Wings @ Dream [ Dream -2.5 / 170.5 ]
Wings | 9-24 (27.3%)Dream | 11-22 (33.3%)
Our Baller Exclusive WNBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.
Our base model will start on May 26, 2025 when we've gathered more team data.
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
Baller Systems
Fade bad team returning home off a 2+ game road trip after losing last game
Back team w/ more rest and less road games in previous 5 games
Away + won previous matchup at home
In season revenge
1st game home off long road trip (at least three games)
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 9/8 | CHI | DAL -4 CHI +4 | 172 | DAL | - | - | - |
| 9/6 | ATL | DAL +2.5 ATL -2.5 | 170.5 | DAL | - | - | - |
| 9/3 | DAL [ 86 ] | DAL -5.5 WAS +5.5 | 174.5 | WAS [ 90 ] | -4 | -9.5 | +1.5 |
| 9/1 | DAL [ 93 ] | DAL +3 IND -3 | 183.5 | IND [ 100 ] | -7 | -4 | +9.5 |
| 8/30 | DAL [ 94 ] | DAL +8 MIN -8 | 169.5 | MIN [ 76 ] | +18 | +26 | +0.5 |
| 8/27 | DAL [ 93 ] | DAL +9.5 LVA -9.5 | 181 | LVA [ 90 ] | +3 | +12.5 | +2 |
| 8/25 | DAL [ 113 ] | DAL -7 LAS +7 | 171.5 | LAS [ 110 ] | +3 | -4 | +51.5 |
| 8/22 | NYL [ 79 ] | DAL +11.5 NYL -11.5 | 174 | DAL [ 71 ] | -8 | +3.5 | -24 |
| 8/20 | NYL [ 94 ] | DAL +11 NYL -11 | 174 | DAL [ 74 ] | -20 | -9 | -6 |
| 8/16 | DAL [ 91 ] | DAL +6 CON -6 | 160.5 | CON [ 109 ] | -18 | -12 | +39.5 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | |
| 9/8 | IND | ATL +5.5 IND -5.5 | 170 | ATL | - | - | - |
| 9/6 | ATL | ATL -2.5 DAL +2.5 | 170.5 | DAL | - | - | - |
| 9/3 | PHO [ 74 ] | ATL +2 PHO -2 | 160.5 | ATL [ 66 ] | -8 | -6 | -20.5 |
| 9/1 | LAS [ 62 ] | ATL -4.5 LAS +4.5 | 163.5 | ATL [ 80 ] | +18 | +13.5 | -21.5 |
| 8/30 | LVA [ 83 ] | ATL +10.5 LVA -10.5 | 166 | ATL [ 72 ] | -11 | -0.5 | -11 |
| 8/28 | SEA [ 85 ] | ATL +9 SEA -9 | 155.5 | ATL [ 81 ] | -4 | +5 | +10.5 |
| 8/26 | ATL [ 79 ] | ATL +1.5 IND -1.5 | 167 | IND [ 84 ] | -5 | -3.5 | -4 |
| 8/23 | ATL [ 80 ] | ATL +2 PHO -2 | 161.5 | PHO [ 82 ] | -2 | 0 | +0.5 |
| 8/21 | ATL [ 72 ] | ATL +3 PHO -3 | 166 | PHO [ 63 ] | +9 | +12 | -31 |
| 8/18 | ATL [ 82 ] | ATL +8 CON -8 | 154.5 | CON [ 70 ] | +12 | +20 | -2.5 |
| Home | Line | Total | Away | SU Margin | ATS Margin | OU Margin | Pace | Ortg | Drtg | Net | Tot | |
| 8/29 | ATL | - - | - | DAL | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7/30 | DAL | - - | - | ATL | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 6/24 | DAL | ATL -8.5 DAL +8.5 | 169.5 | ATL | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 5/24 | ATL | ATL -7 DAL +7 | 169.5 | DAL | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 9/6 | ATL | ATL -2.5 DAL +2.5 | 170.5 | DAL | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 7/5 | DAL [ 85 ] | ATL +4.5 DAL -4.5 | 162.5 | ATL [ 82 ] | -3 | +1.5 | +4.5 | 105.9 | 92.9 | 96.3 | -3.4 | 167 |
| 5/21 | ATL [ 83 ] | ATL -5.5 DAL +5.5 | 169 | DAL [ 78 ] | +5 | -0.5 | -8 | 93.1 | 107 | 100.5 | 6.4 | 161 |
| 9/19 | DAL [ 101 ] | ATL +6.5 DAL -6.5 | 170.5 | ATL [ 74 ] | -27 | -20.5 | +4.5 | 100.8 | 88.1 | 120.3 | -32.2 | 175 |
| 9/15 | DAL [ 94 ] | ATL +5.5 DAL -5.5 | 169.5 | ATL [ 82 ] | -12 | -6.5 | +6.5 | 104.5 | 94.2 | 108 | -13.8 | 176 |
| 9/10 | ATL [ 77 ] | ATL -1 DAL +1 | 172.5 | DAL [ 94 ] | -17 | -18 | -1.5 | 100.8 | 91.6 | 111.9 | -20.2 | 171 |
| 6/20 | DAL [ 85 ] | ATL +3 DAL -3 | 173.5 | ATL [ 73 ] | -12 | -9 | -15.5 | 95 | 92.2 | 107.4 | -15.2 | 158 |
** The first week of the season will include last season's regular games by default.
| Wings ( game/s) |
Dream ( game/s) |
|
| - | Win Percentage | - |
| - | ATS Win% | - |
| - | OU% | - |
| - | Offensive Rating | - |
| - | Defensive Rating | - |
| - | Pace | - |
| - | A/TO Ratio | - |
| Wings ( game/s) |
Dream ( game/s) |
|
| - | EFG% | - |
| - | EFG% Allowed | - |
| - | FT Rate | - |
| - | FT Rate Allowed | - |
| - | OReb% | - |
| - | OReb% Allowed | - |
| - | TO Rate | - |
| - | TO Rate Forced | - |
| Wings ( game/s) |
Dream ( game/s) |
|
| - | PPG | - |
| - | PPG Allowed | - |
| - | Pts off TO | - |
| - | Pts off TO Allowed | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts | - |
| - | 2nd Chance Pts Allowed | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts | - |
| - | Fast Break Pts Allowed | - |
| Wings ( game/s) |
Dream ( game/s) |
|
| - | Paint Attempts | - |
| - | Paint Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Paint FG% | - |
| - | Paint FG% Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts | - |
| - | Mid-Range Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% | - |
| - | Mid-Range FG% Allowed | - |
| Wings ( game/s) |
Dream ( game/s) |
|
| - | Corner 3 Attempts | - |
| - | Corner 3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% | - |
| - | Corner 3 FG% Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts | - |
| - | ATB3 Attempts Allowed | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% | - |
| - | ATB3 FG% Allowed | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wings 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Wings | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dream 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wings 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Wings | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wings 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Wings | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wings 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Wings | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Overall | HF | HD | AF | AD | B2B (1st) | B2B (2nd) | +Rest | -Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wings 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Wings | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream 1h | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Dream | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | Dog 10+ | Dog 7-10 | Dog 2.5-7 | Within 2.5 | Fav 2.5-7 | Fav 7-10 | Fav 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wings | 3-2-0 (60%) | 3-2-0 (60%) | 3-0-0 (100%) | 2-2-0 (50%) | 12-7-0 (63.2%) | 2-5-0 (28.6%) | 1-1-0 (50%) |
| Dream | 3-2-0 (60%) | 1-2-0 (33.3%) | 1-7-0 (12.5%) | 6-7-0 (46.2%) | 4-1-0 (80%) | 4-3-0 (57.1%) | 0-0-1 (-) |