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3/9 | 3/11BKN@CLE MIL@LAC NOP@ATL WAS@MIA HOU@SAC PHI@NYK MIN@LAL IND@ORL MEM@OKC

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Nets @ Cavaliers [ -7 / 207.5 ]Copied and ready to share!Glossary

March 10, 2024
Cavaliers | 53-41 (56.4%)
Nets | 32-50 (39%)

Our Baller Exclusive NBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Our base model gives the Cavaliers (-7) a 51.5-34.1% chance of covering as a favorite, and projects the game going over 207.5 around 4.8-3.3% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Cavaliers have a 61.9% chance of covering as a favorite at home, and the game has a 4.8% chance of going over the total.

Nets Situational Notes

Cavaliers Situational Notes

Nets Schedule

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin
3/13	ORL	BKN +7 ORL -7	205	BKN	-	-	-
3/10	CLE	BKN +7 CLE -7	207.5	BKN	-	-	-
3/9	CHA [ 110 ]	BKN -6.5 CHA +6.5	207	BKN [ 99 ]	-11	-17.5	+2
3/7	DET [ 118 ]	BKN -1.5 DET +1.5	214.5	BKN [ 112 ]	-6	-7.5	+15.5
3/5	BKN [ 112 ]	BKN +2.5 PHI -2.5	217	PHI [ 107 ]	+5	+7.5	+2
3/4	BKN [ 102 ]	BKN -10 MEM +10	206.5	MEM [ 106 ]	-4	-14	+1.5
3/2	BKN [ 114 ]	BKN -1.5 ATL +1.5	220.5	ATL [ 102 ]	+12	+10.5	-4.5
2/29	BKN [ 124 ]	BKN -1 ATL +1	220	ATL [ 97 ]	+27	+26	+1
2/27	ORL [ 108 ]	BKN +9.5 ORL -9.5	213.5	BKN [ 81 ]	-27	-17.5	-24.5
2/26	MEM [ 86 ]	BKN -2 MEM +2	214.5	BKN [ 111 ]	+25	+23	-17.5

Cavaliers Schedule

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin
3/11	CLE	CLE +6.5 PHO -6.5	221	PHO	-	-	-
3/10	CLE	CLE -7 BKN +7	207.5	BKN	-	-	-
3/8	CLE [ 113 ]	CLE -1 MIN +1	207	MIN [ 104 ]	+9	+8	+10
3/6	ATL [ 112 ]	CLE +2.5 ATL -2.5	216	CLE [ 101 ]	-11	-8.5	-3
3/5	CLE [ 105 ]	CLE +8.5 BOS -8.5	217	BOS [ 104 ]	+1	+9.5	-8
3/3	CLE [ 98 ]	CLE -4 NYK +4	208.5	NYK [ 107 ]	-9	-13	-3.5
3/1	DET [ 100 ]	CLE -9 DET +9	222	CLE [ 110 ]	+10	+1	-12
2/28	CHI [ 132 ]	CLE -5 CHI +5	216.5	CLE [ 123 ]	-9	-14	+38.5
2/27	CLE [ 121 ]	CLE -4.5 DAL +4.5	232.5	DAL [ 119 ]	+2	-2.5	+7.5
2/25	WAS [ 105 ]	CLE -12.5 WAS +12.5	234.5	CLE [ 114 ]	+9	-3.5	-15.5

Historical Matchups

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin	Pace	Ortg	Drtg	Net	Tot
3/10	CLE	CLE -7 BKN +7	207.5	BKN	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2/8	BKN [ 95 ]	CLE -6 BKN +6	225.5	CLE [ 118 ]	+23	+17	-12.5	113.6	124.7	100.4	24.3	213
1/11	CLE [ 111 ]	CLE -3 BKN +3	224.5	BKN [ 102 ]	+9	+6	-11.5	117	113.9	104.6	9.2	213
10/25	BKN [ 113 ]	CLE -2 BKN +2	218	CLE [ 114 ]	+1	-1	+9	117	116.9	115.9	1	227
3/23	BKN [ 114 ]	CLE -3 BKN +3	219.5	CLE [ 116 ]	+2	-1	+10.5	115.1	121	118.9	2.1	230
3/21	BKN [ 109 ]	CLE -3 BKN +3	218.5	CLE [ 115 ]	+6	+3	+5.5	114.8	120.2	113.9	6.3	224
12/26	CLE [ 117 ]	CLE -2 BKN +2	220	BKN [ 125 ]	-8	-10	+22	115.1	122	130.3	-8.3	242

Filters

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Efficiency

Nets (last 64 games)		Cavaliers (last 63 games)
0.39 (23)	Win Percentage	0.59 (9)
48.33 (20)	ATS Win%	50.82 (14)
46.03 (23)	OU%	46.03 (24)
-	Strength of Schedule	-
113.16 (23)	Offensive Rating	115.21 (18)
116.12 (19)	Defensive Rating	112.74 (6)
96.92 (26)	Pace	97.15 (25)
1.95 (19)	A/TO Ratio	2.07 (10)

Four Factors

Nets (last 64 games)		Cavaliers (last 63 games)
53.08 (25)	EFG%	55.67 (13)
54.35 (13)	EFG% Allowed	53.48 (6)
23.42 (22)	FT Rate	23.38 (23)
23.93 (9)	FT Rate Allowed	24.02 (10)
25.17 (9)	OReb%	23.19 (21)
23.96 (14)	OReb% Allowed	23.09 (7)
13.45 (17)	TO Rate	13.87 (20)
12.94 (23)	TO Rate Forced	13.91 (11)

Scoring

Nets (last 64 games)		Cavaliers (last 63 games)
110.37 (27)	PPG	112.63 (22)
113.26 (14)	PPG Allowed	110.22 (6)
14.93 (28)	Pts off TO	16.6 (11)
15.4 (9)	Pts off TO Allowed	17.37 (23)
14.34 (11)	2nd Chance Pts	13.59 (18)
13.98 (19)	2nd Chance Pts Allowed	12.87 (4)
13.23 (21)	Fast Break Pts	14.78 (12)
15.62 (24)	Fast Break Pts Allowed	14.34 (17)

Inside the Arc

Nets (last 64 games)		Cavaliers (last 63 games)
43.09 (21)	Paint Attempts	43.45 (20)
43.24 (10)	Paint Attempts Allowed	42.2 (6)
55.19 (25)	Paint FG%	57.65 (14)
55.87 (8)	Paint FG% Allowed	55.14 (4)
9.32 (20)	Mid-Range Attempts	6.94 (28)
10.28 (17)	Mid-Range Attempts Allowed	11.5 (29)
0.39 (22)	Mid-Range FG%	0.46 (4)
0.43 (22)	Mid-Range FG% Allowed	0.41 (11)

Three Point Shooting

Nets (last 64 games)		Cavaliers (last 63 games)
10.02 (7)	Corner 3 Attempts	9.18 (12)
7.9 (7)	Corner 3 Attempts Allowed	9.54 (23)
41.12 (8)	Corner 3 FG%	37.05 (26)
41.82 (28)	Corner 3 FG% Allowed	39.39 (15)
26.4 (13)	ATB3 Attempts	27.46 (8)
26.87 (21)	ATB3 Attempts Allowed	24.06 (4)
34.64 (27)	ATB3 FG%	36.77 (10)
36.09 (15)	ATB3 FG% Allowed	36.54 (18)

Straight Up Records (SU)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Nets 1h	30-33-1	13-4-0	4-12-1	6-2-0	7-15-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Nets	25-39	13-4	3-14	3-5	6-16	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0
Cavaliers 1h	38-23-2	19-6-0	3-5-0	11-5-2	5-7-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers	41-22	19-6	3-5	13-5	6-6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0

Against the Spread Records (ATS)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Nets 1h	30-33-1	11-6-0	6-10-1	5-3-0	8-14-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Nets	29-31-4	12-5-0	7-7-3	2-6-0	8-13-1	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers 1h	31-28-4	14-9-2	3-5-0	8-9-1	6-5-1	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers	31-30-2	13-11-1	3-5-0	8-9-1	7-5-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Over/Under Records (OU)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Nets 1h	26-37-1	8-9-0	8-8-1	3-5-0	7-15-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Nets	29-34-1	9-8-0	8-8-1	4-4-0	8-14-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers 1h	26-34-3	9-14-2	4-4-0	5-12-1	8-4-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers	29-34-0	13-12-0	5-3-0	6-12-0	5-7-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Team Total Records (TT)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Nets 1h	28-36-0	9-8-0	8-9-0	4-4-0	7-15-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Nets	35-29-0	11-6-0	9-8-0	4-4-0	11-11-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers 1h	28-34-1	15-9-1	2-6-0	6-12-0	5-7-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers	29-33-1	13-12-0	4-4-0	6-11-1	6-6-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Nets 1h	24-40-0	4-13-0	11-6-0	1-7-0	8-14-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Nets	31-33-0	5-12-0	9-8-0	5-3-0	12-10-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers 1h	22-40-1	7-17-1	5-3-0	6-12-0	4-8-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Cavaliers	26-37-0	12-13-0	4-4-0	5-13-0	5-7-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

ATS Range Records

Team	Dog 10+	Dog 7-10	Dog 2.5-7	Within 2.5	Fav 2.5-7	Fav 7-10	Fav 10+
Cavaliers	1-0-0 (100%)	2-0-1 (100%)	7-7-0 (50%)	6-5-0 (54.5%)	9-8-1 (52.9%)	3-4-0 (42.9%)	3-6-0 (33.3%)
Nets	0-3-2 (0%)	3-4-0 (42.9%)	11-11-1 (50%)	7-4-1 (63.6%)	4-6-0 (40%)	4-2-0 (66.7%)	0-1-0 (0%)