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Updated: 02/20/26 2:17 p.m.

7:00 p.m.
Utah Jazz @ Memphis Grizzlies

Jazz: 18-38 (32.1%)

Grizzlies: 20-33 (37.7%)

Line: -1.0

Total: 239.5

Open: -3.5

Notes

Jazz

Situational Factor(s)

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

In-season revenge

Grizzlies

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

1st game of a back-to-back

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

Under

55.63% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Under
Basic Stats + Schedule	Neutral
Total Summary	Under
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| Under

Notable Trends

The Grizzlies are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Jazz are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Jazz are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

View All Records

Grizzlies (Home)

The Grizzlies are 45.3% (24-29-1) against the spread

The Grizzlies are 38.5% (10-16) against the spread at home

The Grizzlies are 52.6% (10-9) against the spread as a fav

The Grizzlies are 46.2% (6-7) against the spread as a home fav

The Grizzlies are 46.3% (25-29) to the over/under

The Grizzlies are 50% (13-13) to the over/under at home

The Grizzlies are 47.4% (9-10) to the over/under as a fav

The Grizzlies are 53.8% (7-6) to the over/under as a home fav

The Grizzlies are 46.7% (7-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Grizzlies are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Grizzlies are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Grizzlies are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Grizzlies are 66.7% (10-5) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Grizzlies are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Grizzlies are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Grizzlies are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Jazz (Away)

The Jazz are 55.4% (31-25) against the spread

The Jazz are 55.6% (15-12) against the spread away

The Jazz are 53.1% (26-23) against the spread as a dog

The Jazz are 54.2% (13-11) against the spread as an away dog

The Jazz are 57.1% (32-24) to the over/under

The Jazz are 44.4% (12-15) to the over/under away

The Jazz are 57.1% (28-21) to the over/under as a dog

The Jazz are 41.7% (10-14) to the over/under as an away dog

The Jazz are 52.9% (9-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Jazz are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Jazz are 50% (7-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Jazz are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Jazz are 52.9% (9-8) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Jazz are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Jazz are 57.1% (8-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Jazz are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/23/25	2025	Grizzlies	137	Away	Jazz	128	-4.0	242.0	-9	265
12/12/25	2025	Grizzlies	126	Home	Jazz	130	-7.5	243.5	+4	256
03/25/25	2024	Grizzlies	140	Away	Jazz	103	-11.5	241.5	-37	243
03/12/25	2024	Grizzlies	122	Home	Jazz	115	-10.5	247.5	-7	237
01/25/25	2024	Grizzlies	125	Home	Jazz	103	-11.5	248.0	-22	228
10/23/24	2024	Grizzlies	126	Away	Jazz	124	-2.5	229.0	-2	250
11/29/23	2023	Grizzlies	105	Home	Jazz	91	-3.5	223.5	-14	196
11/10/23	2023	Grizzlies	121	Home	Jazz	127	-5.0	230.5	+6	248
11/01/23	2023	Grizzlies	109	Away	Jazz	133	+1.5	225.5	+24	242
02/15/23	2022	Grizzlies	117	Home	Jazz	111	-11.0	238.0	-6	228
Grizzlies as Home (6 games)			119.3	-	-	112.8	-8.2	238.5	-6.5	232.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			122.8	-	-	116.5	-6.6	236.9	-6.3	239.3

Schedules

Jazz Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/26/26	2025	Jazz	-	home	Pelicans	-	-	-	-	-
02/23/26	2025	Jazz	-	away	Rockets	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Jazz	-	away	Grizzlies	-	+1.0	239.5	-	-
02/12/26	2025	Jazz	119	home	Trailblazers	135	+6.5	236.5	+16	254
02/11/26	2025	Jazz	121	home	Kings	93	-5.5	229.5	-28	214
02/09/26	2025	Jazz	115	away	Heat	111	+5.5	234.5	-4	226
02/07/26	2025	Jazz	117	away	Magic	120	+7.5	234.5	+3	237
02/05/26	2025	Jazz	119	away	Hawks	121	+8.5	245.5	+2	240
02/03/26	2025	Jazz	131	away	Pacers	122	-2.5	232.5	-9	253
02/01/26	2025	Jazz	100	away	Raptors	107	+10.5	234.5	+7	207
01/30/26	2025	Jazz	99	home	Nets	109	-3.5	227.0	+10	208
01/28/26	2025	Jazz	124	home	Warriors	140	+8.5	242.5	+16	264
01/27/26	2025	Jazz	103	home	Clippers	115	+8.5	234.5	+12	218
Away Games Avg (5 games)			116.4	-	-	116.2	+5.9	236.3	-0.2	232.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.8	-	-	117.3	+4.4	235.2	+2.5	232.1

Grizzlies Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/23/26	2025	Grizzlies	-	home	Kings	-	-	-	-	-
02/21/26	2025	Grizzlies	-	away	Heat	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Grizzlies	-	home	Jazz	-	-1.0	239.5	-	-
02/11/26	2025	Grizzlies	116	away	Nuggets	122	+14.5	239.5	+6	238
02/09/26	2025	Grizzlies	113	away	Warriors	114	+9.5	218.5	+1	227
02/07/26	2025	Grizzlies	115	away	Trailblazers	122	+9.5	228.5	+7	237
02/06/26	2025	Grizzlies	115	away	Trailblazers	135	+8.5	235.5	+20	250
02/04/26	2025	Grizzlies	129	away	Kings	125	+2.5	236.5	-4	254
02/02/26	2025	Grizzlies	137	home	Timberwolves	128	+7.5	232.5	-9	265
01/31/26	2025	Grizzlies	114	home	Timberwolves	131	+11.0	229.5	+17	245
01/30/26	2025	Grizzlies	106	away	Pelicans	114	+3.5	231.0	+8	220
01/28/26	2025	Grizzlies	97	home	Hornets	112	+2.5	231.5	+15	209
01/26/26	2025	Grizzlies	99	away	Rockets	108	+10.5	225.5	+9	207
Home Games Avg (3 games)			116.0	-	-	123.7	+7.0	231.2	+7.7	239.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.1	-	-	121.1	+8.0	230.9	+7.0	235.2

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:00 p.m.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Charlotte Hornets

Cavaliers: 34-21 (61.8%)

Hornets: 26-29 (47.3%)

Line: +6.5

Total: 231.0

Open: +4.5

Open: 235.0

Notes

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

Hornets

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

2nd game of a back-to-back

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Hornets are 27.8% (5-13) to the over/under as a home dog

The Hornets are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Hornets are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Cavaliers are 71.4% (10-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

View All Records

Hornets (Home)

The Hornets are 61.1% (33-21-1) against the spread

The Hornets are 60% (15-10-1) against the spread at home

The Hornets are 61.5% (24-15-1) against the spread as a dog

The Hornets are 58.8% (10-7-1) against the spread as a home dog

The Hornets are 38.2% (21-34) to the over/under

The Hornets are 30.8% (8-18) to the over/under at home

The Hornets are 35% (14-26) to the over/under as a dog

The Hornets are 27.8% (5-13) to the over/under as a home dog

The Hornets are 66.7% (10-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Hornets are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Hornets are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Hornets are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Hornets are 33.3% (5-10) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Hornets are 14.3% (1-6) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Hornets are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Hornets are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Cavaliers (Away)

The Cavaliers are 41.8% (23-32) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 50% (13-13) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 38.6% (17-27) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 41.2% (7-10) against the spread as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 47.3% (26-29) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 53.8% (14-12) to the over/under away

The Cavaliers are 50% (22-22) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 64.7% (11-6) to the over/under as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 71.4% (10-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 50% (7-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 44.4% (4-5) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Cavaliers are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/21/26	2025	Hornets	87	Home	Cavaliers	94	+3.5	238.5	+7	181
12/22/25	2025	Hornets	132	Away	Cavaliers	139	+9.5	239.5	+7	271
12/14/25	2025	Hornets	119	Away	Cavaliers	111	+12.0	232.5	-8	230
03/07/25	2024	Hornets	117	Home	Cavaliers	118	+16.0	235.0	+1	235
01/05/25	2024	Hornets	105	Away	Cavaliers	115	+16.0	231.0	+10	220
12/07/24	2024	Hornets	102	Home	Cavaliers	116	+13.5	218.5	+14	218
11/17/24	2024	Hornets	114	Away	Cavaliers	128	+10.0	225.5	+14	242
04/14/24	2023	Hornets	120	Away	Cavaliers	110	+13.0	209.0	-10	230
03/27/24	2023	Hornets	118	Home	Cavaliers	111	+10.5	206.0	-7	229
03/25/24	2023	Hornets	92	Away	Cavaliers	115	+12.5	205.5	+23	207
Hornets as Home (4 games)			106.0	-	-	109.8	+10.9	224.5	+3.8	215.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			110.6	-	-	115.7	+11.7	224.1	+5.1	226.3

Schedules

Cavaliers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/24/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	home	Knicks	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	away	Thunder	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	away	Hornets	-	-6.5	231.0	-	-
02/19/26	2025	Cavaliers		home	Nets		-16.0	229.5	0	0
02/11/26	2025	Cavaliers	138	home	Wizards	113	-17.5	238.5	-25	251
02/09/26	2025	Cavaliers	119	away	Nuggets	117	+2.5	242.5	-2	236
02/07/26	2025	Cavaliers	132	away	Kings	126	-13.5	229.5	-6	258
02/04/26	2025	Cavaliers	124	away	Clippers	91	-2.5	221.5	-33	215
02/01/26	2025	Cavaliers	130	away	Trailblazers	111	-3.5	228.5	-19	241
01/30/26	2025	Cavaliers	113	away	Suns	126	-2.0	222.0	+13	239
01/28/26	2025	Cavaliers	129	home	Lakers	99	-3.5	233.5	-30	228
01/26/26	2025	Cavaliers	114	home	Magic	98	-4.5	221.5	-16	212
01/24/26	2025	Cavaliers	119	away	Magic	105	+1.5	225.5	-14	224
Away Games Avg (6 games)			122.8	-	-	112.7	-2.9	228.3	-10.2	235.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			111.8	-	-	98.6	-5.9	229.3	-13.2	210.4

Hornets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/24/26	2025	Hornets	-	away	Bulls	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Hornets	-	away	Wizards	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Hornets	-	home	Cavaliers	-	+6.5	231.0	-	-
02/19/26	2025	Hornets		home	Rockets		+4.5	218.0	0	0
02/11/26	2025	Hornets	110	home	Hawks	107	-2.5	235.5	-3	217
02/09/26	2025	Hornets	104	home	Pistons	110	+2.5	222.5	+6	214
02/07/26	2025	Hornets	126	away	Hawks	119	-1.5	233.5	-7	245
02/05/26	2025	Hornets	109	away	Rockets	99	+4.5	218.5	-10	208
02/02/26	2025	Hornets	102	home	Pelicans	95	-6.5	230.5	-7	197
01/31/26	2025	Hornets	111	home	Spurs	106	+4.0	228.0	-5	217
01/29/26	2025	Hornets	123	away	Mavericks	121	-3.5	225.5	-2	244
01/28/26	2025	Hornets	112	away	Grizzlies	97	-2.5	231.5	-15	209
01/26/26	2025	Hornets	130	home	Seventysixers	93	-2.0	228.5	-37	223
Home Games Avg (6 games)			92.8	-	-	85.2	0.0	227.2	-7.7	178.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			102.7	-	-	94.7	-0.3	227.2	-8.0	197.4

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:00 p.m.
Indiana Pacers @ Washington Wizards

Pacers: 15-40 (27.3%)

Wizards: 14-39 (26.4%)

Line: +2.0

Total: 230.5

Open: +2.5

Open: 232.5

Notes

Pacers

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

Wizards

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Pacers are 25% (2-6) to the over/under as a fav

View All Records

Wizards (Home)

The Wizards are 41.5% (22-31) against the spread

The Wizards are 44.4% (12-15) against the spread at home

The Wizards are 42% (21-29) against the spread as a dog

The Wizards are 45.8% (11-13) against the spread as a home dog

The Wizards are 52.8% (28-25) to the over/under

The Wizards are 51.9% (14-13) to the over/under at home

The Wizards are 52% (26-24) to the over/under as a dog

The Wizards are 50% (12-12) to the over/under as a home dog

The Wizards are 46.7% (7-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Wizards are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Wizards are 46.7% (7-8) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Wizards are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Wizards are 60% (9-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Wizards are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Wizards are 60% (9-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Wizards are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Pacers (Away)

The Pacers are 50.9% (28-27) against the spread

The Pacers are 40.7% (11-16) against the spread away

The Pacers are 37.5% (3-5) against the spread as a fav

The Pacers are 0% (0-2) against the spread as an away fav

The Pacers are 41.8% (23-32) to the over/under

The Pacers are 37% (10-17) to the over/under away

The Pacers are 25% (2-6) to the over/under as a fav

The Pacers are 50% (1-1) to the over/under as an away fav

The Pacers are 46.7% (7-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Pacers are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Pacers are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Pacers are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Pacers are 53.3% (8-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Pacers are 44.4% (4-5) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Pacers are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Pacers are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/19/26	2025	Wizards		Home	Pacers		+2.0	233.5	0	0
12/14/25	2025	Wizards	108	Away	Pacers	89	+10.0	233.5	-19	197
11/28/25	2025	Wizards	86	Away	Pacers	119	+6.0	240.5	+33	205
04/08/25	2024	Wizards	98	Away	Pacers	104	+19.0	236.0	+6	202
03/27/25	2024	Wizards	109	Home	Pacers	162	+12.0	234.5	+53	271
02/12/25	2024	Wizards	130	Home	Pacers	134	+10.0	242.5	+4	264
11/24/24	2024	Wizards	103	Away	Pacers	115	+12.5	241.0	+12	218
01/10/24	2023	Wizards	104	Away	Pacers	112	+7.5	253.0	+8	216
12/15/23	2023	Wizards	137	Home	Pacers	123	+8.5	260.5	-14	260
10/25/23	2023	Wizards	120	Away	Pacers	143	+5.0	235.5	+23	263
Wizards as Home (4 games)			94.0	-	-	104.8	+8.1	242.8	+10.8	198.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			99.5	-	-	110.1	+9.3	241.1	+10.6	209.6

Schedules

Pacers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/24/26	2025	Pacers	-	home	Seventysixers	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Pacers	-	home	Mavericks	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Pacers	-	away	Wizards	-	-2.0	230.5	-	-
02/19/26	2025	Pacers		away	Wizards		-2.0	233.5	0	0
02/11/26	2025	Pacers	115	away	Nets	110	+6.5	215.5	-5	225
02/10/26	2025	Pacers	137	away	Knicks	134	+11.5	227.5	-3	271
02/08/26	2025	Pacers	104	away	Raptors	122	+7.5	226.5	+18	226
02/06/26	2025	Pacers	99	away	Bucks	105	-1.5	223.5	+6	204
02/03/26	2025	Pacers	122	home	Jazz	131	+2.5	232.5	+9	253
02/02/26	2025	Pacers	114	home	Rockets	118	+6.5	218.5	+4	232
01/31/26	2025	Pacers	129	home	Hawks	124	+1.5	235.5	-5	253
01/28/26	2025	Pacers	113	home	Bulls	110	+1.5	235.5	-3	223
01/26/26	2025	Pacers	116	away	Hawks	132	+5.5	234.0	+16	248
Away Games Avg (6 games)			95.2	-	-	100.5	+4.6	226.8	+5.3	195.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			104.9	-	-	108.6	+4.0	228.3	+3.7	213.5

Wizards Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/24/26	2025	Wizards	-	away	Hawks	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Wizards	-	home	Hornets	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Wizards	-	home	Pacers	-	+2.0	230.5	-	-
02/19/26	2025	Wizards		home	Pacers		+2.0	233.5	0	0
02/11/26	2025	Wizards	113	away	Cavaliers	138	+17.5	238.5	+25	251
02/08/26	2025	Wizards	101	home	Heat	132	+13.5	235.5	+31	233
02/07/26	2025	Wizards	113	away	Nets	127	+8.5	216.5	+14	240
02/05/26	2025	Wizards	126	away	Pistons	117	+17.5	227.5	-9	243
02/03/26	2025	Wizards	101	home	Knicks	132	+12.5	227.5	+31	233
02/01/26	2025	Wizards	116	home	Kings	112	+1.5	226.5	-4	228
01/30/26	2025	Wizards	111	home	Lakers	142	+10.5	230.0	+31	253
01/29/26	2025	Wizards	109	home	Bucks	99	+1.5	223.5	-10	208
01/27/26	2025	Wizards	115	home	Trailblazers	111	+6.5	232.5	-4	226
Home Games Avg (7 games)			93.3	-	-	104.0	+6.9	229.9	+10.7	197.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			100.5	-	-	111.0	+9.2	229.2	+10.5	211.5

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:30 p.m.
Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks

Heat: 29-27 (51.8%)

Hawks: 26-30 (46.4%)

Line: +3.5

Total: 243.5

Open: +2.5

Open: 242.5

Notes

Heat

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

1st game of a back-to-back

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Hawks

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

Under

58.75% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule	Under (2x)
Total Summary	Under
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| Under

Notable Trends

The Hawks are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Hawks are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Heat are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Heat are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

View All Records

Hawks (Home)

The Hawks are 46.4% (26-30) against the spread

The Hawks are 36% (9-16) against the spread at home

The Hawks are 56.3% (18-14) against the spread as a dog

The Hawks are 53.8% (7-6) against the spread as a home dog

The Hawks are 51.8% (29-27) to the over/under

The Hawks are 44% (11-14) to the over/under at home

The Hawks are 53.1% (17-15) to the over/under as a dog

The Hawks are 53.8% (7-6) to the over/under as a home dog

The Hawks are 33.3% (5-10) (L30 days) against the spread

The Hawks are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Hawks are 40% (4-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Hawks are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Hawks are 53.3% (8-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Hawks are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Hawks are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Hawks are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Heat (Away)

The Heat are 56.1% (32-25-1) against the spread

The Heat are 62.1% (18-11-1) against the spread away

The Heat are 50% (15-15) against the spread as a fav

The Heat are 66.7% (6-3) against the spread as an away fav

The Heat are 48.3% (28-30) to the over/under

The Heat are 46.7% (14-16) to the over/under away

The Heat are 40% (12-18) to the over/under as a fav

The Heat are 33.3% (3-6) to the over/under as an away fav

The Heat are 55.6% (10-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Heat are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Heat are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Heat are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Heat are 55.6% (10-8) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Heat are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Heat are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Heat are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/03/26	2025	Hawks	127	Away	Heat	115	+1.5	235.5	-12	242
12/26/25	2025	Hawks	111	Home	Heat	126	-2.5	250.5	+15	237
04/18/25	2024	Hawks	114	Home	Heat	123	+2.0	221.0	+9	237
03/27/25	2024	Hawks	112	Away	Heat	122	+1.0	224.5	+10	234
02/26/25	2024	Hawks	109	Away	Heat	131	+3.0	229.0	+22	240
02/24/25	2024	Hawks	98	Home	Heat	86	-2.5	232.0	-12	184
12/28/24	2024	Hawks	120	Home	Heat	110	+1.0	227.5	-10	230
04/09/24	2023	Hawks	111	Home	Heat	117	+3.5	222.0	+6	228
01/19/24	2023	Hawks	109	Away	Heat	108	+7.0	221.5	-1	217
12/22/23	2023	Hawks	113	Away	Heat	122	+1.5	238.5	+9	235
Hawks as Home (5 games)			110.8	-	-	112.4	+0.3	230.6	+1.6	223.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			112.4	-	-	116.0	+1.6	230.2	+3.6	228.4

Schedules

Heat Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/24/26	2025	Heat	-	away	Bucks	-	-	-	-	-
02/21/26	2025	Heat	-	home	Grizzlies	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Heat	-	away	Hawks	-	-3.5	243.5	-	-
02/11/26	2025	Heat	123	away	Pelicans	111	+1.5	233.5	-12	234
02/09/26	2025	Heat	111	home	Jazz	115	-5.5	234.5	+4	226
02/08/26	2025	Heat	132	away	Wizards	101	-13.5	235.5	-31	233
02/06/26	2025	Heat	96	away	Celtics	98	+5.5	227.5	+2	194
02/03/26	2025	Heat	115	home	Hawks	127	-1.5	235.5	+12	242
02/01/26	2025	Heat	134	home	Bulls	91	-5.5	233.5	-43	225
01/31/26	2025	Heat	118	home	Bulls	125	-6.0	231.0	+7	243
01/30/26	2025	Heat	0	home	Bulls	0	-1.0	240.5	0	0
01/29/26	2025	Heat	116	away	Bulls	113	-2.5	237.5	-3	229
01/28/26	2025	Heat	124	home	Magic	133	-3.5	232.5	+9	257
Away Games Avg (4 games)			116.8	-	-	105.8	-2.3	233.5	-11.0	222.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			106.9	-	-	101.4	-3.2	234.2	-5.5	208.3

Hawks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/24/26	2025	Hawks	-	home	Wizards	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Hawks	-	home	Nets	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Hawks	-	home	Heat	-	+3.5	243.5	-	-
02/19/26	2025	Hawks		away	Seventysixers		+1.0	241.0	0	0
02/11/26	2025	Hawks	107	away	Hornets	110	+2.5	235.5	+3	217
02/09/26	2025	Hawks	116	away	Timberwolves	138	+8.5	239.5	+22	254
02/07/26	2025	Hawks	119	home	Hornets	126	+1.5	233.5	+7	245
02/05/26	2025	Hawks	121	home	Jazz	119	-8.5	245.5	-2	240
02/03/26	2025	Hawks	127	away	Heat	115	+1.5	235.5	-12	242
01/31/26	2025	Hawks	124	away	Pacers	129	-1.5	235.5	+5	253
01/29/26	2025	Hawks	86	home	Rockets	104	+6.5	224.5	+18	190
01/28/26	2025	Hawks	117	away	Celtics	106	+5.5	232.5	-11	223
01/26/26	2025	Hawks	132	home	Pacers	116	-5.5	234.0	-16	248
Home Games Avg (4 games)			114.5	-	-	116.3	-1.5	234.4	+1.8	230.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			104.9	-	-	106.3	+1.2	235.7	+1.4	211.2

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:30 p.m.
Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves

Mavericks: 19-35 (35.2%)

Timberwolves: 34-22 (60.7%)

Line: -13.5

Total: 239.0

Open: -13.0

Open: 235.5

Notes

Mavericks

Situational Factor(s)

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

Timberwolves

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Timberwolves are 30% (9-21) to the over/under at home

The Timberwolves are 26.9% (7-19) to the over/under as a home fav

The Timberwolves are 25% (2-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

View All Records

Timberwolves (Home)

The Timberwolves are 43.9% (25-32) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 43.3% (13-17) against the spread at home

The Timberwolves are 41.3% (19-27) against the spread as a fav

The Timberwolves are 42.3% (11-15) against the spread as a home fav

The Timberwolves are 47.4% (27-30) to the over/under

The Timberwolves are 30% (9-21) to the over/under at home

The Timberwolves are 43.5% (20-26) to the over/under as a fav

The Timberwolves are 26.9% (7-19) to the over/under as a home fav

The Timberwolves are 47.1% (8-9) (L30 days) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 44.4% (4-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Timberwolves are 38.5% (5-8) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Timberwolves are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Timberwolves are 52.9% (9-8) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Timberwolves are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Timberwolves are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Timberwolves are 25% (2-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Mavericks (Away)

The Mavericks are 44.4% (24-30-1) against the spread

The Mavericks are 34.8% (8-15-1) against the spread away

The Mavericks are 50% (19-19-1) against the spread as a dog

The Mavericks are 41.2% (7-10-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Mavericks are 43.6% (24-31) to the over/under

The Mavericks are 37.5% (9-15) to the over/under away

The Mavericks are 48.7% (19-20) to the over/under as a dog

The Mavericks are 44.4% (8-10) to the over/under as an away dog

The Mavericks are 46.7% (7-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mavericks are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Mavericks are 41.7% (5-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Mavericks are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Mavericks are 53.3% (8-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Mavericks are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Mavericks are 41.7% (5-7) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Mavericks are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/28/26	2025	Timberwolves	118	Away	Mavericks	105	-8.5	229.5	-13	223
11/17/25	2025	Timberwolves	120	Home	Mavericks	96	-14.5	232.5	-24	216
01/22/25	2024	Timberwolves	115	Away	Mavericks	114	-3.5	213.0	-1	229
12/25/24	2024	Timberwolves	105	Away	Mavericks	99	+5.0	222.5	-6	204
10/29/24	2024	Timberwolves	114	Home	Mavericks	120	-4.5	220.5	+6	234
05/30/24	2023	Timberwolves	103	Home	Mavericks	124	-4.5	209.5	+21	227
05/28/24	2023	Timberwolves	105	Away	Mavericks	100	+1.5	210.5	-5	205
05/26/24	2023	Timberwolves	107	Away	Mavericks	116	+2.5	207.5	+9	223
05/24/24	2023	Timberwolves	108	Home	Mavericks	109	-5.5	207.0	+1	217
05/22/24	2023	Timberwolves	105	Home	Mavericks	108	-4.0	207.0	+3	213
Timberwolves as Home (5 games)			110.0	-	-	111.4	-6.6	215.3	+1.4	221.4
All Games Avg (10 games)			110.0	-	-	109.1	-3.6	216.0	-0.9	219.1

Schedules

Mavericks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/24/26	2025	Mavericks	-	away	Nets	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Mavericks	-	away	Pacers	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Mavericks	-	away	Timberwolves	-	+13.5	239.0	-	-
02/12/26	2025	Mavericks	104	away	Lakers	124	+6.5	237.5	+20	228
02/10/26	2025	Mavericks	111	away	Suns	120	+8.5	229.5	+9	231
02/07/26	2025	Mavericks	125	away	Spurs	138	+11.5	233.5	+13	263
02/05/26	2025	Mavericks	123	home	Spurs	135	+7.5	230.5	+12	258
02/03/26	2025	Mavericks	100	home	Celtics	110	+7.5	223.5	+10	210
01/31/26	2025	Mavericks	107	away	Rockets	111	+10.5	222.5	+4	218
01/29/26	2025	Mavericks	121	home	Hornets	123	+3.5	225.5	+2	244
01/28/26	2025	Mavericks	105	home	Timberwolves	118	+8.5	229.5	+13	223
01/25/26	2025	Mavericks	0	away	Bucks	0	+2.5	219.5	0	0
01/24/26	2025	Mavericks	110	home	Lakers	116	+4.0	234.0	+6	226
Away Games Avg (5 games)			89.4	-	-	98.6	+7.9	228.5	+9.2	188.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			100.6	-	-	109.5	+7.1	228.6	+8.9	210.1

Timberwolves Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/24/26	2025	Timberwolves	-	away	Trailblazers	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Timberwolves	-	home	Seventysixers	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Timberwolves	-	home	Mavericks	-	-13.5	239.0	-	-
02/11/26	2025	Timberwolves	133	home	Trailblazers	109	-7.5	237.5	-24	242
02/09/26	2025	Timberwolves	138	home	Hawks	116	-8.5	239.5	-22	254
02/08/26	2025	Timberwolves	96	home	Clippers	115	-8.5	222.5	+19	211
02/06/26	2025	Timberwolves	115	home	Pelicans	119	-8.5	237.5	+4	234
02/04/26	2025	Timberwolves	128	away	Raptors	126	-2.5	228.5	-2	254
02/02/26	2025	Timberwolves	128	away	Grizzlies	137	-7.5	232.5	+9	265
01/31/26	2025	Timberwolves	131	away	Grizzlies	114	-11.0	229.5	-17	245
01/29/26	2025	Timberwolves	123	home	Thunder	111	+5.5	227.5	-12	234
01/28/26	2025	Timberwolves	118	away	Mavericks	105	-8.5	229.5	-13	223
01/26/26	2025	Timberwolves	108	home	Warriors	83	-8.0	226.0	-25	191
Home Games Avg (6 games)			118.8	-	-	108.8	-5.9	231.8	-10.0	227.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			121.8	-	-	113.5	-6.5	231.1	-8.3	235.3

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:00 p.m.
Milwaukee Bucks @ New Orleans Pelicans

Bucks: 23-30 (43.4%)

Pelicans: 15-41 (26.8%)

Line: -4.0

Total: 222.0

Open: -3.0

Open: 222.0

Notes

Bucks

Situational Factor(s)

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Pelicans

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

In-season revenge

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

1st game of a back-to-back

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

Under

55.63% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule	Under
Total Summary	Under
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| Under

Notable Trends

The Pelicans are 75% (6-2) against the spread as a fav

The Pelicans are 83.3% (5-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Pelicans are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Pelicans are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

The Bucks are 25% (2-6) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Bucks are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

View All Records

Pelicans (Home)

The Pelicans are 50.9% (28-27-1) against the spread

The Pelicans are 53.6% (15-13-1) against the spread at home

The Pelicans are 75% (6-2) against the spread as a fav

The Pelicans are 83.3% (5-1) against the spread as a home fav

The Pelicans are 50% (28-28) to the over/under

The Pelicans are 55.2% (16-13) to the over/under at home

The Pelicans are 37.5% (3-5) to the over/under as a fav

The Pelicans are 33.3% (2-4) to the over/under as a home fav

The Pelicans are 53.3% (8-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Pelicans are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Pelicans are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Pelicans are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Pelicans are 40% (6-9) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Pelicans are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Pelicans are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Pelicans are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Bucks (Away)

The Bucks are 44.4% (24-30) against the spread

The Bucks are 44.8% (13-16) against the spread away

The Bucks are 53.1% (17-15) against the spread as a dog

The Bucks are 52.6% (10-9) against the spread as an away dog

The Bucks are 38.9% (21-33) to the over/under

The Bucks are 31% (9-20) to the over/under away

The Bucks are 40.6% (13-19) to the over/under as a dog

The Bucks are 31.6% (6-13) to the over/under as an away dog

The Bucks are 40% (6-9) (L30 days) against the spread

The Bucks are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Bucks are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Bucks are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Bucks are 33.3% (5-10) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Bucks are 25% (2-6) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Bucks are 36.4% (4-7) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Bucks are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/04/26	2025	Pelicans	137	Away	Bucks	141	-4.5	223.5	+4	278
04/10/25	2024	Pelicans	111	Away	Bucks	136	+16.5	223.5	+25	247
04/06/25	2024	Pelicans	107	Home	Bucks	111	+6.5	218.0	+4	218
03/28/24	2023	Pelicans	107	Home	Bucks	100	+2.5	226.0	-7	207
01/27/24	2023	Pelicans	117	Away	Bucks	141	+5.0	241.0	+24	258
01/29/23	2022	Pelicans	110	Away	Bucks	135	+10.5	229.0	+25	245
12/19/22	2022	Pelicans	119	Home	Bucks	128	-1.0	227.5	+9	247
Pelicans as Home (3 games)			111.0	-	-	113.0	+2.7	223.8	+2.0	224.0
All Games Avg (7 games)			115.4	-	-	127.4	+5.1	226.9	+12.0	242.9

Schedules

Bucks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/24/26	2025	Bucks	-	home	Heat	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Bucks	-	home	Raptors	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Bucks	-	away	Pelicans	-	+4.0	222.0	-	-
02/12/26	2025	Bucks	110	away	Thunder	93	+13.5	214.5	-17	203
02/11/26	2025	Bucks	116	away	Magic	108	+11.5	219.5	-8	224
02/09/26	2025	Bucks	99	away	Magic	118	+9.5	220.5	+19	217
02/06/26	2025	Bucks	105	home	Pacers	99	+1.5	223.5	-6	204
02/04/26	2025	Bucks	141	home	Pelicans	137	+4.5	223.5	-4	278
02/03/26	2025	Bucks	131	home	Bulls	115	+1.5	222.5	-16	246
02/01/26	2025	Bucks	79	away	Celtics	107	+13.5	217.5	+28	186
01/29/26	2025	Bucks	99	away	Wizards	109	-1.5	223.5	+10	208
01/27/26	2025	Bucks	122	away	Seventysixers	139	+10.5	219.5	+17	261
01/25/26	2025	Bucks	0	home	Mavericks	0	-2.5	219.5	0	0
Away Games Avg (6 games)			104.2	-	-	112.3	+9.5	219.2	+8.2	216.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			100.2	-	-	102.5	+6.2	220.4	+2.3	202.7

Pelicans Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/24/26	2025	Pelicans	-	home	Warriors	-	-	-	-	-
02/21/26	2025	Pelicans	-	home	Seventysixers	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Pelicans	-	home	Bucks	-	-4.0	222.0	-	-
02/11/26	2025	Pelicans	111	home	Heat	123	-1.5	233.5	+12	234
02/09/26	2025	Pelicans	120	home	Kings	94	-9.5	229.5	-26	214
02/06/26	2025	Pelicans	119	away	Timberwolves	115	+8.5	237.5	-4	234
02/04/26	2025	Pelicans	137	away	Bucks	141	-4.5	223.5	+4	278
02/02/26	2025	Pelicans	95	away	Hornets	102	+6.5	230.5	+7	197
01/31/26	2025	Pelicans	114	away	Seventysixers	124	+6.5	234.5	+10	238
01/30/26	2025	Pelicans	114	home	Grizzlies	106	-3.5	231.0	-8	220
01/27/26	2025	Pelicans	95	away	Thunder	104	+14.5	233.5	+9	199
01/25/26	2025	Pelicans	104	away	Spurs	95	+11.5	239.5	-9	199
01/23/26	2025	Pelicans	133	away	Grizzlies	127	+5.0	240.0	-6	260
Home Games Avg (3 games)			115.0	-	-	107.7	-4.8	231.3	-7.3	222.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.2	-	-	113.1	+3.4	233.3	-1.1	227.3

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:00 p.m.
Brooklyn Nets @ Oklahoma City Thunder

Nets: 15-38 (28.3%)

Thunder: 42-14 (75.0%)

Line: -18.0

Total: 212.5

Open: -16.0

Open: 210.5

Notes

Nets

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

Thunder

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

Over

55.63% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule	Over
Total Summary	Over
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| Over

Notable Trends

The Thunder are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Thunder are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Thunder are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

View All Records

Thunder (Home)

The Thunder are 48.2% (27-29) against the spread

The Thunder are 44.8% (13-16) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 49.1% (27-28) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 44.8% (13-16) against the spread as a home fav

The Thunder are 53.6% (30-26) to the over/under

The Thunder are 48.3% (14-15) to the over/under at home

The Thunder are 52.7% (29-26) to the over/under as a fav

The Thunder are 48.3% (14-15) to the over/under as a home fav

The Thunder are 50% (8-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Thunder are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 53.3% (8-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Thunder are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Thunder are 56.3% (9-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Thunder are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Thunder are 53.3% (8-7) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Thunder are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Nets (Away)

The Nets are 48.1% (25-27-1) against the spread

The Nets are 48% (12-13-1) against the spread away

The Nets are 45.8% (22-26-1) against the spread as a dog

The Nets are 48% (12-13-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Nets are 46.2% (24-28-1) to the over/under

The Nets are 40% (10-15-1) to the over/under away

The Nets are 45.8% (22-26-1) to the over/under as a dog

The Nets are 40% (10-15-1) to the over/under as an away dog

The Nets are 50% (8-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Nets are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Nets are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Nets are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Nets are 62.5% (10-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Nets are 44.4% (4-5) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Nets are 61.5% (8-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Nets are 44.4% (4-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/26/25	2024	Thunder	129	Away	Nets	121	-17.0	216.5	-8	250
01/19/25	2024	Thunder	127	Home	Nets	101	-16.0	217.0	-26	228
01/05/24	2023	Thunder	115	Away	Nets	124	-5.5	234.5	+9	239
12/31/23	2023	Thunder	124	Home	Nets	108	-8.0	236.5	-16	232
03/14/23	2022	Thunder	121	Home	Nets	107	-1.0	233.5	-14	228
01/15/23	2022	Thunder	112	Away	Nets	102	+4.5	230.0	-10	214
Thunder as Home (3 games)			124.0	-	-	105.3	-8.3	229.0	-18.7	229.3
All Games Avg (6 games)			121.3	-	-	110.5	-7.2	228.0	-10.8	231.8

Schedules

Nets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/24/26	2025	Nets	-	home	Mavericks	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Nets	-	away	Hawks	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Nets	-	away	Thunder	-	+18.0	212.5	-	-
02/19/26	2025	Nets		away	Cavaliers		+16.0	229.5	0	0
02/11/26	2025	Nets	110	home	Pacers	115	-6.5	215.5	+5	225
02/09/26	2025	Nets	123	home	Bulls	115	+3.5	218.5	-8	238
02/07/26	2025	Nets	127	home	Wizards	113	-8.5	216.5	-14	240
02/05/26	2025	Nets	98	away	Magic	118	+9.5	214.5	+20	216
02/03/26	2025	Nets	109	home	Lakers	125	+7.5	223.5	+16	234
02/01/26	2025	Nets	77	away	Pistons	130	+13.5	214.5	+53	207
01/30/26	2025	Nets	109	away	Jazz	99	+3.5	227.0	-10	208
01/29/26	2025	Nets	103	away	Nuggets	107	+6.5	209.5	+4	210
01/27/26	2025	Nets	102	away	Suns	106	+7.5	210.5	+4	208
Away Games Avg (6 games)			81.5	-	-	93.3	+9.4	217.6	+11.8	174.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			95.8	-	-	102.8	+5.3	218.0	+7.0	198.6

Thunder Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/24/26	2025	Thunder	-	away	Raptors	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Thunder	-	home	Cavaliers	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Thunder	-	home	Nets	-	-18.0	212.5	-	-
02/12/26	2025	Thunder	93	home	Bucks	110	-13.5	214.5	+17	203
02/11/26	2025	Thunder	136	away	Suns	109	-7.5	211.5	-27	245
02/09/26	2025	Thunder	119	away	Lakers	110	-7.5	222.5	-9	229
02/07/26	2025	Thunder	106	home	Rockets	112	-3.5	213.5	+6	218
02/04/26	2025	Thunder	106	away	Spurs	116	+9.5	221.5	+10	222
02/03/26	2025	Thunder	128	home	Magic	92	-11.5	222.5	-36	220
02/01/26	2025	Thunder	121	away	Nuggets	111	-7.5	225.5	-10	232
01/29/26	2025	Thunder	111	away	Timberwolves	123	-5.5	227.5	+12	234
01/27/26	2025	Thunder	104	home	Pelicans	95	-14.5	233.5	-9	199
01/25/26	2025	Thunder	101	home	Raptors	103	-11.5	225.5	+2	204
Home Games Avg (5 games)			106.4	-	-	102.4	-10.9	221.9	-4.0	208.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			112.5	-	-	108.1	-7.3	221.8	-4.4	220.6

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

10:00 p.m.
Los Angeles Clippers @ Los Angeles Lakers

Clippers: 26-28 (48.1%)

Lakers: 33-21 (61.1%)

Line: -6.5

Total: 223.5

Open: -6.5

Open: 223.5

Notes

Clippers

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

Lakers

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

In-season revenge

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Lakers are 90.9% (10-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Lakers are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Clippers are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

View All Records

Lakers (Home)

The Lakers are 53.8% (28-24-2) against the spread

The Lakers are 52.2% (12-11-2) against the spread at home

The Lakers are 66.7% (20-10-2) against the spread as a fav

The Lakers are 66.7% (10-5-2) against the spread as a home fav

The Lakers are 55.6% (30-24) to the over/under

The Lakers are 68% (17-8) to the over/under at home

The Lakers are 50% (16-16) to the over/under as a fav

The Lakers are 58.8% (10-7) to the over/under as a home fav

The Lakers are 58.8% (10-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Lakers are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Lakers are 90.9% (10-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Lakers are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Lakers are 47.1% (8-9) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Lakers are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Lakers are 45.5% (5-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Lakers are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Clippers (Away)

The Clippers are 50% (27-27) against the spread

The Clippers are 53.3% (16-14) against the spread away

The Clippers are 57.1% (16-12) against the spread as a dog

The Clippers are 60% (12-8) against the spread as an away dog

The Clippers are 50% (27-27) to the over/under

The Clippers are 53.3% (16-14) to the over/under away

The Clippers are 53.6% (15-13) to the over/under as a dog

The Clippers are 55% (11-9) to the over/under as an away dog

The Clippers are 60% (9-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Clippers are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Clippers are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Clippers are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Clippers are 46.7% (7-8) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Clippers are 50% (5-5) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Clippers are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Clippers are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/22/26	2025	Lakers	104	Away	Clippers	112	+2.5	224.5	+8	216
12/20/25	2025	Lakers	88	Away	Clippers	103	-2.0	229.5	+15	191
11/25/25	2025	Lakers	135	Home	Clippers	118	-6.0	227.5	-17	253
03/02/25	2024	Lakers	108	Home	Clippers	102	+2.5	221.5	-6	210
02/28/25	2024	Lakers	106	Home	Clippers	102	-2.0	220.0	-4	208
02/04/25	2024	Lakers	122	Away	Clippers	97	+9.0	222.5	-25	219
01/19/25	2024	Lakers	102	Away	Clippers	116	+4.5	216.5	+14	218
02/28/24	2023	Lakers	116	Away	Clippers	112	+3.5	234.5	-4	228
01/23/24	2023	Lakers	116	Away	Clippers	127	+9.5	234.5	+11	243
01/07/24	2023	Lakers	106	Home	Clippers	103	+6.0	232.0	-3	209
Lakers as Home (4 games)			113.8	-	-	106.3	+0.1	225.3	-7.5	220.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			110.3	-	-	109.2	+2.8	226.3	-1.1	219.5

Schedules

Clippers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/26/26	2025	Clippers	-	home	Timberwolves	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Clippers	-	home	Magic	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Clippers	-	away	Lakers	-	+6.5	223.5	-	-
02/19/26	2025	Clippers		home	Nuggets		+4.5	226.0	0	0
02/11/26	2025	Clippers	105	away	Rockets	102	+8.5	212.5	-3	207
02/10/26	2025	Clippers	95	away	Rockets	102	+9.5	213.5	+7	197
02/08/26	2025	Clippers	115	away	Timberwolves	96	+8.5	222.5	-19	211
02/06/26	2025	Clippers	114	away	Kings	111	-3.5	221.5	-3	225
02/04/26	2025	Clippers	91	home	Cavaliers	124	+2.5	221.5	+33	215
02/02/26	2025	Clippers	113	home	Seventysixers	128	+1.5	220.5	+15	241
02/01/26	2025	Clippers	117	away	Suns	93	+2.5	209.5	-24	210
01/30/26	2025	Clippers	109	away	Nuggets	122	-2.5	219.0	+13	231
01/27/26	2025	Clippers	115	away	Jazz	103	-8.5	234.5	-12	218
Away Games Avg (7 games)			110.0	-	-	104.1	+2.1	219.0	-5.9	214.1
All Games Avg (10 games)			97.4	-	-	98.1	+2.3	220.1	+0.7	195.5

Lakers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/24/26	2025	Lakers	-	home	Magic	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Lakers	-	home	Celtics	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Lakers	-	home	Clippers	-	-6.5	223.5	-	-
02/12/26	2025	Lakers	124	home	Mavericks	104	-6.5	237.5	-20	228
02/10/26	2025	Lakers	108	home	Spurs	136	+13.5	226.5	+28	244
02/09/26	2025	Lakers	110	home	Thunder	119	+7.5	222.5	+9	229
02/07/26	2025	Lakers	105	home	Warriors	99	-2.5	219.5	-6	204
02/05/26	2025	Lakers	119	home	Seventysixers	115	-2.5	236.5	-4	234
02/03/26	2025	Lakers	125	away	Nets	109	-7.5	223.5	-16	234
02/01/26	2025	Lakers	100	away	Knicks	112	+5.5	227.5	+12	212
01/30/26	2025	Lakers	142	away	Wizards	111	-10.5	230.0	-31	253
01/28/26	2025	Lakers	99	away	Cavaliers	129	+3.5	233.5	+30	228
01/26/26	2025	Lakers	129	away	Bulls	118	-1.5	235.5	-11	247
Home Games Avg (5 games)			113.2	-	-	114.6	+1.9	228.5	+1.4	227.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			116.1	-	-	115.2	-0.1	229.3	-0.9	231.3

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

10:00 p.m.
Denver Nuggets @ Portland Trailblazers

Nuggets: 35-20 (63.6%)

Trailblazers: 27-29 (48.2%)

Line: +1.5

Total: 240.0

Open: 238.5

Notes

Nuggets

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

2nd game of a back-to-back

Trailblazers

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

1st game of a back-to-back

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

Under

58.75% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule	Under (2x)
Total Summary	Under
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| Under

Notable Trends

The Trailblazers are 25% (2-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Trailblazers are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Trailblazers are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Nuggets are 73.7% (14-5) to the over/under as an away fav

The Nuggets are 87.5% (7-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

View All Records

Trailblazers (Home)

The Trailblazers are 54.5% (30-25-1) against the spread

The Trailblazers are 58.6% (17-12) against the spread at home

The Trailblazers are 55.9% (19-15) against the spread as a dog

The Trailblazers are 61.1% (11-7) against the spread as a home dog

The Trailblazers are 54.5% (30-25-1) to the over/under

The Trailblazers are 62.1% (18-11) to the over/under at home

The Trailblazers are 39.4% (13-20-1) to the over/under as a dog

The Trailblazers are 44.4% (8-10) to the over/under as a home dog

The Trailblazers are 50% (8-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Trailblazers are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Trailblazers are 25% (2-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Trailblazers are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Trailblazers are 60% (9-6-1) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Trailblazers are 77.8% (7-2) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Trailblazers are 42.9% (3-4-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Trailblazers are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Nuggets (Away)

The Nuggets are 57.1% (32-24) against the spread

The Nuggets are 66.7% (20-10) against the spread away

The Nuggets are 51.4% (18-17) against the spread as a fav

The Nuggets are 57.9% (11-8) against the spread as an away fav

The Nuggets are 58.9% (33-23) to the over/under

The Nuggets are 63.3% (19-11) to the over/under away

The Nuggets are 68.6% (24-11) to the over/under as a fav

The Nuggets are 73.7% (14-5) to the over/under as an away fav

The Nuggets are 52.9% (9-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Nuggets are 87.5% (7-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Nuggets are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Nuggets are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Nuggets are 52.9% (9-8) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Nuggets are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Nuggets are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Nuggets are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/31/25	2025	Trailblazers	109	Home	Nuggets	107	+5.5	239.5	-2	216
03/21/25	2024	Trailblazers	128	Home	Nuggets	109	+1.5	227.0	-19	237
02/12/25	2024	Trailblazers	121	Away	Nuggets	132	+8.0	232.0	+11	253
02/10/25	2024	Trailblazers	117	Away	Nuggets	146	+9.0	230.0	+29	263
12/19/24	2024	Trailblazers	126	Home	Nuggets	124	+8.5	234.5	-2	250
03/23/24	2023	Trailblazers	111	Home	Nuggets	114	+10.0	209.0	+3	225
02/23/24	2023	Trailblazers	112	Home	Nuggets	127	+9.0	218.5	+15	239
02/04/24	2023	Trailblazers	103	Away	Nuggets	112	+14.5	218.0	+9	215
02/02/24	2023	Trailblazers	108	Away	Nuggets	120	+12.0	220.5	+12	228
01/17/23	2022	Trailblazers	113	Away	Nuggets	122	+6.0	239.0	+9	235
Trailblazers as Home (5 games)			117.2	-	-	116.2	+6.9	225.7	-1.0	233.4
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.8	-	-	121.3	+8.4	226.8	+6.5	236.1

Schedules

Nuggets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/25/26	2025	Nuggets	-	home	Celtics	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Nuggets	-	away	Warriors	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Nuggets	-	away	Trailblazers	-	-1.5	240.0	-	-
02/19/26	2025	Nuggets		away	Clippers		-4.5	226.0	0	0
02/11/26	2025	Nuggets	122	home	Grizzlies	116	-14.5	239.5	-6	238
02/09/26	2025	Nuggets	117	home	Cavaliers	119	-2.5	242.5	+2	236
02/07/26	2025	Nuggets	136	away	Bulls	120	-8.5	235.5	-16	256
02/04/26	2025	Nuggets	127	away	Knicks	134	+4.5	228.5	+7	261
02/03/26	2025	Nuggets	121	away	Pistons	124	+5.5	229.5	+3	245
02/01/26	2025	Nuggets	111	home	Thunder	121	+7.5	225.5	+10	232
01/30/26	2025	Nuggets	122	home	Clippers	109	+2.5	219.0	-13	231
01/29/26	2025	Nuggets	107	home	Nets	103	-6.5	209.5	-4	210
01/27/26	2025	Nuggets	107	home	Pistons	109	+7.5	216.5	+2	216
Away Games Avg (4 games)			96.0	-	-	94.5	-0.8	229.9	-1.5	190.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			107.0	-	-	105.5	-0.9	227.2	-1.5	212.5

Trailblazers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/24/26	2025	Trailblazers	-	home	Timberwolves	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Trailblazers	-	away	Suns	-	-	-	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Trailblazers	-	home	Nuggets	-	+1.5	240.0	-	-
02/12/26	2025	Trailblazers	135	away	Jazz	119	-6.5	236.5	-16	254
02/11/26	2025	Trailblazers	109	away	Timberwolves	133	+7.5	237.5	+24	242
02/09/26	2025	Trailblazers	135	home	Seventysixers	118	-3.5	231.5	-17	253
02/07/26	2025	Trailblazers	122	home	Grizzlies	115	-9.5	228.5	-7	237
02/06/26	2025	Trailblazers	135	home	Grizzlies	115	-8.5	235.5	-20	250
02/03/26	2025	Trailblazers	125	home	Suns	130	+2.5	218.5	+5	255
02/01/26	2025	Trailblazers	111	home	Cavaliers	130	+3.5	228.5	+19	241
01/30/26	2025	Trailblazers	97	away	Knicks	127	+6.5	224.0	+30	224
01/27/26	2025	Trailblazers	111	away	Wizards	115	-6.5	232.5	+4	226
01/26/26	2025	Trailblazers	94	away	Celtics	102	+8.5	223.0	+8	196
Home Games Avg (5 games)			125.6	-	-	121.6	-3.1	228.5	-4.0	247.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			117.4	-	-	120.4	-0.6	229.6	+3.0	237.8

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7:00 p.m. Cleveland Cavaliers @ Charlotte Hornets

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7:00 p.m. Indiana Pacers @ Washington Wizards

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7:30 p.m. Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks

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7:30 p.m. Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves

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Los Angeles Clippers @ Los Angeles Lakers