Already a baller? You're in the right place -- you just need to log in. Not a baller yet, but want access to the world's best dashboard for breaking down a game? Awesome. We have a big blue button for that, too:


Our Baller Exclusive WNBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Our base model gives the Dream (+2) a 47.7-54.1% chance of covering as an underdog, and projects the game going over 161.5 around 52-58% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Dream have a 55.6% chance of covering as an underdog at home, and the game has a 48% chance of going over the total.


Mercury Situational Notes
In season revenge
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Baller Systems
• Xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

Dream Situational Notes
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Mercury Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
8/26PHOPHO +6
NYL -6
166NYL---
8/23ATLPHO -2
ATL +2
161.5PHO---
8/21ATL [ 72 ]PHO -3
ATL +3
166PHO [ 63 ]-9-12-31
8/18PHO [ 86 ]PHO -7.5
CHI +7.5
166CHI [ 68 ]+18+10.5-12
8/16IND [ 98 ]PHO +3
IND -3
174PHO [ 89 ]-9-6+13
8/15CHI [ 65 ]PHO -5.5
CHI +5.5
162PHO [ 85 ]+20+14.5-12
7/16WAS [ 87 ]PHO -4.5
WAS +4.5
167.5PHO [ 96 ]+9+4.5+15.5
7/14CON [ 96 ]PHO +7.5
CON -7.5
158.5PHO [ 69 ]-27-19.5+6.5
7/12IND [ 95 ]PHO +1.5
IND -1.5
172.5PHO [ 86 ]-9-7.5+8.5
7/10PHO [ 100 ]PHO -7.5
DAL +7.5
173DAL [ 84 ]+16+8.5+11

Dream Schedule

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
8/26ATLATL +1.5
IND -1.5
167IND---
8/23ATLATL +2
PHO -2
161.5PHO---
8/21ATL [ 72 ]ATL +3
PHO -3
166PHO [ 63 ]+9+12-31
8/18ATL [ 82 ]ATL +8
CON -8
154.5CON [ 70 ]+12+20-2.5
8/16ATL [ 83 ]ATL +7
SEA -7
157SEA [ 81 ]+2+9+7
7/17MIN [ 86 ]ATL +7.5
MIN -7.5
150.5ATL [ 79 ]-7+0.5+14.5
7/14SEA [ 81 ]ATL +14.5
SEA -14.5
155ATL [ 70 ]-11+3.5-4
7/12ATL [ 70 ]ATL +14.5
LVA -14.5
170LVA [ 84 ]-14+0.5-16
7/10CHI [ 78 ]ATL +7
CHI -7
154.5ATL [ 69 ]-9-2-7.5
7/7CON [ 80 ]ATL +14.5
CON -14.5
150.5ATL [ 67 ]-13+1.5-3.5

Historical Matchups

Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin Pace Ortg Drtg Net Tot
9/3PHOATL +2
PHO -2
160.5ATL--------
8/23ATLATL +2
PHO -2
161.5PHO--------
8/21ATL [ 72 ]ATL +3
PHO -3
166PHO [ 63 ]+9+12-3185.2101.488.712.7135
5/18PHO [ 88 ]ATL -2
PHO +2
170ATL [ 85 ]-3-5+398.4103.6107.3-3.7173
8/29ATL [ 94 ]ATL -8
PHO +8
160PHO [ 76 ]+18+10+1092.3122.398.923.4170
8/3PHO [ 91 ]ATL -7.5
PHO +7.5
163ATL [ 71 ]-20-27.5-194.390.4115.8-25.5162
7/25ATL [ 78 ]ATL -7.5
PHO +7.5
163.5PHO [ 65 ]+13+5.5-20.594.499.182.616.5143


Straight Up Records (SU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Mercury 1h13-16-05-2-04-2-04-2-00-10-02-1-00-3-04-2-03-6-0
Mercury 15-145-24-25-11-91-20-34-22-7
Dream 1h7-19-11-3-02-8-02-2-12-6-00-0-00-0-01-7-02-4-0
Dream 10-172-24-63-21-70-00-02-62-4

Against the Spread Records (ATS)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Mercury 1h15-14-03-4-05-1-04-2-03-7-02-1-01-2-05-1-04-5-0
Mercury 17-12-04-3-05-1-05-1-03-7-01-2-01-2-05-1-03-6-0
Dream 1h10-15-21-3-02-8-02-3-05-1-20-0-00-0-03-4-12-4-0
Dream 15-12-01-3-05-5-03-2-06-2-00-0-00-0-03-5-04-2-0

Over/Under Records (OU)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Mercury 1h14-15-04-3-02-4-02-4-06-4-00-3-02-1-02-4-05-4-0
Mercury 15-14-04-3-03-3-03-3-05-5-00-3-01-2-02-4-04-5-0
Dream 1h9-17-13-1-03-7-03-2-00-7-10-0-00-0-03-4-11-5-0
Dream 12-14-11-2-14-6-04-1-03-5-00-0-00-0-04-3-13-3-0

Team Total Records (TT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Mercury 1h13-15-13-4-04-2-02-3-14-6-02-1-01-2-03-3-04-5-0
Mercury 17-12-04-3-05-1-04-2-04-6-01-2-01-2-03-3-04-5-0
Dream 1h11-16-02-2-03-7-03-2-03-5-00-0-00-0-03-5-02-4-0
Dream 9-18-01-3-02-8-03-2-03-5-00-0-00-0-03-5-02-4-0

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)

TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Mercury 1h13-16-03-4-03-3-02-4-05-5-00-3-02-1-01-5-06-3-0
Mercury 14-15-04-3-03-3-03-3-04-6-01-2-02-1-01-5-06-3-0
Dream 1h9-17-13-0-13-7-03-2-00-8-00-0-00-0-03-4-12-4-0
Dream 11-16-02-2-03-7-04-1-02-6-00-0-00-0-04-4-02-4-0


ATS Range Records

TeamDog 10+Dog 7-10Dog 2.5-7Within 2.5Fav 2.5-7Fav 7-10Fav 10+
Dream4-0-0 (100%)5-3-0 (62.5%)2-3-0 (40%)1-2-0 (33.3%)3-4-0 (42.9%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Mercury3-0-0 (100%)0-2-0 (0%)4-5-0 (44.4%)2-1-0 (66.7%)5-3-0 (62.5%)2-1-0 (66.7%)1-0-0 (100%)