Hawks @ Celtics [ Celtics -12 / 244.5 ]

Hawks | 22-28 (44%)
Celtics | 38-12 (76%)

Our Baller Exclusive NBA base model is a blend of several regressions, weighted to different cross-sections of the season. These regressions take into consideration stats like offensive rating, defensive rating, pace, and a variety of other factors that we feel are important in making up a team's numeric profile. While it does not factor in situations, historic matchups, and schedule into account, it is a good place to start when thinking about a particular matchup.

Our base model will start on November 5, 2024 when we've gathered more team data.

Hawks Situational Notes

Celtics Situational Notes

Hawks Schedule
Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
2/9PHIATL -4
PHI +4
244.5ATL---
2/7BOSATL +12
BOS -12
244.5ATL---
2/5ATL [ 144 ]ATL +4
LAC -4
245LAC [ 149 ]-5-1+48
2/3ATL [ 141 ]ATL -2.5
GSW +2.5
244.5GSW [ 134 ]+7+4.5+30.5
2/2ATL [ 129 ]ATL +3.5
PHO -3.5
249PHO [ 120 ]+9+12.50
1/30ATL [ 138 ]ATL -5.5
LAL +5.5
248LAL [ 122 ]+16+10.5+12
1/28ATL [ 126 ]ATL -6.5
TOR +6.5
243TOR [ 125 ]+1-5.5+8
1/26ATL [ 143 ]ATL -1.5
DAL +1.5
246.5DAL [ 148 ]-5-6.5+44.5
1/24GSW [ 134 ]ATL +6.5
GSW -6.5
234ATL [ 112 ]-22-15.5+12
1/22SAC [ 122 ]ATL +8.5
SAC -8.5
238.5ATL [ 107 ]-15-6.5-9.5
Celtics Schedule
Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU Margin
2/9BOSBOS -18
WAS +18
236WAS---
2/7BOSBOS -12
ATL +12
244.5ATL---
2/4BOS [ 131 ]BOS -18
MEM +18
219MEM [ 91 ]+40+22+3
2/1BOS [ 105 ]BOS -15
LAL +15
238.5LAL [ 114 ]-9-24-19.5
1/30BOS [ 129 ]BOS -8
IND +8
249IND [ 124 ]+5-3+4
1/29BOS [ 118 ]BOS -8
NOP +8
234NOP [ 112 ]+6-2-4
1/27BOS [ 96 ]BOS -7
LAC +7
232LAC [ 115 ]-19-26-21
1/25MIA [ 110 ]BOS -8
MIA +8
224BOS [ 143 ]+33+25+29
1/22DAL [ 110 ]BOS -2.5
DAL +2.5
240BOS [ 119 ]+9+6.5-11
1/21HOU [ 107 ]BOS -12
HOU +12
226.5BOS [ 116 ]+9-3-3.5
Historical Matchups
Home Line Total Away SU Margin ATS Margin OU MarginPaceOrtgDrtgNetTot
1/18BOSBOS -9.5
ATL +9.5
237.5ATL----
-
-
-
-
11/12BOSBOS -16
ATL +16
225.5ATL----
-
-
-
-
11/4ATLBOS -10
ATL +10
232.5BOS----
-
-
-
-
3/28ATLBOS -17.5
ATL +17.5
226BOS----
-
-
-
-
3/25ATLBOS -12
ATL +12
226BOS----
-
-
-
-
2/7BOSBOS -12
ATL +12
244.5ATL----
-
-
-
-
11/26BOS [ 113 ]BOS -7
ATL +7
236ATL [ 103 ]+10+3-2096.6
117
106.6
10.4
216
4/27ATL [ 120 ]BOS -7
ATL +7
229.5BOS [ 128 ]+8+1+18.597.3
131.5
123.3
8.2
248
4/25BOS [ 117 ]BOS -13
ATL +13
231ATL [ 119 ]-2-15+597.4
120.1
122.2
-2.1
236
4/23ATL [ 121 ]BOS -7
ATL +7
231BOS [ 129 ]+8+1+19105.8
122
114.4
7.6
250
4/21ATL [ 130 ]BOS -5.5
ATL +5.5
229.5BOS [ 122 ]-8-13.5+22.5103
118.5
126.3
-7.8
252



** The first week of the season will include last season's regular games by default.


Efficiency
Hawks
( game/s)
Celtics
( game/s)
-Win Percentage-
-ATS Win%-
-OU%-
-Offensive Rating-
-Defensive Rating-
-Pace-
-A/TO Ratio-

Four Factors
Hawks
( game/s)
Celtics
( game/s)
-EFG%-
-EFG% Allowed-
-FT Rate-
-FT Rate Allowed-
-OReb%-
-OReb% Allowed-
-TO Rate-
-TO Rate Forced-

Scoring
Hawks
( game/s)
Celtics
( game/s)
-PPG-
-PPG Allowed-
-Pts off TO-
-Pts off TO Allowed-
-2nd Chance Pts-
-2nd Chance Pts Allowed-
-Fast Break Pts-
-Fast Break Pts Allowed-

Inside the Arc
Hawks
( game/s)
Celtics
( game/s)
-Paint Attempts-
-Paint Attempts Allowed-
-Paint FG%-
-Paint FG% Allowed-
-Mid-Range Attempts-
-Mid-Range Attempts Allowed-
-Mid-Range FG%-
-Mid-Range FG% Allowed-

Three Point Shooting
Hawks
( game/s)
Celtics
( game/s)
-Corner 3 Attempts-
-Corner 3 Attempts Allowed-
-Corner 3 FG%-
-Corner 3 FG% Allowed-
-ATB3 Attempts-
-ATB3 Attempts Allowed-
-ATB3 FG%-
-ATB3 FG% Allowed-


Straight Up Records (SU)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Hawks 1h------------------
Hawks ---------
Celtics 1h------------------
Celtics ---------

Against the Spread Records (ATS)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Hawks 1h------------------
Hawks ------------------
Celtics 1h------------------
Celtics ------------------

Over/Under Records (OU)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Hawks 1h------------------
Hawks ------------------
Celtics 1h------------------
Celtics ------------------

Team Total Records (TT)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Hawks 1h------------------
Hawks ------------------
Celtics 1h------------------
Celtics ------------------

Opponent Team Total Records (OTT)
TeamOverallHFHDAFADB2B (1st)B2B (2nd)+Rest-Rest
Hawks 1h------------------
Hawks ------------------
Celtics 1h------------------
Celtics ------------------


ATS Range Records
TeamDog 10+Dog 7-10Dog 2.5-7Within 2.5Fav 2.5-7Fav 7-10Fav 10+
Hawks1-3-0 (25%)3-3-0 (50%)13-6-0 (68.4%)9-9-0 (50%)4-17-0 (19%)3-5-0 (37.5%)4-2-0 (66.7%)
Celtics1-0-0 (100%)2-0-0 (100%)2-1-0 (66.7%)7-3-0 (70%)11-11-1 (50%)11-11-0 (50%)8-13-0 (38.1%)