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Padres @ Nationals [ +134 / 9 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

July 25, 2024, 12:05 pm
Padres | 85-65 (56.7%), Dylan Cease (R) | 13-11 (54.17%)
Nationals | 69-81 (46%), Patrick Corbin (L) | 6-13 (31.58%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Padres
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Nationals
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Padres Situational Notes

Nationals Situational Notes

Padres Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/26BALGrayson Rodriguez (R)SDP +166
BAL -198		9SDPAdam Mazur (R)
7/25WSNPatrick Corbin (L)SDP -158
WSN +134		9SDPDylan Cease (R)
7/24WSN [ 3 ]Mitchell Parker (L)SDP -110
WSN -106		8.5SDP [ 12 ]Matt Waldron (R)
7/23WSN [ 0 ]DJ Herz (L)SDP -102
WSN -116		9.5SDP [ 4 ]Randy Vasquez (R)
7/21CLE [ 1 ]Ben Lively (R)SDP -108
CLE -108		7.5SDP [ 2 ]Michael King (R)
7/20CLE [ 0 ]Gavin Williams (R)SDP -102
CLE -116		7.5SDP [ 7 ]Dylan Cease (R)
7/19CLE [ 7 ]Tanner Bibee (R)SDP +136
CLE -162		7.5SDP [ 0 ]Matt Waldron (R)
7/14SDP [ 3 ]Randy Vasquez (R)SDP +140
ATL -166		7.5ATL [ 6 ]Chris Sale (L)
7/13SDP [ 4 ]Dylan Cease (R)SDP -134
ATL +114		7.5ATL [ 0 ]Reynaldo Lopez (R)
7/12SDP [ 1 ]Matt Waldron (R)SDP -116
ATL -102		7.5ATL [ 6 ]Spencer Schwellenbach (R)

Nationals Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/26STLSonny Gray (R)WSN +140
STL -166		7.5WSNMacKenzie Gore (L)
7/25WSNPatrick Corbin (L)WSN +134
SDP -158		9SDPDylan Cease (R)
7/24WSN [ 3 ]Mitchell Parker (L)WSN -106
SDP -110		8.5SDP [ 12 ]Matt Waldron (R)
7/23WSN [ 0 ]DJ Herz (L)WSN -116
SDP -102		9.5SDP [ 4 ]Randy Vasquez (R)
7/21WSN [ 5 ]Jake Irvin (R)WSN -112
CIN -104		9CIN [ 2 ]Andrew Abbott (L)
7/20WSN [ 5 ]MacKenzie Gore (L)WSN -100
CIN -118		8CIN [ 4 ]Nick Lodolo (L)
7/19WSN [ 8 ]Patrick Corbin (L)WSN +110
CIN -130		9.5CIN [ 5 ]Frankie Montas (R)
7/14MIL [ 9 ]Rob Zastryzny (L)WSN +126
MIL -148		9WSN [ 3 ]Jake Irvin (R)
7/13MIL [ 5 ]Dallas Keuchel (L)WSN +120
MIL -142		9WSN [ 6 ]Mitchell Parker (L)
7/12MIL [ 2 ]Freddy Peralta (R)WSN +225
MIL -275		8.5WSN [ 5 ]Jackson Rutledge (R)

Dylan Cease Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/20CLE [ 0 ]SDP [ 7 ]-1027.571011000Gavin Williams (R)
7/13SDP [ 4 ]ATL [ 0 ]-1347.561131000Reynaldo Lopez (R)
7/7SDP [ 1 ]ARI [ 9 ]-1748.57815233Ryne Nelson (R)
7/2TEX [ 7 ]SDP [ 0 ]-1167.53.67528266Nathan Eovaldi (R)
6/26SDP [ 8 ]WSN [ 5 ]-1887.57921000DJ Herz (L)
6.138.61.83.20.81.81.8

Patrick Corbin Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/19WSN [ 8 ]CIN [ 5 ]1109.56603011Frankie Montas (R)
7/10NYM [ 6 ]WSN [ 2 ]1729.55518144Luis Severino (R)
7/5WSN [ 6 ]STL [ 7 ]1388.55326033Sonny Gray (R)
6/30TBR [ 5 ]WSN [ 0 ]15886518244Taj Bradley (R)
6/24SDP [ 7 ]WSN [ 6 ]1647.57505033Matt Waldron (R)
5.84.80.860.633


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

PadresNationals
150TG149
4.8R/G4.2
173HR127
0.265AVG0.244
110SB209
24CS68
PadresNationals
0.153ISO0.135
0.296BABIP0.289
0.326OBP0.311
0.418SLG0.379
0.324wOBA0.302
111wRC+94
PadresNationals
7.6BB%7.7
17.4K%20.3
0.44BB/K0.38
7Barrel%5.6
38.3HardHit%36.4
24.9WAR10

Pitching Matchup

Dylan CeasePatrick Corbin
31G30
31GS30
176IP165
5.7IP/G5.5
13W6
11L13
69.3LOB%66.4
Dylan CeasePatrick Corbin
10.99K/97.2
3.17BB/92.84
21.5K/BB%11.1
39.7GB%47.4
42FB%31.7
0.92HR/91.25
10.1HR/FB%13.9
Dylan CeasePatrick Corbin
0.271BABIP0.336
3.58ERA5.45
3.36xERA5.58
3.15FIP4.38
3.36xFIP4.09
1.09WHIP1.49
3.4SIERA4.39
4.3WAR1.7

Bullpen Matchup

PadresNationals
3.33BPU/G3.51
3.6IP/G3.6
36W27
16L26
38SV40
22BS19
72.4LOB%70.1
PadresNationals
9.43K/98.16
2.87BB/93.05
17.4K/BB%13.3
44.2GB%43.8
36.9FB%34.9
0.98HR/90.99
10.7HR/FB%10.7
PadresNationals
0.294BABIP0.308
3.78ERA4.16
3.57FIP3.91
3.69xFIP4.04
1.21WHIP1.34
3.42SIERA3.87
5.3WAR4.1

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Dylan Cease F510-9-3 (52.6%)4-5-1 (44.4%)4-3-2 (57.1%)0-0-0 (-)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Dylan Cease13-9 (59.1%)5-5 (50%)6-3 (66.7%)0-0 (-)2-1 (66.7%)
Patrick Corbin F56-14-1 (30%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)3-7-0 (30%)3-7-1 (30%)
Patrick Corbin6-15 (28.6%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)3-7 (30%)3-8 (27.3%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Dylan Cease F58-11-3 (42.1%)3-4-3 (42.9%)4-5-0 (44.4%)0-0-0 (-)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Dylan Cease10-12-0 (45.5%)6-4-0 (60%)3-6-0 (33.3%)0-0-0 (-)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Patrick Corbin F57-12-2 (36.8%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)3-6-1 (33.3%)4-6-1 (40%)
Patrick Corbin10-11-0 (47.6%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)6-4-0 (60%)4-7-0 (36.4%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Padres vs. LHP F514-15-8 (48.3%)7-5-1 (58.3%)4-1-2 (80%)1-3-0 (25%)2-6-5 (25%)
Padres vs. LHP20-17 (54.1%)8-5 (61.5%)5-2 (71.4%)1-3 (25%)6-7 (46.2%)
Nationals vs. RHP F525-39-6 (39.1%)2-6-0 (25%)2-2-0 (50%)10-14-3 (41.7%)11-17-3 (39.3%)
Nationals vs. RHP30-40 (42.9%)3-5 (37.5%)2-2 (50%)12-15 (44.4%)13-18 (41.9%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Padres vs. LHP F512-24-1 (33.3%)6-6-1 (50%)2-5-0 (28.6%)2-2-0 (50%)2-11-0 (15.4%)
Padres vs. LHP15-22-0 (40.5%)6-7-0 (46.2%)2-5-0 (28.6%)3-1-0 (75%)4-9-0 (30.8%)
Nationals vs. RHP F536-29-5 (55.4%)5-3-0 (62.5%)3-1-0 (75%)13-11-3 (54.2%)15-14-2 (51.7%)
Nationals vs. RHP35-33-2 (51.5%)4-4-0 (50%)3-1-0 (75%)14-12-1 (53.8%)14-16-1 (46.7%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Dylan Cease14-8 (63.6%)5-5 (50%)6-3 (66.7%)0-0 (-)3-0 (100%)
Padres54-54 (50%)13-31 (29.5%)10-8 (55.6%)6-6 (50%)24-8 (75%)
Patrick Corbin8-13 (38.1%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)4-6 (40%)4-7 (36.4%)
Nationals56-46 (54.9%)6-5 (54.5%)2-4 (33.3%)21-18 (53.8%)27-19 (58.7%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Dylan Cease11-11 (50%)3-7 (30%)6-3 (66.7%)0-0 (-)2-1 (66.7%)
Padres57-53 (51.8%)21-23 (47.7%)14-4 (77.8%)8-4 (66.7%)12-20 (37.5%)
Patrick Corbin5-16 (23.8%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)2-8 (20%)3-8 (27.3%)
Nationals35-68 (34%)5-6 (45.5%)2-4 (33.3%)11-28 (28.2%)17-29 (37%)