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Royals @ Twins [ -104 / 8.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

August 14, 2024, 12:10 pm
Royals | 82-71 (53.6%), Cole Ragans (L) | 11-9 (55%)
Twins | 80-72 (52.6%), Louie Varland (R) | 0-6 (0%)

Last updated: August 16, 2024 8:29 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Royals
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Twins
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Royals Situational Notes

Twins Situational Notes
Home stand (7th consecutive game at home or more)

Royals Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/16CINNick Martinez (R)KCR +120
CIN -138		9.5KCRMichael Lorenzen (R)
8/14MINLouie Varland (R)KCR -112
MIN -104		8.5KCRCole Ragans (L)
8/13MIN [ 13 ]Zebby Matthews (R)KCR +104
MIN -122		8.5KCR [ 3 ]Seth Lugo (R)
8/12MIN [ 8 ]Pablo Lopez (R)KCR +136
MIN -162		8.5KCR [ 3 ]Brady Singer (R)
8/10KCR [ 8 ]Michael Wacha (R)KCR -120
STL +102		9STL [ 3 ]Andre Pallante (R)
8/9KCR [ 5 ]Michael Lorenzen (R)KCR -116
STL -102		8.5STL [ 8 ]Miles Mikolas (R)
8/7KCR [ 8 ]Cole Ragans (L)KCR -142
BOS +120		8.5BOS [ 4 ]Kutter Crawford (R)
8/6KCR [ 5 ]Seth Lugo (R)KCR -130
BOS +110		8.5BOS [ 6 ]Brayan Bello (R)
8/5KCR [ 5 ]Brady Singer (R)KCR -130
BOS +110		10BOS [ 9 ]James Paxton (L)
8/4DET [ 2 ]Alex Faedo (R)KCR -134
DET +114		8.5KCR [ 3 ]Michael Wacha (R)

Twins Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/15TEXCody Bradford (L)MIN -124
TEX +106		7.5MINBailey Ober (R)
8/14MINLouie Varland (R)MIN -104
KCR -112		8.5KCRCole Ragans (L)
8/13MIN [ 13 ]Zebby Matthews (R)MIN -122
KCR +104		8.5KCR [ 3 ]Seth Lugo (R)
8/12MIN [ 8 ]Pablo Lopez (R)MIN -162
KCR +136		8.5KCR [ 3 ]Brady Singer (R)
8/11MIN [ 3 ]David Festa (R)MIN -116
CLE -102		8CLE [ 5 ]Tanner Bibee (R)
8/10MIN [ 1 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)MIN -118
CLE -100		8.5CLE [ 2 ]Gavin Williams (R)
8/9MIN [ 6 ]Louie Varland (R)MIN -104
CLE -112		8CLE [ 3 ]Alex Cobb (L)
8/9MIN [ 4 ]Bailey Ober (R)MIN -164
CLE +138		8.5CLE [ 2 ]Joey Cantillo (R)
8/7CHC [ 8 ]Javier Assad (R)MIN -142
CHC +120		7.5MIN [ 2 ]Joe Ryan (R)
8/6CHC [ 7 ]Shota Imanaga (L)MIN -106
CHC -110		6MIN [ 3 ]Pablo Lopez (R)

Cole Ragans Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/7KCR [ 8 ]BOS [ 4 ]-1428.56.33726214Kutter Crawford (R)
8/2DET [ 2 ]KCR [ 9 ]-10275.67642122Tarik Skubal (L)
7/28KCR [ 3 ]CHC [ 7 ]-18495.67718044Javier Assad (R)
7/22KCR [ 10 ]ARI [ 4 ]-1568.56526133Yilber Diaz (R)
7/12BOS [ 1 ]KCR [ 6 ]-11297714011Cooper Criswell (R)
6.136.425.20.82.22.8

Louie Varland Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/9MIN [ 6 ]CLE [ 3 ]-10484.67408133Alex Cobb (L)
6/11MIN [ 4 ]COL [ 5 ]-2058.55311000Cal Quantrill (R)
4/21MIN [ 1 ]DET [ 6 ]-12282.67243144Casey Mize (R)
4/15BAL [ 7 ]MIN [ 4 ]112956011246Cole Irvin (L)
4/9MIN [ 3 ]LAD [ 6 ]15485637266Tyler Glasnow (R)
4.474.21.661.23.43.8


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

RoyalsTwins
153TG152
4.7R/G4.7
167HR178
0.252AVG0.249
128SB64
30CS22
RoyalsTwins
0.161ISO0.17
0.286BABIP0.292
0.31OBP0.318
0.414SLG0.419
0.312wOBA0.32
99wRC+109
RoyalsTwins
7.1BB%7.7
19K%21.5
0.37BB/K0.36
7.6Barrel%7.9
40.5HardHit%38.3
21.3WAR23.3

Pitching Matchup

Cole RagansLouie Varland
31G12
31GS7
180.1IP43
5.8IP/G3.6
11W0
9L6
74LOB%58.2
Cole RagansLouie Varland
10.83K/98.16
3.19BB/92.93
20.7K/BB%12
40GB%43.7
40.9FB%32.5
0.75HR/92.3
8.2HR/FB%22.4
Cole RagansLouie Varland
0.293BABIP0.355
3.24ERA8.37
3.3xERA5.98
3.01FIP5.94
3.46xFIP4.34
1.15WHIP1.74
3.48SIERA4.26
4.7WAR-0.5

Bullpen Matchup

RoyalsTwins
3.12BPU/G3.2
3.1IP/G3.5
23W33
25L28
37SV42
23BS19
69.3LOB%68.2
RoyalsTwins
7.9K/99.37
3.48BB/93.18
11.3K/BB%16.2
45.1GB%43.5
36.6FB%37
0.88HR/90.93
8.9HR/FB%10.1
RoyalsTwins
0.302BABIP0.291
4.36ERA4.14
4FIP3.69
4.38xFIP3.89
1.37WHIP1.24
4.11SIERA3.56
2.8WAR5.1

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cole Ragans F513-7-5 (65%)5-1-2 (83.3%)3-3-0 (50%)2-3-1 (40%)3-0-2 (100%)
Cole Ragans13-12 (52%)6-2 (75%)2-4 (33.3%)3-3 (50%)2-3 (40%)
Louie Varland F51-5-1 (16.7%)0-1-1 (0%)0-0-0 (-)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-2-0 (0%)
Louie Varland1-6 (14.3%)0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)1-2 (33.3%)0-2 (0%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cole Ragans F512-13-0 (48%)3-5-0 (37.5%)3-3-0 (50%)4-2-0 (66.7%)2-3-0 (40%)
Cole Ragans9-15-1 (37.5%)4-4-0 (50%)1-5-0 (16.7%)3-3-0 (50%)1-3-1 (25%)
Louie Varland F53-3-1 (50%)0-1-1 (0%)0-0-0 (-)2-1-0 (66.7%)1-1-0 (50%)
Louie Varland4-3-0 (57.1%)1-1-0 (50%)0-0-0 (-)2-1-0 (66.7%)1-1-0 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Royals vs. RHP F546-36-18 (56.1%)17-5-7 (77.3%)8-7-1 (53.3%)9-8-3 (52.9%)10-15-6 (40%)
Royals vs. RHP56-44 (56%)20-9 (69%)13-3 (81.3%)11-9 (55%)9-22 (29%)
Twins vs. LHP F518-14-2 (56.3%)5-1-1 (83.3%)6-3-1 (66.7%)4-2-0 (66.7%)2-7-0 (22.2%)
Twins vs. LHP19-15 (55.9%)7-0 (100%)6-4 (60%)3-3 (50%)2-7 (22.2%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Royals vs. RHP F544-50-3 (46.8%)11-17-1 (39.3%)4-10-0 (28.6%)12-8-0 (60%)15-14-1 (51.7%)
Royals vs. RHP48-51-1 (48.5%)14-15-0 (48.3%)4-12-0 (25%)12-8-0 (60%)15-15-1 (50%)
Twins vs. LHP F522-11-1 (66.7%)5-2-0 (71.4%)6-3-1 (66.7%)4-2-0 (66.7%)6-3-0 (66.7%)
Twins vs. LHP20-12-2 (62.5%)5-1-1 (83.3%)7-3-0 (70%)2-4-0 (33.3%)5-3-1 (62.5%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cole Ragans14-11 (56%)4-4 (50%)2-4 (33.3%)3-3 (50%)5-0 (100%)
Royals66-51 (56.4%)20-15 (57.1%)10-12 (45.5%)14-10 (58.3%)22-14 (61.1%)
Louie Varland2-5 (28.6%)0-2 (0%)0-0 (-)1-2 (33.3%)1-1 (50%)
Twins57-60 (48.7%)20-28 (41.7%)18-15 (54.5%)6-5 (54.5%)13-12 (52%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cole Ragans14-11 (56%)4-4 (50%)4-2 (66.7%)4-2 (66.7%)2-3 (40%)
Royals57-65 (46.7%)18-17 (51.4%)10-12 (45.5%)14-10 (58.3%)12-24 (33.3%)
Louie Varland3-4 (42.9%)1-1 (50%)0-0 (-)1-2 (33.3%)1-1 (50%)
Twins62-58 (51.7%)25-23 (52.1%)15-18 (45.5%)6-5 (54.5%)15-10 (60%)