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Updated: 03/09/26 2:07 p.m.

7:00 p.m.
Philadelphia Seventysixers @ Cleveland Cavaliers

Seventysixers: 34-29 (54.0%)

Cavaliers: 39-25 (60.9%)

Line: -14.0

Total: 227.0

Open: -11.0

Open: 226.0

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Seventysixers

Situational Factor(s)

1st game of a back-to-back

In-season revenge

Rest advantage

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Baller System(s)

Bounce Back Favorite

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

Under

58.75% probability

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Cavaliers are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Cavaliers are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Cavaliers are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Cavaliers are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

The Seventysixers are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Seventysixers are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over/under away

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Cavaliers (Home)

The Cavaliers are 42.9% (27-36-1) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 39.4% (13-20) against the spread at home

The Cavaliers are 38% (19-31-1) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 40% (12-18) against the spread as a home fav

The Cavaliers are 46.9% (30-34) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 36.4% (12-21) to the over/under at home

The Cavaliers are 49% (25-26) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 36.7% (11-19) to the over/under as a home fav

The Cavaliers are 54.5% (6-5-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Cavaliers are 37.5% (3-5-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Cavaliers are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Cavaliers are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Seventysixers (Away)

The Seventysixers are 53.2% (33-29-1) against the spread

The Seventysixers are 65.5% (19-10-1) against the spread away

The Seventysixers are 44.8% (13-16-1) against the spread as a dog

The Seventysixers are 53.3% (8-7-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Seventysixers are 53.2% (33-29-1) to the over/under

The Seventysixers are 53.3% (16-14) to the over/under away

The Seventysixers are 53.3% (16-14) to the over/under as a dog

The Seventysixers are 50% (8-8) to the over/under as an away dog

The Seventysixers are 33.3% (4-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Seventysixers are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Seventysixers are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Seventysixers are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Seventysixers are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Seventysixers are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Seventysixers are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Seventysixers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/16/26	2025	Cavaliers	117	Away	Seventysixers	115	+2.5	233.5	-2	232
01/14/26	2025	Cavaliers	133	Away	Seventysixers	107	-1.5	236.5	-26	240
11/05/25	2025	Cavaliers	132	Home	Seventysixers	121	-12.0	235.0	-11	253
01/24/25	2024	Cavaliers	129	Away	Seventysixers	132	-9.5	229.5	+3	261
12/21/24	2024	Cavaliers	126	Home	Seventysixers	99	-9.0	222.0	-27	225
11/13/24	2024	Cavaliers	114	Away	Seventysixers	106	-11.5	218.5	-8	220
03/29/24	2023	Cavaliers	117	Home	Seventysixers	114	-8.0	212.0	-3	231
02/23/24	2023	Cavaliers	97	Away	Seventysixers	104	-3.5	228.0	+7	201
02/12/24	2023	Cavaliers	121	Home	Seventysixers	123	-10.0	230.0	+2	244
11/21/23	2023	Cavaliers	122	Away	Seventysixers	119	+7.5	219.0	-3	241
Cavaliers as Home (4 games)			124.0	-	-	114.3	-9.8	224.8	-9.8	238.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			120.8	-	-	114.0	-5.5	226.4	-6.8	234.8

Schedules

Seventysixers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/12/26	2025	Seventysixers	-	away	Pistons	-	-	-	-	-
03/10/26	2025	Seventysixers	-	home	Grizzlies	-	-	-	-	-
03/09/26	2025	Seventysixers	-	away	Cavaliers	-	+14.0	227.0	-	-
03/07/26	2025	Seventysixers	116	away	Hawks	125	+6.5	234.5	+9	241
03/04/26	2025	Seventysixers	106	home	Jazz	102	-7.5	238.5	-4	208
03/03/26	2025	Seventysixers	91	home	Spurs	131	+7.5	231.5	+40	222
03/01/26	2025	Seventysixers	98	away	Celtics	114	+8.5	219.5	+16	212
02/26/26	2025	Seventysixers	124	home	Heat	117	-2.5	240.5	-7	241
02/24/26	2025	Seventysixers	135	away	Pacers	114	-10.5	234.5	-21	249
02/22/26	2025	Seventysixers	135	away	Timberwolves	108	+9.5	239.5	-27	243
02/21/26	2025	Seventysixers	111	away	Pelicans	126	-4.5	235.5	+15	237
02/19/26	2025	Seventysixers	107	home	Hawks	117	-1.5	241.5	+10	224
02/11/26	2025	Seventysixers	89	home	Knicks	138	+2.5	224.5	+49	227
Away Games Avg (5 games)			119.0	-	-	117.4	+1.9	232.7	-1.6	236.4
All Games Avg (10 games)			111.2	-	-	119.2	+0.8	234.0	+8.0	230.4

Cavaliers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/13/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	away	Mavericks	-	-	-	-	-
03/11/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	away	Magic	-	-	-	-	-
03/09/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	home	Seventysixers	-	-14.0	227.0	-	-
03/08/26	2025	Cavaliers	98	home	Celtics	109	-1.5	224.5	+11	207
03/03/26	2025	Cavaliers	113	home	Pistons	109	+2.5	227.5	-4	222
03/01/26	2025	Cavaliers	106	away	Nets	102	-12.5	224.5	-4	208
02/27/26	2025	Cavaliers	119	away	Pistons	122	+8.5	227.5	+3	241
02/25/26	2025	Cavaliers	116	away	Bucks	118	-2.5	220.5	+2	234
02/24/26	2025	Cavaliers	109	home	Knicks	94	-4.5	231.5	-15	203
02/22/26	2025	Cavaliers	113	away	Thunder	121	-4.5	228.5	+8	234
02/20/26	2025	Cavaliers	118	away	Hornets	113	-5.0	228.5	-5	231
02/19/26	2025	Cavaliers	112	home	Nets	84	-15.5	229.5	-28	196
02/11/26	2025	Cavaliers	138	home	Wizards	113	-17.5	238.5	-25	251
Home Games Avg (5 games)			114.0	-	-	101.8	-7.3	230.3	-12.2	215.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.2	-	-	108.5	-5.3	228.1	-5.7	222.7

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:30 p.m.
Memphis Grizzlies @ Brooklyn Nets

Grizzlies: 22-38 (36.7%)

Nets: 16-47 (25.4%)

Line: +2.0

Total: 220.0

Open: +1.5

Open: 222.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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7:30 p.m.
Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder

Nuggets: 39-25 (60.9%)

Thunder: 50-15 (76.9%)

Line: -6.0

Total: 233.0

Open: -7.5

Open: 231.0

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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9:00 p.m.
Golden State Warriors @ Utah Jazz

Warriors: 32-31 (50.8%)

Jazz: 19-45 (29.7%)

Line: +7.0

Total: 224.0

Open: +7.5

Open: 227.0

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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10:00 p.m.
New York Knicks @ Los Angeles Clippers

Knicks: 41-24 (63.1%)

Clippers: 31-32 (49.2%)

Line: +2.0

Total: 220.5

Open: +1.5

Open: 220.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature Linear regression predicting spread, 20 features. Test RÂ²: 0.483, MAE: 11.20. Medium Confidence: 59-53 (52.7%)	Neutral
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 7-7 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 142-127 (52.8%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 96-68-1 (58.5%) Medium Confidence: 71-64-1 (52.6%)	Under (2x)
Total Summary	Under
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| Under

7:00 p.m. Philadelphia Seventysixers @ Cleveland Cavaliers

Notes

Seventysixers

Situational Factor(s)

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Cavaliers (Home)

Seventysixers (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Seventysixers Schedule

Cavaliers Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:30 p.m. Memphis Grizzlies @ Brooklyn Nets

7:30 p.m. Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder

9:00 p.m. Golden State Warriors @ Utah Jazz

10:00 p.m. New York Knicks @ Los Angeles Clippers

7:00 p.m.
Philadelphia Seventysixers @ Cleveland Cavaliers

7:30 p.m.
Memphis Grizzlies @ Brooklyn Nets

7:30 p.m.
Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder

9:00 p.m.
Golden State Warriors @ Utah Jazz

10:00 p.m.
New York Knicks @ Los Angeles Clippers