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Cubs @ Brewers [ -120 / 8.5 ]Copied and ready to share! Glossary | Baller Glossary | Cheat Sheets

May 30, 2024, 12:10 pm
Cubs | 83-79 (51.2%), Jameson Taillon (R) | 12-8 (60%)
Brewers | 94-71 (57%), Colin Rea (R) | 12-6 (66.67%)

Last updated: August 14, 2024 6:00 am EST

Our Baller Exclusive Matchup Rating System is a dynamic tool that adapts to MLB's latest trends, dynamically adjusting each team’s Starting Pitcher, Bullpen, and Team Batting ratings based on current performances and historical data. It factors in current form—reflecting recent player and team performances—and accounts for positive or negative regression to balance out extreme fluctuations. To find an edge, compare our Matchup Rating System with the game line to identify discrepancies that could signal a betting opportunity.

Cubs
Starting Pitcher:
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Bullpen:
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Brewers
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Bullpen:
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Cubs Situational Notes

Brewers Situational Notes

Cubs Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/31CHCJavier Assad (R)CHC -136
CIN +116		8.5CINGraham Ashcraft (R)
5/30MILColin Rea (R)CHC +102
MIL -120		8.5CHCJameson Taillon (R)
5/29MIL [ 10 ]Bryse Wilson (R)CHC -146
MIL +124		7.5CHC [ 6 ]Shota Imanaga (L)
5/28MIL [ 3 ]Freddy Peralta (R)CHC +140
MIL -166		7.5CHC [ 6 ]Ben Brown (R)
5/27MIL [ 5 ]Robert Gasser (L)CHC -112
MIL -104		8CHC [ 1 ]Justin Steele (L)
5/26STL [ 4 ]Sonny Gray (R)CHC +120
STL -142		8.5CHC [ 3 ]Javier Assad (R)
5/25STL [ 7 ]Miles Mikolas (R)CHC -108
STL -108		8.5CHC [ 6 ]Jameson Taillon (R)
5/23CHC [ 0 ]Ben Brown (R)CHC -116
ATL -102		8.5ATL [ 3 ]AJ Smith-Shawver (R)
5/22CHC [ 2 ]Justin Steele (L)CHC +114
ATL -134		8.5ATL [ 9 ]Max Fried (L)
5/21CHC [ 4 ]Javier Assad (R)CHC +108
ATL -126		11.5ATL [ 3 ]Charlie Morton (R)

Brewers Schedule

Home Starter Line Total Away Starter
5/31MILTobias Myers (R)MIL -180
CHW +152		8CHWErick Fedde (R)
5/30MILColin Rea (R)MIL -120
CHC +102		8.5CHCJameson Taillon (R)
5/29MIL [ 10 ]Bryse Wilson (R)MIL +124
CHC -146		7.5CHC [ 6 ]Shota Imanaga (L)
5/28MIL [ 3 ]Freddy Peralta (R)MIL -166
CHC +140		7.5CHC [ 6 ]Ben Brown (R)
5/27MIL [ 5 ]Robert Gasser (L)MIL -104
CHC -112		8CHC [ 1 ]Justin Steele (L)
5/26BOS [ 2 ]Tanner Houck (R)MIL +120
BOS -142		8.5MIL [ 1 ]Tobias Myers (R)
5/25BOS [ 3 ]Nick Pivetta (R)MIL +126
BOS -148		9.5MIL [ 6 ]Jared Koenig (L)
5/24BOS [ 2 ]Kutter Crawford (R)MIL +114
BOS -134		9.5MIL [ 7 ]Jared Koenig (L)
5/22MIA [ 1 ]Jesus Luzardo (L)MIL -132
MIA +112		7MIL [ 0 ]Freddy Peralta (R)
5/21MIA [ 5 ]Trevor Rogers (L)MIL -134
MIA +114		8MIL [ 7 ]Robert Gasser (L)

Jameson Taillon Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/25STL [ 7 ]CHC [ 6 ]-1088.55.67319033Miles Mikolas (R)
5/19CHC [ 2 ]PIT [ 3 ]-13084.67426133Mitch Keller (R)
5/14ATL [ 7 ]CHC [ 0 ]1667.54237227Chris Sale (L)
5/4CHC [ 6 ]MIL [ 5 ]-1328.56722000Tobias Myers (R)
4/29NYM [ 1 ]CHC [ 3 ]1207.57.33114111Luis Severino (R)
5.533.41.85.60.81.82.8

Colin Rea Last 5 Starts

H A Line Total IP K BB Hits HR ER Runs Opp Starter
5/19HOU [ 9 ]MIL [ 4 ]11894.33548155Spencer Arrighetti (R)
5/13MIL [ 6 ]PIT [ 8 ]-1428.56516133Mitch Keller (R)
5/7KCR [ 5 ]MIL [ 6 ]11094.67217044Seth Lugo (R)
5/1MIL [ 7 ]TBR [ 1 ]-1088.56524000Zach Eflin (R)
4/26MIL [ 7 ]NYY [ 6 ]1148.56434355Luis Gil (R)
5.44.22.25.813.43.4


Matchup and Splits


Batting Matchup

CubsBrewers
162TG162
4.5R/G4.8
170HR177
0.242AVG0.248
143SB217
30CS42
CubsBrewers
0.151ISO0.155
0.291BABIP0.305
0.317OBP0.326
0.393SLG0.403
0.311wOBA0.319
101wRC+104
CubsBrewers
8.9BB%9.7
22.3K%23.6
0.4BB/K0.41
7.8Barrel%7.2
38.1HardHit%38.3
22.5WAR27.2

Pitching Matchup

Jameson TaillonColin Rea
28G32
28GS27
165.1IP167.2
5.9IP/G5.2
12W12
8L6
76.3LOB%76.6
Jameson TaillonColin Rea
6.8K/97.25
1.8BB/92.31
13.6K/BB%12.9
40.1GB%38.8
40.5FB%40.7
1.14HR/91.56
10.2HR/FB%13.7
Jameson TaillonColin Rea
0.269BABIP0.282
3.27ERA4.29
3.97xERA4.87
3.92FIP4.75
4.16xFIP4.42
1.13WHIP1.26
4.29SIERA4.33
2.3WAR0.9

Bullpen Matchup

CubsBrewers
3.06BPU/G3.2
3.5IP/G4
37W51
35L28
38SV53
26BS19
73.5LOB%78.1
CubsBrewers
9.25K/98.81
3.76BB/93.06
14.4K/BB%15.5
42.4GB%42.8
38.4FB%37.9
0.99HR/90.99
10.6HR/FB%10.7
CubsBrewers
0.288BABIP0.266
3.81ERA3.11
3.94FIP3.78
4.09xFIP3.9
1.29WHIP1.16
3.8SIERA3.65
2.9WAR5.9

Splits by Starter, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jameson Taillon F54-4-0 (50%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)0-3-0 (0%)
Jameson Taillon4-4 (50%)2-1 (66.7%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)1-2 (33.3%)
Colin Rea F55-4-2 (55.6%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)2-2-2 (50%)
Colin Rea8-3 (72.7%)2-1 (66.7%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)4-2 (66.7%)

Splits by Starter, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jameson Taillon F54-3-1 (57.1%)1-1-1 (50%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Jameson Taillon4-4-0 (50%)2-1-0 (66.7%)0-0-0 (-)0-1-0 (0%)1-2-0 (33.3%)
Colin Rea F56-5-0 (54.5%)1-2-0 (33.3%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)4-2-0 (66.7%)
Colin Rea7-4-0 (63.6%)3-0-0 (100%)0-0-0 (-)1-0-0 (100%)3-3-0 (50%)

Splits vs. xHP, Win/Loss

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cubs vs. RHP F518-20-9 (47.4%)3-6-3 (33.3%)3-3-0 (50%)5-5-0 (50%)6-6-6 (50%)
Cubs vs. RHP24-23 (51.1%)5-7 (41.7%)3-3 (50%)7-3 (70%)9-9 (50%)
Brewers vs. RHP F521-16-7 (56.8%)7-5-1 (58.3%)2-3-0 (40%)2-2-1 (50%)9-5-5 (64.3%)
Brewers vs. RHP26-18 (59.1%)8-5 (61.5%)3-2 (60%)2-3 (40%)12-7 (63.2%)

Splits vs. xHP, Over/Under

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Cubs vs. RHP F520-24-1 (45.5%)3-6-1 (33.3%)4-2-0 (66.7%)5-5-0 (50%)7-11-0 (38.9%)
Cubs vs. RHP20-27-0 (42.6%)5-7-0 (41.7%)4-2-0 (66.7%)3-7-0 (30%)7-11-0 (38.9%)
Brewers vs. RHP F523-20-1 (53.5%)3-9-1 (25%)3-2-0 (60%)4-1-0 (80%)12-7-0 (63.2%)
Brewers vs. RHP27-17-0 (61.4%)7-6-0 (53.8%)3-2-0 (60%)5-0-0 (100%)11-8-0 (57.9%)

Run Line (-1.5 if Fav, +1.5 if Dog)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jameson Taillon3-4 (42.9%)1-2 (33.3%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)1-2 (33.3%)
Cubs28-29 (49.1%)4-12 (25%)2-6 (25%)7-4 (63.6%)15-7 (68.2%)
Colin Rea7-3 (70%)2-1 (66.7%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)4-2 (66.7%)
Brewers29-25 (53.7%)6-9 (40%)3-7 (30%)4-4 (50%)16-5 (76.2%)
  • Excludes games when teams are PK (no run line)

YRFI/NRFI (Yes/No Run First Inning)

OverallHome FavAway FavHome DogAway Dog
Jameson Taillon6-2 (75%)2-1 (66.7%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)3-0 (100%)
Cubs24-34 (41.4%)5-11 (31.3%)3-5 (37.5%)6-5 (54.5%)10-12 (45.5%)
Colin Rea7-4 (63.6%)3-0 (100%)0-0 (-)1-0 (100%)3-3 (50%)
Brewers27-29 (48.2%)6-9 (40%)4-6 (40%)6-2 (75%)10-11 (47.6%)