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Pirates @ Braves [ -190 / 9 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

June 30, 2024, 11:35 am
Pirates | 76-87 (46.6%), Bailey Falter (L) | 8-9 (47.06%)
Braves | 89-75 (54.3%), Spencer Schwellenbach (R) | 8-7 (53.33%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Pirates
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Braves
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Team Batting:
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Matchup:
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Pirates Situational Notes
Game off giving up a walk-off win
Game off extra innings
Game off demoralizing loss (led after 8th)

Braves Situational Notes
Game off a walk-off win
Game off extra innings

Pirates Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/2PITMitch Keller (R)PIT -124
STL +106		8STLKyle Gibson (R)
6/30ATLSpencer Schwellenbach (R)PIT +160
ATL -190		9PITBailey Falter (L)
6/29ATL [ 2 ]Max Fried (L)PIT +124
ATL -146		7.5PIT [ 1 ]Paul Skenes (R)
6/28ATL [ 6 ]Charlie Morton (R)PIT +184
ATL -220		9PIT [ 1 ]Martin Perez (L)
6/26CIN [ 1 ]Graham Ashcraft (R)PIT +116
CIN -136		9.5PIT [ 6 ]Luis Ortiz (R)
6/25CIN [ 5 ]Hunter Greene (R)PIT +110
CIN -130		9PIT [ 9 ]Mitch Keller (R)
6/24CIN [ 11 ]Carson Spiers (R)PIT +114
CIN -134		9.5PIT [ 5 ]Bailey Falter (L)
6/23PIT [ 1 ]Paul Skenes (R)PIT -168
TBR +142		7.5TBR [ 3 ]Aaron Civale (R)
6/22PIT [ 4 ]Jared Jones (R)PIT -112
TBR -104		8.5TBR [ 3 ]Zach Eflin (R)
6/21PIT [ 3 ]Carmen Mlodzinski (R)PIT +114
TBR -134		8.5TBR [ 10 ]Ryan Pepiot (R)

Braves Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
7/2ATLReynaldo Lopez (R)ATL -198
SFG +166		8.5SFGHayden Birdsong (R)
6/30ATLSpencer Schwellenbach (R)ATL -190
PIT +160		9PITBailey Falter (L)
6/29ATL [ 2 ]Max Fried (L)ATL -146
PIT +124		7.5PIT [ 1 ]Paul Skenes (R)
6/28ATL [ 6 ]Charlie Morton (R)ATL -220
PIT +184		9PIT [ 1 ]Martin Perez (L)
6/27CHW [ 1 ]Chad Kuhl (R)ATL -295
CHW +240		7.5ATL [ 0 ]Chris Sale (L)
6/26STL [ 4 ]Matthew Liberatore (0)ATL -120
STL +102		8.5ATL [ 1 ]Bryce Elder (0)
6/26STL [ 2 ]Kyle Gibson (0)ATL -122
STL +104		8ATL [ 6 ]Reynaldo Lopez (0)
6/26STL [ ]Kyle Gibson (R)ATL -
STL -		-ATL [ ]Reynaldo Lopez (R)
6/25STL [ 0 ]Kyle Gibson (R)ATL -126
STL +108		8.5ATL [ 0 ]Reynaldo Lopez (R)
6/24STL [ 4 ]Lance Lynn (R)ATL -124
STL +106		8.5ATL [ 3 ]Spencer Schwellenbach (R)

Bailey Falter Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/24CIN [ 11 ]PIT [ 5 ]1149.54215045Carson Spiers (R)
6/18PIT [ 1 ]CIN [ 2 ]1068.57327122Nick Lodolo (L)
6/12STL [ 4 ]PIT [ 2 ]1508.54518033Sonny Gray (R)
6/6PIT [ 7 ]LAD [ 11 ]15294628255Walker Buehler (R)
5/31TOR [ 5 ]PIT [ 3 ]1528.56522000Jose Berrios (R)
54.21.660.62.83

Spencer Schwellenbach Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
6/24ATL [  ]STL [  ]Lance Lynn (R)
6/24STL [ 4 ]ATL [ 3 ]-1248.55608044Lance Lynn (R)
6/18ATL [ 2 ]DET [ 1 ]-16296723011Casey Mize (R)
6/12BAL [ 4 ]ATL [ 2 ]-1008.56324022Cade Povich (L)
6/5BOS [ 9 ]ATL [ 0 ]-104104.67427166Nick Pivetta (R)
5.4251.55.50.253.253.25


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

PiratesBraves
162TG162
4.1R/G4.3
160HR213
0.234AVG0.243
106SB69
19CS20
PiratesBraves
0.137ISO0.172
0.291BABIP0.291
0.301OBP0.309
0.371SLG0.415
0.295wOBA0.315
86wRC+100
PiratesBraves
8BB%8
24.7K%24
0.32BB/K0.33
8.2Barrel%10
39.9HardHit%42.5
6.9WAR18.4

Pitching Matchup

Bailey FalterSpencer Schwellenbach
28G21
28GS21
142.1IP123.2
5.1IP/G5.9
8W8
9L7
69.7LOB%74.5
Bailey FalterSpencer Schwellenbach
6.13K/99.24
2.85BB/91.67
8.8K/BB%20.8
36.2GB%41.6
42.1FB%36.1
1.07HR/91.02
9.2HR/FB%11.4
Bailey FalterSpencer Schwellenbach
0.281BABIP0.279
4.43ERA3.35
4.9xERA3.36
4.3FIP3.29
4.71xFIP3.32
1.29WHIP1.04
4.91SIERA3.42
1.7WAR2.6

Bullpen Matchup

PiratesBraves
3.17BPU/G2.97
3.6IP/G3.3
33W33
33L27
43SV40
27BS22
67.6LOB%75.3
PiratesBraves
9.06K/99.92
3.97BB/92.87
12.9K/BB%18.9
41.4GB%42.7
38.7FB%38.1
0.85HR/90.95
8.6HR/FB%10.5
PiratesBraves
0.305BABIP0.294
4.49ERA3.32
3.95FIP3.41
4.38xFIP3.56
1.38WHIP1.18
3.98SIERA3.27
3.4WAR6.1

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Bailey Falter F55-9-1 (35.7%)0-1-0 (0%)0-1-0 (0%)3-3-0 (50%)2-4-1 (33.3%)
Bailey Falter7-8 (46.7%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)3-3 (50%)3-4 (42.9%)
Spencer Schwellenbach F51-5-0 (16.7%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)
Spencer Schwellenbach1-5 (16.7%)1-2 (33.3%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Bailey Falter F56-7-1 (46.2%)0-1-0 (0%)1-0-0 (100%)2-4-0 (33.3%)3-2-1 (60%)
Bailey Falter7-7-1 (50%)1-0-0 (100%)0-1-0 (0%)3-2-1 (60%)3-4-0 (42.9%)
Spencer Schwellenbach F51-3-2 (25%)0-2-1 (0%)0-0-1 (-)0-0-0 (-)1-1-0 (50%)
Spencer Schwellenbach1-5-0 (16.7%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-1-0 (0%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-0 (0%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Pirates vs. RHP F523-23-11 (50%)6-4-5 (60%)3-3-3 (50%)6-7-1 (46.2%)8-9-2 (47.1%)
Pirates vs. RHP27-30 (47.4%)6-9 (40%)5-4 (55.6%)8-6 (57.1%)8-11 (42.1%)
Braves vs. LHP F516-10-3 (61.5%)7-5-1 (58.3%)6-4-2 (60%)0-0-0 (-)2-1-0 (66.7%)
Braves vs. LHP18-11 (62.1%)9-4 (69.2%)6-6 (50%)0-0 (-)2-1 (66.7%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Pirates vs. RHP F528-25-3 (52.8%)8-6-0 (57.1%)5-4-0 (55.6%)5-9-0 (35.7%)10-6-3 (62.5%)
Pirates vs. RHP21-34-2 (38.2%)5-9-1 (35.7%)2-7-0 (22.2%)5-8-1 (38.5%)9-10-0 (47.4%)
Braves vs. LHP F512-14-2 (46.2%)6-6-1 (50%)5-5-1 (50%)0-0-0 (-)0-3-0 (0%)
Braves vs. LHP14-14-1 (50%)5-8-0 (38.5%)8-4-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)0-2-1 (0%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Bailey Falter10-5 (66.7%)1-0 (100%)0-1 (0%)5-1 (83.3%)4-3 (57.1%)
Pirates44-39 (53%)6-15 (28.6%)5-8 (38.5%)13-5 (72.2%)20-11 (64.5%)
Spencer Schwellenbach0-6 (0%)0-3 (0%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)
Braves39-43 (47.6%)18-22 (45%)15-17 (46.9%)0-0 (-)6-4 (60%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Bailey Falter6-9 (40%)0-1 (0%)1-0 (100%)4-2 (66.7%)1-6 (14.3%)
Pirates30-54 (35.7%)12-9 (57.1%)5-8 (38.5%)6-12 (33.3%)7-24 (22.6%)
Spencer Schwellenbach1-5 (16.7%)1-2 (33.3%)0-1 (0%)0-0 (-)0-2 (0%)
Braves37-46 (44.6%)23-17 (57.5%)10-22 (31.3%)0-0 (-)3-7 (30%)