Nationals @ Angels [ Angels -126 / 9 ]

Nationals | 33-48 (40.7%) Michael Soroka (R) | 3-5 | WHIP: 1.09 | ERA: 5.06
Angels | 40-40 (50%) Kyle Hendricks (R) | 5-6 | WHIP: 1.32 | ERA: 4.83

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Nationals
Starting Pitcher:
4/4
Bullpen:
1/3
Team Batting:
2/3
Matchup:3
Est. fair odds: -142 to -162
Implied win prob: 58.68% to 61.83%
Angels
Starting Pitcher:
1/4
Bullpen:
2/3
Team Batting:
1/3
Matchup:-3
Est. fair odds: +142 to +162
Implied win prob: 38.17% to 41.32%
Nationals Situational Notes

Angels Situational Notes
Home stand (7th consecutive game at home or more)

Nationals Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/29LAA [ 0 ]Jack Kochanowicz (R)WSN -
LAA -		-WSN [ 0 ]Mitchell Parker (L)
6/28LAA [ 0 ]Kyle Hendricks (R)WSN +108
LAA -126		9WSN [ 0 ]Michael Soroka (R)
6/27LAA [ 9 ]Jose Soriano (R)WSN +134
LAA -158		8.5WSN [ 15 ]Jake Irvin (R)
6/25SDP [ 1 ]Nick Pivetta (R)WSN +116
SDP -136		7WSN [ 0 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)
6/24SDP [ 4 ]Ryan Bergert (R)WSN +142
SDP -168		8.5WSN [ 3 ]Trevor Williams (R)
6/23SDP [ 6 ]Stephen Kolek (R)WSN +150
SDP -178		8.5WSN [ 10 ]Mitchell Parker (L)
6/22LAD [ 13 ]Shohei Ohtani (R)WSN +200
LAD -245		9WSN [ 7 ]Michael Soroka (R)
6/21LAD [ 3 ]Dustin May (R)WSN +220
LAD -270		9.5WSN [ 7 ]Jake Irvin (R)
6/20LAD [ 6 ]Clayton Kershaw (L)WSN +152
LAD -180		8WSN [ 5 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)
6/19WSN [ 4 ]Trevor Williams (R)WSN -154
COL +144		9.5COL [ 3 ]Chase Dollander (R)
Angels Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/29LAA [ 0 ]Jack Kochanowicz (R)LAA -
WSN -		-WSN [ 0 ]Mitchell Parker (L)
6/28LAA [ 0 ]Kyle Hendricks (R)LAA -126
WSN +108		9WSN [ 0 ]Michael Soroka (R)
6/27LAA [ 9 ]Jose Soriano (R)LAA -158
WSN +134		8.5WSN [ 15 ]Jake Irvin (R)
6/25LAA [ 5 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)LAA -130
BOS +110		8.5BOS [ 2 ]Richard Fitts (R)
6/24LAA [ 3 ]Tyler Anderson (L)LAA +160
BOS -172		8BOS [ 2 ]Garrett Crochet (L)
6/23LAA [ 9 ]Jack Kochanowicz (R)LAA -102
BOS -116		9BOS [ 5 ]Walker Buehler (R)
6/22LAA [ 7 ]Kyle Hendricks (R)LAA -108
HOU -108		8.5HOU [ 8 ]Ryan Gusto (R)
6/21LAA [ 9 ]Jose Soriano (R)LAA -130
HOU +110		8.5HOU [ 1 ]Brandon Walter (L)
6/20LAA [ 2 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)LAA +140
HOU -166		8HOU [ 3 ]Hunter Brown (R)
6/19NYY [ 7 ]Carlos Rodon (L)LAA +215
NYY -295		9.5LAA [ 3 ]Tyler Anderson (L)

Michael Soroka Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/22LAD [ 13 ]WSN [ 7 ]20095.331022033Shohei Ohtani (R)
6/17WSN [ 6 ]COL [ 10 ]-2009.56925233Antonio Senzatela (R)
6/12NYM [ 4 ]WSN [ 3 ]2058.55533244Kodai Senga (R)
6/6WSN [ 2 ]TEX [ 0 ]10696712000Patrick Corbin (L)
5/31ARI [ 7 ]WSN [ 11 ]1589.55.33316144Brandon Pfaadt (R)
5.536.81.83.612.82.8
Kyle Hendricks Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/22LAA [ 7 ]HOU [ 8 ]-1088.55218235Ryan Gusto (R)
6/17NYY [ 0 ]LAA [ 4 ]2159.56914000Will Warren (R)
6/11LAA [ 6 ]ATH [ 5 ]-1569.56317123JP Sears (L)
6/6LAA [ 5 ]SEA [ 4 ]10896228044Bryce Miller (R)
5/31CLE [ 7 ]LAA [ 5 ]15085.67627244Slade Cecconi (R)
5.734.41.46.812.63.2
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Michael Soroka F55-5-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)3-3-0 (50%)
Michael Soroka3-7 (30%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)1-1 (50%)2-4 (33.3%)
Kyle Hendricks F58-7-0 (53.3%)0-2-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)2-2-0 (50%)5-3-0 (62.5%)
Kyle Hendricks7-8 (46.7%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)2-2 (50%)4-4 (50%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Michael Soroka F53-5-1 (37.5%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-1-1 (0%)3-3-0 (50%)
Michael Soroka5-5-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)3-3-0 (50%)
Kyle Hendricks F57-7-0 (50%)0-2-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)1-3-0 (25%)5-2-0 (71.4%)
Kyle Hendricks7-7-1 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-3-1 (0%)5-3-0 (62.5%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Nationals vs. RHP F522-29-9 (43.1%)0-3-3 (0%)1-1-2 (50%)11-8-1 (57.9%)10-16-3 (38.5%)
Nationals vs. RHP27-33 (45%)1-5 (16.7%)3-1 (75%)10-10 (50%)13-16 (44.8%)
Angels vs. RHP F527-26-14 (50.9%)4-2-3 (66.7%)0-1-2 (0%)9-7-4 (56.3%)13-16-5 (44.8%)
Angels vs. RHP33-34 (49.3%)6-3 (66.7%)2-1 (66.7%)10-10 (50%)15-19 (44.1%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Nationals vs. RHP F526-27-3 (49.1%)0-4-0 (0%)2-2-0 (50%)10-8-1 (55.6%)13-13-2 (50%)
Nationals vs. RHP32-27-1 (54.2%)1-5-0 (16.7%)3-1-0 (75%)12-8-0 (60%)15-13-1 (53.6%)
Angels vs. RHP F530-30-3 (50%)3-5-0 (37.5%)0-3-0 (0%)9-10-1 (47.4%)17-12-2 (58.6%)
Angels vs. RHP34-31-2 (52.3%)3-5-1 (37.5%)1-2-0 (33.3%)10-9-1 (52.6%)19-15-0 (55.9%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Michael Soroka5-4 (55.6%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)2-0 (100%)3-3 (50%)
Nationals43-37 (53.8%)0-9 (0%)2-3 (40%)17-12 (58.6%)24-13 (64.9%)
Kyle Hendricks7-7 (50%)0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)3-1 (75%)4-4 (50%)
Angels41-39 (51.3%)4-9 (30.8%)0-4 (0%)16-8 (66.7%)21-18 (53.8%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Michael Soroka5-5 (50%)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)4-2 (66.7%)
Nationals42-40 (51.2%)4-5 (44.4%)1-4 (20%)16-13 (55.2%)20-17 (54.1%)
Kyle Hendricks6-9 (40%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)2-2 (50%)3-5 (37.5%)
Angels44-37 (54.3%)3-10 (23.1%)1-3 (25%)16-8 (66.7%)24-15 (61.5%)


Batting Matchup
NationalsAngels
82TG81
4.4R/G4.3
84HR121
0.244AVG0.228
71SB37
29CS17
NationalsAngels
0.149ISO0.18
0.284BABIP0.274
0.31OBP0.294
0.393SLG0.408
0.309wOBA0.306
97wRC+94
NationalsAngels
7.6BB%7.3
20.3K%26.6
0.38BB/K0.27
8.1Barrel%11.1
41.5HardHit%41.3
4.5WAR4.6

Pitching Matchup
Michael SorokaKyle Hendricks
10G15
10GS15
53.1IP82
5.3IP/G5.5
3W5
5L6
69.2LOB%70.3
Michael SorokaKyle Hendricks
9.96K/96.04
2.36BB/92.52
20.2K/BB%9.1
46.1GB%40.1
41.8FB%43.5
1.69HR/91.54
16.9HR/FB%12
Michael SorokaKyle Hendricks
0.258BABIP0.278
5.06ERA4.83
3.2xERA3.98
4.55FIP4.95
3.73xFIP4.82
1.09WHIP1.32
3.33SIERA4.71
0.4WAR0.6

Bullpen Matchup
NationalsAngels
3.38BPU/G3.32
3.4IP/G3.4
13W22
11L11
19SV21
11BS16
65.6LOB%69.9
NationalsAngels
7.98K/98.9
4.45BB/94.35
8.6K/BB%11.3
45.7GB%38.4
34.9FB%42.1
1.2HR/91.48
12.7HR/FB%13.6
NationalsAngels
0.31BABIP0.314
5.74ERA5.21
4.85FIP4.8
4.66xFIP4.43
1.54WHIP1.52
4.27SIERA4.04
-0.4WAR-0.7