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Updated: 03/02/26 6:07 a.m.
7:00 p.m.
Houston Rockets @ Washington Wizards
Rockets: 37-22 (62.7%)
Wizards: 16-43 (27.1%)
Line: +15.5
Total: 224.5
Open: +15.0
Open: 224.5
Odds courtesy of OddsLogic
Notes
Rockets
Situational Factor(s)
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
4th game in 6 nights
Wizards
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
Double digit, in-season revenge
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Rockets
54.58% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Wizards are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) to the over/under at home
The Wizards are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog
The Rockets are 27.3% (3-8) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav
The Rockets are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
11/12/25 2025 Wizards 112 Away Rockets 135 +17.0 237.0 +23 247
01/07/25 2024 Wizards 112 Home Rockets 135 +13.5 222.0 +23 247
11/11/24 2024 Wizards 92 Away Rockets 107 +12.0 231.0 +15 199
03/19/24 2023 Wizards 114 Home Rockets 137 +9.5 227.5 +23 251
03/14/24 2023 Wizards 119 Away Rockets 135 +8.5 229.0 +16 254
04/09/23 2022 Wizards 109 Home Rockets 114 +4.0 231.5 +5 223
01/25/23 2022 Wizards 108 Away Rockets 103 -2.0 233.5 -5 211
Wizards as Home (3 games) 111.7 - - 128.7 +9.0 227.0 +17.0 240.3
All Games Avg (7 games) 109.4 - - 123.7 +8.9 230.2 +14.3 233.1
Schedules
Rockets Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/06/26 2025 Rockets - home Trailblazers - - - - -
03/05/26 2025 Rockets - home Warriors - - - - -
03/02/26 2025 Rockets - away Wizards - -15.5 224.5 - -
02/28/26 2025 Rockets 105 away Heat 115 -2.5 226.5 +10 220
02/26/26 2025 Rockets 113 away Magic 108 -2.5 214.5 -5 221
02/25/26 2025 Rockets 128 home Kings 97 -13.5 222.5 -31 225
02/23/26 2025 Rockets 125 home Jazz 105 -13.5 228.0 -20 230
02/21/26 2025 Rockets 106 away Knicks 108 +3.5 220.5 +2 214
02/19/26 2025 Rockets 105 away Hornets 101 -4.5 218.5 -4 206
02/11/26 2025 Rockets 102 home Clippers 105 -8.5 212.5 +3 207
02/10/26 2025 Rockets 102 home Clippers 95 -9.5 213.5 -7 197
02/07/26 2025 Rockets 112 away Thunder 106 +3.5 213.5 -6 218
02/05/26 2025 Rockets 99 home Hornets 109 -4.5 218.5 +10 208
Away Games Avg (5 games) 108.2 - - 107.6 -0.5 218.7 -0.6 215.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 109.7 - - 104.9 -5.2 218.9 -4.8 214.6
Wizards Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/05/26 2025 Wizards - home Jazz - - - - -
03/03/26 2025 Wizards - away Magic - - - - -
03/02/26 2025 Wizards - home Rockets - +15.5 224.5 - -
02/28/26 2025 Wizards 125 home Raptors 134 +13.5 229.5 +9 259
02/26/26 2025 Wizards 96 away Hawks 126 +10.5 236.5 +30 222
02/24/26 2025 Wizards 98 away Hawks 119 +12.5 236.5 +21 217
02/22/26 2025 Wizards 112 home Hornets 129 +10.5 223.5 +17 241
02/20/26 2025 Wizards 131 home Pacers 118 -1.0 228.5 -13 249
02/19/26 2025 Wizards 112 home Pacers 105 +2.5 233.5 -7 217
02/11/26 2025 Wizards 113 away Cavaliers 138 +17.5 238.5 +25 251
02/08/26 2025 Wizards 101 home Heat 132 +13.5 235.5 +31 233
02/07/26 2025 Wizards 113 away Nets 127 +8.5 216.5 +14 240
02/05/26 2025 Wizards 126 away Pistons 117 +17.5 227.5 -9 243
Home Games Avg (5 games) 116.2 - - 123.6 +7.8 230.1 +7.4 239.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 112.7 - - 124.5 +10.6 230.6 +11.8 237.2
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
7:30 p.m.
Boston Celtics @ Milwaukee Bucks
Celtics: 40-20 (66.7%)
Bucks: 26-33 (44.1%)
Line: +7.5
Total: 215.5
Open: +7.0
Open: 214.0
Odds courtesy of OddsLogic
Notes
Celtics
Situational Factor(s)
2nd game of a back-to-back
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
5th game in 7 nights
Baller System(s)
Back late season medium road favorites Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 373 - 313 - 16 (54.4%)L365 Days: 75 - 53 - 1 (58.6%)Current Season: 21 - 14 - 1 (60.0%)
Bucks
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
Double digit, in-season revenge
2nd game of a back-to-back
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
5th game in 7 nights
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
Under
55.63% probability
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Bucks are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home
The Bucks are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog
The Bucks are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over/under at home
The Bucks are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog
The Celtics are 76.9% (10-3) (L30 days) against the spread
The Celtics are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread away
The Celtics are 81.8% (9-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav
The Celtics are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav
The Celtics are 23.1% (3-10) (L30 days) to the over/under
The Celtics are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) to the over/under away
The Celtics are 27.3% (3-8) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav
The Celtics are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
02/01/26 2025 Bucks 79 Away Celtics 107 +13.5 217.5 +28 186
12/11/25 2025 Bucks 116 Home Celtics 101 +9.5 222.5 -15 217
12/06/24 2024 Bucks 105 Away Celtics 111 +8.0 229.5 +6 216
11/10/24 2024 Bucks 107 Home Celtics 113 +5.0 229.5 +6 220
10/28/24 2024 Bucks 108 Away Celtics 119 +9.0 232.0 +11 227
04/09/24 2023 Bucks 104 Home Celtics 91 +2.0 228.0 -13 195
03/20/24 2023 Bucks 119 Away Celtics 122 +8.0 225.5 +3 241
01/11/24 2023 Bucks 135 Home Celtics 102 -2.5 247.5 -33 237
11/22/23 2023 Bucks 116 Away Celtics 119 +5.0 234.0 +3 235
03/30/23 2022 Bucks 99 Home Celtics 140 -2.5 236.5 +41 239
Bucks as Home (5 games) 112.2 - - 109.4 +2.3 232.8 -2.8 221.6
All Games Avg (10 games) 108.8 - - 112.5 +5.5 230.3 +3.7 221.3
Schedules
Celtics Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/06/26 2025 Celtics - home Mavericks - - - - -
03/04/26 2025 Celtics - home Hornets - - - - -
03/02/26 2025 Celtics - away Bucks - -7.5 215.5 - -
03/01/26 2025 Celtics 114 home Seventysixers 98 -8.5 219.5 -16 212
02/27/26 2025 Celtics 148 home Nets 111 -16.5 208.5 -37 259
02/25/26 2025 Celtics 84 away Nuggets 103 +3.5 228.5 +19 187
02/24/26 2025 Celtics 97 away Suns 81 -5.5 207.5 -16 178
02/22/26 2025 Celtics 111 away Lakers 89 -1.5 230.5 -22 200
02/19/26 2025 Celtics 121 away Warriors 110 -5.5 211.5 -11 231
02/11/26 2025 Celtics 124 home Bulls 105 -13.5 227.5 -19 229
02/08/26 2025 Celtics 89 home Knicks 111 -3.5 215.5 +22 200
02/06/26 2025 Celtics 98 home Heat 96 -5.5 227.5 -2 194
02/04/26 2025 Celtics 114 away Rockets 93 +8.5 210.5 -21 207
Away Games Avg (5 games) 105.4 - - 95.2 -0.1 217.7 -10.2 200.6
All Games Avg (10 games) 110.0 - - 99.7 -4.8 218.7 -10.3 209.7
Bucks Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/07/26 2025 Bucks - home Jazz - - - - -
03/04/26 2025 Bucks - home Hawks - - - - -
03/02/26 2025 Bucks - home Celtics - +7.5 215.5 - -
03/01/26 2025 Bucks 97 away Bulls 120 -2.5 231.5 +23 217
02/27/26 2025 Bucks 98 home Knicks 127 +8.5 219.5 +29 225
02/25/26 2025 Bucks 118 home Cavaliers 116 +2.5 220.5 -2 234
02/24/26 2025 Bucks 128 home Heat 117 +6.5 229.5 -11 245
02/22/26 2025 Bucks 94 home Raptors 122 +4.5 219.5 +28 216
02/20/26 2025 Bucks 139 away Pelicans 118 +4.0 223.5 -21 257
02/12/26 2025 Bucks 110 away Thunder 93 +13.5 214.5 -17 203
02/11/26 2025 Bucks 116 away Magic 108 +11.5 219.5 -8 224
02/09/26 2025 Bucks 99 away Magic 118 +9.5 220.5 +19 217
02/06/26 2025 Bucks 105 home Pacers 99 +1.5 223.5 -6 204
Home Games Avg (5 games) 108.6 - - 116.2 +4.7 222.5 +7.6 224.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 110.4 - - 113.8 +6.0 222.2 +3.4 224.2
Team Comparison Stats Click to load

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9:00 p.m.
Denver Nuggets @ Utah Jazz
Nuggets: 37-24 (60.7%)
Jazz: 18-42 (30.0%)
Line: +11.5
Total: 243.5
Open: +10.0
Open: 243.5
Odds courtesy of OddsLogic
Notes
Nuggets
Situational Factor(s)
2nd game of a back-to-back
3rd game in 4 nights
4th game in 6 nights
Baller System(s)
Back late season medium road favorites Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 373 - 313 - 16 (54.4%)L365 Days: 75 - 53 - 1 (58.6%)Current Season: 21 - 14 - 1 (60.0%)
Jazz
Situational Factor(s)
Rest advantage
In-season revenge
Double digit, in-season revenge
1st game of a back-to-back
Baller System(s)
Back team on 5-game ATS losing streak Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 177 - 163 - 2 (52.1%)L365 Days: 38 - 41 - 0 (48.1%)Current Season: 24 - 27 - 0 (47.1%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Jazz are 70.4% (19-8) to the over/under as a home dog
The Jazz are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home
The Nuggets are 76.2% (16-5) to the over/under as an away fav
The Nuggets are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav
The Nuggets are 100% (7-0) (L30 days) to the over/under away
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/22/25 2025 Jazz 112 Away Nuggets 135 +12.5 251.5 +23 247
03/28/25 2024 Jazz 93 Away Nuggets 129 +19.0 238.5 +36 222
12/30/24 2024 Jazz 121 Home Nuggets 132 +7.5 239.0 +11 253
11/27/24 2024 Jazz 103 Home Nuggets 122 +10.5 229.5 +19 225
11/02/24 2024 Jazz 103 Away Nuggets 129 +11.0 221.5 +26 232
04/09/24 2023 Jazz 95 Home Nuggets 111 +15.0 225.5 +16 206
03/09/24 2023 Jazz 121 Away Nuggets 142 +12.5 227.0 +21 263
01/10/24 2023 Jazz 124 Home Nuggets 111 +7.0 237.5 -13 235
10/30/23 2023 Jazz 102 Away Nuggets 110 +8.5 226.5 +8 212
04/08/23 2022 Jazz 118 Home Nuggets 114 +10.0 229.0 -4 232
Jazz as Home (5 games) 112.2 - - 118.0 +10.0 232.1 +5.8 230.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 109.2 - - 123.5 +11.4 232.6 +14.3 232.7
Schedules
Nuggets Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/06/26 2025 Nuggets - home Knicks - - - - -
03/05/26 2025 Nuggets - home Lakers - - - - -
03/02/26 2025 Nuggets - away Jazz - -11.5 243.5 - -
03/01/26 2025 Nuggets 108 home Timberwolves 117 -2.5 240.5 +9 225
02/27/26 2025 Nuggets 121 away Thunder 127 +6.5 234.5 +6 248
02/25/26 2025 Nuggets 103 home Celtics 84 -3.5 228.5 -19 187
02/22/26 2025 Nuggets 117 away Warriors 128 -6.5 228.5 +11 245
02/20/26 2025 Nuggets 157 away Trailblazers 103 +1.0 240.5 -54 260
02/19/26 2025 Nuggets 114 away Clippers 115 -4.5 226.5 +1 229
02/11/26 2025 Nuggets 122 home Grizzlies 116 -14.5 239.5 -6 238
02/09/26 2025 Nuggets 117 home Cavaliers 119 -2.5 242.5 +2 236
02/07/26 2025 Nuggets 136 away Bulls 120 -8.5 235.5 -16 256
02/04/26 2025 Nuggets 127 away Knicks 134 +4.5 228.5 +7 261
Away Games Avg (6 games) 128.7 - - 121.2 -1.3 232.3 -7.5 249.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 122.2 - - 116.3 -3.1 234.5 -5.9 238.5
Jazz Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/05/26 2025 Jazz - away Wizards - - - - -
03/04/26 2025 Jazz - away Seventysixers - - - - -
03/02/26 2025 Jazz - home Nuggets - +11.5 243.5 - -
02/28/26 2025 Jazz 105 home Pelicans 115 +5.5 244.5 +10 220
02/26/26 2025 Jazz 118 home Pelicans 129 +6.5 245.5 +11 247
02/23/26 2025 Jazz 105 away Rockets 125 +13.5 228.0 +20 230
02/20/26 2025 Jazz 114 away Grizzlies 123 +2.5 237.5 +9 237
02/12/26 2025 Jazz 119 home Trailblazers 135 +6.5 236.5 +16 254
02/11/26 2025 Jazz 121 home Kings 93 -5.5 229.5 -28 214
02/09/26 2025 Jazz 115 away Heat 111 +5.5 234.5 -4 226
02/07/26 2025 Jazz 117 away Magic 120 +7.5 234.5 +3 237
02/05/26 2025 Jazz 119 away Hawks 121 +8.5 245.5 +2 240
02/03/26 2025 Jazz 131 away Pacers 122 -2.5 232.5 -9 253
Home Games Avg (4 games) 115.8 - - 118.0 +3.3 239.0 +2.3 233.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 116.4 - - 119.4 +4.8 236.9 +3.0 235.8
Team Comparison Stats Click to load

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10:00 p.m.
Los Angeles Clippers @ Golden State Warriors
Clippers: 28-31 (47.5%)
Warriors: 31-29 (51.7%)
Line: +1.5
Total: 217.5
Open: -1.0
Open: 220.0
Odds courtesy of OddsLogic
Notes
Clippers
Situational Factor(s)
2nd game of a back-to-back
Warriors
Situational Factor(s)
Rest advantage
In-season revenge
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
Under
55.63% probability
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Warriors are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread as a home dog
The Warriors are 71.4% (5-2) to the over/under as a home dog
The Warriors are 27.3% (3-8) (L30 days) against the spread
The Warriors are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) against the spread at home
The Warriors are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog
The Warriors are 85.7% (6-1) (L30 days) to the over/under at home
The Warriors are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog
The Clippers are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread away
The Clippers are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav
The Clippers are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
01/05/26 2025 Warriors 102 Away Clippers 103 -3.5 222.5 +1 205
10/28/25 2025 Warriors 98 Home Clippers 79 +1.5 224.5 -19 177
04/13/25 2024 Warriors 119 Home Clippers 124 -3.5 218.0 +5 243
12/27/24 2024 Warriors 92 Away Clippers 102 +5.5 211.0 +10 194
11/18/24 2024 Warriors 99 Away Clippers 102 -6.0 226.0 +3 201
10/27/24 2024 Warriors 104 Home Clippers 112 -9.0 221.5 +8 216
02/14/24 2023 Warriors 125 Home Clippers 130 -3.0 234.5 +5 255
12/14/23 2023 Warriors 113 Away Clippers 121 +5.5 231.0 +8 234
12/02/23 2023 Warriors 112 Away Clippers 113 +5.0 229.5 +1 225
11/30/23 2023 Warriors 120 Home Clippers 114 -2.0 227.0 -6 234
Warriors as Home (5 games) 113.2 - - 111.8 -3.2 225.1 -1.4 225.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 108.4 - - 110.0 -1.0 224.6 +1.6 218.4
Schedules
Clippers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/06/26 2025 Clippers - away Spurs - - - - -
03/04/26 2025 Clippers - home Pacers - - - - -
03/02/26 2025 Clippers - away Warriors - -1.5 217.5 - -
03/01/26 2025 Clippers 137 home Pelicans 117 -8.5 222.5 -20 254
02/26/26 2025 Clippers 88 home Timberwolves 94 +8.5 220.5 +6 182
02/22/26 2025 Clippers 109 home Magic 111 -4.5 215.5 +2 220
02/20/26 2025 Clippers 122 away Lakers 125 +7.0 225.5 +3 247
02/19/26 2025 Clippers 115 home Nuggets 114 +4.5 226.5 -1 229
02/11/26 2025 Clippers 105 away Rockets 102 +8.5 212.5 -3 207
02/10/26 2025 Clippers 95 away Rockets 102 +9.5 213.5 +7 197
02/08/26 2025 Clippers 115 away Timberwolves 96 +8.5 222.5 -19 211
02/06/26 2025 Clippers 114 away Kings 111 -3.5 221.5 -3 225
02/04/26 2025 Clippers 91 home Cavaliers 124 +2.5 221.5 +33 215
Away Games Avg (5 games) 110.2 - - 107.2 +6.0 219.1 -3.0 217.4
All Games Avg (10 games) 109.1 - - 109.6 +3.3 220.2 +0.5 218.7
Warriors Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
03/07/26 2025 Warriors - away Thunder - - - - -
03/05/26 2025 Warriors - away Rockets - - - - -
03/02/26 2025 Warriors - home Clippers - +1.5 217.5 - -
02/28/26 2025 Warriors 101 home Lakers 129 +3.5 225.5 +28 230
02/25/26 2025 Warriors 133 away Grizzlies 112 -3.5 227.5 -21 245
02/24/26 2025 Warriors 109 away Pelicans 113 -1.5 229.5 +4 222
02/22/26 2025 Warriors 128 home Nuggets 117 +6.5 228.5 -11 245
02/19/26 2025 Warriors 110 home Celtics 121 +5.5 211.5 +11 231
02/11/26 2025 Warriors 113 home Spurs 126 +7.5 220.5 +13 239
02/09/26 2025 Warriors 114 home Grizzlies 113 -9.5 218.5 -1 227
02/07/26 2025 Warriors 99 away Lakers 105 +2.5 219.5 +6 204
02/05/26 2025 Warriors 101 away Suns 97 +5.5 212.5 -4 198
02/03/26 2025 Warriors 94 home Seventysixers 113 -4.5 222.5 +19 207
Home Games Avg (6 games) 110.0 - - 119.8 +1.5 221.2 +9.8 229.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 110.2 - - 114.6 +1.2 221.6 +4.4 224.8
Team Comparison Stats Click to load

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