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Pistons @ Clippers [ -16 / 235.5 ]Copied and ready to share!Glossary

February 10, 2024
Clippers | 53-35 (60.2%)
Pistons | 14-68 (17.1%)

Our Baller Exclusive NBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking ahout a particular matchup.

Our base model gives the Clippers (-16) a 44.5-28.7% chance of covering as a favorite, and projects the game going over 235.5 around 3.1-4.3% of the time, depending on how much you weight season-long vs. recent data, respectively. Looking at how the teams perform at home / on the road, the Clippers have a 50.7% chance of covering as a favorite at home, and the game has a 3.2% chance of going over the total.

Pistons Situational Notes

Clippers Situational Notes

Pistons Schedule

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin
2/13	LAL	DET +11 LAL -11	241.5	DET	-	-	-
2/10	LAC	DET +16 LAC -16	235.5	DET	-	-	-
2/8	POR [ 122 ]	DET +6 POR -6	220.5	DET [ 128 ]	+6	+12	+29.5
2/7	SAC [ 120 ]	DET +13 SAC -13	242	DET [ 133 ]	+13	+26	+11
2/4	DET [ 99 ]	DET +6.5 ORL -6.5	228.5	ORL [ 111 ]	-12	-5.5	-18.5
2/2	DET [ 125 ]	DET +11.5 LAC -11.5	238	LAC [ 136 ]	-11	+0.5	+23
1/31	CLE [ 128 ]	DET +13 CLE -13	229.5	DET [ 121 ]	-7	+6	+19.5
1/28	DET [ 120 ]	DET +12.5 OKC -12.5	239.5	OKC [ 104 ]	+16	+28.5	-15.5
1/27	DET [ 104 ]	DET -3.5 WAS +3.5	240	WAS [ 118 ]	-14	-17.5	-18
1/24	DET [ 113 ]	DET -3 CHA +3	234	CHA [ 106 ]	+7	+4	-15

Clippers Schedule

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin
2/12	LAC	LAC -4.5 MIN +4.5	223.5	MIN	-	-	-
2/10	LAC	LAC -16 DET +16	235.5	DET	-	-	-
2/7	LAC [ 106 ]	LAC -7 NOP +7	230	NOP [ 117 ]	-11	-18	-7
2/5	ATL [ 144 ]	LAC -4 ATL +4	245	LAC [ 149 ]	+5	+1	+48
2/4	MIA [ 95 ]	LAC -4 MIA +4	224.5	LAC [ 103 ]	+8	+4	-26.5
2/2	DET [ 125 ]	LAC -11.5 DET +11.5	238	LAC [ 136 ]	+11	-0.5	+23
1/31	WAS [ 109 ]	LAC -12 WAS +12	236.5	LAC [ 125 ]	+16	+4	-2.5
1/29	CLE [ 118 ]	LAC -2.5 CLE +2.5	225.5	LAC [ 108 ]	-10	-12.5	+0.5
1/27	BOS [ 96 ]	LAC +7 BOS -7	232	LAC [ 115 ]	+19	+26	-21
1/26	TOR [ 107 ]	LAC -8.5 TOR +8.5	236.5	LAC [ 127 ]	+20	+11.5	-2.5

Historical Matchups

	Home	Line	Total	Away	SU Margin	ATS Margin	OU Margin	Pace	Ortg	Drtg	Net	Tot
2/10	LAC	LAC -16 DET +16	235.5	DET	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2/2	DET [ 125 ]	LAC -11.5 DET +11.5	238	LAC [ 136 ]	+11	-0.5	+23	118.3	137.9	126.8	11.2	261
12/26	DET [ 131 ]	LAC -6 DET +6	222.5	LAC [ 142 ]	+11	+5	+50.5	121.7	126.8	117	9.8	247.2
11/17	LAC [ 96 ]	LAC -9 DET +9	217	DET [ 91 ]	+5	-4	-30	117.4	98.1	93	5.1	187

Filters

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Efficiency

Pistons (last 51 games)		Clippers (last 50 games)
0.17 (30)	Win Percentage	0.62 (8)
50 (17)	ATS Win%	55.1 (7)
61.22 (1)	OU%	46.94 (25)
-	Strength of Schedule	-
109.71 (27)	Offensive Rating	118.77 (9)
118.81 (25)	Defensive Rating	115.4 (15)
99.77 (10)	Pace	97.22 (26)
1.67 (29)	A/TO Ratio	1.95 (20)

Four Factors

Pistons (last 51 games)		Clippers (last 50 games)
52.6 (27)	EFG%	56.15 (8)
55.79 (20)	EFG% Allowed	54.06 (10)
24.6 (17)	FT Rate	25.56 (14)
27.57 (26)	FT Rate Allowed	23.57 (5)
23.88 (19)	OReb%	24.37 (16)
22.71 (5)	OReb% Allowed	25.18 (22)
15.2 (29)	TO Rate	13.5 (17)
12.41 (27)	TO Rate Forced	13.39 (20)

Scoring

Pistons (last 51 games)		Clippers (last 50 games)
109.88 (27)	PPG	115.62 (14)
118.99 (23)	PPG Allowed	112.34 (8)
14.49 (29)	Pts off TO	16.16 (17)
19.65 (30)	Pts off TO Allowed	15.66 (10)
13.22 (20)	2nd Chance Pts	12.68 (25)
13.88 (14)	2nd Chance Pts Allowed	14.05 (18)
14.28 (15)	Fast Break Pts	14.78 (12)
14.21 (18)	Fast Break Pts Allowed	14.89 (22)

Inside the Arc

Pistons (last 51 games)		Clippers (last 50 games)
45.11 (13)	Paint Attempts	42.62 (23)
46.74 (28)	Paint Attempts Allowed	44.2 (18)
55.39 (25)	Paint FG%	59.14 (8)
58.28 (18)	Paint FG% Allowed	56.21 (8)
11.39 (6)	Mid-Range Attempts	10.9 (11)
9.59 (10)	Mid-Range Attempts Allowed	9.28 (8)
0.43 (14)	Mid-Range FG%	0.41 (17)
0.45 (29)	Mid-Range FG% Allowed	0.42 (18)

Three Point Shooting

Pistons (last 51 games)		Clippers (last 50 games)
8.96 (14)	Corner 3 Attempts	8.78 (15)
7.65 (7)	Corner 3 Attempts Allowed	9.43 (22)
36.19 (27)	Corner 3 FG%	40.97 (9)
39.23 (15)	Corner 3 FG% Allowed	37.26 (7)
22.52 (28)	ATB3 Attempts	24.27 (20)
24.87 (7)	ATB3 Attempts Allowed	25.87 (16)
34.65 (27)	ATB3 FG%	37.24 (6)
36.54 (17)	ATB3 FG% Allowed	36.12 (15)

Straight Up Records (SU)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Pistons 1h	13-35-3	2-2-1	5-16-1	0-0-0	6-17-1	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Pistons	8-43	1-4	3-19	0-0	4-20	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0
Clippers 1h	32-16-2	15-8-0	0-1-0	13-2-2	3-5-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers	34-16	19-4	0-1	13-4	1-7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0

Against the Spread Records (ATS)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Pistons 1h	24-26-1	1-3-1	12-10-0	0-0-0	11-13-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Pistons	25-25-1	1-4-0	11-10-1	0-0-0	13-11-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers 1h	26-23-1	11-12-0	0-1-0	11-5-1	3-5-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers	27-22-1	13-9-1	0-1-0	11-6-0	2-6-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Over/Under Records (OU)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Pistons 1h	20-31-0	2-3-0	8-14-0	0-0-0	10-14-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Pistons	30-19-2	0-5-0	12-8-2	0-0-0	18-6-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers 1h	22-28-0	9-14-0	1-0-0	10-7-0	2-6-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers	22-25-3	9-12-2	1-0-0	8-8-1	4-4-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Team Total Records (TT)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Pistons 1h	19-30-2	2-3-0	9-11-2	0-0-0	8-16-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Pistons	28-22-1	0-5-0	11-10-1	0-0-0	17-7-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers 1h	21-28-1	9-14-0	0-1-0	10-6-1	2-6-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers	29-21-0	13-10-0	0-1-0	12-5-0	4-4-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)

Team	Overall	HF	HD	AF	AD	B2B (1st)	B2B (2nd)	+Rest	-Rest
Pistons 1h	23-26-2	2-3-0	11-11-0	0-0-0	10-12-2	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Pistons	34-17-0	3-2-0	14-8-0	0-0-0	17-7-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers 1h	20-30-0	10-13-0	1-0-0	5-12-0	4-4-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0
Clippers	24-26-0	11-12-0	1-0-0	8-9-0	4-4-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0

ATS Range Records

Team	Dog 10+	Dog 7-10	Dog 2.5-7	Within 2.5	Fav 2.5-7	Fav 7-10	Fav 10+
Clippers	0-0-0 (-)	1-0-0 (100%)	1-3-0 (25%)	5-4-0 (55.6%)	11-6-0 (64.7%)	8-4-0 (66.7%)	1-5-1 (16.7%)
Pistons	12-6-0 (66.7%)	6-7-1 (46.2%)	6-7-0 (46.2%)	0-1-0 (0%)	1-4-0 (20%)	0-0-0 (-)	0-0-0 (-)