NBA WNBA NFL MLB

Updated: 03/11/26 6:07 p.m.

7:30 p.m.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic

Cavaliers: 40-25 (61.5%)

Magic: 34-27 (55.7%)

Line: +3.0

Total: 226.5

Open: +2.5

Open: 225.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Injury Report Mar 11, 9:45 PM ET CLE4 Out ORL2 Out

CLE

Player	Status	Reason
Jarrett Allen	Out	Injury/Illness-RightKnee;Tendonitis
Max Strus	Out	Injury/Illness-LeftFoot;Surgery- JonesFracture
Olivier Sarr	Out	GLeague-Two-Way
Tyrese Proctor	Out	Injury/Illness-RightQuadricep; Strain
James Harden	Available	Injury/Illness-RightThumb;Fracture
Keon Ellis	Available	Injury/Illness-LeftIndexFinger; Fracture

ORL

Player	Status	Reason
Anthony Black	Out	Injury/Illness-LeftLateral Abdominal;Strain
Franz Wagner	Out	Injury/Illness-LeftHighAnkle;Sprain injurymanagement
Jase Richardson	Available	Injury/Illness-LowBack;Strain
Jonathan Isaac	Available	Injury/Illness-LeftKnee;Strain

Notes

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

3rd game in 4 nights

Magic

Situational Factor(s)

1st game of a back-to-back

Double digit, in-season revenge

In-season revenge

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

Under

55.63% probability

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Cavaliers are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

View All Records

Magic (Home)

The Magic are 44.4% (28-35) against the spread

The Magic are 41.9% (13-18) against the spread at home

The Magic are 47.6% (10-11) against the spread as a dog

The Magic are 33.3% (2-4) against the spread as a home dog

The Magic are 52.4% (33-30) to the over/under

The Magic are 54.8% (17-14) to the over/under at home

The Magic are 52.4% (11-10) to the over/under as a dog

The Magic are 66.7% (4-2) to the over/under as a home dog

The Magic are 66.7% (8-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Magic are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Magic are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Magic are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Magic are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Magic are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Magic are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Magic are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Cavaliers (Away)

The Cavaliers are 42.2% (27-37-1) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 46.7% (14-16-1) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 37.3% (19-32-1) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 35% (7-13-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 46.2% (30-35) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 58.1% (18-13) to the over/under away

The Cavaliers are 48.1% (25-27) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 66.7% (14-7) to the over/under as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 54.5% (6-5-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 40% (2-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 37.5% (3-5-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 0% (0-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 41.7% (5-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Cavaliers are 44.4% (4-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/26/26	2025	Magic	98	Away	Cavaliers	114	+4.5	221.5	+16	212
01/24/26	2025	Magic	105	Home	Cavaliers	119	-1.5	225.5	+14	224
03/16/25	2024	Magic	108	Away	Cavaliers	103	+10.5	222.5	-5	211
02/25/25	2024	Magic	82	Home	Cavaliers	122	+6.0	218.5	+40	204
11/01/24	2024	Magic	109	Away	Cavaliers	120	+7.0	216.0	+11	229
05/05/24	2023	Magic	94	Away	Cavaliers	106	+3.0	195.0	+12	200
05/03/24	2023	Magic	103	Home	Cavaliers	96	-4.5	201.5	-7	199
04/30/24	2023	Magic	103	Away	Cavaliers	104	+4.5	200.5	+1	207
04/27/24	2023	Magic	112	Home	Cavaliers	89	-2.5	202.0	-23	201
04/25/24	2023	Magic	121	Home	Cavaliers	83	-3.0	203.5	-38	204
Magic as Home (5 games)			104.6	-	-	101.8	-1.1	210.2	-2.8	206.4
All Games Avg (10 games)			103.5	-	-	105.6	+2.4	210.7	+2.1	209.1

Schedules

Cavaliers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/15/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	home	Mavericks	-	-	-	-	-
03/13/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	away	Mavericks	-	-	-	-	-
03/11/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	away	Magic	-	-3.0	226.5	-	-
03/09/26	2025	Cavaliers	115	home	76ers	101	-14.5	226.5	-14	216
03/08/26	2025	Cavaliers	98	home	Celtics	109	-1.5	224.5	+11	207
03/03/26	2025	Cavaliers	113	home	Pistons	109	+2.5	227.5	-4	222
03/01/26	2025	Cavaliers	106	away	Nets	102	-12.5	224.5	-4	208
02/27/26	2025	Cavaliers	119	away	Pistons	122	+8.5	227.5	+3	241
02/25/26	2025	Cavaliers	116	away	Bucks	118	-2.5	220.5	+2	234
02/24/26	2025	Cavaliers	109	home	Knicks	94	-4.5	231.5	-15	203
02/22/26	2025	Cavaliers	113	away	Thunder	121	-4.5	228.5	+8	234
02/20/26	2025	Cavaliers	118	away	Hornets	113	-5.0	228.5	-5	231
02/19/26	2025	Cavaliers	112	home	Nets	84	-15.5	229.5	-28	196
Away Games Avg (5 games)			114.4	-	-	115.2	-3.2	225.9	+0.8	229.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			111.9	-	-	107.3	-5.0	226.9	-4.6	219.2

Magic Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/14/26	2025	Magic	-	away	Heat	-	-	-	-	-
03/12/26	2025	Magic	-	home	Wizards	-	-13.5	229.5	-	-
03/11/26	2025	Magic	-	home	Cavaliers	-	+3.0	226.5	-	-
03/08/26	2025	Magic	130	away	Bucks	91	-6.5	216.5	-39	221
03/07/26	2025	Magic	119	away	Timberwolves	92	+6.5	224.5	-27	211
03/05/26	2025	Magic	115	home	Mavericks	114	-9.5	228.5	-1	229
03/03/26	2025	Magic	126	home	Wizards	109	-16.5	227.5	-17	235
03/01/26	2025	Magic	92	home	Pistons	106	+5.5	224.5	+14	198
02/26/26	2025	Magic	108	home	Rockets	113	+2.5	214.5	+5	221
02/24/26	2025	Magic	110	away	Lakers	109	+6.5	228.5	-1	219
02/22/26	2025	Magic	111	away	Clippers	109	+4.5	215.5	-2	220
02/21/26	2025	Magic	110	away	Suns	113	+3.5	218.5	+3	223
02/19/26	2025	Magic	131	away	Kings	94	-8.5	226.5	-37	225
Home Games Avg (4 games)			110.3	-	-	110.5	-4.5	223.8	+0.3	220.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			115.2	-	-	105.0	-1.2	222.5	-10.2	220.2

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:00 p.m.
Toronto Raptors @ New Orleans Pelicans

Raptors: 36-28 (56.3%)

Pelicans: 21-45 (31.8%)

Line: +2.0

Total: 235.5

Open: +1.0

Open: 231.0

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Unlock Access

9:00 p.m.
New York Knicks @ Utah Jazz

Knicks: 41-25 (62.1%)

Jazz: 20-45 (30.8%)

Line: +14.0

Total: 231.0

Open: +12.0

Open: 232.0

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Unlock Access

10:00 p.m.
Charlotte Hornets @ Sacramento Kings

Hornets: 33-33 (50.0%)

Kings: 16-50 (24.2%)

Line: +14.5

Total: 224.5

Open: +14.0

Open: 228.0

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Unlock Access

10:00 p.m.
Houston Rockets @ Denver Nuggets

Rockets: 40-24 (62.5%)

Nuggets: 39-26 (60.0%)

Line: -7.0

Total: 230.5

Open: -5.0

Open: 227.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Unlock Access

10:30 p.m.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Los Angeles Clippers

Timberwolves: 40-25 (61.5%)

Clippers: 32-32 (50.0%)

Line: -1.0

Total: 226.5

Open: -1.5

Open: 226.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Unlock Access

Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature Linear regression predicting spread, 20 features. Test RÂ²: 0.483, MAE: 11.20. Medium Confidence: 60-54 (52.6%)	Neutral
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 7-7 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 143-129 (52.6%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 97-70-1 (58.1%) Medium Confidence: 73-66-1 (52.5%)	Under
Total Summary	Under
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| Under

7:30 p.m. Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic

Injury Report Mar 11, 9:45 PM ET CLE4 Out ORL2 Out

Notes

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

Magic

Situational Factor(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Magic (Home)

Cavaliers (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Cavaliers Schedule

Magic Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:00 p.m. Toronto Raptors @ New Orleans Pelicans

9:00 p.m. New York Knicks @ Utah Jazz

10:00 p.m. Charlotte Hornets @ Sacramento Kings

10:00 p.m. Houston Rockets @ Denver Nuggets

10:30 p.m. Minnesota Timberwolves @ Los Angeles Clippers

7:30 p.m.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic

8:00 p.m.
Toronto Raptors @ New Orleans Pelicans

9:00 p.m.
New York Knicks @ Utah Jazz

10:00 p.m.
Charlotte Hornets @ Sacramento Kings

10:00 p.m.
Houston Rockets @ Denver Nuggets

10:30 p.m.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Los Angeles Clippers