Cardinals @ Guardians [ Guardians -118 / 8.5 ]

Cardinals | 45-37 (54.9%) Miles Mikolas (R) | 4-5 | WHIP: 1.28 | ERA: 4.31
Guardians | 40-39 (50.6%) Slade Cecconi (R) | 3-3 | WHIP: 1.29 | ERA: 3.38

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Cardinals
Starting Pitcher:
2/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:4
Est. fair odds: -163 to -187
Implied win prob: 61.98% to 65.16%
Guardians
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
0/3
Matchup:-4
Est. fair odds: +163 to +187
Implied win prob: 34.84% to 38.02%
Cardinals Situational Notes

Guardians Situational Notes

Cardinals Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/29CLE [ 0 ]Logan Allen (L)STL -
CLE -		-STL [ 0 ]Matthew Liberatore (L)
6/28CLE [ 0 ]Slade Cecconi (R)STL -100
CLE -118		8.5STL [ 0 ]Miles Mikolas (R)
6/27CLE [ 0 ]Luis Ortiz (R)STL -132
CLE +112		8.5STL [ 5 ]Sonny Gray (R)
6/26STL [ 0 ]Andre Pallante (R)STL +114
CHC -134		9CHC [ 3 ]Shota Imanaga (L)
6/25STL [ 0 ]Erick Fedde (R)STL +132
CHC -156		8.5CHC [ 8 ]Matthew Boyd (L)
6/24STL [ 8 ]Michael McGreevy (R)STL -100
CHC -116		9CHC [ 7 ]Jameson Taillon (R)
6/23STL [ 8 ]Matthew Liberatore (L)STL +102
CHC -120		8.5CHC [ 2 ]Ben Brown (R)
6/22STL [ 1 ]Miles Mikolas (R)STL -104
CIN -112		9.5CIN [ 4 ]Andrew Abbott (L)
6/21STL [ 6 ]Sonny Gray (R)STL -200
CIN +168		9CIN [ 5 ]Brent Suter (L)
6/20STL [ 6 ]Andre Pallante (R)STL -130
CIN +110		8.5CIN [ 1 ]Brady Singer (R)
Guardians Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/29CLE [ 0 ]Logan Allen (L)CLE -
STL -		-STL [ 0 ]Matthew Liberatore (L)
6/28CLE [ 0 ]Slade Cecconi (R)CLE -118
STL -100		8.5STL [ 0 ]Miles Mikolas (R)
6/27CLE [ 0 ]Luis Ortiz (R)CLE +112
STL -132		8.5STL [ 5 ]Sonny Gray (R)
6/26CLE [ 0 ]Tanner Bibee (R)CLE -120
TOR +116		8TOR [ 6 ]Kevin Gausman (R)
6/25CLE [ 5 ]Gavin Williams (R)CLE -112
TOR +102		8.5TOR [ 4 ]Max Scherzer (R)
6/24CLE [ 6 ]Logan Allen (L)CLE -100
TOR -132		8.5TOR [ 10 ]Eric Lauer (L)
6/22ATH [ 0 ]JP Sears (L)CLE -116
ATH -102		9CLE [ 3 ]Slade Cecconi (R)
6/21ATH [ 2 ]Mitch Spence (R)CLE -134
ATH +114		9.5CLE [ 4 ]Luis Ortiz (R)
6/20ATH [ 5 ]Jeffrey Springs (L)CLE -124
ATH +106		9CLE [ 1 ]Tanner Bibee (R)
6/19SFG [ 2 ]Logan Webb (R)CLE +160
SFG -190		7CLE [ 1 ]Gavin Williams (R)

Miles Mikolas Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/22STL [ 1 ]CIN [ 4 ]-1049.55614123Andrew Abbott (L)
6/15MIL [ 3 ]STL [ 2 ]1188.56716122Quinn Priester (R)
6/10STL [ 9 ]TOR [ 10 ]-12285209166Chris Bassitt (R)
6/5STL [ 6 ]KCR [ 5 ]-13086218133Noah Cameron (L)
6/4STL [ 0 ]KCR [ 0 ]-1308.50000000Noah Cameron (L)
4.43.40.65.40.82.62.8
Slade Cecconi Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/22ATH [ 0 ]CLE [ 3 ]-11697316000JP Sears (L)
6/17SFG [ 2 ]CLE [ 3 ]12875634022Robbie Ray (L)
6/10CLE [ 0 ]CIN [ 1 ]-11885814011Andrew Abbott (L)
6/5NYY [ 4 ]CLE [ 0 ]2358.55325122Max Fried (L)
5/31CLE [ 7 ]LAA [ 5 ]-17884.33337355Kyle Hendricks (R)
5.274.625.20.822
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Miles Mikolas F55-8-2 (38.5%)1-3-0 (25%)0-0-0 (-)0-3-0 (0%)4-2-2 (66.7%)
Miles Mikolas7-8 (46.7%)2-2 (50%)0-0 (-)1-2 (33.3%)4-4 (50%)
Slade Cecconi F52-3-2 (40%)0-1-0 (0%)1-0-1 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-1 (50%)
Slade Cecconi4-3 (57.1%)1-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)2-1 (66.7%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Miles Mikolas F54-11-0 (26.7%)2-2-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-3-0 (0%)2-6-0 (25%)
Miles Mikolas7-8-0 (46.7%)4-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-3-0 (0%)3-5-0 (37.5%)
Slade Cecconi F51-5-0 (16.7%)1-0-0 (100%)0-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)0-2-0 (0%)
Slade Cecconi1-6-0 (14.3%)1-0-0 (100%)0-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)0-3-0 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cardinals vs. RHP F520-21-12 (48.8%)4-5-2 (44.4%)4-6-2 (40%)7-2-5 (77.8%)4-8-3 (33.3%)
Cardinals vs. RHP30-23 (56.6%)7-4 (63.6%)6-6 (50%)12-2 (85.7%)4-11 (26.7%)
Guardians vs. RHP F524-24-9 (50%)6-5-3 (54.5%)3-3-2 (50%)4-7-2 (36.4%)11-8-2 (57.9%)
Guardians vs. RHP33-24 (57.9%)10-4 (71.4%)5-3 (62.5%)6-7 (46.2%)11-10 (52.4%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cardinals vs. RHP F523-26-1 (46.9%)5-4-1 (55.6%)6-5-0 (54.5%)7-7-0 (50%)5-9-0 (35.7%)
Cardinals vs. RHP26-26-1 (50%)7-4-0 (63.6%)5-6-1 (45.5%)7-7-0 (50%)7-8-0 (46.7%)
Guardians vs. RHP F521-31-2 (40.4%)3-9-1 (25%)6-2-0 (75%)6-6-1 (50%)6-13-0 (31.6%)
Guardians vs. RHP26-29-2 (47.3%)5-9-0 (35.7%)6-2-0 (75%)7-6-0 (53.8%)7-12-2 (36.8%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Miles Mikolas8-7 (53.3%)1-3 (25%)0-0 (-)1-2 (33.3%)6-2 (75%)
Cardinals43-38 (53.1%)6-15 (28.6%)7-8 (46.7%)14-7 (66.7%)16-8 (66.7%)
Slade Cecconi5-2 (71.4%)1-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)2-1 (66.7%)
Guardians38-41 (48.1%)7-10 (41.2%)5-7 (41.7%)9-12 (42.9%)17-12 (58.6%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Miles Mikolas10-5 (66.7%)4-0 (100%)0-0 (-)2-1 (66.7%)4-4 (50%)
Cardinals42-40 (51.2%)14-7 (66.7%)7-8 (46.7%)9-12 (42.9%)11-13 (45.8%)
Slade Cecconi2-5 (28.6%)0-1 (0%)0-2 (0%)0-1 (0%)2-1 (66.7%)
Guardians29-51 (36.3%)6-11 (35.3%)6-6 (50%)8-13 (38.1%)9-20 (31%)


Batting Matchup
CardinalsGuardians
83TG80
4.7R/G3.7
83HR79
0.253AVG0.227
44SB64
14CS18
CardinalsGuardians
0.141ISO0.14
0.297BABIP0.271
0.324OBP0.298
0.394SLG0.367
0.316wOBA0.293
102wRC+88
CardinalsGuardians
8.3BB%8.4
20.3K%22.6
0.41BB/K0.37
7.6Barrel%6.8
40.8HardHit%36.3
12WAR6.6

Pitching Matchup
Miles MikolasSlade Cecconi
15G7
15GS7
77.1IP37.1
5.1IP/G5.3
4W3
5L3
68LOB%86.5
Miles MikolasSlade Cecconi
5.94K/98.92
2.21BB/92.89
9.8K/BB%15.8
39GB%38.1
43.3FB%42.9
0.81HR/91.45
6.4HR/FB%13.3
Miles MikolasSlade Cecconi
0.293BABIP0.297
4.31ERA3.38
4.29xERA5.16
3.76FIP4.32
4.67xFIP4
1.28WHIP1.29
4.65SIERA3.87
1.3WAR0.3

Bullpen Matchup
CardinalsGuardians
3BPU/G3.34
3.4IP/G3.5
19W18
13L9
20SV23
12BS7
69.7LOB%73.6
CardinalsGuardians
7.67K/99.21
3.34BB/93.61
11.3K/BB%14.3
47.6GB%36.7
32.6FB%39
0.73HR/90.77
8.5HR/FB%7.7
CardinalsGuardians
0.289BABIP0.325
3.85ERA3.81
3.7FIP3.52
4.04xFIP4.03
1.29WHIP1.39
3.87SIERA3.67
2.2WAR2.8