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Updated: 02/25/26 12:30 p.m.

7:30 p.m.
Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies

Warriors: 30-28 (51.7%)

Grizzlies: 21-35 (37.5%)

Line: +4.0

Total: 227.5

Open: +2.5

Open: 226.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Warriors

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

Grizzlies

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

In-season revenge

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

1st game of a back-to-back

4th game in 6 nights

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Warriors are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Warriors are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) to the over/under away

View All Records

Grizzlies (Home)

The Grizzlies are 44.6% (25-31-1) against the spread

The Grizzlies are 39.3% (11-17) against the spread at home

The Grizzlies are 40% (14-21-1) against the spread as a dog

The Grizzlies are 30.8% (4-9) against the spread as a home dog

The Grizzlies are 47.4% (27-30) to the over/under

The Grizzlies are 50% (14-14) to the over/under at home

The Grizzlies are 47.2% (17-19) to the over/under as a dog

The Grizzlies are 46.2% (6-7) to the over/under as a home dog

The Grizzlies are 50% (7-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Grizzlies are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Grizzlies are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Grizzlies are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Grizzlies are 57.1% (8-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Grizzlies are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Grizzlies are 63.6% (7-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Grizzlies are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Warriors (Away)

The Warriors are 45.8% (27-32) against the spread

The Warriors are 41.4% (12-17) against the spread away

The Warriors are 45% (18-22) against the spread as a fav

The Warriors are 31.3% (5-11) against the spread as an away fav

The Warriors are 57.6% (34-25) to the over/under

The Warriors are 51.7% (15-14) to the over/under away

The Warriors are 65% (26-14) to the over/under as a fav

The Warriors are 68.8% (11-5) to the over/under as an away fav

The Warriors are 33.3% (4-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Warriors are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Warriors are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Warriors are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Warriors are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Warriors are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Warriors are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Warriors are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/09/26	2025	Grizzlies	113	Away	Warriors	114	+9.5	218.5	+1	227
10/27/25	2025	Grizzlies	118	Away	Warriors	131	+8.5	240.5	+13	249
04/15/25	2024	Grizzlies	116	Away	Warriors	121	+6.5	226.5	+5	237
04/01/25	2024	Grizzlies	125	Home	Warriors	134	+4.0	239.5	+9	259
01/04/25	2024	Grizzlies	113	Away	Warriors	121	+3.0	230.0	+8	234
12/19/24	2024	Grizzlies	144	Home	Warriors	93	-1.5	237.5	-51	237
11/15/24	2024	Grizzlies	118	Away	Warriors	123	+7.0	236.5	+5	241
03/20/24	2023	Grizzlies	116	Away	Warriors	137	+11.0	218.5	+21	253
02/02/24	2023	Grizzlies	101	Home	Warriors	121	+8.5	224.5	+20	222
01/15/24	2023	Grizzlies	116	Home	Warriors	107	+7.5	227.0	-9	223
Grizzlies as Home (4 games)			121.5	-	-	113.8	+4.6	232.1	-7.8	235.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			118.0	-	-	120.2	+6.4	229.9	+2.2	238.2

Schedules

Warriors Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/02/26	2025	Warriors	-	home	Clippers	-	-	-	-	-
02/28/26	2025	Warriors	-	home	Lakers	-	-	-	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Warriors	-	away	Grizzlies	-	-4.0	227.5	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Warriors	109	away	Pelicans	113	-1.5	229.5	+4	222
02/22/26	2025	Warriors	128	home	Nuggets	117	+6.5	228.5	-11	245
02/19/26	2025	Warriors	110	home	Celtics	121	+5.5	211.5	+11	231
02/11/26	2025	Warriors	113	home	Spurs	126	+7.5	220.5	+13	239
02/09/26	2025	Warriors	114	home	Grizzlies	113	-9.5	218.5	-1	227
02/07/26	2025	Warriors	99	away	Lakers	105	+2.5	219.5	+6	204
02/05/26	2025	Warriors	101	away	Suns	97	+5.5	212.5	-4	198
02/03/26	2025	Warriors	94	home	Seventysixers	113	-4.5	222.5	+19	207
01/30/26	2025	Warriors	124	home	Pistons	131	-2.0	225.5	+7	255
01/28/26	2025	Warriors	140	away	Jazz	124	-8.5	242.5	-16	264
Away Games Avg (4 games)			112.3	-	-	109.8	-0.5	226.0	-2.5	222.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			113.2	-	-	116.0	+0.2	223.1	+2.8	229.2

Grizzlies Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/01/26	2025	Grizzlies	-	away	Pacers	-	-	-	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Grizzlies	-	away	Mavericks	-	-	-	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Grizzlies	-	home	Warriors	-	+4.0	227.5	-	-
02/23/26	2025	Grizzlies	114	home	Kings	123	-2.5	233.5	+9	237
02/21/26	2025	Grizzlies	120	away	Heat	136	+11.5	238.5	+16	256
02/20/26	2025	Grizzlies	123	home	Jazz	114	-2.5	237.5	-9	237
02/11/26	2025	Grizzlies	116	away	Nuggets	122	+14.5	239.5	+6	238
02/09/26	2025	Grizzlies	113	away	Warriors	114	+9.5	218.5	+1	227
02/07/26	2025	Grizzlies	115	away	Trailblazers	122	+9.5	228.5	+7	237
02/06/26	2025	Grizzlies	115	away	Trailblazers	135	+8.5	235.5	+20	250
02/04/26	2025	Grizzlies	129	away	Kings	125	+2.5	236.5	-4	254
02/02/26	2025	Grizzlies	137	home	Timberwolves	128	+7.5	232.5	-9	265
01/31/26	2025	Grizzlies	114	home	Timberwolves	131	+11.0	229.5	+17	245
Home Games Avg (4 games)			122.0	-	-	124.0	+3.4	233.3	+2.0	246.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			119.6	-	-	125.0	+7.0	233.0	+5.4	244.6

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:30 p.m.
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Detroit Pistons

Thunder: 45-14 (76.3%)

Pistons: 42-14 (75.0%)

Line: -8.0

Total: 219.5

Open: -5.5

Open: 218.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Thunder

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Pistons

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Baller System(s)

Under on matchup between two elite teams

Back favorites off a loss vs. a team on a short win streak.

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Thunder are 100% (6-0) (L30 days) to the over/under away

View All Records

Pistons (Home)

The Pistons are 55.4% (31-25) against the spread

The Pistons are 50% (14-14) against the spread at home

The Pistons are 46.7% (21-24) against the spread as a fav

The Pistons are 45.8% (11-13) against the spread as a home fav

The Pistons are 41.1% (23-33) to the over/under

The Pistons are 39.3% (11-17) to the over/under at home

The Pistons are 40% (18-27) to the over/under as a fav

The Pistons are 37.5% (9-15) to the over/under as a home fav

The Pistons are 61.5% (8-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Pistons are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Pistons are 50% (5-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Pistons are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Pistons are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Pistons are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Pistons are 40% (4-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Pistons are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Thunder (Away)

The Thunder are 50.8% (30-29) against the spread

The Thunder are 53.6% (15-13) against the spread away

The Thunder are 66.7% (2-1) against the spread as a dog

The Thunder are 50% (1-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Thunder are 54.2% (32-27) to the over/under

The Thunder are 60.7% (17-11) to the over/under away

The Thunder are 100% (3-0) to the over/under as a dog

The Thunder are 100% (2-0) to the over/under as an away dog

The Thunder are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Thunder are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Thunder are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Thunder are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Thunder are 61.5% (8-5) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Thunder are 100% (6-0) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Thunder are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Thunder are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
04/02/25	2024	Pistons	103	Away	Thunder	119	+12.5	233.5	+16	222
03/15/25	2024	Pistons	107	Home	Thunder	113	+4.0	230.5	+6	220
01/28/24	2023	Pistons	120	Home	Thunder	104	+12.5	239.5	-16	224
10/30/23	2023	Pistons	112	Away	Thunder	124	+6.5	224.5	+12	236
03/29/23	2022	Pistons	106	Away	Thunder	107	+11.5	232.0	+1	213
11/07/22	2022	Pistons	112	Home	Thunder	103	+1.5	224.0	-9	215
Pistons as Home (3 games)			113.0	-	-	106.7	+6.0	231.3	-6.3	219.7
All Games Avg (6 games)			110.0	-	-	111.7	+8.1	230.7	+1.7	221.7

Schedules

Thunder Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/01/26	2025	Thunder	-	away	Mavericks	-	-	-	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Thunder	-	home	Nuggets	-	-	-	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Thunder	-	away	Pistons	-	+8.0	219.5	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Thunder	116	away	Raptors	107	+1.5	216.5	-9	223
02/22/26	2025	Thunder	121	home	Cavaliers	113	+4.5	228.5	-8	234
02/20/26	2025	Thunder	105	home	Nets	86	-17.0	214.5	-19	191
02/12/26	2025	Thunder	93	home	Bucks	110	-13.5	214.5	+17	203
02/11/26	2025	Thunder	136	away	Suns	109	-7.5	211.5	-27	245
02/09/26	2025	Thunder	119	away	Lakers	110	-7.5	222.5	-9	229
02/07/26	2025	Thunder	106	home	Rockets	112	-3.5	213.5	+6	218
02/04/26	2025	Thunder	106	away	Spurs	116	+9.5	221.5	+10	222
02/03/26	2025	Thunder	128	home	Magic	92	-11.5	222.5	-36	220
02/01/26	2025	Thunder	121	away	Nuggets	111	-7.5	225.5	-10	232
Away Games Avg (5 games)			119.6	-	-	110.6	-2.3	219.5	-9.0	230.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			115.1	-	-	106.6	-5.3	219.1	-8.5	221.7

Pistons Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/01/26	2025	Pistons	-	away	Magic	-	-	-	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Pistons	-	home	Cavaliers	-	-	-	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Pistons	-	home	Thunder	-	-8.0	219.5	-	-
02/23/26	2025	Pistons	103	home	Spurs	114	-1.5	232.5	+11	217
02/21/26	2025	Pistons	126	away	Bulls	110	-10.5	234.5	-16	236
02/19/26	2025	Pistons	126	away	Knicks	111	+3.5	218.5	-15	237
02/11/26	2025	Pistons	113	away	Raptors	95	+1.5	223.5	-18	208
02/09/26	2025	Pistons	110	away	Hornets	104	-2.5	222.5	-6	214
02/06/26	2025	Pistons	118	home	Knicks	80	-5.5	219.5	-38	198
02/05/26	2025	Pistons	117	home	Wizards	126	-17.5	227.5	+9	243
02/03/26	2025	Pistons	124	home	Nuggets	121	-5.5	229.5	-3	245
02/01/26	2025	Pistons	130	home	Nets	77	-13.5	214.5	-53	207
01/30/26	2025	Pistons	131	away	Warriors	124	+2.0	225.5	-7	255
Home Games Avg (5 games)			118.4	-	-	103.6	-8.7	224.7	-14.8	222.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			119.8	-	-	106.2	-5.0	224.8	-13.6	226.0

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:30 p.m.
San Antonio Spurs @ Toronto Raptors

Spurs: 41-17 (70.7%)

Raptors: 34-24 (58.6%)

Line: +7.5

Total: 229.5

Open: +6.0

Open: 228.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Spurs

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Baller System(s)

Back late season medium road favorites

Raptors

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Spurs are 75% (9-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Spurs are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Spurs are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Spurs are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Spurs are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

View All Records

Raptors (Home)

The Raptors are 51.7% (30-28) against the spread

The Raptors are 40% (12-18) against the spread at home

The Raptors are 60.9% (14-9) against the spread as a dog

The Raptors are 50% (4-4) against the spread as a home dog

The Raptors are 41.4% (24-34) to the over/under

The Raptors are 43.3% (13-17) to the over/under at home

The Raptors are 47.8% (11-12) to the over/under as a dog

The Raptors are 62.5% (5-3) to the over/under as a home dog

The Raptors are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) against the spread

The Raptors are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Raptors are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Raptors are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Raptors are 36.4% (4-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Raptors are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Raptors are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Raptors are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Spurs (Away)

The Spurs are 57.1% (32-24-2) against the spread

The Spurs are 60% (18-12) against the spread away

The Spurs are 52.6% (20-18-2) against the spread as a fav

The Spurs are 53.3% (8-7) against the spread as an away fav

The Spurs are 41.4% (24-34) to the over/under

The Spurs are 40% (12-18) to the over/under away

The Spurs are 42.5% (17-23) to the over/under as a fav

The Spurs are 53.3% (8-7) to the over/under as an away fav

The Spurs are 75% (9-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Spurs are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Spurs are 70% (7-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Spurs are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Spurs are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Spurs are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Spurs are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Spurs are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/27/25	2025	Raptors	103	Away	Spurs	121	+4.5	232.5	+18	224
04/13/25	2024	Raptors	118	Away	Spurs	125	+4.5	232.5	+7	243
03/23/25	2024	Raptors	89	Home	Spurs	123	+1.0	233.0	+34	212
02/12/24	2023	Raptors	99	Home	Spurs	122	-5.5	236.5	+23	221
11/05/23	2023	Raptors	123	Away	Spurs	116	-4.0	222.5	-7	239
02/08/23	2022	Raptors	112	Home	Spurs	98	-10.5	233.0	-14	210
11/02/22	2022	Raptors	143	Away	Spurs	100	-6.5	223.5	-43	243
Raptors as Home (3 games)			100.0	-	-	114.3	-5.0	234.2	+14.3	214.3
All Games Avg (7 games)			112.4	-	-	115.0	-2.4	230.5	+2.6	227.4

Schedules

Spurs Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/01/26	2025	Spurs	-	away	Knicks	-	-	-	-	-
02/26/26	2025	Spurs	-	away	Nets	-	-	-	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Spurs	-	away	Raptors	-	-7.5	229.5	-	-
02/23/26	2025	Spurs	114	away	Pistons	103	+1.5	232.5	-11	217
02/21/26	2025	Spurs	139	home	Kings	122	-18.5	230.5	-17	261
02/19/26	2025	Spurs	121	home	Suns	94	-7.5	229.5	-27	215
02/11/26	2025	Spurs	126	away	Warriors	113	-7.5	220.5	-13	239
02/10/26	2025	Spurs	136	away	Lakers	108	-13.5	226.5	-28	244
02/07/26	2025	Spurs	138	home	Mavericks	125	-11.5	233.5	-13	263
02/05/26	2025	Spurs	135	away	Mavericks	123	-7.5	230.5	-12	258
02/04/26	2025	Spurs	116	home	Thunder	106	-9.5	221.5	-10	222
02/01/26	2025	Spurs	112	home	Magic	103	-4.5	222.5	-9	215
01/31/26	2025	Spurs	106	away	Hornets	111	-4.0	228.0	+5	217
Away Games Avg (5 games)			123.4	-	-	111.6	-6.2	227.6	-11.8	235.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			124.3	-	-	110.8	-8.3	227.6	-13.5	235.1

Raptors Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/03/26	2025	Raptors	-	home	Knicks	-	-	-	-	-
02/28/26	2025	Raptors	-	away	Wizards	-	-	-	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Raptors	-	home	Spurs	-	+7.5	229.5	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Raptors	107	home	Thunder	116	-1.5	216.5	+9	223
02/22/26	2025	Raptors	122	away	Bucks	94	-4.5	219.5	-28	216
02/19/26	2025	Raptors	110	away	Bulls	101	-6.5	234.5	-9	211
02/11/26	2025	Raptors	95	home	Pistons	113	-1.5	223.5	+18	208
02/08/26	2025	Raptors	122	home	Pacers	104	-7.5	226.5	-18	226
02/05/26	2025	Raptors	123	home	Bulls	107	-7.5	227.5	-16	230
02/04/26	2025	Raptors	126	home	Timberwolves	128	+2.5	228.5	+2	254
02/01/26	2025	Raptors	107	home	Jazz	100	-10.5	234.5	-7	207
01/30/26	2025	Raptors	120	away	Magic	130	+2.5	222.0	+10	250
01/28/26	2025	Raptors	92	home	Knicks	119	-1.5	220.5	+27	211
Home Games Avg (7 games)			110.3	-	-	112.4	-3.9	225.4	+2.1	222.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			112.4	-	-	111.2	-3.6	225.4	-1.2	223.6

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:00 p.m.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks

Cavaliers: 37-22 (62.7%)

Bucks: 25-31 (44.6%)

Line: +8.0

Total: 227.0

Open: +8.5

Open: 228.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

5th game in 7 nights

Baller System(s)

Back late season medium road favorites

Bucks

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

4th game in 6 nights

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Bucks are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Cavaliers are 72.7% (8-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 70% (7-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Cavaliers are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

View All Records

Bucks (Home)

The Bucks are 45.6% (26-31) against the spread

The Bucks are 44.4% (12-15) against the spread at home

The Bucks are 54.3% (19-16) against the spread as a dog

The Bucks are 53.3% (8-7) against the spread as a home dog

The Bucks are 40.4% (23-34) to the over/under

The Bucks are 48.1% (13-14) to the over/under at home

The Bucks are 42.9% (15-20) to the over/under as a dog

The Bucks are 53.3% (8-7) to the over/under as a home dog

The Bucks are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Bucks are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Bucks are 63.6% (7-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Bucks are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Bucks are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Bucks are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Bucks are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Bucks are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Cavaliers (Away)

The Cavaliers are 43.1% (25-33-1) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 48.1% (13-14-1) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 40.4% (19-28-1) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 38.9% (7-11-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 47.5% (28-31) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 57.1% (16-12) to the over/under away

The Cavaliers are 50% (24-24) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 68.4% (13-6) to the over/under as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 72.7% (8-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 50% (3-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 70% (7-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 40% (2-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Cavaliers are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/17/25	2025	Bucks	106	Away	Cavaliers	118	+5.5	234.5	+12	224
10/26/25	2025	Bucks	113	Away	Cavaliers	118	+6.5	234.5	+5	231
03/09/25	2024	Bucks	100	Home	Cavaliers	112	+7.0	242.0	+12	212
12/20/24	2024	Bucks	101	Away	Cavaliers	124	+9.0	222.0	+23	225
11/04/24	2024	Bucks	114	Away	Cavaliers	116	+8.5	228.5	+2	230
11/02/24	2024	Bucks	113	Home	Cavaliers	114	-2.0	230.5	+1	227
01/26/24	2023	Bucks	100	Home	Cavaliers	112	-5.5	238.0	+12	212
01/24/24	2023	Bucks	126	Home	Cavaliers	116	-6.5	236.5	-10	242
01/17/24	2023	Bucks	95	Away	Cavaliers	135	+2.0	236.0	+40	230
12/29/23	2023	Bucks	119	Away	Cavaliers	111	-4.5	241.0	-8	230
Bucks as Home (4 games)			109.8	-	-	113.5	-1.8	236.8	+3.8	223.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			108.7	-	-	117.6	+2.0	234.4	+8.9	226.3

Schedules

Cavaliers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/01/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	away	Nets	-	-	-	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	away	Pistons	-	-	-	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	away	Bucks	-	-8.0	227.0	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Cavaliers	109	home	Knicks	94	-4.5	231.5	-15	203
02/22/26	2025	Cavaliers	113	away	Thunder	121	-4.5	228.5	+8	234
02/20/26	2025	Cavaliers	118	away	Hornets	113	-5.0	228.5	-5	231
02/19/26	2025	Cavaliers	112	home	Nets	84	-15.5	229.5	-28	196
02/11/26	2025	Cavaliers	138	home	Wizards	113	-17.5	238.5	-25	251
02/09/26	2025	Cavaliers	119	away	Nuggets	117	+2.5	242.5	-2	236
02/07/26	2025	Cavaliers	132	away	Kings	126	-13.5	229.5	-6	258
02/04/26	2025	Cavaliers	124	away	Clippers	91	-2.5	221.5	-33	215
02/01/26	2025	Cavaliers	130	away	Trailblazers	111	-3.5	228.5	-19	241
01/30/26	2025	Cavaliers	113	away	Suns	126	-2.0	222.0	+13	239
Away Games Avg (7 games)			121.3	-	-	115.0	-4.1	228.7	-6.3	236.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			120.8	-	-	109.6	-6.6	230.1	-11.2	230.4

Bucks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/01/26	2025	Bucks	-	away	Bulls	-	-	-	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Bucks	-	home	Knicks	-	-	-	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Bucks	-	home	Cavaliers	-	+8.0	227.0	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Bucks	128	home	Heat	117	+6.5	229.5	-11	245
02/22/26	2025	Bucks	94	home	Raptors	122	+4.5	219.5	+28	216
02/20/26	2025	Bucks	139	away	Pelicans	118	+4.0	223.5	-21	257
02/12/26	2025	Bucks	110	away	Thunder	93	+13.5	214.5	-17	203
02/11/26	2025	Bucks	116	away	Magic	108	+11.5	219.5	-8	224
02/09/26	2025	Bucks	99	away	Magic	118	+9.5	220.5	+19	217
02/06/26	2025	Bucks	105	home	Pacers	99	+1.5	223.5	-6	204
02/04/26	2025	Bucks	141	home	Pelicans	137	+4.5	223.5	-4	278
02/03/26	2025	Bucks	131	home	Bulls	115	+1.5	222.5	-16	246
02/01/26	2025	Bucks	79	away	Celtics	107	+13.5	217.5	+28	186
Home Games Avg (5 games)			119.8	-	-	118.0	+3.7	223.7	-1.8	237.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.2	-	-	113.4	+7.1	221.4	-0.8	227.6

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:00 p.m.
Sacramento Kings @ Houston Rockets

Kings: 13-46 (22.0%)

Rockets: 35-21 (62.5%)

Line: -14.0

Total: 221.5

Open: -15.0

Open: 221.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Kings

Situational Factor(s)

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Rockets

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

Kings

54.58% probability

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Rockets are 12.5% (1-7) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Rockets are 18.2% (2-9) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Rockets are 12.5% (1-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Rockets are 23.1% (3-10) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Rockets are 12.5% (1-7) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Rockets are 18.2% (2-9) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Rockets are 12.5% (1-7) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

View All Records

Rockets (Home)

The Rockets are 44.6% (25-31) against the spread

The Rockets are 34.6% (9-17) against the spread at home

The Rockets are 40% (20-30) against the spread as a fav

The Rockets are 36% (9-16) against the spread as a home fav

The Rockets are 41.1% (23-33) to the over/under

The Rockets are 30.8% (8-18) to the over/under at home

The Rockets are 42% (21-29) to the over/under as a fav

The Rockets are 32% (8-17) to the over/under as a home fav

The Rockets are 30.8% (4-9) (L30 days) against the spread

The Rockets are 12.5% (1-7) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Rockets are 18.2% (2-9) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Rockets are 12.5% (1-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Rockets are 23.1% (3-10) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Rockets are 12.5% (1-7) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Rockets are 18.2% (2-9) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Rockets are 12.5% (1-7) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Kings (Away)

The Kings are 39% (23-36) against the spread

The Kings are 36.7% (11-19) against the spread away

The Kings are 39.6% (21-32) against the spread as a dog

The Kings are 37.9% (11-18) against the spread as an away dog

The Kings are 49.2% (29-30) to the over/under

The Kings are 50% (15-15) to the over/under away

The Kings are 45.3% (24-29) to the over/under as a dog

The Kings are 48.3% (14-15) to the over/under as an away dog

The Kings are 38.5% (5-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Kings are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Kings are 45.5% (5-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Kings are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Kings are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Kings are 44.4% (4-5) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Kings are 45.5% (5-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Kings are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/11/26	2025	Rockets	98	Away	Kings	111	-14.5	223.5	+13	209
12/21/25	2025	Rockets	124	Away	Kings	125	-12.5	223.0	+1	249
12/03/25	2025	Rockets	121	Home	Kings	95	-15.5	231.5	-26	216
03/01/25	2024	Rockets	103	Home	Kings	113	-4.0	229.5	+10	216
01/16/25	2024	Rockets	127	Away	Kings	132	+5.0	224.5	+5	259
12/03/24	2024	Rockets	111	Away	Kings	120	+2.0	230.0	+9	231
03/10/24	2023	Rockets	112	Away	Kings	104	+6.5	233.5	-8	216
11/06/23	2023	Rockets	122	Home	Kings	97	+2.0	217.5	-25	219
11/04/23	2023	Rockets	107	Home	Kings	89	+2.5	221.0	-18	196
02/08/23	2022	Rockets	128	Home	Kings	130	+8.5	237.5	+2	258
Rockets as Home (5 games)			116.2	-	-	104.8	-1.3	227.4	-11.4	221.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			115.3	-	-	111.6	-2.0	227.2	-3.7	226.9

Schedules

Kings Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/01/26	2025	Kings	-	away	Lakers	-	-	-	-	-
02/26/26	2025	Kings	-	away	Mavericks	-	-	-	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Kings	-	away	Rockets	-	+14.0	221.5	-	-
02/23/26	2025	Kings	123	away	Grizzlies	114	+2.5	233.5	-9	237
02/21/26	2025	Kings	122	away	Spurs	139	+18.5	230.5	+17	261
02/19/26	2025	Kings	94	home	Magic	131	+8.5	226.5	+37	225
02/11/26	2025	Kings	93	away	Jazz	121	+5.5	229.5	+28	214
02/09/26	2025	Kings	94	away	Pelicans	120	+9.5	229.5	+26	214
02/07/26	2025	Kings	126	home	Cavaliers	132	+13.5	229.5	+6	258
02/06/26	2025	Kings	111	home	Clippers	114	+3.5	221.5	+3	225
02/04/26	2025	Kings	125	home	Grizzlies	129	-2.5	236.5	+4	254
02/01/26	2025	Kings	112	away	Wizards	116	-1.5	226.5	+4	228
01/30/26	2025	Kings	93	away	Celtics	112	+11.5	216.5	+19	205
Away Games Avg (6 games)			106.2	-	-	120.3	+7.7	227.7	+14.2	226.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			109.3	-	-	122.8	+6.9	228.0	+13.5	232.1

Rockets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/28/26	2025	Rockets	-	away	Heat	-	-	-	-	-
02/26/26	2025	Rockets	-	away	Magic	-	-	-	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Rockets	-	home	Kings	-	-14.0	221.5	-	-
02/23/26	2025	Rockets	125	home	Jazz	105	-13.5	228.0	-20	230
02/21/26	2025	Rockets	106	away	Knicks	108	+3.5	220.5	+2	214
02/19/26	2025	Rockets	105	away	Hornets	101	-4.5	218.5	-4	206
02/11/26	2025	Rockets	102	home	Clippers	105	-8.5	212.5	+3	207
02/10/26	2025	Rockets	102	home	Clippers	95	-9.5	213.5	-7	197
02/07/26	2025	Rockets	112	away	Thunder	106	+3.5	213.5	-6	218
02/05/26	2025	Rockets	99	home	Hornets	109	-4.5	218.5	+10	208
02/04/26	2025	Rockets	93	home	Celtics	114	-8.5	210.5	+21	207
02/02/26	2025	Rockets	118	away	Pacers	114	-6.5	218.5	-4	232
01/31/26	2025	Rockets	111	home	Mavericks	107	-10.5	222.5	-4	218
Home Games Avg (6 games)			105.3	-	-	105.8	-9.2	217.6	+0.5	211.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			107.3	-	-	106.4	-5.9	217.7	-0.9	213.7

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

10:00 p.m.
Boston Celtics @ Denver Nuggets

Celtics: 38-19 (66.7%)

Nuggets: 36-22 (62.1%)

Line: -3.5

Total: 228.0

Open: -4.5

Open: 227.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Celtics

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

Nuggets

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Baller System(s)

Under on matchup between two elite teams

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Nuggets are 70.3% (26-11) to the over/under as a fav

The Nuggets are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Celtics are 70% (7-3) against the spread as an away dog

The Celtics are 100% (5-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Celtics are 16.7% (2-10) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Celtics are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under away

View All Records

Nuggets (Home)

The Nuggets are 55.9% (33-26) against the spread

The Nuggets are 46.2% (12-14) against the spread at home

The Nuggets are 48.6% (18-19) against the spread as a fav

The Nuggets are 43.8% (7-9) against the spread as a home fav

The Nuggets are 61% (36-23) to the over/under

The Nuggets are 53.8% (14-12) to the over/under at home

The Nuggets are 70.3% (26-11) to the over/under as a fav

The Nuggets are 62.5% (10-6) to the over/under as a home fav

The Nuggets are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Nuggets are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Nuggets are 16.7% (1-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Nuggets are 0% (0-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Nuggets are 69.2% (9-4) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Nuggets are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Nuggets are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Nuggets are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Celtics (Away)

The Celtics are 57.9% (33-24) against the spread

The Celtics are 66.7% (20-10) against the spread away

The Celtics are 66.7% (10-5) against the spread as a dog

The Celtics are 70% (7-3) against the spread as an away dog

The Celtics are 36.8% (21-36) to the over/under

The Celtics are 36.7% (11-19) to the over/under away

The Celtics are 40% (6-9) to the over/under as a dog

The Celtics are 40% (4-6) to the over/under as an away dog

The Celtics are 66.7% (8-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Celtics are 100% (5-0) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Celtics are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Celtics are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Celtics are 16.7% (2-10) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Celtics are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Celtics are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Celtics are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/07/26	2025	Nuggets	114	Away	Celtics	110	+10.5	230.5	-4	224
03/02/25	2024	Nuggets	103	Away	Celtics	110	+5.5	236.0	+7	213
01/07/25	2024	Nuggets	106	Home	Celtics	118	+10.5	231.5	+12	224
03/07/24	2023	Nuggets	115	Home	Celtics	109	+1.0	220.5	-6	224
01/19/24	2023	Nuggets	102	Away	Celtics	100	+7.0	234.0	-2	202
01/01/23	2022	Nuggets	123	Home	Celtics	111	+3.5	233.5	-12	234
11/11/22	2022	Nuggets	112	Away	Celtics	131	+4.0	230.5	+19	243
Nuggets as Home (3 games)			114.7	-	-	112.7	+5.0	228.5	-2.0	227.3
All Games Avg (7 games)			110.7	-	-	112.7	+6.0	230.9	+2.0	223.4

Schedules

Celtics Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/01/26	2025	Celtics	-	home	Seventysixers	-	-	-	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Celtics	-	home	Nets	-	-	-	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Celtics	-	away	Nuggets	-	+3.5	228.0	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Celtics	97	away	Suns	81	-5.5	207.5	-16	178
02/22/26	2025	Celtics	111	away	Lakers	89	-1.5	230.5	-22	200
02/19/26	2025	Celtics	121	away	Warriors	110	-5.5	211.5	-11	231
02/11/26	2025	Celtics	124	home	Bulls	105	-13.5	227.5	-19	229
02/08/26	2025	Celtics	89	home	Knicks	111	-3.5	215.5	+22	200
02/06/26	2025	Celtics	98	home	Heat	96	-5.5	227.5	-2	194
02/04/26	2025	Celtics	114	away	Rockets	93	+8.5	210.5	-21	207
02/03/26	2025	Celtics	110	away	Mavericks	100	-7.5	223.5	-10	210
02/01/26	2025	Celtics	107	home	Bucks	79	-13.5	217.5	-28	186
01/30/26	2025	Celtics	112	home	Kings	93	-11.5	216.5	-19	205
Away Games Avg (5 games)			110.6	-	-	94.6	-2.3	216.7	-16.0	205.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			108.3	-	-	95.7	-5.9	218.8	-12.6	204.0

Nuggets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/01/26	2025	Nuggets	-	home	Timberwolves	-	-	-	-	-
02/27/26	2025	Nuggets	-	away	Thunder	-	-	-	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Nuggets	-	home	Celtics	-	-3.5	228.0	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Nuggets	117	away	Warriors	128	-6.5	228.5	+11	245
02/20/26	2025	Nuggets	157	away	Trailblazers	103	+1.0	240.5	-54	260
02/19/26	2025	Nuggets	114	away	Clippers	115	-4.5	226.5	+1	229
02/11/26	2025	Nuggets	122	home	Grizzlies	116	-14.5	239.5	-6	238
02/09/26	2025	Nuggets	117	home	Cavaliers	119	-2.5	242.5	+2	236
02/07/26	2025	Nuggets	136	away	Bulls	120	-8.5	235.5	-16	256
02/04/26	2025	Nuggets	127	away	Knicks	134	+4.5	228.5	+7	261
02/03/26	2025	Nuggets	121	away	Pistons	124	+5.5	229.5	+3	245
02/01/26	2025	Nuggets	111	home	Thunder	121	+7.5	225.5	+10	232
01/30/26	2025	Nuggets	122	home	Clippers	109	+2.5	219.0	-13	231
Home Games Avg (4 games)			118.0	-	-	116.3	-1.8	231.6	-1.8	234.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			124.4	-	-	118.9	-1.6	231.6	-5.5	243.3

Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature Linear regression predicting spread, 20 features. Test RÂ²: 0.483, MAE: 11.20. Medium Confidence: 55-46 (54.5%)	Neutral
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 7-6 (53.8%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 135-122 (52.5%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 89-61-1 (59.3%) Medium Confidence: 64-61-1 (51.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature Linear regression predicting spread, 20 features. Test RÂ²: 0.483, MAE: 11.20. Medium Confidence: 55-46 (54.5%)	Neutral
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 7-6 (53.8%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 135-122 (52.5%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 89-61-1 (59.3%) Medium Confidence: 64-61-1 (51.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature Linear regression predicting spread, 20 features. Test RÂ²: 0.483, MAE: 11.20. Medium Confidence: 55-46 (54.5%)	Neutral
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 7-6 (53.8%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 135-122 (52.5%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 89-61-1 (59.3%) Medium Confidence: 64-61-1 (51.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature Linear regression predicting spread, 20 features. Test RÂ²: 0.483, MAE: 11.20. Medium Confidence: 55-46 (54.5%)	Neutral
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 7-6 (53.8%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 135-122 (52.5%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 89-61-1 (59.3%) Medium Confidence: 64-61-1 (51.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature Linear regression predicting spread, 20 features. Test RÂ²: 0.483, MAE: 11.20. Medium Confidence: 55-46 (54.5%)	Neutral
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 7-6 (53.8%)	Kings
Cover Summary	Kings
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 135-122 (52.5%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 89-61-1 (59.3%) Medium Confidence: 64-61-1 (51.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	Kings \| No Total Edge

Premium Content

7:30 p.m. Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies

Notes

Warriors

Situational Factor(s)

Grizzlies

Situational Factor(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

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Grizzlies (Home)

Warriors (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Warriors Schedule

Grizzlies Schedule

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7:30 p.m. Oklahoma City Thunder @ Detroit Pistons

Notes

Thunder

Situational Factor(s)

Pistons

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

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Total Recommendation

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Pistons (Home)

Thunder (Away)

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Thunder Schedule

Pistons Schedule

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7:30 p.m. San Antonio Spurs @ Toronto Raptors

Notes

Spurs

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Raptors

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Raptors (Home)

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Raptors Schedule

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8:00 p.m. Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks

Notes

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Bucks

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Spread Recommendation

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Bucks (Home)

Cavaliers (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Cavaliers Schedule

Bucks Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:30 p.m.
Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies

7:30 p.m.
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Detroit Pistons

7:30 p.m.
San Antonio Spurs @ Toronto Raptors

8:00 p.m.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Milwaukee Bucks

8:00 p.m.
Sacramento Kings @ Houston Rockets

10:00 p.m.
Boston Celtics @ Denver Nuggets