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Updated: 03/01/26 2:07 p.m.

1:00 p.m.
San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks

Spurs: 43-17 (71.7%)

Knicks: 39-22 (63.9%)

Line: +1.0

Total: 227.5

Open: +2.0

Open: 227.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Spurs

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Travel fatigue (at least 4th straight game on the road)

Knicks

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

1st game home off long road trip (at least 3 games)

Baller System(s)

Under on matchup between two elite teams

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Spurs are 75% (9-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Spurs are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Spurs are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

View All Records

Knicks (Home)

The Knicks are 52.5% (32-29) against the spread

The Knicks are 63.3% (19-11) against the spread at home

The Knicks are 40% (4-6) against the spread as a dog

The Knicks are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a home dog

The Knicks are 50% (30-30-1) to the over/under

The Knicks are 51.7% (15-14-1) to the over/under at home

The Knicks are 40% (4-6) to the over/under as a dog

The Knicks are 100% (1-0) to the over/under as a home dog

The Knicks are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Knicks are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Knicks are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Knicks are 50% (6-6-1) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Knicks are 60% (3-2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Knicks are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

Spurs (Away)

The Spurs are 56.9% (33-25-2) against the spread

The Spurs are 59.4% (19-13) against the spread away

The Spurs are 52.5% (21-19-2) against the spread as a fav

The Spurs are 52.9% (9-8) against the spread as an away fav

The Spurs are 41.7% (25-35) to the over/under

The Spurs are 40.6% (13-19) to the over/under away

The Spurs are 42.9% (18-24) to the over/under as a fav

The Spurs are 52.9% (9-8) to the over/under as an away fav

The Spurs are 75% (9-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Spurs are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Spurs are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Spurs are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Spurs are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Spurs are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Spurs are 63.6% (7-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Spurs are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/31/25	2025	Knicks	132	Away	Spurs	134	+3.5	235.5	+2	266
03/19/25	2024	Knicks	105	Away	Spurs	120	-8.5	229.5	+15	225
12/25/24	2024	Knicks	117	Home	Spurs	114	-8.0	222.5	-3	231
03/29/24	2023	Knicks	126	Away	Spurs	130	-9.0	212.0	+4	256
11/08/23	2023	Knicks	126	Home	Spurs	105	-9.0	223.5	-21	231
01/04/23	2022	Knicks	117	Home	Spurs	114	-10.0	225.0	-3	231
12/29/22	2022	Knicks	115	Away	Spurs	122	-4.5	223.0	+7	237
Knicks as Home (3 games)			120.0	-	-	111.0	-9.0	223.7	-9.0	231.0
All Games Avg (7 games)			119.7	-	-	119.9	-6.5	224.4	+0.1	239.6

Schedules

Spurs Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/05/26	2025	Spurs	-	home	Pistons	-	-	-	-	-
03/03/26	2025	Spurs	-	away	Seventysixers	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Spurs	-	away	Knicks	-	-1.0	227.5	-	-
02/26/26	2025	Spurs	126	away	Nets	110	-10.5	223.5	-16	236
02/25/26	2025	Spurs	110	away	Raptors	107	-5.5	230.5	-3	217
02/23/26	2025	Spurs	114	away	Pistons	103	+1.5	232.5	-11	217
02/21/26	2025	Spurs	139	home	Kings	122	-18.5	230.5	-17	261
02/19/26	2025	Spurs	121	home	Suns	94	-7.5	229.5	-27	215
02/11/26	2025	Spurs	126	away	Warriors	113	-7.5	220.5	-13	239
02/10/26	2025	Spurs	136	away	Lakers	108	-13.5	226.5	-28	244
02/07/26	2025	Spurs	138	home	Mavericks	125	-11.5	233.5	-13	263
02/05/26	2025	Spurs	135	away	Mavericks	123	-7.5	230.5	-12	258
02/04/26	2025	Spurs	116	home	Thunder	106	-9.5	221.5	-10	222
Away Games Avg (6 games)			124.5	-	-	110.7	-7.2	227.3	-13.8	235.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			126.1	-	-	111.1	-9.0	227.9	-15.0	237.2

Knicks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/04/26	2025	Knicks	-	home	Thunder	-	-	-	-	-
03/03/26	2025	Knicks	-	away	Raptors	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Knicks	-	home	Spurs	-	+1.0	227.5	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Knicks	127	away	Bucks	98	-8.5	219.5	-29	225
02/24/26	2025	Knicks	94	away	Cavaliers	109	+4.5	231.5	+15	203
02/22/26	2025	Knicks	105	away	Bulls	99	-9.5	233.5	-6	204
02/21/26	2025	Knicks	108	home	Rockets	106	-3.5	220.5	-2	214
02/19/26	2025	Knicks	111	home	Pistons	126	-3.5	218.5	+15	237
02/11/26	2025	Knicks	138	away	Seventysixers	89	-2.5	224.5	-49	227
02/10/26	2025	Knicks	134	home	Pacers	137	-11.5	227.5	+3	271
02/08/26	2025	Knicks	111	away	Celtics	89	+3.5	215.5	-22	200
02/06/26	2025	Knicks	80	away	Pistons	118	+5.5	219.5	+38	198
02/04/26	2025	Knicks	134	home	Nuggets	127	-4.5	228.5	-7	261
Home Games Avg (4 games)			121.8	-	-	124.0	-5.8	223.8	+2.3	245.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.2	-	-	109.8	-3.0	223.9	-4.4	224.0

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

3:30 p.m.
Milwaukee Bucks @ Chicago Bulls

Bucks: 26-32 (44.8%)

Bulls: 24-36 (40.0%)

Line: +3.0

Total: 231.5

Open: +4.0

Open: 227.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Bucks

Situational Factor(s)

1st game of a back-to-back

4th game in 6 nights

Bulls

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Bulls are 21.4% (3-11) (L30 days) against the spread

The Bulls are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Bulls are 25% (3-9) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Bulls are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Bulls are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Bulls are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

The Bucks are 30% (3-7) against the spread as an away fav

The Bucks are 30% (3-7) to the over/under as an away fav

View All Records

Bulls (Home)

The Bulls are 43.3% (26-34-2) against the spread

The Bulls are 46.9% (15-17-1) against the spread at home

The Bulls are 55.3% (21-17) against the spread as a dog

The Bulls are 52.6% (10-9) against the spread as a home dog

The Bulls are 45.2% (28-34) to the over/under

The Bulls are 36.4% (12-21) to the over/under at home

The Bulls are 44.7% (17-21) to the over/under as a dog

The Bulls are 36.8% (7-12) to the over/under as a home dog

The Bulls are 21.4% (3-11) (L30 days) against the spread

The Bulls are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Bulls are 25% (3-9) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Bulls are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Bulls are 50% (7-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Bulls are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Bulls are 41.7% (5-7) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Bulls are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Bucks (Away)

The Bucks are 45.8% (27-32) against the spread

The Bucks are 46.7% (14-16) against the spread away

The Bucks are 31.8% (7-15) against the spread as a fav

The Bucks are 30% (3-7) against the spread as an away fav

The Bucks are 42.4% (25-34) to the over/under

The Bucks are 33.3% (10-20) to the over/under away

The Bucks are 36.4% (8-14) to the over/under as a fav

The Bucks are 30% (3-7) to the over/under as an away fav

The Bucks are 61.5% (8-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Bucks are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Bucks are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Bucks are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Bucks are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Bucks are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Bucks are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Bucks are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/03/26	2025	Bulls	115	Away	Bucks	131	-1.5	222.5	+16	246
12/27/25	2025	Bulls	103	Home	Bucks	112	-2.5	233.5	+9	215
11/07/25	2025	Bulls	110	Away	Bucks	126	+4.5	239.5	+16	236
12/28/24	2024	Bulls	116	Home	Bucks	111	+2.5	231.5	-5	227
12/23/24	2024	Bulls	91	Home	Bucks	112	-3.0	225.5	+21	203
11/20/24	2024	Bulls	106	Away	Bucks	122	+8.5	239.0	+16	228
10/25/24	2024	Bulls	133	Away	Bucks	122	+9.5	234.0	-11	255
03/01/24	2023	Bulls	97	Home	Bucks	113	+4.0	221.5	+16	210
12/11/23	2023	Bulls	129	Away	Bucks	133	+11.5	232.5	+4	262
11/30/23	2023	Bulls	120	Home	Bucks	113	+9.5	226.5	-7	233
Bulls as Home (5 games)			105.4	-	-	112.2	+2.1	227.7	+6.8	217.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			112.0	-	-	119.5	+4.3	230.6	+7.5	231.5

Schedules

Bucks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/04/26	2025	Bucks	-	home	Hawks	-	-	-	-	-
03/02/26	2025	Bucks	-	home	Celtics	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Bucks	-	away	Bulls	-	-3.0	231.5	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Bucks	98	home	Knicks	127	+8.5	219.5	+29	225
02/25/26	2025	Bucks	118	home	Cavaliers	116	+2.5	220.5	-2	234
02/24/26	2025	Bucks	128	home	Heat	117	+6.5	229.5	-11	245
02/22/26	2025	Bucks	94	home	Raptors	122	+4.5	219.5	+28	216
02/20/26	2025	Bucks	139	away	Pelicans	118	+4.0	223.5	-21	257
02/12/26	2025	Bucks	110	away	Thunder	93	+13.5	214.5	-17	203
02/11/26	2025	Bucks	116	away	Magic	108	+11.5	219.5	-8	224
02/09/26	2025	Bucks	99	away	Magic	118	+9.5	220.5	+19	217
02/06/26	2025	Bucks	105	home	Pacers	99	+1.5	223.5	-6	204
02/04/26	2025	Bucks	141	home	Pelicans	137	+4.5	223.5	-4	278
Away Games Avg (4 games)			116.0	-	-	109.3	+9.6	219.5	-6.8	225.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.8	-	-	115.5	+6.7	221.4	+0.7	230.3

Bulls Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/05/26	2025	Bulls	-	away	Suns	-	-	-	-	-
03/03/26	2025	Bulls	-	home	Thunder	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Bulls	-	home	Bucks	-	+3.0	231.5	-	-
02/26/26	2025	Bulls	112	home	Trailblazers	121	+3.5	235.5	+9	233
02/24/26	2025	Bulls	99	home	Hornets	131	+8.5	232.5	+32	230
02/22/26	2025	Bulls	99	home	Knicks	105	+9.5	233.5	+6	204
02/21/26	2025	Bulls	110	home	Pistons	126	+10.5	234.5	+16	236
02/19/26	2025	Bulls	101	home	Raptors	110	+6.5	234.5	+9	211
02/11/26	2025	Bulls	105	away	Celtics	124	+13.5	227.5	+19	229
02/09/26	2025	Bulls	115	away	Nets	123	-3.5	218.5	+8	238
02/07/26	2025	Bulls	120	home	Nuggets	136	+8.5	235.5	+16	256
02/05/26	2025	Bulls	107	away	Raptors	123	+7.5	227.5	+16	230
02/03/26	2025	Bulls	115	away	Bucks	131	-1.5	222.5	+16	246
Home Games Avg (6 games)			106.8	-	-	121.5	+7.8	234.3	+14.7	228.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			108.3	-	-	123.0	+6.3	230.2	+14.7	231.3

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Unlock Access

3:30 p.m.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Brooklyn Nets

Cavaliers: 37-24 (60.7%)

Nets: 15-44 (25.4%)

Line: +13.0

Total: 224.5

Open: +11.0

Open: 222.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

4th game in 6 nights

Coming off an Overtime game

Baller System(s)

Back late season medium road favorites

Nets

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Baller System(s)

Back team on 5-game ATS losing streak

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Nets are 28.6% (4-10) (L30 days) against the spread

The Nets are 25% (3-9) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Nets are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Nets are 100% (6-0) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Nets are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

The Cavaliers are 70% (14-6) to the over/under as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Cavaliers are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 85.7% (6-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

View All Records

Nets (Home)

The Nets are 43.1% (25-33-1) against the spread

The Nets are 44.8% (13-16) against the spread at home

The Nets are 40.7% (22-32-1) against the spread as a dog

The Nets are 40% (10-15) against the spread as a home dog

The Nets are 46.6% (27-31-1) to the over/under

The Nets are 55.2% (16-13) to the over/under at home

The Nets are 46.3% (25-29-1) to the over/under as a dog

The Nets are 56% (14-11) to the over/under as a home dog

The Nets are 28.6% (4-10) (L30 days) against the spread

The Nets are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Nets are 25% (3-9) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Nets are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Nets are 64.3% (9-5) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Nets are 100% (6-0) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Nets are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Nets are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Cavaliers (Away)

The Cavaliers are 43.3% (26-34-1) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 48.3% (14-15-1) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 39.6% (19-29-1) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 36.8% (7-12-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 49.2% (30-31) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 60% (18-12) to the over/under away

The Cavaliers are 51% (25-24) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 70% (14-6) to the over/under as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 63.6% (7-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 50% (4-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 55.6% (5-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 33.3% (2-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 66.7% (8-4) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Cavaliers are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 85.7% (6-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/19/26	2025	Nets	84	Away	Cavaliers	112	+15.5	229.5	+28	196
10/24/25	2025	Nets	124	Home	Cavaliers	131	+11.5	230.5	+7	255
03/11/25	2024	Nets	104	Away	Cavaliers	109	+7.5	217.5	+5	213
02/20/25	2024	Nets	97	Home	Cavaliers	110	+12.0	226.0	+13	207
12/16/24	2024	Nets	101	Home	Cavaliers	130	+10.5	215.5	+29	231
11/09/24	2024	Nets	100	Away	Cavaliers	105	+12.5	220.0	+5	205
03/10/24	2023	Nets	120	Away	Cavaliers	101	+7.0	207.5	-19	221
02/08/24	2023	Nets	95	Home	Cavaliers	118	+6.0	225.5	+23	213
01/11/24	2023	Nets	102	Away	Cavaliers	111	+3.0	224.5	+9	213
10/25/23	2023	Nets	113	Home	Cavaliers	114	+2.0	218.0	+1	227
Nets as Home (5 games)			106.0	-	-	120.6	+8.4	223.1	+14.6	226.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			104.0	-	-	114.1	+8.8	221.5	+10.1	218.1

Schedules

Cavaliers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/08/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	home	Celtics	-	-	-	-	-
03/03/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	home	Pistons	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	away	Nets	-	-13.0	224.5	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Cavaliers	119	away	Pistons	122	+8.5	227.5	+3	241
02/25/26	2025	Cavaliers	116	away	Bucks	118	-2.5	220.5	+2	234
02/24/26	2025	Cavaliers	109	home	Knicks	94	-4.5	231.5	-15	203
02/22/26	2025	Cavaliers	113	away	Thunder	121	-4.5	228.5	+8	234
02/20/26	2025	Cavaliers	118	away	Hornets	113	-5.0	228.5	-5	231
02/19/26	2025	Cavaliers	112	home	Nets	84	-15.5	229.5	-28	196
02/11/26	2025	Cavaliers	138	home	Wizards	113	-17.5	238.5	-25	251
02/09/26	2025	Cavaliers	119	away	Nuggets	117	+2.5	242.5	-2	236
02/07/26	2025	Cavaliers	132	away	Kings	126	-13.5	229.5	-6	258
02/04/26	2025	Cavaliers	124	away	Clippers	91	-2.5	221.5	-33	215
Away Games Avg (7 games)			120.1	-	-	115.4	-2.4	228.4	-4.7	235.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			120.0	-	-	109.9	-5.5	229.8	-10.1	229.9

Nets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/05/26	2025	Nets	-	away	Heat	-	-	-	-	-
03/03/26	2025	Nets	-	away	Heat	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Nets	-	home	Cavaliers	-	+13.0	224.5	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Nets	111	away	Celtics	148	+16.5	208.5	+37	259
02/26/26	2025	Nets	110	home	Spurs	126	+10.5	223.5	+16	236
02/24/26	2025	Nets	114	home	Mavericks	123	+1.5	226.5	+9	237
02/22/26	2025	Nets	104	away	Hawks	115	+9.5	227.5	+11	219
02/20/26	2025	Nets	86	away	Thunder	105	+17.0	214.5	+19	191
02/19/26	2025	Nets	84	away	Cavaliers	112	+15.5	229.5	+28	196
02/11/26	2025	Nets	110	home	Pacers	115	-6.5	215.5	+5	225
02/09/26	2025	Nets	123	home	Bulls	115	+3.5	218.5	-8	238
02/07/26	2025	Nets	127	home	Wizards	113	-8.5	216.5	-14	240
02/05/26	2025	Nets	98	away	Magic	118	+9.5	214.5	+20	216
Home Games Avg (5 games)			116.8	-	-	118.4	+0.1	220.1	+1.6	235.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			106.7	-	-	119.0	+6.9	219.5	+12.3	225.7

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

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3:30 p.m.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets

Timberwolves: 37-23 (61.7%)

Nuggets: 37-23 (61.7%)

Line: -3.0

Total: 241.0

Open: -3.0

Open: 237.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Timberwolves

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

In-season revenge

Baller System(s)

Back rested road dog coming off a win vs. a team coming off an OT game

Nuggets

Situational Factor(s)

1st game of a back-to-back

Coming off an Overtime game

Baller System(s)

Under on matchup between two elite teams

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

Over

58.75% probability

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Nuggets are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Nuggets are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Nuggets are 76.9% (10-3) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Nuggets are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

The Timberwolves are 71.4% (5-2) to the over/under as an away dog

The Timberwolves are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Timberwolves are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over/under away

View All Records

Nuggets (Home)

The Nuggets are 57.4% (35-26) against the spread

The Nuggets are 48.1% (13-14) against the spread at home

The Nuggets are 50% (19-19) against the spread as a fav

The Nuggets are 47.1% (8-9) against the spread as a home fav

The Nuggets are 60.7% (37-24) to the over/under

The Nuggets are 51.9% (14-13) to the over/under at home

The Nuggets are 68.4% (26-12) to the over/under as a fav

The Nuggets are 58.8% (10-7) to the over/under as a home fav

The Nuggets are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Nuggets are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Nuggets are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Nuggets are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Nuggets are 76.9% (10-3) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Nuggets are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Nuggets are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Nuggets are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Timberwolves (Away)

The Timberwolves are 41% (25-36) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 41.4% (12-17) against the spread away

The Timberwolves are 54.5% (6-5) against the spread as a dog

The Timberwolves are 57.1% (4-3) against the spread as an away dog

The Timberwolves are 47.5% (29-32) to the over/under

The Timberwolves are 65.5% (19-10) to the over/under away

The Timberwolves are 63.6% (7-4) to the over/under as a dog

The Timberwolves are 71.4% (5-2) to the over/under as an away dog

The Timberwolves are 33.3% (4-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Timberwolves are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Timberwolves are 66.7% (8-4) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Timberwolves are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Timberwolves are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/25/25	2025	Nuggets	142	Home	Timberwolves	138	+1.0	239.0	-4	280
11/15/25	2025	Nuggets	123	Away	Timberwolves	112	-1.0	237.0	-11	235
10/27/25	2025	Nuggets	127	Away	Timberwolves	114	-6.5	229.5	-13	241
04/01/25	2024	Nuggets	139	Home	Timberwolves	140	-3.5	232.5	+1	279
03/12/25	2024	Nuggets	95	Home	Timberwolves	115	-1.5	232.5	+20	210
01/25/25	2024	Nuggets	104	Away	Timberwolves	133	-3.5	229.5	+29	237
11/01/24	2024	Nuggets	116	Away	Timberwolves	119	+4.0	218.0	+3	235
05/19/24	2023	Nuggets	90	Home	Timberwolves	98	-4.5	199.0	+8	188
05/16/24	2023	Nuggets	70	Away	Timberwolves	115	+2.5	204.5	+45	185
05/14/24	2023	Nuggets	112	Home	Timberwolves	97	-4.5	205.5	-15	209
Nuggets as Home (5 games)			115.6	-	-	117.6	-2.6	221.7	+2.0	233.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			111.8	-	-	118.1	-1.8	222.7	+6.3	229.9

Schedules

Timberwolves Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/05/26	2025	Timberwolves	-	home	Raptors	-	-	-	-	-
03/03/26	2025	Timberwolves	-	home	Grizzlies	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Timberwolves	-	away	Nuggets	-	+3.0	241.0	-	-
02/26/26	2025	Timberwolves	94	away	Clippers	88	-8.5	220.5	-6	182
02/24/26	2025	Timberwolves	124	away	Trailblazers	121	-6.5	234.5	-3	245
02/22/26	2025	Timberwolves	108	home	Seventysixers	135	-9.5	239.5	+27	243
02/20/26	2025	Timberwolves	122	home	Mavericks	111	-14.0	239.5	-11	233
02/11/26	2025	Timberwolves	133	home	Trailblazers	109	-7.5	237.5	-24	242
02/09/26	2025	Timberwolves	138	home	Hawks	116	-8.5	239.5	-22	254
02/08/26	2025	Timberwolves	96	home	Clippers	115	-8.5	222.5	+19	211
02/06/26	2025	Timberwolves	115	home	Pelicans	119	-8.5	237.5	+4	234
02/04/26	2025	Timberwolves	128	away	Raptors	126	-2.5	228.5	-2	254
02/02/26	2025	Timberwolves	128	away	Grizzlies	137	-7.5	232.5	+9	265
Away Games Avg (4 games)			118.5	-	-	118.0	-6.3	229.0	-0.5	236.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			118.6	-	-	117.7	-8.2	233.2	-0.9	236.3

Nuggets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/05/26	2025	Nuggets	-	home	Lakers	-	-	-	-	-
03/02/26	2025	Nuggets	-	away	Jazz	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Nuggets	-	home	Timberwolves	-	-3.0	241.0	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Nuggets	121	away	Thunder	127	+6.5	234.5	+6	248
02/25/26	2025	Nuggets	103	home	Celtics	84	-3.5	228.5	-19	187
02/22/26	2025	Nuggets	117	away	Warriors	128	-6.5	228.5	+11	245
02/20/26	2025	Nuggets	157	away	Trailblazers	103	+1.0	240.5	-54	260
02/19/26	2025	Nuggets	114	away	Clippers	115	-4.5	226.5	+1	229
02/11/26	2025	Nuggets	122	home	Grizzlies	116	-14.5	239.5	-6	238
02/09/26	2025	Nuggets	117	home	Cavaliers	119	-2.5	242.5	+2	236
02/07/26	2025	Nuggets	136	away	Bulls	120	-8.5	235.5	-16	256
02/04/26	2025	Nuggets	127	away	Knicks	134	+4.5	228.5	+7	261
02/03/26	2025	Nuggets	121	away	Pistons	124	+5.5	229.5	+3	245
Home Games Avg (3 games)			114.0	-	-	106.3	-6.8	236.8	-7.7	220.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			123.5	-	-	117.0	-2.3	233.4	-6.5	240.5

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

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5:00 p.m.
Memphis Grizzlies @ Indiana Pacers

Grizzlies: 22-36 (37.9%)

Pacers: 15-45 (25.0%)

Line: -1.0

Total: 238.0

Open: +1.0

Open: 238.0

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Grizzlies

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Pacers

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

Baller System(s)

Back team on 5-game ATS losing streak

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Pacers are 22.2% (2-7) to the over/under as a fav

The Pacers are 16.7% (1-5) to the over/under as a home fav

The Pacers are 75% (9-3) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Pacers are 100% (6-0) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Grizzlies are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

View All Records

Pacers (Home)

The Pacers are 46.7% (28-32) against the spread

The Pacers are 54.8% (17-14) against the spread at home

The Pacers are 33.3% (3-6) against the spread as a fav

The Pacers are 50% (3-3) against the spread as a home fav

The Pacers are 45% (27-33) to the over/under

The Pacers are 51.6% (16-15) to the over/under at home

The Pacers are 22.2% (2-7) to the over/under as a fav

The Pacers are 16.7% (1-5) to the over/under as a home fav

The Pacers are 33.3% (4-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Pacers are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Pacers are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Pacers are 75% (9-3) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Pacers are 100% (6-0) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Pacers are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

Grizzlies (Away)

The Grizzlies are 44.8% (26-32-1) against the spread

The Grizzlies are 51.9% (14-13-1) against the spread away

The Grizzlies are 40.5% (15-22-1) against the spread as a dog

The Grizzlies are 47.6% (10-11-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Grizzlies are 47.5% (28-31) to the over/under

The Grizzlies are 39.3% (11-17) to the over/under away

The Grizzlies are 47.4% (18-20) to the over/under as a dog

The Grizzlies are 40.9% (9-13) to the over/under as an away dog

The Grizzlies are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Grizzlies are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Grizzlies are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Grizzlies are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Grizzlies are 69.2% (9-4) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Grizzlies are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Grizzlies are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Grizzlies are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/25/25	2025	Pacers	103	Away	Grizzlies	128	+2.0	240.5	+25	231
02/20/25	2024	Pacers	127	Home	Grizzlies	113	+1.0	250.5	-14	240
12/01/24	2024	Pacers	121	Away	Grizzlies	136	+6.0	244.0	+15	257
01/28/24	2023	Pacers	116	Home	Grizzlies	110	-9.0	230.5	-6	226
12/21/23	2023	Pacers	103	Away	Grizzlies	116	+2.0	247.0	+13	219
01/29/23	2022	Pacers	100	Away	Grizzlies	112	+8.0	242.0	+12	212
01/14/23	2022	Pacers	112	Home	Grizzlies	130	+8.0	240.0	+18	242
Pacers as Home (3 games)			118.3	-	-	117.7	0.0	240.3	-0.7	236.0
All Games Avg (7 games)			111.7	-	-	120.7	+2.6	242.1	+9.0	232.4

Schedules

Grizzlies Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/04/26	2025	Grizzlies	-	home	Trailblazers	-	-	-	-	-
03/03/26	2025	Grizzlies	-	away	Timberwolves	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Grizzlies	-	away	Pacers	-	+1.0	238.0	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Grizzlies	124	away	Mavericks	105	+4.5	241.5	-19	229
02/25/26	2025	Grizzlies	112	home	Warriors	133	+3.5	227.5	+21	245
02/23/26	2025	Grizzlies	114	home	Kings	123	-2.5	233.5	+9	237
02/21/26	2025	Grizzlies	120	away	Heat	136	+11.5	238.5	+16	256
02/20/26	2025	Grizzlies	123	home	Jazz	114	-2.5	237.5	-9	237
02/11/26	2025	Grizzlies	116	away	Nuggets	122	+14.5	239.5	+6	238
02/09/26	2025	Grizzlies	113	away	Warriors	114	+9.5	218.5	+1	227
02/07/26	2025	Grizzlies	115	away	Trailblazers	122	+9.5	228.5	+7	237
02/06/26	2025	Grizzlies	115	away	Trailblazers	135	+8.5	235.5	+20	250
02/04/26	2025	Grizzlies	129	away	Kings	125	+2.5	236.5	-4	254
Away Games Avg (7 games)			118.9	-	-	122.7	+8.6	234.1	+3.9	241.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			118.1	-	-	122.9	+5.9	233.7	+4.8	241.0

Pacers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/06/26	2025	Pacers	-	away	Lakers	-	-	-	-	-
03/04/26	2025	Pacers	-	away	Clippers	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Pacers	-	home	Grizzlies	-	-1.0	238.0	-	-
02/26/26	2025	Pacers	109	home	Hornets	133	+12.5	229.5	+24	242
02/24/26	2025	Pacers	114	home	Seventysixers	135	+10.5	234.5	+21	249
02/22/26	2025	Pacers	130	home	Mavericks	134	+1.5	237.5	+4	264
02/20/26	2025	Pacers	118	away	Wizards	131	+1.0	228.5	+13	249
02/19/26	2025	Pacers	105	away	Wizards	112	-2.5	233.5	+7	217
02/11/26	2025	Pacers	115	away	Nets	110	+6.5	215.5	-5	225
02/10/26	2025	Pacers	137	away	Knicks	134	+11.5	227.5	-3	271
02/08/26	2025	Pacers	104	away	Raptors	122	+7.5	226.5	+18	226
02/06/26	2025	Pacers	99	away	Bucks	105	-1.5	223.5	+6	204
02/03/26	2025	Pacers	122	home	Jazz	131	+2.5	232.5	+9	253
Home Games Avg (4 games)			118.8	-	-	133.3	+6.8	233.5	+14.5	252.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			115.3	-	-	124.7	+5.0	228.9	+9.4	240.0

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

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6:00 p.m.
Portland Trailblazers @ Atlanta Hawks

Trailblazers: 29-32 (47.5%)

Hawks: 30-31 (49.2%)

Line: -6.0

Total: 235.5

Open: -6.0

Open: 238.0

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Trailblazers

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

1st game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Hawks

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Hawks are 26.7% (4-11) to the over/under as a home fav

The Hawks are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Hawks are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Hawks are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Hawks are 0% (0-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

The Trailblazers are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Trailblazers are 75% (9-3-1) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Trailblazers are 80% (4-1-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

View All Records

Hawks (Home)

The Hawks are 49.2% (30-31) against the spread

The Hawks are 41.4% (12-17) against the spread at home

The Hawks are 40.7% (11-16) against the spread as a fav

The Hawks are 33.3% (5-10) against the spread as a home fav

The Hawks are 47.5% (29-32) to the over/under

The Hawks are 37.9% (11-18) to the over/under at home

The Hawks are 44.4% (12-15) to the over/under as a fav

The Hawks are 26.7% (4-11) to the over/under as a home fav

The Hawks are 41.7% (5-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Hawks are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Hawks are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Hawks are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Hawks are 33.3% (4-8) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Hawks are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Hawks are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Hawks are 0% (0-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Trailblazers (Away)

The Trailblazers are 55% (33-27-1) against the spread

The Trailblazers are 51.7% (15-14-1) against the spread away

The Trailblazers are 55.6% (20-16) against the spread as a dog

The Trailblazers are 47.1% (8-9) against the spread as an away dog

The Trailblazers are 53.3% (32-28-1) to the over/under

The Trailblazers are 41.4% (12-17-1) to the over/under away

The Trailblazers are 40% (14-21-1) to the over/under as a dog

The Trailblazers are 31.3% (5-11-1) to the over/under as an away dog

The Trailblazers are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Trailblazers are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Trailblazers are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Trailblazers are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Trailblazers are 75% (9-3-1) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Trailblazers are 40% (2-3-1) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Trailblazers are 80% (4-1-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Trailblazers are 50% (1-1-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/15/26	2025	Hawks	101	Away	Trailblazers	117	-4.0	230.5	+16	218
04/01/25	2024	Hawks	113	Home	Trailblazers	127	-6.0	235.5	+14	240
11/17/24	2024	Hawks	110	Away	Trailblazers	114	-4.5	232.0	+4	224
03/27/24	2023	Hawks	120	Home	Trailblazers	106	-10.5	216.0	-14	226
03/13/24	2023	Hawks	102	Away	Trailblazers	106	-3.5	216.5	+4	208
03/03/23	2022	Hawks	129	Home	Trailblazers	111	-8.0	242.0	-18	240
01/30/23	2022	Hawks	125	Away	Trailblazers	129	+5.5	232.5	+4	254
Hawks as Home (3 games)			120.7	-	-	114.7	-8.2	231.2	-6.0	235.3
All Games Avg (7 games)			114.3	-	-	115.7	-4.4	229.3	+1.4	230.0

Schedules

Trailblazers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/06/26	2025	Trailblazers	-	away	Rockets	-	-	-	-	-
03/04/26	2025	Trailblazers	-	away	Grizzlies	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Trailblazers	-	away	Hawks	-	+6.0	235.5	-	-
02/28/26	2025	Trailblazers	93	away	Hornets	109	+6.5	228.5	+16	202
02/26/26	2025	Trailblazers	121	away	Bulls	112	-3.5	235.5	-9	233
02/24/26	2025	Trailblazers	121	home	Timberwolves	124	+6.5	234.5	+3	245
02/22/26	2025	Trailblazers	92	away	Suns	77	-3.5	224.5	-15	169
02/20/26	2025	Trailblazers	103	home	Nuggets	157	-1.0	240.5	+54	260
02/12/26	2025	Trailblazers	135	away	Jazz	119	-6.5	236.5	-16	254
02/11/26	2025	Trailblazers	109	away	Timberwolves	133	+7.5	237.5	+24	242
02/09/26	2025	Trailblazers	135	home	Seventysixers	118	-3.5	231.5	-17	253
02/07/26	2025	Trailblazers	122	home	Grizzlies	115	-9.5	228.5	-7	237
02/06/26	2025	Trailblazers	135	home	Grizzlies	115	-8.5	235.5	-20	250
Away Games Avg (5 games)			110.0	-	-	110.0	+0.1	232.5	0.0	220.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			116.6	-	-	117.9	-1.6	233.3	+1.3	234.5

Hawks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/07/26	2025	Hawks	-	home	Seventysixers	-	-	-	-	-
03/04/26	2025	Hawks	-	away	Bucks	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Hawks	-	home	Trailblazers	-	-6.0	235.5	-	-
02/26/26	2025	Hawks	126	home	Wizards	96	-10.5	236.5	-30	222
02/24/26	2025	Hawks	119	home	Wizards	98	-12.5	236.5	-21	217
02/22/26	2025	Hawks	115	home	Nets	104	-9.5	227.5	-11	219
02/20/26	2025	Hawks	97	home	Heat	128	+3.5	244.5	+31	225
02/19/26	2025	Hawks	117	away	Seventysixers	107	+1.5	241.5	-10	224
02/11/26	2025	Hawks	107	away	Hornets	110	+2.5	235.5	+3	217
02/09/26	2025	Hawks	116	away	Timberwolves	138	+8.5	239.5	+22	254
02/07/26	2025	Hawks	119	home	Hornets	126	+1.5	233.5	+7	245
02/05/26	2025	Hawks	121	home	Jazz	119	-8.5	245.5	-2	240
02/03/26	2025	Hawks	127	away	Heat	115	+1.5	235.5	-12	242
Home Games Avg (6 games)			116.2	-	-	111.8	-6.0	237.3	-4.3	228.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			116.4	-	-	114.1	-2.2	237.6	-2.3	230.5

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

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6:00 p.m.
Detroit Pistons @ Orlando Magic

Pistons: 44-14 (75.9%)

Magic: 31-27 (53.4%)

Line: +5.0

Total: 224.0

Open: +6.0

Open: 221.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Pistons

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Coming off an Overtime game

Baller System(s)

Back late season medium road favorites

Magic

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller System(s)

Fade team off OT win

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Magic are 80% (4-1) to the over/under as a home dog

The Magic are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Pistons are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

View All Records

Magic (Home)

The Magic are 43.1% (25-33) against the spread

The Magic are 42.9% (12-16) against the spread at home

The Magic are 47.4% (9-10) against the spread as a dog

The Magic are 40% (2-3) against the spread as a home dog

The Magic are 51.7% (30-28) to the over/under

The Magic are 53.6% (15-13) to the over/under at home

The Magic are 57.9% (11-8) to the over/under as a dog

The Magic are 80% (4-1) to the over/under as a home dog

The Magic are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Magic are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Magic are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Magic are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Magic are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Magic are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Magic are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Magic are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Pistons (Away)

The Pistons are 53.4% (31-27) against the spread

The Pistons are 59.3% (16-11) against the spread away

The Pistons are 44.7% (21-26) against the spread as a fav

The Pistons are 45% (9-11) against the spread as an away fav

The Pistons are 43.1% (25-33) to the over/under

The Pistons are 40.7% (11-16) to the over/under away

The Pistons are 42.6% (20-27) to the over/under as a fav

The Pistons are 40% (8-12) to the over/under as an away fav

The Pistons are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Pistons are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Pistons are 40% (4-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Pistons are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Pistons are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Pistons are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Pistons are 50% (5-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Pistons are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/28/25	2025	Magic	112	Away	Pistons	109	+3.5	230.5	-3	221
10/29/25	2025	Magic	116	Away	Pistons	135	-1.5	227.5	+19	251
01/25/25	2024	Magic	121	Home	Pistons	113	-3.5	208.5	-8	234
01/01/25	2024	Magic	96	Away	Pistons	105	+2.0	211.5	+9	201
11/23/24	2024	Magic	111	Home	Pistons	100	-9.0	208.0	-11	211
03/03/24	2023	Magic	113	Home	Pistons	91	-11.0	217.5	-22	204
02/24/24	2023	Magic	112	Away	Pistons	109	-8.0	224.0	-3	221
02/04/24	2023	Magic	111	Away	Pistons	99	-6.5	228.5	-12	210
12/08/23	2023	Magic	123	Home	Pistons	91	-11.0	228.5	-32	214
04/02/23	2022	Magic	128	Home	Pistons	102	-11.5	225.0	-26	230
Magic as Home (5 games)			119.2	-	-	99.4	-9.2	217.5	-19.8	218.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.3	-	-	105.4	-5.7	221.0	-8.9	219.7

Schedules

Pistons Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/05/26	2025	Pistons	-	away	Spurs	-	-	-	-	-
03/03/26	2025	Pistons	-	away	Cavaliers	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Pistons	-	away	Magic	-	-5.0	224.0	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Pistons	122	home	Cavaliers	119	-8.5	227.5	-3	241
02/25/26	2025	Pistons	124	home	Thunder	116	-10.5	220.5	-8	240
02/23/26	2025	Pistons	103	home	Spurs	114	-1.5	232.5	+11	217
02/21/26	2025	Pistons	126	away	Bulls	110	-10.5	234.5	-16	236
02/19/26	2025	Pistons	126	away	Knicks	111	+3.5	218.5	-15	237
02/11/26	2025	Pistons	113	away	Raptors	95	+1.5	223.5	-18	208
02/09/26	2025	Pistons	110	away	Hornets	104	-2.5	222.5	-6	214
02/06/26	2025	Pistons	118	home	Knicks	80	-5.5	219.5	-38	198
02/05/26	2025	Pistons	117	home	Wizards	126	-17.5	227.5	+9	243
02/03/26	2025	Pistons	124	home	Nuggets	121	-5.5	229.5	-3	245
Away Games Avg (4 games)			118.8	-	-	105.0	-2.0	224.8	-13.8	223.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			118.3	-	-	109.6	-5.7	225.6	-8.7	227.9

Magic Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/05/26	2025	Magic	-	home	Mavericks	-	-	-	-	-
03/03/26	2025	Magic	-	home	Wizards	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Magic	-	home	Pistons	-	+5.0	224.0	-	-
02/26/26	2025	Magic	108	home	Rockets	113	+2.5	214.5	+5	221
02/24/26	2025	Magic	110	away	Lakers	109	+6.5	228.5	-1	219
02/22/26	2025	Magic	111	away	Clippers	109	+4.5	215.5	-2	220
02/21/26	2025	Magic	110	away	Suns	113	+3.5	218.5	+3	223
02/19/26	2025	Magic	131	away	Kings	94	-8.5	226.5	-37	225
02/11/26	2025	Magic	108	home	Bucks	116	-11.5	219.5	+8	224
02/09/26	2025	Magic	118	home	Bucks	99	-9.5	220.5	-19	217
02/07/26	2025	Magic	120	home	Jazz	117	-7.5	234.5	-3	237
02/05/26	2025	Magic	118	home	Nets	98	-9.5	214.5	-20	216
02/03/26	2025	Magic	92	away	Thunder	128	+11.5	222.5	+36	220
Home Games Avg (5 games)			114.4	-	-	108.6	-7.1	220.7	-5.8	223.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			112.6	-	-	109.6	-1.8	221.5	-3.0	222.2

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

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8:00 p.m.
Philadelphia Seventysixers @ Boston Celtics

Seventysixers: 33-26 (55.9%)

Celtics: 39-20 (66.1%)

Line: -9.5

Total: 220.0

Open: -8.5

Open: 221.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Seventysixers

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Celtics

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

1st game of a back-to-back

4th game in 6 nights

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Celtics are 75% (9-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Celtics are 80% (8-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Celtics are 25% (3-9) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Celtics are 30% (3-7) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Seventysixers are 70.4% (19-8-1) against the spread away

View All Records

Celtics (Home)

The Celtics are 57.6% (34-25) against the spread

The Celtics are 50% (14-14) against the spread at home

The Celtics are 55.8% (24-19) against the spread as a fav

The Celtics are 47.8% (11-12) against the spread as a home fav

The Celtics are 37.3% (22-37) to the over/under

The Celtics are 39.3% (11-17) to the over/under at home

The Celtics are 37.2% (16-27) to the over/under as a fav

The Celtics are 39.1% (9-14) to the over/under as a home fav

The Celtics are 75% (9-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Celtics are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Celtics are 80% (8-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Celtics are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Celtics are 25% (3-9) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Celtics are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Celtics are 30% (3-7) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Celtics are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Seventysixers (Away)

The Seventysixers are 56.9% (33-25-1) against the spread

The Seventysixers are 70.4% (19-8-1) against the spread away

The Seventysixers are 50% (13-13-1) against the spread as a dog

The Seventysixers are 61.5% (8-5-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Seventysixers are 55.2% (32-26-1) to the over/under

The Seventysixers are 53.6% (15-13) to the over/under away

The Seventysixers are 55.6% (15-12) to the over/under as a dog

The Seventysixers are 50% (7-7) to the over/under as an away dog

The Seventysixers are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Seventysixers are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Seventysixers are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Seventysixers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Seventysixers are 61.5% (8-5) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Seventysixers are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Seventysixers are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Seventysixers are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/11/25	2025	Celtics	100	Away	Seventysixers	102	-1.5	230.5	+2	202
10/31/25	2025	Celtics	109	Away	Seventysixers	108	-1.5	234.5	-1	217
10/22/25	2025	Celtics	116	Home	Seventysixers	117	-5.5	230.5	+1	233
03/06/25	2024	Celtics	123	Home	Seventysixers	105	-13.5	217.5	-18	228
02/20/25	2024	Celtics	124	Away	Seventysixers	104	-7.0	226.5	-20	228
02/02/25	2024	Celtics	118	Away	Seventysixers	110	-12.0	224.5	-8	228
12/25/24	2024	Celtics	114	Home	Seventysixers	118	-10.0	223.5	+4	232
02/27/24	2023	Celtics	117	Home	Seventysixers	99	-12.0	230.5	-18	216
12/01/23	2023	Celtics	125	Home	Seventysixers	119	-11.5	218.5	-6	244
11/15/23	2023	Celtics	117	Away	Seventysixers	107	-3.0	222.0	-10	224
Celtics as Home (5 games)			119.0	-	-	111.6	-10.5	224.1	-7.4	230.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			116.3	-	-	108.9	-7.8	225.9	-7.4	225.2

Schedules

Seventysixers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/04/26	2025	Seventysixers	-	home	Jazz	-	-	-	-	-
03/03/26	2025	Seventysixers	-	home	Spurs	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Seventysixers	-	away	Celtics	-	+9.5	220.0	-	-
02/26/26	2025	Seventysixers	124	home	Heat	117	-2.5	240.5	-7	241
02/24/26	2025	Seventysixers	135	away	Pacers	114	-10.5	234.5	-21	249
02/22/26	2025	Seventysixers	135	away	Timberwolves	108	+9.5	239.5	-27	243
02/21/26	2025	Seventysixers	111	away	Pelicans	126	-4.5	235.5	+15	237
02/19/26	2025	Seventysixers	107	home	Hawks	117	-1.5	241.5	+10	224
02/11/26	2025	Seventysixers	89	home	Knicks	138	+2.5	224.5	+49	227
02/09/26	2025	Seventysixers	118	away	Trailblazers	135	+3.5	231.5	+17	253
02/07/26	2025	Seventysixers	109	away	Suns	103	+2.5	224.5	-6	212
02/05/26	2025	Seventysixers	115	away	Lakers	119	+2.5	236.5	+4	234
02/03/26	2025	Seventysixers	113	away	Warriors	94	+4.5	222.5	-19	207
Away Games Avg (7 games)			119.4	-	-	114.1	+1.1	232.1	-5.3	233.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			115.6	-	-	117.1	+0.6	233.1	+1.5	232.7

Celtics Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/04/26	2025	Celtics	-	home	Hornets	-	-	-	-	-
03/02/26	2025	Celtics	-	away	Bucks	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Celtics	-	home	Seventysixers	-	-9.5	220.0	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Celtics	148	home	Nets	111	-16.5	208.5	-37	259
02/25/26	2025	Celtics	84	away	Nuggets	103	+3.5	228.5	+19	187
02/24/26	2025	Celtics	97	away	Suns	81	-5.5	207.5	-16	178
02/22/26	2025	Celtics	111	away	Lakers	89	-1.5	230.5	-22	200
02/19/26	2025	Celtics	121	away	Warriors	110	-5.5	211.5	-11	231
02/11/26	2025	Celtics	124	home	Bulls	105	-13.5	227.5	-19	229
02/08/26	2025	Celtics	89	home	Knicks	111	-3.5	215.5	+22	200
02/06/26	2025	Celtics	98	home	Heat	96	-5.5	227.5	-2	194
02/04/26	2025	Celtics	114	away	Rockets	93	+8.5	210.5	-21	207
02/03/26	2025	Celtics	110	away	Mavericks	100	-7.5	223.5	-10	210
Home Games Avg (4 games)			114.8	-	-	105.8	-9.8	219.8	-9.0	220.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			109.6	-	-	99.9	-4.7	219.1	-9.7	209.5

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

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8:00 p.m.
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Dallas Mavericks

Thunder: 46-15 (75.4%)

Mavericks: 21-38 (35.6%)

Line: +16.0

Total: 234.0

Open: +15.5

Open: 231.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Thunder

Situational Factor(s)

4th game in 6 nights

Coming off an Overtime game

Mavericks

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Baller System(s)

Fade team off OT win

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Mavericks are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Thunder are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Thunder are 76.9% (10-3) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Thunder are 100% (7-0) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Thunder are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

View All Records

Mavericks (Home)

The Mavericks are 45.8% (27-32-1) against the spread

The Mavericks are 50% (16-16) against the spread at home

The Mavericks are 51.3% (20-19-1) against the spread as a dog

The Mavericks are 60% (12-8) against the spread as a home dog

The Mavericks are 45% (27-33) to the over/under

The Mavericks are 46.9% (15-17) to the over/under at home

The Mavericks are 47.5% (19-21) to the over/under as a dog

The Mavericks are 50% (10-10) to the over/under as a home dog

The Mavericks are 41.7% (5-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mavericks are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Mavericks are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Mavericks are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Mavericks are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Mavericks are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Mavericks are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Mavericks are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Thunder (Away)

The Thunder are 50.8% (31-30) against the spread

The Thunder are 55.2% (16-13) against the spread away

The Thunder are 49.1% (28-29) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 53.8% (14-12) against the spread as an away fav

The Thunder are 55.7% (34-27) to the over/under

The Thunder are 62.1% (18-11) to the over/under away

The Thunder are 52.6% (30-27) to the over/under as a fav

The Thunder are 57.7% (15-11) to the over/under as an away fav

The Thunder are 61.5% (8-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Thunder are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Thunder are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Thunder are 76.9% (10-3) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Thunder are 100% (7-0) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Thunder are 66.7% (6-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Thunder are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/05/25	2025	Mavericks	111	Away	Thunder	132	+15.5	229.0	+21	243
10/27/25	2025	Mavericks	94	Home	Thunder	101	+9.0	225.0	+7	195
01/23/25	2024	Mavericks	121	Away	Thunder	115	+11.5	224.0	-6	236
01/17/25	2024	Mavericks	106	Home	Thunder	98	+2.5	221.0	-8	204
12/10/24	2024	Mavericks	104	Away	Thunder	118	+4.5	230.0	+14	222
11/17/24	2024	Mavericks	121	Away	Thunder	119	+7.5	225.5	-2	240
05/18/24	2023	Mavericks	117	Home	Thunder	116	-3.5	209.5	-1	233
05/15/24	2023	Mavericks	104	Away	Thunder	92	+4.5	213.0	-12	196
05/13/24	2023	Mavericks	96	Home	Thunder	100	-1.0	213.0	+4	196
05/11/24	2023	Mavericks	105	Home	Thunder	101	-2.5	218.0	-4	206
Mavericks as Home (5 games)			103.6	-	-	103.2	+0.9	217.3	-0.4	206.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			107.9	-	-	109.2	+4.8	220.8	+1.3	217.1

Schedules

Thunder Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/04/26	2025	Thunder	-	away	Knicks	-	-	-	-	-
03/03/26	2025	Thunder	-	away	Bulls	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Thunder	-	away	Mavericks	-	-16.0	234.0	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Thunder	127	home	Nuggets	121	-6.5	234.5	-6	248
02/25/26	2025	Thunder	116	away	Pistons	124	+10.5	220.5	+8	240
02/24/26	2025	Thunder	116	away	Raptors	107	+1.5	216.5	-9	223
02/22/26	2025	Thunder	121	home	Cavaliers	113	+4.5	228.5	-8	234
02/20/26	2025	Thunder	105	home	Nets	86	-17.0	214.5	-19	191
02/12/26	2025	Thunder	93	home	Bucks	110	-13.5	214.5	+17	203
02/11/26	2025	Thunder	136	away	Suns	109	-7.5	211.5	-27	245
02/09/26	2025	Thunder	119	away	Lakers	110	-7.5	222.5	-9	229
02/07/26	2025	Thunder	106	home	Rockets	112	-3.5	213.5	+6	218
02/04/26	2025	Thunder	106	away	Spurs	116	+9.5	221.5	+10	222
Away Games Avg (5 games)			118.6	-	-	113.2	+1.3	218.5	-5.4	231.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.5	-	-	110.8	-3.0	219.8	-3.7	225.3

Mavericks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/05/26	2025	Mavericks	-	away	Magic	-	-	-	-	-
03/03/26	2025	Mavericks	-	away	Hornets	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Mavericks	-	home	Thunder	-	+16.0	234.0	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Mavericks	105	home	Grizzlies	124	-4.5	241.5	+19	229
02/26/26	2025	Mavericks	121	home	Kings	130	-7.5	236.5	+9	251
02/24/26	2025	Mavericks	123	away	Nets	114	-1.5	226.5	-9	237
02/22/26	2025	Mavericks	134	away	Pacers	130	-1.5	237.5	-4	264
02/20/26	2025	Mavericks	111	away	Timberwolves	122	+14.0	239.5	+11	233
02/12/26	2025	Mavericks	104	away	Lakers	124	+6.5	237.5	+20	228
02/10/26	2025	Mavericks	111	away	Suns	120	+8.5	229.5	+9	231
02/07/26	2025	Mavericks	125	away	Spurs	138	+11.5	233.5	+13	263
02/05/26	2025	Mavericks	123	home	Spurs	135	+7.5	230.5	+12	258
02/03/26	2025	Mavericks	100	home	Celtics	110	+7.5	223.5	+10	210
Home Games Avg (4 games)			112.3	-	-	124.8	+0.8	233.0	+12.5	237.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			115.7	-	-	124.7	+4.1	233.6	+9.0	240.4

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

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9:00 p.m.
New Orleans Pelicans @ Los Angeles Clippers

Pelicans: 19-42 (31.1%)

Clippers: 27-31 (46.6%)

Line: -8.5

Total: 223.0

Open: -6.0

Open: 226.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Pelicans

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Clippers

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

1st game of a back-to-back

Baller System(s)

Fade team: Fatigue Factor + Letdown Spot

Back team with rest advantage and less rest in next game

Fade team on back-to-back off win with minimal rest in recent games

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

View All Records

Clippers (Home)

The Clippers are 51.7% (30-28) against the spread

The Clippers are 48.1% (13-14) against the spread at home

The Clippers are 40.7% (11-16) against the spread as a fav

The Clippers are 41.2% (7-10) against the spread as a home fav

The Clippers are 51.7% (30-28) to the over/under

The Clippers are 48.1% (13-14) to the over/under at home

The Clippers are 48.1% (13-14) to the over/under as a fav

The Clippers are 47.1% (8-9) to the over/under as a home fav

The Clippers are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Clippers are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Clippers are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Clippers are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Clippers are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Clippers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Clippers are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Clippers are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Pelicans (Away)

The Pelicans are 53.3% (32-28-1) against the spread

The Pelicans are 51.7% (15-14) against the spread away

The Pelicans are 49% (24-25-1) against the spread as a dog

The Pelicans are 48% (12-13) against the spread as an away dog

The Pelicans are 50.8% (31-30) to the over/under

The Pelicans are 44.8% (13-16) to the over/under away

The Pelicans are 52% (26-24) to the over/under as a dog

The Pelicans are 44% (11-14) to the over/under as an away dog

The Pelicans are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Pelicans are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Pelicans are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Pelicans are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Pelicans are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Pelicans are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Pelicans are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Pelicans are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/31/25	2025	Clippers	126	Home	Pelicans	124	-10.5	223.5	-2	250
04/02/25	2024	Clippers	114	Home	Pelicans	98	-18.0	219.0	-16	212
03/11/25	2024	Clippers	120	Away	Pelicans	127	-7.5	222.5	+7	247
12/30/24	2024	Clippers	116	Away	Pelicans	113	-4.5	218.0	-3	229
03/15/24	2023	Clippers	104	Away	Pelicans	112	+7.0	218.5	+8	216
02/07/24	2023	Clippers	106	Home	Pelicans	117	-7.0	230.0	+11	223
01/05/24	2023	Clippers	111	Away	Pelicans	95	0.0	229.5	-16	206
11/24/23	2023	Clippers	106	Home	Pelicans	116	-5.0	227.5	+10	222
04/01/23	2022	Clippers	114	Away	Pelicans	122	+4.5	227.0	+8	236
03/25/23	2022	Clippers	110	Home	Pelicans	131	-4.5	223.5	+21	241
Clippers as Home (5 games)			112.4	-	-	117.2	-9.0	224.7	+4.8	229.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			112.7	-	-	115.5	-4.6	223.9	+2.8	228.2

Schedules

Pelicans Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/05/26	2025	Pelicans	-	away	Kings	-	-	-	-	-
03/03/26	2025	Pelicans	-	away	Lakers	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Pelicans	-	away	Clippers	-	+8.5	223.0	-	-
02/28/26	2025	Pelicans	115	away	Jazz	105	-5.5	244.5	-10	220
02/26/26	2025	Pelicans	129	away	Jazz	118	-6.5	245.5	-11	247
02/24/26	2025	Pelicans	113	home	Warriors	109	+1.5	229.5	-4	222
02/21/26	2025	Pelicans	126	home	Seventysixers	111	+4.5	235.5	-15	237
02/20/26	2025	Pelicans	118	home	Bucks	139	-4.0	223.5	+21	257
02/11/26	2025	Pelicans	111	home	Heat	123	-1.5	233.5	+12	234
02/09/26	2025	Pelicans	120	home	Kings	94	-9.5	229.5	-26	214
02/06/26	2025	Pelicans	119	away	Timberwolves	115	+8.5	237.5	-4	234
02/04/26	2025	Pelicans	137	away	Bucks	141	-4.5	223.5	+4	278
02/02/26	2025	Pelicans	95	away	Hornets	102	+6.5	230.5	+7	197
Away Games Avg (5 games)			119.0	-	-	116.2	-0.3	236.3	-2.8	235.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			118.3	-	-	115.7	-1.1	233.3	-2.6	234.0

Clippers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/04/26	2025	Clippers	-	home	Pacers	-	-	-	-	-
03/02/26	2025	Clippers	-	away	Warriors	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Clippers	-	home	Pelicans	-	-8.5	223.0	-	-
02/26/26	2025	Clippers	88	home	Timberwolves	94	+8.5	220.5	+6	182
02/22/26	2025	Clippers	109	home	Magic	111	-4.5	215.5	+2	220
02/20/26	2025	Clippers	122	away	Lakers	125	+7.0	225.5	+3	247
02/19/26	2025	Clippers	115	home	Nuggets	114	+4.5	226.5	-1	229
02/11/26	2025	Clippers	105	away	Rockets	102	+8.5	212.5	-3	207
02/10/26	2025	Clippers	95	away	Rockets	102	+9.5	213.5	+7	197
02/08/26	2025	Clippers	115	away	Timberwolves	96	+8.5	222.5	-19	211
02/06/26	2025	Clippers	114	away	Kings	111	-3.5	221.5	-3	225
02/04/26	2025	Clippers	91	home	Cavaliers	124	+2.5	221.5	+33	215
02/02/26	2025	Clippers	113	home	Seventysixers	128	+1.5	220.5	+15	241
Home Games Avg (5 games)			103.2	-	-	114.2	+2.5	220.9	+11.0	217.4
All Games Avg (10 games)			106.7	-	-	110.7	+4.3	220.0	+4.0	217.4

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

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9:30 p.m.
Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Lakers

Kings: 14-47 (23.0%)

Lakers: 35-24 (59.3%)

Line: -13.0

Total: 232.0

Open: -13.0

Open: 231.0

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Kings

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Travel fatigue (at least 4th straight game on the road)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Lakers

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Lakers are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

View All Records

Lakers (Home)

The Lakers are 50.9% (29-28-2) against the spread

The Lakers are 46.2% (12-14-2) against the spread at home

The Lakers are 61.8% (21-13-2) against the spread as a fav

The Lakers are 58.8% (10-7-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Lakers are 55.9% (33-26) to the over/under

The Lakers are 64.3% (18-10) to the over/under at home

The Lakers are 52.8% (19-17) to the over/under as a fav

The Lakers are 57.9% (11-8) to the over/under as a home fav

The Lakers are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Lakers are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Lakers are 66.7% (6-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Lakers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Lakers are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Lakers are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Lakers are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Lakers are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Kings (Away)

The Kings are 39.3% (24-37) against the spread

The Kings are 37.5% (12-20) against the spread away

The Kings are 40% (22-33) against the spread as a dog

The Kings are 38.7% (12-19) against the spread as an away dog

The Kings are 50.8% (31-30) to the over/under

The Kings are 53.1% (17-15) to the over/under away

The Kings are 47.3% (26-29) to the over/under as a dog

The Kings are 51.6% (16-15) to the over/under as an away dog

The Kings are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Kings are 44.4% (4-5) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Kings are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Kings are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Kings are 61.5% (8-5) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Kings are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Kings are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Kings are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/12/26	2025	Lakers	112	Away	Kings	124	-8.5	231.0	+12	236
12/28/25	2025	Lakers	125	Home	Kings	101	-12.5	231.5	-24	226
10/26/25	2025	Lakers	127	Away	Kings	120	+3.5	224.5	-7	247
12/28/24	2024	Lakers	132	Home	Kings	122	+3.5	221.5	-10	254
12/21/24	2024	Lakers	103	Away	Kings	99	+4.0	228.5	-4	202
12/19/24	2024	Lakers	113	Away	Kings	100	+4.5	230.0	-13	213
10/26/24	2024	Lakers	131	Home	Kings	127	-1.0	230.5	-4	258
03/13/24	2023	Lakers	107	Away	Kings	120	-2.0	238.5	+13	227
03/06/24	2023	Lakers	120	Home	Kings	130	-3.5	238.0	+10	250
11/15/23	2023	Lakers	110	Home	Kings	125	+1.0	235.5	+15	235
Lakers as Home (5 games)			123.6	-	-	121.0	-2.5	231.4	-2.6	244.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			118.0	-	-	116.8	-1.1	231.0	-1.2	234.8

Schedules

Kings Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/05/26	2025	Kings	-	home	Pelicans	-	-	-	-	-
03/03/26	2025	Kings	-	home	Suns	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Kings	-	away	Lakers	-	+13.0	232.0	-	-
02/26/26	2025	Kings	130	away	Mavericks	121	+7.5	236.5	-9	251
02/25/26	2025	Kings	97	away	Rockets	128	+13.5	222.5	+31	225
02/23/26	2025	Kings	123	away	Grizzlies	114	+2.5	233.5	-9	237
02/21/26	2025	Kings	122	away	Spurs	139	+18.5	230.5	+17	261
02/19/26	2025	Kings	94	home	Magic	131	+8.5	226.5	+37	225
02/11/26	2025	Kings	93	away	Jazz	121	+5.5	229.5	+28	214
02/09/26	2025	Kings	94	away	Pelicans	120	+9.5	229.5	+26	214
02/07/26	2025	Kings	126	home	Cavaliers	132	+13.5	229.5	+6	258
02/06/26	2025	Kings	111	home	Clippers	114	+3.5	221.5	+3	225
02/04/26	2025	Kings	125	home	Grizzlies	129	-2.5	236.5	+4	254
Away Games Avg (6 games)			109.8	-	-	123.8	+9.5	230.3	+14.0	233.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			111.5	-	-	124.9	+8.0	229.6	+13.4	236.4

Lakers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/05/26	2025	Lakers	-	away	Nuggets	-	-	-	-	-
03/03/26	2025	Lakers	-	home	Pelicans	-	-	-	-	-
03/01/26	2025	Lakers	-	home	Kings	-	-13.0	232.0	-	-
02/28/26	2025	Lakers	129	away	Warriors	101	-3.5	225.5	-28	230
02/26/26	2025	Lakers	110	away	Suns	113	-5.5	222.5	+3	223
02/24/26	2025	Lakers	109	home	Magic	110	-6.5	228.5	+1	219
02/22/26	2025	Lakers	89	home	Celtics	111	+1.5	230.5	+22	200
02/20/26	2025	Lakers	125	home	Clippers	122	-7.0	225.5	-3	247
02/12/26	2025	Lakers	124	home	Mavericks	104	-6.5	237.5	-20	228
02/10/26	2025	Lakers	108	home	Spurs	136	+13.5	226.5	+28	244
02/09/26	2025	Lakers	110	home	Thunder	119	+7.5	222.5	+9	229
02/07/26	2025	Lakers	105	home	Warriors	99	-2.5	219.5	-6	204
02/05/26	2025	Lakers	119	home	Seventysixers	115	-2.5	236.5	-4	234
Home Games Avg (8 games)			111.1	-	-	114.5	-0.3	228.4	+3.4	225.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			112.8	-	-	113.0	-1.2	227.5	+0.2	225.8

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

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Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 138-123 (52.9%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 138-123 (52.9%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 138-123 (52.9%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 138-123 (52.9%)	Over
Total Summary	Over
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| Over

Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 138-123 (52.9%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

1:00 p.m. San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks

Notes

Spurs

Situational Factor(s)

Knicks

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Knicks (Home)

Spurs (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Spurs Schedule

Knicks Schedule

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3:30 p.m. Milwaukee Bucks @ Chicago Bulls

Notes

Bucks

Situational Factor(s)

Bulls

Situational Factor(s)

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Total Recommendation

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Notable Trends

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Bulls (Home)

Bucks (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Bucks Schedule

Bulls Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

3:30 p.m. Cleveland Cavaliers @ Brooklyn Nets

Notes

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Nets

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

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Total Recommendation

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Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

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Nets (Home)

Cavaliers (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Cavaliers Schedule

Nets Schedule

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3:30 p.m. Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets

Notes

Timberwolves

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Nuggets

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

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Total Recommendation

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Nuggets (Home)

Timberwolves (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Timberwolves Schedule

Nuggets Schedule

1:00 p.m.
San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks

3:30 p.m.
Milwaukee Bucks @ Chicago Bulls

3:30 p.m.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Brooklyn Nets

3:30 p.m.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets

5:00 p.m.
Memphis Grizzlies @ Indiana Pacers

6:00 p.m.
Portland Trailblazers @ Atlanta Hawks

6:00 p.m.
Detroit Pistons @ Orlando Magic

8:00 p.m.
Philadelphia Seventysixers @ Boston Celtics