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Updated: 12/09/25 12:30 p.m.
6:00 p.m.
Miami Heat @ Orlando Magic
Heat: 14-10 (58.3%)
Magic: 14-10 (58.3%)
Line: +1.0
Total: 235.0
Open: +1.5
Open: 236.5
Notes
Heat
Situational Factor(s)
Rest advantage
Well-rested (two or more days of rest)
In-season revenge
Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)
Baller System(s)
Back road favorite that has not been doing as well as opponent in last several games Historical ATS RecordL5 Years: 201 - 183 - 9 (52.3%)L365 Days: 39 - 40 - 1 (49.4%)Current Season: 9 - 10 - 1 (47.4%)
Magic

Nothing active

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Magic
53.28% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/05/25 2025 Magic 106 Home Heat 105 -6.5 241.5 -1 211
10/22/25 2025 Magic 125 Home Heat 121 -8.5 216.5 -4 246
01/27/25 2024 Magic 119 Away Heat 125 0.0 206.0 +6 244
12/26/24 2024 Magic 88 Home Heat 89 -1.0 208.5 +1 177
12/21/24 2024 Magic 121 Home Heat 114 -2.0 205.0 -7 235
10/23/24 2024 Magic 116 Away Heat 97 +2.0 208.0 -19 213
02/06/24 2023 Magic 95 Away Heat 121 +3.0 213.5 +26 216
01/21/24 2023 Magic 105 Home Heat 87 +1.0 215.0 -18 192
01/12/24 2023 Magic 96 Away Heat 99 +3.0 221.0 +3 195
12/20/23 2023 Magic 106 Home Heat 115 -5.5 219.0 +9 221
Magic as Home (6 games) 108.5 - - 105.2 -3.8 217.6 -3.3 213.7
All Games Avg (10 games) 107.7 - - 107.3 -1.5 215.4 -0.4 215.0
Schedules
Heat Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/19/25 2025 Heat - away Celtics - - - - -
12/18/25 2025 Heat - away Nets - - - - -
12/09/25 2025 Heat - away Magic - -1.0 235.0 - -
12/06/25 2025 Heat 111 home Kings 127 -8.5 241.5 +16 238
12/05/25 2025 Heat 105 away Magic 106 +6.5 241.5 +1 211
12/03/25 2025 Heat 108 away Mavericks 118 -4.5 238.5 +10 226
12/01/25 2025 Heat 140 home Clippers 123 -6.5 235.5 -17 263
11/29/25 2025 Heat 135 home Pistons 138 -3.5 238.5 +3 273
11/26/25 2025 Heat 106 home Bucks 103 -10.5 236.5 -3 209
11/24/25 2025 Heat 106 home Mavericks 102 -7.5 240.5 -4 208
11/23/25 2025 Heat 127 away Seventysixers 117 -1.0 241.0 -10 244
11/21/25 2025 Heat 143 away Bulls 107 +2.5 250.5 -36 250
11/19/25 2025 Heat 110 home Warriors 96 -10.5 234.5 -14 206
Away Games Avg (4 games) 120.8 - - 112.0 +0.9 242.9 -8.8 232.8
All Games Avg (10 games) 119.1 - - 113.7 -4.4 239.9 -5.4 232.8
Magic Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/20/25 2025 Magic - away Jazz - - - - -
12/18/25 2025 Magic - away Nuggets - - - - -
12/09/25 2025 Magic - home Heat - +1.0 235.0 - -
12/07/25 2025 Magic 100 away Knicks 106 +1.5 229.5 +6 206
12/05/25 2025 Magic 106 home Heat 105 -6.5 241.5 -1 211
12/03/25 2025 Magic 112 home Spurs 114 -8.5 235.5 +2 226
12/01/25 2025 Magic 125 home Bulls 120 -9.5 239.5 -5 245
11/28/25 2025 Magic 112 away Pistons 109 +3.5 230.5 -3 221
11/25/25 2025 Magic 144 away Seventysixers 103 -5.0 229.0 -41 247
11/23/25 2025 Magic 129 away Celtics 138 +4.0 223.5 +9 267
11/22/25 2025 Magic 133 home Knicks 121 -2.0 229.0 -12 254
11/20/25 2025 Magic 129 home Clippers 101 -6.5 218.5 -28 230
11/18/25 2025 Magic 121 home Warriors 113 +2.5 223.5 -8 234
Home Games Avg (6 games) 121.0 - - 112.3 -5.1 231.3 -8.7 233.3
All Games Avg (10 games) 121.1 - - 113.0 -2.7 230.0 -8.1 234.1
Team Comparison Stats Click to load
8:30 p.m.
New York Knicks @ Toronto Raptors
Knicks: 16-7 (69.6%)
Raptors: 15-10 (60.0%)
Line: +5.0
Total: 226.0
Open: +3.5
Open: 230.0
Notes
Knicks

Nothing active

Raptors
Situational Factor(s)
In-season revenge
Double digit, in-season revenge
4th game in 6 nights
Baller System(s)
Back team on 5-game ATS losing streak or more Historical ATS RecordL5 Years: 172 - 168 - 2 (50.6%)L365 Days: 37 - 42 - 0 (46.8%)Current Season: 10 - 14 - 0 (41.7%)
Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.
Spread Recommendation
Raptors
53.28% probability
Total Recommendation
No Play
View All Algorithms
Notable Trends
View All Records
Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)
Date Season Team Pts Site Opponent Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
11/30/25 2025 Raptors 94 Away Knicks 116 +8.5 229.0 +22 210
02/04/25 2024 Raptors 115 Home Knicks 121 +6.0 227.5 +6 236
01/08/25 2024 Raptors 98 Away Knicks 112 +12.0 233.0 +14 210
12/23/24 2024 Raptors 125 Away Knicks 139 +14.0 227.5 +14 264
12/09/24 2024 Raptors 108 Home Knicks 113 +7.5 233.5 +5 221
03/27/24 2023 Raptors 101 Home Knicks 145 +13.5 210.5 +44 246
01/20/24 2023 Raptors 100 Away Knicks 126 +7.5 229.5 +26 226
12/11/23 2023 Raptors 130 Away Knicks 136 +4.0 221.0 +6 266
12/01/23 2023 Raptors 106 Home Knicks 119 -1.5 217.0 +13 225
Raptors as Home (4 games) 107.5 - - 124.5 +6.4 222.1 +17.0 232.0
All Games Avg (9 games) 108.6 - - 125.2 +7.9 225.4 +16.7 233.8
Schedules
Knicks Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/19/25 2025 Knicks - home Seventysixers - - - - -
12/18/25 2025 Knicks - away Pacers - - - - -
12/09/25 2025 Knicks - away Raptors - -5.0 226.0 - -
12/07/25 2025 Knicks 106 home Magic 100 -1.5 229.5 -6 206
12/05/25 2025 Knicks 146 home Jazz 112 -16.0 243.0 -34 258
12/03/25 2025 Knicks 119 home Hornets 104 -9.0 235.5 -15 223
12/02/25 2025 Knicks 117 away Celtics 123 -1.0 230.5 +6 240
11/30/25 2025 Knicks 116 home Raptors 94 -8.5 229.0 -22 210
11/28/25 2025 Knicks 118 home Bucks 109 -7.5 232.5 -9 227
11/26/25 2025 Knicks 129 away Hornets 101 -6.5 242.5 -28 230
11/24/25 2025 Knicks 113 away Nets 100 -12.5 228.5 -13 213
11/22/25 2025 Knicks 121 away Magic 133 +2.0 229.0 +12 254
11/19/25 2025 Knicks 113 away Mavericks 111 -8.5 233.5 -2 224
Away Games Avg (5 games) 118.6 - - 113.6 -5.3 232.8 -5.0 232.2
All Games Avg (10 games) 119.8 - - 108.7 -6.9 233.4 -11.1 228.5
Raptors Schedule
Date Season Team Points Site Opponent Opp Pts Line Total Margin Act Total
12/20/25 2025 Raptors - home Celtics - - - - -
12/18/25 2025 Raptors - away Bucks - - - - -
12/09/25 2025 Raptors - home Knicks - +5.0 226.0 - -
12/07/25 2025 Raptors 113 home Celtics 121 +3.5 224.5 +8 234
12/05/25 2025 Raptors 86 home Hornets 111 -6.5 230.5 +25 197
12/04/25 2025 Raptors 120 home Lakers 123 -2.5 228.5 +3 243
12/02/25 2025 Raptors 121 home Trailblazers 118 -5.0 230.5 -3 239
11/30/25 2025 Raptors 94 away Knicks 116 +8.5 229.0 +22 210
11/29/25 2025 Raptors 111 away Hornets 118 -7.0 234.0 +7 229
11/26/25 2025 Raptors 97 home Pacers 95 -9.5 233.5 -2 192
11/24/25 2025 Raptors 110 home Cavaliers 99 -2.0 231.5 -11 209
11/23/25 2025 Raptors 119 home Nets 109 -11.5 229.5 -10 228
11/21/25 2025 Raptors 140 home Wizards 110 -14.0 239.0 -30 250
Home Games Avg (8 games) 113.3 - - 110.8 -5.9 230.9 -2.5 224.0
All Games Avg (10 games) 111.1 - - 112.0 -4.6 231.1 +0.9 223.1
Team Comparison Stats Click to load