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Updated: 03/12/26 10:33 a.m.

7:00 p.m.
Washington Wizards @ Orlando Magic

Wizards: 16-48 (25.0%)

Magic: 35-27 (56.5%)

Line: -15.0

Total: 233.5

Open: -13.5

Open: 230.0

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Injury Report Mar 12, 10:15 AM ET WAS4 Out1 Questionable ORL2 Out

WAS

Player	Status	Reason
Anthony Davis	Out	Injury/Illness-LeftFinger;Sprain
Cam Whitmore	Out	Injury/Illness-RightShoulder;Deep VeinThrombosis
D'Angelo Russell	Out	NotWithTeam
Kyshawn George	Out	Injury/Illness-LeftElbow;Sprain
Bub Carrington	Questionable	Injury/Illness-RightHipFlexor; Soreness

ORL

Player	Status	Reason
Anthony Black	Out	Injury/Illness-LeftLateral Abdominal;Strain
Franz Wagner	Out	Injury/Illness-LeftHighAnkle;Sprain injurymanagement
Jase Richardson	Available	Injury/Illness-LowBack;Strain
Jonathan Isaac	Available	Injury/Illness-LeftKnee;Strain

Notes

Wizards

Situational Factor(s)

Double digit, in-season revenge

In-season revenge

Rest advantage

Baller System(s)

Fatigue Regression Spot

Magic

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

4th game in 6 nights

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Magic

54.58% probability

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Magic are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Magic are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

The Wizards are 0% (0-6) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Wizards are 30% (3-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Wizards are 0% (0-6) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Wizards are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

View All Records

Magic (Home)

The Magic are 45.3% (29-35) against the spread

The Magic are 43.8% (14-18) against the spread at home

The Magic are 42.9% (18-24) against the spread as a fav

The Magic are 44% (11-14) against the spread as a home fav

The Magic are 53.1% (34-30) to the over/under

The Magic are 56.3% (18-14) to the over/under at home

The Magic are 52.4% (22-20) to the over/under as a fav

The Magic are 52% (13-12) to the over/under as a home fav

The Magic are 69.2% (9-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Magic are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Magic are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Magic are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Magic are 61.5% (8-5) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Magic are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Magic are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Magic are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Wizards (Away)

The Wizards are 40.6% (26-38) against the spread

The Wizards are 32.3% (10-21) against the spread away

The Wizards are 40.7% (24-35) against the spread as a dog

The Wizards are 32.3% (10-21) against the spread as an away dog

The Wizards are 54.7% (35-29) to the over/under

The Wizards are 54.8% (17-14) to the over/under away

The Wizards are 54.2% (32-27) to the over/under as a dog

The Wizards are 54.8% (17-14) to the over/under as an away dog

The Wizards are 33.3% (4-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Wizards are 0% (0-6) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Wizards are 30% (3-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Wizards are 0% (0-6) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Wizards are 66.7% (8-4) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Wizards are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Wizards are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Wizards are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/03/26	2025	Magic	126	Home	Wizards	109	-16.5	227.5	-17	235
01/06/26	2025	Magic	112	Away	Wizards	120	-7.5	235.5	+8	232
11/01/25	2025	Magic	125	Away	Wizards	94	-8.5	234.5	-31	219
04/03/25	2024	Magic	109	Away	Wizards	97	-15.5	212.0	-12	206
03/21/25	2024	Magic	120	Away	Wizards	105	-8.5	214.5	-15	225
02/23/25	2024	Magic	110	Home	Wizards	90	-13.0	215.5	-20	200
11/10/24	2024	Magic	121	Home	Wizards	94	-11.5	223.0	-27	215
03/06/24	2023	Magic	119	Away	Wizards	109	-8.0	223.5	-10	228
12/26/23	2023	Magic	127	Away	Wizards	119	-7.0	237.0	-8	246
12/01/23	2023	Magic	130	Home	Wizards	125	-10.5	237.0	-5	255
Magic as Home (4 games)			121.8	-	-	104.5	-12.9	225.8	-17.3	226.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			119.9	-	-	106.2	-10.7	226.0	-13.7	226.1

Schedules

Wizards Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/16/26	2025	Wizards	-	home	Warriors	-	-	-	-	-
03/14/26	2025	Wizards	-	away	Celtics	-	-	-	-	-
03/12/26	2025	Wizards	-	away	Magic	-	+15.0	233.5	-	-
03/10/26	2025	Wizards	129	away	Heat	150	+15.5	236.5	+21	279
03/08/26	2025	Wizards	118	away	Pelicans	138	+11.5	244.5	+20	256
03/05/26	2025	Wizards	112	home	Jazz	122	-3.5	243.5	+10	234
03/03/26	2025	Wizards	109	away	Magic	126	+16.5	227.5	+17	235
03/02/26	2025	Wizards	118	home	Rockets	123	+14.5	224.5	+5	241
02/28/26	2025	Wizards	125	home	Raptors	134	+13.5	229.5	+9	259
02/26/26	2025	Wizards	96	away	Hawks	126	+10.5	236.5	+30	222
02/24/26	2025	Wizards	98	away	Hawks	119	+12.5	236.5	+21	217
02/22/26	2025	Wizards	112	home	Hornets	129	+10.5	223.5	+17	241
02/20/26	2025	Wizards	131	home	Pacers	118	-1.0	228.5	-13	249
Away Games Avg (5 games)			110.0	-	-	131.8	+13.3	236.3	+21.8	241.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.8	-	-	128.5	+10.1	233.1	+13.7	243.3

Magic Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/16/26	2025	Magic	-	away	Hawks	-	-	-	-	-
03/14/26	2025	Magic	-	away	Heat	-	-	-	-	-
03/12/26	2025	Magic	-	home	Wizards	-	-15.0	233.5	-	-
03/11/26	2025	Magic	128	home	Cavaliers	122	+3.5	226.5	-6	250
03/08/26	2025	Magic	130	away	Bucks	91	-6.5	216.5	-39	221
03/07/26	2025	Magic	119	away	Timberwolves	92	+6.5	224.5	-27	211
03/05/26	2025	Magic	115	home	Mavericks	114	-9.5	228.5	-1	229
03/03/26	2025	Magic	126	home	Wizards	109	-16.5	227.5	-17	235
03/01/26	2025	Magic	92	home	Pistons	106	+5.5	224.5	+14	198
02/26/26	2025	Magic	108	home	Rockets	113	+2.5	214.5	+5	221
02/24/26	2025	Magic	110	away	Lakers	109	+6.5	228.5	-1	219
02/22/26	2025	Magic	111	away	Clippers	109	+4.5	215.5	-2	220
02/21/26	2025	Magic	110	away	Suns	113	+3.5	218.5	+3	223
Home Games Avg (5 games)			113.8	-	-	112.8	-2.9	224.3	-1.0	226.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.9	-	-	107.8	0.0	222.5	-7.1	222.7

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:00 p.m.
Phoenix Suns @ Indiana Pacers

Suns: 38-27 (58.5%)

Pacers: 15-50 (23.1%)

Line: +8.5

Total: 225.5

Open: +8.5

Open: 225.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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7:00 p.m.
Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons

76ers: 35-30 (53.8%)

Pistons: 45-18 (71.4%)

Line: -15.0

Total: 221.0

Open: -14.5

Open: 221.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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7:30 p.m.
Brooklyn Nets @ Atlanta Hawks

Nets: 17-48 (26.2%)

Hawks: 34-31 (52.3%)

Line: -15.0

Total: 226.5

Open: -13.5

Open: 226.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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7:30 p.m.
Milwaukee Bucks @ Miami Heat

Bucks: 27-37 (42.2%)

Heat: 37-29 (56.1%)

Line: -6.5

Total: 232.5

Open: -6.0

Open: 229.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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9:00 p.m.
Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs

Nuggets: 40-26 (60.6%)

Spurs: 48-17 (73.8%)

Line: -6.0

Total: 238.5

Open: -6.5

Open: 236.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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9:30 p.m.
Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder

Celtics: 43-22 (66.2%)

Thunder: 51-15 (77.3%)

Line: -6.5

Total: 217.5

Open: -7.0

Open: 216.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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10:30 p.m.
Chicago Bulls @ Los Angeles Lakers

Bulls: 27-38 (41.5%)

Lakers: 40-25 (61.5%)

Line: -11.0

Total: 236.0

Open: -10.5

Open: 230.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature Linear regression predicting spread, 20 features. Test RÂ²: 0.483, MAE: 11.20. Medium Confidence: 60-55 (52.2%)	Magic
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 7-7 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	Magic
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 144-129 (52.7%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 97-71-1 (57.7%) Medium Confidence: 73-67-1 (52.1%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	Magic \| No Total Edge

7:00 p.m. Washington Wizards @ Orlando Magic

Injury Report Mar 12, 10:15 AM ET WAS4 Out1 Questionable ORL2 Out

Notes

Wizards

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Magic

Situational Factor(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Magic (Home)

Wizards (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Wizards Schedule

Magic Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:00 p.m. Phoenix Suns @ Indiana Pacers

7:00 p.m. Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons

7:30 p.m. Brooklyn Nets @ Atlanta Hawks

7:30 p.m. Milwaukee Bucks @ Miami Heat

9:00 p.m. Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs

9:30 p.m. Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder

10:30 p.m. Chicago Bulls @ Los Angeles Lakers

7:00 p.m.
Washington Wizards @ Orlando Magic

7:00 p.m.
Phoenix Suns @ Indiana Pacers

7:00 p.m.
Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons

7:30 p.m.
Brooklyn Nets @ Atlanta Hawks

7:30 p.m.
Milwaukee Bucks @ Miami Heat

9:00 p.m.
Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs

9:30 p.m.
Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder

10:30 p.m.
Chicago Bulls @ Los Angeles Lakers