Red Sox @ Braves [ Braves +112 / 8 ]

Red Sox | 28-32 (46.7%) Garrett Crochet (L) | 5-4 | WHIP: 1.06 | ERA: 1.98
Braves | 27-30 (47.4%) Bryce Elder (R) | 2-3 | WHIP: 1.30 | ERA: 4.56

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity. Regular season only.

Red Sox
Starting Pitcher:
Unlock with Baller Access
Bullpen:
Unlock with Baller Access
Team Batting:
Unlock with Baller Access
Matchup:
Unlock with Baller Access
Braves
Starting Pitcher:
Unlock with Baller Access
Bullpen:
Unlock with Baller Access
Team Batting:
Unlock with Baller Access
Matchup:
Unlock with Baller Access
Red Sox Situational Notes

Braves Situational Notes

Red Sox Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/2BOS [ 0 ]Richard Fitts (R)BOS -148
LAA +126		9.5LAA [ 0 ]Tyler Anderson (L)
6/1ATL [ 1 ]Bryce Elder (R)BOS -132
ATL +102		8BOS [ 3 ]Garrett Crochet (L)
5/31ATL [ 5 ]Spencer Schwellenbach (R)BOS +154
ATL -184		8.5BOS [ 0 ]Walker Buehler (R)
5/30ATL [ 1 ]Grant Holmes (R)BOS +136
ATL -166		9BOS [ 5 ]Lucas Giolito (R)
5/28MIL [ 6 ]Freddy Peralta (R)BOS +128
MIL -152		7.5BOS [ 5 ]Brayan Bello (R)
5/27MIL [ 5 ]Aaron Civale (R)BOS -102
MIL -116		8.5BOS [ 1 ]Richard Fitts (R)
5/26MIL [ 3 ]Chad Patrick (R)BOS -168
MIL +142		7BOS [ 2 ]Garrett Crochet (L)
5/25BOS [ 1 ]Walker Buehler (R)BOS -126
BAL +112		9.5BAL [ 5 ]Dean Kremer (R)
5/24BOS [ 1 ]Hunter Dobbins (R)BOS -
BAL +118		-BAL [ 2 ]Zach Eflin (R)
5/24BOS [ 6 ]Lucas Giolito (R)BOS -
BAL -110		-BAL [ 5 ]Trevor Rogers (L)
Braves Schedule
Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
6/3ATL [ 0 ]Spencer Strider (R)ATL -
ARI -		-ARI [ 0 ]Zac Gallen (R)
6/1ATL [ 1 ]Bryce Elder (R)ATL +112
BOS -120		8BOS [ 3 ]Garrett Crochet (L)
5/31ATL [ 5 ]Spencer Schwellenbach (R)ATL -184
BOS +154		8.5BOS [ 0 ]Walker Buehler (R)
5/30ATL [ 1 ]Grant Holmes (R)ATL -162
BOS +140		9BOS [ 5 ]Lucas Giolito (R)
5/29PHI [ 0 ]Zack Wheeler (R)ATL +102
PHI -120		7.5ATL [ 0 ]Chris Sale (L)
5/29PHI [ 5 ]Cristopher Sanchez (R)ATL +135
PHI -160		7.5ATL [ 4 ]AJ Smith-Shawver (L)
5/29PHI [ 3 ]Zack Wheeler (L)ATL -120
PHI +100		7.5ATL [ 9 ]Chris Sale (R)
5/28PHI [ 0 ]Zack Wheeler (R)ATL +136
PHI -156		7.5ATL [ 0 ]AJ Smith Shawver (R)
5/27PHI [ 2 ]Ranger Suarez (L)ATL -102
PHI -110		8.5ATL [ 0 ]Spencer Strider (R)
5/25ATL [ 3 ]Spencer Schwellenbach (R)ATL -138
SDP +128		8SDP [ 5 ]Dylan Cease (R)

Garrett Crochet Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/26MIL [ 3 ]BOS [ 2 ]-16876.671125122Chad Patrick (R)
5/21BOS [ 1 ]NYM [ 5 ]-1527.50000000Tylor Megill (R)
5/16BOS [ 2 ]ATL [ 4 ]-11287807222Chris Sale (L)
5/10KCR [ 1 ]BOS [ 10 ]-10277917011Cole Ragans (L)
5/4BOS [ 4 ]MIN [ 5 ]-1988.55624111Chris Paddack (R)
5.136.814.60.81.21.2
Bryce Elder Last 5 Starts
H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/14ATL [ 4 ]WSN [ 5 ]-1728.56315011Mitchell Parker (L)
5/9PIT [ 3 ]ATL [ 2 ]-1488.56805233Bailey Falter (L)
5/4ATL [ 4 ]LAD [ 3 ]11695624022Dustin May (R)
4/28COL [ 3 ]ATL [ 6 ]-176106425133Ryan Feltner (R)
4/23ATL [ 4 ]STL [ 1 ]-15896235011Miles Mikolas (R)
5.84.61.64.80.622
Splits by Starter, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Garrett Crochet F55-3-4 (62.5%)2-2-2 (50%)2-1-2 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)
Garrett Crochet6-6 (50%)1-5 (16.7%)4-1 (80%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)
Bryce Elder F54-4-0 (50%)1-2-0 (33.3%)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)1-1-0 (50%)
Bryce Elder4-4 (50%)2-1 (66.7%)1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)0-2 (0%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Garrett Crochet F53-8-1 (27.3%)1-5-0 (16.7%)1-3-1 (25%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)
Garrett Crochet3-9-0 (25%)1-5-0 (16.7%)1-4-0 (20%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)
Bryce Elder F53-3-2 (50%)1-1-1 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)0-0-1 (-)1-1-0 (50%)
Bryce Elder2-4-2 (33.3%)1-1-1 (50%)0-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)1-0-1 (100%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Red Sox vs. RHP F520-17-11 (54.1%)8-7-6 (53.3%)5-4-3 (55.6%)2-2-0 (50%)5-4-2 (55.6%)
Red Sox vs. RHP23-25 (47.9%)11-10 (52.4%)5-7 (41.7%)2-2 (50%)5-6 (45.5%)
Braves vs. LHP F57-3-2 (70%)2-0-2 (100%)3-2-0 (60%)0-0-0 (-)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Braves vs. LHP7-5 (58.3%)3-1 (75%)3-2 (60%)0-0 (-)1-2 (33.3%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Red Sox vs. RHP F520-25-2 (44.4%)8-11-1 (42.1%)4-7-1 (36.4%)2-2-0 (50%)6-5-0 (54.5%)
Red Sox vs. RHP19-28-1 (40.4%)9-11-1 (45%)5-7-0 (41.7%)1-3-0 (25%)4-7-0 (36.4%)
Braves vs. LHP F54-7-1 (36.4%)0-3-1 (0%)3-2-0 (60%)0-0-0 (-)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Braves vs. LHP4-7-1 (36.4%)1-2-1 (33.3%)2-3-0 (40%)0-0-0 (-)1-2-0 (33.3%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Garrett Crochet5-7 (41.7%)0-6 (0%)4-1 (80%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)
Red Sox28-30 (48.3%)9-15 (37.5%)6-9 (40%)2-2 (50%)11-4 (73.3%)
Bryce Elder5-3 (62.5%)2-1 (66.7%)1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)1-1 (50%)
Braves27-31 (46.6%)11-14 (44%)7-12 (36.8%)2-0 (100%)7-5 (58.3%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)
YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)
OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Garrett Crochet4-8 (33.3%)2-4 (33.3%)2-3 (40%)0-0 (-)0-1 (0%)
Red Sox30-29 (50.8%)12-12 (50%)6-9 (40%)3-1 (75%)9-6 (60%)
Bryce Elder6-2 (75%)2-1 (66.7%)1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)2-0 (100%)
Braves32-26 (55.2%)14-11 (56%)9-10 (47.4%)1-1 (50%)8-4 (66.7%)


Batting Matchup
Red SoxBraves
61TG58
4.6R/G4.1
72HR62
0.251AVG0.246
54SB35
13CS11
Red SoxBraves
0.161ISO0.142
0.307BABIP0.298
0.322OBP0.319
0.412SLG0.389
0.322wOBA0.314
102wRC+98
Red SoxBraves
8.6BB%9
23.8K%22.5
0.36BB/K0.4
10.6Barrel%9.1
45.8HardHit%42.6
9.2WAR7.6

Pitching Matchup
Garrett CrochetBryce Elder
13G9
13GS9
82IP49.1
6.3IP/G5.5
5W2
4L3
85.5LOB%74.3
Garrett CrochetBryce Elder
11.09K/96.75
2.85BB/92.92
22.9K/BB%10.2
45.7GB%51.3
37.6FB%29.6
0.77HR/91.46
9.5HR/FB%17.8
Garrett CrochetBryce Elder
0.28BABIP0.278
1.98ERA4.56
3.05xERA4.91
2.68FIP4.72
2.86xFIP3.92
1.06WHIP1.3
2.99SIERA4.18
2.4WAR0

Bullpen Matchup
Red SoxBraves
3.23BPU/G3.16
3.7IP/G3.3
15W12
14L12
13SV10
14BS10
67.9LOB%74.4
Red SoxBraves
8.34K/99.06
3.45BB/93.92
12.7K/BB%13.7
42.2GB%44.2
37.5FB%38.2
0.64HR/90.94
6.6HR/FB%10.5
Red SoxBraves
0.285BABIP0.269
3.61ERA3.59
3.46FIP3.86
4.09xFIP3.93
1.26WHIP1.23
3.76SIERA3.65
2.7WAR0.3