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Orioles @ Cardinals [ +136 / 9 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

May 21, 2024, 11:15 am
Orioles | 91-73 (55.5%), Kyle Bradish (R) | 2-0 (100%)
Cardinals | 83-79 (51.2%), Lance Lynn (R) | 7-4 (63.64%)

Last updated: June 3, 2024 11:12 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Orioles
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Cardinals
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Orioles Situational Notes

Cardinals Situational Notes

Orioles Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/22STLKyle Gibson (R)BAL -126
STL +108		9BALJohn Means (L)
5/21STLLance Lynn (R)BAL -162
STL +136		9BALKyle Bradish (R)
5/20STL [ 6 ]Sonny Gray (R)BAL +102
STL -120		8BAL [ 3 ]Dean Kremer (R)
5/19BAL [ 6 ]Corbin Burnes (R)BAL -144
SEA +122		7SEA [ 3 ]George Kirby (R)
5/18BAL [ 3 ]Grayson Rodriguez (R)BAL -136
SEA +116		7.5SEA [ 4 ]Luis Castillo (R)
5/17BAL [ 9 ]John Means (L)BAL -132
SEA +112		8.5SEA [ 2 ]Bryce Miller (R)
5/15BAL [ 3 ]Kyle Bradish (R)BAL -136
TOR +116		7TOR [ 2 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)
5/13BAL [ 2 ]Corbin Burnes (R)BAL -178
TOR +150		7.5TOR [ 3 ]Jose Berrios (R)
5/12BAL [ 2 ]Dean Kremer (R)BAL -130
ARI +110		7.5ARI [ 9 ]Zac Gallen (R)
5/11BAL [ 5 ]John Means (L)BAL -152
ARI +128		8.5ARI [ 4 ]Ryne Nelson (R)

Cardinals Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/22STLKyle Gibson (R)STL +108
BAL -126		9BALJohn Means (L)
5/21STLLance Lynn (R)STL +136
BAL -162		9BALKyle Bradish (R)
5/20STL [ 6 ]Sonny Gray (R)STL -120
BAL +102		8BAL [ 3 ]Dean Kremer (R)
5/19STL [ 3 ]Matthew Liberatore (L)STL +110
BOS -130		8.5BOS [ 11 ]Nick Pivetta (R)
5/18STL [ 7 ]Miles Mikolas (R)STL -100
BOS -118		8.5BOS [ 2 ]Kutter Crawford (R)
5/17STL [ 10 ]Kyle Gibson (R)STL -108
BOS -108		8BOS [ 6 ]Brayan Bello (R)
5/15LAA [ 7 ]Griffin Canning (R)STL -124
LAA +106		8.5STL [ 2 ]Lance Lynn (R)
5/14LAA [ 6 ]Reid Detmers (L)STL -148
LAA +126		7.5STL [ 7 ]Sonny Gray (R)
5/13LAA [ 5 ]Jose Soriano (R)STL -112
LAA -104		8.5STL [ 10 ]Matthew Liberatore (L)
5/12MIL [ 3 ]Bryse Wilson (R)STL +130
MIL -154		9STL [ 4 ]Miles Mikolas (R)

Kyle Bradish Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/15BAL [ 3 ]TOR [ 2 ]-13674324022Yusei Kikuchi (L)
5/8WSN [ 6 ]BAL [ 7 ]-1688.55924011Mitchell Parker (L)
5/2BAL [ 7 ]NYY [ 2 ]-11294.67524011Carlos Rodon (L)
4.565.672401.331.33

Lance Lynn Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/15LAA [ 7 ]STL [ 2 ]-1248.55528144Griffin Canning (R)
5/10MIL [ 11 ]STL [ 2 ]1088.54.67525045Robert Gasser (L)
5/4STL [ 5 ]CHW [ 6 ]-1848.55434045Erick Fedde (R)
4/28NYM [ 4 ]STL [ 2 ]11885335111Jose Quintana (L)
4/22STL [ 5 ]ARI [ 3 ]-1128.55737033Brandon Pfaadt (R)
4.934.82.65.80.43.23.6


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

OriolesCardinals
162TG162
4.9R/G4.1
235HR165
0.25AVG0.248
98SB91
25CS29
OriolesCardinals
0.186ISO0.144
0.288BABIP0.294
0.315OBP0.312
0.435SLG0.392
0.324wOBA0.307
115wRC+98
OriolesCardinals
7.9BB%7.8
22K%21.6
0.36BB/K0.36
8.9Barrel%6.7
42.2HardHit%37.8
28.8WAR16.9

Pitching Matchup

Kyle BradishLance Lynn
8G23
8GS23
39.1IP117.1
4.9IP/G5.1
2W7
0L4
78.2LOB%70
Kyle BradishLance Lynn
12.13K/98.36
3.43BB/93.38
23.3K/BB%12.7
54.9GB%36.3
30.8FB%41.1
0.46HR/91.23
7.1HR/FB%11.1
Kyle BradishLance Lynn
0.278BABIP0.287
2.75ERA3.84
2.7xERA4.93
2.51FIP4.31
2.92xFIP4.39
1.07WHIP1.34
3.09SIERA4.4
1.4WAR1.3

Bullpen Matchup

OriolesCardinals
3.37BPU/G3.14
3.5IP/G3.5
29W31
22L28
46SV55
21BS28
67.8LOB%73.5
OriolesCardinals
9.17K/98.29
3.35BB/93.02
15.3K/BB%14
44.4GB%47
37.7FB%34.5
1.03HR/90.94
11HR/FB%10.6
OriolesCardinals
0.279BABIP0.29
4.22ERA3.64
3.88FIP3.78
3.96xFIP3.91
1.23WHIP1.25
3.66SIERA3.74
3.5WAR3.9

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Kyle Bradish F51-1-2 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)0-0-2 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Kyle Bradish3-1 (75%)2-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Lance Lynn F52-6-2 (25%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-2-0 (0%)0-0-2 (-)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Lance Lynn5-5 (50%)2-1 (66.7%)1-1 (50%)1-1 (50%)1-2 (33.3%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Kyle Bradish F51-3-0 (25%)1-1-0 (50%)0-2-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Kyle Bradish1-2-1 (33.3%)0-1-1 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Lance Lynn F53-6-1 (33.3%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-2-0 (0%)0-1-1 (0%)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Lance Lynn5-5-0 (50%)2-1-0 (66.7%)1-1-0 (50%)0-2-0 (0%)2-1-0 (66.7%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Orioles vs. RHP F515-11-4 (57.7%)12-4-2 (75%)2-4-1 (33.3%)0-1-0 (0%)0-2-1 (0%)
Orioles vs. RHP17-13 (56.7%)11-7 (61.1%)3-4 (42.9%)0-1 (0%)2-1 (66.7%)
Cardinals vs. RHP F511-18-6 (37.9%)3-4-1 (42.9%)2-5-0 (28.6%)1-2-3 (33.3%)4-7-2 (36.4%)
Cardinals vs. RHP16-19 (45.7%)3-5 (37.5%)3-4 (42.9%)3-3 (50%)6-7 (46.2%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Orioles vs. RHP F512-15-2 (44.4%)8-8-1 (50%)1-5-1 (16.7%)1-0-0 (100%)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Orioles vs. RHP16-13-1 (55.2%)10-8-0 (55.6%)3-3-1 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Cardinals vs. RHP F513-18-3 (41.9%)4-4-0 (50%)3-4-0 (42.9%)1-4-1 (20%)4-6-2 (40%)
Cardinals vs. RHP16-17-2 (48.5%)4-4-0 (50%)5-2-0 (71.4%)2-4-0 (33.3%)4-7-2 (36.4%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Kyle Bradish1-3 (25%)1-1 (50%)0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Orioles22-22 (50%)13-12 (52%)4-8 (33.3%)1-1 (50%)4-1 (80%)
Lance Lynn5-5 (50%)2-1 (66.7%)0-2 (0%)2-0 (100%)1-2 (33.3%)
Cardinals23-24 (48.9%)6-9 (40%)3-6 (33.3%)5-1 (83.3%)9-8 (52.9%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Kyle Bradish1-3 (25%)1-1 (50%)0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Orioles17-29 (37%)13-12 (52%)3-9 (25%)0-2 (0%)1-4 (20%)
Lance Lynn3-7 (30%)1-2 (33.3%)1-1 (50%)1-1 (50%)0-3 (0%)
Cardinals23-25 (47.9%)8-7 (53.3%)4-5 (44.4%)2-4 (33.3%)8-9 (47.1%)