Cubs @ Astros [ Astros -118 / 8.5 ]
Cubs | 45-31 (59.2%) Colin Rea (R) | 4-3 | WHIP: 1.39 | ERA: 4.42Astros | 48-33 (59.3%) Lance McCullers (R) | First start of the season
Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.
| Cubs | |
|---|---|
| Starting Pitcher: | |
| Bullpen: | |
| Team Batting: | |
| Matchup: | |
| Astros | |
|---|---|
| Starting Pitcher: | |
| Bullpen: | |
| Team Batting: | |
| Matchup: | |
| Home | Starter | Line | Total | Away | Starter | |
| 6/29 | HOU [ 0 ] | Framber Valdez (L) | CHC - HOU - | - | CHC [ 0 ] | Jameson Taillon (R) |
| 6/28 | HOU [ 0 ] | Lance McCullers (R) | CHC -100 HOU -118 | 8.5 | CHC [ 0 ] | Colin Rea (R) |
| 6/27 | HOU [ 7 ] | Brandon Walter (L) | CHC -100 HOU -118 | 8 | CHC [ 4 ] | Cade Horton (R) |
| 6/26 | STL [ 0 ] | Andre Pallante (R) | CHC -134 STL +114 | 9 | CHC [ 3 ] | Shota Imanaga (L) |
| 6/25 | STL [ 0 ] | Erick Fedde (R) | CHC -156 STL +132 | 8.5 | CHC [ 8 ] | Matthew Boyd (L) |
| 6/24 | STL [ 8 ] | Michael McGreevy (R) | CHC -118 STL -102 | 9 | CHC [ 7 ] | Jameson Taillon (R) |
| 6/23 | STL [ 8 ] | Matthew Liberatore (L) | CHC -120 STL +102 | 8.5 | CHC [ 2 ] | Ben Brown (R) |
| 6/22 | CHC [ 6 ] | Colin Rea (R) | CHC +108 SEA -126 | 11.5 | SEA [ 14 ] | Logan Gilbert (R) |
| 6/21 | CHC [ 10 ] | Cade Horton (R) | CHC -166 SEA +140 | 12.5 | SEA [ 7 ] | Emerson Hancock (R) |
| 6/20 | CHC [ 4 ] | Matthew Boyd (L) | CHC -136 SEA +116 | 10 | SEA [ 9 ] | George Kirby (R) |
| Home | Starter | Line | Total | Away | Starter | |
| 6/29 | HOU [ 0 ] | Framber Valdez (L) | HOU - CHC - | - | CHC [ 0 ] | Jameson Taillon (R) |
| 6/28 | HOU [ 0 ] | Lance McCullers (R) | HOU -118 CHC -100 | 8.5 | CHC [ 0 ] | Colin Rea (R) |
| 6/27 | HOU [ 7 ] | Brandon Walter (L) | HOU -118 CHC -100 | 8 | CHC [ 4 ] | Cade Horton (R) |
| 6/26 | HOU [ 2 ] | Hunter Brown (R) | HOU -158 PHI +134 | 7 | PHI [ 1 ] | Cristopher Sanchez (L) |
| 6/25 | HOU [ 2 ] | Colton Gordon (L) | HOU +132 PHI -156 | 7.5 | PHI [ 0 ] | Zack Wheeler (R) |
| 6/24 | HOU [ 1 ] | Framber Valdez (L) | HOU -146 PHI +130 | 7 | PHI [ 0 ] | Ranger Suarez (L) |
| 6/22 | LAA [ 7 ] | Kyle Hendricks (R) | HOU -108 LAA -108 | 8.5 | HOU [ 8 ] | Ryan Gusto (R) |
| 6/21 | LAA [ 9 ] | Jose Soriano (R) | HOU +110 LAA -130 | 8.5 | HOU [ 1 ] | Brandon Walter (L) |
| 6/20 | LAA [ 2 ] | Yusei Kikuchi (L) | HOU -166 LAA +140 | 8 | HOU [ 3 ] | Hunter Brown (R) |
| 6/19 | ATH [ 6 ] | Jacob Lopez (L) | HOU -138 ATH +118 | 10.5 | HOU [ 4 ] | Colton Gordon (L) |
| H | A | Line | Total | IP | K | BB | Hits | HR | ER | Runs | Opp Starter | |
| 6/22 | CHC [ 6 ] | SEA [ 14 ] | 108 | 11.5 | 5.33 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 7 | Logan Gilbert (R) |
| 6/15 | CHC [ 3 ] | PIT [ 2 ] | -146 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Mitch Keller (R) |
| 6/10 | PHI [ 4 ] | CHC [ 8 ] | -106 | 9.5 | 4.33 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | Mick Abel (R) |
| 5/30 | CHC [ 2 ] | CIN [ 6 ] | -162 | 9 | 5.67 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 6 | Andrew Abbott (L) |
| 5/24 | CIN [ 6 ] | CHC [ 4 ] | -124 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Andrew Abbott (L) |
| 4.27 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
| H | A | Line | Total | IP | K | BB | Hits | HR | ER | Runs | Opp Starter | |
| 6/10 | HOU [ 2 ] | CHW [ 4 ] | -174 | 7.5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | Shane Smith (R) |
| 6/3 | PIT [ 0 ] | HOU [ 3 ] | 126 | 7.5 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Paul Skenes (R) |
| 5/28 | HOU [ 5 ] | ATH [ 3 ] | -142 | 8.5 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | Luis Severino (R) |
| 5/22 | HOU [ 9 ] | SEA [ 2 ] | 116 | 8 | 4.33 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | George Kirby (R) |
| 5/16 | TEX [ 3 ] | HOU [ 6 ] | 166 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Nathan Eovaldi (R) |
| 5.07 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
| Colin Rea F5 | 4-5-3 (44.4%) | 2-2-2 (50%) | 0-2-0 (0%) | 1-1-0 (50%) | 1-0-1 (100%) |
| Colin Rea | 8-4 (66.7%) | 4-2 (66.7%) | 1-1 (50%) | 1-1 (50%) | 2-0 (100%) |
| Lance McCullers F5 | 2-4-2 (33.3%) | 0-3-0 (0%) | 1-0-1 (100%) | 1-0-0 (100%) | 0-1-1 (0%) |
| Lance McCullers | 4-4 (50%) | 1-2 (33.3%) | 0-2 (0%) | 1-0 (100%) | 2-0 (100%) |
| Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
| Colin Rea F5 | 5-4-1 (55.6%) | 2-2-1 (50%) | 1-0-0 (100%) | 1-1-0 (50%) | 1-1-0 (50%) |
| Colin Rea | 7-5-0 (58.3%) | 2-4-0 (33.3%) | 2-0-0 (100%) | 2-0-0 (100%) | 1-1-0 (50%) |
| Lance McCullers F5 | 5-2-0 (71.4%) | 3-0-0 (100%) | 1-0-0 (100%) | 1-0-0 (100%) | 0-2-0 (0%) |
| Lance McCullers | 4-4-0 (50%) | 1-2-0 (33.3%) | 1-1-0 (50%) | 1-0-0 (100%) | 1-1-0 (50%) |
| Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
| Cubs vs. RHP F5 | 31-17-11 (64.6%) | 16-3-7 (84.2%) | 7-5-2 (58.3%) | 2-1-0 (66.7%) | 6-5-2 (54.5%) |
| Cubs vs. RHP | 37-22 (62.7%) | 19-7 (73.1%) | 10-4 (71.4%) | 2-1 (66.7%) | 6-7 (46.2%) |
| Astros vs. RHP F5 | 27-34-11 (44.3%) | 13-15-1 (46.4%) | 6-7-4 (46.2%) | 4-3-1 (57.1%) | 3-7-5 (30%) |
| Astros vs. RHP | 41-31 (56.9%) | 18-11 (62.1%) | 7-10 (41.2%) | 7-1 (87.5%) | 7-8 (46.7%) |
| Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
| Cubs vs. RHP F5 | 31-21-4 (59.6%) | 13-7-3 (65%) | 9-5-0 (64.3%) | 2-1-0 (66.7%) | 5-7-1 (41.7%) |
| Cubs vs. RHP | 31-24-4 (56.4%) | 14-10-2 (58.3%) | 7-7-0 (50%) | 3-0-0 (100%) | 6-5-2 (54.5%) |
| Astros vs. RHP F5 | 30-31-5 (49.2%) | 15-12-1 (55.6%) | 6-6-2 (50%) | 4-3-1 (57.1%) | 4-9-1 (30.8%) |
| Astros vs. RHP | 29-41-2 (41.4%) | 13-16-0 (44.8%) | 10-7-0 (58.8%) | 2-6-0 (25%) | 3-10-2 (23.1%) |
| Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
| Colin Rea | 7-5 (58.3%) | 3-3 (50%) | 1-1 (50%) | 1-1 (50%) | 2-0 (100%) |
| Cubs | 39-40 (49.4%) | 16-18 (47.1%) | 13-9 (59.1%) | 2-2 (50%) | 8-9 (47.1%) |
| Lance McCullers | 4-4 (50%) | 1-2 (33.3%) | 0-2 (0%) | 1-0 (100%) | 2-0 (100%) |
| Astros | 41-39 (51.3%) | 14-21 (40%) | 9-13 (40.9%) | 7-1 (87.5%) | 11-4 (73.3%) |
- Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
| Overall | Home Fav | Away Fav | Home Dog | Away Dog | |
| Colin Rea | 6-6 (50%) | 3-3 (50%) | 1-1 (50%) | 1-1 (50%) | 1-1 (50%) |
| Cubs | 41-41 (50%) | 17-17 (50%) | 14-8 (63.6%) | 2-2 (50%) | 6-11 (35.3%) |
| Lance McCullers | 3-5 (37.5%) | 1-2 (33.3%) | 1-1 (50%) | 1-0 (100%) | 0-2 (0%) |
| Astros | 32-52 (38.1%) | 12-23 (34.3%) | 8-14 (36.4%) | 5-3 (62.5%) | 5-10 (33.3%) |
| Cubs | Astros | |
| 82 | TG | 82 |
| 5.4 | R/G | 4.2 |
| 120 | HR | 88 |
| 0.255 | AVG | 0.256 |
| 96 | SB | 46 |
| 17 | CS | 19 |
| Cubs | Astros | |
| 0.189 | ISO | 0.144 |
| 0.288 | BABIP | 0.301 |
| 0.325 | OBP | 0.322 |
| 0.444 | SLG | 0.4 |
| 0.334 | wOBA | 0.318 |
| 116 | wRC+ | 106 |
| Cubs | Astros | |
| 8.9 | BB% | 7.9 |
| 20.2 | K% | 20.9 |
| 0.44 | BB/K | 0.38 |
| 9.9 | Barrel% | 7.4 |
| 40 | HardHit% | 39 |
| 17.9 | WAR | 12.2 |
| Colin Rea | Lance McCullers | |
| 16 | G | - |
| 12 | GS | - |
| 73.1 | IP | - |
| 4.6 | IP/G | - |
| 4 | W | - |
| 3 | L | - |
| 78.1 | LOB% | - |
| Colin Rea | Lance McCullers | |
| 6.63 | K/9 | - |
| 2.33 | BB/9 | - |
| 11.2 | K/BB% | - |
| 37.2 | GB% | - |
| 40.2 | FB% | - |
| 1.6 | HR/9 | - |
| 13.8 | HR/FB% | - |
| Colin Rea | Lance McCullers | |
| 0.313 | BABIP | - |
| 4.42 | ERA | - |
| 5.23 | xERA | - |
| 4.77 | FIP | - |
| 4.35 | xFIP | - |
| 1.39 | WHIP | - |
| 4.38 | SIERA | - |
| 0.2 | WAR | - |
| Cubs | Astros | |
| 3.33 | BPU/G | 3.09 |
| 3.7 | IP/G | 3.3 |
| 18 | W | 18 |
| 13 | L | 10 |
| 19 | SV | 25 |
| 9 | BS | 8 |
| 74.4 | LOB% | 76.5 |
| Cubs | Astros | |
| 7.42 | K/9 | 10.76 |
| 3.44 | BB/9 | 3.38 |
| 10.6 | K/BB% | 19.9 |
| 43 | GB% | 31.3 |
| 37.4 | FB% | 47.6 |
| 0.69 | HR/9 | 0.95 |
| 7.1 | HR/FB% | 9 |
| Cubs | Astros | |
| 0.281 | BABIP | 0.271 |
| 3.32 | ERA | 3.28 |
| 3.72 | FIP | 3.34 |
| 4.3 | xFIP | 3.68 |
| 1.25 | WHIP | 1.13 |
| 4.06 | SIERA | 3.12 |
| 2.5 | WAR | 4.3 |