Rockies @ Brewers [ Brewers -245 / 9 ]

Rockies | 18-63 (22.2%) Antonio Senzatela (R) | 3-10 | WHIP: 1.90 | ERA: 6.48
Brewers | 45-36 (55.6%) Quinn Priester (R) | 5-2 | WHIP: 1.31 | ERA: 3.68

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Rockies
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:-5
Est. fair odds: +188 to +214
Implied win prob: 31.85% to 34.72%
Brewers
Starting Pitcher:
3/4
Bullpen:
3/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:5
Est. fair odds: -188 to -214
Implied win prob: 65.28% to 68.15%
Rockies Situational Notes

Brewers Situational Notes

Rockies Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/29MIL [ 0 ]Chad Patrick (R)COL -
MIL -		-COL [ 0 ]German Marquez (R)
6/28MIL [ 0 ]Quinn Priester (R)COL +200
MIL -245		9COL [ 0 ]Antonio Senzatela (R)
6/27MIL [ 10 ]Jose Quintana (L)COL +184
MIL -220		8.5COL [ 6 ]Kyle Freeland (L)
6/26COL [ 1 ]Austin Gomber (L)COL +235
LAD -290		12LAD [ 3 ]Clayton Kershaw (L)
6/25COL [ 1 ]Chase Dollander (R)COL +265
LAD -330		11LAD [ 8 ]Yoshinobu Yamamoto (R)
6/24COL [ 7 ]German Marquez (R)COL +198
LAD -260		11.5LAD [ 9 ]Jack Dreyer (L)
6/22COL [ 4 ]Antonio Senzatela (R)COL +144
ARI -172		12ARI [ 2 ]Brandon Pfaadt (R)
6/21COL [ 3 ]Carson Palmquist (L)COL +168
ARI -200		12ARI [ 5 ]Merrill Kelly (R)
6/20COL [ 8 ]Austin Gomber (L)COL +136
ARI -162		11.5ARI [ 14 ]Zac Gallen (R)
6/19WSN [ 4 ]Trevor Williams (R)COL +130
WSN -172		9.5COL [ 3 ]Chase Dollander (R)
Brewers Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/29MIL [ 0 ]Chad Patrick (R)MIL -
COL -		-COL [ 0 ]German Marquez (R)
6/28MIL [ 0 ]Quinn Priester (R)MIL -245
COL +200		9COL [ 0 ]Antonio Senzatela (R)
6/27MIL [ 10 ]Jose Quintana (L)MIL -220
COL +184		8.5COL [ 6 ]Kyle Freeland (L)
6/25MIL [ 4 ]Jacob Misiorowski (R)MIL -108
PIT -108		6.5PIT [ 2 ]Paul Skenes (R)
6/24MIL [ 9 ]Freddy Peralta (R)MIL -200
PIT +176		7.5PIT [ 3 ]Andrew Heaney (L)
6/23MIL [ 4 ]Chad Patrick (R)MIL -164
PIT +138		8.5PIT [ 5 ]Braxton Ashcraft (R)
6/22MIN [ 8 ]Danny Coulombe (L)MIL +120
MIN -142		9.5MIL [ 9 ]Quinn Priester (R)
6/21MIN [ 0 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)MIL +114
MIN -134		10MIL [ 9 ]Jose Quintana (L)
6/20MIN [ 6 ]Joe Ryan (R)MIL +134
MIN -158		7.5MIL [ 17 ]Jacob Misiorowski (R)
6/19CHC [ 7 ]Jameson Taillon (R)MIL +104
CHC -122		8.5MIL [ 8 ]Freddy Peralta (R)

Antonio Senzatela Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/22COL [ 4 ]ARI [ 2 ]144125.33514022Brandon Pfaadt (R)
6/17WSN [ 6 ]COL [ 10 ]1689.55033001Michael Soroka (R)
6/12COL [ 8 ]SFG [ 7 ]172114239177Hayden Birdsong (R)
5/31NYM [ 8 ]COL [ 2 ]3108.54228277Kodai Senga (R)
5/25COL [ 4 ]NYY [ 5 ]24010.54.33416044Will Warren (R)
4.532.6260.644.2
Quinn Priester Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/22MIN [ 8 ]MIL [ 9 ]1209.53.33409233Danny Coulombe (L)
6/15MIL [ 3 ]STL [ 2 ]-1388.56304011Miles Mikolas (R)
6/10MIL [ 4 ]ATL [ 1 ]1148.56707011Grant Holmes (R)
5/24PIT [ 2 ]MIL [ 1 ]-1048.50000000Mitch Keller (R)
5/13CLE [ 2 ]MIL [ 0 ]10695323111Logan Allen (L)
4.073.40.44.60.61.21.2
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Antonio Senzatela F55-10-1 (33.3%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)3-5-1 (37.5%)2-5-0 (28.6%)
Antonio Senzatela5-11 (31.3%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)3-6 (33.3%)2-5 (28.6%)
Quinn Priester F54-4-3 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-1 (-)2-2-0 (50%)1-2-2 (33.3%)
Quinn Priester4-7 (36.4%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)2-2 (50%)1-4 (20%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Antonio Senzatela F57-7-1 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)5-4-0 (55.6%)2-3-1 (40%)
Antonio Senzatela6-9-1 (40%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)3-5-1 (37.5%)3-4-0 (42.9%)
Quinn Priester F53-6-1 (33.3%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)1-2-1 (33.3%)2-2-0 (50%)
Quinn Priester4-7-0 (36.4%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)2-2-0 (50%)2-3-0 (40%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Rockies vs. RHP F515-37-8 (28.8%)1-1-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)6-14-5 (30%)8-22-3 (26.7%)
Rockies vs. RHP16-44 (26.7%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)6-19 (24%)9-24 (27.3%)
Brewers vs. RHP F528-18-14 (60.9%)10-5-5 (66.7%)2-3-3 (40%)3-5-0 (37.5%)11-4-5 (73.3%)
Brewers vs. RHP32-28 (53.3%)14-6 (70%)4-4 (50%)3-5 (37.5%)9-11 (45%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Rockies vs. RHP F527-29-1 (48.2%)1-1-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)16-9-0 (64%)10-19-1 (34.5%)
Rockies vs. RHP25-33-2 (43.1%)1-1-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)10-14-1 (41.7%)14-18-1 (43.8%)
Brewers vs. RHP F524-31-3 (43.6%)7-13-0 (35%)3-5-0 (37.5%)5-3-0 (62.5%)7-8-3 (46.7%)
Brewers vs. RHP22-36-2 (37.9%)6-13-1 (31.6%)4-4-0 (50%)3-5-0 (37.5%)8-11-1 (42.1%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Antonio Senzatela6-10 (37.5%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)4-5 (44.4%)2-5 (28.6%)
Rockies30-53 (36.1%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)11-27 (28.9%)18-25 (41.9%)
Quinn Priester5-6 (45.5%)0-1 (0%)0-1 (0%)2-2 (50%)3-2 (60%)
Brewers42-39 (51.9%)10-17 (37%)5-5 (50%)5-8 (38.5%)22-9 (71%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Antonio Senzatela8-8 (50%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)4-5 (44.4%)4-3 (57.1%)
Rockies45-39 (53.6%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)22-16 (57.9%)22-21 (51.2%)
Quinn Priester5-6 (45.5%)0-1 (0%)1-0 (100%)1-3 (25%)3-2 (60%)
Brewers38-47 (44.7%)7-20 (25.9%)7-3 (70%)6-7 (46.2%)17-14 (54.8%)


Batting Matchup
RockiesBrewers
82TG82
3.5R/G4.7
78HR76
0.228AVG0.248
43SB97
20CS28
RockiesBrewers
0.152ISO0.132
0.292BABIP0.297
0.291OBP0.323
0.38SLG0.38
0.295wOBA0.311
73wRC+97
RockiesBrewers
7.3BB%9.1
26.7K%21.3
0.27BB/K0.43
8.7Barrel%6
40.8HardHit%37.6
-2.3WAR11.2

Pitching Matchup
Antonio SenzatelaQuinn Priester
16G14
15GS10
76.1IP71
4.8IP/G5.1
3W5
10L2
65LOB%76.1
Antonio SenzatelaQuinn Priester
4.72K/96.34
3.3BB/93.3
3.3K/BB%8
50.7GB%57.1
31.1FB%27.4
1.41HR/91.01
13HR/FB%13.3
Antonio SenzatelaQuinn Priester
0.368BABIP0.276
6.48ERA3.68
6.61xERA3.98
5.22FIP4.28
4.94xFIP4.06
1.9WHIP1.31
5.07SIERA4.22
0.1WAR0.4

Bullpen Matchup
RockiesBrewers
3.34BPU/G3.51
3.9IP/G4
8W16
17L13
13SV22
13BS9
68.8LOB%69.3
RockiesBrewers
7.61K/98.71
4.11BB/93.61
8.9K/BB%13.3
45.8GB%42.7
34.7FB%38.1
1.27HR/91
13.6HR/FB%10.3
RockiesBrewers
0.299BABIP0.29
4.76ERA4.27
4.68FIP3.91
4.37xFIP4.04
1.46WHIP1.31
4.22SIERA3.75
-0.3WAR2.3