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Updated: 02/27/26 1:04 a.m.

7:00 p.m.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons

Cavaliers: 37-23 (61.7%)

Pistons: 43-14 (75.4%)

Line: -6.0

Total: 225.5

Open: -7.0

Open: 224.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Pistons

Baller System(s)

Under on matchup between two elite teams

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Cavaliers are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the over/under away

View All Records

Pistons (Home)

The Pistons are 54.4% (31-26) against the spread

The Pistons are 48.3% (14-15) against the spread at home

The Pistons are 45.7% (21-25) against the spread as a fav

The Pistons are 44% (11-14) against the spread as a home fav

The Pistons are 42.1% (24-33) to the over/under

The Pistons are 41.4% (12-17) to the over/under at home

The Pistons are 41.3% (19-27) to the over/under as a fav

The Pistons are 40% (10-15) to the over/under as a home fav

The Pistons are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Pistons are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Pistons are 40% (4-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Pistons are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Pistons are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Pistons are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Pistons are 40% (4-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Pistons are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Cavaliers (Away)

The Cavaliers are 42.4% (25-34-1) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 46.4% (13-15-1) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 54.5% (6-5) against the spread as a dog

The Cavaliers are 66.7% (6-3) against the spread as an away dog

The Cavaliers are 48.3% (29-31) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 58.6% (17-12) to the over/under away

The Cavaliers are 36.4% (4-7) to the over/under as a dog

The Cavaliers are 33.3% (3-6) to the over/under as an away dog

The Cavaliers are 66.7% (8-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 42.9% (3-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Cavaliers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Cavaliers are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Cavaliers are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Cavaliers are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/04/26	2025	Pistons	114	Away	Cavaliers	110	+3.5	239.5	-4	224
10/27/25	2025	Pistons	95	Home	Cavaliers	116	+2.0	231.5	+21	211
03/28/25	2024	Pistons	133	Home	Cavaliers	122	+6.5	232.5	-11	255
02/05/25	2024	Pistons	115	Home	Cavaliers	118	+3.5	234.0	+3	233
01/27/25	2024	Pistons	91	Away	Cavaliers	110	+10.5	235.5	+19	201
10/25/24	2024	Pistons	101	Away	Cavaliers	113	+11.0	224.5	+12	214
03/01/24	2023	Pistons	100	Home	Cavaliers	110	+9.0	222.0	+10	210
01/31/24	2023	Pistons	121	Away	Cavaliers	128	+13.0	229.5	+7	249
12/02/23	2023	Pistons	101	Home	Cavaliers	110	+9.0	226.0	+9	211
11/17/23	2023	Pistons	100	Away	Cavaliers	108	+8.5	221.0	+8	208
Pistons as Home (5 games)			108.8	-	-	115.2	+6.0	229.2	+6.4	224.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			107.1	-	-	114.5	+7.7	229.6	+7.4	221.6

Schedules

Cavaliers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/03/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	home	Pistons	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	away	Nets	-	-	-	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	away	Pistons	-	+6.0	225.5	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Cavaliers	116	away	Bucks	118	-2.5	220.5	+2	234
02/24/26	2025	Cavaliers	109	home	Knicks	94	-4.5	231.5	-15	203
02/22/26	2025	Cavaliers	113	away	Thunder	121	-4.5	228.5	+8	234
02/20/26	2025	Cavaliers	118	away	Hornets	113	-5.0	228.5	-5	231
02/19/26	2025	Cavaliers	112	home	Nets	84	-15.5	229.5	-28	196
02/11/26	2025	Cavaliers	138	home	Wizards	113	-17.5	238.5	-25	251
02/09/26	2025	Cavaliers	119	away	Nuggets	117	+2.5	242.5	-2	236
02/07/26	2025	Cavaliers	132	away	Kings	126	-13.5	229.5	-6	258
02/04/26	2025	Cavaliers	124	away	Clippers	91	-2.5	221.5	-33	215
02/01/26	2025	Cavaliers	130	away	Trailblazers	111	-3.5	228.5	-19	241
Away Games Avg (7 games)			121.7	-	-	113.9	-4.1	228.5	-7.9	235.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			121.1	-	-	108.8	-6.7	229.9	-12.3	229.9

Pistons Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/03/26	2025	Pistons	-	away	Cavaliers	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Pistons	-	away	Magic	-	-	-	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Pistons	-	home	Cavaliers	-	-6.0	225.5	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Pistons	124	home	Thunder	116	-10.5	220.5	-8	240
02/23/26	2025	Pistons	103	home	Spurs	114	-1.5	232.5	+11	217
02/21/26	2025	Pistons	126	away	Bulls	110	-10.5	234.5	-16	236
02/19/26	2025	Pistons	126	away	Knicks	111	+3.5	218.5	-15	237
02/11/26	2025	Pistons	113	away	Raptors	95	+1.5	223.5	-18	208
02/09/26	2025	Pistons	110	away	Hornets	104	-2.5	222.5	-6	214
02/06/26	2025	Pistons	118	home	Knicks	80	-5.5	219.5	-38	198
02/05/26	2025	Pistons	117	home	Wizards	126	-17.5	227.5	+9	243
02/03/26	2025	Pistons	124	home	Nuggets	121	-5.5	229.5	-3	245
02/01/26	2025	Pistons	130	home	Nets	77	-13.5	214.5	-53	207
Home Games Avg (6 games)			119.3	-	-	105.7	-9.0	224.0	-13.7	225.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			119.1	-	-	105.4	-6.2	224.3	-13.7	224.5

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:30 p.m.
Brooklyn Nets @ Boston Celtics

Nets: 15-42 (26.3%)

Celtics: 38-20 (65.5%)

Line: -18.0

Total: 208.5

Open: -17.5

Open: 208.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Nets

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Baller System(s)

Back team on 5-game ATS losing streak

Celtics

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Celtics are 15.4% (2-11) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Celtics are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Celtics are 18.2% (2-9) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Celtics are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

The Nets are 25% (2-6) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Nets are 25% (2-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

View All Records

Celtics (Home)

The Celtics are 56.9% (33-25) against the spread

The Celtics are 48.1% (13-14) against the spread at home

The Celtics are 54.8% (23-19) against the spread as a fav

The Celtics are 45.5% (10-12) against the spread as a home fav

The Celtics are 36.2% (21-37) to the over/under

The Celtics are 37% (10-17) to the over/under at home

The Celtics are 35.7% (15-27) to the over/under as a fav

The Celtics are 36.4% (8-14) to the over/under as a home fav

The Celtics are 61.5% (8-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Celtics are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Celtics are 63.6% (7-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Celtics are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Celtics are 15.4% (2-11) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Celtics are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Celtics are 18.2% (2-9) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Celtics are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Nets (Away)

The Nets are 44.6% (25-31-1) against the spread

The Nets are 42.9% (12-16-1) against the spread away

The Nets are 42.3% (22-30-1) against the spread as a dog

The Nets are 42.9% (12-16-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Nets are 44.6% (25-31-1) to the over/under

The Nets are 35.7% (10-18-1) to the over/under away

The Nets are 44.2% (23-29-1) to the over/under as a dog

The Nets are 35.7% (10-18-1) to the over/under as an away dog

The Nets are 38.5% (5-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Nets are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Nets are 36.4% (4-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Nets are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Nets are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Nets are 25% (2-6) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Nets are 45.5% (5-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Nets are 25% (2-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/23/26	2025	Celtics	130	Away	Nets	126	-8.0	215.0	-4	256
11/21/25	2025	Celtics	105	Home	Nets	113	-13.5	221.5	+8	218
11/18/25	2025	Celtics	113	Away	Nets	99	-11.5	222.5	-14	212
03/18/25	2024	Celtics	104	Home	Nets	96	-13.5	211.0	-8	200
03/15/25	2024	Celtics	115	Away	Nets	113	-11.5	218.5	-2	228
11/13/24	2024	Celtics	139	Away	Nets	114	-10.5	218.5	-25	253
11/08/24	2024	Celtics	108	Home	Nets	104	-13.5	221.0	-4	212
02/14/24	2023	Celtics	136	Home	Nets	86	-13.0	227.0	-50	222
02/13/24	2023	Celtics	118	Away	Nets	110	-8.5	228.0	-8	228
11/10/23	2023	Celtics	121	Home	Nets	107	-11.5	229.0	-14	228
Celtics as Home (5 games)			114.8	-	-	101.2	-13.0	221.9	-13.6	216.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			118.9	-	-	106.8	-11.5	221.2	-12.1	225.7

Schedules

Nets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/03/26	2025	Nets	-	away	Heat	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Nets	-	home	Cavaliers	-	-	-	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Nets	-	away	Celtics	-	+18.0	208.5	-	-
02/26/26	2025	Nets		home	Spurs		+10.5	224.5	0	0
02/24/26	2025	Nets	114	home	Mavericks	123	+1.5	226.5	+9	237
02/22/26	2025	Nets	104	away	Hawks	115	+9.5	227.5	+11	219
02/20/26	2025	Nets	86	away	Thunder	105	+17.0	214.5	+19	191
02/19/26	2025	Nets	84	away	Cavaliers	112	+15.5	229.5	+28	196
02/11/26	2025	Nets	110	home	Pacers	115	-6.5	215.5	+5	225
02/09/26	2025	Nets	123	home	Bulls	115	+3.5	218.5	-8	238
02/07/26	2025	Nets	127	home	Wizards	113	-8.5	216.5	-14	240
02/05/26	2025	Nets	98	away	Magic	118	+9.5	214.5	+20	216
02/03/26	2025	Nets	109	home	Lakers	125	+7.5	223.5	+16	234
Away Games Avg (4 games)			93.0	-	-	112.5	+12.9	221.5	+19.5	205.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			95.5	-	-	104.1	+6.0	221.1	+8.6	199.6

Celtics Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/02/26	2025	Celtics	-	away	Bucks	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Celtics	-	home	Seventysixers	-	-	-	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Celtics	-	home	Nets	-	-18.0	208.5	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Celtics	84	away	Nuggets	103	+3.5	228.5	+19	187
02/24/26	2025	Celtics	97	away	Suns	81	-5.5	207.5	-16	178
02/22/26	2025	Celtics	111	away	Lakers	89	-1.5	230.5	-22	200
02/19/26	2025	Celtics	121	away	Warriors	110	-5.5	211.5	-11	231
02/11/26	2025	Celtics	124	home	Bulls	105	-13.5	227.5	-19	229
02/08/26	2025	Celtics	89	home	Knicks	111	-3.5	215.5	+22	200
02/06/26	2025	Celtics	98	home	Heat	96	-5.5	227.5	-2	194
02/04/26	2025	Celtics	114	away	Rockets	93	+8.5	210.5	-21	207
02/03/26	2025	Celtics	110	away	Mavericks	100	-7.5	223.5	-10	210
02/01/26	2025	Celtics	107	home	Bucks	79	-13.5	217.5	-28	186
Home Games Avg (4 games)			104.5	-	-	97.8	-9.0	222.0	-6.8	202.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			105.5	-	-	96.7	-4.4	220.0	-8.8	202.2

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:00 p.m.
New York Knicks @ Milwaukee Bucks

Knicks: 38-22 (63.3%)

Bucks: 26-31 (45.6%)

Line: +8.0

Total: 222.0

Open: +8.0

Open: 220.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Knicks

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Back late season medium road favorites

Fade team off a close win by small margin

Bucks

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Bucks are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Bucks are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Knicks are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) to the over/under away

View All Records

Bucks (Home)

The Bucks are 46.6% (27-31) against the spread

The Bucks are 46.4% (13-15) against the spread at home

The Bucks are 55.6% (20-16) against the spread as a dog

The Bucks are 56.3% (9-7) against the spread as a home dog

The Bucks are 41.4% (24-34) to the over/under

The Bucks are 50% (14-14) to the over/under at home

The Bucks are 44.4% (16-20) to the over/under as a dog

The Bucks are 56.3% (9-7) to the over/under as a home dog

The Bucks are 61.5% (8-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Bucks are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Bucks are 66.7% (8-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Bucks are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Bucks are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Bucks are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Bucks are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Bucks are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Knicks (Away)

The Knicks are 51.7% (31-29) against the spread

The Knicks are 37.9% (11-18) against the spread away

The Knicks are 54% (27-23) against the spread as a fav

The Knicks are 40% (8-12) against the spread as an away fav

The Knicks are 49.2% (29-30-1) to the over/under

The Knicks are 44.8% (13-16) to the over/under away

The Knicks are 51% (25-24-1) to the over/under as a fav

The Knicks are 50% (10-10) to the over/under as an away fav

The Knicks are 57.1% (8-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Knicks are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Knicks are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Knicks are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Knicks are 38.5% (5-8-1) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Knicks are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Knicks are 55.6% (5-4-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Knicks are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/28/25	2025	Bucks	109	Away	Knicks	118	+7.5	232.5	+9	227
10/28/25	2025	Bucks	121	Home	Knicks	111	+2.0	230.0	-10	232
03/28/25	2024	Bucks	107	Home	Knicks	116	-1.0	218.0	+9	223
01/12/25	2024	Bucks	106	Away	Knicks	140	+5.0	228.5	+34	246
11/08/24	2024	Bucks	94	Away	Knicks	116	+6.5	224.5	+22	210
04/07/24	2023	Bucks	109	Home	Knicks	122	-4.0	220.5	+13	231
12/25/23	2023	Bucks	122	Away	Knicks	129	-3.0	242.0	+7	251
12/23/23	2023	Bucks	130	Away	Knicks	111	-2.5	243.0	-19	241
12/05/23	2023	Bucks	146	Home	Knicks	122	-5.0	229.0	-24	268
11/03/23	2023	Bucks	110	Home	Knicks	105	-5.5	224.5	-5	215
Bucks as Home (5 games)			118.6	-	-	115.2	-2.7	224.4	-3.4	233.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			115.4	-	-	119.0	0.0	229.3	+3.6	234.4

Schedules

Knicks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/03/26	2025	Knicks	-	away	Raptors	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Knicks	-	home	Spurs	-	-	-	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Knicks	-	away	Bucks	-	-8.0	222.0	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Knicks	94	away	Cavaliers	109	+4.5	231.5	+15	203
02/22/26	2025	Knicks	105	away	Bulls	99	-9.5	233.5	-6	204
02/21/26	2025	Knicks	108	home	Rockets	106	-3.5	220.5	-2	214
02/19/26	2025	Knicks	111	home	Pistons	126	-3.5	218.5	+15	237
02/11/26	2025	Knicks	138	away	Seventysixers	89	-2.5	224.5	-49	227
02/10/26	2025	Knicks	134	home	Pacers	137	-11.5	227.5	+3	271
02/08/26	2025	Knicks	111	away	Celtics	89	+3.5	215.5	-22	200
02/06/26	2025	Knicks	80	away	Pistons	118	+5.5	219.5	+38	198
02/04/26	2025	Knicks	134	home	Nuggets	127	-4.5	228.5	-7	261
02/03/26	2025	Knicks	132	away	Wizards	101	-12.5	227.5	-31	233
Away Games Avg (6 games)			110.0	-	-	100.8	-1.8	225.3	-9.2	210.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.7	-	-	110.1	-3.4	224.7	-4.6	224.8

Bucks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/02/26	2025	Bucks	-	home	Celtics	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Bucks	-	away	Bulls	-	-	-	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Bucks	-	home	Knicks	-	+8.0	222.0	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Bucks	118	home	Cavaliers	116	+2.5	220.5	-2	234
02/24/26	2025	Bucks	128	home	Heat	117	+6.5	229.5	-11	245
02/22/26	2025	Bucks	94	home	Raptors	122	+4.5	219.5	+28	216
02/20/26	2025	Bucks	139	away	Pelicans	118	+4.0	223.5	-21	257
02/12/26	2025	Bucks	110	away	Thunder	93	+13.5	214.5	-17	203
02/11/26	2025	Bucks	116	away	Magic	108	+11.5	219.5	-8	224
02/09/26	2025	Bucks	99	away	Magic	118	+9.5	220.5	+19	217
02/06/26	2025	Bucks	105	home	Pacers	99	+1.5	223.5	-6	204
02/04/26	2025	Bucks	141	home	Pelicans	137	+4.5	223.5	-4	278
02/03/26	2025	Bucks	131	home	Bulls	115	+1.5	222.5	-16	246
Home Games Avg (6 games)			119.5	-	-	117.7	+3.5	223.2	-1.8	237.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			118.1	-	-	114.3	+6.0	221.7	-3.8	232.4

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:30 p.m.
Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks

Grizzlies: 21-36 (36.8%)

Mavericks: 21-36 (36.8%)

Line: -5.5

Total: 237.5

Open: -5.5

Open: 235.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Grizzlies

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Mavericks

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Mavericks are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

View All Records

Mavericks (Home)

The Mavericks are 47.4% (27-30-1) against the spread

The Mavericks are 53.3% (16-14) against the spread at home

The Mavericks are 38.9% (7-11) against the spread as a fav

The Mavericks are 40% (4-6) against the spread as a home fav

The Mavericks are 44.8% (26-32) to the over/under

The Mavericks are 46.7% (14-16) to the over/under at home

The Mavericks are 38.9% (7-11) to the over/under as a fav

The Mavericks are 40% (4-6) to the over/under as a home fav

The Mavericks are 45.5% (5-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mavericks are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Mavericks are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Mavericks are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Mavericks are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Mavericks are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

Grizzlies (Away)

The Grizzlies are 43.9% (25-32-1) against the spread

The Grizzlies are 50% (13-13-1) against the spread away

The Grizzlies are 38.9% (14-22-1) against the spread as a dog

The Grizzlies are 45% (9-11-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Grizzlies are 48.3% (28-30) to the over/under

The Grizzlies are 40.7% (11-16) to the over/under away

The Grizzlies are 48.6% (18-19) to the over/under as a dog

The Grizzlies are 42.9% (9-12) to the over/under as an away dog

The Grizzlies are 50% (7-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Grizzlies are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Grizzlies are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Grizzlies are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Grizzlies are 64.3% (9-5) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Grizzlies are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Grizzlies are 66.7% (8-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Grizzlies are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/22/25	2025	Mavericks	96	Home	Grizzlies	102	+1.0	229.5	+6	198
11/07/25	2025	Mavericks	104	Away	Grizzlies	118	+4.5	232.5	+14	222
04/18/25	2024	Mavericks	106	Away	Grizzlies	120	+6.0	223.0	+14	226
04/13/25	2024	Mavericks	97	Away	Grizzlies	132	-2.0	228.0	+35	229
03/07/25	2024	Mavericks	111	Home	Grizzlies	122	+10.0	238.0	+11	233
01/06/25	2024	Mavericks	104	Away	Grizzlies	119	+4.5	231.5	+15	223
12/03/24	2024	Mavericks	121	Home	Grizzlies	116	-4.5	245.5	-5	237
01/09/24	2023	Mavericks	103	Home	Grizzlies	120	-8.5	235.0	+17	223
12/11/23	2023	Mavericks	120	Away	Grizzlies	113	-1.5	227.0	-7	233
12/01/23	2023	Mavericks	94	Home	Grizzlies	108	-6.0	224.5	+14	202
Mavericks as Home (5 games)			105.0	-	-	113.6	-1.6	234.5	+8.6	218.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			105.6	-	-	117.0	+0.4	231.5	+11.4	222.6

Schedules

Grizzlies Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/03/26	2025	Grizzlies	-	away	Timberwolves	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Grizzlies	-	away	Pacers	-	-	-	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Grizzlies	-	away	Mavericks	-	+5.5	237.5	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Grizzlies	112	home	Warriors	133	+3.5	227.5	+21	245
02/23/26	2025	Grizzlies	114	home	Kings	123	-2.5	233.5	+9	237
02/21/26	2025	Grizzlies	120	away	Heat	136	+11.5	238.5	+16	256
02/20/26	2025	Grizzlies	123	home	Jazz	114	-2.5	237.5	-9	237
02/11/26	2025	Grizzlies	116	away	Nuggets	122	+14.5	239.5	+6	238
02/09/26	2025	Grizzlies	113	away	Warriors	114	+9.5	218.5	+1	227
02/07/26	2025	Grizzlies	115	away	Trailblazers	122	+9.5	228.5	+7	237
02/06/26	2025	Grizzlies	115	away	Trailblazers	135	+8.5	235.5	+20	250
02/04/26	2025	Grizzlies	129	away	Kings	125	+2.5	236.5	-4	254
02/02/26	2025	Grizzlies	137	home	Timberwolves	128	+7.5	232.5	-9	265
Away Games Avg (6 games)			118.0	-	-	125.7	+9.3	232.8	+7.7	243.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			119.4	-	-	125.2	+6.2	232.8	+5.8	244.6

Mavericks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/03/26	2025	Mavericks	-	away	Hornets	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Mavericks	-	home	Thunder	-	-	-	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Mavericks	-	home	Grizzlies	-	-5.5	237.5	-	-
02/26/26	2025	Mavericks		home	Kings		-7.0	234.5	0	0
02/24/26	2025	Mavericks	123	away	Nets	114	-1.5	226.5	-9	237
02/22/26	2025	Mavericks	134	away	Pacers	130	-1.5	237.5	-4	264
02/20/26	2025	Mavericks	111	away	Timberwolves	122	+14.0	239.5	+11	233
02/12/26	2025	Mavericks	104	away	Lakers	124	+6.5	237.5	+20	228
02/10/26	2025	Mavericks	111	away	Suns	120	+8.5	229.5	+9	231
02/07/26	2025	Mavericks	125	away	Spurs	138	+11.5	233.5	+13	263
02/05/26	2025	Mavericks	123	home	Spurs	135	+7.5	230.5	+12	258
02/03/26	2025	Mavericks	100	home	Celtics	110	+7.5	223.5	+10	210
01/31/26	2025	Mavericks	107	away	Rockets	111	+10.5	222.5	+4	218
Home Games Avg (3 games)			74.3	-	-	81.7	+2.7	229.5	+7.3	156.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			103.8	-	-	110.4	+5.6	231.5	+6.6	214.2

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

9:30 p.m.
Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder

Nuggets: 37-22 (62.7%)

Thunder: 45-15 (75.0%)

Line: -8.5

Total: 232.5

Open: -8.5

Open: 229.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Nuggets

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

Thunder

Situational Factor(s)

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Baller System(s)

Under on matchup between two elite teams

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Thunder are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

The Nuggets are 83.3% (10-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Nuggets are 100% (6-0) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Nuggets are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

View All Records

Thunder (Home)

The Thunder are 51.7% (31-29) against the spread

The Thunder are 48.4% (15-16) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 50% (28-28) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 46.7% (14-16) against the spread as a home fav

The Thunder are 55% (33-27) to the over/under

The Thunder are 48.4% (15-16) to the over/under at home

The Thunder are 51.8% (29-27) to the over/under as a fav

The Thunder are 46.7% (14-16) to the over/under as a home fav

The Thunder are 61.5% (8-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Thunder are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Thunder are 69.2% (9-4) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Thunder are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Thunder are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Thunder are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Nuggets (Away)

The Nuggets are 56.7% (34-26) against the spread

The Nuggets are 63.6% (21-12) against the spread away

The Nuggets are 68.2% (15-7) against the spread as a dog

The Nuggets are 83.3% (10-2) against the spread as an away dog

The Nuggets are 60% (36-24) to the over/under

The Nuggets are 66.7% (22-11) to the over/under away

The Nuggets are 45.5% (10-12) to the over/under as a dog

The Nuggets are 50% (6-6) to the over/under as an away dog

The Nuggets are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Nuggets are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Nuggets are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Nuggets are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Nuggets are 69.2% (9-4) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Nuggets are 100% (6-0) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Nuggets are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Nuggets are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/01/26	2025	Thunder	121	Away	Nuggets	111	-7.5	225.5	-10	232
05/18/25	2024	Thunder	125	Home	Nuggets	93	-8.0	214.5	-32	218
05/15/25	2024	Thunder	107	Away	Nuggets	119	-5.5	218.5	+12	226
05/13/25	2024	Thunder	112	Home	Nuggets	105	-10.0	222.0	-7	217
05/11/25	2024	Thunder	92	Away	Nuggets	87	-7.0	228.0	-5	179
05/09/25	2024	Thunder	104	Away	Nuggets	113	-6.5	232.0	+9	217
05/07/25	2024	Thunder	149	Home	Nuggets	106	-10.0	230.0	-43	255
05/05/25	2024	Thunder	119	Home	Nuggets	121	-10.5	228.5	+2	240
03/10/25	2024	Thunder	127	Home	Nuggets	140	-9.5	240.5	+13	267
03/09/25	2024	Thunder	127	Home	Nuggets	103	-7.5	242.0	-24	230
Thunder as Home (6 games)			126.5	-	-	111.3	-9.3	229.6	-15.2	237.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			118.3	-	-	109.8	-8.2	228.2	-8.5	228.1

Schedules

Nuggets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/02/26	2025	Nuggets	-	away	Jazz	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Nuggets	-	home	Timberwolves	-	-	-	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Nuggets	-	away	Thunder	-	+8.5	232.5	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Nuggets	103	home	Celtics	84	-3.5	228.5	-19	187
02/22/26	2025	Nuggets	117	away	Warriors	128	-6.5	228.5	+11	245
02/20/26	2025	Nuggets	157	away	Trailblazers	103	+1.0	240.5	-54	260
02/19/26	2025	Nuggets	114	away	Clippers	115	-4.5	226.5	+1	229
02/11/26	2025	Nuggets	122	home	Grizzlies	116	-14.5	239.5	-6	238
02/09/26	2025	Nuggets	117	home	Cavaliers	119	-2.5	242.5	+2	236
02/07/26	2025	Nuggets	136	away	Bulls	120	-8.5	235.5	-16	256
02/04/26	2025	Nuggets	127	away	Knicks	134	+4.5	228.5	+7	261
02/03/26	2025	Nuggets	121	away	Pistons	124	+5.5	229.5	+3	245
02/01/26	2025	Nuggets	111	home	Thunder	121	+7.5	225.5	+10	232
Away Games Avg (6 games)			128.7	-	-	120.7	-1.4	231.5	-8.0	249.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			122.5	-	-	116.4	-2.2	232.5	-6.1	238.9

Thunder Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/03/26	2025	Thunder	-	away	Bulls	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Thunder	-	away	Mavericks	-	-	-	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Thunder	-	home	Nuggets	-	-8.5	232.5	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Thunder	116	away	Pistons	124	+10.5	220.5	+8	240
02/24/26	2025	Thunder	116	away	Raptors	107	+1.5	216.5	-9	223
02/22/26	2025	Thunder	121	home	Cavaliers	113	+4.5	228.5	-8	234
02/20/26	2025	Thunder	105	home	Nets	86	-17.0	214.5	-19	191
02/12/26	2025	Thunder	93	home	Bucks	110	-13.5	214.5	+17	203
02/11/26	2025	Thunder	136	away	Suns	109	-7.5	211.5	-27	245
02/09/26	2025	Thunder	119	away	Lakers	110	-7.5	222.5	-9	229
02/07/26	2025	Thunder	106	home	Rockets	112	-3.5	213.5	+6	218
02/04/26	2025	Thunder	106	away	Spurs	116	+9.5	221.5	+10	222
02/03/26	2025	Thunder	128	home	Magic	92	-11.5	222.5	-36	220
Home Games Avg (5 games)			110.6	-	-	102.6	-8.2	218.7	-8.0	213.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.6	-	-	107.9	-3.5	218.6	-6.7	222.5

Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 7-7 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 135-122 (52.5%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 7-7 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 135-122 (52.5%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 7-7 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 135-122 (52.5%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 7-7 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 135-122 (52.5%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 7-7 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 135-122 (52.5%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Premium Content

7:00 p.m. Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons

Notes

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

Pistons

Baller System(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Pistons (Home)

Cavaliers (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Cavaliers Schedule

Pistons Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:30 p.m. Brooklyn Nets @ Boston Celtics

Notes

Nets

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Celtics

Situational Factor(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Celtics (Home)

Nets (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Nets Schedule

Celtics Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:00 p.m. New York Knicks @ Milwaukee Bucks

Notes

Knicks

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Bucks

Situational Factor(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Bucks (Home)

Knicks (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Knicks Schedule

Bucks Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:30 p.m. Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks

Notes

Grizzlies

Situational Factor(s)

Mavericks

Situational Factor(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Mavericks (Home)

Grizzlies (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Grizzlies Schedule

Mavericks Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

9:30 p.m. Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder

7:00 p.m.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons

7:30 p.m.
Brooklyn Nets @ Boston Celtics

8:00 p.m.
New York Knicks @ Milwaukee Bucks

8:30 p.m.
Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks

9:30 p.m.
Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder