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Mets @ Braves [ -148 / 8 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

September 30, 2024, 1:10 pm
Mets | 90-73 (55.2%), Tylor Megill (R) | 4-5 (44.44%)
Braves | 89-74 (54.6%), Spencer Schwellenbach (R) | 8-7 (53.33%)

Last updated: October 2, 2024 7:18 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Mets
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Braves
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Bullpen:
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Mets Situational Notes
Double-header Game 1

Braves Situational Notes
Double-header Game 1

Mets Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
10/1MILFreddy Peralta (R)NYM +124
MIL -146		7.5NYMLuis Severino (R)
9/30ATLSpencer Schwellenbach (R)NYM +126
ATL -148		8NYMTylor Megill (R)
9/30ATLGrant Holmes (R)NYM +235
ATL -290		8.5NYMJoey Lucchesi (L)
9/29MIL [ 0 ]Colin Rea (R)NYM -146
MIL +124		8NYM [ 5 ]David Peterson (L)
9/28MIL [ 6 ]Jared Koenig (L)NYM -112
MIL -104		8.5NYM [ 0 ]Jose Quintana (L)
9/27MIL [ 8 ]Frankie Montas (R)NYM -116
MIL -102		7.5NYM [ 4 ]Sean Manaea (L)
9/25ATL [ 0 ]Chris Sale (L)NYM +158
ATL -174		7.5NYM [ 0 ]David Peterson (L)
9/24ATL [ 5 ]Spencer Schwellenbach (R)NYM +116
ATL -146		8NYM [ 1 ]Luis Severino (R)
9/22NYM [ 2 ]Tylor Megill (R)NYM +128
PHI -142		7PHI [ 1 ]Zack Wheeler (R)
9/21NYM [ 6 ]Sean Manaea (L)NYM -108
PHI -106		7.5PHI [ 3 ]Ranger Suarez (L)

Braves Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
10/1SDPMichael King (R)ATL +160
SDP -190		7.5ATLAJ Smith-Shawver (R)
9/30ATLGrant Holmes (R)ATL -290
NYM +235		8.5NYMJoey Lucchesi (L)
9/30ATLSpencer Schwellenbach (R)ATL -148
NYM +126		8NYMTylor Megill (R)
9/29ATL [ 2 ]Charlie Morton (R)ATL -210
KCR +180		8.5KCR [ 4 ]Alec Marsh (R)
9/28ATL [ 2 ]Reynaldo Lopez (R)ATL -198
KCR +190		7.5KCR [ 1 ]Seth Lugo (R)
9/27ATL [ 3 ]Max Fried (L)ATL -174
KCR +154		7.5KCR [ 0 ]Brady Singer (R)
9/25ATL [ 0 ]Chris Sale (L)ATL -188
NYM +146		7.5NYM [ 0 ]David Peterson (L)
9/24ATL [ 5 ]Spencer Schwellenbach (R)ATL -136
NYM +124		8NYM [ 1 ]Luis Severino (R)
9/22MIA [ 4 ]Darren McCaughan (R)ATL -194
MIA +164		9ATL [ 5 ]Grant Holmes (R)
9/21MIA [ 2 ]Adam Oller (R)ATL -235
MIA +220		7.5ATL [ 6 ]Max Fried (L)

Tylor Megill Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
9/22NYM [ 2 ]PHI [ 1 ]12874624011Zack Wheeler (R)
9/17NYM [ 10 ]WSN [ 1 ]-1627.56422001Mitchell Parker (L)
9/9TOR [ 2 ]NYM [ 3 ]-11896921000Ryan Burr (R)
9/4NYM [ 8 ]BOS [ 3 ]-10484315033Tanner Houck (R)
8/30CHW [ 1 ]NYM [ 5 ]-22095.33615011Jonathan Cannon (R)
5.075.61.63.4011.2

Spencer Schwellenbach Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
9/24ATL [ 5 ]NYM [ 1 ]-13687413111Luis Severino (R)
9/18CIN [ 1 ]ATL [ 7 ]-1448.56525011Jakob Junis (R)
9/13ATL [ 6 ]LAD [ 2 ]-1128.56614122Landon Knack (R)
9/7ATL [ 5 ]TOR [ 9 ]-168853010236Jose Berrios (R)
9/1PHI [ 3 ]ATL [ 2 ]11485.67215022Aaron Nola (R)
5.93415.40.81.82.4


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

MetsBraves
160TG160
4.8R/G4.3
205HR211
0.247AVG0.243
104SB67
22CS20
MetsBraves
0.169ISO0.172
0.291BABIP0.291
0.32OBP0.309
0.416SLG0.415
0.321wOBA0.314
109wRC+100
MetsBraves
8.4BB%7.9
22.4K%24.1
0.38BB/K0.33
8.9Barrel%10.1
41.1HardHit%42.5
26.1WAR17.9

Pitching Matchup

Tylor MegillSpencer Schwellenbach
15G20
14GS20
72.1IP116.2
4.8IP/G5.8
4W8
5L7
68.5LOB%74.5
Tylor MegillSpencer Schwellenbach
10.33K/99.41
3.73BB/91.77
17K/BB%20.8
38.9GB%39.6
39.9FB%37.7
0.75HR/91.08
7.8HR/FB%11.6
Tylor MegillSpencer Schwellenbach
0.298BABIP0.284
3.98ERA3.47
4.05xERA3.41
3.36FIP3.38
3.89xFIP3.39
1.27WHIP1.07
3.87SIERA3.43
1.5WAR2.4

Bullpen Matchup

MetsBraves
3.18BPU/G2.95
3.4IP/G3.3
38W32
28L26
39SV39
24BS20
70.4LOB%75.7
MetsBraves
10.63K/99.95
4.1BB/92.89
17.1K/BB%18.9
44.9GB%42.5
37FB%38.1
1.03HR/90.93
12.2HR/FB%10.3
MetsBraves
0.289BABIP0.293
3.97ERA3.25
3.87FIP3.38
3.79xFIP3.55
1.27WHIP1.18
3.5SIERA3.26
3.7WAR6.3

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Tylor Megill F56-6-1 (50%)3-3-0 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-1 (100%)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Tylor Megill7-6 (53.8%)2-4 (33.3%)1-1 (50%)2-0 (100%)2-1 (66.7%)
Spencer Schwellenbach F512-8-1 (60%)6-5-0 (54.5%)3-1-1 (75%)0-0-0 (-)3-2-0 (60%)
Spencer Schwellenbach10-11 (47.6%)6-5 (54.5%)2-3 (40%)0-0 (-)2-3 (40%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Tylor Megill F58-5-0 (61.5%)4-2-0 (66.7%)2-0-0 (100%)1-1-0 (50%)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Tylor Megill6-7-0 (46.2%)3-3-0 (50%)0-2-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Spencer Schwellenbach F57-11-3 (38.9%)5-5-1 (50%)0-3-2 (0%)0-0-0 (-)2-3-0 (40%)
Spencer Schwellenbach5-16-0 (23.8%)3-8-0 (27.3%)2-3-0 (40%)0-0-0 (-)0-5-0 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Mets vs. RHP F549-48-19 (50.5%)19-15-10 (55.9%)9-8-3 (52.9%)5-7-1 (41.7%)13-18-4 (41.9%)
Mets vs. RHP65-51 (56%)26-18 (59.1%)12-8 (60%)6-7 (46.2%)19-16 (54.3%)
Braves vs. RHP F554-46-15 (54%)27-22-8 (55.1%)18-14-4 (56.3%)1-2-1 (33.3%)8-8-2 (50%)
Braves vs. RHP59-56 (51.3%)31-26 (54.4%)21-15 (58.3%)1-3 (25%)6-12 (33.3%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Mets vs. RHP F551-53-7 (49%)17-21-2 (44.7%)10-9-1 (52.6%)6-6-1 (50%)17-15-2 (53.1%)
Mets vs. RHP58-55-3 (51.3%)23-21-0 (52.3%)7-10-3 (41.2%)6-7-0 (46.2%)21-14-0 (60%)
Braves vs. RHP F547-56-9 (45.6%)29-23-4 (55.8%)10-20-4 (33.3%)1-3-0 (25%)7-10-1 (41.2%)
Braves vs. RHP37-73-5 (33.6%)18-39-0 (31.6%)10-21-5 (32.3%)3-1-0 (75%)6-12-0 (33.3%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Tylor Megill7-6 (53.8%)2-4 (33.3%)1-1 (50%)2-0 (100%)2-1 (66.7%)
Mets78-80 (49.4%)27-34 (44.3%)17-19 (47.2%)9-10 (47.4%)25-17 (59.5%)
Spencer Schwellenbach9-12 (42.9%)4-7 (36.4%)2-3 (40%)0-0 (-)3-2 (60%)
Braves76-86 (46.9%)32-45 (41.6%)27-28 (49.1%)1-3 (25%)16-10 (61.5%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Tylor Megill7-6 (53.8%)2-4 (33.3%)2-0 (100%)2-0 (100%)1-2 (33.3%)
Mets63-99 (38.9%)21-40 (34.4%)14-22 (38.9%)8-11 (42.1%)18-24 (42.9%)
Spencer Schwellenbach6-15 (28.6%)5-6 (45.5%)1-4 (20%)0-0 (-)0-5 (0%)
Braves70-93 (42.9%)41-36 (53.2%)22-33 (40%)1-3 (25%)5-21 (19.2%)