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Phillies @ Twins [ +116 / 7.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

July 24, 2024, 12:10 pm
Phillies | 91-60 (60.3%), Aaron Nola (R) | 12-8 (60%)
Twins | 80-71 (53%), Steven Okert (L) | 3-2 (60%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Phillies
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Twins
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Bullpen:
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Phillies Situational Notes

Twins Situational Notes

Phillies Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/26PHICristopher Sanchez (L)PHI -190
CLE +160		8CLEBen Lively (R)
7/24MINSteven Okert (L)PHI -136
MIN +116		7.5PHIAaron Nola (R)
7/23MIN [ 0 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)PHI -148
MIN +126		8PHI [ 3 ]Zack Wheeler (R)
7/22MIN [ 7 ]Bailey Ober (R)PHI -116
MIN -102		8PHI [ 2 ]Ranger Suarez (L)
7/21PIT [ 0 ]Marco Gonzales (L)PHI -122
PIT +104		9PHI [ 6 ]Tyler Phillips (R)
7/20PIT [ 4 ]Luis Ortiz (R)PHI -168
PIT +142		8.5PHI [ 1 ]Cristopher Sanchez (L)
7/19PIT [ 8 ]Martin Perez (L)PHI -172
PIT +144		8.5PHI [ 7 ]Aaron Nola (R)
7/14PHI [ 3 ]Orion Kerkering (R)PHI -240
OAK +198		9.5OAK [ 18 ]Joey Estes (R)
7/13PHI [ 11 ]Tyler Phillips (R)PHI -196
OAK +164		9OAK [ 5 ]Mitch Spence (R)
7/12PHI [ 2 ]Ranger Suarez (L)PHI -255
OAK +210		8.5OAK [ 6 ]Hogan Harris (L)

Twins Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/26DETKeider Montero (R)MIN -186
DET +156		7.5MINPablo Lopez (R)
7/24MINSteven Okert (L)MIN +116
PHI -136		7.5PHIAaron Nola (R)
7/23MIN [ 0 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)MIN +126
PHI -148		8PHI [ 3 ]Zack Wheeler (R)
7/22MIN [ 7 ]Bailey Ober (R)MIN -102
PHI -116		8PHI [ 2 ]Ranger Suarez (L)
7/21MIN [ 7 ]Joe Ryan (R)MIN -164
MIL +138		7.5MIL [ 8 ]Aaron Civale (R)
7/20MIN [ 4 ]Pablo Lopez (R)MIN -124
MIL +106		7.5MIL [ 8 ]Freddy Peralta (R)
7/14SFG [ 3 ]Blake Snell (L)MIN +136
SFG -162		7.5MIN [ 2 ]Chris Paddack (R)
7/13SFG [ 2 ]Hayden Birdsong (R)MIN +114
SFG -134		8MIN [ 4 ]Simeon Woods Richardson (R)
7/12SFG [ 7 ]Kyle Harrison (L)MIN -144
SFG +122		7.5MIN [ 1 ]Joe Ryan (R)
7/10CHW [ 2 ]Drew Thorpe (R)MIN -220
CHW +184		8.5MIN [ 3 ]Pablo Lopez (R)

Aaron Nola Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
7/19PIT [ 8 ]PHI [ 7 ]-1728.55416044Martin Perez (L)
7/11PHI [ 5 ]LAD [ 1 ]-1589.56924111Anthony Banda (L)
7/5ATL [ 6 ]PHI [ 8 ]1207.56805233Max Fried (L)
6/29PHI [ 2 ]MIA [ 3 ]-25096.67906133Roddery Munoz (R)
6/24DET [ 1 ]PHI [ 8 ]-18087606011Casey Mize (R)
6.137.20.65.40.82.42.4

Steven Okert Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
0000000


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

PhilliesTwins
151TG151
4.8R/G4.7
183HR178
0.258AVG0.249
135SB64
28CS22
PhilliesTwins
0.167ISO0.171
0.307BABIP0.292
0.327OBP0.318
0.425SLG0.42
0.326wOBA0.32
109wRC+109
PhilliesTwins
8.4BB%7.7
21.9K%21.5
0.38BB/K0.36
7.6Barrel%8
40HardHit%38.4
26.6WAR23.1

Pitching Matchup

Aaron NolaSteven Okert
30G44
30GS1
181.1IP35.1
6IP/G0.8
12W3
8L2
78.5LOB%71.4
Aaron NolaSteven Okert
8.64K/98.41
2.33BB/94.08
17K/BB%10.6
43.8GB%32.7
34.4FB%44.2
1.39HR/91.53
15.6HR/FB%13
Aaron NolaSteven Okert
0.287BABIP0.304
3.62ERA5.09
3.85xERA4.21
4.09FIP5.12
3.57xFIP4.89
1.2WHIP1.5
3.8SIERA4.35
2.6WAR-0.2

Bullpen Matchup

PhilliesTwins
3.19BPU/G3.2
3.3IP/G3.5
29W33
21L27
36SV42
19BS18
72.8LOB%68.5
PhilliesTwins
9.72K/99.36
3.1BB/93.18
17.3K/BB%16.2
42.8GB%43.4
37FB%37.1
1.12HR/90.93
12.3HR/FB%10.1
PhilliesTwins
0.293BABIP0.29
3.86ERA4.12
3.85FIP3.7
3.77xFIP3.9
1.24WHIP1.23
3.44SIERA3.56
5.6WAR5

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Aaron Nola F514-3-4 (82.4%)8-0-2 (100%)5-1-2 (83.3%)0-1-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)
Aaron Nola15-6 (71.4%)8-2 (80%)6-2 (75%)0-1 (0%)1-0 (100%)
Steven Okert F50-0-1 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-0-1 (-)0-0-0 (-)
Steven Okert1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Aaron Nola F59-10-2 (47.4%)3-6-1 (33.3%)3-4-1 (42.9%)1-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)
Aaron Nola10-11-0 (47.6%)2-8-0 (20%)5-3-0 (62.5%)1-0-0 (100%)1-0-0 (100%)
Steven Okert F50-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)
Steven Okert1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Phillies vs. LHP F523-17-2 (57.5%)11-7-0 (61.1%)10-6-2 (62.5%)0-2-0 (0%)2-2-0 (50%)
Phillies vs. LHP24-18 (57.1%)11-7 (61.1%)10-8 (55.6%)1-1 (50%)2-2 (50%)
Twins vs. RHP F528-34-12 (45.2%)15-15-4 (50%)4-9-5 (30.8%)2-1-2 (66.7%)6-9-1 (40%)
Twins vs. RHP39-35 (52.7%)17-17 (50%)12-6 (66.7%)3-2 (60%)6-10 (37.5%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Phillies vs. LHP F519-19-1 (50%)7-9-0 (43.8%)8-9-1 (47.1%)1-0-0 (100%)3-1-0 (75%)
Phillies vs. LHP18-23-1 (43.9%)5-13-0 (27.8%)7-10-1 (41.2%)2-0-0 (100%)4-0-0 (100%)
Twins vs. RHP F533-34-4 (49.3%)16-13-4 (55.2%)7-10-0 (41.2%)2-3-0 (40%)7-8-0 (46.7%)
Twins vs. RHP35-38-1 (47.9%)17-16-1 (51.5%)10-8-0 (55.6%)2-3-0 (40%)5-11-0 (31.3%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Aaron Nola11-9 (55%)5-5 (50%)5-3 (62.5%)0-1 (0%)1-0 (100%)
Phillies53-48 (52.5%)26-23 (53.1%)18-17 (51.4%)2-2 (50%)7-6 (53.8%)
Steven Okert1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)0-0 (-)
Twins46-53 (46.5%)14-26 (35%)14-13 (51.9%)5-4 (55.6%)13-10 (56.5%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Aaron Nola8-13 (38.1%)2-8 (20%)5-3 (62.5%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)
Phillies48-54 (47.1%)23-26 (46.9%)16-19 (45.7%)3-1 (75%)6-7 (46.2%)
Steven Okert0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)0-0 (-)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)
Twins50-51 (49.5%)19-21 (47.5%)12-15 (44.4%)5-4 (55.6%)13-10 (56.5%)