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NBA WNBA NFL MLB
Updated: 12/27/25 1:12 a.m.
5:00 p.m.
Dallas Mavericks @ Sacramento Kings
Mavericks: 12-20 (37.5%)
Kings: 7-23 (23.3%)
Line: +2.5
Total: 232.0
Open: +3.0
Open: 228.0
Notes
Mavericks
Situational Factor(s)
1st game of a back-to-back
4th game in 6 nights
Kings
Situational Factor(s)
Rest advantage
Well-rested (two or more days of rest)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Mavericks
55.63% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Kings are 28.6% (4-10) against the spread at home
The Kings are 27.3% (3-8) against the spread as a home dog
The Mavericks are 22.2% (2-7) against the spread as a fav
The Mavericks are 22.2% (2-7) to the over/under as a fav
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
04/16/25 2024 Kings 106 Home Mavericks 120 -5.5 213.5 +14 226
03/03/25 2024 Kings 122 Away Mavericks 98 -2.0 231.5 -24 220
02/10/25 2024 Kings 129 Away Mavericks 128 -1.5 239.5 -1 257
12/30/24 2024 Kings 110 Home Mavericks 100 -8.5 223.5 -10 210
03/29/24 2023 Kings 103 Home Mavericks 107 -1.0 230.5 +4 210
03/26/24 2023 Kings 96 Home Mavericks 132 -1.0 234.0 +36 228
01/27/24 2023 Kings 120 Away Mavericks 115 -4.5 243.5 -5 235
11/19/23 2023 Kings 129 Away Mavericks 113 +1.5 247.0 -16 242
Kings as Home (4 games) 103.8 - - 114.8 -4.0 225.4 +11.0 218.5
All Games Avg (8 games) 114.4 - - 114.1 -2.8 232.9 -0.3 228.5
Schedules
Mavericks Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
01/01/26 2025 Mavericks - home Seventysixers - - - - -
12/29/25 2025 Mavericks - away Trailblazers - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Mavericks - away Kings - -2.5 232.0 - -
12/25/25 2025 Mavericks 116 away Warriors 126 +9.5 230.5 +10 242
12/23/25 2025 Mavericks 131 home Nuggets 130 +6.0 236.5 -1 261
12/22/25 2025 Mavericks 113 away Pelicans 119 -1.5 241.5 +6 232
12/20/25 2025 Mavericks 114 away Seventysixers 121 +1.0 226.5 +7 235
12/18/25 2025 Mavericks 116 home Pistons 114 +5.5 230.5 -2 230
12/15/25 2025 Mavericks 133 away Jazz 140 -1.5 240.5 +7 273
12/12/25 2025 Mavericks 119 home Nets 111 -7.0 218.5 -8 230
12/06/25 2025 Mavericks 122 home Rockets 109 +6.5 221.5 -13 231
12/05/25 2025 Mavericks 111 away Thunder 132 +15.5 229.0 +21 243
12/03/25 2025 Mavericks 118 home Heat 108 +4.5 238.5 -10 226
Away Games Avg (5 games) 117.4 - - 127.6 +4.6 233.6 +10.2 245.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 119.3 - - 121.0 +3.9 231.4 +1.7 240.3
Kings Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/30/25 2025 Kings - away Clippers - - - - -
12/28/25 2025 Kings - away Lakers - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Kings - home Mavericks - +2.5 232.0 - -
12/23/25 2025 Kings 127 home Pistons 136 +9.5 226.0 +9 263
12/21/25 2025 Kings 125 home Rockets 124 +12.5 223.0 -1 249
12/20/25 2025 Kings 93 home Trailblazers 98 +4.0 236.5 +5 191
12/18/25 2025 Kings 133 away Trailblazers 134 +8.5 238.5 +1 267
12/14/25 2025 Kings 103 away Timberwolves 117 +9.5 235.5 +14 220
12/11/25 2025 Kings 105 home Nuggets 136 +10.5 239.5 +31 241
12/08/25 2025 Kings 105 away Pacers 116 +4.0 232.0 +11 221
12/06/25 2025 Kings 127 away Heat 111 +8.5 241.5 -16 238
12/03/25 2025 Kings 95 away Rockets 121 +15.5 231.5 +26 216
11/30/25 2025 Kings 107 home Grizzlies 115 +3.0 233.5 +8 222
Home Games Avg (5 games) 111.4 - - 121.8 +7.9 231.7 +10.4 233.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 112.0 - - 120.8 +8.6 233.8 +8.8 232.8
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
7:00 p.m.
Denver Nuggets @ Orlando Magic
Nuggets: 22-8 (73.3%)
Magic: 17-13 (56.7%)
Line: +5.0
Total: 235.0
Open: +4.5
Open: 238.5
Notes
Nuggets
Situational Factor(s)
Rest advantage
4th game in 6 nights
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
Coming off an Overtime game
Magic
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
Double digit, in-season revenge
2nd game of a back-to-back
1st game of a back-to-back
4th game in 6 nights
Baller System(s)
Fade team off OT win Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 186 - 153 - 10 (54.9%)L365 Days: 40 - 30 - 1 (57.1%)Current Season: 10 - 8 - 1 (55.6%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Magic
54.06% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Magic are 16.7% (1-5) (L14) against the spread as a dog
The Nuggets are 78.6% (11-3) (L14) to the over/under
The Nuggets are 85.7% (6-1) (L14) to the over/under away
The Nuggets are 81.8% (9-2) (L14) to the over/under as a fav
The Nuggets are 85.7% (6-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/18/25 2025 Magic 115 Away Nuggets 126 +6.5 237.5 +11 241
02/06/25 2024 Magic 90 Away Nuggets 112 +5.5 217.5 +22 202
01/19/25 2024 Magic 100 Home Nuggets 113 +8.0 221.5 +13 213
01/05/24 2023 Magic 122 Away Nuggets 120 +9.5 221.0 -2 242
11/22/23 2023 Magic 124 Home Nuggets 119 +4.0 218.0 -5 243
Magic as Home (2 games) 112.0 - - 116.0 +6.0 219.8 +4.0 228.0
All Games Avg (5 games) 110.2 - - 118.0 +6.7 223.1 +7.8 228.2
Schedules
Nuggets Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/31/25 2025 Nuggets - away Raptors - - - - -
12/29/25 2025 Nuggets - away Heat - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Nuggets - away Magic - -5.0 235.0 - -
12/25/25 2025 Nuggets 142 home Timberwolves 138 +1.0 239.0 -4 280
12/23/25 2025 Nuggets 130 away Mavericks 131 -6.0 236.5 +1 261
12/22/25 2025 Nuggets 135 home Jazz 112 -12.5 251.5 -23 247
12/20/25 2025 Nuggets 101 home Rockets 115 +1.5 235.5 +14 216
12/18/25 2025 Nuggets 126 home Magic 115 -6.5 237.5 -11 241
12/15/25 2025 Nuggets 128 home Rockets 125 +1.5 236.5 -3 253
12/11/25 2025 Nuggets 136 away Kings 105 -10.5 239.5 -31 241
12/07/25 2025 Nuggets 115 away Hornets 106 -10.5 235.5 -9 221
12/05/25 2025 Nuggets 134 away Hawks 133 -3.5 238.5 -1 267
12/03/25 2025 Nuggets 135 away Pacers 120 -8.5 238.5 -15 255
Away Games Avg (5 games) 130.0 - - 119.0 -7.8 237.7 -11.0 249.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 128.2 - - 120.0 -5.4 238.9 -8.2 248.2
Magic Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/31/25 2025 Magic - away Pacers - - - - -
12/29/25 2025 Magic - away Raptors - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Magic - home Nuggets - +5.0 235.0 - -
12/26/25 2025 Magic home Hornets -5.5 227.5 0 0
12/23/25 2025 Magic 110 away Trailblazers 106 -1.5 231.5 -4 216
12/22/25 2025 Magic 97 away Warriors 120 +6.5 228.5 +23 217
12/20/25 2025 Magic 128 away Jazz 127 -7.5 240.0 -1 255
12/18/25 2025 Magic 115 away Nuggets 126 +6.5 237.5 +11 241
12/13/25 2025 Magic 120 home Knicks 132 +4.0 225.0 +12 252
12/09/25 2025 Magic 117 home Heat 108 -1.5 235.0 -9 225
12/07/25 2025 Magic 100 away Knicks 106 +1.5 229.5 +6 206
12/05/25 2025 Magic 106 home Heat 105 -6.5 241.5 -1 211
12/03/25 2025 Magic 112 home Spurs 114 -8.5 235.5 +2 226
Home Games Avg (5 games) 91.0 - - 91.8 -3.6 232.9 +0.8 182.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 100.5 - - 104.4 -1.3 233.2 +3.9 204.9
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
7:00 p.m.
Phoenix Suns @ New Orleans Pelicans
Suns: 16-13 (55.2%)
Pelicans: 8-23 (25.8%)
Line: +5.5
Total: 238.5
Open: +5.5
Open: 239.5
Notes
Suns
Situational Factor(s)
2nd game of a back-to-back
1st game of a back-to-back
Pelicans
Situational Factor(s)
2nd game of a back-to-back
4th game in 6 nights
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Suns
54.06% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Pelicans are 72.2% (13-5) to the over/under at home
The Pelicans are 75% (12-4) to the over/under as a home dog
The Pelicans are 78.6% (11-3) (L14) against the spread
The Pelicans are 88.9% (8-1) (L14) against the spread at home
The Pelicans are 76.9% (10-3) (L14) against the spread as a dog
The Pelicans are 87.5% (7-1) (L14) against the spread as a home dog
The Pelicans are 71.4% (10-4) (L14) to the over/under
The Pelicans are 88.9% (8-1) (L14) to the over/under at home
The Pelicans are 87.5% (7-1) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog
The Suns are 81.8% (9-2) against the spread as a fav
The Suns are 71.4% (5-2) (L14) against the spread away
The Suns are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread as a fav
The Suns are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under as a fav
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/26/25 2025 Pelicans Home Suns +5.5 241.5 0 0
11/10/25 2025 Pelicans 98 Away Suns 121 +8.5 227.5 +23 219
02/28/25 2024 Pelicans 108 Away Suns 125 +9.5 227.5 +17 233
02/27/25 2024 Pelicans 124 Away Suns 116 +8.0 236.0 -8 240
12/05/24 2024 Pelicans 126 Home Suns 124 +1.5 222.5 -2 250
04/07/24 2023 Pelicans 113 Away Suns 105 +6.0 222.0 -8 218
04/01/24 2023 Pelicans 111 Home Suns 124 -1.0 223.5 +13 235
01/19/24 2023 Pelicans 109 Home Suns 123 -2.5 238.0 +14 232
Pelicans as Home (4 games) 86.5 - - 92.8 +0.9 231.4 +6.3 179.3
All Games Avg (8 games) 98.6 - - 104.8 +4.4 229.8 +6.1 203.4
Schedules
Suns Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/31/25 2025 Suns - away Cavaliers - - - - -
12/29/25 2025 Suns - away Wizards - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Suns - away Pelicans - -5.5 238.5 - -
12/26/25 2025 Suns away Pelicans -5.5 241.5 0 0
12/23/25 2025 Suns 132 home Lakers 108 -3.0 226.0 -24 240
12/20/25 2025 Suns 116 away Warriors 119 +6.0 226.5 +3 235
12/18/25 2025 Suns 99 home Warriors 98 +1.5 229.5 -1 197
12/14/25 2025 Suns 114 home Lakers 116 -1.5 232.0 +2 230
12/10/25 2025 Suns 89 away Thunder 138 +15.5 221.5 +49 227
12/08/25 2025 Suns 108 away Timberwolves 105 +8.0 226.0 -3 213
12/05/25 2025 Suns 98 away Rockets 117 +8.5 219.5 +19 215
12/01/25 2025 Suns 125 away Lakers 108 +5.5 231.5 -17 233
11/29/25 2025 Suns 112 home Nuggets 130 +4.0 233.5 +18 242
Away Games Avg (6 games) 89.3 - - 97.8 +6.3 227.8 +8.5 187.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 99.3 - - 103.9 +3.9 228.8 +4.6 203.2
Pelicans Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/31/25 2025 Pelicans - away Bulls - - - - -
12/29/25 2025 Pelicans - home Knicks - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Pelicans - home Suns - +5.5 238.5 - -
12/26/25 2025 Pelicans home Suns +5.5 241.5 0 0
12/23/25 2025 Pelicans 118 away Cavaliers 141 +9.5 248.5 +23 259
12/22/25 2025 Pelicans 119 home Mavericks 113 +1.5 241.5 -6 232
12/20/25 2025 Pelicans 128 home Pacers 109 -2.5 236.0 -19 237
12/18/25 2025 Pelicans 133 home Rockets 128 +9.5 236.5 -5 261
12/14/25 2025 Pelicans 114 away Bulls 104 +4.5 248.0 -10 218
12/11/25 2025 Pelicans 143 home Trailblazers 120 +4.5 242.5 -23 263
12/08/25 2025 Pelicans 132 home Spurs 135 +8.5 237.5 +3 267
12/06/25 2025 Pelicans 101 away Nets 119 +3.5 227.5 +18 220
12/04/25 2025 Pelicans 116 home Timberwolves 125 +11.5 233.5 +9 241
Home Games Avg (7 games) 110.1 - - 104.3 +5.5 238.4 -5.9 214.4
All Games Avg (10 games) 110.4 - - 109.4 +5.6 239.3 -1.0 219.8
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
8:00 p.m.
Milwaukee Bucks @ Chicago Bulls
Bucks: 12-18 (40.0%)
Bulls: 14-15 (48.3%)
Line: -5.5
Total: 234.5
Open: -5.5
Notes
Bucks
Situational Factor(s)
2nd game of a back-to-back
Bulls
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
Double digit, in-season revenge
2nd game of a back-to-back
Baller System(s)
Under system based on low totals Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 397 - 366 - 14 (52.0%)L365 Days: 83 - 83 - 1 (50.0%)Current Season: 11 - 11 - 0 (50.0%)
Back home favorites when both teams are unrested Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 99 - 79 - 1 (55.6%)L365 Days: 20 - 21 - 0 (48.8%)Current Season: 5 - 6 - 0 (45.5%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Bulls
55.63% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Bulls are 8.3% (1-11-2) against the spread as a fav
The Bulls are 16.7% (1-5-1) against the spread as a home fav
The Bulls are 14.3% (1-6) to the over/under as a home fav
The Bulls are 16.7% (1-5) (L14) against the spread at home
The Bulls are 0% (0-7-1) (L14) against the spread as a fav
The Bulls are 0% (0-4) (L14) against the spread as a home fav
The Bulls are 0% (0-6) (L14) to the over/under at home
The Bulls are 25% (2-6) (L14) to the over/under as a fav
The Bulls are 0% (0-4) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav
The Bucks are 28.6% (4-10) to the over/under away
The Bucks are 25% (2-6) to the over/under as an away dog
The Bucks are 75% (3-1) (L14) against the spread as an away dog
The Bucks are 21.4% (3-11) (L14) to the over/under
The Bucks are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) to the over/under away
The Bucks are 22.2% (2-7) (L14) to the over/under as a dog
The Bucks are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
11/07/25 2025 Bulls 110 Away Bucks 126 +4.5 239.5 +16 236
12/28/24 2024 Bulls 116 Home Bucks 111 +2.5 231.5 -5 227
12/23/24 2024 Bulls 91 Home Bucks 112 -3.0 225.5 +21 203
11/20/24 2024 Bulls 106 Away Bucks 122 +8.5 239.0 +16 228
10/25/24 2024 Bulls 133 Away Bucks 122 +9.5 234.0 -11 255
03/01/24 2023 Bulls 97 Home Bucks 113 +4.0 221.5 +16 210
12/11/23 2023 Bulls 129 Away Bucks 133 +11.5 232.5 +4 262
11/30/23 2023 Bulls 120 Home Bucks 113 +9.5 226.5 -7 233
11/13/23 2023 Bulls 109 Away Bucks 118 +9.5 230.0 +9 227
Bulls as Home (4 games) 106.0 - - 112.3 +3.3 226.3 +6.3 218.3
All Games Avg (9 games) 112.3 - - 118.9 +6.3 231.1 +6.6 231.2
Schedules
Bucks Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/31/25 2025 Bucks - home Wizards - - - - -
12/29/25 2025 Bucks - away Hornets - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Bucks - away Bulls - +5.5 234.5 - -
12/26/25 2025 Bucks away Grizzlies +5.5 228.5 0 0
12/23/25 2025 Bucks 111 away Pacers 94 -1.0 217.0 -17 205
12/21/25 2025 Bucks 100 away Timberwolves 103 +12.5 226.5 +3 203
12/18/25 2025 Bucks 105 home Raptors 111 +4.5 218.5 +6 216
12/14/25 2025 Bucks 82 away Nets 127 -1.5 216.0 +45 209
12/11/25 2025 Bucks 116 home Celtics 101 +9.5 222.5 -15 217
12/06/25 2025 Bucks 112 away Pistons 124 +12.5 223.5 +12 236
12/05/25 2025 Bucks 101 home Seventysixers 116 +1.0 221.5 +15 217
12/03/25 2025 Bucks 113 home Pistons 109 +4.5 228.5 -4 222
12/01/25 2025 Bucks 126 away Wizards 129 -10.5 232.5 +3 255
Away Games Avg (6 games) 88.5 - - 96.2 +2.9 224.0 +7.7 184.7
All Games Avg (10 games) 96.6 - - 101.4 +3.7 223.5 +4.8 198.0
Bulls Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/31/25 2025 Bulls - home Pelicans - - - - -
12/29/25 2025 Bulls - home Timberwolves - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Bulls - home Bucks - -5.5 234.5 - -
12/26/25 2025 Bulls home Seventysixers +1.5 241.5 0 0
12/23/25 2025 Bulls 126 away Hawks 123 +3.5 254.5 -3 249
12/21/25 2025 Bulls 152 away Hawks 150 +4.5 248.5 -2 302
12/19/25 2025 Bulls 136 away Cavaliers 125 +4.5 238.5 -11 261
12/17/25 2025 Bulls 127 home Cavaliers 111 +5.5 242.5 -16 238
12/14/25 2025 Bulls 104 home Pelicans 114 -4.5 248.0 +10 218
12/12/25 2025 Bulls 129 away Hornets 126 -3.0 229.0 -3 255
12/07/25 2025 Bulls 91 home Warriors 123 +1.5 229.5 +32 214
12/05/25 2025 Bulls 105 home Pacers 120 -4.5 234.5 +15 225
12/03/25 2025 Bulls 103 home Nets 113 -7.5 231.5 +10 216
Home Games Avg (6 games) 88.3 - - 96.8 -1.3 237.9 +8.5 185.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 107.3 - - 110.5 +0.2 239.8 +3.2 217.8
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
8:00 p.m.
New York Knicks @ Atlanta Hawks
Knicks: 22-9 (71.0%)
Hawks: 15-16 (48.4%)
Line: +6.0
Total: 242.5
Open: +5.5
Open: 246.0
Notes
Knicks
Situational Factor(s)
Rest advantage
Hawks
Situational Factor(s)
2nd game of a back-to-back
1st game of a back-to-back
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Hawks
54.06% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Hawks are 28.6% (4-10) against the spread at home
The Hawks are 25% (2-6) (L14) against the spread at home
The Knicks are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
04/05/25 2024 Hawks 105 Home Knicks 121 +1.5 235.5 +16 226
02/12/25 2024 Hawks 148 Away Knicks 149 +8.0 242.0 +1 297
01/20/25 2024 Hawks 110 Away Knicks 119 +7.5 239.0 +9 229
12/11/24 2024 Hawks 108 Away Knicks 100 +7.5 237.5 -8 208
11/06/24 2024 Hawks 121 Home Knicks 116 +7.0 227.0 -5 237
03/05/24 2023 Hawks 116 Away Knicks 100 +1.5 213.5 -16 216
11/15/23 2023 Hawks 114 Home Knicks 116 -1.0 228.5 +2 230
10/27/23 2023 Hawks 120 Home Knicks 126 +1.5 229.5 +6 246
Hawks as Home (4 games) 115.0 - - 119.8 +2.3 230.1 +4.8 234.8
All Games Avg (8 games) 117.8 - - 118.4 +4.2 231.6 +0.6 236.1
Schedules
Knicks Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/31/25 2025 Knicks - away Spurs - - - - -
12/29/25 2025 Knicks - away Pelicans - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Knicks - away Hawks - -6.0 242.5 - -
12/25/25 2025 Knicks 126 home Cavaliers 124 -4.5 241.5 -2 250
12/23/25 2025 Knicks 104 away Timberwolves 115 +7.0 230.0 +11 219
12/21/25 2025 Knicks 132 home Heat 125 -7.5 236.5 -7 257
12/19/25 2025 Knicks 107 home Seventysixers 116 -6.5 230.5 +9 223
12/18/25 2025 Knicks 114 away Pacers 113 -3.5 226.5 -1 227
12/16/25 2025 Knicks 124 neutral Spurs 113 -2.5 233.5 -11 237
12/13/25 2025 Knicks 132 away Magic 120 -4.0 225.0 -12 252
12/09/25 2025 Knicks 117 away Raptors 101 -6.0 226.5 -16 218
12/07/25 2025 Knicks 106 home Magic 100 -1.5 229.5 -6 206
12/05/25 2025 Knicks 146 home Jazz 112 -16.0 243.0 -34 258
Away Games Avg (4 games) 116.8 - - 112.3 -1.6 227.0 -4.5 229.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 120.8 - - 113.9 -4.5 232.3 -6.9 234.7
Hawks Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/31/25 2025 Hawks - home Timberwolves - - - - -
12/29/25 2025 Hawks - away Thunder - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Hawks - home Knicks - +6.0 242.5 - -
12/26/25 2025 Hawks home Heat -3.0 251.0 0 0
12/23/25 2025 Hawks 123 home Bulls 126 -3.5 254.5 +3 249
12/21/25 2025 Hawks 150 home Bulls 152 -4.5 248.5 +2 302
12/19/25 2025 Hawks 98 home Spurs 126 +3.5 238.5 +28 224
12/18/25 2025 Hawks 126 away Hornets 133 -4.5 240.5 +7 259
12/14/25 2025 Hawks 120 home Seventysixers 117 -4.0 225.5 -3 237
12/12/25 2025 Hawks 115 away Pistons 142 +7.0 233.0 +27 257
12/06/25 2025 Hawks 131 away Wizards 116 -9.5 237.5 -15 247
12/05/25 2025 Hawks 133 home Nuggets 134 +3.5 238.5 +1 267
12/03/25 2025 Hawks 92 home Clippers 115 -1.5 225.5 +23 207
Home Games Avg (7 games) 102.3 - - 110.0 -1.4 240.3 +7.7 212.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 108.8 - - 116.1 -1.7 239.3 +7.3 224.9
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
8:00 p.m.
Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat
Pacers: 6-24 (20.0%)
Heat: 15-15 (50.0%)
Line: -8.5
Total: 230.0
Open: 231.5
Notes
Pacers
Situational Factor(s)
2nd game of a back-to-back
4th game in 6 nights
Heat
Situational Factor(s)
2nd game of a back-to-back
Baller System(s)
Back home favorites when both teams are unrested Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 99 - 79 - 1 (55.6%)L365 Days: 20 - 21 - 0 (48.8%)Current Season: 5 - 6 - 0 (45.5%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Heat
54.06% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Heat are 14.3% (1-6) (L14) against the spread at home
The Heat are 30% (3-7) (L14) against the spread as a fav
The Heat are 14.3% (1-6) (L14) against the spread as a home fav
The Heat are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) to the over/under at home
The Heat are 30% (3-7) (L14) to the over/under as a fav
The Heat are 28.6% (2-5) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav
The Pacers are 21.4% (3-11) to the over/under away
The Pacers are 15.4% (2-11) to the over/under as an away dog
The Pacers are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under away
The Pacers are 20% (1-4) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
02/28/25 2024 Heat 125 Home Pacers 120 +3.0 222.5 -5 245
01/02/25 2024 Heat 115 Home Pacers 128 -2.0 225.0 +13 243
11/17/24 2024 Heat 110 Away Pacers 119 +3.5 228.0 +9 229
11/15/24 2024 Heat 124 Away Pacers 111 +4.0 227.5 -13 235
04/07/24 2023 Heat 115 Away Pacers 117 +1.5 227.5 +2 232
12/02/23 2023 Heat 129 Home Pacers 144 -4.5 236.5 +15 273
11/30/23 2023 Heat 142 Home Pacers 132 -3.5 238.5 -10 274
Heat as Home (4 games) 127.8 - - 131.0 -1.8 230.6 +3.3 258.8
All Games Avg (7 games) 122.9 - - 124.4 +0.3 229.4 +1.6 247.3
Schedules
Pacers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/31/25 2025 Pacers - home Magic - - - - -
12/29/25 2025 Pacers - away Rockets - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Pacers - away Heat - +8.5 230.0 - -
12/26/25 2025 Pacers home Celtics +8.5 222.0 0 0
12/23/25 2025 Pacers 94 home Bucks 111 +1.0 217.0 +17 205
12/22/25 2025 Pacers 95 away Celtics 103 +11.5 225.5 +8 198
12/20/25 2025 Pacers 109 away Pelicans 128 +2.5 236.0 +19 237
12/18/25 2025 Pacers 113 home Knicks 114 +3.5 226.5 +1 227
12/14/25 2025 Pacers 89 home Wizards 108 -10.0 233.5 +19 197
12/12/25 2025 Pacers 105 away Seventysixers 115 +5.5 221.5 +10 220
12/08/25 2025 Pacers 116 home Kings 105 -4.0 232.0 -11 221
12/05/25 2025 Pacers 120 away Bulls 105 +4.5 234.5 -15 225
12/03/25 2025 Pacers 120 home Nuggets 135 +8.5 238.5 +15 255
Away Games Avg (4 games) 107.3 - - 112.8 +6.0 229.4 +5.5 220.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 96.1 - - 102.4 +3.2 228.7 +6.3 198.5
Heat Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
01/01/26 2025 Heat - away Pistons - - - - -
12/29/25 2025 Heat - home Nuggets - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Heat - home Pacers - -8.5 230.0 - -
12/26/25 2025 Heat away Hawks +3.0 251.0 0 0
12/23/25 2025 Heat 91 home Raptors 112 -5.5 228.5 +21 203
12/21/25 2025 Heat 125 away Knicks 132 +7.5 236.5 +7 257
12/19/25 2025 Heat 116 away Celtics 129 +7.5 233.0 +13 245
12/18/25 2025 Heat 106 away Nets 95 -8.5 228.5 -11 201
12/15/25 2025 Heat 96 home Raptors 106 -4.5 233.5 +10 202
12/09/25 2025 Heat 108 away Magic 117 +1.5 235.0 +9 225
12/06/25 2025 Heat 111 home Kings 127 -8.5 241.5 +16 238
12/05/25 2025 Heat 105 away Magic 106 +6.5 241.5 +1 211
12/03/25 2025 Heat 108 away Mavericks 118 -4.5 238.5 +10 226
Home Games Avg (3 games) 99.3 - - 115.0 -6.2 234.5 +15.7 214.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 96.6 - - 104.2 -0.6 236.8 +7.6 200.8
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
8:00 p.m.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Houston Rockets
Cavaliers: 17-15 (53.1%)
Rockets: 18-10 (64.3%)
Line: -5.0
Total: 235.0
Notes
Cavaliers
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
Double digit, in-season revenge
4th game in 6 nights
Rockets

Nothing active

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Cavaliers are 28.6% (4-10) (L14) against the spread
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
11/19/25 2025 Rockets 114 Away Cavaliers 104 -1.5 233.5 -10 218
01/25/25 2024 Rockets 135 Away Cavaliers 131 +4.5 230.5 -4 266
01/22/25 2024 Rockets 109 Home Cavaliers 108 +1.0 228.5 -1 217
03/16/24 2023 Rockets 117 Home Cavaliers 103 +4.0 214.5 -14 220
12/18/23 2023 Rockets 130 Away Cavaliers 135 +4.0 215.0 +5 265
Rockets as Home (2 games) 113.0 - - 105.5 +2.5 221.5 -7.5 218.5
All Games Avg (5 games) 121.0 - - 116.2 +2.4 224.4 -4.8 237.2
Schedules
Cavaliers Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/31/25 2025 Cavaliers - home Suns - - - - -
12/29/25 2025 Cavaliers - away Spurs - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Cavaliers - away Rockets - +5.0 235.0 - -
12/25/25 2025 Cavaliers 124 away Knicks 126 +4.5 241.5 +2 250
12/23/25 2025 Cavaliers 141 home Pelicans 118 -9.5 248.5 -23 259
12/22/25 2025 Cavaliers 139 home Hornets 132 -9.5 239.5 -7 271
12/19/25 2025 Cavaliers 125 home Bulls 136 -4.5 238.5 +11 261
12/17/25 2025 Cavaliers 111 away Bulls 127 -5.5 242.5 +16 238
12/14/25 2025 Cavaliers 111 home Hornets 119 -12.0 232.5 +8 230
12/12/25 2025 Cavaliers 130 away Wizards 126 -16.5 246.0 -4 256
12/06/25 2025 Cavaliers 94 home Warriors 99 -8.5 230.0 +5 193
12/05/25 2025 Cavaliers 130 home Spurs 117 -5.0 239.5 -13 247
12/03/25 2025 Cavaliers 110 home Trailblazers 122 -10.0 243.5 +12 232
Away Games Avg (3 games) 121.7 - - 126.3 -5.8 243.3 +4.7 248.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 121.5 - - 122.2 -7.7 240.2 +0.7 243.7
Rockets Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
01/01/26 2025 Rockets - away Nets - - - - -
12/29/25 2025 Rockets - home Pacers - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Rockets - home Cavaliers - -5.0 235.0 - -
12/25/25 2025 Rockets 119 away Lakers 96 -2.0 232.5 -23 215
12/23/25 2025 Rockets 108 away Clippers 128 -7.0 219.5 +20 236
12/21/25 2025 Rockets 124 away Kings 125 -12.5 223.0 +1 249
12/20/25 2025 Rockets 115 away Nuggets 101 -1.5 235.5 -14 216
12/18/25 2025 Rockets 128 away Pelicans 133 -9.5 236.5 +5 261
12/15/25 2025 Rockets 125 away Nuggets 128 -1.5 236.5 +3 253
12/11/25 2025 Rockets 115 home Clippers 113 -8.5 221.5 -2 228
12/06/25 2025 Rockets 109 away Mavericks 122 -6.5 221.5 +13 231
12/05/25 2025 Rockets 117 home Suns 98 -8.5 219.5 -19 215
12/03/25 2025 Rockets 121 home Kings 95 -15.5 231.5 -26 216
Home Games Avg (3 games) 117.7 - - 102.0 -10.8 224.2 -15.7 219.7
All Games Avg (10 games) 118.1 - - 113.9 -7.3 227.8 -4.2 232.0
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
8:00 p.m.
Utah Jazz @ San Antonio Spurs
Jazz: 10-19 (34.5%)
Spurs: 23-8 (74.2%)
Line: -16.5
Total: 246.5
Open: -16.0
Open: 246.5
Notes
Jazz
Situational Factor(s)
2nd game of a back-to-back
4th game in 6 nights
Baller System(s)
Fade team who has played most of their games on the road in recent games Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 196 - 138 - 4 (58.7%)L365 Days: 49 - 33 - 1 (59.8%)Current Season: 9 - 8 - 0 (52.9%)
Spurs
Situational Factor(s)
Rest advantage
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Spurs are 72.7% (8-3-2) against the spread at home
The Jazz are 30% (3-7) against the spread as an away dog
The Jazz are 25% (1-3) (L14) against the spread as an away dog
The Jazz are 71.4% (10-4) (L14) to the over/under
The Jazz are 80% (4-1) (L14) to the over/under away
The Jazz are 75% (3-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
11/26/24 2024 Spurs 128 Away Jazz 115 -2.0 225.0 -13 243
11/21/24 2024 Spurs 126 Home Jazz 118 -3.0 224.0 -8 244
11/09/24 2024 Spurs 110 Home Jazz 111 -7.0 222.0 +1 221
10/31/24 2024 Spurs 106 Away Jazz 88 -2.0 219.5 -18 194
03/27/24 2023 Spurs 118 Away Jazz 111 +3.0 230.0 -7 229
02/25/24 2023 Spurs 109 Away Jazz 128 +6.5 240.0 +19 237
12/26/23 2023 Spurs 118 Home Jazz 130 +2.5 242.5 +12 248
Spurs as Home (3 games) 118.0 - - 119.7 -2.5 229.5 +1.7 237.7
All Games Avg (7 games) 116.4 - - 114.4 -0.3 229.0 -2.0 230.9
Schedules
Jazz Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
01/01/26 2025 Jazz - away Clippers - - - - -
12/30/25 2025 Jazz - home Celtics - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Jazz - away Spurs - +16.5 246.5 - -
12/26/25 2025 Jazz home Pistons +9.0 245.0 0 0
12/23/25 2025 Jazz 128 home Grizzlies 137 +4.0 242.0 +9 265
12/22/25 2025 Jazz 112 away Nuggets 135 +12.5 251.5 +23 247
12/20/25 2025 Jazz 127 home Magic 128 +7.5 240.0 +1 255
12/18/25 2025 Jazz 135 home Lakers 143 +9.5 242.5 +8 278
12/15/25 2025 Jazz 140 home Mavericks 133 +1.5 240.5 -7 273
12/12/25 2025 Jazz 130 away Grizzlies 126 +7.5 243.5 -4 256
12/07/25 2025 Jazz 101 home Thunder 131 +11.5 233.5 +30 232
12/05/25 2025 Jazz 112 away Knicks 146 +16.0 243.0 +34 258
12/04/25 2025 Jazz 123 away Nets 110 -5.0 231.0 -13 233
Away Games Avg (4 games) 119.3 - - 129.3 +7.8 242.3 +10.0 248.5
All Games Avg (10 games) 110.8 - - 118.9 +7.4 241.3 +8.1 229.7
Spurs Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/31/25 2025 Spurs - home Knicks - - - - -
12/29/25 2025 Spurs - home Cavaliers - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Spurs - home Jazz - -16.5 246.5 - -
12/25/25 2025 Spurs 117 away Thunder 102 +10.5 234.5 -15 219
12/23/25 2025 Spurs 130 home Thunder 110 +6.5 236.0 -20 240
12/21/25 2025 Spurs 124 away Wizards 113 -15.5 237.5 -11 237
12/19/25 2025 Spurs 126 away Hawks 98 -3.5 238.5 -28 224
12/18/25 2025 Spurs 119 home Wizards 94 -15.5 240.5 -25 213
12/16/25 2025 Spurs 113 neutral Knicks 124 +2.5 233.5 +11 237
12/13/25 2025 Spurs 111 away Thunder 109 +10.5 233.5 -2 220
12/10/25 2025 Spurs 132 away Lakers 119 +7.5 243.5 -13 251
12/08/25 2025 Spurs 135 away Pelicans 132 -8.5 237.5 -3 267
12/05/25 2025 Spurs 117 away Cavaliers 130 +5.0 239.5 +13 247
Home Games Avg (2 games) 124.5 - - 102.0 -4.5 238.3 -22.5 226.5
All Games Avg (10 games) 122.4 - - 113.1 -0.1 237.5 -9.3 235.5
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
8:00 p.m.
Brooklyn Nets @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Nets: 9-19 (32.1%)
Timberwolves: 20-11 (64.5%)
Line: -10.0
Total: 224.5
Open: 221.0
Notes
Nets
Situational Factor(s)
Rest advantage
Well-rested (two or more days of rest)
In-season revenge
Double digit, in-season revenge
Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)
Baller System(s)
Back rested road dog coming off a win vs. a team coming off an OT game Historical ATS/OU RecordL5 Years: 68 - 36 - 7 (65.4%)L365 Days: 8 - 3 - 2 (72.7%)Current Season: 2 - 0 - 1 (100.0%)
Timberwolves
Situational Factor(s)
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
Coming off an Overtime game
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
No Play
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
The Timberwolves are 23.5% (4-13) to the over/under at home
The Timberwolves are 21.4% (3-11) to the over/under as a home fav
The Timberwolves are 27.3% (3-8) (L14) against the spread as a fav
The Timberwolves are 22.2% (2-7) (L14) to the over/under at home
The Timberwolves are 25% (2-6) (L14) to the over/under as a home fav
The Nets are 15.4% (2-11-1) (L14) to the over/under
The Nets are 20% (1-4-1) (L14) to the over/under away
The Nets are 16.7% (2-10-1) (L14) to the over/under as a dog
The Nets are 20% (1-4-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away dog
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
11/03/25 2025 Timberwolves 125 Away Nets 109 -10.0 226.5 -16 234
04/11/25 2024 Timberwolves 117 Home Nets 91 -21.5 219.5 -26 208
04/03/25 2024 Timberwolves 105 Away Nets 90 -14.0 218.0 -15 195
02/24/24 2023 Timberwolves 101 Home Nets 86 -8.5 219.0 -15 187
01/25/24 2023 Timberwolves 96 Away Nets 94 -3.5 216.5 -2 190
Timberwolves as Home (2 games) 109.0 - - 88.5 -15.0 219.3 -20.5 197.5
All Games Avg (5 games) 108.8 - - 94.0 -11.5 219.9 -14.8 202.8
Schedules
Nets Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
01/01/26 2025 Nets - home Rockets - - - - -
12/29/25 2025 Nets - home Warriors - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Nets - away Timberwolves - +10.0 224.5 - -
12/23/25 2025 Nets 114 away Seventysixers 106 +9.5 220.0 -8 220
12/21/25 2025 Nets 96 home Raptors 81 +3.5 216.5 -15 177
12/18/25 2025 Nets 95 home Heat 106 +8.5 228.5 +11 201
12/14/25 2025 Nets 127 home Bucks 82 +1.5 216.0 -45 209
12/12/25 2025 Nets 111 away Mavericks 119 +7.0 218.5 +8 230
12/06/25 2025 Nets 119 home Pelicans 101 -3.5 227.5 -18 220
12/04/25 2025 Nets 110 home Jazz 123 +5.0 231.0 +13 233
12/03/25 2025 Nets 113 away Bulls 103 +7.5 231.5 -10 216
12/01/25 2025 Nets 116 home Hornets 103 +4.5 227.5 -13 219
11/29/25 2025 Nets 99 away Bucks 116 +11.5 218.5 +17 215
Away Games Avg (4 games) 109.3 - - 111.0 +8.9 222.1 +1.8 220.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 110.0 - - 104.0 +5.5 223.6 -6.0 214.0
Timberwolves Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/31/25 2025 Timberwolves - away Hawks - - - - -
12/29/25 2025 Timberwolves - away Bulls - - - - -
12/27/25 2025 Timberwolves - home Nets - -10.0 224.5 - -
12/25/25 2025 Timberwolves 138 away Nuggets 142 -1.0 239.0 +4 280
12/23/25 2025 Timberwolves 115 home Knicks 104 -7.0 230.0 -11 219
12/21/25 2025 Timberwolves 103 home Bucks 100 -12.5 226.5 -3 203
12/19/25 2025 Timberwolves 112 home Thunder 107 +5.5 232.5 -5 219
12/17/25 2025 Timberwolves 110 home Grizzlies 116 -6.5 227.0 +6 226
12/14/25 2025 Timberwolves 117 home Kings 103 -9.5 235.5 -14 220
12/12/25 2025 Timberwolves 127 away Warriors 120 +4.5 228.5 -7 247
12/08/25 2025 Timberwolves 105 home Suns 108 -8.0 226.0 +3 213
12/06/25 2025 Timberwolves 109 home Clippers 106 -8.5 227.5 -3 215
12/04/25 2025 Timberwolves 125 away Pelicans 116 -11.5 233.5 -9 241
Home Games Avg (7 games) 110.1 - - 106.3 -6.6 229.3 -3.9 216.4
All Games Avg (10 games) 116.1 - - 112.2 -5.5 230.6 -3.9 228.3
Team Comparison Stats Click to load

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