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Updated: 03/08/26 6:07 p.m.

1:00 p.m.
Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers

Celtics: 42-21 (66.7%)

Cavaliers: 39-24 (61.9%)

Line: -1.0

Total: 223.5

Open: -1.0

Open: 224.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

Notes

Celtics

Nothing active

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

1st game of a back-to-back

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Baller System(s)

Elite Team Defensive Battle

Short-Term Scheduling Edge

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Notable Trends

The Cavaliers are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Cavaliers are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Celtics are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Celtics are 25% (3-9) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Celtics are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under away

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Cavaliers (Home)

The Cavaliers are 43.5% (27-35-1) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 40.6% (13-19) against the spread at home

The Cavaliers are 38.8% (19-30-1) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 41.4% (12-17) against the spread as a home fav

The Cavaliers are 47.6% (30-33) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 37.5% (12-20) to the over/under at home

The Cavaliers are 50% (25-25) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 37.9% (11-18) to the over/under as a home fav

The Cavaliers are 60% (6-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 100% (4-0) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Cavaliers are 42.9% (3-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Cavaliers are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Cavaliers are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Celtics (Away)

The Celtics are 58.7% (37-26) against the spread

The Celtics are 65.6% (21-11) against the spread away

The Celtics are 62.5% (10-6) against the spread as a dog

The Celtics are 63.6% (7-4) against the spread as an away dog

The Celtics are 34.9% (22-41) to the over/under

The Celtics are 34.4% (11-21) to the over/under away

The Celtics are 37.5% (6-10) to the over/under as a dog

The Celtics are 36.4% (4-7) to the over/under as an away dog

The Celtics are 66.7% (8-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Celtics are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Celtics are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Celtics are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Celtics are 25% (3-9) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Celtics are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Celtics are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Celtics are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/30/25	2025	Cavaliers	115	Home	Celtics	117	-7.0	235.0	+2	232
10/29/25	2025	Cavaliers	105	Away	Celtics	125	-3.5	233.5	+20	230
02/28/25	2024	Cavaliers	123	Away	Celtics	116	+1.0	233.5	-7	239
02/04/25	2024	Cavaliers	105	Home	Celtics	112	-1.5	237.5	+7	217
12/01/24	2024	Cavaliers	115	Home	Celtics	111	-1.5	230.0	-4	226
11/19/24	2024	Cavaliers	117	Away	Celtics	120	+7.0	234.0	+3	237
05/15/24	2023	Cavaliers	98	Away	Celtics	113	+14.5	204.5	+15	211
05/13/24	2023	Cavaliers	102	Home	Celtics	109	+8.5	206.0	+7	211
05/11/24	2023	Cavaliers	93	Home	Celtics	106	+8.0	211.0	+13	199
05/09/24	2023	Cavaliers	118	Away	Celtics	94	+13.0	212.5	-24	212
Cavaliers as Home (5 games)			106.0	-	-	111.0	+1.3	223.9	+5.0	217.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			109.1	-	-	112.3	+3.9	223.8	+3.2	221.4

Schedules

Celtics Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/12/26	2025	Celtics	-	away	Thunder	-	-	-	-	-
03/10/26	2025	Celtics	-	away	Spurs	-	-	-	-	-
03/08/26	2025	Celtics	-	away	Cavaliers	-	+1.0	223.5	-	-
03/06/26	2025	Celtics	120	home	Mavericks	100	-15.5	226.5	-20	220
03/04/26	2025	Celtics	89	home	Hornets	118	-6.5	214.5	+29	207
03/02/26	2025	Celtics	108	away	Bucks	81	-2.5	216.5	-27	189
03/01/26	2025	Celtics	114	home	Seventysixers	98	-8.5	219.5	-16	212
02/27/26	2025	Celtics	148	home	Nets	111	-16.5	208.5	-37	259
02/25/26	2025	Celtics	84	away	Nuggets	103	+3.5	228.5	+19	187
02/24/26	2025	Celtics	97	away	Suns	81	-5.5	207.5	-16	178
02/22/26	2025	Celtics	111	away	Lakers	89	-1.5	230.5	-22	200
02/19/26	2025	Celtics	121	away	Warriors	110	-5.5	211.5	-11	231
02/11/26	2025	Celtics	124	home	Bulls	105	-13.5	227.5	-19	229
Away Games Avg (5 games)			104.2	-	-	92.8	-2.3	218.9	-11.4	197.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			111.6	-	-	99.6	-7.2	219.1	-12.0	211.2

Cavaliers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/11/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	away	Magic	-	-	-	-	-
03/09/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	home	Seventysixers	-	-11.0	227.0	-	-
03/08/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	home	Celtics	-	-1.0	223.5	-	-
03/03/26	2025	Cavaliers	113	home	Pistons	109	+2.5	227.5	-4	222
03/01/26	2025	Cavaliers	106	away	Nets	102	-12.5	224.5	-4	208
02/27/26	2025	Cavaliers	119	away	Pistons	122	+8.5	227.5	+3	241
02/25/26	2025	Cavaliers	116	away	Bucks	118	-2.5	220.5	+2	234
02/24/26	2025	Cavaliers	109	home	Knicks	94	-4.5	231.5	-15	203
02/22/26	2025	Cavaliers	113	away	Thunder	121	-4.5	228.5	+8	234
02/20/26	2025	Cavaliers	118	away	Hornets	113	-5.0	228.5	-5	231
02/19/26	2025	Cavaliers	112	home	Nets	84	-15.5	229.5	-28	196
02/11/26	2025	Cavaliers	138	home	Wizards	113	-17.5	238.5	-25	251
02/09/26	2025	Cavaliers	119	away	Nuggets	117	+2.5	242.5	-2	236
Home Games Avg (4 games)			118.0	-	-	100.0	-8.8	231.8	-18.0	218.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			116.3	-	-	109.3	-4.9	229.9	-7.0	225.6

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

3:30 p.m.
New York Knicks @ Los Angeles Lakers

Knicks: 41-23 (64.1%)

Lakers: 38-25 (60.3%)

Line: +5.0

Total: 227.0

Open: +3.5

Open: 226.0

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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6:00 p.m.
Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat

Pistons: 44-17 (72.1%)

Heat: 35-29 (54.7%)

Line: +1.0

Total: 230.5

Open: +2.0

Open: 228.0

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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6:00 p.m.
Dallas Mavericks @ Toronto Raptors

Mavericks: 21-41 (33.9%)

Raptors: 35-27 (56.5%)

Line: -10.0

Total: 233.5

Open: -10.0

Open: 228.0

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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7:00 p.m.
Washington Wizards @ New Orleans Pelicans

Wizards: 16-46 (25.8%)

Pelicans: 20-45 (30.8%)

Line: -11.5

Total: 244.5

Open: -9.0

Open: 241.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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8:00 p.m.
Orlando Magic @ Milwaukee Bucks

Magic: 33-27 (55.0%)

Bucks: 27-35 (43.5%)

Line: +6.0

Total: 216.5

Open: +1.0

Open: 222.0

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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8:00 p.m.
Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs

Rockets: 39-23 (62.9%)

Spurs: 46-17 (73.0%)

Line: -6.0

Total: 223.0

Open: -4.5

Open: 223.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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9:00 p.m.
Chicago Bulls @ Sacramento Kings

Bulls: 26-37 (41.3%)

Kings: 14-50 (21.9%)

Line: +4.0

Total: 236.0

Open: +3.0

Open: 234.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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9:00 p.m.
Indiana Pacers @ Portland Trailblazers

Pacers: 15-48 (23.8%)

Trailblazers: 0-0 (0.0%)

Line: -9.5

Total: 238.0

Open: -8.5

Open: 237.5

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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10:00 p.m.
Charlotte Hornets @ Phoenix Suns

Hornets: 32-32 (50.0%)

Suns: 36-27 (57.1%)

Line: +4.5

Total: 217.5

Open: +3.5

Open: 219.0

Odds courtesy of OddsLogic

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Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature Linear regression predicting spread, 20 features. Test RÂ²: 0.483, MAE: 11.20. Medium Confidence: 59-53 (52.7%)	Neutral
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 7-7 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 141-126 (52.8%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 96-67-1 (58.9%) Medium Confidence: 69-64-1 (51.9%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

1:00 p.m. Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers

Notes

Celtics

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Cavaliers (Home)

Celtics (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Celtics Schedule

Cavaliers Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

3:30 p.m. New York Knicks @ Los Angeles Lakers

6:00 p.m. Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat

6:00 p.m. Dallas Mavericks @ Toronto Raptors

7:00 p.m. Washington Wizards @ New Orleans Pelicans

8:00 p.m. Orlando Magic @ Milwaukee Bucks

8:00 p.m. Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs

9:00 p.m. Chicago Bulls @ Sacramento Kings

9:00 p.m. Indiana Pacers @ Portland Trailblazers

10:00 p.m. Charlotte Hornets @ Phoenix Suns

1:00 p.m.
Boston Celtics @ Cleveland Cavaliers

3:30 p.m.
New York Knicks @ Los Angeles Lakers

6:00 p.m.
Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat

6:00 p.m.
Dallas Mavericks @ Toronto Raptors

7:00 p.m.
Washington Wizards @ New Orleans Pelicans

8:00 p.m.
Orlando Magic @ Milwaukee Bucks

8:00 p.m.
Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs

9:00 p.m.
Chicago Bulls @ Sacramento Kings

9:00 p.m.
Indiana Pacers @ Portland Trailblazers

10:00 p.m.
Charlotte Hornets @ Phoenix Suns