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Nationals @ Orioles [ -162 / 9 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

August 13, 2024, 6:35 pm
Nationals | 69-84 (45.1%), Jake Irvin (R) | 10-12 (45.45%)
Orioles | 84-68 (55.3%), Trevor Rogers (L) | 2-11 (15.38%)

Last updated: August 15, 2024 11:46 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Nationals
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Orioles
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Nationals Situational Notes

Orioles Situational Notes
Returning home off 9+ game road trip

Nationals Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/14BALDean Kremer (R)WSN +144
BAL -172		8.5WSNDJ Herz (L)
8/13BALTrevor Rogers (L)WSN +136
BAL -188		9WSNJake Irvin (R)
8/11WSN [ 4 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)WSN -148
LAA +134		8.5LAA [ 6 ]Jack Kochanowicz (R)
8/10WSN [ 5 ]Patrick Corbin (L)WSN -108
LAA -108		9.5LAA [ 4 ]Griffin Canning (R)
8/9WSN [ 3 ]Mitchell Parker (L)WSN -112
LAA -118		9LAA [ 2 ]Jose Soriano (R)
8/8WSN [ 5 ]DJ Herz (L)WSN +102
SFG -120		8.5SFG [ 9 ]Kyle Harrison (L)
8/7WSN [ 4 ]Jake Irvin (R)WSN +130
SFG -158		8SFG [ 7 ]Blake Snell (L)
8/6WSN [ 11 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)WSN -100
SFG -118		9SFG [ 5 ]Hayden Birdsong (R)
8/5WSN [ 1 ]Patrick Corbin (L)WSN +142
SFG -168		9SFG [ 4 ]Logan Webb (R)
8/4WSN [ 4 ]Mitchell Parker (L)WSN +110
MIL -130		9MIL [ 3 ]Tobias Myers (R)

Orioles Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
8/14BALDean Kremer (R)BAL -172
WSN +144		8.5WSNDJ Herz (L)
8/13BALTrevor Rogers (L)BAL -162
WSN +158		9WSNJake Irvin (R)
8/11TBR [ 2 ]Jeffrey Springs (L)BAL -110
TBR -116		8BAL [ 1 ]Albert Suarez (R)
8/10TBR [ 5 ]Drew Rasmussen (R)BAL -172
TBR +116		7BAL [ 7 ]Corbin Burnes (R)
8/9TBR [ 1 ]Zack Littell (R)BAL -134
TBR +110		7.5BAL [ 4 ]Zach Eflin (R)
8/8TOR [ 7 ]Kevin Gausman (R)BAL -115
TOR -108		8.5BAL [ 6 ]Dean Kremer (R)
8/7TOR [ 3 ]Bowden Francis (R)BAL -142
TOR +116		9.5BAL [ 7 ]Trevor Rogers (L)
8/6TOR [ 5 ]Chris Bassitt (R)BAL -152
TOR +128		8.5BAL [ 2 ]Albert Suarez (R)
8/4CLE [ 5 ]Gavin Williams (R)BAL -126
CLE +108		7.5BAL [ 9 ]Corbin Burnes (R)
8/3CLE [ 4 ]Joey Cantillo (L)BAL -116
CLE -102		8.5BAL [ 7 ]Zach Eflin (R)

Jake Irvin Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/7WSN [ 4 ]SFG [ 7 ]13085418355Blake Snell (L)
8/2WSN [ 3 ]MIL [ 8 ]-1048.55.67426044Frankie Montas (R)
7/27STL [ 3 ]WSN [ 14 ]1288.55.33514122Kyle Gibson (R)
7/21WSN [ 5 ]CIN [ 2 ]-11297705222Andrew Abbott (L)
7/14MIL [ 9 ]WSN [ 3 ]12694339267Rob Zastryzny (L)
5.44.61.46.41.63.84

Trevor Rogers Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
8/7TOR [ 3 ]BAL [ 7 ]-1429.55227023Bowden Francis (R)
8/1CLE [ 10 ]BAL [ 3 ]-10494.33336155Ben Lively (R)
4.662.52.56.50.53.54


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

NationalsOrioles
152TG152
4.1R/G4.8
127HR218
0.242AVG0.247
211SB92
69CS24
NationalsOrioles
0.133ISO0.186
0.286BABIP0.284
0.309OBP0.314
0.375SLG0.434
0.3wOBA0.323
92wRC+113
NationalsOrioles
7.7BB%8
20.3K%21.9
0.38BB/K0.36
5.6Barrel%9
36.3HardHit%42.1
9.2WAR26.4

Pitching Matchup

Jake IrvinTrevor Rogers
31G25
31GS25
179.1IP124.1
5.8IP/G5
10W2
12L11
71.9LOB%69.8
Jake IrvinTrevor Rogers
7.53K/97.02
2.26BB/94.05
14.4K/BB%7.3
44GB%46.3
36.2FB%33.6
1.3HR/91.01
13.6HR/FB%10.4
Jake IrvinTrevor Rogers
0.273BABIP0.322
4.07ERA4.92
4.15xERA5.15
4.2FIP4.52
3.93xFIP4.7
1.17WHIP1.58
4.11SIERA4.92
2.1WAR0.9

Bullpen Matchup

NationalsOrioles
3.51BPU/G3.31
3.6IP/G3.4
27W26
27L21
40SV44
20BS20
70.2LOB%68.1
NationalsOrioles
8.19K/99.24
3.06BB/93.3
13.3K/BB%15.7
43.7GB%44.3
34.9FB%38.1
1.04HR/91.04
11.2HR/FB%11.1
NationalsOrioles
0.309BABIP0.275
4.21ERA4.14
3.97FIP3.87
4.04xFIP3.94
1.34WHIP1.2
3.86SIERA3.62
3.9WAR3.4

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jake Irvin F58-11-6 (42.1%)0-1-1 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)1-5-2 (16.7%)7-4-3 (63.6%)
Jake Irvin11-14 (44%)1-1 (50%)1-0 (100%)2-6 (25%)7-7 (50%)
Trevor Rogers F56-16-1 (27.3%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-1-0 (0%)2-7-0 (22.2%)3-6-1 (33.3%)
Trevor Rogers7-16 (30.4%)0-3 (0%)1-0 (100%)2-7 (22.2%)4-6 (40%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jake Irvin F510-14-1 (41.7%)0-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)4-3-1 (57.1%)6-8-0 (42.9%)
Jake Irvin12-13-0 (48%)0-2-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)4-4-0 (50%)8-6-0 (57.1%)
Trevor Rogers F57-15-1 (31.8%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-0-1 (-)3-6-0 (33.3%)2-8-0 (20%)
Trevor Rogers12-11-0 (52.2%)3-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)5-4-0 (55.6%)3-7-0 (30%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Nationals vs. LHP F517-14-4 (54.8%)2-0-1 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)5-7-2 (41.7%)10-6-1 (62.5%)
Nationals vs. LHP17-18 (48.6%)3-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)5-9 (35.7%)8-9 (47.1%)
Orioles vs. RHP F550-30-10 (62.5%)26-12-4 (68.4%)17-12-3 (58.6%)0-2-0 (0%)5-3-2 (62.5%)
Orioles vs. RHP53-37 (58.9%)26-16 (61.9%)18-14 (56.3%)0-2 (0%)7-3 (70%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Nationals vs. LHP F515-19-0 (44.1%)0-3-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)6-7-0 (46.2%)9-8-0 (52.9%)
Nationals vs. LHP16-17-2 (48.5%)0-3-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)7-5-2 (58.3%)9-8-0 (52.9%)
Orioles vs. RHP F548-35-6 (57.8%)23-17-1 (57.5%)16-13-3 (55.2%)1-1-0 (50%)7-2-1 (77.8%)
Orioles vs. RHP53-30-7 (63.9%)24-16-2 (60%)20-7-5 (74.1%)1-1-0 (50%)7-3-0 (70%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jake Irvin13-12 (52%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)3-5 (37.5%)9-5 (64.3%)
Nationals66-52 (55.9%)6-6 (50%)2-4 (33.3%)25-22 (53.2%)33-20 (62.3%)
Trevor Rogers9-14 (39.1%)0-3 (0%)1-0 (100%)2-7 (22.2%)6-4 (60%)
Orioles62-54 (53.4%)26-28 (48.1%)20-20 (50%)3-2 (60%)13-4 (76.5%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jake Irvin9-16 (36%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)2-6 (25%)6-8 (42.9%)
Nationals45-75 (37.5%)5-7 (41.7%)2-4 (33.3%)17-30 (36.2%)21-32 (39.6%)
Trevor Rogers13-10 (56.5%)2-1 (66.7%)1-0 (100%)5-4 (55.6%)5-5 (50%)
Orioles53-68 (43.8%)30-24 (55.6%)16-24 (40%)0-5 (0%)5-12 (29.4%)