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Updated: 12/23/25 8:02 p.m.
Wizards @ Hornets
Wizards: 5-22 (18.5%)
Hornets: 9-20 (31.0%)
Line: -6.5
Total: 239.0
Notes
Wizards
Situational Factor(s)
Rest advantage
In-season revenge
Double digit, in-season revenge
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
Hornets
Situational Factor(s)
2nd game of a back-to-back
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
Baller System(s)
Back favorite on back-to-back off a loss Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 185 - 160 - 7 (53.6%)L365 Days: 35 - 34 - 0 (50.7%)Current Season: 13 - 7 - 0 (65.0%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Hornets are 25% (1-3) against the spread as a fav
The Hornets are 75% (3-1) to the over/under as a fav
The Hornets are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) to the over/under
The Wizards are 25% (2-6) (L14) to the over/under away
The Wizards are 25% (2-6) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
10/26/25 2025 Hornets 139 Away Wizards 113 +1.5 240.0 -26 252
03/01/25 2024 Hornets 100 Home Wizards 113 -3.5 226.0 +13 213
02/03/25 2024 Hornets 114 Home Wizards 124 -4.5 216.0 +10 238
12/26/24 2024 Hornets 110 Away Wizards 113 -5.0 230.0 +3 223
12/19/24 2024 Hornets 114 Away Wizards 123 -4.0 226.0 +9 237
03/08/24 2023 Hornets 100 Away Wizards 112 +3.0 225.0 +12 212
11/22/23 2023 Hornets 117 Home Wizards 114 -4.0 241.5 -3 231
11/10/23 2023 Hornets 124 Away Wizards 117 +3.0 240.0 -7 241
11/08/23 2023 Hornets 116 Home Wizards 132 -2.0 239.0 +16 248
Hornets as Home (4 games) 111.8 - - 120.8 -3.5 230.6 +9.0 232.5
All Games Avg (9 games) 114.9 - - 117.9 -1.7 231.5 +3.0 232.8
Schedules
Wizards Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/28/25 2025 Wizards - home Grizzlies - - - - -
12/26/25 2025 Wizards - home Raptors - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Wizards - away Hornets - +6.5 239.0 - -
12/21/25 2025 Wizards 113 home Spurs 124 +15.5 237.5 +11 237
12/20/25 2025 Wizards 130 away Grizzlies 122 +12.0 233.0 -8 252
12/18/25 2025 Wizards 94 away Spurs 119 +15.5 240.5 +25 213
12/14/25 2025 Wizards 108 away Pacers 89 +10.0 233.5 -19 197
12/12/25 2025 Wizards 126 home Cavaliers 130 +16.5 246.0 +4 256
12/06/25 2025 Wizards 116 home Hawks 131 +9.5 237.5 +15 247
12/04/25 2025 Wizards 101 home Celtics 146 +10.5 231.0 +45 247
12/02/25 2025 Wizards 102 away Seventysixers 121 +13.5 234.5 +19 223
12/01/25 2025 Wizards 129 home Bucks 126 +10.5 232.5 -3 255
11/28/25 2025 Wizards 86 away Pacers 119 +6.0 240.5 +33 205
Away Games Avg (5 games) 104.0 - - 114.0 +11.4 236.4 +10.0 218.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 110.5 - - 122.7 +12.0 236.7 +12.2 233.2
Hornets Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/29/25 2025 Hornets - home Bucks - - - - -
12/26/25 2025 Hornets - away Magic - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Hornets - home Wizards - -6.5 239.0 - -
12/22/25 2025 Hornets 132 away Cavaliers 139 +9.5 239.5 +7 271
12/20/25 2025 Hornets 86 away Pistons 112 +10.5 234.5 +26 198
12/18/25 2025 Hornets 133 home Hawks 126 +4.5 240.5 -7 259
12/14/25 2025 Hornets 119 away Cavaliers 111 +12.0 232.5 -8 230
12/12/25 2025 Hornets 126 home Bulls 129 +3.0 229.0 +3 255
12/07/25 2025 Hornets 106 home Nuggets 115 +10.5 235.5 +9 221
12/05/25 2025 Hornets 111 away Raptors 86 +6.5 230.5 -25 197
12/03/25 2025 Hornets 104 away Knicks 119 +9.0 235.5 +15 223
12/01/25 2025 Hornets 103 away Nets 116 -4.5 227.5 +13 219
11/29/25 2025 Hornets 118 home Raptors 111 +7.0 234.0 -7 229
Home Games Avg (4 games) 120.8 - - 120.3 +6.3 234.8 -0.5 241.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 113.8 - - 116.4 +6.8 233.9 +2.6 230.2
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Nets @ Seventysixers
Nets: 8-19 (29.6%)
Seventysixers: 16-11 (59.3%)
Line: -9.5
Total: 220.0
Notes
Nets
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
Double digit, in-season revenge
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
Seventysixers
Situational Factor(s)
Rest advantage
Well-rested (two or more days of rest)
Baller System(s)
Under system based on low totals Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 397 - 366 - 14 (52.0%)L365 Days: 84 - 85 - 1 (49.7%)Current Season: 11 - 11 - 0 (50.0%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Seventysixers are 75% (6-2) (L14) against the spread as a fav
The Nets are 14.3% (2-12) (L14) to the over/under
The Nets are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under away
The Nets are 15.4% (2-11) (L14) to the over/under as a dog
The Nets are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
11/28/25 2025 Seventysixers 115 Away Nets 103 -7.0 222.0 -12 218
11/02/25 2025 Seventysixers 129 Away Nets 105 -4.5 232.5 -24 234
02/22/25 2024 Seventysixers 103 Home Nets 105 -11.0 212.5 +2 208
02/12/25 2024 Seventysixers 96 Away Nets 100 +2.0 209.0 +4 196
01/04/25 2024 Seventysixers 123 Away Nets 94 -9.0 211.5 -29 217
11/22/24 2024 Seventysixers 113 Home Nets 98 -3.0 214.5 -15 211
04/14/24 2023 Seventysixers 107 Home Nets 86 -15.5 213.0 -21 193
03/05/24 2023 Seventysixers 107 Away Nets 112 -2.5 217.0 +5 219
02/03/24 2023 Seventysixers 121 Home Nets 136 -3.5 232.5 +15 257
11/19/23 2023 Seventysixers 121 Away Nets 99 -3.5 224.0 -22 220
Seventysixers as Home (4 games) 111.0 - - 106.3 -8.3 218.1 -4.8 217.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 113.5 - - 103.8 -5.8 218.9 -9.7 217.3
Schedules
Nets Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/29/25 2025 Nets - home Warriors - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Nets - away Timberwolves - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Nets - away Seventysixers - +9.5 220.0 - -
12/21/25 2025 Nets 96 home Raptors 81 +3.5 216.5 -15 177
12/18/25 2025 Nets 95 home Heat 106 +8.5 228.5 +11 201
12/14/25 2025 Nets 127 home Bucks 82 +1.5 216.0 -45 209
12/12/25 2025 Nets 111 away Mavericks 119 +7.0 218.5 +8 230
12/06/25 2025 Nets 119 home Pelicans 101 -3.5 227.5 -18 220
12/04/25 2025 Nets 110 home Jazz 123 +5.0 231.0 +13 233
12/03/25 2025 Nets 113 away Bulls 103 +7.5 231.5 -10 216
12/01/25 2025 Nets 116 home Hornets 103 +4.5 227.5 -13 219
11/29/25 2025 Nets 99 away Bucks 116 +11.5 218.5 +17 215
11/28/25 2025 Nets 103 home Seventysixers 115 +7.0 222.0 +12 218
Away Games Avg (3 games) 107.7 - - 112.7 +8.7 222.8 +5.0 220.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 108.9 - - 104.9 +5.3 223.8 -4.0 213.8
Seventysixers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/28/25 2025 Seventysixers - away Thunder - - - - -
12/26/25 2025 Seventysixers - away Bulls - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Seventysixers - home Nets - -9.5 220.0 - -
12/20/25 2025 Seventysixers 121 home Mavericks 114 -1.0 226.5 -7 235
12/19/25 2025 Seventysixers 116 away Knicks 107 +6.5 230.5 -9 223
12/14/25 2025 Seventysixers 117 away Hawks 120 +4.0 225.5 +3 237
12/12/25 2025 Seventysixers 115 home Pacers 105 -5.5 221.5 -10 220
12/07/25 2025 Seventysixers 108 home Lakers 112 +2.5 233.5 +4 220
12/05/25 2025 Seventysixers 116 away Bucks 101 -1.0 221.5 -15 217
12/04/25 2025 Seventysixers 99 home Warriors 98 -4.0 224.0 -1 197
12/02/25 2025 Seventysixers 121 home Wizards 102 -13.5 234.5 -19 223
11/30/25 2025 Seventysixers 134 home Hawks 142 -3.0 232.5 +8 276
11/28/25 2025 Seventysixers 115 away Nets 103 -7.0 222.0 -12 218
Home Games Avg (6 games) 116.3 - - 112.2 -4.1 228.8 -4.2 228.5
All Games Avg (10 games) 116.2 - - 110.4 -2.2 227.2 -5.8 226.6
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Pelicans @ Cavaliers
Pelicans: 8-22 (26.7%)
Cavaliers: 16-14 (53.3%)
Line: -10.0
Total: 249.5
Notes
Pelicans
Situational Factor(s)
2nd game of a back-to-back
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
Cavaliers
Situational Factor(s)
2nd game of a back-to-back
Baller System(s)
Over on unrested non-conference road team off a short home stand Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 44 - 26 - 0 (62.9%)L365 Days: 6 - 6 - 0 (50.0%)Current Season: 1 - 1 - 0 (50.0%)
Back home favorites when both teams are unrested Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 99 - 79 - 1 (55.6%)L365 Days: 19 - 21 - 0 (47.5%)Current Season: 5 - 6 - 0 (45.5%)
Fade team: Fatigue Factor + Letdown Spot Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 269 - 202 - 12 (57.1%)L365 Days: 40 - 33 - 2 (54.8%)Current Season: 11 - 11 - 0 (50.0%)
Fading an unrested non-conference road team off a short home stand Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 44 - 26 - 0 (62.9%)L365 Days: 7 - 5 - 0 (58.3%)Current Season: 1 - 1 - 0 (50.0%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Cavaliers
54.06% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Cavaliers are 26.7% (8-22) against the spread
The Cavaliers are 22.2% (4-14) against the spread at home
The Cavaliers are 25.9% (7-20) against the spread as a fav
The Cavaliers are 23.5% (4-13) against the spread as a home fav
The Cavaliers are 21.4% (3-11) (L14) against the spread
The Cavaliers are 22.2% (2-7) (L14) against the spread at home
The Cavaliers are 23.1% (3-10) (L14) against the spread as a fav
The Cavaliers are 22.2% (2-7) (L14) against the spread as a home fav
The Pelicans are 78.6% (11-3) (L14) against the spread
The Pelicans are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread away
The Pelicans are 76.9% (10-3) (L14) against the spread as a dog
The Pelicans are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread as an away dog
The Pelicans are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under away
The Pelicans are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
11/20/24 2024 Cavaliers 128 Home Pelicans 100 -14.5 216.5 -28 228
11/06/24 2024 Cavaliers 131 Away Pelicans 122 -6.5 225.0 -9 253
03/13/24 2023 Cavaliers 116 Away Pelicans 95 +7.0 215.5 -21 211
12/21/23 2023 Cavaliers 104 Home Pelicans 123 +3.5 224.5 +19 227
Cavaliers as Home (2 games) 116.0 - - 111.5 -5.5 220.5 -4.5 227.5
All Games Avg (4 games) 119.8 - - 110.0 -2.6 220.4 -9.8 229.8
Schedules
Pelicans Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/27/25 2025 Pelicans - home Suns - - - - -
12/26/25 2025 Pelicans - home Suns - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Pelicans - away Cavaliers - +10.0 249.5 - -
12/22/25 2025 Pelicans 119 home Mavericks 113 +1.5 241.5 -6 232
12/20/25 2025 Pelicans 128 home Pacers 109 -2.5 236.0 -19 237
12/18/25 2025 Pelicans 133 home Rockets 128 +9.5 236.5 -5 261
12/14/25 2025 Pelicans 114 away Bulls 104 +4.5 248.0 -10 218
12/11/25 2025 Pelicans 143 home Trailblazers 120 +4.5 242.5 -23 263
12/08/25 2025 Pelicans 132 home Spurs 135 +8.5 237.5 +3 267
12/06/25 2025 Pelicans 101 away Nets 119 +3.5 227.5 +18 220
12/04/25 2025 Pelicans 116 home Timberwolves 125 +11.5 233.5 +9 241
12/02/25 2025 Pelicans 142 home Timberwolves 149 +12.5 229.5 +7 291
11/30/25 2025 Pelicans 121 away Lakers 133 +15.5 228.5 +12 254
Away Games Avg (3 games) 112.0 - - 118.7 +7.8 234.7 +6.7 230.7
All Games Avg (10 games) 124.9 - - 123.5 +6.9 236.1 -1.4 248.4
Cavaliers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/27/25 2025 Cavaliers - away Rockets - - - - -
12/25/25 2025 Cavaliers - away Knicks - +5.5 236.5 - -
12/23/25 2025 Cavaliers - home Pelicans - -10.0 249.5 - -
12/22/25 2025 Cavaliers 139 home Hornets 132 -9.5 239.5 -7 271
12/19/25 2025 Cavaliers 125 home Bulls 136 -4.5 238.5 +11 261
12/17/25 2025 Cavaliers 111 away Bulls 127 -5.5 242.5 +16 238
12/14/25 2025 Cavaliers 111 home Hornets 119 -12.0 232.5 +8 230
12/12/25 2025 Cavaliers 130 away Wizards 126 -16.5 246.0 -4 256
12/06/25 2025 Cavaliers 94 home Warriors 99 -8.5 230.0 +5 193
12/05/25 2025 Cavaliers 130 home Spurs 117 -5.0 239.5 -13 247
12/03/25 2025 Cavaliers 110 home Trailblazers 122 -10.0 243.5 +12 232
12/01/25 2025 Cavaliers 135 away Pacers 119 -4.5 230.5 -16 254
11/30/25 2025 Cavaliers 115 home Celtics 117 -7.0 235.0 +2 232
Home Games Avg (7 games) 117.7 - - 120.3 -8.1 236.9 +2.6 238.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 120.0 - - 121.4 -8.3 237.8 +1.4 241.4
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Bulls @ Hawks
Bulls: 13-15 (46.4%)
Hawks: 15-15 (50.0%)
Line: -4.0
Total: 254.5
Notes
Bulls
Situational Factor(s)
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
Hawks
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
4th game in 6 nights
Baller System(s)
Back favorites off a loss vs. a team on a short win streak. Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 115 - 86 - 4 (57.2%)L365 Days: 26 - 11 - 0 (70.3%)Current Season: 6 - 1 - 0 (85.7%)
Fade team off a close win by small margin Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 366 - 323 - 7 (53.1%)L365 Days: 81 - 59 - 1 (57.9%)Current Season: 29 - 12 - 0 (70.7%)
Fade team off win where they made many 3s Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 107 - 82 - 6 (56.6%)L365 Days: 24 - 20 - 3 (54.6%)Current Season: 2 - 4 - 1 (33.3%)
Fade team off road win where they made many 3s with good FG% Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 70 - 52 - 1 (57.4%)L365 Days: 12 - 14 - 0 (46.2%)Current Season: 1 - 2 - 0 (33.3%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Hawks are 0% (0-6) against the spread as a home fav
The Hawks are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) against the spread at home
The Hawks are 25% (2-6) (L14) against the spread as a fav
The Hawks are 0% (0-4) (L14) against the spread as a home fav
The Bulls are 78.6% (11-3) against the spread as a dog
The Bulls are 75% (6-2) against the spread as an away dog
The Bulls are 75% (6-2) to the over/under as an away dog
The Bulls are 80% (4-1) (L14) against the spread as a dog
The Bulls are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) to the over/under away
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/21/25 2025 Hawks 150 Home Bulls 152 -4.5 248.5 +2 302
10/27/25 2025 Hawks 123 Away Bulls 128 -2.5 244.5 +5 251
01/15/25 2024 Hawks 110 Away Bulls 94 +6.0 235.5 -16 204
12/26/24 2024 Hawks 141 Home Bulls 133 -5.0 242.5 -8 274
11/22/24 2024 Hawks 122 Away Bulls 136 -2.5 246.5 +14 258
11/09/24 2024 Hawks 113 Home Bulls 125 -3.0 241.0 +12 238
04/17/24 2023 Hawks 116 Away Bulls 131 +3.5 223.5 +15 247
04/01/24 2023 Hawks 113 Away Bulls 101 +2.0 221.5 -12 214
02/12/24 2023 Hawks 126 Home Bulls 136 -4.0 238.0 +10 262
12/26/23 2023 Hawks 113 Away Bulls 118 -2.5 237.0 +5 231
Hawks as Home (4 games) 132.5 - - 136.5 -4.1 242.5 +4.0 269.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 122.7 - - 125.4 -1.3 237.9 +2.7 248.1
Schedules
Bulls Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/27/25 2025 Bulls - home Bucks - - - - -
12/26/25 2025 Bulls - home Seventysixers - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Bulls - away Hawks - +4.0 254.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Bulls 152 away Hawks 150 +4.5 248.5 -2 302
12/19/25 2025 Bulls 136 away Cavaliers 125 +4.5 238.5 -11 261
12/17/25 2025 Bulls 127 home Cavaliers 111 +5.5 242.5 -16 238
12/14/25 2025 Bulls 104 home Pelicans 114 -4.5 248.0 +10 218
12/12/25 2025 Bulls 129 away Hornets 126 -3.0 229.0 -3 255
12/07/25 2025 Bulls 91 home Warriors 123 +1.5 229.5 +32 214
12/05/25 2025 Bulls 105 home Pacers 120 -4.5 234.5 +15 225
12/03/25 2025 Bulls 103 home Nets 113 -7.5 231.5 +10 216
12/01/25 2025 Bulls 120 away Magic 125 +9.5 239.5 +5 245
11/29/25 2025 Bulls 101 away Pacers 103 -2.5 240.0 +2 204
Away Games Avg (5 games) 127.6 - - 125.8 +2.6 239.1 -1.8 253.4
All Games Avg (10 games) 116.8 - - 121.0 +0.4 238.2 +4.2 237.8
Hawks Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/27/25 2025 Hawks - home Knicks - - - - -
12/26/25 2025 Hawks - home Heat - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Hawks - home Bulls - -4.0 254.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Hawks 150 home Bulls 152 -4.5 248.5 +2 302
12/19/25 2025 Hawks 98 home Spurs 126 +3.5 238.5 +28 224
12/18/25 2025 Hawks 126 away Hornets 133 -4.5 240.5 +7 259
12/14/25 2025 Hawks 120 home Seventysixers 117 -4.0 225.5 -3 237
12/12/25 2025 Hawks 115 away Pistons 142 +7.0 233.0 +27 257
12/06/25 2025 Hawks 131 away Wizards 116 -9.5 237.5 -15 247
12/05/25 2025 Hawks 133 home Nuggets 134 +3.5 238.5 +1 267
12/03/25 2025 Hawks 92 home Clippers 115 -1.5 225.5 +23 207
12/01/25 2025 Hawks 98 away Pistons 99 +9.5 232.5 +1 197
11/30/25 2025 Hawks 142 away Seventysixers 134 +3.0 232.5 -8 276
Home Games Avg (5 games) 118.6 - - 128.8 -0.6 235.3 +10.2 247.4
All Games Avg (10 games) 120.5 - - 126.8 +0.3 235.3 +6.3 247.3
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Raptors @ Heat
Raptors: 17-13 (56.7%)
Heat: 15-14 (51.7%)
Line: -5.5
Total: 227.5
Notes
Raptors
Situational Factor(s)
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
Heat
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
Double digit, in-season revenge
1st game home off long road trip (at least 3 games)
4th game in 6 nights
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Heat
54.06% probability
Total Recommendation
Over
58.75% probability
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Heat are 16.7% (1-5) (L14) against the spread at home
The Heat are 16.7% (1-5) (L14) against the spread as a home fav
The Raptors are 21.4% (3-11) (L14) against the spread
The Raptors are 25% (1-3) (L14) against the spread as a dog
The Raptors are 21.4% (3-11) (L14) to the over/under
The Raptors are 0% (0-5) (L14) to the over/under away
The Raptors are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under as a dog
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/15/25 2025 Heat 96 Home Raptors 106 -4.5 233.5 +10 202
02/21/25 2024 Heat 120 Away Raptors 111 -3.5 219.5 -9 231
12/12/24 2024 Heat 114 Home Raptors 104 -11.0 224.5 -10 218
12/01/24 2024 Heat 116 Away Raptors 119 -5.0 221.5 +3 235
11/29/24 2024 Heat 121 Home Raptors 111 -8.5 218.5 -10 232
04/14/24 2023 Heat 118 Home Raptors 103 -15.0 220.5 -15 221
04/12/24 2023 Heat 125 Home Raptors 103 -14.0 220.0 -22 228
01/17/24 2023 Heat 97 Away Raptors 121 -3.0 225.0 +24 218
12/06/23 2023 Heat 112 Away Raptors 103 +4.0 219.5 -9 215
Heat as Home (5 games) 114.8 - - 105.4 -10.6 223.4 -9.4 220.2
All Games Avg (9 games) 113.2 - - 109.0 -6.7 222.5 -4.2 222.2
Schedules
Raptors Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/28/25 2025 Raptors - home Warriors - - - - -
12/26/25 2025 Raptors - away Wizards - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Raptors - away Heat - +5.5 227.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Raptors 81 away Nets 96 -3.5 216.5 +15 177
12/20/25 2025 Raptors 96 home Celtics 112 -2.0 221.5 +16 208
12/18/25 2025 Raptors 111 away Bucks 105 -4.5 218.5 -6 216
12/15/25 2025 Raptors 106 away Heat 96 +4.5 233.5 -10 202
12/09/25 2025 Raptors 101 home Knicks 117 +6.0 226.5 +16 218
12/07/25 2025 Raptors 113 home Celtics 121 +3.5 224.5 +8 234
12/05/25 2025 Raptors 86 home Hornets 111 -6.5 230.5 +25 197
12/04/25 2025 Raptors 120 home Lakers 123 -2.5 228.5 +3 243
12/02/25 2025 Raptors 121 home Trailblazers 118 -5.0 230.5 -3 239
11/30/25 2025 Raptors 94 away Knicks 116 +8.5 229.0 +22 210
Away Games Avg (4 games) 98.0 - - 103.3 +1.3 224.4 +5.3 201.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 102.9 - - 111.5 -0.2 226.0 +8.6 214.4
Heat Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/27/25 2025 Heat - home Pacers - - - - -
12/26/25 2025 Heat - away Hawks - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Heat - home Raptors - -5.5 227.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Heat 125 away Knicks 132 +7.5 236.5 +7 257
12/19/25 2025 Heat 116 away Celtics 129 +7.5 233.0 +13 245
12/18/25 2025 Heat 106 away Nets 95 -8.5 228.5 -11 201
12/15/25 2025 Heat 96 home Raptors 106 -4.5 233.5 +10 202
12/09/25 2025 Heat 108 away Magic 117 +1.5 235.0 +9 225
12/06/25 2025 Heat 111 home Kings 127 -8.5 241.5 +16 238
12/05/25 2025 Heat 105 away Magic 106 +6.5 241.5 +1 211
12/03/25 2025 Heat 108 away Mavericks 118 -4.5 238.5 +10 226
12/01/25 2025 Heat 140 home Clippers 123 -6.5 235.5 -17 263
11/29/25 2025 Heat 135 home Pistons 138 -3.5 238.5 +3 273
Home Games Avg (4 games) 120.5 - - 123.5 -5.8 237.3 +3.0 244.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 115.0 - - 119.1 -1.3 236.2 +4.1 234.1
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Bucks @ Pacers
Bucks: 11-18 (37.9%)
Pacers: 6-23 (20.7%)
Line: +1.5
Total: 217.0
Notes
Bucks
Situational Factor(s)
Rest advantage
Baller System(s)
Back road favorite between two bad teams Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 53 - 43 - 3 (55.2%)L365 Days: 11 - 12 - 1 (47.8%)Current Season: 5 - 5 - 1 (50.0%)
Pacers
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
2nd game of a back-to-back
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
Baller System(s)
Under system based on low totals Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 397 - 366 - 14 (52.0%)L365 Days: 84 - 85 - 1 (49.7%)Current Season: 11 - 11 - 0 (50.0%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Pacers are 72.7% (8-3) to the over/under as a home dog
The Pacers are 80% (4-1) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog
The Bucks are 0% (0-5) against the spread as an away fav
The Bucks are 25% (1-3) (L14) against the spread as a fav
The Bucks are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) to the over/under
The Bucks are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under as a fav
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
11/03/25 2025 Pacers 115 Home Bucks 117 +6.5 235.5 +2 232
04/29/25 2024 Pacers 119 Home Bucks 118 -8.0 222.0 -1 237
04/27/25 2024 Pacers 129 Away Bucks 103 +4.0 226.5 -26 232
04/25/25 2024 Pacers 101 Away Bucks 117 +5.0 229.5 +16 218
04/22/25 2024 Pacers 123 Home Bucks 115 -4.0 229.0 -8 238
04/19/25 2024 Pacers 117 Home Bucks 98 -6.5 227.5 -19 215
03/15/25 2024 Pacers 119 Away Bucks 126 +3.5 237.0 +7 245
03/11/25 2024 Pacers 115 Home Bucks 114 -1.5 237.5 -1 229
12/31/24 2024 Pacers 112 Home Bucks 120 +2.0 229.5 +8 232
11/22/24 2024 Pacers 117 Away Bucks 129 +6.0 234.0 +12 246
Pacers as Home (6 games) 116.8 - - 113.7 -1.9 230.2 -3.2 230.5
All Games Avg (10 games) 116.7 - - 115.7 +0.7 230.8 -1.0 232.4
Schedules
Bucks Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/27/25 2025 Bucks - away Bulls - - - - -
12/26/25 2025 Bucks - away Grizzlies - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Bucks - away Pacers - -1.5 217.0 - -
12/21/25 2025 Bucks 100 away Timberwolves 103 +12.5 226.5 +3 203
12/18/25 2025 Bucks 105 home Raptors 111 +4.5 218.5 +6 216
12/14/25 2025 Bucks 82 away Nets 127 -1.5 216.0 +45 209
12/11/25 2025 Bucks 116 home Celtics 101 +9.5 222.5 -15 217
12/06/25 2025 Bucks 112 away Pistons 124 +12.5 223.5 +12 236
12/05/25 2025 Bucks 101 home Seventysixers 116 +1.0 221.5 +15 217
12/03/25 2025 Bucks 113 home Pistons 109 +4.5 228.5 -4 222
12/01/25 2025 Bucks 126 away Wizards 129 -10.5 232.5 +3 255
11/29/25 2025 Bucks 116 home Nets 99 -11.5 218.5 -17 215
11/28/25 2025 Bucks 109 away Knicks 118 +7.5 232.5 +9 227
Away Games Avg (5 games) 105.8 - - 120.2 +4.1 226.2 +14.4 226.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 108.0 - - 113.7 +2.9 224.1 +5.7 221.7
Pacers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/27/25 2025 Pacers - away Heat - - - - -
12/26/25 2025 Pacers - home Celtics - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Pacers - home Bucks - +1.5 217.0 - -
12/22/25 2025 Pacers 95 away Celtics 103 +11.5 225.5 +8 198
12/20/25 2025 Pacers 109 away Pelicans 128 +2.5 236.0 +19 237
12/18/25 2025 Pacers 113 home Knicks 114 +3.5 226.5 +1 227
12/14/25 2025 Pacers 89 home Wizards 108 -10.0 233.5 +19 197
12/12/25 2025 Pacers 105 away Seventysixers 115 +5.5 221.5 +10 220
12/08/25 2025 Pacers 116 home Kings 105 -4.0 232.0 -11 221
12/05/25 2025 Pacers 120 away Bulls 105 +4.5 234.5 -15 225
12/03/25 2025 Pacers 120 home Nuggets 135 +8.5 238.5 +15 255
12/01/25 2025 Pacers 119 home Cavaliers 135 +4.5 230.5 +16 254
11/29/25 2025 Pacers 103 home Bulls 101 +2.5 240.0 -2 204
Home Games Avg (6 games) 110.0 - - 116.3 +0.8 233.5 +6.3 226.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 108.9 - - 114.9 +2.9 231.9 +6.0 223.8
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Nuggets @ Mavericks
Nuggets: 21-7 (75.0%)
Mavericks: 11-19 (36.7%)
Line: +6.0
Total: 236.5
Notes
Nuggets
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
Double digit, in-season revenge
2nd game of a back-to-back
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
Mavericks
Situational Factor(s)
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
2nd game of a back-to-back
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
Baller System(s)
Fade team: Fatigue Factor + Letdown Spot Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 269 - 202 - 12 (57.1%)L365 Days: 40 - 33 - 2 (54.8%)Current Season: 11 - 11 - 0 (50.0%)
Fade team on back-to-back off win with minimal rest in recent games Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 207 - 147 - 9 (58.5%)L365 Days: 33 - 25 - 0 (56.9%)Current Season: 11 - 7 - 0 (61.1%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Mavericks are 72.7% (8-3) against the spread as a home dog
The Mavericks are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread as a home dog
The Mavericks are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog
The Nuggets are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread away
The Nuggets are 71.4% (10-4) (L14) to the over/under
The Nuggets are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) to the over/under away
The Nuggets are 81.8% (9-2) (L14) to the over/under as a fav
The Nuggets are 83.3% (5-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/01/25 2025 Mavericks 131 Away Nuggets 121 +11.5 235.5 -10 252
01/14/25 2024 Mavericks 99 Home Nuggets 118 +2.5 235.5 +19 217
01/12/25 2024 Mavericks 101 Home Nuggets 112 +5.5 232.5 +11 213
11/22/24 2024 Mavericks 123 Away Nuggets 120 +4.5 229.5 -3 243
11/10/24 2024 Mavericks 120 Away Nuggets 122 +2.5 233.0 +2 242
03/17/24 2023 Mavericks 107 Home Nuggets 105 +3.0 231.5 -2 212
12/18/23 2023 Mavericks 104 Away Nuggets 130 +8.5 238.0 +26 234
11/03/23 2023 Mavericks 114 Away Nuggets 125 +6.0 229.5 +11 239
Mavericks as Home (3 games) 102.3 - - 111.7 +3.7 233.2 +9.3 214.0
All Games Avg (8 games) 112.4 - - 119.1 +5.5 233.1 +6.8 231.5
Schedules
Nuggets Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/27/25 2025 Nuggets - away Magic - - - - -
12/25/25 2025 Nuggets - home Timberwolves - -4.5 237.5 - -
12/23/25 2025 Nuggets - away Mavericks - -6.0 236.5 - -
12/22/25 2025 Nuggets 135 home Jazz 112 -12.5 251.5 -23 247
12/20/25 2025 Nuggets 101 home Rockets 115 +1.5 235.5 +14 216
12/18/25 2025 Nuggets 126 home Magic 115 -6.5 237.5 -11 241
12/15/25 2025 Nuggets 128 home Rockets 125 +1.5 236.5 -3 253
12/11/25 2025 Nuggets 136 away Kings 105 -10.5 239.5 -31 241
12/07/25 2025 Nuggets 115 away Hornets 106 -10.5 235.5 -9 221
12/05/25 2025 Nuggets 134 away Hawks 133 -3.5 238.5 -1 267
12/03/25 2025 Nuggets 135 away Pacers 120 -8.5 238.5 -15 255
12/01/25 2025 Nuggets 121 home Mavericks 131 -11.5 235.5 +10 252
11/29/25 2025 Nuggets 130 away Suns 112 -4.0 233.5 -18 242
Away Games Avg (5 games) 130.0 - - 115.2 -7.4 237.1 -14.8 245.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 126.1 - - 117.4 -6.5 238.2 -8.7 243.5
Mavericks Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/27/25 2025 Mavericks - away Kings - - - - -
12/25/25 2025 Mavericks - away Warriors - +7.5 227.5 - -
12/23/25 2025 Mavericks - home Nuggets - +6.0 236.5 - -
12/22/25 2025 Mavericks 113 away Pelicans 119 -1.5 241.5 +6 232
12/20/25 2025 Mavericks 114 away Seventysixers 121 +1.0 226.5 +7 235
12/18/25 2025 Mavericks 116 home Pistons 114 +5.5 230.5 -2 230
12/15/25 2025 Mavericks 133 away Jazz 140 -1.5 240.5 +7 273
12/12/25 2025 Mavericks 119 home Nets 111 -7.0 218.5 -8 230
12/06/25 2025 Mavericks 122 home Rockets 109 +6.5 221.5 -13 231
12/05/25 2025 Mavericks 111 away Thunder 132 +15.5 229.0 +21 243
12/03/25 2025 Mavericks 118 home Heat 108 +4.5 238.5 -10 226
12/01/25 2025 Mavericks 131 away Nuggets 121 +11.5 235.5 -10 252
11/29/25 2025 Mavericks 114 away Clippers 110 +9.5 224.5 -4 224
Home Games Avg (4 games) 118.8 - - 110.5 +2.4 227.3 -8.3 229.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 119.1 - - 118.5 +4.4 230.7 -0.6 237.6
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Knicks @ Timberwolves
Knicks: 21-8 (72.4%)
Timberwolves: 19-10 (65.5%)
Line: -7.0
Total: 229.5
Notes
Knicks
Situational Factor(s)
4th game in 6 nights
Timberwolves
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
Double digit, in-season revenge
Baller System(s)
Fade team off win where they made many 3s Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 107 - 82 - 6 (56.6%)L365 Days: 24 - 20 - 3 (54.6%)Current Season: 2 - 4 - 1 (33.3%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
Under
58.75% probability
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Timberwolves are 25% (4-12) to the over/under at home
The Timberwolves are 23.1% (3-10) to the over/under as a home fav
The Timberwolves are 18.2% (2-9) (L14) against the spread as a fav
The Timberwolves are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) against the spread as a home fav
The Timberwolves are 25% (2-6) (L14) to the over/under at home
The Timberwolves are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav
The Knicks are 71.4% (10-4) (L14) against the spread
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
11/05/25 2025 Timberwolves 114 Away Knicks 137 +3.5 228.5 +23 251
01/17/25 2024 Timberwolves 116 Away Knicks 99 +3.0 215.0 -17 215
12/19/24 2024 Timberwolves 107 Home Knicks 133 -3.5 214.0 +26 240
01/01/24 2023 Timberwolves 106 Away Knicks 112 -1.5 223.0 +6 218
11/20/23 2023 Timberwolves 117 Home Knicks 100 -3.0 213.5 -17 217
Timberwolves as Home (2 games) 112.0 - - 116.5 -3.3 213.8 +4.5 228.5
All Games Avg (5 games) 112.0 - - 116.2 -0.3 218.8 +4.2 228.2
Schedules
Knicks Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/27/25 2025 Knicks - away Hawks - - - - -
12/25/25 2025 Knicks - home Cavaliers - -5.5 236.5 - -
12/23/25 2025 Knicks - away Timberwolves - +7.0 229.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Knicks 132 home Heat 125 -7.5 236.5 -7 257
12/19/25 2025 Knicks 107 home Seventysixers 116 -6.5 230.5 +9 223
12/18/25 2025 Knicks 114 away Pacers 113 -3.5 226.5 -1 227
12/16/25 2025 Knicks 124 neutral Spurs 113 -2.5 233.5 -11 237
12/13/25 2025 Knicks 132 away Magic 120 -4.0 225.0 -12 252
12/09/25 2025 Knicks 117 away Raptors 101 -6.0 226.5 -16 218
12/07/25 2025 Knicks 106 home Magic 100 -1.5 229.5 -6 206
12/05/25 2025 Knicks 146 home Jazz 112 -16.0 243.0 -34 258
12/03/25 2025 Knicks 119 home Hornets 104 -9.0 235.5 -15 223
12/02/25 2025 Knicks 117 away Celtics 123 -1.0 230.5 +6 240
Away Games Avg (4 games) 120.0 - - 114.3 -3.6 227.1 -5.8 234.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 121.4 - - 112.7 -5.8 231.7 -8.7 234.1
Timberwolves Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/27/25 2025 Timberwolves - home Nets - - - - -
12/25/25 2025 Timberwolves - away Nuggets - +4.5 237.5 - -
12/23/25 2025 Timberwolves - home Knicks - -7.0 229.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Timberwolves 103 home Bucks 100 -12.5 226.5 -3 203
12/19/25 2025 Timberwolves 112 home Thunder 107 +5.5 232.5 -5 219
12/17/25 2025 Timberwolves 110 home Grizzlies 116 -6.5 227.0 +6 226
12/14/25 2025 Timberwolves 117 home Kings 103 -9.5 235.5 -14 220
12/12/25 2025 Timberwolves 127 away Warriors 120 +4.5 228.5 -7 247
12/08/25 2025 Timberwolves 105 home Suns 108 -8.0 226.0 +3 213
12/06/25 2025 Timberwolves 109 home Clippers 106 -8.5 227.5 -3 215
12/04/25 2025 Timberwolves 125 away Pelicans 116 -11.5 233.5 -9 241
12/02/25 2025 Timberwolves 149 away Pelicans 142 -12.5 229.5 -7 291
11/30/25 2025 Timberwolves 125 home Spurs 112 -4.5 234.0 -13 237
Home Games Avg (7 games) 111.6 - - 107.4 -6.3 229.9 -4.1 219.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 118.2 - - 113.0 -6.4 230.1 -5.2 231.2
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Thunder @ Spurs
Thunder: 26-3 (89.7%)
Spurs: 21-8 (72.4%)
Line: +7.0
Total: 238.0
Notes
Thunder
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
2nd game of a back-to-back
4th game in 6 nights
Baller System(s)
Over system based on 1st game of 2-game series Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 170 - 136 - 7 (55.6%)L365 Days: 28 - 28 - 1 (50.0%)Current Season: 3 - 3 - 0 (50.0%)
Fade team who has played most of their games on the road in recent games Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 196 - 138 - 4 (58.7%)L365 Days: 49 - 33 - 1 (59.8%)Current Season: 9 - 8 - 0 (52.9%)
Spurs
Situational Factor(s)
Rest advantage
4th game in 6 nights
Baller System(s)
Fade team: Fatigue Factor + Letdown Spot Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 269 - 202 - 12 (57.1%)L365 Days: 40 - 33 - 2 (54.8%)Current Season: 11 - 11 - 0 (50.0%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Spurs are 70% (7-3-2) against the spread at home
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/13/25 2025 Spurs 111 Away Thunder 109 +10.5 233.5 -2 220
03/02/25 2024 Spurs 132 Home Thunder 146 +12.5 239.0 +14 278
11/19/24 2024 Spurs 110 Home Thunder 104 +10.0 223.5 -6 214
10/30/24 2024 Spurs 93 Away Thunder 105 +12.5 221.0 +12 198
04/10/24 2023 Spurs 89 Away Thunder 127 +15.0 226.0 +38 216
02/29/24 2023 Spurs 132 Home Thunder 118 +11.0 238.5 -14 250
01/24/24 2023 Spurs 114 Home Thunder 140 +7.0 242.0 +26 254
11/14/23 2023 Spurs 87 Away Thunder 123 +10.0 238.5 +36 210
Spurs as Home (4 games) 122.0 - - 127.0 +10.1 235.8 +5.0 249.0
All Games Avg (8 games) 108.5 - - 121.5 +11.1 232.8 +13.0 230.0
Schedules
Thunder Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/28/25 2025 Thunder - home Seventysixers - - - - -
12/25/25 2025 Thunder - home Spurs - -10.5 233.5 - -
12/23/25 2025 Thunder - away Spurs - -7.0 238.0 - -
12/22/25 2025 Thunder 119 home Grizzlies 103 -15.5 234.5 -16 222
12/19/25 2025 Thunder 107 away Timberwolves 112 -5.5 232.5 +5 219
12/18/25 2025 Thunder 122 home Clippers 101 -16.5 222.5 -21 223
12/13/25 2025 Thunder 109 home Spurs 111 -10.5 233.5 +2 220
12/10/25 2025 Thunder 138 home Suns 89 -15.5 221.5 -49 227
12/07/25 2025 Thunder 131 away Jazz 101 -11.5 233.5 -30 232
12/05/25 2025 Thunder 132 home Mavericks 111 -15.5 229.0 -21 243
12/02/25 2025 Thunder 124 away Warriors 112 -11.0 223.5 -12 236
11/30/25 2025 Thunder 123 away Trailblazers 115 -11.5 234.0 -8 238
11/28/25 2025 Thunder 123 home Suns 119 -14.5 223.5 -4 242
Away Games Avg (4 games) 121.3 - - 110.0 -9.9 230.9 -11.3 231.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 122.8 - - 107.4 -12.8 228.8 -15.4 230.2
Spurs Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/27/25 2025 Spurs - home Jazz - - - - -
12/25/25 2025 Spurs - away Thunder - +10.5 233.5 - -
12/23/25 2025 Spurs - home Thunder - +7.0 238.0 - -
12/21/25 2025 Spurs 124 away Wizards 113 -15.5 237.5 -11 237
12/19/25 2025 Spurs 126 away Hawks 98 -3.5 238.5 -28 224
12/18/25 2025 Spurs 119 home Wizards 94 -15.5 240.5 -25 213
12/16/25 2025 Spurs 113 neutral Knicks 124 +2.5 233.5 +11 237
12/13/25 2025 Spurs 111 away Thunder 109 +10.5 233.5 -2 220
12/10/25 2025 Spurs 132 away Lakers 119 +7.5 243.5 -13 251
12/08/25 2025 Spurs 135 away Pelicans 132 -8.5 237.5 -3 267
12/05/25 2025 Spurs 117 away Cavaliers 130 +5.0 239.5 +13 247
12/03/25 2025 Spurs 114 away Magic 112 +8.5 235.5 -2 226
12/02/25 2025 Spurs 126 home Grizzlies 119 -5.0 232.5 -7 245
Home Games Avg (2 games) 122.5 - - 106.5 -10.3 236.5 -16.0 229.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 121.7 - - 115.0 -1.4 237.2 -6.7 236.7
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Grizzlies @ Jazz
Grizzlies: 13-16 (44.8%)
Jazz: 10-18 (35.7%)
Line: +4.0
Total: 242.5
Notes
Grizzlies
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
2nd game of a back-to-back
3rd game in 4 nights
Baller System(s)
Back favorite on back-to-back off a loss Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 185 - 160 - 7 (53.6%)L365 Days: 35 - 34 - 0 (50.7%)Current Season: 13 - 7 - 0 (65.0%)
Jazz
Situational Factor(s)
2nd game of a back-to-back
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Grizzlies
54.06% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Jazz are 75% (12-4) against the spread at home
The Jazz are 71.4% (10-4) against the spread as a home dog
The Jazz are 75% (12-4) to the over/under at home
The Jazz are 71.4% (10-4) to the over/under as a home dog
The Jazz are 71.4% (10-4) (L14) to the over/under
The Grizzlies are 75% (3-1) against the spread as an away fav
The Grizzlies are 26.7% (4-11) to the over/under away
The Grizzlies are 25% (1-3) to the over/under as an away fav
The Grizzlies are 75% (6-2) (L14) against the spread away
The Grizzlies are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread as a fav
The Grizzlies are 25% (2-6) (L14) to the over/under away
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/12/25 2025 Jazz 130 Away Grizzlies 126 +7.5 243.5 -4 256
03/25/25 2024 Jazz 103 Home Grizzlies 140 +11.5 241.5 +37 243
03/12/25 2024 Jazz 115 Away Grizzlies 122 +10.5 247.5 +7 237
01/25/25 2024 Jazz 103 Away Grizzlies 125 +11.5 248.0 +22 228
10/23/24 2024 Jazz 124 Home Grizzlies 126 +2.5 229.0 +2 250
11/29/23 2023 Jazz 91 Away Grizzlies 105 +3.5 223.5 +14 196
11/10/23 2023 Jazz 127 Away Grizzlies 121 +5.0 230.5 -6 248
11/01/23 2023 Jazz 133 Home Grizzlies 109 -1.5 225.5 -24 242
Jazz as Home (3 games) 120.0 - - 125.0 +4.2 232.0 +5.0 245.0
All Games Avg (8 games) 115.8 - - 121.8 +6.3 236.1 +6.0 237.5
Schedules
Grizzlies Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/28/25 2025 Grizzlies - away Wizards - - - - -
12/26/25 2025 Grizzlies - home Bucks - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Grizzlies - away Jazz - -4.0 242.5 - -
12/22/25 2025 Grizzlies 103 away Thunder 119 +15.5 234.5 +16 222
12/20/25 2025 Grizzlies 122 home Wizards 130 -12.0 233.0 +8 252
12/17/25 2025 Grizzlies 116 away Timberwolves 110 +6.5 227.0 -6 226
12/15/25 2025 Grizzlies 121 away Clippers 103 +5.5 229.5 -18 224
12/12/25 2025 Grizzlies 126 home Jazz 130 -7.5 243.5 +4 256
12/07/25 2025 Grizzlies 119 home Trailblazers 96 -1.5 232.5 -23 215
12/05/25 2025 Grizzlies 107 home Clippers 98 +2.0 223.0 -9 205
12/02/25 2025 Grizzlies 119 away Spurs 126 +5.0 232.5 +7 245
11/30/25 2025 Grizzlies 115 away Kings 107 -3.0 233.5 -8 222
11/28/25 2025 Grizzlies 112 away Clippers 107 +6.5 224.5 -5 219
Away Games Avg (6 games) 114.3 - - 112.0 +6.0 230.3 -2.3 226.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 116.0 - - 112.6 +1.7 231.4 -3.4 228.6
Jazz Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/27/25 2025 Jazz - away Spurs - - - - -
12/26/25 2025 Jazz - home Pistons - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Jazz - home Grizzlies - +4.0 242.5 - -
12/22/25 2025 Jazz 112 away Nuggets 135 +12.5 251.5 +23 247
12/20/25 2025 Jazz 127 home Magic 128 +7.5 240.0 +1 255
12/18/25 2025 Jazz 135 home Lakers 143 +9.5 242.5 +8 278
12/15/25 2025 Jazz 140 home Mavericks 133 +1.5 240.5 -7 273
12/12/25 2025 Jazz 130 away Grizzlies 126 +7.5 243.5 -4 256
12/07/25 2025 Jazz 101 home Thunder 131 +11.5 233.5 +30 232
12/05/25 2025 Jazz 112 away Knicks 146 +16.0 243.0 +34 258
12/04/25 2025 Jazz 123 away Nets 110 -5.0 231.0 -13 233
12/01/25 2025 Jazz 133 home Rockets 125 +11.5 235.5 -8 258
11/30/25 2025 Jazz 101 home Rockets 129 +11.5 233.5 +28 230
Home Games Avg (6 games) 122.8 - - 131.5 +8.8 237.6 +8.7 254.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 121.4 - - 130.6 +8.4 239.5 +9.2 252.0
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Lakers @ Suns
Lakers: 19-8 (70.4%)
Suns: 15-13 (53.6%)
Line: -3.5
Total: 226.5
Notes
Lakers
Situational Factor(s)
Well-rested (two or more days of rest)
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
Travel fatigue (at least 4th straight game on the road)
Suns
Situational Factor(s)
Well-rested (two or more days of rest)
In-season revenge
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Suns
54.06% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Suns are 71.4% (10-4) against the spread at home
The Suns are 80% (8-2) against the spread as a fav
The Suns are 75% (6-2) against the spread as a home fav
The Suns are 28.6% (4-10) to the over/under at home
The Suns are 30% (3-7) to the over/under as a fav
The Suns are 25% (2-6) to the over/under as a home fav
The Suns are 16.7% (1-5) (L14) to the over/under at home
The Lakers are 75% (6-2) against the spread as an away dog
The Lakers are 75% (9-3) to the over/under as a dog
The Lakers are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread as a dog
The Lakers are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread as an away dog
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/14/25 2025 Suns 114 Home Lakers 116 -1.5 232.0 +2 230
12/01/25 2025 Suns 125 Away Lakers 108 +5.5 231.5 -17 233
03/16/25 2024 Suns 96 Away Lakers 107 +2.5 226.5 +11 203
11/26/24 2024 Suns 127 Home Lakers 100 -3.0 235.0 -27 227
10/28/24 2024 Suns 109 Home Lakers 105 -4.5 228.5 -4 214
10/25/24 2024 Suns 116 Away Lakers 123 +1.5 227.5 +7 239
02/25/24 2023 Suns 123 Home Lakers 113 -4.0 241.0 -10 236
01/11/24 2023 Suns 127 Away Lakers 109 -1.5 238.0 -18 236
12/05/23 2023 Suns 103 Away Lakers 106 +1.5 231.0 +3 209
11/10/23 2023 Suns 119 Home Lakers 122 -2.0 224.5 +3 241
Suns as Home (5 games) 118.4 - - 111.2 -3.0 232.2 -7.2 229.6
All Games Avg (10 games) 115.9 - - 110.9 -0.6 231.6 -5.0 226.8
Schedules
Lakers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/28/25 2025 Lakers - home Kings - - - - -
12/25/25 2025 Lakers - home Rockets - +4.5 228.5 - -
12/23/25 2025 Lakers - away Suns - +3.5 226.5 - -
12/20/25 2025 Lakers 88 away Clippers 103 -2.0 229.5 +15 191
12/18/25 2025 Lakers 143 away Jazz 135 -9.5 242.5 -8 278
12/14/25 2025 Lakers 116 away Suns 114 +1.5 232.0 -2 230
12/10/25 2025 Lakers 119 home Spurs 132 -7.5 243.5 +13 251
12/07/25 2025 Lakers 112 away Seventysixers 108 -2.5 233.5 -4 220
12/05/25 2025 Lakers 105 away Celtics 126 +9.0 227.0 +21 231
12/04/25 2025 Lakers 123 away Raptors 120 +2.5 228.5 -3 243
12/01/25 2025 Lakers 108 home Suns 125 -5.5 231.5 +17 233
11/30/25 2025 Lakers 133 home Pelicans 121 -15.5 228.5 -12 254
11/28/25 2025 Lakers 129 home Mavericks 119 -10.0 232.5 -10 248
Away Games Avg (6 games) 114.5 - - 117.7 -0.2 232.2 +3.2 232.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 117.6 - - 120.3 -4.0 232.9 +2.7 237.9
Suns Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/27/25 2025 Suns - away Pelicans - - - - -
12/26/25 2025 Suns - away Pelicans - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Suns - home Lakers - -3.5 226.5 - -
12/20/25 2025 Suns 116 away Warriors 119 +6.0 226.5 +3 235
12/18/25 2025 Suns 99 home Warriors 98 +1.5 229.5 -1 197
12/14/25 2025 Suns 114 home Lakers 116 -1.5 232.0 +2 230
12/10/25 2025 Suns 89 away Thunder 138 +15.5 221.5 +49 227
12/08/25 2025 Suns 108 away Timberwolves 105 +8.0 226.0 -3 213
12/05/25 2025 Suns 98 away Rockets 117 +8.5 219.5 +19 215
12/01/25 2025 Suns 125 away Lakers 108 +5.5 231.5 -17 233
11/29/25 2025 Suns 112 home Nuggets 130 +4.0 233.5 +18 242
11/28/25 2025 Suns 119 away Thunder 123 +14.5 223.5 +4 242
11/26/25 2025 Suns 112 away Kings 100 -4.5 233.5 -12 212
Home Games Avg (3 games) 108.3 - - 114.7 +1.3 231.7 +6.3 223.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 109.2 - - 115.4 +5.8 227.7 +6.2 224.6
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Pistons @ Kings
Pistons: 23-6 (79.3%)
Kings: 7-22 (24.1%)
Line: +9.0
Total: 227.5
Notes
Pistons
Situational Factor(s)
2nd game of a back-to-back
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
Baller System(s)
Fade team off a close win by small margin Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 366 - 323 - 7 (53.1%)L365 Days: 81 - 59 - 1 (57.9%)Current Season: 29 - 12 - 0 (70.7%)
Fade team off OT win Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 186 - 153 - 10 (54.9%)L365 Days: 39 - 30 - 1 (56.5%)Current Season: 10 - 8 - 1 (55.6%)
Kings
Situational Factor(s)
Rest advantage
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
Coming off an Overtime game
Baller System(s)
Fade team: Fatigue Factor + Letdown Spot Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 269 - 202 - 12 (57.1%)L365 Days: 40 - 33 - 2 (54.8%)Current Season: 11 - 11 - 0 (50.0%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Pistons
55.63% probability
Total Recommendation
Over
58.75% probability
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Kings are 23.1% (3-10) against the spread at home
The Kings are 20% (2-8) against the spread as a home dog
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
04/07/25 2024 Kings 127 Away Pistons 117 +5.5 231.0 -10 244
12/26/24 2024 Kings 113 Home Pistons 114 -5.0 227.5 +1 227
02/07/24 2023 Kings 120 Home Pistons 133 -13.0 242.0 +13 253
01/09/24 2023 Kings 131 Away Pistons 110 -11.0 241.0 -21 241
Kings as Home (2 games) 116.5 - - 123.5 -9.0 234.8 +7.0 240.0
All Games Avg (4 games) 122.8 - - 118.5 -5.9 235.4 -4.3 241.3
Schedules
Pistons Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/28/25 2025 Pistons - away Clippers - - - - -
12/26/25 2025 Pistons - away Jazz - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Pistons - away Kings - -9.0 227.5 - -
12/22/25 2025 Pistons 110 away Trailblazers 102 -6.5 234.5 -8 212
12/20/25 2025 Pistons 112 home Hornets 86 -10.5 234.5 -26 198
12/18/25 2025 Pistons 114 away Mavericks 116 -5.5 230.5 +2 230
12/15/25 2025 Pistons 112 away Celtics 105 +1.5 231.5 -7 217
12/12/25 2025 Pistons 142 home Hawks 115 -7.0 233.0 -27 257
12/06/25 2025 Pistons 124 home Bucks 112 -12.5 223.5 -12 236
12/05/25 2025 Pistons 122 home Trailblazers 116 -8.5 236.5 -6 238
12/03/25 2025 Pistons 109 away Bucks 113 -4.5 228.5 +4 222
12/01/25 2025 Pistons 99 home Hawks 98 -9.5 232.5 -1 197
11/29/25 2025 Pistons 138 away Heat 135 +3.5 238.5 -3 273
Away Games Avg (5 games) 116.6 - - 114.2 -2.3 232.7 -2.4 230.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 118.2 - - 109.8 -6.0 232.4 -8.4 228.0
Kings Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/28/25 2025 Kings - away Lakers - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Kings - home Mavericks - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Kings - home Pistons - +9.0 227.5 - -
12/21/25 2025 Kings 125 home Rockets 124 +12.5 223.0 -1 249
12/20/25 2025 Kings 93 home Trailblazers 98 +4.0 236.5 +5 191
12/18/25 2025 Kings 133 away Trailblazers 134 +8.5 238.5 +1 267
12/14/25 2025 Kings 103 away Timberwolves 117 +9.5 235.5 +14 220
12/11/25 2025 Kings 105 home Nuggets 136 +10.5 239.5 +31 241
12/08/25 2025 Kings 105 away Pacers 116 +4.0 232.0 +11 221
12/06/25 2025 Kings 127 away Heat 111 +8.5 241.5 -16 238
12/03/25 2025 Kings 95 away Rockets 121 +15.5 231.5 +26 216
11/30/25 2025 Kings 107 home Grizzlies 115 +3.0 233.5 +8 222
11/28/25 2025 Kings 119 away Jazz 128 +2.5 242.0 +9 247
Home Games Avg (4 games) 107.5 - - 118.3 +7.5 233.1 +10.8 225.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 111.2 - - 120.0 +7.9 235.4 +8.8 231.2
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Magic @ Trailblazers
Magic: 16-13 (55.2%)
Trailblazers: 12-17 (41.4%)
Line: +1.5
Total: 231.5
Notes
Magic
Situational Factor(s)
2nd game of a back-to-back
Travel fatigue (at least 4th straight game on the road)
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
Baller System(s)
Back favorite on back-to-back off a loss Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 185 - 160 - 7 (53.6%)L365 Days: 35 - 34 - 0 (50.7%)Current Season: 13 - 7 - 0 (65.0%)
Trailblazers
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
2nd game of a back-to-back
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Trailblazers are 72.2% (13-5) against the spread as a dog
The Trailblazers are 87.5% (7-1) against the spread as a home dog
The Trailblazers are 70% (7-3) (L14) against the spread as a dog
The Magic are 71.4% (5-2) to the over/under as an away fav
The Magic are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) against the spread away
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
11/10/25 2025 Trailblazers 112 Away Magic 115 +2.5 234.5 +3 227
01/30/25 2024 Trailblazers 119 Home Magic 90 +5.0 212.5 -29 209
01/23/25 2024 Trailblazers 101 Away Magic 79 +7.0 212.5 -22 180
04/01/24 2023 Trailblazers 103 Away Magic 104 +16.0 210.5 +1 207
10/27/23 2023 Trailblazers 97 Home Magic 102 +4.0 220.5 +5 199
Trailblazers as Home (2 games) 108.0 - - 96.0 +4.5 216.5 -12.0 204.0
All Games Avg (5 games) 106.4 - - 98.0 +6.9 218.1 -8.4 204.4
Schedules
Magic Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/27/25 2025 Magic - home Nuggets - - - - -
12/26/25 2025 Magic - home Hornets - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Magic - away Trailblazers - -1.5 231.5 - -
12/22/25 2025 Magic 97 away Warriors 120 +6.5 228.5 +23 217
12/20/25 2025 Magic 128 away Jazz 127 -7.5 240.0 -1 255
12/18/25 2025 Magic 115 away Nuggets 126 +6.5 237.5 +11 241
12/13/25 2025 Magic 120 home Knicks 132 +4.0 225.0 +12 252
12/09/25 2025 Magic 117 home Heat 108 -1.5 235.0 -9 225
12/07/25 2025 Magic 100 away Knicks 106 +1.5 229.5 +6 206
12/05/25 2025 Magic 106 home Heat 105 -6.5 241.5 -1 211
12/03/25 2025 Magic 112 home Spurs 114 -8.5 235.5 +2 226
12/01/25 2025 Magic 125 home Bulls 120 -9.5 239.5 -5 245
11/28/25 2025 Magic 112 away Pistons 109 +3.5 230.5 -3 221
Away Games Avg (5 games) 110.4 - - 117.6 +2.1 233.2 +7.2 228.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 113.2 - - 116.7 -1.2 234.3 +3.5 229.9
Trailblazers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/28/25 2025 Trailblazers - home Celtics - - - - -
12/26/25 2025 Trailblazers - home Clippers - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Trailblazers - home Magic - +1.5 231.5 - -
12/22/25 2025 Trailblazers 102 home Pistons 110 +6.5 234.5 +8 212
12/20/25 2025 Trailblazers 98 away Kings 93 -4.0 236.5 -5 191
12/18/25 2025 Trailblazers 134 home Kings 133 -8.5 238.5 -1 267
12/14/25 2025 Trailblazers 136 home Warriors 131 +5.0 237.0 -5 267
12/11/25 2025 Trailblazers 120 away Pelicans 143 -4.5 242.5 +23 263
12/07/25 2025 Trailblazers 96 away Grizzlies 119 +1.5 232.5 +23 215
12/05/25 2025 Trailblazers 116 away Pistons 122 +8.5 236.5 +6 238
12/03/25 2025 Trailblazers 122 away Cavaliers 110 +10.0 243.5 -12 232
12/02/25 2025 Trailblazers 118 away Raptors 121 +5.0 230.5 +3 239
11/30/25 2025 Trailblazers 115 home Thunder 123 +11.5 234.0 +8 238
Home Games Avg (4 games) 121.8 - - 124.3 +3.6 236.0 +2.5 246.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 115.7 - - 120.5 +3.1 236.6 +4.8 236.2
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
Rockets @ Clippers
Rockets: 17-9 (65.4%)
Clippers: 7-21 (25.0%)
Line: +8.0
Total: 219.0
Notes
Rockets
Situational Factor(s)
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
Travel fatigue (at least 4th straight game on the road)
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
Coming off an Overtime game
Clippers
Situational Factor(s)
Rest advantage
Well-rested (two or more days of rest)
In-season revenge
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Clippers are 16.7% (2-10) against the spread at home
The Clippers are 25% (1-3) (L14) against the spread at home
The Clippers are 0% (0-4) (L14) to the over/under at home
The Rockets are 71.4% (10-4) to the over/under as an away fav
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/11/25 2025 Clippers 113 Away Rockets 115 +8.5 221.5 +2 228
04/09/25 2024 Clippers 134 Home Rockets 117 -10.5 221.0 -17 251
12/08/24 2024 Clippers 106 Home Rockets 117 +3.0 214.0 +11 223
11/15/24 2024 Clippers 104 Away Rockets 125 +4.5 215.0 +21 229
11/13/24 2024 Clippers 103 Away Rockets 111 +5.0 214.0 +8 214
04/14/24 2023 Clippers 105 Home Rockets 116 +4.0 222.5 +11 221
03/06/24 2023 Clippers 122 Away Rockets 116 -6.5 224.5 -6 238
11/17/23 2023 Clippers 106 Home Rockets 100 -7.0 218.5 -6 206
Clippers as Home (4 games) 112.8 - - 112.5 -2.6 219.0 -0.3 225.3
All Games Avg (8 games) 111.6 - - 114.6 +0.1 218.9 +3.0 226.3
Schedules
Rockets Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/27/25 2025 Rockets - home Cavaliers - - - - -
12/25/25 2025 Rockets - away Lakers - -4.5 228.5 - -
12/23/25 2025 Rockets - away Clippers - -8.0 219.0 - -
12/21/25 2025 Rockets 124 away Kings 125 -12.5 223.0 +1 249
12/20/25 2025 Rockets 115 away Nuggets 101 -1.5 235.5 -14 216
12/18/25 2025 Rockets 128 away Pelicans 133 -9.5 236.5 +5 261
12/15/25 2025 Rockets 125 away Nuggets 128 -1.5 236.5 +3 253
12/11/25 2025 Rockets 115 home Clippers 113 -8.5 221.5 -2 228
12/06/25 2025 Rockets 109 away Mavericks 122 -6.5 221.5 +13 231
12/05/25 2025 Rockets 117 home Suns 98 -8.5 219.5 -19 215
12/03/25 2025 Rockets 121 home Kings 95 -15.5 231.5 -26 216
12/01/25 2025 Rockets 125 away Jazz 133 -11.5 235.5 +8 258
11/30/25 2025 Rockets 129 away Jazz 101 -11.5 233.5 -28 230
Away Games Avg (7 games) 122.1 - - 120.4 -7.8 231.7 -1.7 242.6
All Games Avg (10 games) 120.8 - - 114.9 -8.7 229.5 -5.9 235.7
Clippers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/28/25 2025 Clippers - home Pistons - - - - -
12/26/25 2025 Clippers - away Trailblazers - - - - -
12/23/25 2025 Clippers - home Rockets - +8.0 219.0 - -
12/20/25 2025 Clippers 103 home Lakers 88 +2.0 229.5 -15 191
12/18/25 2025 Clippers 101 away Thunder 122 +16.5 222.5 +21 223
12/15/25 2025 Clippers 103 home Grizzlies 121 -5.5 229.5 +18 224
12/11/25 2025 Clippers 113 away Rockets 115 +8.5 221.5 +2 228
12/06/25 2025 Clippers 106 away Timberwolves 109 +8.5 227.5 +3 215
12/05/25 2025 Clippers 98 away Grizzlies 107 -2.0 223.0 +9 205
12/03/25 2025 Clippers 115 away Hawks 92 +1.5 225.5 -23 207
12/01/25 2025 Clippers 123 away Heat 140 +6.5 235.5 +17 263
11/29/25 2025 Clippers 110 home Mavericks 114 -9.5 224.5 +4 224
11/28/25 2025 Clippers 107 home Grizzlies 112 -6.5 224.5 +5 219
Home Games Avg (4 games) 105.8 - - 108.8 -4.9 227.0 +3.0 214.5
All Games Avg (10 games) 107.9 - - 112.0 +2.0 226.4 +4.1 219.9
Team Comparison Stats Click to load

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