Dodgers @ Royals [ Royals +134 / 9.5 ]

Dodgers | 49-31 (61.3%) Shohei Ohtani (R) | 0-0 | WHIP: 1.00 | ERA: 4.50
Royals | 38-43 (46.9%) Seth Lugo (R) | 4-5 | WHIP: 1.05 | ERA: 2.93

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Dodgers
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
3/3
Matchup:4
Est. fair odds: -163 to -187
Implied win prob: 61.98% to 65.16%
Royals
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup:-4
Est. fair odds: +163 to +187
Implied win prob: 34.84% to 38.02%
Dodgers Situational Notes

Royals Situational Notes

Dodgers Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/29KCR [ 0 ]Kris Bubic (L)LAD -
KCR -		-LAD [ 0 ]TBD (-)
6/28KCR [ 0 ]Seth Lugo (R)LAD -158
KCR +134		9.5LAD [ 0 ]Shohei Ohtani (R)
6/27KCR [ 4 ]Noah Cameron (L)LAD -164
KCR +138		9.5LAD [ 5 ]Dustin May (R)
6/26COL [ 1 ]Austin Gomber (L)LAD -290
COL +235		12LAD [ 3 ]Clayton Kershaw (L)
6/25COL [ 1 ]Chase Dollander (R)LAD -330
COL +265		11LAD [ 8 ]Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)
6/24COL [ 7 ]German Marquez (R)LAD -240
COL +215		11.5LAD [ 9 ]Jack Dreyer (L)
6/22LAD [ 13 ]Shohei Ohtani (R)LAD -245
WSN +200		9WSN [ 7 ]Michael Soroka (R)
6/21LAD [ 3 ]Dustin May (R)LAD -270
WSN +220		9.5WSN [ 7 ]Jake Irvin (R)
6/20LAD [ 6 ]Clayton Kershaw (L)LAD -180
WSN +152		8WSN [ 5 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)
6/19LAD [ 3 ]Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)LAD -270
SDP +220		8.5SDP [ 5 ]Ryan Bergert (R)
Royals Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/29KCR [ 0 ]Kris Bubic (L)KCR -
LAD -		-LAD [ 0 ]TBD (-)
6/28KCR [ 0 ]Seth Lugo (R)KCR +134
LAD -158		9.5LAD [ 0 ]Shohei Ohtani (R)
6/27KCR [ 4 ]Noah Cameron (L)KCR +138
LAD -164		9.5LAD [ 5 ]Dustin May (R)
6/26KCR [ 0 ]Michael Lorenzen (R)KCR +106
TBR -124		10TBR [ 4 ]Shane Baz (R)
6/25KCR [ 0 ]Michael Wacha (R)KCR +112
TBR -132		9TBR [ 3 ]Drew Rasmussen (R)
6/24KCR [ 1 ]Kris Bubic (L)KCR -142
TBR +120		8.5TBR [ 5 ]Taj Bradley (R)
6/22SDP [ 3 ]Randy Vasquez (R)KCR +104
SDP -122		8.5KCR [ 2 ]Seth Lugo (R)
6/21SDP [ 5 ]Dylan Cease (R)KCR +128
SDP -152		7.5KCR [ 1 ]Noah Cameron (L)
6/20SDP [ 5 ]Nick Pivetta (R)KCR +140
SDP -166		7.5KCR [ 6 ]Michael Lorenzen (R)
6/19TEX [ 1 ]Shawn Armstrong (R)KCR +108
TEX -126		8KCR [ 4 ]Michael Wacha (R)

Shohei Ohtani Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/22LAD [ 13 ]WSN [ 7 ]-24591200000Michael Soroka (R)
6/16LAD [ 6 ]SDP [ 3 ]-1568.51002011Dylan Cease (R)
110100.50.5
Seth Lugo Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/22SDP [ 3 ]KCR [ 2 ]1048.56.33702011Randy Vasquez (R)
6/17TEX [ 1 ]KCR [ 6 ]10886913011Jack Leiter (R)
6/12KCR [ 0 ]NYY [ 1 ]1108.55.67232000Will Warren (R)
6/6CHW [ 7 ]KCR [ 2 ]-13685525122Davis Martin (R)
5/30KCR [ 5 ]DET [ 7 ]-1008.53.33325244Casey Mize (R)
5.275.21.63.40.61.61.6
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Shohei Ohtani F51-1-0 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Shohei Ohtani2-0 (100%)2-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Seth Lugo F54-6-4 (40%)0-2-1 (0%)0-0-1 (-)2-2-1 (50%)2-2-1 (50%)
Seth Lugo6-8 (42.9%)2-1 (66.7%)0-1 (0%)2-3 (40%)2-3 (40%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Shohei Ohtani F50-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Shohei Ohtani2-0-0 (100%)2-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Seth Lugo F53-9-1 (25%)0-3-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)2-3-0 (40%)1-2-1 (33.3%)
Seth Lugo4-10-0 (28.6%)0-3-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)2-3-0 (40%)1-4-0 (20%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Dodgers vs. RHP F526-23-10 (53.1%)13-14-4 (48.1%)8-5-6 (61.5%)1-0-0 (100%)4-4-0 (50%)
Dodgers vs. RHP39-20 (66.1%)21-10 (67.7%)14-5 (73.7%)1-0 (100%)3-5 (37.5%)
Royals vs. RHP F524-28-15 (46.2%)7-9-6 (43.8%)1-2-2 (33.3%)3-7-2 (30%)13-10-5 (56.5%)
Royals vs. RHP31-36 (46.3%)11-11 (50%)2-3 (40%)4-8 (33.3%)14-14 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Dodgers vs. RHP F527-25-4 (51.9%)15-12-1 (55.6%)7-9-3 (43.8%)1-0-0 (100%)4-4-0 (50%)
Dodgers vs. RHP32-27-0 (54.2%)19-12-0 (61.3%)9-10-0 (47.4%)1-0-0 (100%)3-5-0 (37.5%)
Royals vs. RHP F520-40-4 (33.3%)5-15-1 (25%)2-2-1 (50%)5-7-0 (41.7%)8-16-2 (33.3%)
Royals vs. RHP27-40-0 (40.3%)9-13-0 (40.9%)3-2-0 (60%)4-8-0 (33.3%)11-17-0 (39.3%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Shohei Ohtani2-0 (100%)2-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Dodgers39-44 (47%)18-24 (42.9%)11-15 (42.3%)2-0 (100%)6-5 (54.5%)
Seth Lugo6-8 (42.9%)0-3 (0%)0-1 (0%)3-2 (60%)3-2 (60%)
Royals42-40 (51.2%)6-20 (23.1%)3-3 (50%)9-7 (56.3%)24-10 (70.6%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Shohei Ohtani1-1 (50%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)
Dodgers46-37 (55.4%)26-16 (61.9%)15-11 (57.7%)2-0 (100%)3-8 (27.3%)
Seth Lugo4-10 (28.6%)0-3 (0%)0-1 (0%)2-3 (40%)2-3 (40%)
Royals30-52 (36.6%)7-19 (26.9%)3-3 (50%)5-11 (31.3%)15-19 (44.1%)


Batting Matchup
DodgersRoyals
83TG82
5.6R/G3.3
130HR57
0.263AVG0.244
44SB63
14CS28
DodgersRoyals
0.198ISO0.122
0.299BABIP0.284
0.338OBP0.298
0.461SLG0.366
0.346wOBA0.292
123wRC+81
DodgersRoyals
9.6BB%6.6
21K%18.6
0.46BB/K0.35
10Barrel%6.9
42.6HardHit%39.5
18.9WAR2.7

Pitching Matchup
Shohei OhtaniSeth Lugo
2G14
2GS14
2IP83
1IP/G5.9
0W4
0L5
50LOB%83.3
Shohei OhtaniSeth Lugo
9K/97.37
0BB/92.49
22.2K/BB%13.8
42.9GB%41
28.6FB%38.4
0HR/91.3
0HR/FB%13.6
Shohei OhtaniSeth Lugo
0.286BABIP0.236
4.5ERA2.93
2.32xERA4.71
1.08FIP4.26
2.55xFIP3.94
1WHIP1.05
3.06SIERA4.06
0.1WAR0.9

Bullpen Matchup
DodgersRoyals
3.64BPU/G3.24
4.4IP/G3.3
29W16
12L12
28SV25
10BS9
72.8LOB%75
DodgersRoyals
9.12K/97.83
3.21BB/93.15
15.4K/BB%12.4
40.3GB%47.6
38.6FB%35.2
1.14HR/90.9
11.7HR/FB%9.7
DodgersRoyals
0.309BABIP0.279
4.18ERA3.38
3.93FIP3.81
3.86xFIP4.01
1.32WHIP1.24
3.52SIERA3.77
3.4WAR2.1