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Updated: 12/09/25 12:30 p.m.

6:00 p.m.
Miami Heat @ Orlando Magic

Heat: 14-10 (58.3%)

Magic: 14-10 (58.3%)

Line: +1.0

Total: 235.0

Open: +1.5

Open: 236.5

Notes

Heat

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

In-season revenge

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Baller System(s)

Back road favorite that has not been doing as well as opponent in last several games

Magic

Nothing active

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Magic

53.28% probability

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Rating Differentials	Neutral
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Lean Magic
Cover Summary	Magic
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	Magic \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

No notable trends identified for this matchup.

View All Records

Magic (Home)

The Magic are 45.8% (11-13) against the spread

The Magic are 38.5% (5-8) against the spread at home

The Magic are 66.7% (4-2) against the spread as a dog

The Magic are 100% (1-0) against the spread as a home dog

The Magic are 54.2% (13-11) to the over/under

The Magic are 46.2% (6-7) to the over/under at home

The Magic are 66.7% (4-2) to the over/under as a dog

The Magic are 100% (1-0) to the over/under as a home dog

The Magic are 57.1% (8-6) (L14) against the spread

The Magic are 50% (4-4) (L14) against the spread at home

The Magic are 66.7% (4-2) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Magic are 100% (1-0) (L14) against the spread as a home dog

The Magic are 57.1% (8-6) (L14) to the over/under

The Magic are 50% (4-4) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Magic are 66.7% (4-2) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Magic are 100% (1-0) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

Heat (Away)

The Heat are 60.9% (14-9-1) against the spread

The Heat are 60% (6-4-1) against the spread away

The Heat are 50% (6-6) against the spread as a fav

The Heat are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Heat are 50% (12-12) to the over/under

The Heat are 54.5% (6-5) to the over/under away

The Heat are 41.7% (5-7) to the over/under as a fav

The Heat are 50% (1-1) to the over/under as an away fav

The Heat are 50% (7-7) (L14) against the spread

The Heat are 60% (3-2) (L14) against the spread away

The Heat are 40% (4-6) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Heat are 50% (1-1) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

The Heat are 42.9% (6-8) (L14) to the over/under

The Heat are 40% (2-3) (L14) to the over/under away

The Heat are 40% (4-6) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Heat are 50% (1-1) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/05/25	2025	Magic	106	Home	Heat	105	-6.5	241.5	-1	211
10/22/25	2025	Magic	125	Home	Heat	121	-8.5	216.5	-4	246
01/27/25	2024	Magic	119	Away	Heat	125	0.0	206.0	+6	244
12/26/24	2024	Magic	88	Home	Heat	89	-1.0	208.5	+1	177
12/21/24	2024	Magic	121	Home	Heat	114	-2.0	205.0	-7	235
10/23/24	2024	Magic	116	Away	Heat	97	+2.0	208.0	-19	213
02/06/24	2023	Magic	95	Away	Heat	121	+3.0	213.5	+26	216
01/21/24	2023	Magic	105	Home	Heat	87	+1.0	215.0	-18	192
01/12/24	2023	Magic	96	Away	Heat	99	+3.0	221.0	+3	195
12/20/23	2023	Magic	106	Home	Heat	115	-5.5	219.0	+9	221
Magic as Home (6 games)			108.5	-	-	105.2	-3.8	217.6	-3.3	213.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			107.7	-	-	107.3	-1.5	215.4	-0.4	215.0

Schedules

Heat Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/19/25	2025	Heat	-	away	Celtics	-	-	-	-	-
12/18/25	2025	Heat	-	away	Nets	-	-	-	-	-
12/09/25	2025	Heat	-	away	Magic	-	-1.0	235.0	-	-
12/06/25	2025	Heat	111	home	Kings	127	-8.5	241.5	+16	238
12/05/25	2025	Heat	105	away	Magic	106	+6.5	241.5	+1	211
12/03/25	2025	Heat	108	away	Mavericks	118	-4.5	238.5	+10	226
12/01/25	2025	Heat	140	home	Clippers	123	-6.5	235.5	-17	263
11/29/25	2025	Heat	135	home	Pistons	138	-3.5	238.5	+3	273
11/26/25	2025	Heat	106	home	Bucks	103	-10.5	236.5	-3	209
11/24/25	2025	Heat	106	home	Mavericks	102	-7.5	240.5	-4	208
11/23/25	2025	Heat	127	away	Seventysixers	117	-1.0	241.0	-10	244
11/21/25	2025	Heat	143	away	Bulls	107	+2.5	250.5	-36	250
11/19/25	2025	Heat	110	home	Warriors	96	-10.5	234.5	-14	206
Away Games Avg (4 games)			120.8	-	-	112.0	+0.9	242.9	-8.8	232.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			119.1	-	-	113.7	-4.4	239.9	-5.4	232.8

Magic Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/20/25	2025	Magic	-	away	Jazz	-	-	-	-	-
12/18/25	2025	Magic	-	away	Nuggets	-	-	-	-	-
12/09/25	2025	Magic	-	home	Heat	-	+1.0	235.0	-	-
12/07/25	2025	Magic	100	away	Knicks	106	+1.5	229.5	+6	206
12/05/25	2025	Magic	106	home	Heat	105	-6.5	241.5	-1	211
12/03/25	2025	Magic	112	home	Spurs	114	-8.5	235.5	+2	226
12/01/25	2025	Magic	125	home	Bulls	120	-9.5	239.5	-5	245
11/28/25	2025	Magic	112	away	Pistons	109	+3.5	230.5	-3	221
11/25/25	2025	Magic	144	away	Seventysixers	103	-5.0	229.0	-41	247
11/23/25	2025	Magic	129	away	Celtics	138	+4.0	223.5	+9	267
11/22/25	2025	Magic	133	home	Knicks	121	-2.0	229.0	-12	254
11/20/25	2025	Magic	129	home	Clippers	101	-6.5	218.5	-28	230
11/18/25	2025	Magic	121	home	Warriors	113	+2.5	223.5	-8	234
Home Games Avg (6 games)			121.0	-	-	112.3	-5.1	231.3	-8.7	233.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			121.1	-	-	113.0	-2.7	230.0	-8.1	234.1

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:30 p.m.
New York Knicks @ Toronto Raptors

Knicks: 16-7 (69.6%)

Raptors: 15-10 (60.0%)

Line: +5.0

Total: 226.0

Open: +3.5

Open: 230.0

Notes

Knicks

Nothing active

Raptors

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

4th game in 6 nights

Baller System(s)

Back team on 5-game ATS losing streak or more

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Raptors

53.28% probability

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Rating Differentials	Neutral
Defensive Differentials	Neutral
Broad Feature	Neutral
RMSE/MAE	Lean Raptors
Cover Summary	Raptors
Pace Focused	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	Raptors \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Raptors are 22.2% (2-7) (L14) against the spread at home

The Knicks are 22.2% (2-7) against the spread away

The Knicks are 70% (14-6) against the spread as a fav

The Knicks are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread as an away fav

The Knicks are 75% (9-3) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Knicks are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

View All Records

Raptors (Home)

The Raptors are 44% (11-14) against the spread

The Raptors are 30.8% (4-9) against the spread at home

The Raptors are 44.4% (4-5) against the spread as a dog

The Raptors are 0% (0-2) against the spread as a home dog

The Raptors are 48% (12-13) to the over/under

The Raptors are 46.2% (6-7) to the over/under at home

The Raptors are 55.6% (5-4) to the over/under as a dog

The Raptors are 100% (2-0) to the over/under as a home dog

The Raptors are 35.7% (5-9) (L14) against the spread

The Raptors are 22.2% (2-7) (L14) against the spread at home

The Raptors are 33.3% (1-2) (L14) against the spread as a dog

The Raptors are 0% (0-1) (L14) against the spread as a home dog

The Raptors are 50% (7-7) (L14) to the over/under

The Raptors are 44.4% (4-5) (L14) to the over/under at home

The Raptors are 66.7% (2-1) (L14) to the over/under as a dog

The Raptors are 100% (1-0) (L14) to the over/under as a home dog

Knicks (Away)

The Knicks are 65.2% (15-8) against the spread

The Knicks are 22.2% (2-7) against the spread away

The Knicks are 70% (14-6) against the spread as a fav

The Knicks are 28.6% (2-5) against the spread as an away fav

The Knicks are 52.2% (12-11) to the over/under

The Knicks are 44.4% (4-5) to the over/under away

The Knicks are 50% (10-10) to the over/under as a fav

The Knicks are 42.9% (3-4) to the over/under as an away fav

The Knicks are 64.3% (9-5) (L14) against the spread

The Knicks are 33.3% (2-4) (L14) against the spread away

The Knicks are 75% (9-3) (L14) against the spread as a fav

The Knicks are 50% (2-2) (L14) against the spread as an away fav

The Knicks are 42.9% (6-8) (L14) to the over/under

The Knicks are 33.3% (2-4) (L14) to the over/under away

The Knicks are 41.7% (5-7) (L14) to the over/under as a fav

The Knicks are 25% (1-3) (L14) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/30/25	2025	Raptors	94	Away	Knicks	116	+8.5	229.0	+22	210
02/04/25	2024	Raptors	115	Home	Knicks	121	+6.0	227.5	+6	236
01/08/25	2024	Raptors	98	Away	Knicks	112	+12.0	233.0	+14	210
12/23/24	2024	Raptors	125	Away	Knicks	139	+14.0	227.5	+14	264
12/09/24	2024	Raptors	108	Home	Knicks	113	+7.5	233.5	+5	221
03/27/24	2023	Raptors	101	Home	Knicks	145	+13.5	210.5	+44	246
01/20/24	2023	Raptors	100	Away	Knicks	126	+7.5	229.5	+26	226
12/11/23	2023	Raptors	130	Away	Knicks	136	+4.0	221.0	+6	266
12/01/23	2023	Raptors	106	Home	Knicks	119	-1.5	217.0	+13	225
Raptors as Home (4 games)			107.5	-	-	124.5	+6.4	222.1	+17.0	232.0
All Games Avg (9 games)			108.6	-	-	125.2	+7.9	225.4	+16.7	233.8

Schedules

Knicks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/19/25	2025	Knicks	-	home	Seventysixers	-	-	-	-	-
12/18/25	2025	Knicks	-	away	Pacers	-	-	-	-	-
12/09/25	2025	Knicks	-	away	Raptors	-	-5.0	226.0	-	-
12/07/25	2025	Knicks	106	home	Magic	100	-1.5	229.5	-6	206
12/05/25	2025	Knicks	146	home	Jazz	112	-16.0	243.0	-34	258
12/03/25	2025	Knicks	119	home	Hornets	104	-9.0	235.5	-15	223
12/02/25	2025	Knicks	117	away	Celtics	123	-1.0	230.5	+6	240
11/30/25	2025	Knicks	116	home	Raptors	94	-8.5	229.0	-22	210
11/28/25	2025	Knicks	118	home	Bucks	109	-7.5	232.5	-9	227
11/26/25	2025	Knicks	129	away	Hornets	101	-6.5	242.5	-28	230
11/24/25	2025	Knicks	113	away	Nets	100	-12.5	228.5	-13	213
11/22/25	2025	Knicks	121	away	Magic	133	+2.0	229.0	+12	254
11/19/25	2025	Knicks	113	away	Mavericks	111	-8.5	233.5	-2	224
Away Games Avg (5 games)			118.6	-	-	113.6	-5.3	232.8	-5.0	232.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			119.8	-	-	108.7	-6.9	233.4	-11.1	228.5

Raptors Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/20/25	2025	Raptors	-	home	Celtics	-	-	-	-	-
12/18/25	2025	Raptors	-	away	Bucks	-	-	-	-	-
12/09/25	2025	Raptors	-	home	Knicks	-	+5.0	226.0	-	-
12/07/25	2025	Raptors	113	home	Celtics	121	+3.5	224.5	+8	234
12/05/25	2025	Raptors	86	home	Hornets	111	-6.5	230.5	+25	197
12/04/25	2025	Raptors	120	home	Lakers	123	-2.5	228.5	+3	243
12/02/25	2025	Raptors	121	home	Trailblazers	118	-5.0	230.5	-3	239
11/30/25	2025	Raptors	94	away	Knicks	116	+8.5	229.0	+22	210
11/29/25	2025	Raptors	111	away	Hornets	118	-7.0	234.0	+7	229
11/26/25	2025	Raptors	97	home	Pacers	95	-9.5	233.5	-2	192
11/24/25	2025	Raptors	110	home	Cavaliers	99	-2.0	231.5	-11	209
11/23/25	2025	Raptors	119	home	Nets	109	-11.5	229.5	-10	228
11/21/25	2025	Raptors	140	home	Wizards	110	-14.0	239.0	-30	250
Home Games Avg (8 games)			113.3	-	-	110.8	-5.9	230.9	-2.5	224.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			111.1	-	-	112.0	-4.6	231.1	+0.9	223.1

6:00 p.m.
Miami Heat @ Orlando Magic

Notes

Heat

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Magic

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Magic (Home)

Heat (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Heat Schedule

Magic Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:30 p.m.
New York Knicks @ Toronto Raptors

Notes

Knicks

Raptors

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Raptors (Home)

Knicks (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Knicks Schedule

Raptors Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

Premium Content

6:00 p.m. Miami Heat @ Orlando Magic

Notes

Heat

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Magic

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Magic (Home)

Heat (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Heat Schedule

Magic Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:30 p.m. New York Knicks @ Toronto Raptors

Notes

Knicks

Raptors

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Raptors (Home)

Knicks (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Knicks Schedule

Raptors Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

6:00 p.m.
Miami Heat @ Orlando Magic

8:30 p.m.
New York Knicks @ Toronto Raptors