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Astros @ Blue Jays [ +110 / 8.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

July 1, 2024, 3:07 pm
Astros | 88-75 (54%), Hunter Brown (R) | 11-9 (55%)
Blue Jays | 73-88 (45.3%), Yariel Rodriguez (R) | 1-8 (11.11%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Astros
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Blue Jays
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Astros Situational Notes
Game off extra innings

Baller Systems
• Back team off a win when they used a lot of pitchers

Blue Jays Situational Notes

Astros Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/2TORJose Berrios (R)HOU -102
TOR -116		8.5HOUSpencer Arrighetti (R)
7/1TORYariel Rodriguez (R)HOU -130
TOR +110		8.5HOUHunter Brown (R)
6/30NYM [ 5 ]Luis Severino (R)HOU +108
NYM -126		9HOU [ 10 ]Shawn Dubin (R)
6/29NYM [ 6 ]Tylor Megill (R)HOU -100
NYM -118		8.5HOU [ 9 ]Framber Valdez (L)
6/28NYM [ 7 ]Jose Quintana (L)HOU -104
NYM -112		8.5HOU [ 2 ]Ronel Blanco (R)
6/26HOU [ 7 ]Spencer Arrighetti (R)HOU -198
COL +166		8.5COL [ 1 ]Ryan Feltner (R)
6/25HOU [ 5 ]Hunter Brown (R)HOU -260
COL +215		8COL [ 2 ]Austin Gomber (L)
6/23HOU [ 8 ]Framber Valdez (L)HOU -112
BAL -104		8.5BAL [ 1 ]Albert Suarez (R)
6/22HOU [ 5 ]Ronel Blanco (R)HOU +124
BAL -146		7.5BAL [ 1 ]Corbin Burnes (R)
6/21HOU [ 14 ]Jake Bloss (R)HOU +130
BAL -154		8.5BAL [ 11 ]Grayson Rodriguez (R)

Blue Jays Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/2TORJose Berrios (R)TOR -116
HOU -102		8.5HOUSpencer Arrighetti (R)
7/1TORYariel Rodriguez (R)TOR +110
HOU -130		8.5HOUHunter Brown (R)
6/30TOR [ 1 ]Kevin Gausman (R)TOR -100
NYY -118		8NYY [ 8 ]Gerrit Cole (R)
6/29TOR [ 9 ]Chris Bassitt (R)TOR +106
NYY -124		8NYY [ 3 ]Nestor Cortes (L)
6/28TOR [ 5 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)TOR -106
NYY -110		8.5NYY [ 16 ]Marcus Stroman (R)
6/27TOR [ 9 ]Jose Berrios (R)TOR +114
NYY -134		8.5NYY [ 2 ]Carlos Rodon (L)
6/26BOS [ 0 ]Kutter Crawford (R)TOR +128
BOS -152		9.5TOR [ 0 ]Yariel Rodriguez (R)
6/25BOS [ 4 ]Brayan Bello (R)TOR +110
BOS -130		9.5TOR [ 9 ]Kevin Gausman (R)
6/24BOS [ 7 ]Tanner Houck (R)TOR +136
BOS -162		8.5TOR [ 6 ]Chris Bassitt (R)
6/23CLE [ 6 ]Triston McKenzie (R)TOR -102
CLE -116		8.5TOR [ 5 ]Yusei Kikuchi (L)

Hunter Brown Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/25HOU [ 5 ]COL [ 2 ]-26086732000Austin Gomber (L)
6/19CHW [ 1 ]HOU [ 4 ]-11276607111Garrett Crochet (L)
6/14HOU [ 4 ]DET [ 0 ]-11877905000Tarik Skubal (L)
6/8LAA [ 1 ]HOU [ 6 ]-1768.56742000Tyler Anderson (L)
6/2HOU [ 3 ]MIN [ 4 ]-14886715233Simeon Woods Richardson (R)
6.27.21.64.20.60.80.8

Yariel Rodriguez Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/26BOS [ 0 ]TOR [ 0 ]1289.50000000Kutter Crawford (R)
6/21CLE [ 7 ]TOR [ 1 ]1088.51.33132045Carlos Carrasco (R)
4/29TOR [ 6 ]KCR [ 5 ]-1648.53.67136023Jonathan Bowlan (R)
4/24KCR [ 3 ]TOR [ 2 ]-1328.54226033Alec Marsh (R)
4/19SDP [ 1 ]TOR [ 5 ]-1068.54713111Matt Waldron (R)
2.62.21.83.40.222.4


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

AstrosBlue Jays
161TG162
4.6R/G4.1
190HR156
0.262AVG0.241
93SB72
24CS16
AstrosBlue Jays
0.157ISO0.148
0.299BABIP0.283
0.322OBP0.313
0.418SLG0.389
0.321wOBA0.307
111wRC+101
AstrosBlue Jays
7.3BB%8.4
19.3K%20.3
0.38BB/K0.41
7.5Barrel%7.2
38.7HardHit%36.5
26.1WAR22.8

Pitching Matchup

Hunter BrownYariel Rodriguez
31G21
30GS21
170IP86.2
5.5IP/G4.1
11W1
9L8
76.6LOB%69.9
Hunter BrownYariel Rodriguez
9.48K/98.83
3.18BB/94.15
16.7K/BB%12.2
48.9GB%37.4
30.5FB%41.6
0.95HR/91.14
12.7HR/FB%11.1
Hunter BrownYariel Rodriguez
0.307BABIP0.275
3.49ERA4.47
3.27xERA3.91
3.58FIP4.34
3.47xFIP4.42
1.27WHIP1.32
3.74SIERA4.46
3.1WAR1

Bullpen Matchup

AstrosBlue Jays
3.17BPU/G3.39
3.4IP/G3.5
29W23
26L27
43SV36
26BS23
75.7LOB%69
AstrosBlue Jays
9.66K/97.99
3.56BB/93.63
16.1K/BB%11.3
41.5GB%42.4
38.7FB%37.5
1.18HR/91.46
12.7HR/FB%14.8
AstrosBlue Jays
0.281BABIP0.276
3.66ERA4.82
4.08FIP4.84
3.94xFIP4.39
1.25WHIP1.34
3.6SIERA4.14
2.1WAR-2.6

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Hunter Brown F59-6-1 (60%)4-2-1 (66.7%)3-3-0 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)
Hunter Brown7-9 (43.8%)3-4 (42.9%)3-3 (50%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)
Yariel Rodriguez F53-3-0 (50%)2-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)1-1-0 (50%)
Yariel Rodriguez3-3 (50%)2-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Hunter Brown F57-9-0 (43.8%)3-4-0 (42.9%)3-3-0 (50%)1-1-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)
Hunter Brown5-11-0 (31.3%)2-5-0 (28.6%)2-4-0 (33.3%)1-1-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)
Yariel Rodriguez F54-2-0 (66.7%)2-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)2-0-0 (100%)
Yariel Rodriguez1-5-0 (16.7%)1-1-0 (50%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)0-2-0 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Astros vs. RHP F530-25-4 (54.5%)16-12-0 (57.1%)5-8-1 (38.5%)3-2-0 (60%)5-3-1 (62.5%)
Astros vs. RHP33-26 (55.9%)16-12 (57.1%)7-7 (50%)3-2 (60%)6-3 (66.7%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP F531-30-7 (50.8%)13-7-2 (65%)10-4-0 (71.4%)2-6-1 (25%)4-13-4 (23.5%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP31-37 (45.6%)13-9 (59.1%)10-4 (71.4%)0-9 (0%)6-15 (28.6%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Astros vs. RHP F529-28-1 (50.9%)16-11-0 (59.3%)6-8-0 (42.9%)3-2-0 (60%)4-4-1 (50%)
Astros vs. RHP22-36-1 (37.9%)12-15-1 (44.4%)3-11-0 (21.4%)2-3-0 (40%)5-4-0 (55.6%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP F531-31-4 (50%)13-8-0 (61.9%)5-6-3 (45.5%)4-4-1 (50%)8-12-0 (40%)
Blue Jays vs. RHP32-33-3 (49.2%)12-10-0 (54.5%)5-9-0 (35.7%)5-4-0 (55.6%)9-10-2 (47.4%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Hunter Brown6-10 (37.5%)2-5 (28.6%)3-3 (50%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)
Astros40-41 (49.4%)18-19 (48.6%)11-14 (44%)4-2 (66.7%)7-6 (53.8%)
Yariel Rodriguez2-4 (33.3%)1-1 (50%)0-1 (0%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)
Blue Jays37-45 (45.1%)11-19 (36.7%)10-7 (58.8%)3-8 (27.3%)13-11 (54.2%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Hunter Brown6-10 (37.5%)3-4 (42.9%)2-4 (33.3%)0-2 (0%)1-0 (100%)
Astros42-42 (50%)19-18 (51.4%)14-11 (56%)3-3 (50%)6-7 (46.2%)
Yariel Rodriguez4-2 (66.7%)2-0 (100%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)1-1 (50%)
Blue Jays31-53 (36.9%)8-22 (26.7%)6-11 (35.3%)6-5 (54.5%)11-13 (45.8%)