Nuggets @ Clippers [ Clippers +3.5 / 220.5 ]

Nuggets | 53-23 (69.7%)
Clippers | 47-28 (62.7%)

Our Baller Exclusive NBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Our base model will start on November 5, 2024 when we've gathered more team data.

Nuggets Situational Notes

Clippers Situational Notes

Nuggets Schedule
Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
4/6DENDEN -11
ATL +11
222.5ATL---
4/4LACDEN -3.5
LAC +3.5
220.5DEN---
4/2DEN [ 110 ]DEN -17
SAS +17
223SAS [ 105 ]+5-12-8
3/31DEN [ 130 ]DEN -4.5
CLE +4.5
215.5CLE [ 101 ]+29+24.5+15.5
3/29DEN [ 98 ]DEN -7
MIN +7
212.5MIN [ 111 ]-13-20-3.5
3/27DEN [ 97 ]DEN -7.5
PHO +7.5
226.5PHO [ 104 ]-7-14.5-25.5
3/25DEN [ 128 ]DEN -14.5
MEM +14.5
214MEM [ 103 ]+25+10.5+17
3/23POR [ 111 ]DEN -10
POR +10
209DEN [ 114 ]+3-7+16
3/21DEN [ 113 ]DEN -9.5
NYK +9.5
207.5NYK [ 100 ]+13+3.5+5.5
3/19MIN [ 112 ]DEN -7.5
MIN +7.5
214.5DEN [ 115 ]+3-4.5+12.5
Clippers Schedule
Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
4/5LACLAC -12.5
UTA +12.5
223.5UTA---
4/4LACLAC +3.5
DEN -3.5
220.5DEN---
4/2SAC [ 109 ]LAC -1.5
SAC +1.5
221.5LAC [ 95 ]-14-15.5-17.5
3/31CHA [ 118 ]LAC -14.5
CHA +14.5
215.5LAC [ 130 ]+12-2.5+32.5
3/29ORL [ 97 ]LAC -1.5
ORL +1.5
211.5LAC [ 100 ]+3+1.5-14.5
3/27PHI [ 107 ]LAC -6
PHI +6
217.5LAC [ 108 ]+1-5-2.5
3/25LAC [ 116 ]LAC -5
IND +5
234IND [ 133 ]-17-22+15
3/24LAC [ 107 ]LAC -10
PHI +10
214.5PHI [ 121 ]-14-24+13.5
3/22POR [ 117 ]LAC -14.5
POR +14.5
215.5LAC [ 125 ]+8-6.5+26.5
3/20POR [ 103 ]LAC -12
POR +12
217LAC [ 116 ]+13+1+2
Historical Matchups
Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU MarginPaceOrtgDrtgNetTot
5/3DENLAC +1.5
DEN -1.5
207LAC----
-
-
-
-
5/1LACLAC -6
DEN +6
213DEN----
-
-
-
-
4/29DENLAC -1.5
DEN +1.5
209LAC----
-
-
-
-
4/26LACLAC -6.5
DEN +6.5
211.5DEN----
-
-
-
-
4/24LACLAC -5.5
DEN +5.5
214DEN----
-
-
-
-
4/21DENLAC +1
DEN -1
217.5LAC----
-
-
-
-
4/19DENLAC +2.5
DEN -2.5
224.5LAC----
-
-
-
-
1/8DENLAC -3.5
DEN +3.5
224LAC----
-
-
-
-
12/13DENLAC +6.5
DEN -6.5
227.5LAC----
-
-
-
-
12/1LACLAC +3
DEN -3
226DEN----
-
-
-
-
10/26DENLAC +7.5
DEN -7.5
217LAC----
-
-
-
-



** The first week of the season will include last season's regular games by default.


Efficiency
Nuggets
( game/s)
Clippers
( game/s)
-Win Percentage-
-ATS Win%-
-OU%-
-Offensive Rating-
-Defensive Rating-
-Pace-
-A/TO Ratio-

Four Factors
Nuggets
( game/s)
Clippers
( game/s)
-EFG%-
-EFG% Allowed-
-FT Rate-
-FT Rate Allowed-
-OReb%-
-OReb% Allowed-
-TO Rate-
-TO Rate Forced-

Scoring
Nuggets
( game/s)
Clippers
( game/s)
-PPG-
-PPG Allowed-
-Pts off TO-
-Pts off TO Allowed-
-2nd Chance Pts-
-2nd Chance Pts Allowed-
-Fast Break Pts-
-Fast Break Pts Allowed-

Inside the Arc
Nuggets
( game/s)
Clippers
( game/s)
-Paint Attempts-
-Paint Attempts Allowed-
-Paint FG%-
-Paint FG% Allowed-
-Mid-Range Attempts-
-Mid-Range Attempts Allowed-
-Mid-Range FG%-
-Mid-Range FG% Allowed-

Three Point Shooting
Nuggets
( game/s)
Clippers
( game/s)
-Corner 3 Attempts-
-Corner 3 Attempts Allowed-
-Corner 3 FG%-
-Corner 3 FG% Allowed-
-ATB3 Attempts-
-ATB3 Attempts Allowed-
-ATB3 FG%-
-ATB3 FG% Allowed-


Straight Up Records (SU)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Nuggets 1h------------------
Nuggets ---------
Clippers 1h------------------
Clippers ---------

Against the Spread Records (ATS)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Nuggets 1h------------------
Nuggets ------------------
Clippers 1h------------------
Clippers ------------------

Over/Under Records (OU)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Nuggets 1h------------------
Nuggets ------------------
Clippers 1h------------------
Clippers ------------------

Team Total Records (TT)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Nuggets 1h------------------
Nuggets ------------------
Clippers 1h------------------
Clippers ------------------

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Nuggets 1h------------------
Nuggets ------------------
Clippers 1h------------------
Clippers ------------------


ATS Range Records
TeamDog 10+Dog 7-10Dog 2.5-7Within 2.5Fav 2.5-7Fav 7-10Fav 10+
Nuggets2-0-0 (100%)1-1-0 (50%)8-3-0 (72.7%)5-6-0 (45.5%)16-11-0 (59.3%)8-8-0 (50%)6-6-1 (50%)
Clippers1-2-0 (33.3%)4-4-0 (50%)8-9-0 (47.1%)4-5-0 (44.4%)18-11-0 (62.1%)4-7-0 (36.4%)2-3-0 (40%)