 (42.9%) | 2-0 (100%) | 0-1 (0%) | 1-2 (33.3%) |
Cardinals vs. RHP F5 | 10-18-5 (35.7%) | 2-4-1 (33.3%) | 2-5-0 (28.6%) | 1-2-2 (33.3%) | 4-7-2 (36.4%) |
Cardinals vs. RHP | 14-19 (42.4%) | 2-5 (28.6%) | 3-4 (42.9%) | 2-3 (40%) | 6-7 (46.2%) |
Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
Red Sox vs. LHP F5 | 9-4-0 (69.2%) | 4-3-0 (57.1%) | 2-0-0 (100%) | 1-0-0 (100%) | 2-1-0 (66.7%) |
Red Sox vs. LHP | 4-9-0 (30.8%) | 1-6-0 (14.3%) | 2-0-0 (100%) | 1-0-0 (100%) | 0-3-0 (0%) |
Cardinals vs. RHP F5 | 12-17-3 (41.4%) | 3-4-0 (42.9%) | 3-4-0 (42.9%) | 1-3-1 (25%) | 4-6-2 (40%) |
Cardinals vs. RHP | 15-16-2 (48.4%) | 3-4-0 (42.9%) | 5-2-0 (71.4%) | 2-3-0 (40%) | 4-7-2 (36.4%) |
Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
Nick Pivetta | 2-3 (40%) | 0-1 (0%) | 1-1 (50%) | 0-0 (-) | 1-1 (50%) |
Red Sox | 21-24 (46.7%) | 3-12 (20%) | 4-3 (57.1%) | 4-3 (57.1%) | 10-6 (62.5%) |
Matthew Liberatore | 1-2 (33.3%) | 0-1 (0%) | 1-0 (100%) | 0-1 (0%) | 0-0 (-) |
Cardinals | 21-24 (46.7%) | 5-9 (35.7%) | 3-6 (33.3%) | 4-1 (80%) | 9-8 (52.9%) |
Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
Nick Pivetta | 3-2 (60%) | 1-0 (100%) | 1-1 (50%) | 0-0 (-) | 1-1 (50%) |
Red Sox | 23-24 (48.9%) | 6-9 (40%) | 3-4 (42.9%) | 6-1 (85.7%) | 7-9 (43.8%) |
Matthew Liberatore | 1-2 (33.3%) | 0-1 (0%) | 0-1 (0%) | 1-0 (100%) | 0-0 (-) |
Cardinals | 23-23 (50%) | 8-6 (57.1%) | 4-5 (44.4%) | 2-3 (40%) | 8-9 (47.1%) |