NBA Betting | themoneyballer.com

NBA WNBA NFL MLB

Updated: 02/22/26 12:30 a.m.

1:00 p.m.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder

Cavaliers: 36-21 (63.2%)

Thunder: 43-14 (75.4%)

Line: +3.5

Total: 224.5

Open: 223.5

Notes

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

3rd game in 4 nights

Thunder

Baller System(s)

Under on matchup between two elite teams

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 6-6 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 133-122 (52.2%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 88-61-1 (59.1%) Medium Confidence: 62-59-1 (51.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Thunder are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Cavaliers are 75% (9-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 71.4% (5-2-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 70% (7-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

View All Records

Thunder (Home)

The Thunder are 49.1% (28-29) against the spread

The Thunder are 46.7% (14-16) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 0% (0-1) against the spread as a dog

The Thunder are 52.6% (30-27) to the over/under

The Thunder are 46.7% (14-16) to the over/under at home

The Thunder are 100% (1-0) to the over/under as a dog

The Thunder are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Thunder are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Thunder are 0% (0-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Thunder are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Thunder are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Thunder are 100% (1-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

Cavaliers (Away)

The Cavaliers are 42.9% (24-32-1) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 50% (13-13-1) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 40% (18-27-1) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 41.2% (7-10-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 47.4% (27-30) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 55.6% (15-12) to the over/under away

The Cavaliers are 50% (23-23) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 66.7% (12-6) to the over/under as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 75% (9-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Cavaliers are 71.4% (5-2-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Cavaliers are 70% (7-3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Cavaliers are 60% (3-2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Cavaliers are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Cavaliers are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Cavaliers are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Cavaliers are 66.7% (4-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/19/26	2025	Thunder	136	Away	Cavaliers	104	-6.5	229.5	-32	240
01/16/25	2024	Thunder	134	Home	Cavaliers	114	-2.0	232.5	-20	248
01/08/25	2024	Thunder	122	Away	Cavaliers	129	+3.0	231.5	+7	251
11/08/23	2023	Thunder	128	Home	Cavaliers	120	+1.5	228.0	-8	248
10/27/23	2023	Thunder	108	Away	Cavaliers	105	+2.5	226.5	-3	213
01/27/23	2022	Thunder	112	Home	Cavaliers	100	-1.0	221.5	-12	212
12/10/22	2022	Thunder	102	Away	Cavaliers	110	+5.5	221.5	+8	212
Thunder as Home (3 games)			124.7	-	-	111.3	-0.5	227.3	-13.3	236.0
All Games Avg (7 games)			120.3	-	-	111.7	+0.4	227.3	-8.6	232.0

Schedules

Cavaliers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/25/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	away	Bucks	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	home	Knicks	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Cavaliers	-	away	Thunder	-	-3.5	224.5	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Cavaliers	118	away	Hornets	113	-5.0	228.5	-5	231
02/19/26	2025	Cavaliers	112	home	Nets	84	-15.5	229.5	-28	196
02/11/26	2025	Cavaliers	138	home	Wizards	113	-17.5	238.5	-25	251
02/09/26	2025	Cavaliers	119	away	Nuggets	117	+2.5	242.5	-2	236
02/07/26	2025	Cavaliers	132	away	Kings	126	-13.5	229.5	-6	258
02/04/26	2025	Cavaliers	124	away	Clippers	91	-2.5	221.5	-33	215
02/01/26	2025	Cavaliers	130	away	Trailblazers	111	-3.5	228.5	-19	241
01/30/26	2025	Cavaliers	113	away	Suns	126	-2.0	222.0	+13	239
01/28/26	2025	Cavaliers	129	home	Lakers	99	-3.5	233.5	-30	228
01/26/26	2025	Cavaliers	114	home	Magic	98	-4.5	221.5	-16	212
Away Games Avg (6 games)			122.7	-	-	114.0	-4.0	228.8	-8.7	236.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			122.9	-	-	107.8	-6.5	229.6	-15.1	230.7

Thunder Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/25/26	2025	Thunder	-	away	Pistons	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Thunder	-	away	Raptors	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Thunder	-	home	Cavaliers	-	+3.5	224.5	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Thunder	105	home	Nets	86	-17.0	214.5	-19	191
02/12/26	2025	Thunder	93	home	Bucks	110	-13.5	214.5	+17	203
02/11/26	2025	Thunder	136	away	Suns	109	-7.5	211.5	-27	245
02/09/26	2025	Thunder	119	away	Lakers	110	-7.5	222.5	-9	229
02/07/26	2025	Thunder	106	home	Rockets	112	-3.5	213.5	+6	218
02/04/26	2025	Thunder	106	away	Spurs	116	+9.5	221.5	+10	222
02/03/26	2025	Thunder	128	home	Magic	92	-11.5	222.5	-36	220
02/01/26	2025	Thunder	121	away	Nuggets	111	-7.5	225.5	-10	232
01/29/26	2025	Thunder	111	away	Timberwolves	123	-5.5	227.5	+12	234
01/27/26	2025	Thunder	104	home	Pelicans	95	-14.5	233.5	-9	199
Home Games Avg (5 games)			107.2	-	-	99.0	-12.0	219.7	-8.2	206.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			112.9	-	-	106.4	-7.9	220.7	-6.5	219.3

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

3:30 p.m.
Toronto Raptors @ Milwaukee Bucks

Raptors: 33-23 (58.9%)

Bucks: 24-30 (44.4%)

Line: +3.5

Total: 222.5

Open: +3.5

Open: 222.0

Notes

Raptors

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Bucks

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 6-6 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 133-122 (52.2%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 88-61-1 (59.1%) Medium Confidence: 62-59-1 (51.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Bucks are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Raptors are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Raptors are 25% (2-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

View All Records

Bucks (Home)

The Bucks are 45.5% (25-30) against the spread

The Bucks are 44% (11-14) against the spread at home

The Bucks are 54.5% (18-15) against the spread as a dog

The Bucks are 53.8% (7-6) against the spread as a home dog

The Bucks are 40% (22-33) to the over/under

The Bucks are 48% (12-13) to the over/under at home

The Bucks are 42.4% (14-19) to the over/under as a dog

The Bucks are 53.8% (7-6) to the over/under as a home dog

The Bucks are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Bucks are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Bucks are 60% (6-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Bucks are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Bucks are 38.5% (5-8) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Bucks are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Bucks are 50% (5-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Bucks are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Raptors (Away)

The Raptors are 51.8% (29-27) against the spread

The Raptors are 63% (17-10) against the spread away

The Raptors are 45.5% (15-18) against the spread as a fav

The Raptors are 58.3% (7-5) against the spread as an away fav

The Raptors are 41.1% (23-33) to the over/under

The Raptors are 40.7% (11-16) to the over/under away

The Raptors are 36.4% (12-21) to the over/under as a fav

The Raptors are 41.7% (5-7) to the over/under as an away fav

The Raptors are 63.6% (7-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Raptors are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Raptors are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Raptors are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Raptors are 36.4% (4-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Raptors are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Raptors are 25% (2-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Raptors are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/18/25	2025	Bucks	105	Home	Raptors	111	+4.5	218.5	+6	216
11/04/25	2025	Bucks	100	Away	Raptors	128	+2.5	236.5	+28	228
10/24/25	2025	Bucks	122	Away	Raptors	116	+2.5	235.5	-6	238
01/17/25	2024	Bucks	130	Home	Raptors	112	-11.0	233.5	-18	242
01/06/25	2024	Bucks	128	Away	Raptors	104	-6.0	231.0	-24	232
11/12/24	2024	Bucks	99	Home	Raptors	85	-9.0	225.5	-14	184
04/05/24	2023	Bucks	111	Home	Raptors	117	-15.0	228.5	+6	228
11/15/23	2023	Bucks	128	Away	Raptors	112	-1.0	225.0	-16	240
11/01/23	2023	Bucks	111	Away	Raptors	130	-4.0	223.5	+19	241
04/09/23	2022	Bucks	105	Away	Raptors	121	+3.5	221.0	+16	226
Bucks as Home (4 games)			111.3	-	-	106.3	-7.6	226.5	-5.0	217.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			113.9	-	-	113.6	-3.3	227.9	-0.3	227.5

Schedules

Raptors Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/25/26	2025	Raptors	-	home	Spurs	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Raptors	-	home	Thunder	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Raptors	-	away	Bucks	-	-3.5	222.5	-	-
02/19/26	2025	Raptors	110	away	Bulls	101	-6.5	234.5	-9	211
02/11/26	2025	Raptors	95	home	Pistons	113	-1.5	223.5	+18	208
02/08/26	2025	Raptors	122	home	Pacers	104	-7.5	226.5	-18	226
02/05/26	2025	Raptors	123	home	Bulls	107	-7.5	227.5	-16	230
02/04/26	2025	Raptors	126	home	Timberwolves	128	+2.5	228.5	+2	254
02/01/26	2025	Raptors	107	home	Jazz	100	-10.5	234.5	-7	207
01/30/26	2025	Raptors	120	away	Magic	130	+2.5	222.0	+10	250
01/28/26	2025	Raptors	92	home	Knicks	119	-1.5	220.5	+27	211
01/25/26	2025	Raptors	103	away	Thunder	101	+11.5	225.5	-2	204
01/23/26	2025	Raptors	110	away	Trailblazers	98	-4.0	225.5	-12	208
Away Games Avg (4 games)			110.8	-	-	107.5	+0.9	226.9	-3.3	218.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			110.8	-	-	110.1	-2.3	226.9	-0.7	220.9

Bucks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/25/26	2025	Bucks	-	home	Cavaliers	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Bucks	-	home	Heat	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Bucks	-	home	Raptors	-	+3.5	222.5	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Bucks	139	away	Pelicans	118	+4.0	223.5	-21	257
02/12/26	2025	Bucks	110	away	Thunder	93	+13.5	214.5	-17	203
02/11/26	2025	Bucks	116	away	Magic	108	+11.5	219.5	-8	224
02/09/26	2025	Bucks	99	away	Magic	118	+9.5	220.5	+19	217
02/06/26	2025	Bucks	105	home	Pacers	99	+1.5	223.5	-6	204
02/04/26	2025	Bucks	141	home	Pelicans	137	+4.5	223.5	-4	278
02/03/26	2025	Bucks	131	home	Bulls	115	+1.5	222.5	-16	246
02/01/26	2025	Bucks	79	away	Celtics	107	+13.5	217.5	+28	186
01/29/26	2025	Bucks	99	away	Wizards	109	-1.5	223.5	+10	208
01/27/26	2025	Bucks	122	away	Seventysixers	139	+10.5	219.5	+17	261
Home Games Avg (3 games)			125.7	-	-	117.0	+2.5	223.2	-8.7	242.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			114.1	-	-	114.3	+6.9	220.8	+0.2	228.4

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

3:30 p.m.
Brooklyn Nets @ Atlanta Hawks

Nets: 15-40 (27.3%)

Hawks: 27-31 (46.6%)

Line: -8.5

Total: 229.5

Open: -8.5

Open: 230.5

Notes

Nets

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

3rd game in 4 nights

Hawks

Situational Factor(s)

3rd game in 4 nights

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 6-6 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 133-122 (52.2%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 88-61-1 (59.1%) Medium Confidence: 62-59-1 (51.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Hawks are 16.7% (2-10) against the spread as a home fav

View All Records

Hawks (Home)

The Hawks are 46.6% (27-31) against the spread

The Hawks are 34.6% (9-17) against the spread at home

The Hawks are 33.3% (8-16) against the spread as a fav

The Hawks are 16.7% (2-10) against the spread as a home fav

The Hawks are 50% (29-29) to the over/under

The Hawks are 42.3% (11-15) to the over/under at home

The Hawks are 50% (12-12) to the over/under as a fav

The Hawks are 33.3% (4-8) to the over/under as a home fav

The Hawks are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Hawks are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Hawks are 33.3% (1-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Hawks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Hawks are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Hawks are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Hawks are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Hawks are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Nets (Away)

The Nets are 46.3% (25-29-1) against the spread

The Nets are 44.4% (12-15-1) against the spread away

The Nets are 44% (22-28-1) against the spread as a dog

The Nets are 44.4% (12-15-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Nets are 44.4% (24-30-1) to the over/under

The Nets are 37% (10-17-1) to the over/under away

The Nets are 44% (22-28-1) to the over/under as a dog

The Nets are 37% (10-17-1) to the over/under as an away dog

The Nets are 42.9% (6-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Nets are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Nets are 41.7% (5-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Nets are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Nets are 57.1% (8-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Nets are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Nets are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Nets are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/29/25	2025	Hawks	117	Away	Nets	112	-8.5	239.5	-5	229
04/10/25	2024	Hawks	133	Away	Nets	109	-13.5	234.5	-24	242
03/16/25	2024	Hawks	114	Away	Nets	122	-5.5	228.5	+8	236
10/23/24	2024	Hawks	120	Home	Nets	116	-7.0	224.0	-4	236
03/02/24	2023	Hawks	102	Away	Nets	114	+1.5	220.5	+12	216
02/29/24	2023	Hawks	97	Away	Nets	124	+1.0	220.0	+27	221
12/06/23	2023	Hawks	113	Home	Nets	114	-3.5	242.5	+1	227
11/22/23	2023	Hawks	147	Home	Nets	145	-3.0	236.5	-2	292
03/31/23	2022	Hawks	107	Away	Nets	124	-1.5	240.5	+17	231
02/26/23	2022	Hawks	129	Home	Nets	127	-6.5	233.5	-2	256
Hawks as Home (4 games)			127.3	-	-	125.5	-5.0	234.1	-1.8	252.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			117.9	-	-	120.7	-4.7	232.0	+2.8	238.6

Schedules

Nets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/26/26	2025	Nets	-	home	Spurs	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Nets	-	home	Mavericks	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Nets	-	away	Hawks	-	+8.5	229.5	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Nets	86	away	Thunder	105	+17.0	214.5	+19	191
02/19/26	2025	Nets	84	away	Cavaliers	112	+15.5	229.5	+28	196
02/11/26	2025	Nets	110	home	Pacers	115	-6.5	215.5	+5	225
02/09/26	2025	Nets	123	home	Bulls	115	+3.5	218.5	-8	238
02/07/26	2025	Nets	127	home	Wizards	113	-8.5	216.5	-14	240
02/05/26	2025	Nets	98	away	Magic	118	+9.5	214.5	+20	216
02/03/26	2025	Nets	109	home	Lakers	125	+7.5	223.5	+16	234
02/01/26	2025	Nets	77	away	Pistons	130	+13.5	214.5	+53	207
01/30/26	2025	Nets	109	away	Jazz	99	+3.5	227.0	-10	208
01/29/26	2025	Nets	103	away	Nuggets	107	+6.5	209.5	+4	210
Away Games Avg (6 games)			92.8	-	-	111.8	+10.9	218.3	+19.0	204.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			102.6	-	-	113.9	+6.2	218.4	+11.3	216.5

Hawks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/26/26	2025	Hawks	-	home	Wizards	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Hawks	-	home	Wizards	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Hawks	-	home	Nets	-	-8.5	229.5	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Hawks	97	home	Heat	128	+3.5	244.5	+31	225
02/19/26	2025	Hawks	117	away	Seventysixers	107	+1.5	241.5	-10	224
02/11/26	2025	Hawks	107	away	Hornets	110	+2.5	235.5	+3	217
02/09/26	2025	Hawks	116	away	Timberwolves	138	+8.5	239.5	+22	254
02/07/26	2025	Hawks	119	home	Hornets	126	+1.5	233.5	+7	245
02/05/26	2025	Hawks	121	home	Jazz	119	-8.5	245.5	-2	240
02/03/26	2025	Hawks	127	away	Heat	115	+1.5	235.5	-12	242
01/31/26	2025	Hawks	124	away	Pacers	129	-1.5	235.5	+5	253
01/29/26	2025	Hawks	86	home	Rockets	104	+6.5	224.5	+18	190
01/28/26	2025	Hawks	117	away	Celtics	106	+5.5	232.5	-11	223
Home Games Avg (4 games)			105.8	-	-	119.3	+0.8	237.0	+13.5	225.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			113.1	-	-	118.2	+2.1	236.8	+5.1	231.3

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

3:30 p.m.
Denver Nuggets @ Golden State Warriors

Nuggets: 36-21 (63.2%)

Warriors: 29-27 (51.8%)

Line: +5.0

Total: 229.5

Open: +5.5

Open: 230.5

Notes

Nuggets

Situational Factor(s)

3rd game in 4 nights

Coming off a win as a dog (letdown)

Baller System(s)

Back late season medium road favorites

Warriors

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 6-6 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 133-122 (52.2%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 88-61-1 (59.1%) Medium Confidence: 62-59-1 (51.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Warriors are 20% (1-4) against the spread as a home dog

The Warriors are 0% (0-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Warriors are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Warriors are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Nuggets are 75% (15-5) to the over/under as an away fav

The Nuggets are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

View All Records

Warriors (Home)

The Warriors are 45.6% (26-31) against the spread

The Warriors are 48.3% (14-15) against the spread at home

The Warriors are 44.4% (8-10) against the spread as a dog

The Warriors are 20% (1-4) against the spread as a home dog

The Warriors are 57.9% (33-24) to the over/under

The Warriors are 62.1% (18-11) to the over/under at home

The Warriors are 38.9% (7-11) to the over/under as a dog

The Warriors are 60% (3-2) to the over/under as a home dog

The Warriors are 33.3% (4-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Warriors are 0% (0-5) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Warriors are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Warriors are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Warriors are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Warriors are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Warriors are 28.6% (2-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Warriors are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Nuggets (Away)

The Nuggets are 56.9% (33-25) against the spread

The Nuggets are 65.6% (21-11) against the spread away

The Nuggets are 50% (18-18) against the spread as a fav

The Nuggets are 55% (11-9) against the spread as an away fav

The Nuggets are 60.3% (35-23) to the over/under

The Nuggets are 65.6% (21-11) to the over/under away

The Nuggets are 69.4% (25-11) to the over/under as a fav

The Nuggets are 75% (15-5) to the over/under as an away fav

The Nuggets are 57.1% (8-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Nuggets are 75% (6-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Nuggets are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Nuggets are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Nuggets are 57.1% (8-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Nuggets are 62.5% (5-3) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Nuggets are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Nuggets are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/07/25	2025	Warriors	104	Away	Nuggets	129	+9.5	230.5	+25	233
10/23/25	2025	Warriors	137	Home	Nuggets	131	-1.5	233.5	-6	268
04/04/25	2024	Warriors	118	Home	Nuggets	104	-2.5	237.5	-14	222
03/17/25	2024	Warriors	105	Home	Nuggets	114	-13.5	232.5	+9	219
12/03/24	2024	Warriors	115	Away	Nuggets	119	+5.0	237.0	+4	234
02/25/24	2023	Warriors	103	Home	Nuggets	119	-1.5	230.5	+16	222
01/04/24	2023	Warriors	127	Home	Nuggets	130	+3.5	234.5	+3	257
12/25/23	2023	Warriors	114	Away	Nuggets	120	+7.0	234.5	+6	234
11/08/23	2023	Warriors	105	Away	Nuggets	108	+4.0	227.0	+3	213
04/02/23	2022	Warriors	110	Away	Nuggets	112	-4.0	231.5	+2	222
Warriors as Home (5 games)			118.0	-	-	119.6	-3.1	233.7	+1.6	237.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			113.8	-	-	118.6	+0.6	232.9	+4.8	232.4

Schedules

Nuggets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/27/26	2025	Nuggets	-	away	Thunder	-	-	-	-	-
02/25/26	2025	Nuggets	-	home	Celtics	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Nuggets	-	away	Warriors	-	-5.0	229.5	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Nuggets	157	away	Trailblazers	103	+1.0	240.5	-54	260
02/19/26	2025	Nuggets	114	away	Clippers	115	-4.5	226.5	+1	229
02/11/26	2025	Nuggets	122	home	Grizzlies	116	-14.5	239.5	-6	238
02/09/26	2025	Nuggets	117	home	Cavaliers	119	-2.5	242.5	+2	236
02/07/26	2025	Nuggets	136	away	Bulls	120	-8.5	235.5	-16	256
02/04/26	2025	Nuggets	127	away	Knicks	134	+4.5	228.5	+7	261
02/03/26	2025	Nuggets	121	away	Pistons	124	+5.5	229.5	+3	245
02/01/26	2025	Nuggets	111	home	Thunder	121	+7.5	225.5	+10	232
01/30/26	2025	Nuggets	122	home	Clippers	109	+2.5	219.0	-13	231
01/29/26	2025	Nuggets	107	home	Nets	103	-6.5	209.5	-4	210
Away Games Avg (5 games)			131.0	-	-	119.2	-0.4	232.1	-11.8	250.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			123.4	-	-	116.4	-1.6	229.7	-7.0	239.8

Warriors Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/25/26	2025	Warriors	-	away	Grizzlies	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Warriors	-	away	Pelicans	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Warriors	-	home	Nuggets	-	+5.0	229.5	-	-
02/19/26	2025	Warriors	110	home	Celtics	121	+5.5	211.5	+11	231
02/11/26	2025	Warriors	113	home	Spurs	126	+7.5	220.5	+13	239
02/09/26	2025	Warriors	114	home	Grizzlies	113	-9.5	218.5	-1	227
02/07/26	2025	Warriors	99	away	Lakers	105	+2.5	219.5	+6	204
02/05/26	2025	Warriors	101	away	Suns	97	+5.5	212.5	-4	198
02/03/26	2025	Warriors	94	home	Seventysixers	113	-4.5	222.5	+19	207
01/30/26	2025	Warriors	124	home	Pistons	131	-2.0	225.5	+7	255
01/28/26	2025	Warriors	140	away	Jazz	124	-8.5	242.5	-16	264
01/26/26	2025	Warriors	83	away	Timberwolves	108	+8.0	226.0	+25	191
01/25/26	2025	Warriors	111	away	Timberwolves	85	+5.5	237.5	-26	196
Home Games Avg (5 games)			111.0	-	-	120.8	-0.6	219.7	+9.8	231.8
All Games Avg (10 games)			108.9	-	-	112.3	+1.0	223.7	+3.4	221.2

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

5:00 p.m.
Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers

Mavericks: 19-36 (34.5%)

Pacers: 15-42 (26.3%)

Line: +1.5

Total: 232.0

Open: +2.5

Notes

Mavericks

Nothing active

Pacers

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

3rd game in 4 nights

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 6-6 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 133-122 (52.2%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 88-61-1 (59.1%) Medium Confidence: 62-59-1 (51.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Pacers are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Pacers are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Pacers are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Pacers are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Pacers are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

The Mavericks are 16.7% (1-5) against the spread as an away fav

The Mavericks are 16.7% (1-5) to the over/under as an away fav

View All Records

Pacers (Home)

The Pacers are 49.1% (28-29) against the spread

The Pacers are 60.7% (17-11) against the spread at home

The Pacers are 52.1% (25-23) against the spread as a dog

The Pacers are 63.6% (14-8) against the spread as a home dog

The Pacers are 42.1% (24-33) to the over/under

The Pacers are 46.4% (13-15) to the over/under at home

The Pacers are 45.8% (22-26) to the over/under as a dog

The Pacers are 54.5% (12-10) to the over/under as a home dog

The Pacers are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Pacers are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Pacers are 54.5% (6-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Pacers are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Pacers are 61.5% (8-5) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Pacers are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Pacers are 72.7% (8-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Pacers are 75% (3-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Mavericks (Away)

The Mavericks are 45.5% (25-30-1) against the spread

The Mavericks are 37.5% (9-15-1) against the spread away

The Mavericks are 31.3% (5-11) against the spread as a fav

The Mavericks are 16.7% (1-5) against the spread as an away fav

The Mavericks are 42.9% (24-32) to the over/under

The Mavericks are 36% (9-16) to the over/under away

The Mavericks are 31.3% (5-11) to the over/under as a fav

The Mavericks are 16.7% (1-5) to the over/under as an away fav

The Mavericks are 41.7% (5-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Mavericks are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Mavericks are 41.7% (5-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Mavericks are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) to the over/under away

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
10/29/25	2025	Pacers	105	Away	Mavericks	107	+5.5	229.5	+2	212
03/19/25	2024	Pacers	135	Home	Mavericks	131	-10.5	228.0	-4	266
11/04/24	2024	Pacers	134	Away	Mavericks	127	+4.5	236.5	-7	261
03/05/24	2023	Pacers	137	Away	Mavericks	120	+5.5	247.5	-17	257
02/25/24	2023	Pacers	133	Home	Mavericks	111	+1.0	252.0	-22	244
03/27/23	2022	Pacers	104	Home	Mavericks	127	+8.0	238.0	+23	231
02/28/23	2022	Pacers	124	Away	Mavericks	122	+9.0	236.5	-2	246
Pacers as Home (3 games)			124.0	-	-	123.0	-0.5	239.3	-1.0	247.0
All Games Avg (7 games)			124.6	-	-	120.7	+3.3	238.3	-3.9	245.3

Schedules

Mavericks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/26/26	2025	Mavericks	-	home	Kings	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Mavericks	-	away	Nets	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Mavericks	-	away	Pacers	-	-1.5	232.0	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Mavericks	111	away	Timberwolves	122	+14.0	239.5	+11	233
02/12/26	2025	Mavericks	104	away	Lakers	124	+6.5	237.5	+20	228
02/10/26	2025	Mavericks	111	away	Suns	120	+8.5	229.5	+9	231
02/07/26	2025	Mavericks	125	away	Spurs	138	+11.5	233.5	+13	263
02/05/26	2025	Mavericks	123	home	Spurs	135	+7.5	230.5	+12	258
02/03/26	2025	Mavericks	100	home	Celtics	110	+7.5	223.5	+10	210
01/31/26	2025	Mavericks	107	away	Rockets	111	+10.5	222.5	+4	218
01/29/26	2025	Mavericks	121	home	Hornets	123	+3.5	225.5	+2	244
01/28/26	2025	Mavericks	105	home	Timberwolves	118	+8.5	229.5	+13	223
01/25/26	2025	Mavericks	0	away	Bucks	0	+2.5	219.5	0	0
Away Games Avg (6 games)			93.0	-	-	102.5	+8.9	230.3	+9.5	195.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			100.7	-	-	110.1	+8.1	229.1	+9.4	210.8

Pacers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/26/26	2025	Pacers	-	home	Hornets	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Pacers	-	home	Seventysixers	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Pacers	-	home	Mavericks	-	+1.5	232.0	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Pacers	118	away	Wizards	131	+1.0	228.5	+13	249
02/19/26	2025	Pacers	105	away	Wizards	112	-2.5	233.5	+7	217
02/11/26	2025	Pacers	115	away	Nets	110	+6.5	215.5	-5	225
02/10/26	2025	Pacers	137	away	Knicks	134	+11.5	227.5	-3	271
02/08/26	2025	Pacers	104	away	Raptors	122	+7.5	226.5	+18	226
02/06/26	2025	Pacers	99	away	Bucks	105	-1.5	223.5	+6	204
02/03/26	2025	Pacers	122	home	Jazz	131	+2.5	232.5	+9	253
02/02/26	2025	Pacers	114	home	Rockets	118	+6.5	218.5	+4	232
01/31/26	2025	Pacers	129	home	Hawks	124	+1.5	235.5	-5	253
01/28/26	2025	Pacers	113	home	Bulls	110	+1.5	235.5	-3	223
Home Games Avg (4 games)			119.5	-	-	120.8	+3.0	230.5	+1.3	240.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			115.6	-	-	119.7	+3.5	227.7	+4.1	235.3

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

6:00 p.m.
Charlotte Hornets @ Washington Wizards

Hornets: 26-31 (45.6%)

Wizards: 16-39 (29.1%)

Line: +11.5

Total: 227.5

Open: +10.5

Open: 229.0

Notes

Hornets

Situational Factor(s)

3rd game in 4 nights

Baller System(s)

Back late season medium road favorites

Wizards

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

3rd game in 4 nights

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

Over

55.63% probability

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 6-6 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 133-122 (52.2%)	Over
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 88-61-1 (59.1%) Medium Confidence: 62-59-1 (51.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	Over
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| Over

Notable Trends

The Hornets are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Hornets are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Hornets are 28.6% (4-10) (L30 days) to the over/under

View All Records

Wizards (Home)

The Wizards are 43.6% (24-31) against the spread

The Wizards are 48.3% (14-15) against the spread at home

The Wizards are 43.1% (22-29) against the spread as a dog

The Wizards are 48% (12-13) against the spread as a home dog

The Wizards are 52.7% (29-26) to the over/under

The Wizards are 51.7% (15-14) to the over/under at home

The Wizards are 51% (26-25) to the over/under as a dog

The Wizards are 48% (12-13) to the over/under as a home dog

The Wizards are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Wizards are 55.6% (5-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Wizards are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Wizards are 50% (4-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Wizards are 61.5% (8-5) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Wizards are 44.4% (4-5) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Wizards are 58.3% (7-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Wizards are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Hornets (Away)

The Hornets are 61.8% (34-21-2) against the spread

The Hornets are 62.1% (18-11) against the spread away

The Hornets are 60% (9-6) against the spread as a fav

The Hornets are 57.1% (4-3) against the spread as an away fav

The Hornets are 38.6% (22-35) to the over/under

The Hornets are 44.8% (13-16) to the over/under away

The Hornets are 46.7% (7-8) to the over/under as a fav

The Hornets are 57.1% (4-3) to the over/under as an away fav

The Hornets are 69.2% (9-4-1) (L30 days) against the spread

The Hornets are 80% (4-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Hornets are 71.4% (5-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Hornets are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Hornets are 28.6% (4-10) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Hornets are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Hornets are 42.9% (3-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Hornets are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
01/24/26	2025	Wizards	115	Away	Hornets	119	+11.5	231.5	+4	234
12/23/25	2025	Wizards	109	Away	Hornets	126	+6.5	239.5	+17	235
10/26/25	2025	Wizards	113	Home	Hornets	139	-1.5	240.0	+26	252
03/01/25	2024	Wizards	113	Away	Hornets	100	+3.5	226.0	-13	213
02/03/25	2024	Wizards	124	Away	Hornets	114	+4.5	216.0	-10	238
12/26/24	2024	Wizards	113	Home	Hornets	110	+5.0	230.0	-3	223
12/19/24	2024	Wizards	123	Home	Hornets	114	+4.0	226.0	-9	237
03/08/24	2023	Wizards	112	Home	Hornets	100	-3.0	225.0	-12	212
11/22/23	2023	Wizards	114	Away	Hornets	117	+4.0	241.5	+3	231
11/10/23	2023	Wizards	117	Home	Hornets	124	-3.0	240.0	+7	241
Wizards as Home (5 games)			115.6	-	-	117.4	+0.3	232.2	+1.8	233.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			115.3	-	-	116.3	+3.2	231.6	+1.0	231.6

Schedules

Hornets Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/26/26	2025	Hornets	-	away	Pacers	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Hornets	-	away	Bulls	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Hornets	-	away	Wizards	-	-11.5	227.5	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Hornets	113	home	Cavaliers	118	+5.0	228.5	+5	231
02/19/26	2025	Hornets	101	home	Rockets	105	+4.5	218.5	+4	206
02/11/26	2025	Hornets	110	home	Hawks	107	-2.5	235.5	-3	217
02/09/26	2025	Hornets	104	home	Pistons	110	+2.5	222.5	+6	214
02/07/26	2025	Hornets	126	away	Hawks	119	-1.5	233.5	-7	245
02/05/26	2025	Hornets	109	away	Rockets	99	+4.5	218.5	-10	208
02/02/26	2025	Hornets	102	home	Pelicans	95	-6.5	230.5	-7	197
01/31/26	2025	Hornets	111	home	Spurs	106	+4.0	228.0	-5	217
01/29/26	2025	Hornets	123	away	Mavericks	121	-3.5	225.5	-2	244
01/28/26	2025	Hornets	112	away	Grizzlies	97	-2.5	231.5	-15	209
Away Games Avg (4 games)			117.5	-	-	109.0	-0.8	227.3	-8.5	226.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			111.1	-	-	107.7	+0.4	227.3	-3.4	218.8

Wizards Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/26/26	2025	Wizards	-	away	Hawks	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Wizards	-	away	Hawks	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Wizards	-	home	Hornets	-	+11.5	227.5	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Wizards	131	home	Pacers	118	-1.0	228.5	-13	249
02/19/26	2025	Wizards	112	home	Pacers	105	+2.5	233.5	-7	217
02/11/26	2025	Wizards	113	away	Cavaliers	138	+17.5	238.5	+25	251
02/08/26	2025	Wizards	101	home	Heat	132	+13.5	235.5	+31	233
02/07/26	2025	Wizards	113	away	Nets	127	+8.5	216.5	+14	240
02/05/26	2025	Wizards	126	away	Pistons	117	+17.5	227.5	-9	243
02/03/26	2025	Wizards	101	home	Knicks	132	+12.5	227.5	+31	233
02/01/26	2025	Wizards	116	home	Kings	112	+1.5	226.5	-4	228
01/30/26	2025	Wizards	111	home	Lakers	142	+10.5	230.0	+31	253
01/29/26	2025	Wizards	109	home	Bucks	99	+1.5	223.5	-10	208
Home Games Avg (7 games)			111.6	-	-	120.0	+5.9	229.3	+8.4	231.6
All Games Avg (10 games)			113.3	-	-	122.2	+8.5	228.8	+8.9	235.5

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

6:30 p.m.
Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers

Celtics: 36-19 (65.5%)

Lakers: 34-21 (61.8%)

Line: +1.5

Total: 228.0

Open: +1.0

Open: 228.0

Notes

Celtics

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Well-rested (two or more days of rest)

Lakers

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

Baller System(s)

Under on matchup between two elite teams

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 6-6 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 133-122 (52.2%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 88-61-1 (59.1%) Medium Confidence: 62-59-1 (51.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Lakers are 25% (2-6) against the spread as a home dog

The Lakers are 87.5% (7-1) to the over/under as a home dog

The Lakers are 0% (0-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Celtics are 23.1% (3-10) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Celtics are 25% (3-9) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

View All Records

Lakers (Home)

The Lakers are 52.8% (28-25-2) against the spread

The Lakers are 50% (12-12-2) against the spread at home

The Lakers are 36.4% (8-14) against the spread as a dog

The Lakers are 25% (2-6) against the spread as a home dog

The Lakers are 56.4% (31-24) to the over/under

The Lakers are 69.2% (18-8) to the over/under at home

The Lakers are 63.6% (14-8) to the over/under as a dog

The Lakers are 87.5% (7-1) to the over/under as a home dog

The Lakers are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Lakers are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Lakers are 0% (0-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Lakers are 0% (0-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Lakers are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Lakers are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Lakers are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Lakers are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Celtics (Away)

The Celtics are 56.4% (31-24) against the spread

The Celtics are 64.3% (18-10) against the spread away

The Celtics are 52.5% (21-19) against the spread as a fav

The Celtics are 61.1% (11-7) against the spread as an away fav

The Celtics are 38.2% (21-34) to the over/under

The Celtics are 39.3% (11-17) to the over/under away

The Celtics are 37.5% (15-25) to the over/under as a fav

The Celtics are 38.9% (7-11) to the over/under as an away fav

The Celtics are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) against the spread

The Celtics are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Celtics are 50% (6-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Celtics are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Celtics are 23.1% (3-10) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Celtics are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Celtics are 25% (3-9) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Celtics are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
12/05/25	2025	Lakers	105	Away	Celtics	126	+9.0	227.0	+21	231
03/08/25	2024	Lakers	101	Away	Celtics	111	+6.5	225.5	+10	212
01/23/25	2024	Lakers	117	Home	Celtics	96	+5.0	218.5	-21	213
02/01/24	2023	Lakers	114	Away	Celtics	105	+15.0	238.5	-9	219
12/25/23	2023	Lakers	115	Home	Celtics	126	+5.0	234.5	+11	241
01/28/23	2022	Lakers	121	Away	Celtics	125	+8.0	234.0	+4	246
12/13/22	2022	Lakers	118	Home	Celtics	122	+4.0	237.0	+4	240
Lakers as Home (3 games)			116.7	-	-	114.7	+4.7	230.0	-2.0	231.3
All Games Avg (7 games)			113.0	-	-	115.9	+7.5	230.7	+2.9	228.9

Schedules

Celtics Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/25/26	2025	Celtics	-	away	Nuggets	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Celtics	-	away	Suns	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Celtics	-	away	Lakers	-	-1.5	228.0	-	-
02/19/26	2025	Celtics	121	away	Warriors	110	-5.5	211.5	-11	231
02/11/26	2025	Celtics	124	home	Bulls	105	-13.5	227.5	-19	229
02/08/26	2025	Celtics	89	home	Knicks	111	-3.5	215.5	+22	200
02/06/26	2025	Celtics	98	home	Heat	96	-5.5	227.5	-2	194
02/04/26	2025	Celtics	114	away	Rockets	93	+8.5	210.5	-21	207
02/03/26	2025	Celtics	110	away	Mavericks	100	-7.5	223.5	-10	210
02/01/26	2025	Celtics	107	home	Bucks	79	-13.5	217.5	-28	186
01/30/26	2025	Celtics	112	home	Kings	93	-11.5	216.5	-19	205
01/28/26	2025	Celtics	106	home	Hawks	117	-5.5	232.5	+11	223
01/26/26	2025	Celtics	102	home	Trailblazers	94	-8.5	223.0	-8	196
Away Games Avg (3 games)			115.0	-	-	101.0	-1.5	215.2	-14.0	216.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			108.3	-	-	99.8	-6.6	220.6	-8.5	208.1

Lakers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/26/26	2025	Lakers	-	away	Suns	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Lakers	-	home	Magic	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Lakers	-	home	Celtics	-	+1.5	228.0	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Lakers	125	home	Clippers	122	-7.0	225.5	-3	247
02/12/26	2025	Lakers	124	home	Mavericks	104	-6.5	237.5	-20	228
02/10/26	2025	Lakers	108	home	Spurs	136	+13.5	226.5	+28	244
02/09/26	2025	Lakers	110	home	Thunder	119	+7.5	222.5	+9	229
02/07/26	2025	Lakers	105	home	Warriors	99	-2.5	219.5	-6	204
02/05/26	2025	Lakers	119	home	Seventysixers	115	-2.5	236.5	-4	234
02/03/26	2025	Lakers	125	away	Nets	109	-7.5	223.5	-16	234
02/01/26	2025	Lakers	100	away	Knicks	112	+5.5	227.5	+12	212
01/30/26	2025	Lakers	142	away	Wizards	111	-10.5	230.0	-31	253
01/28/26	2025	Lakers	99	away	Cavaliers	129	+3.5	233.5	+30	228
Home Games Avg (6 games)			115.2	-	-	115.8	+0.4	228.0	+0.7	231.0
All Games Avg (10 games)			115.7	-	-	115.6	-0.7	228.3	-0.1	231.3

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

7:00 p.m.
Philadelphia Seventysixers @ Minnesota Timberwolves

Seventysixers: 30-25 (54.5%)

Timberwolves: 35-22 (61.4%)

Line: -9.0

Total: 238.0

Open: -8.0

Open: 236.5

Notes

Seventysixers

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

Timberwolves

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 6-6 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 133-122 (52.2%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 88-61-1 (59.1%) Medium Confidence: 62-59-1 (51.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Timberwolves are 29% (9-22) to the over/under at home

The Timberwolves are 25.9% (7-20) to the over/under as a home fav

The Timberwolves are 30% (3-7) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Timberwolves are 22.2% (2-7) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

The Seventysixers are 70.8% (17-7-1) against the spread away

The Seventysixers are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

View All Records

Timberwolves (Home)

The Timberwolves are 43.1% (25-33) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 41.9% (13-18) against the spread at home

The Timberwolves are 40.4% (19-28) against the spread as a fav

The Timberwolves are 40.7% (11-16) against the spread as a home fav

The Timberwolves are 46.6% (27-31) to the over/under

The Timberwolves are 29% (9-22) to the over/under at home

The Timberwolves are 42.6% (20-27) to the over/under as a fav

The Timberwolves are 25.9% (7-20) to the over/under as a home fav

The Timberwolves are 42.9% (6-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Timberwolves are 40% (4-6) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Timberwolves are 38.5% (5-8) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Timberwolves are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Timberwolves are 42.9% (6-8) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Timberwolves are 30% (3-7) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Timberwolves are 38.5% (5-8) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Timberwolves are 22.2% (2-7) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Seventysixers (Away)

The Seventysixers are 55.6% (30-24-1) against the spread

The Seventysixers are 70.8% (17-7-1) against the spread away

The Seventysixers are 48% (12-13-1) against the spread as a dog

The Seventysixers are 58.3% (7-5-1) against the spread as an away dog

The Seventysixers are 51.9% (28-26-1) to the over/under

The Seventysixers are 48% (12-13) to the over/under away

The Seventysixers are 53.8% (14-12) to the over/under as a dog

The Seventysixers are 46.2% (6-7) to the over/under as an away dog

The Seventysixers are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Seventysixers are 50% (3-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Seventysixers are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Seventysixers are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Seventysixers are 46.2% (6-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Seventysixers are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Seventysixers are 37.5% (3-5) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Seventysixers are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
04/05/25	2024	Timberwolves	114	Away	Seventysixers	109	-16.0	224.5	-5	223
03/04/25	2024	Timberwolves	126	Home	Seventysixers	112	-13.0	223.0	-14	238
12/20/23	2023	Timberwolves	113	Away	Seventysixers	127	+4.0	225.0	+14	240
11/22/23	2023	Timberwolves	112	Home	Seventysixers	99	-4.5	221.0	-13	211
03/07/23	2022	Timberwolves	94	Home	Seventysixers	117	+11.0	223.0	+23	211
11/19/22	2022	Timberwolves	112	Away	Seventysixers	109	+2.0	223.0	-3	221
Timberwolves as Home (3 games)			110.7	-	-	109.3	-2.2	222.3	-1.3	220.0
All Games Avg (6 games)			111.8	-	-	112.2	-2.8	223.3	+0.3	224.0

Schedules

Seventysixers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/26/26	2025	Seventysixers	-	home	Heat	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Seventysixers	-	away	Pacers	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Seventysixers	-	away	Timberwolves	-	+9.0	238.0	-	-
02/21/26	2025	Seventysixers		away	Pelicans		-3.5	235.0	0	0
02/19/26	2025	Seventysixers	107	home	Hawks	117	-1.5	241.5	+10	224
02/11/26	2025	Seventysixers	89	home	Knicks	138	+2.5	224.5	+49	227
02/09/26	2025	Seventysixers	118	away	Trailblazers	135	+3.5	231.5	+17	253
02/07/26	2025	Seventysixers	109	away	Suns	103	+2.5	224.5	-6	212
02/05/26	2025	Seventysixers	115	away	Lakers	119	+2.5	236.5	+4	234
02/03/26	2025	Seventysixers	113	away	Warriors	94	+4.5	222.5	-19	207
02/02/26	2025	Seventysixers	128	away	Clippers	113	-1.5	220.5	-15	241
01/31/26	2025	Seventysixers	124	home	Pelicans	114	-6.5	234.5	-10	238
01/29/26	2025	Seventysixers	113	home	Kings	111	-9.5	229.5	-2	224
Away Games Avg (6 games)			97.2	-	-	94.0	+1.3	228.4	-3.2	191.2
All Games Avg (10 games)			101.6	-	-	104.4	-0.7	230.1	+2.8	206.0

Timberwolves Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/26/26	2025	Timberwolves	-	away	Clippers	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Timberwolves	-	away	Trailblazers	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Timberwolves	-	home	Seventysixers	-	-9.0	238.0	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Timberwolves	122	home	Mavericks	111	-14.0	239.5	-11	233
02/11/26	2025	Timberwolves	133	home	Trailblazers	109	-7.5	237.5	-24	242
02/09/26	2025	Timberwolves	138	home	Hawks	116	-8.5	239.5	-22	254
02/08/26	2025	Timberwolves	96	home	Clippers	115	-8.5	222.5	+19	211
02/06/26	2025	Timberwolves	115	home	Pelicans	119	-8.5	237.5	+4	234
02/04/26	2025	Timberwolves	128	away	Raptors	126	-2.5	228.5	-2	254
02/02/26	2025	Timberwolves	128	away	Grizzlies	137	-7.5	232.5	+9	265
01/31/26	2025	Timberwolves	131	away	Grizzlies	114	-11.0	229.5	-17	245
01/29/26	2025	Timberwolves	123	home	Thunder	111	+5.5	227.5	-12	234
01/28/26	2025	Timberwolves	118	away	Mavericks	105	-8.5	229.5	-13	223
Home Games Avg (6 games)			121.2	-	-	113.5	-6.9	234.0	-7.7	234.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			123.2	-	-	116.3	-7.1	232.4	-6.9	239.5

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:00 p.m.
New York Knicks @ Chicago Bulls

Knicks: 36-21 (63.2%)

Bulls: 24-32 (42.9%)

Line: +10.5

Total: 231.5

Notes

Knicks

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

Baller System(s)

Back late season medium road favorites

Bulls

Situational Factor(s)

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

Baller System(s)

Back team on 5-game ATS losing streak

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature Linear regression predicting spread, 20 features. Test RÂ²: 0.483, MAE: 11.20. Medium Confidence: 55-46 (54.5%)	Neutral
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 6-6 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 133-122 (52.2%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 88-61-1 (59.1%) Medium Confidence: 62-59-1 (51.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Bulls are 28.6% (4-10) (L30 days) against the spread

The Bulls are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Bulls are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Knicks are 76.9% (10-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Knicks are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Knicks are 80% (8-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

View All Records

Bulls (Home)

The Bulls are 44.6% (25-31-2) against the spread

The Bulls are 50% (14-14-1) against the spread at home

The Bulls are 58.8% (20-14) against the spread as a dog

The Bulls are 60% (9-6) against the spread as a home dog

The Bulls are 46.6% (27-31) to the over/under

The Bulls are 37.9% (11-18) to the over/under at home

The Bulls are 47.1% (16-18) to the over/under as a dog

The Bulls are 40% (6-9) to the over/under as a home dog

The Bulls are 28.6% (4-10) (L30 days) against the spread

The Bulls are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Bulls are 36.4% (4-7) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Bulls are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Bulls are 50% (7-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Bulls are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Bulls are 45.5% (5-6) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Bulls are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Knicks (Away)

The Knicks are 54.4% (31-26) against the spread

The Knicks are 40.7% (11-16) against the spread away

The Knicks are 56.3% (27-21) against the spread as a fav

The Knicks are 42.1% (8-11) against the spread as an away fav

The Knicks are 51.8% (29-27-1) to the over/under

The Knicks are 48.1% (13-14) to the over/under away

The Knicks are 53.2% (25-22-1) to the over/under as a fav

The Knicks are 52.6% (10-9) to the over/under as an away fav

The Knicks are 76.9% (10-3) (L30 days) against the spread

The Knicks are 83.3% (5-1) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Knicks are 80% (8-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Knicks are 100% (3-0) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Knicks are 41.7% (5-7-1) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Knicks are 33.3% (2-4) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Knicks are 55.6% (5-4-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Knicks are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/02/25	2025	Bulls	116	Away	Knicks	128	+7.5	235.5	+12	244
10/31/25	2025	Bulls	135	Home	Knicks	125	+4.5	233.5	-10	260
02/20/25	2024	Bulls	111	Away	Knicks	113	+10.5	244.5	+2	224
01/04/25	2024	Bulls	139	Home	Knicks	126	+6.0	238.5	-13	265
11/13/24	2024	Bulls	124	Away	Knicks	123	+8.5	233.0	-1	247
04/14/24	2023	Bulls	119	Away	Knicks	120	+13.5	218.0	+1	239
04/09/24	2023	Bulls	117	Home	Knicks	128	+4.0	212.5	+11	245
04/05/24	2023	Bulls	108	Home	Knicks	100	-1.5	212.0	-8	208
01/03/24	2023	Bulls	100	Away	Knicks	116	+9.5	220.5	+16	216
12/23/22	2022	Bulls	118	Away	Knicks	117	+6.0	225.0	-1	235
Bulls as Home (4 games)			124.8	-	-	119.8	+3.3	224.1	-5.0	244.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			118.7	-	-	119.6	+6.9	227.3	+0.9	238.3

Schedules

Knicks Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/27/26	2025	Knicks	-	away	Bucks	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Knicks	-	away	Cavaliers	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Knicks	-	away	Bulls	-	-10.5	231.5	-	-
02/21/26	2025	Knicks		home	Rockets		-4.0	220.5	0	0
02/19/26	2025	Knicks	111	home	Pistons	126	-3.5	218.5	+15	237
02/11/26	2025	Knicks	138	away	Seventysixers	89	-2.5	224.5	-49	227
02/10/26	2025	Knicks	134	home	Pacers	137	-11.5	227.5	+3	271
02/08/26	2025	Knicks	111	away	Celtics	89	+3.5	215.5	-22	200
02/06/26	2025	Knicks	80	away	Pistons	118	+5.5	219.5	+38	198
02/04/26	2025	Knicks	134	home	Nuggets	127	-4.5	228.5	-7	261
02/03/26	2025	Knicks	132	away	Wizards	101	-12.5	227.5	-31	233
02/01/26	2025	Knicks	112	home	Lakers	100	-5.5	227.5	-12	212
01/30/26	2025	Knicks	127	home	Trailblazers	97	-6.5	224.0	-30	224
Away Games Avg (4 games)			115.3	-	-	99.3	-1.5	221.8	-16.0	214.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			107.9	-	-	98.4	-4.2	223.4	-9.5	206.3

Bulls Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/26/26	2025	Bulls	-	home	Trailblazers	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Bulls	-	home	Hornets	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Bulls	-	home	Knicks	-	+10.5	231.5	-	-
02/21/26	2025	Bulls		home	Pistons		+10.5	235.5	0	0
02/19/26	2025	Bulls	101	home	Raptors	110	+6.5	234.5	+9	211
02/11/26	2025	Bulls	105	away	Celtics	124	+13.5	227.5	+19	229
02/09/26	2025	Bulls	115	away	Nets	123	-3.5	218.5	+8	238
02/07/26	2025	Bulls	120	home	Nuggets	136	+8.5	235.5	+16	256
02/05/26	2025	Bulls	107	away	Raptors	123	+7.5	227.5	+16	230
02/03/26	2025	Bulls	115	away	Bucks	131	-1.5	222.5	+16	246
02/01/26	2025	Bulls	91	away	Heat	134	+5.5	233.5	+43	225
01/31/26	2025	Bulls	125	away	Heat	118	+6.0	231.0	-7	243
01/30/26	2025	Bulls	0	away	Heat	0	+1.0	240.5	0	0
Home Games Avg (3 games)			73.7	-	-	82.0	+8.5	235.2	+8.3	155.7
All Games Avg (10 games)			87.9	-	-	99.9	+5.4	230.7	+12.0	187.8

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

8:00 p.m.
Portland Trailblazers @ Phoenix Suns

Trailblazers: 27-30 (47.4%)

Suns: 32-24 (57.1%)

Line: +3.5

Total: 222.5

Open: +2.5

Open: 222.5

Notes

Trailblazers

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

In-season revenge

Coming off a loss as a favorite (bounce back)

Baller System(s)

Back road favorite off loss as a home favorite

Suns

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
Broad Feature Linear regression predicting spread, 20 features. Test RÂ²: 0.483, MAE: 11.20. Medium Confidence: 55-46 (54.5%)	Neutral
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 6-6 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 133-122 (52.2%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 88-61-1 (59.1%) Medium Confidence: 62-59-1 (51.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Suns are 72.7% (8-3) against the spread as a home dog

The Trailblazers are 78.3% (18-5) to the over/under as a fav

The Trailblazers are 75% (9-3-1) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Trailblazers are 85.7% (6-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

View All Records

Suns (Home)

The Suns are 62.5% (35-21) against the spread

The Suns are 64.3% (18-10) against the spread at home

The Suns are 58.6% (17-12) against the spread as a dog

The Suns are 72.7% (8-3) against the spread as a home dog

The Suns are 42.9% (24-32) to the over/under

The Suns are 35.7% (10-18) to the over/under at home

The Suns are 48.3% (14-15) to the over/under as a dog

The Suns are 36.4% (4-7) to the over/under as a home dog

The Suns are 33.3% (4-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Suns are 33.3% (3-6) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Suns are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Suns are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) against the spread as a home dog

The Suns are 41.7% (5-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Suns are 44.4% (4-5) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Suns are 50% (2-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Suns are 66.7% (2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home dog

Trailblazers (Away)

The Trailblazers are 53.6% (30-26-1) against the spread

The Trailblazers are 50% (13-13-1) against the spread away

The Trailblazers are 50% (11-11-1) against the spread as a fav

The Trailblazers are 50% (5-5-1) against the spread as an away fav

The Trailblazers are 55.4% (31-25-1) to the over/under

The Trailblazers are 46.2% (12-14-1) to the over/under away

The Trailblazers are 78.3% (18-5) to the over/under as a fav

The Trailblazers are 63.6% (7-4) to the over/under as an away fav

The Trailblazers are 38.5% (5-8) (L30 days) against the spread

The Trailblazers are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Trailblazers are 57.1% (4-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Trailblazers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) against the spread as an away fav

The Trailblazers are 75% (9-3-1) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Trailblazers are 50% (2-2-1) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Trailblazers are 85.7% (6-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Trailblazers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away fav

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/03/26	2025	Suns	130	Away	Trailblazers	125	-2.5	218.5	-5	255
11/18/25	2025	Suns	127	Away	Trailblazers	110	+2.5	235.5	-17	237
02/03/25	2024	Suns	119	Away	Trailblazers	121	-5.0	229.0	+2	240
02/01/25	2024	Suns	108	Away	Trailblazers	127	-4.5	227.0	+19	235
12/15/24	2024	Suns	116	Home	Trailblazers	109	-11.0	231.0	-7	225
11/02/24	2024	Suns	103	Home	Trailblazers	97	-13.0	228.5	-6	200
01/14/24	2023	Suns	127	Away	Trailblazers	116	-14.0	234.5	-11	243
01/01/24	2023	Suns	109	Home	Trailblazers	88	-11.0	229.5	-21	197
12/19/23	2023	Suns	104	Away	Trailblazers	109	-7.0	230.5	+5	213
11/21/23	2023	Suns	120	Home	Trailblazers	107	-13.0	224.5	-13	227
Suns as Home (4 games)			112.0	-	-	100.3	-12.0	228.4	-11.8	212.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			116.3	-	-	110.9	-7.9	228.9	-5.4	227.2

Schedules

Trailblazers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/26/26	2025	Trailblazers	-	away	Bulls	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Trailblazers	-	home	Timberwolves	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Trailblazers	-	away	Suns	-	-3.5	222.5	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Trailblazers	103	home	Nuggets	157	-1.0	240.5	+54	260
02/12/26	2025	Trailblazers	135	away	Jazz	119	-6.5	236.5	-16	254
02/11/26	2025	Trailblazers	109	away	Timberwolves	133	+7.5	237.5	+24	242
02/09/26	2025	Trailblazers	135	home	Seventysixers	118	-3.5	231.5	-17	253
02/07/26	2025	Trailblazers	122	home	Grizzlies	115	-9.5	228.5	-7	237
02/06/26	2025	Trailblazers	135	home	Grizzlies	115	-8.5	235.5	-20	250
02/03/26	2025	Trailblazers	125	home	Suns	130	+2.5	218.5	+5	255
02/01/26	2025	Trailblazers	111	home	Cavaliers	130	+3.5	228.5	+19	241
01/30/26	2025	Trailblazers	97	away	Knicks	127	+6.5	224.0	+30	224
01/27/26	2025	Trailblazers	111	away	Wizards	115	-6.5	232.5	+4	226
Away Games Avg (4 games)			113.0	-	-	123.5	+0.3	232.6	+10.5	236.5
All Games Avg (10 games)			118.3	-	-	125.9	-1.6	231.4	+7.6	244.2

Suns Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/26/26	2025	Suns	-	home	Lakers	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Suns	-	home	Celtics	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Suns	-	home	Trailblazers	-	+3.5	222.5	-	-
02/21/26	2025	Suns		home	Magic		-3.5	218.5	0	0
02/19/26	2025	Suns	94	away	Spurs	121	+7.5	229.5	+27	215
02/11/26	2025	Suns	109	home	Thunder	136	+7.5	211.5	+27	245
02/10/26	2025	Suns	120	home	Mavericks	111	-8.5	229.5	-9	231
02/07/26	2025	Suns	103	home	Seventysixers	109	-2.5	224.5	+6	212
02/05/26	2025	Suns	97	home	Warriors	101	-5.5	212.5	+4	198
02/03/26	2025	Suns	130	away	Trailblazers	125	-2.5	218.5	-5	255
02/01/26	2025	Suns	93	home	Clippers	117	-2.5	209.5	+24	210
01/30/26	2025	Suns	126	home	Cavaliers	113	+2.0	222.0	-13	239
01/29/26	2025	Suns	114	home	Pistons	96	+3.5	214.5	-18	210
Home Games Avg (8 games)			95.3	-	-	97.9	-1.2	217.8	+2.6	193.1
All Games Avg (10 games)			98.6	-	-	102.9	-0.5	219.1	+4.3	201.5

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

9:00 p.m.
Orlando Magic @ Los Angeles Clippers

Magic: 29-25 (53.7%)

Clippers: 27-29 (48.2%)

Line: -4.5

Total: 215.5

Open: -4.0

Open: 215.5

Notes

Magic

Situational Factor(s)

2nd game of a back-to-back

3rd game in 4 nights

Clippers

Situational Factor(s)

Rest advantage

In-season revenge

Double digit, in-season revenge

3rd game in 4 nights

Baller Index Our Exclusive nba Baller Index is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions essentially look for teams that have over- or under-performed, in terms of points scored, relative to what would be expected based on their underlying metrics and who might be in for regression. While it does not factor in injuries, situational spots, or historic matchups into account, it can be a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Spread Recommendation

No Play

Total Recommendation

No Play

View All Algorithms

Algorithm	Recommendation
RMSE/MAE Linear model, 40 features. Test R2: -0.041, MAE: 9.94. Skip \|line\|>10.0 or \|edge\|>3.5. High Confidence: 12-6 (66.7%) Medium Confidence: 52-56-1 (48.1%)	Neutral
SOS Adjusted Regression Ratio + ridge adjusted ratings. 16 rolling L10 stats, 9 context features, 2 spread features. All z-scored differentials. High Confidence: 17-8-2 (68%) Medium Confidence: 6-6 (50%)	Neutral
Cover Summary	No Bet
Pace Focused Pace ratings + free throw efficiency. High Confidence: 9-6 (60%) Medium Confidence: 133-122 (52.2%)	Neutral
Basic Stats + Schedule Basic team stat profiles and schedule/travel/rest. High Confidence: 88-61-1 (59.1%) Medium Confidence: 62-59-1 (51.2%)	Neutral
Total Summary	No Bet
OVERALL	No Spread Edge \| No Total Edge

Notable Trends

The Magic are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Magic are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Magic are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Magic are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Magic are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

View All Records

Clippers (Home)

The Clippers are 51.8% (29-27) against the spread

The Clippers are 48% (12-13) against the spread at home

The Clippers are 42.3% (11-15) against the spread as a fav

The Clippers are 43.8% (7-9) against the spread as a home fav

The Clippers are 51.8% (29-27) to the over/under

The Clippers are 48% (12-13) to the over/under at home

The Clippers are 46.2% (12-14) to the over/under as a fav

The Clippers are 43.8% (7-9) to the over/under as a home fav

The Clippers are 69.2% (9-4) (L30 days) against the spread

The Clippers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread at home

The Clippers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) against the spread as a fav

The Clippers are 100% (2-0) (L30 days) against the spread as a home fav

The Clippers are 53.8% (7-6) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Clippers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over/under at home

The Clippers are 60% (3-2) (L30 days) to the over/under as a fav

The Clippers are 50% (1-1) (L30 days) to the over/under as a home fav

Magic (Away)

The Magic are 40.7% (22-32) against the spread

The Magic are 36% (9-16) against the spread away

The Magic are 40% (6-9) against the spread as a dog

The Magic are 36.4% (4-7) against the spread as an away dog

The Magic are 50% (27-27) to the over/under

The Magic are 44% (11-14) to the over/under away

The Magic are 53.3% (8-7) to the over/under as a dog

The Magic are 45.5% (5-6) to the over/under as an away dog

The Magic are 41.7% (5-7) (L30 days) against the spread

The Magic are 40% (2-3) (L30 days) against the spread away

The Magic are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as a dog

The Magic are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) against the spread as an away dog

The Magic are 41.7% (5-7) (L30 days) to the over/under

The Magic are 20% (1-4) (L30 days) to the over/under away

The Magic are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as a dog

The Magic are 25% (1-3) (L30 days) to the over/under as an away dog

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Date	Season	Team	Pts	Site	Opponent	Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
11/20/25	2025	Clippers	101	Away	Magic	129	+6.5	218.5	+28	230
03/31/25	2024	Clippers	96	Away	Magic	87	-3.0	212.0	-9	183
11/20/24	2024	Clippers	104	Home	Magic	93	+3.5	204.5	-11	197
03/29/24	2023	Clippers	100	Away	Magic	97	-1.5	211.5	-3	197
10/31/23	2023	Clippers	118	Home	Magic	102	-6.0	219.5	-16	220
03/18/23	2022	Clippers	108	Home	Magic	113	-6.5	231.5	+5	221
12/07/22	2022	Clippers	111	Away	Magic	116	-6.5	216.5	+5	227
Clippers as Home (3 games)			110.0	-	-	102.7	-3.0	218.5	-7.3	212.7
All Games Avg (7 games)			105.4	-	-	105.3	-1.9	216.3	-0.1	210.7

Schedules

Magic Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
02/26/26	2025	Magic	-	home	Rockets	-	-	-	-	-
02/24/26	2025	Magic	-	away	Lakers	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Magic	-	away	Clippers	-	+4.5	215.5	-	-
02/21/26	2025	Magic		away	Suns		+3.5	218.5	0	0
02/19/26	2025	Magic	131	away	Kings	94	-8.5	226.5	-37	225
02/11/26	2025	Magic	108	home	Bucks	116	-11.5	219.5	+8	224
02/09/26	2025	Magic	118	home	Bucks	99	-9.5	220.5	-19	217
02/07/26	2025	Magic	120	home	Jazz	117	-7.5	234.5	-3	237
02/05/26	2025	Magic	118	home	Nets	98	-9.5	214.5	-20	216
02/03/26	2025	Magic	92	away	Thunder	128	+11.5	222.5	+36	220
02/01/26	2025	Magic	103	away	Spurs	112	+4.5	222.5	+9	215
01/30/26	2025	Magic	130	home	Raptors	120	-2.5	222.0	-10	250
01/28/26	2025	Magic	133	away	Heat	124	+3.5	232.5	-9	257
Away Games Avg (5 games)			91.8	-	-	91.6	+2.9	224.5	-0.2	183.4
All Games Avg (10 games)			105.3	-	-	100.8	-2.6	223.4	-4.5	206.1

Clippers Schedule

Date	Season	Team	Points	Site	Opponent	Opp Pts	Line	Total	Margin	Act Total
03/01/26	2025	Clippers	-	home	Pelicans	-	-	-	-	-
02/26/26	2025	Clippers	-	home	Timberwolves	-	-	-	-	-
02/22/26	2025	Clippers	-	home	Magic	-	-4.5	215.5	-	-
02/20/26	2025	Clippers	122	away	Lakers	125	+7.0	225.5	+3	247
02/19/26	2025	Clippers	115	home	Nuggets	114	+4.5	226.5	-1	229
02/11/26	2025	Clippers	105	away	Rockets	102	+8.5	212.5	-3	207
02/10/26	2025	Clippers	95	away	Rockets	102	+9.5	213.5	+7	197
02/08/26	2025	Clippers	115	away	Timberwolves	96	+8.5	222.5	-19	211
02/06/26	2025	Clippers	114	away	Kings	111	-3.5	221.5	-3	225
02/04/26	2025	Clippers	91	home	Cavaliers	124	+2.5	221.5	+33	215
02/02/26	2025	Clippers	113	home	Seventysixers	128	+1.5	220.5	+15	241
02/01/26	2025	Clippers	117	away	Suns	93	+2.5	209.5	-24	210
01/30/26	2025	Clippers	109	away	Nuggets	122	-2.5	219.0	+13	231
Home Games Avg (3 games)			106.3	-	-	122.0	+2.8	222.8	+15.7	228.3
All Games Avg (10 games)			109.6	-	-	111.7	+3.9	219.3	+2.1	221.3

Premium Content

1:00 p.m. Cleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder

Notes

Cavaliers

Situational Factor(s)

Thunder

Baller System(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Thunder (Home)

Cavaliers (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Cavaliers Schedule

Thunder Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

3:30 p.m. Toronto Raptors @ Milwaukee Bucks

Notes

Raptors

Situational Factor(s)

Bucks

Situational Factor(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Bucks (Home)

Raptors (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Raptors Schedule

Bucks Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

3:30 p.m. Brooklyn Nets @ Atlanta Hawks

Notes

Nets

Situational Factor(s)

Hawks

Situational Factor(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Hawks (Home)

Nets (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Nets Schedule

Hawks Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

3:30 p.m. Denver Nuggets @ Golden State Warriors

Notes

Nuggets

Situational Factor(s)

Baller System(s)

Warriors

Situational Factor(s)

Spread Recommendation

Total Recommendation

View All Algorithms

Algorithm Breakdown

Notable Trends

View All Records

Warriors (Home)

Nuggets (Away)

Past Matchups (Last 2 Seasons, Max 10)

Schedules

Nuggets Schedule

Warriors Schedule

Team Comparison Stats Click to load

5:00 p.m. Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers

Notes

1:00 p.m.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder

3:30 p.m.
Toronto Raptors @ Milwaukee Bucks

3:30 p.m.
Brooklyn Nets @ Atlanta Hawks

3:30 p.m.
Denver Nuggets @ Golden State Warriors

5:00 p.m.
Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers

6:00 p.m.
Charlotte Hornets @ Washington Wizards

6:30 p.m.
Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Lakers

7:00 p.m.
Philadelphia Seventysixers @ Minnesota Timberwolves